Abstract: It is commonly supposed in public and academic discourse that inflation and
big government are related. We show that economic theory delivers such a
prediction only in special cases. As an empirical matter, inflation is
significantly positively related to the size of government mainly when periods
of war and peace are compared. We find a weak positive peacetime time series
correlation between inflation and the size of government and a negative
cross-country correlation of inflation with non-defense
spending.
Keywords: Inflation, government size, central bank independence
Full paper (119 KB PDF)
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Last update: January 17, 2002
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