| has a concern about a particular state law. |
1 | 101 |
| But I have talked to other |
2 | 101 |
| regulators, and their concern was that the state |
3 | 101 |
| laws, the way they are being set up, are too |
4 | 101 |
| restrictive and they are kind of pushing them out |
5 | 101 |
| of some markets because of the kind of restrictions |
6 | 101 |
| they have on them. And I would just like to hear |
7 | 101 |
| what you guys think about that. |
8 | 101 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: We don't have time for a |
9 | 101 |
| response, unfortunately. But you can include that |
10 | 101 |
| your written response. |
11 | 101 |
| What is the cut off date? |
12 | 101 |
| MS. BRAUNSTEIN: August 15. |
13 | 101 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: This has been an excellent |
14 | 101 |
| panel, I would like to thank everybody. |
15 | 101 |
| Just in brief summary, you can |
16 | 101 |
| imagine from our monitory policy perspective, that |
17 | 101 |
| the Board of the Federal Reserve tends a lot of |
18 | 101 |
| time to focus on mortgage instruments, the mortgage |
19 | 101 |
| market. It has been a tremendous engine of |
20 | 101 |
| economic growth and the participants in the |
21 | 101 |
| mortgage field have helped make it that. But it |
22 | 101 |
| has raised significant and serious issues that we |
23 | 101 |
| want to be sure we are alert to as well. |
24 | 101 |
| So thanks to all of you for your |
1 | 102 |
| participation. We will now take a 15 minute |
2 | 102 |
| break. We will be back here at 10:45 and we will |
3 | 102 |
| move on to the second panel. Thank you very much. |
4 | 102 |
| (Whereupon, a short break was |
5 | 102 |
| taken.) |
6 | 102 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: Just as a reminder to |
7 | 102 |
| everybody, we are taking pains to stay on |
8 | 102 |
| schedule. In part out of respect for the people |
9 | 102 |
| that have made specific plans to be here to |
10 | 102 |
| participate on this panel, but also, very |
11 | 102 |
| importantly, to make sure that we have time at the |
12 | 102 |
| end for people who want to make comments. |
13 | 102 |
| And for those of you who may have |
14 | 102 |
| come in late and want to participate beginning at |
15 | 102 |
| 3:00 o'clock, make sure that you have registered |
16 | 102 |
| that intent outside so that you can be recognized. |
17 | 102 |
| And we will move through this panel. |
18 | 102 |
| This panel has a different perspective. It will be |
19 | 102 |
| very interesting. Not exactly counterpoint, but it |
20 | 102 |
| will be sort of a parallel look at the issues from |
21 | 102 |
| people who have examined these issues from their |
22 | 102 |
| perspective. |
23 | 102 |
| And we will do it in the same |
24 | 102 |
| progression. We will go clockwise starting with |
1 | 103 |
| Scott Mason will be the first speaker, followed by |
2 | 103 |
| Kenneth Posner, Anthony Pennington-Cross. We will |
3 | 103 |
| then move to Keith Ernst, Roberto Quercia -- he |
4 | 103 |
| told me he puts the emphasis on the first |
5 | 103 |
| syl-able -- and then Michael Staten. |
6 | 103 |
| So we will go with you to begin, |
7 | 103 |
| Scott. Again, five minutes. |
8 | 103 |
| MR. MASON: Thank you, Governor Olson. My name |
9 | 103 |
| is Scott Mason, I'm a director of structured |
10 | 103 |
| finance ratings at Standard and Poor's, a division |
11 | 103 |
| of McGraw Hill Company. And actually, I'm very |
12 | 103 |
| pleased to participate this morning in this |
13 | 103 |
| hearing. |
14 | 103 |
| Since beginning our credit rating |
15 | 103 |
| activity in 1916, Standard and Poor's has rated |
16 | 103 |
| hundreds of thousands of securities in corporate |
17 | 103 |
| and governmental issue. We also assess the credit |
18 | 103 |
| quality of and assign credit ratings to, among |
19 | 103 |
| other types of assets, mortgage and asset-backed |
20 | 103 |
| securities. |
21 | 103 |
| Over the last century we have taken |
22 | 103 |
| great care to insure that our credit ratings are |
23 | 103 |
| viewed by the market as highly credible and |
24 | 103 |
| relevant. And we will continue to review our |
1 | 104 |
| practices and policies and our procedures on an |
2 | 104 |
| ongoing basis to insure that integrity, |
3 | 104 |
| independence, objectivity, transparency, |
4 | 104 |
| credibility and quality continue as fundamental |
5 | 104 |
| premises of our operations. |
6 | 104 |
| As an independent and objective |
7 | 104 |
| commentator on credit risk, we generally do not |
8 | 104 |
| take a position on questions of public policy. |
9 | 104 |
| Thus, while we strongly support efforts to combat |
10 | 104 |
| predatory lending and other abusive lending |
11 | 104 |
| practices, we do not take a position on what |
12 | 104 |
| legislative and regulatory actions are best to |
13 | 104 |
| eradicate those practices. |
14 | 104 |
| Nevertheless, we have been closely |
15 | 104 |
| following legislative and regulatory initiatives |
16 | 104 |
| designed to combat predatory lending in order to |
17 | 104 |
| determine how those laws might affect our ability |
18 | 104 |
| to rate securities backed by residential home |
19 | 104 |
| mortgage loans. |
20 | 104 |
| Anti-predatory lending laws, |
21 | 104 |
| including 2002 amendments to HOEPA and the |
22 | 104 |
| proliferation of mini-HOEPAs, basically the laws |
23 | 104 |
| and statutes enacted by states and local |
24 | 104 |
| governments, are designed to protect borrowers from |
1 | 105 |
| unfair, abusive and deceptive lending practices. |
2 | 105 |
| For several reasons, these laws may also have a |
3 | 105 |
| negative affect on reducing the availability of |
4 | 105 |
| funds to borrowers who need cash to support their |
5 | 105 |
| life-styles. |
6 | 105 |
| For example, lenders might reduce |
7 | 105 |
| their lending in a given jurisdiction to protect |
8 | 105 |
| themselves from being found in violation of the |
9 | 105 |
| jurisdiction's anti-predatory lending laws or |
10 | 105 |
| because lending in accordance with the laws' |
11 | 105 |
| provisions might be uneconomical. Most |
12 | 105 |
| importantly, from our perspective, anti-predatory |
13 | 105 |
| lending laws' imposition of liability on purchasers |
14 | 105 |
| or attorneys might reduce the availability of funds |
15 | 105 |
| to pay investors and securities backed by mortgage |
16 | 105 |
| loans governed by a particular loan. |
17 | 105 |
| This would occur if a purchaser or |
18 | 105 |
| assignee were bound to hold the loan that violated |
19 | 105 |
| the law, even if the purchaser or assignee did not |
20 | 105 |
| himself engage in the prohibited practice. |
21 | 105 |
| Therefore, performing a credit analysis of a |
22 | 105 |
| structured financing act as backed by residential |
23 | 105 |
| mortgage loans, we evaluate the impact an |
24 | 105 |
| anti-predatory lending law might have on the |
1 | 106 |
| availability of funds to pay investors in a rated |
2 | 106 |
| security. |
3 | 106 |
| To the extent that Standard and |
4 | 106 |
| Poor's determines that such investors might be |
5 | 106 |
| negatively impacted, we may require additional |
6 | 106 |
| credit support to protect investors, or in certain |
7 | 106 |
| circumstances exclude such loans from our rated |
8 | 106 |
| transactions. |
9 | 106 |
| Given this context and our interest |
10 | 106 |
| in the ongoing dialog regarding predatory lending |
11 | 106 |
| legislation, we appreciation the opportunity to |
12 | 106 |
| discuss our process for evaluating the impact of |
13 | 106 |
| anti-predatory lending laws on many of these |
14 | 106 |
| structured financial transactions. |
15 | 106 |
| In performing our evaluation of |
16 | 106 |
| anti-predatory lending laws we consider, among |
17 | 106 |
| other factors, whether the law provides for |
18 | 106 |
| assigning liability, what the penalties might be, |
19 | 106 |
| whether there are clearly delineated loan |
20 | 106 |
| categories that are covered by the law, and we look |
21 | 106 |
| at the clarity of the statutory violations. And we |
22 | 106 |
| also look at the state laws. |
23 | 106 |
| The first step in our analysis |
24 | 106 |
| whether to write a transaction is to determine |
1 | 107 |
| whether the law covering the loan assigned |
2 | 107 |
| liability. We define assignee liability as |
3 | 107 |
| liability that attaches to the purchaser or |
4 | 107 |
| assignee of a loan, including a securitization |
5 | 107 |
| trust, simply by virtue of holding the loan. |
6 | 107 |
| Typically laws that impose assignee liability |
7 | 107 |
| permit a borrower to assert -- |
8 | 107 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: You're at a very key point, so |
9 | 107 |
| we want to come back to it, but the five minutes |
10 | 107 |
| has expired so we will definitely come back. I |
11 | 107 |
| apologize. But that is a critical point. |
12 | 107 |
| MR. MASON: I prefer questions and answers |
13 | 107 |
| anyway. |
14 | 107 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: We will definitely be coming |
15 | 107 |
| back to it. You prefer questions for which you can |
16 | 107 |
| provide the answer. |
17 | 107 |
| MR. MASON: Well, of course. Well, anyone who |
18 | 107 |
| can provide an answer is fine. |
19 | 107 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: Ken Posner. |
20 | 107 |
| MR. POSNER: Now I'm looking nervously at my |
21 | 107 |
| watch. |
22 | 107 |
| Has my time started yet? |
23 | 107 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: You have used 40 seconds of |
24 | 107 |
| it. |
1 | 108 |
| MR. POSNER: My name is Ken Poser, I'm a |
2 | 108 |
| research analyst at Morgan Stanley and my job is to |
3 | 108 |
| come up with recommendations on stocks for a |
4 | 108 |
| variety of financial service companies, including |
5 | 108 |
| mortgage companies. So I don't have a role in the |
6 | 108 |
| policy process either, but I look at predatory |
7 | 108 |
| lending concerns as a risk factor for the stocks I |
8 | 108 |
| cover, and thus it's an important topic for me to |
9 | 108 |
| understand. |
10 | 108 |
| What I will share with you this |
11 | 108 |
| morning very briefly is a couple of my own personal |
12 | 108 |
| opinions about how these laws could help or hinder |
13 | 108 |
| the development of the mortgage market. |
14 | 108 |
| The first one I'd like to make is in |
15 | 108 |
| terms of thinking about predatory lending, there is |
16 | 108 |
| clearly a valid concern in protecting consumers |
17 | 108 |
| from abuse. The Center for Responsible Lending has |
18 | 108 |
| estimated that consumers suffer some $9 billion in |
19 | 108 |
| lost equity per year from abusive practices. |
20 | 108 |
| However, I'd like to point out that |
21 | 108 |
| the size of the nontraditional market, including |
22 | 108 |
| subprime, payday, and other controversial loans, |
23 | 108 |
| now accounts for almost half of the entire mortgage |
24 | 108 |
| market or some $1 trillion in originations. You |
1 | 109 |
| could clearly eliminate the $9 million in fees by |
2 | 109 |
| outlying all of these loans, but that would have |
3 | 109 |
| devastatingly negative consequences for consumers |
4 | 109 |
| in the market. So my concerns is look at balancing |
5 | 109 |
| concerns over views with measures that might |
6 | 109 |
| curtail or limit the market, which I think would be |
7 | 109 |
| counter-protective. |
8 | 109 |
| The second point I want to make is I |
9 | 109 |
| observe this market, and I think as you all know, |
10 | 109 |
| the capital markets are not heavily involved in |
11 | 109 |
| intermediating or setting the prices on risks for |
12 | 109 |
| mortgage loans. And the process that investors go |
13 | 109 |
| through is very complex. The price on loans has to |
14 | 109 |
| do with, sure, the borrowers FICO score and the |
15 | 109 |
| type of the loan. But it also has to do with |
16 | 109 |
| expectations for the local housing market and the |
17 | 109 |
| interest rates in the broader economic context. |
18 | 109 |
| And all of this stuff changes very quickly, as you |
19 | 109 |
| know, in a real-time market kind of basis. |
20 | 109 |
| So if you come up with a law that |
21 | 109 |
| says, well, an interest rate of X percent is fine |
22 | 109 |
| but an interest rate of Y percent is not fine, |
23 | 109 |
| well, that might be fine, that might be great this |
24 | 109 |
| week. But it might be totally irrelevant and |
1 | 110 |
| inappropriate next week. So I'm very skeptical of |
2 | 110 |
| any kind of law that would seek to demarcate one |
3 | 110 |
| part of the market from the other. The prices and |
4 | 110 |
| the terms change quickly. |
5 | 110 |
| The next point I would make to build |
6 | 110 |
| on that is I would be concerned about laws that |
7 | 110 |
| limit prices or fees or rates or even prepayment |
8 | 110 |
| penalties. And why is that? It's because it's |
9 | 110 |
| been my observation that hurts the market for small |
10 | 110 |
| loans. |
11 | 110 |
| Now, I have the great privilege of |
12 | 110 |
| covering the Payday Lending space, which is |
13 | 110 |
| controversial. But nonetheless, consumers are able |
14 | 110 |
| to get $300 loans for short periods at APRs of 4, |
15 | 110 |
| 5, 6, or 700 percent. And this business is legal |
16 | 110 |
| in many states and viewed as a legitimate service |
17 | 110 |
| to consumers. So if you say we are going to limit |
18 | 110 |
| the mortgage market to certain points and fees, I |
19 | 110 |
| hope that you won't have the consequence of pushing |
20 | 110 |
| people into Payday Lending or other markets which |
21 | 110 |
| are even more expensive. |
22 | 110 |
| And think about it this way. Our |
23 | 110 |
| data suggests that the average cost to originate a |
24 | 110 |
| subprime loan is around $3,000 today. So for a |
1 | 111 |
| $300,000 loan, that is only one point, that is not |
2 | 111 |
| a big deal. But for a $30,000 loan, that would be |
3 | 111 |
| ten points. So do you really want to tell the low |
4 | 111 |
| and moderate income people, who would in many cases |
5 | 111 |
| be looking for $30,000 loans, that they just can't |
6 | 111 |
| have them? I think that is the question that has |
7 | 111 |
| to be asked. |
8 | 111 |
| Let me wrap up here. When we look |
9 | 111 |
| around the world at different credit markets, we |
10 | 111 |
| find that consumer education and financial literacy |
11 | 111 |
| goes hand-in-hand with large and vibrant consumer |
12 | 111 |
| credit markets. So it seems to me that one |
13 | 111 |
| strategy that could address abuse without |
14 | 111 |
| curtailing the market would be to focus on things |
15 | 111 |
| like disclosures, counseling, and education. |
16 | 111 |
| Because I think the reason people get abused is |
17 | 111 |
| they don't understand the loan terms, and if people |
18 | 111 |
| were better educated we would expect the market to |
19 | 111 |
| actually be bigger and not smaller. So I don't |
20 | 111 |
| have specific suggestions, but I think that is a |
21 | 111 |
| very fruitful avenue for exploration. |
22 | 111 |
| And if I have 30 seconds left, I will |
23 | 111 |
| just say that covering mortgage stocks over the |
24 | 111 |
| last few years, I've seen companies stumble badly |
1 | 112 |
| over these kinds of issues. |
2 | 112 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: Finish that sentence. |
3 | 112 |
| MR. POSNER: Names like Household and |
4 | 112 |
| Associates and Providian come to mind. The |
5 | 112 |
| problems at those companies were problems of |
6 | 112 |
| culture and bad controls. |
7 | 112 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: That's a good stopping point |
8 | 112 |
| right there. We can also come back to it. |
9 | 112 |
| Anthony, again I don't know that I |
10 | 112 |
| said it at the front of end or not, will each of |
11 | 112 |
| you identify yourself and who you represent and we |
12 | 112 |
| will look forward to hearing from you. |
13 | 112 |
| MR. PENNINGTON-CROSS: I'm Anthony |
14 | 112 |
| Pennington-Cross and I'm a research economist at |
15 | 112 |
| the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. So, again, I |
16 | 112 |
| consider myself somewhat kind of in the middle and |
17 | 112 |
| I have done a fair amount of research on the |
18 | 112 |
| performance of the subprime loans and some work on |
19 | 112 |
| the impact of these state and local laws on the |
20 | 112 |
| subprime market as a whole. |
21 | 112 |
| So I will just start out by saying a |
22 | 112 |
| concern over predation I think is very |
23 | 112 |
| understandable in this market. I think primarily |
24 | 112 |
| it's from two sources. One is outright fraud, and |
1 | 113 |
| I think we've heard a lot of examples this morning |
2 | 113 |
| of outright fraud. So one question comes to my |
3 | 113 |
| mind is when something is obviously fraud, whether |
4 | 113 |
| the enforcement exists to stop that type of |
5 | 113 |
| lending. |
6 | 113 |
| The other side is that we are talking |
7 | 113 |
| about the high cost of the subprime and the |
8 | 113 |
| nonprime portion of the market. And these loans |
9 | 113 |
| are going to fail at a higher rate regardless, even |
10 | 113 |
| if we threw out the fraud, if we have legitimate |
11 | 113 |
| high cost lending. |
12 | 113 |
| In addition, these loans tend to be |
13 | 113 |
| concentrated geographically. And that's somewhat |
14 | 113 |
| natural, considering that as a society we tend to |
15 | 113 |
| separate ourselves by income strata. We don't mix |
16 | 113 |
| the wealthy with the poor on the same streets too |
17 | 113 |
| well in the United States. |
18 | 113 |
| So we have this high concentration of |
19 | 113 |
| potential defaults and failures in terms of |
20 | 113 |
| homeownership. And if there are externalities of |
21 | 113 |
| these failures, which there certainly are, then |
22 | 113 |
| these costs are being borne by their neighbors and |
23 | 113 |
| these costs are often borne by the local |
24 | 113 |
| municipalities which have to deal with the problems |
1 | 114 |
| associated with abandoned housing on blocks. In |
2 | 114 |
| fact, it can be very expensive if this process |
3 | 114 |
| lingers on for a long time. So there are costs |
4 | 114 |
| outside of those borne by the lender, the borrower, |
5 | 114 |
| and the secondary market. |
6 | 114 |
| So one question is how high a failure |
7 | 114 |
| rate is too high? What can we stomach in this |
8 | 114 |
| country? If we can price almost anything, the |
9 | 114 |
| bankers, the lenders, the originators, we can price |
10 | 114 |
| the mortgage, we can say this is great. Here is |
11 | 114 |
| what you qualify for, it's going to be 25 percent |
12 | 114 |
| interest rate. And we handle pretty well that you |
13 | 114 |
| have a 40 percent chance of making it through and |
14 | 114 |
| successfully gaining homeownership. But how far |
15 | 114 |
| are we willing to go? |
16 | 114 |
| So we need to have a policy debate, a |
17 | 114 |
| more explicit policy debate, about what is too much |
18 | 114 |
| today. What can we stomach. |
19 | 114 |
| So I just want to point out a couple |
20 | 114 |
| numbers, and these are from the Mortgage Bankers |
21 | 114 |
| Association fourth quarter 2005. So loans that are |
22 | 114 |
| 90 day past due for a prime was .44 percent in that |
23 | 114 |
| fourth quarter. For subprime, it was almost 3 |
24 | 114 |
| percent, so substantially higher. So is that |
1 | 115 |
| number too high? I think for some folks it's too |
2 | 115 |
| high. And I think when we had the advocates over |
3 | 115 |
| here earlier, I think part of the commentary is |
4 | 115 |
| perhaps that number is too high. Then we had |
5 | 115 |
| business on the other side, perhaps that number |
6 | 115 |
| wasn't too high. So I think there is a |
7 | 115 |
| disagreement in the community about what number is |
8 | 115 |
| too high. |
9 | 115 |
| But I also want to point out if we |
10 | 115 |
| look at the delinquency of FHA loans, they are |
11 | 115 |
| actually currently a little higher than the |
12 | 115 |
| subprime loans according to the mortgage bankers. |
13 | 115 |
| In fact, those numbers are almost 3.8 percent for |
14 | 115 |
| 90 day loans. So we have to be cognizant of the |
15 | 115 |
| different segments and the different initial |
16 | 115 |
| risks. |
17 | 115 |
| So I think actually in about 2002 |
18 | 115 |
| HOEPA was extended and strengthened, because if you |
19 | 115 |
| look at the data of the delinquency and foreclosure |
20 | 115 |
| rates in subprime were extremely high in that time |
21 | 115 |
| period. Around 2001 they were up around 8, 9 |
22 | 115 |
| percent. Today it's come back to about 3, so there |
23 | 115 |
| has been a gradual dropping of that. And that is |
24 | 115 |
| when we start seeing a production of state and |
1 | 116 |
| local laws starting in North Carolina. |
2 | 116 |
| So what are these state and local |
3 | 116 |
| laws designed to do? Well, they are HOEPA style, |
4 | 116 |
| mini-HOEPA as you heard before. They define |
5 | 116 |
| coverage, does the law apply, if they apply, then |
6 | 116 |
| there are restrictions on the types of lending you |
7 | 116 |
| can do, typically in terms of balloons and |
8 | 116 |
| prepayments and arbitration. |
9 | 116 |
| Now, in terms of the academic |
10 | 116 |
| research that is out there, everyone found -- and |
11 | 116 |
| there are three folks over here that all wrote |
12 | 116 |
| individual papers, and they all found that the |
13 | 116 |
| first law that came into effect in North Carolina |
14 | 116 |
| did reduce the amount of subprime credit in the |
15 | 116 |
| overall market. Future work, which took advantage |
16 | 116 |
| of the variations of all the laws that were |
17 | 116 |
| introduced after that, I think now today we are up |
18 | 116 |
| to around 26 states have these laws in effect. And |
19 | 116 |
| these laws can be tough in terms of what types of |
20 | 116 |
| loans they restrict, and they can also cover |
21 | 116 |
| different segments of the market. And their impact |
22 | 116 |
| can be positive or negative. |
23 | 116 |
| GOVERNOR OLSON: We'll come back to that. That |
24 | 116 |
| is a great point. |
1 | 117 |
| Keith. |
2 | 117 |
| MR. ERNST: My name is Keith Ernst, I'm senior |
3 | 117 |
| policy counsel with the Center for Responsibility |
4 | 117 |
| Lending. Thank you for the opportunity to testify |
5 | 117 |
| at this important hearing. Thank you also for the |
6 | 117 |
| Federal Reserve's role in keeping homeownership |
7 | 117 |
| protections relevant in the dynamic subprime |
8 | 117 |
| mortgage market. |
9 | 117 |
| Since the last hearing the Fed held |
10 | 117 |
| on HOEPA much has changed. The subprime mortgage |
11 | 117 |
| market has grown dramatically, now counting for one |
12 | 117 |
| out of five mortgages in the country, even as |
13 | 117 |
| reports of predatory lending practices have |
14 | 117 |
| persisted and evolved to encompass new concerns. |
15 | 117 |
| While the Federal Reserve has taken |
16 | 117 |
| steps to help combat predatory lending and ensure |
17 | 117 |
| fair lending practices in the mortgage market, |
18 | 117 |
| state policy makers have also taken action. We |
19 | 117 |
| believe the combined efforts of state and federal |
20 | 117 |
| regulators have done much to combat abusive lending |
21 | 117 |
| practices, but we also believe much remains to be |
22 | 117 |
| done. |
23 | 117 |
| Today I want to talk about state |
24 | 117 |
| predatory lending reforms, their impact on the |
1 | 118 |
| market, and make a few suggestions for how the |
2 | 118 |
| Federal Reserve can further protect homeowners. |
3 | 118 |
| Since the passage of North Carolina's |
4 | 118 |
| predatory lending law in 1999, state policy makers |
5 | 118 |
| around the country have set about curtailing |
6 | 118 |
| predatory lending, particularly in the subprime |
7 | 118 |
| market. |
8 | 118 |
| To make some judgments about the |
9 | 118 |
| effectiveness of these laws, one needs to answer |
10 | 118 |
| two primary questions. And this is important, |
11 | 118 |
| because I think a lot of where the debate misses |
12 | 118 |
| each other is in the formulation of what questions |
13 | 118 |
| we are seeking to answer. |
14 | 118 |
| So the two questions I want to lay on |
15 | 118 |
| the table are, first, are state predatory lending |
16 | 118 |
| laws having their intended effects? Are they |
17 | 118 |
| decreasing the incidents of loans targeted for |
18 | 118 |
| reform by policy makers? I would say that is their |
19 | 118 |
| essential purpose. |
20 | 118 |
| Second, are they avoiding unintended |
21 | 118 |
| consequences? Most commonly researchers have asked |
22 | 118 |
| this question by asking about whether state laws |
23 | 118 |
| have led to a decrease in subprime credit. But I |
24 | 118 |
| want to caution against interpreting any change in |
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| policy that has unintended consequences. |
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| In my experience and in my |
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| organization's experience, while policy makers |
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| would welcome loans without predatory terms in lieu |
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| of those targeted for reform, they also recognize |
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| that it is not always possible to substitute a |
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| responsible loan for an abusive one. |
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| The research taken to date as a whole |
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| shows I believe that state predatory lending laws |
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| are accomplishing both of these goals. For our |
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| part, the Center for Responsible Lending issued a |
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| report in February that analyzed information on |
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| more than six million subprime mortgages originated |
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| between 1998 and 2004. Principally, we found that |
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| states that have implemented significant reforms |
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| generally reduced the incidents of loan predatory |
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| terms the greatest. |
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| Interestingly, other research has |
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| linked changes in subprime loan buying with |
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| reductions in push marketing among the least |
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| regulated mortgage lenders. We also found in our |
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| study that state laws have produced no significant |
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| decrease in subprime mortgage originations in 26 |
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| and 28 states. |
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| Anthony, I hope you will get a chance |
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| to get back to your research, because I think it |
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| shows that there is great variations in the |
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| experience of different state laws. |
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| Finally, in our studies we found that |
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| laws that were associated with stronger protections |
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| were also associated with favorable interest rate |
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| reductions. Specifically, when we compared states |
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| with predatory lending laws, prices in states with |
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| predatory lending laws to prices in states without |
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| predatory lending laws, we found that 19 states |
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| experienced a decrease, albeit slight; 8 had no |
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| statistical difference; and 1 had a slight |
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| increase. These findings are powerful indications |
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| that these predatory lending laws can and do filter |
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| loans of their terms while allowing subprime credit |
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| to flow. |
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| We'd like to lay five general |
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| recommendations on table for the Fed to consider. |
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| First, include prepayment penalties |
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| in the HOEPA definition of points and fees. |
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| Second, make fuller use of FTC Act |
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| violation to tackle specific abuses. |
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| Third, make further use of HMDA |
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| authority to provide additional critical |
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| information. |
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| Fourth, in the context of fair |
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| lending examinations, urge regulators to focus on |
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| discretionary posting. |
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| And finally, we think the Federal |
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| Reserve should exercise leadership in this area by |
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| encouraging Congress to adopt a suitability |
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| standard to ensure that increasingly complex |
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| mortgage products are suitable for borrowers |
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| needs. |
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| In the interest of time, we elaborate |
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| on these recommendations in the subsequent future |
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| remarks. Thank you. |
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| GOVERNOR OLSON: Roberto Quercia. |
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| MR. QUERCIA: Thank you. Good morning. I'm |
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| Roberto Quercia from the University of North |
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| Carolina at Chapel Hill. Thank you for inviting me |
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| to testify in this hearing. |
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| Equity based lending is a rapidly evolving |
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| area in housing finance, and in my view, because of |
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| this, it has the potential for abuse. I believe |
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| the state anti-predatory lending laws, such as the |
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| one in North Carolina, strengthens consumer |
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| protection by prohibiting some lending practices |
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| while still allowing for the growth of the subprime |
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| industry. |
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| For example, the North Carolina law |
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| bans prepayment penalties for small loans, the |
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| financing of up-front single premium insurance, and |
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| creates a new section dealing with high cost home |
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| loans with additional restrictions. Despite fears |
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| to the contrary, our study found that the law does |
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| not curtail the availability or cost of legitimate |
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| credit. Thus, it allows the industry to continue |
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| to grow. |
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| Our study asked the essential question |
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| that other studies failed to ask: was the overall |
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| decline in subprime lending reported by others due |
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| to a decline in loans with legitimate terms, or to |
17 | 122 |
| a reduction in loans with abusive terms? |
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| Our study reveals that although the |
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| total volume of subprime originations in North |
20 | 122 |
| Carolina declined, the number of home purchase |
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| loans was unaffected by the law. And while |
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| refinance originations did fall, we estimated that |
23 | 122 |
| about 90 percent of the decline was in subprime |
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| loans with predatory features as defined by the |
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| law, which is what the law intended. |
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| For example, refinance loans |
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| containing prepayment penalties of three years or |
4 | 123 |
| more dropped 72 percent after the law's passage, |
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| while rising in neighboring state by as much as 260 |
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| percent. We also found that the total volume of |
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| loans to North Carolina borrowers with credit |
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| scores below 660, the core of the subprime market, |
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| rose in the post-law period by a similar or greater |
10 | 123 |
| percentage than it did in several neighboring |
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| states. |
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| We understand that the mix of loans |
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| and lenders included in any analysis can affect |
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| results. This is why we have examined changes in |
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| specific loan features and disclosed the |
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| composition of our study database. We are open to |
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| having our analysis carefully reviewed, |
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| scrutinized, and replicated. We believe that |
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| others should do the same. |
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| In closing, I would like to say a few |
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| words about the future. Housing equity is part of |
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| a household portfolio and has always been. In the |
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| past homeowners have had limited options to tap the |
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| equity in their homes to complement their family |
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| budgets. |
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| In contrast, today homeowners have |
3 | 124 |
| many options available: home equity loans, |
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| traditional lines of credit, credit cards backed by |
5 | 124 |
| the equity in the home, and others. These options |
6 | 124 |
| provide opportunities to homeowners, but can also |
7 | 124 |
| raise many challenges. The risk of home loss due |
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| to a lack of understanding of complex financial |
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| mechanisms or due to deceptive or abusive practices |
10 | 124 |
| requires, in my view, the government play a strong |
11 | 124 |
| role. |
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| In my view HOEPA addresses the issue of |
13 | 124 |
| equity based lending from the traditional view of |
14 | 124 |
| housing finance without consideration to broader |
15 | 124 |
| consumer credit issues. Because of this lack of |
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| consideration, I believe that HOEPA is |
17 | 124 |
| inappropriate to oversee the industry in a way that |
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| allows it to grow, while at the same time provide |
19 | 124 |
| enough protection to homeowners. HOEPA needs to |
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| take into account the increasing intersection of |
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| the consumer and housing credit sectors. Thank |
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| you. |
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| GOVERNOR OLSON: We are on a roll. |
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| Michael. |
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| MR. STATEN: I'm Mike Staten at the School of |
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| Business at the Georgetown University. Those of |
3 | 125 |
| you who are familiar with me and some of the |
4 | 125 |
| studies of the North Carolina law, which is all we |
5 | 125 |
| had to look at four years ago when these studies |
6 | 125 |
| started coming out, won't be surprised to hear me |
7 | 125 |
| say something different than what you heard the |
8 | 125 |
| first two researchers comment. |
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| I think there is no question that the |
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| way you pass a law and the provisions you put into |
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| it can have an impact on the kind of loans and |
12 | 125 |
| volume of loans and the composition of borrowers to |
13 | 125 |
| get those loans across the states. Unlike four |
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| years ago when we first started doing those |
15 | 125 |
| studies, though, now we have this marvelous natural |
16 | 125 |
| laboratory that those other 26 states provide us |
17 | 125 |
| around the country. And most of them with enough |
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| experience that we can look and see what happened |
19 | 125 |
| in those states who adopted a little different |
20 | 125 |
| law. |
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| Our recent study, which I may or may |
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| not have time to get into here, finds, like |
23 | 125 |
| Anthony's study does, that not all the laws are the |
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