Residual Seasonality in Core Consumer Price Inflation, Accessible Data

Accessible version of figures

Chart 1: Real-Time Core CPI Price Inflation

Source: Author's calculations using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Annualized percent change

Year Jan-Jun Jul-Dec
2004 2.60 1.94
2005 2.23 2.11
2006 3.18 2.06
2007 2.26 2.60
2008 2.29 1.21
2009 2.29 1.31
2010 0.57 0.72
2011 2.49 1.97
2012 2.42 1.36
2013 1.84 1.60


Chart 2: Real-Time Core PCE Price Inflation

Source: Author's calculations using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis

Annualized percent change

Year Jan-Jun Jul-Dec
2004 1.79 1.27
2005 2.04 1.93
2006 2.53 1.77
2007 1.94 2.38
2008 2.38 1.17
2009 1.82 1.39
2010 1.06 0.40
2011 2.24 1.58
2012 1.98 0.88
2013 1.21 1.20


Chart 3: Real-Time Market-Based Core PCE Price Inflation

Source: Author's calculations using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis

Annualized percent change

Year Jan-Jun Jul-Dec
2004 2.12 1.21
2005 1.91 1.55
2006 2.29 1.47
2007 1.86 2.08
2008 2.06 1.26
2009 2.23 1.07
2010 0.98 0.52
2011 2.26 1.67
2012 2.04 0.84
2013 1.35 1.00