Abstract: Published macroeconomic data traditionally exclude most intangible investment
from measured GDP. This situation is beginning to change, but our estimates
suggest that as much as $800 billion is still excluded from U.S. published
data (as of 2003), and that this leads to the exclusion of more than $3 trillion
of business intangible capital stock. To assess the importance of this omission,
we add intangible capital to the standard sources-of-growth framework used by
the BLS, and find that the inclusion of our list of intangible assets makes a
significant difference in the observed patterns of U.S. economic growth. The
rate of change of output per worker increases more rapidly when intangibles
are counted as capital, and capital deepening becomes the unambiguously dominant
source of growth in labor productivity. The role of multifactor productivity is
correspondingly diminished, and labor's income share is found to have decreased
significantly over the last 50 years.
Keywords: Economic growth, investment, intangibles, capital, productivity, economic measurement
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