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Report to the Congress on the Availability of Credit to Small Businesses


Submitted to the Congress pursuant to section 2227 of the Economic Growth and Regulatory Paperwork Reduction Act of 1996
October 2007

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Figure 5
Demand for Small Business Credit

Firms Planning Capital Outlays, 1990-20071
Quarter Percent
1990:Q1 35.00
1990:Q2 32.06
1990:Q3 28.74
1990:Q4 28.00
1991:Q1 27.33
1991:Q2 29.63
1991:Q3 26.65
1991:Q4 26.95
1992:Q1 29.02
1992:Q2 28.98
1992:Q3 28.02
1992:Q4 30.67
1993:Q1 33.67
1993:Q2 32.00
1993:Q3 29.33
1993:Q4 32.00
1994:Q1 35.13
1994:Q2 32.97
1994:Q3 31.98
1994:Q4 36.37
1995:Q1 38.74
1995:Q2 38.02
1995:Q3 33.97
1995:Q4 36.71
1996:Q1 40.03
1996:Q2 35.03
1996:Q3 34.97
1996:Q4 36.33
1997:Q1 38.05
1997:Q2 38.32
1997:Q3 35.68
1997:Q4 38.30
1998:Q1 38.09
1998:Q2 33.71
1998:Q3 34.61
1998:Q4 38.06
1999:Q1 37.72
1999:Q2 35.69
1999:Q3 31.67
1999:Q4 37.09
2000:Q1 38.29
2000:Q2 32.29
2000:Q3 32.58
2000:Q4 34.00
2001:Q1 34.18
2001:Q2 31.32
2001:Q3 27.66
2001:Q4 28.94
2002:Q1 31.58
2002:Q2 31.08
2002:Q3 27.64
2002:Q4 30.33
2003:Q1 29.06
2003:Q2 28.68
2003:Q3 27.91
2003:Q4 31.79
2004:Q1 33.12
2004:Q2 31.32
2004:Q3 31.00
2004:Q4 34.06
2005:Q1 34.41
2005:Q2 32.68
2005:Q3 30.36
2005:Q4 32.05
2006:Q1 32.57
2006:Q2 29.20
2006:Q3 29.62
2006:Q4 29.38
2007:Q1 31.02
2007:Q2 29.00

Note. Data are quarterly.

1. Percent of firms planning capital outlays in the next six months. Return to table

Source. National Federation of Independent Business.



Outlook for Small Business Expansion over the Next Three Months, 1990-20072
Quarter Percent
1990:Q1 14.09
1990:Q2 15.03
1990:Q3 10.71
1990:Q4 7.97
1991:Q1 8.58
1991:Q2 11.31
1991:Q3 12.00
1991:Q4 10.71
1992:Q1 10.63
1992:Q2 13.65
1992:Q3 12.02
1992:Q4 12.71
1993:Q1 11.89
1993:Q2 9.34
1993:Q3 8.67
1993:Q4 14.74
1994:Q1 16.31
1994:Q2 15.00
1994:Q3 15.33
1994:Q4 19.34
1995:Q1 18.08
1995:Q2 15.57
1995:Q3 17.35
1995:Q4 17.00
1996:Q1 16.94
1996:Q2 16.42
1996:Q3 17.33
1996:Q4 18.03
1997:Q1 20.27
1997:Q2 20.66
1997:Q3 25.67
1997:Q4 24.05
1998:Q1 24.34
1998:Q2 24.66
1998:Q3 23.33
1998:Q4 19.97
1999:Q1 23.03
1999:Q2 21.31
1999:Q3 23.33
1999:Q4 23.79
2000:Q1 22.97
2000:Q2 19.95
2000:Q3 19.29
2000:Q4 14.68
2001:Q1 12.68
2001:Q2 11.42
2001:Q3 11.38
2001:Q4 13.58
2002:Q1 14.70
2002:Q2 14.31
2002:Q3 13.62
2002:Q4 14.29
2003:Q1 10.77
2003:Q2 12.29
2003:Q3 17.30
2003:Q4 22.26
2004:Q1 20.68
2004:Q2 22.34
2004:Q3 22.33
2004:Q4 25.79
2005:Q1 21.88
2005:Q2 19.35
2005:Q3 20.02
2005:Q4 20.98
2006:Q1 19.65
2006:Q2 16.31
2006:Q3 15.58
2006:Q4 18.02
2007:Q1 15.62
2007:Q2 12.00

Note. Data are quarterly.

2. The proportion of respondents that consider the next three months a "good time to expand" less the proportion that do not consider the next three months a "good time to expand." Return to table

Source. National Federation of Independent Business.



Net Percentage of Banks Reporting Increased Demand for C&I Loans by Small Firms, 1992-2007
Quarter Percent
1991:Q4 -25.4
1992:Q1 -11.6
1992:Q2 25.0
1992:Q3 6.9
1992:Q4 -1.8
1993:Q1 32.2
1993:Q2 12.3
1993:Q3 13.8
1993:Q4 17.2
1994:Q1 26.3
1994:Q2 38.1
1994:Q3 19.3
1994:Q4 31.6
1995:Q1 18.2
1995:Q2 17.2
1995:Q3 25.0
1995:Q4 7.2
1996:Q1 14.0
1996:Q2 24.0
1996:Q3 17.7
1996:Q4 3.6
1997:Q1 14.7
1997:Q2 10.7
1997:Q3 19.6
1997:Q4 19.3
1998:Q1 15.4
1998:Q2 21.1
1998:Q3 0.0
1998:Q4 7.7
1999:Q1 11.4
1999:Q2 10.1
1999:Q3 0.1
1999:Q4 -3.8
2000:Q1 -1.9
2000:Q2 5.3
2000:Q3 -3.6
2000:Q4 -12.8
2001:Q1 -29.7
2001:Q2 -34.5
2001:Q3 -42.1
2001:Q4 -50.0
2002:Q1 -45.4
2002:Q2 -29.0
2002:Q3 -36.4
2002:Q4 -48.2
2003:Q1 -20.6
2003:Q2 -21.8
2003:Q3 -12.3
2003:Q4 -3.9
2004:Q1 21.8
2004:Q2 38.1
2004:Q3 38.9
2004:Q4 25.5
2005:Q1 29.6
2005:Q2 37.0
2005:Q3 35.2
2005:Q4 8.9
2006:Q1 5.3
2006:Q2 3.5
2006:Q3 0.0
2006:Q4 -13.0
2007:Q1 -5.3
2007:Q2 -19.2

Note. Data are quarterly.

Source. Federal Reserve Board Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices.


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