Abstract: This paper measures the impact of crime on firm investment by exploiting variation
in kidnappings in Colombia from 1996 to 2002. Our central result is that firms
invest less when kidnappings directly target firms. We also find that broader
forms of crime--homicides, guerrilla attacks, and general kidnappings--have no
significant effect on investment. This finding alleviates concerns that our
main result may be driven by unobserved variables that explain both overall
criminal activity and investment. Furthermore, kidnappings that target firms
reduce not only the investment of firms that sell in local markets, but also the
investment of firms that sell in foreign markets. Thus, an unobservable correlation
between poor demand conditions and criminal activity is unlikely to explain the
negative impact of firm-related kidnappings on investment. Our results are
consistent with the hypothesis that managers are reluctant to invest when their
freedom and life are at risk, although we cannot completely discard alternative
explanations.
Keywords: Crime, kidnappings, investment, Colombia.
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