Abstract: This paper implements a Multivariate Weighted Nonlinear Least Square
estimator
for a class of jump-diffusion interest rate processes (hereafter MWNLS-JD),
which also admit closed-form solutions to bond prices under a
no-arbitrage argument. The instantaneous interest rate is modeled as a
mixture of a square-root diffusion process and a Poisson jump
process. One can derive analytically
the first four conditional moments, which form the basis of the
MWNLS-JD estimator. A diagnostic conditional moment test can also be
constructed from the
fitted moment conditions. The market prices of diffusion and jump risks are
calibrated by minimizing the pricing errors between a model-implied yield
curve and a target yield curve. The time series estimation of the
short-term
interest rate
suggests that the jump augmentation is highly significant and that the pure
diffusion process is strongly rejected. The cross-sectional evidence
indicates
that the jump-diffusion yield curves are both more flexible in reducing
pricing errors and are more consistent with the Martingale pricing
principle.
Keywords: Jump-diffusion, term structure of interest rates, conditional moment generator, multivariate weighted nonlinear least square, market price of risk.
Full paper (1301 KB PDF)
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Last update: July 24, 2001
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