Abstract: In this paper, we examine the stock price benefit of meeting or
beating earnings expectations. Using a general methodology, we find
no evidence that the timing of earnings news has any benefit for
firms' stock returns. In fact, in many cases we find firms attempting
to engineer positive earnings surprises by beating down expectations
only to discover that their efforts are counterproductive. Our
results appear to overturn the findings of previous authors who, using
less general methodologies, have suggested that firms can boost their
stock returns by getting bad news out early. Our results are robust
across time periods, for different scaling factors on earnings
revisions and surprises, when controlling for firm size and growth
prospects, and when conditioned on past earnings news.
Keywords: Analyst forecasts, earnings management, expectations management
Full paper (2051 KB PDF)
Home | FEDS | List of 2003 FEDS papers
Accessibility
To comment on this site, please fill out our feedback form.
Last update: November 19, 2003
|