Abstract: We examine inventory adjustment in the U.S. manufacturing sector
using quarterly firm-level data over the period 1978-97. Our
evidence indicates that the inventory investment process is
nonlinear and asymmetric, results consistent with a nonconvex
adjustment cost structure. The inventory adjustment process differs
over the business cycle: for a given level of excess inventories,
firms disinvest more in recessions than they do in expansions. The
inventory adjustment process has changed little between the 1980s
and 1990s, suggesting that recent advances in inventory control
have had little effect on adjustment costs. Nevertheless, the
optimal inventory-sales ratio in the durable goods sector has
declined significantly during our sample period.
Keywords: Inventories, (s,S) inventory policies, linear-quadratic model, business cycles
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