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Photo of Jeremy J. Nalewaik

Jeremy J. Nalewaik

Economist

Prices and Wages Section

Research and Statistics

202-452-3792
jeremy.j.nalewaik@frb.gov
Education
  • Ph.D., Business Economics, University of Chicago, 2003
  • B.A., Economics, Johns Hopkins University, 1995
  • Current Research Topics

  • GDP Measurement
  • Recession Forecasting
    • Economist

      Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    • 2006 - present
    • Research Economist

      Bureau of Economic Analysis

    • 2003 - 2006
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy, and Eugenio P. Pinto (Forthcoming). "The Response of Capital Goods Shipments to Demand Over the Business Cycle," Journal of Macroeconomics.
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy (2014). "Missing Variation in the Great Moderation: Lack of Signal Error and OLS Regression ," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-27. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Aruoba, Boragan, Francis Diebold, Jeremy Nalewaik, Frank Schorfheide, and Dongho Song (2013). "Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-016. Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  • Aruoba, S. B., Francis X. Diebold, Jeremy Nalewaik, Frank Schorfheide, and Dongho Song (2013). "Improving U.S. GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective," in White, Halbert L.,Jr. ed., Edited by Xiaohong Chen and Norman R. Swanson. New York and Heidelberg: Springer, pp. 1-25.
  • Aruoba, S. B., Francis X. Diebold, Jeremy Nalewaik, Frank Schorfheide, and Dongho Song (2013). "Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective," NBER Working Papers 18954. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Aruoba, S. B., Francis X. Diebold, Jeremy Nalewaik, Frank Schorfheide, and Dongho Song (2013). "Improving GDP Measurement: A Measurement-Error Perspective," Working Papers 13-16. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  • Aruoba, S. Boragan, Francis Diebold X., Jeremy Nalewaik, Frank Schorfheide, and Dongho Song (2012). "Improving GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective," in Chen, X., N. Swanson eds., Recent Advances and Future Directions in Causality, Prediction, and Specification Analysis: Essays in Honor of Halbert L. White Jr. Springer, pp. 1-25.
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy, and Eugenio P. Pinto (2012). "The Response of Capital Goods Shipments to Demand Over the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-30. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2012). "Estimating Probabilities of Recession in Real Time using GDP and GDI," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, vol. 44, no. 1, pp. 235-253.
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2011). "Incorporating Vintage Differences and Forecasts into Markov Switching Models," International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 281-307.
  • Aruoba, S. Boragan, Francis Diebold X., Jeremy Nalewaik, Frank Schorfheide, and Dongho Song (2011). "Improving GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective," NBER Working Papers 17421. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2011). "The Income- and Expenditure-Side Estimates of U.S. Output Growth—An Update through 2011 Q2," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, vol. 2, pp. 385-402.
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy (2011). "Forecasting Recessions using Stall Speeds," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-24. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2010). "The Income- and Expenditure-Side Measures of Output Growth," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, vol. 1, pp. 71-106.
  • Aizcorbe, Ana, Benjamin Bridgman, and Jeremy Nalewaik (2010). "Heterogeneous Car Buyers: A Stylized Fact," Economics Letters, vol. 109, no. 1, pp. 50-53.
  • Aizcorbe, Ana, Benjamin Bridgman, and Jeremy Nalewaik (2009). "Heterogeneous Car Buyers: A Stylized Fact," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-12. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2008). "Lack of Signal Error (LoSE) and Implications for OLS Regression: Measurement Error for Macro Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-15. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Fixler, Dennis J., and Jeremy J. Nalewaik (2007). "News, Noise, and Estimates of the 'True' Unobserved State of the Economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-34. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2007). "Incorporating Vintage Differences and Forecasts into Markov Switching Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-23. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2007). "Estimating Probabilities of Recession in Real Time using GDP and GDI," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-07. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Nalewaik, Jeremy J. (2006). "Current Consumption and Future Income Growth: Synthetic Panel Evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 53, no. 8, pp. 2239-2266.

Editor

  • Associate Editor, International Journal of Forecasting
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Last update: November 3, 2014