Abstract: How much of aggregate employment fluctuations is due to plants destroying
and then recreating the same jobs over the cycle and how much is due to some plants
permanently destroying jobs in a recession and other plants permanently creating jobs in an
expansion? This paper decomposes plant level job flows into permanent and temporary
components to answer this question, and finds that the permanent reallocation of jobs across
plants accounts for approximately 30 percent of the cyclical fluctuations in aggregate
employment.
Keywords: Job flows, reallocation, employment fluctuations
Full paper (630 KB PDF)
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Last update: March 26, 2002
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