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Abstract:
This paper uses a DSGE model to examine the effects of an expansion in government spending in a liquidity trap. If the liquidity trap is very prolonged, the spending multiplier can be much larger than in normal circumstances, and the budgetary costs minimal. But given this "fiscal free lunch," it is unclear why policymakers would want to limit the size of fiscal expansion. Our paper addresses this question in a model environment in which the duration of the liquidity trap is determined endogenously, and depends on the size of the fiscal stimulus. We show that even if the multiplier is high for small increases in government spending, it may decrease substantially at higher spending levels; thus, it is crucial to distinguish between the marginal and average responses of output and government debt.
Full paper, latest version (532 KB PDF)
| Full paper (screen reader version - forthcoming)
Original version (476 KB PDF)
Keywords
Monetary policy, fiscal policy, liquidity trap, zero bound constraint, DSGE model
PDF files: Adobe Acrobat Reader ZIP files: PKWARE
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