Abstract: In the United States, many laid-off workers are recalled to their
former employer. I develop an asymmetric information model of layoffs
in which high-productivity workers are more likely to be recalled and
may choose to remain unemployed rather than accept a low-wage job. In
this case, unemployment can serve as a signal of productivity, and
unemployment duration may be positively related to post-layoff wages
even among workers who are not recalled. In contrast, since workers
whose plant closed cannot be recalled, longer unemployment duration
should not have a positive signaling benefit for such workers. Analysis
of the data from January 1988-1992 Displaced Workers Supplements to the
Current Population Survey reveals that the wage/unemployment duration
relation differs between the two groups in the predicted way, and finds
evidence consistent with asymmetric information in the U.S. labor
market.
Keywords: Permanently and temporarily laid-off workers,signaling unemployment and wages
Full paper (4511 KB PDF)
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Last update: March 25, 1999
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