Effects of the Ability to Repay and Qualified Mortgage Rules on the Mortgage Market, Accessible Data
Accessible version of figures
Figure 1
Notes: Each data point represents weekly averages based on loan application date relative to January 10, 2014; lines of best fit and 95% confidence intervals are shown on either side of the date threshold. Charts on left show results for small creditors, which are depository institutions with less than $2 billion in assets and fewer than 500 originations in 2013; charts on right show results for all other lenders. Higher-priced loans are those with an APR at least 1.5 percentage points over prime; high DTI loans are those with an estimated front-end DTI over 28%.
Lender size | Week since Jan 10 | Conventional higher-priced share of loans | Conventional high-DTI share of loans | Denied fraction of applications |
---|---|---|---|---|
Small | -6 | 0.14 | 0.047 | 0.186 |
Small | -5 | 0.13 | 0.052 | 0.191 |
Small | -4 | 0.129 | 0.054 | 0.191 |
Small | -3 | 0.128 | 0.04 | 0.181 |
Small | -2 | 0.128 | 0.046 | 0.189 |
Small | -1 | 0.145 | 0.046 | 0.19 |
Small | 0 | 0.102 | 0.043 | 0.205 |
Small | 1 | 0.111 | 0.04 | 0.212 |
Small | 2 | 0.105 | 0.045 | 0.205 |
Small | 3 | 0.116 | 0.041 | 0.21 |
Small | 4 | 0.104 | 0.043 | 0.201 |
Small | 5 | 0.111 | 0.043 | 0.215 |
Other | -6 | 0.025 | 0.083 | 0.333 |
Other | -5 | 0.025 | 0.085 | 0.337 |
Other | -4 | 0.025 | 0.089 | 0.345 |
Other | -3 | 0.021 | 0.08 | 0.34 |
Other | -2 | 0.023 | 0.073 | 0.355 |
Other | -1 | 0.025 | 0.076 | 0.354 |
Other | 0 | 0.016 | 0.071 | 0.347 |
Other | 1 | 0.015 | 0.073 | 0.348 |
Other | 2 | 0.015 | 0.071 | 0.331 |
Other | 3 | 0.015 | 0.077 | 0.32 |
Other | 4 | 0.015 | 0.075 | 0.316 |
Other | 5 | 0.017 | 0.072 | 0.331 |
Figure 2
Notes: Each data point represents weekly averages based on loan application date relative to January 10, 2014; lines of best fit and 95% confidence intervals are shown on either side of the date threshold. Charts on left show results for small creditors, which are depository institutions with less than $2 billion in assets and fewer than 500 originations in 2013; charts on right show results for all other lenders. Higher-priced loans are those with an APR at least 1.5 percentage points over prime; high DTI loans are those with an estimated front-end DTI over 28%.
Lender size | Week since Jan 10 | Conventional higher-priced share of loans | Conventional high-DTI share of loans | Denied fraction of applications |
---|---|---|---|---|
Small | -6 | 0.139 | 0.042 | 0.17 |
Small | -5 | 0.155 | 0.039 | 0.162 |
Small | -4 | 0.136 | 0.044 | 0.16 |
Small | -3 | 0.138 | 0.042 | 0.146 |
Small | -2 | 0.152 | 0.034 | 0.19 |
Small | -1 | 0.147 | 0.036 | 0.168 |
Small | 0 | 0.134 | 0.033 | 0.195 |
Small | 1 | 0.123 | 0.033 | 0.183 |
Small | 2 | 0.125 | 0.033 | 0.199 |
Small | 3 | 0.136 | 0.035 | 0.188 |
Small | 4 | 0.136 | 0.036 | 0.2 |
Small | 5 | 0.142 | 0.03 | 0.187 |
Other | -6 | 0.026 | 0.046 | 0.17 |
Other | -5 | 0.025 | 0.048 | 0.175 |
Other | -4 | 0.025 | 0.047 | 0.174 |
Other | -3 | 0.026 | 0.046 | 0.171 |
Other | -2 | 0.027 | 0.04 | 0.183 |
Other | -1 | 0.029 | 0.041 | 0.173 |
Other | 0 | 0.027 | 0.039 | 0.181 |
Other | 1 | 0.029 | 0.036 | 0.177 |
Other | 2 | 0.025 | 0.04 | 0.167 |
Other | 3 | 0.027 | 0.04 | 0.17 |
Other | 4 | 0.028 | 0.04 | 0.17 |
Other | 5 | 0.031 | 0.039 | 0.176 |
Figure 3
Notes: Each data point shows the number of originations within bins of 5 basis points. For the 2014 graph, loans are restricted to those with application dates on or after January 10. Lines of best and 95% confidence intervals are shown on either side of the 350 basis point threshold.
Year | APR spread over prime | Count of loans |
---|---|---|
2013 | 3.02 | 536 |
3.07 | 541 | |
3.12 | 603 | |
3.17 | 560 | |
3.22 | 530 | |
3.27 | 494 | |
3.32 | 452 | |
3.37 | 463 | |
3.42 | 421 | |
3.47 | 415 | |
3.52 | 406 | |
3.57 | 361 | |
3.62 | 421 | |
3.67 | 387 | |
3.72 | 373 | |
3.77 | 329 | |
3.82 | 311 | |
3.87 | 350 | |
3.92 | 303 | |
3.97 | 279 | |
2014 | 3.02 | 531 |
3.07 | 523 | |
3.12 | 480 | |
3.17 | 504 | |
3.22 | 470 | |
3.27 | 463 | |
3.32 | 489 | |
3.37 | 442 | |
3.42 | 490 | |
3.47 | 473 | |
3.52 | 342 | |
3.57 | 342 | |
3.62 | 262 | |
3.67 | 280 | |
3.72 | 284 | |
3.77 | 254 | |
3.82 | 257 | |
3.87 | 226 | |
3.92 | 207 | |
3.97 | 197 |