INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
[2004 Revision Notice Below]
Industrial production rose 0.3 percent in November after having climbed 0.6 percent in
October; the production estimates for both September and October were revised down. At 117.6
percent of its 1997 average, the November index was 4.2 percent above its year-ago level.
Manufacturing output increased 0.3 percent in November, and production in both durables and
nondurables advanced moderately. The index for mining output rose 2.1 percent, and the index
for utilities fell 1.4 percent. The rate of capacity utilization for total industry edged up 0.1
percentage point, to 77.6 percent, a level 3.5 percentage points below its 1972-2003 average.
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION: SUMMARY
Seasonally adjusted
Industrial production |
1997=100 |
Percent change |
2004 |
2004 |
Nov. '03 to Nov. '04 |
Aug. |
Sept. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
Aug. |
Sept. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total index |
116.7 |
116.6 |
117.3 |
117.6 |
.0 |
-.1 |
.6 |
.3 |
4.2 |
Previous estimates |
116.7 |
116.8 |
117.6 |
|
-.1 |
.1 |
.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Major market groups |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Products |
112.5 |
112.7 |
113.5 |
113.8 |
.1 |
.2 |
.7 |
.2 |
4.5 |
Consumer goods |
109.1 |
109.1 |
109.9 |
110.0 |
.5 |
-.1 |
.8 |
.0 |
2.6 |
Business equipment |
122.0 |
122.7 |
123.6 |
124.0 |
-1.2 |
.6 |
.7 |
.4 |
10.0 |
Nonindustrial supplies |
115.1 |
115.0 |
115.4 |
115.6 |
-.4 |
-.1 |
.3 |
.2 |
4.6 |
Construction |
107.2 |
105.6 |
106.4 |
106.9 |
-.2 |
-1.5 |
.8 |
.4 |
2.4 |
Materials |
121.7 |
121.2 |
121.9 |
122.2 |
.1 |
-.4 |
.6 |
.3 |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Major industry groups |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing (see note below) |
119.3 |
118.8 |
119.4 |
119.7 |
.4 |
-.4 |
.5 |
.3 |
4.9 |
Previous estimates |
119.2 |
118.8 |
119.7 |
|
.3 |
-.3 |
.7 |
|
|
Mining |
92.6 |
90.4 |
91.3 |
93.2 |
-.8 |
-2.3 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
-.5 |
Utilities |
110.0 |
114.8 |
116.0 |
114.5 |
-2.4 |
4.3 |
1.1 |
-1.4 |
2.3 |
Capacity utilization |
Percent of capacity |
Capacity growth Nov. '03 to Nov. '04 |
Average 1972-2003 |
1982 Low |
1988-89 High |
2003 Nov. |
2004 |
Aug. |
Sept. |
Oct. |
Nov. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total industry |
81.1 |
70.9 |
85.2 |
75.7 |
77.4 |
77.2 |
77.5 |
77.6 |
1.6 |
Previous estimates |
|
|
|
|
77.3 |
77.3 |
77.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Manufacturing (see note below) |
80.0 |
68.7 |
85.6 |
74.4 |
76.8 |
76.3 |
76.6 |
76.7 |
1.7 |
Previous estimates |
|
|
|
|
76.7 |
76.4 |
76.8 |
|
|
Mining |
86.9 |
78.6 |
85.6 |
85.3 |
84.3 |
82.3 |
83.1 |
84.9 |
.0 |
Utilities |
86.9 |
77.6 |
92.8 |
82.8 |
80.2 |
83.7 |
84.6 |
83.4 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stage-of-process groups |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crude |
86.3 |
77.2 |
88.5 |
83.7 |
84.8 |
83.1 |
83.6 |
84.6 |
-.1 |
Primary and semifinished |
82.2 |
68.1 |
86.4 |
77.7 |
79.0 |
78.9 |
79.1 |
78.9 |
2.3 |
Finished |
78.2 |
71.3 |
83.2 |
71.9 |
74.3 |
74.3 |
74.8 |
75.0 |
1.0 |
r Revised. p Preliminary.
The statistics in this release cover output, capacity, and capacity utilization in the
industrial sector, which the Federal Reserve defines as manufacturing, mining, and electric and
gas utilities. Manufacturing comprises those industries included in the North American Industry
Classification System, or NAICS, manufacturing plus the logging and newspaper, periodical,
book and directory publishing industries that have traditionally been considered manufacturing and included
in the industrial sector.
Market Groups
The output of consumer goods was unchanged in November. Among durable consumer
goods, lower output of home electronics and automotive products offset gains in appliances,
furniture, and carpeting, as well as in miscellaneous goods. The output of consumer non-energy
nondurables increased 0.2 percent in November, the third consecutive month of modest gains.
An increase in chemical products more than offset lower production of paper products. The
production of consumer energy products fell 0.3 percent.
The index for business equipment increased 0.4 percent and now stands 10 percent above
its year-ago level. The production indexes for information processing equipment, industrial and
other equipment, and transit equipment all moved up. The production of defense and space
equipment rose for the fifth consecutive month. The output of construction supplies increased
0.4 percent, and the output of business supplies edged up 0.1 percent.
The production of industrial materials gained 0.3 percent. The output of non-energy
materials moved up, as decreases in textiles and consumer parts were more than offset by higher
production of equipment parts, paper materials, industrial chemicals, and other durable materials.
The increase in the equipment parts index principally reflected gains in semiconductors and
computer parts; the index stood at 13.9 percent above its year-ago level. The output of energy
materials rose 0.4 percent.
Industry Groups
The rise of 0.3 percent in manufacturing output in November reflected a 0.4 percent
increase in the production of durables, a 0.3 percent increase in the production of nondurables,
and a 0.1 percent decrease in non-NAICS manufacturing (logging and publishing). Among
durables, sizable gains were posted by the indexes for nonmetallic mineral products; aerospace
and miscellaneous transportation equipment; and electrical equipment, appliances, and
components, while the indexes for wood products and for motor vehicles and parts declined.
Among nondurables, petroleum refining and printing and support registered substantial output
gains, and chemical production moved up moderately. In contrast, the output of textile mills and
paper fell. The overall factory operating rate in November edged up 0.1 percentage point, to
76.7 percent, a level 2.3 percentage points above its year-ago level but 3.3 percentage points
below its 1972-2003 average.
The decline of 1.4 percent in utilities output in November was driven entirely by lower
production at electric utilities. Among the mining categories, crude oil extraction rose for the
first time since July, while natural gas extraction edged up further.
Capacity utilization for industries in the crude stage of processing increased 1.0
percentage point, to 84.6 percent. The utilization rate for industries in the primary and
semifinished stages dipped 0.2 percentage point, to 78.9 percent, and the utilization rate for
finished goods producers increased 0.2 percentage point, to 75.0 percent.
Revision of Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
On December 22, 2004, the Federal Reserve Board will issue its annual revision to the
index of industrial production (IP), the related measures of capacity and capacity utilization, and
the data on industrial use of electric power. Comprehensive source data from the Census
Bureau's 2002 Economic Census will be incorporated into the production database. In addition
to these data, the revised IP indexes will reflect data from selected editions of the Census
Bureau's 2002 and 2003 Current Industrial Reports. Annual data from the U.S. Geological
Survey regarding metallic and nonmetallic minerals (except fuels) for 2002 and 2003 will also
be introduced. The updating will also include revisions to the monthly indicator for each
industry (either physical product data, production-worker hours, or electric power usage) and
revisions to seasonal factors.
Capacity and capacity utilization will be revised to incorporate preliminary data from the
Census Bureau's 2003 Survey of Plant Capacity, which covers manufacturing, along with new
data on capacity from the U.S. Geological Survey, the U.S. Department of Energy, and other
organizations. The statistics on the industrial use of electric power will incorporate additional
information received from utilities for the past few years and will include available data from the
2002 Economic Census.
Once the revision is published, it will be made available on the Board's website at
www.federalreserve.gov/releases/G17. The revised data will also be available through the
website of the Department of Commerce. Further information on these revisions is available
from the Board's Industrial Output Section (telephone 202-452-3197).
G.17 Release Tables:
Ascii | Screen reader | Summary: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization |
Chart | | Chart 1: Industrial Production, Capacity, and Capacity Utilization | Chart | | Chart 2: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization | Chart | | Chart 3: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, High Technology Industries | Ascii | Screen reader | Table 1:Industrial Production: Market and Industry Groups (percent change) |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 2:Industrial Production: Special Aggregates and Selected Detail (percent change) |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 3: Motor Vehicle Assemblies |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 4: Industrial Production Indexes: Market and Industry Group Summary |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 5: Industrial Production Indexes: Special Aggregates |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 6: Diffusion Indexes of Industrial Production |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 7: Capacity Utilization: Manufacturing, Mining, and Utilities |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 8: Industrial Capacity: Manufacturing, Mining, and Utilities (percent change) |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 9: Industrial Production: Gross Value of Products and Nonindustrial Supplies |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 10: Gross-Value-Weighted Industrial Production: Stage-of-Process Groups |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 11: Electric Power Use: Manufacturing and Mining |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 12: Historical Statistics for IP, Capacity, and Utilization: Total Industry |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 13: Historical Statistics for IP, Capacity, and Utilization: Manufacturing |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 14: Historical Statistics for IP, Capacity, and Utilization: Total Industry excluding Selected High-Technology Industries |
Ascii | Screen reader | Table 15: Historical Statistics for IP, Capacity, and Utilization: Manufacturing excluding Selected High-Technology Industries |
Release dates | Historical data | Documentation
Current Monthly Release Other formats: ASCII | PDF (144 KB)
Supplemental Monthly Release Other formats: ASCII | PDF (144 KB)
Annual Revision Release Other formats: ASCII | PDF (150 KB)
Statistical releases