A Trillion Dollar Question: What Predicts Student Loan Delinquency Risk?, Accessible Data
Accessible version of figures
Figure 1: Cumulative Delinquency Curves by Model Specification
Cumulative Percent
Percentile | Full Model | Student Loan Balance | Student Loan Balances, Degree Attained, and School Sector | Student Loan Balances, Degree Attained, School Sector, and Credit Score | Student Loan Balances and Credit Score | Perfect Prediction |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 3.9 |
2.0 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 7.8 |
3.0 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 8.5 | 11.7 |
4.0 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 8.7 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 15.6 |
5.0 | 15.1 | 6.7 | 10.8 | 15.0 | 14.4 | 19.5 |
6.0 | 18.3 | 8.5 | 12.8 | 17.9 | 17.3 | 23.4 |
7.0 | 21.2 | 10.2 | 15.2 | 20.5 | 20.1 | 27.3 |
8.0 | 24.0 | 11.5 | 17.3 | 23.4 | 22.7 | 31.2 |
9.0 | 27.1 | 12.8 | 19.0 | 26.1 | 25.1 | 35.1 |
10.0 | 29.7 | 14.4 | 21.1 | 28.6 | 27.9 | 39.0 |
11.0 | 32.5 | 15.4 | 22.9 | 31.0 | 30.1 | 42.9 |
12.0 | 34.6 | 16.8 | 24.8 | 33.3 | 32.3 | 46.8 |
13.0 | 37.3 | 18.3 | 27.1 | 35.6 | 34.3 | 50.6 |
14.0 | 40.0 | 20.2 | 29.1 | 37.8 | 36.1 | 54.5 |
15.0 | 42.1 | 21.7 | 31.2 | 40.4 | 38.1 | 58.4 |
16.0 | 44.1 | 23.0 | 32.7 | 42.5 | 40.2 | 62.3 |
17.0 | 46.4 | 24.4 | 34.5 | 44.1 | 42.1 | 66.2 |
18.0 | 48.3 | 25.9 | 35.6 | 45.9 | 43.7 | 70.2 |
19.0 | 50.3 | 27.3 | 37.3 | 47.9 | 45.6 | 74.0 |
20.0 | 52.1 | 28.7 | 39.1 | 50.0 | 47.6 | 77.9 |
21.0 | 54.3 | 30.6 | 40.5 | 51.8 | 49.2 | 81.8 |
22.0 | 56.4 | 31.7 | 41.9 | 53.3 | 50.9 | 85.7 |
23.0 | 58.1 | 33.6 | 43.6 | 55.5 | 52.6 | 89.6 |
24.0 | 59.6 | 34.6 | 45.2 | 57.2 | 54.5 | 93.5 |
25.0 | 61.5 | 35.5 | 46.7 | 58.8 | 56.4 | 97.4 |
26.0 | 63.0 | 36.5 | 48.0 | 60.2 | 57.9 | 100.0 |
27.0 | 64.6 | 37.5 | 49.6 | 61.6 | 59.4 | 100.0 |
28.0 | 66.1 | 38.5 | 51.0 | 63.0 | 60.4 | 100.0 |
29.0 | 67.4 | 39.6 | 52.7 | 64.9 | 61.7 | 100.0 |
30.0 | 68.8 | 40.6 | 54.2 | 66.6 | 63.1 | 100.0 |
31.0 | 70.2 | 41.9 | 55.8 | 68.3 | 64.4 | 100.0 |
32.0 | 71.5 | 42.8 | 58.1 | 69.6 | 65.7 | 100.0 |
33.0 | 73.0 | 44.1 | 59.6 | 70.9 | 66.8 | 100.0 |
34.0 | 74.2 | 45.6 | 61.2 | 71.9 | 67.7 | 100.0 |
35.0 | 75.1 | 47.0 | 62.9 | 72.9 | 68.6 | 100.0 |
36.0 | 75.9 | 48.2 | 64.4 | 74.2 | 69.6 | 100.0 |
37.0 | 76.8 | 49.4 | 65.6 | 75.6 | 70.7 | 100.0 |
38.0 | 77.5 | 50.7 | 66.9 | 76.5 | 72.0 | 100.0 |
39.0 | 78.3 | 51.8 | 68.1 | 77.3 | 73.0 | 100.0 |
40.0 | 79.3 | 52.8 | 69.7 | 78.3 | 74.5 | 100.0 |
41.0 | 80.1 | 54.0 | 71.2 | 79.1 | 75.4 | 100.0 |
42.0 | 81.3 | 54.8 | 72.2 | 80.0 | 76.6 | 100.0 |
43.0 | 81.9 | 55.7 | 73.1 | 80.7 | 77.5 | 100.0 |
44.0 | 82.6 | 56.3 | 74.4 | 81.7 | 78.6 | 100.0 |
45.0 | 83.7 | 57.2 | 75.3 | 82.5 | 79.6 | 100.0 |
46.0 | 84.4 | 57.9 | 76.3 | 83.3 | 80.6 | 100.0 |
47.0 | 85.2 | 58.7 | 77.0 | 84.1 | 81.5 | 100.0 |
48.0 | 86.0 | 59.6 | 77.8 | 84.9 | 82.3 | 100.0 |
49.0 | 86.9 | 60.7 | 78.7 | 85.5 | 82.9 | 100.0 |
50.0 | 87.8 | 61.3 | 79.5 | 86.1 | 83.6 | 100.0 |
51.0 | 88.4 | 62.2 | 79.9 | 86.7 | 84.4 | 100.0 |
52.0 | 88.9 | 63.0 | 80.2 | 87.2 | 84.9 | 100.0 |
53.0 | 89.5 | 63.7 | 80.7 | 87.7 | 85.6 | 100.0 |
54.0 | 89.9 | 64.7 | 81.1 | 88.2 | 86.3 | 100.0 |
55.0 | 90.4 | 65.8 | 81.3 | 88.9 | 86.9 | 100.0 |
56.0 | 90.7 | 66.9 | 82.1 | 89.3 | 87.5 | 100.0 |
57.0 | 91.3 | 67.7 | 82.4 | 89.8 | 88.0 | 100.0 |
58.0 | 91.9 | 68.5 | 82.8 | 90.4 | 88.4 | 100.0 |
59.0 | 92.4 | 69.4 | 83.1 | 90.7 | 89.1 | 100.0 |
60.0 | 92.9 | 70.3 | 83.8 | 91.1 | 89.7 | 100.0 |
61.0 | 93.5 | 71.3 | 84.8 | 91.6 | 90.2 | 100.0 |
62.0 | 94.0 | 72.4 | 85.9 | 92.1 | 90.7 | 100.0 |
63.0 | 94.3 | 73.0 | 86.3 | 92.4 | 91.1 | 100.0 |
64.0 | 94.8 | 73.7 | 86.8 | 93.1 | 91.6 | 100.0 |
65.0 | 95.2 | 74.2 | 87.3 | 93.7 | 92.2 | 100.0 |
66.0 | 95.3 | 74.9 | 87.3 | 94.2 | 92.5 | 100.0 |
67.0 | 95.8 | 75.7 | 87.7 | 94.5 | 92.9 | 100.0 |
68.0 | 96.0 | 76.3 | 88.2 | 94.8 | 93.2 | 100.0 |
69.0 | 96.0 | 77.1 | 88.4 | 95.0 | 93.7 | 100.0 |
70.0 | 96.1 | 77.6 | 88.7 | 95.5 | 93.8 | 100.0 |
71.0 | 96.3 | 78.4 | 88.9 | 95.8 | 93.9 | 100.0 |
72.0 | 96.4 | 79.0 | 89.1 | 96.0 | 94.5 | 100.0 |
73.0 | 96.5 | 79.7 | 89.7 | 96.2 | 94.9 | 100.0 |
74.0 | 97.0 | 80.7 | 89.8 | 96.4 | 95.0 | 100.0 |
75.0 | 97.4 | 81.3 | 90.2 | 96.6 | 95.3 | 100.0 |
76.0 | 97.5 | 82.0 | 90.5 | 96.6 | 95.4 | 100.0 |
77.0 | 97.7 | 82.8 | 90.6 | 96.8 | 95.5 | 100.0 |
78.0 | 97.9 | 83.6 | 91.1 | 96.9 | 95.6 | 100.0 |
79.0 | 98.2 | 84.6 | 91.5 | 97.2 | 96.0 | 100.0 |
80.0 | 98.3 | 85.4 | 92.1 | 97.4 | 96.2 | 100.0 |
81.0 | 98.6 | 86.3 | 92.8 | 97.5 | 96.5 | 100.0 |
82.0 | 98.7 | 87.2 | 93.4 | 97.6 | 96.9 | 100.0 |
83.0 | 98.7 | 88.2 | 93.8 | 97.8 | 97.3 | 100.0 |
84.0 | 98.9 | 89.1 | 94.2 | 98.0 | 97.5 | 100.0 |
85.0 | 99.0 | 90.2 | 94.6 | 98.3 | 97.7 | 100.0 |
86.0 | 99.1 | 91.0 | 95.0 | 98.4 | 98.0 | 100.0 |
87.0 | 99.3 | 91.5 | 95.7 | 98.6 | 98.2 | 100.0 |
88.0 | 99.4 | 92.4 | 96.1 | 99.0 | 98.4 | 100.0 |
89.0 | 99.5 | 93.1 | 96.5 | 99.1 | 98.5 | 100.0 |
90.0 | 99.5 | 93.6 | 97.0 | 99.3 | 98.7 | 100.0 |
91.0 | 99.7 | 94.8 | 97.5 | 99.4 | 98.9 | 100.0 |
92.0 | 99.7 | 95.5 | 97.9 | 99.4 | 99.0 | 100.0 |
93.0 | 99.7 | 96.3 | 98.2 | 99.4 | 99.2 | 100.0 |
94.0 | 99.7 | 97.1 | 98.6 | 99.6 | 99.2 | 100.0 |
95.0 | 99.7 | 97.8 | 98.8 | 99.6 | 99.4 | 100.0 |
96.0 | 99.8 | 98.2 | 99.2 | 99.7 | 99.4 | 100.0 |
97.0 | 99.8 | 98.7 | 99.4 | 99.8 | 99.6 | 100.0 |
98.0 | 99.9 | 99.1 | 99.6 | 100.0 | 99.8 | 100.0 |
99.0 | 100.0 | 99.6 | 99.9 | 100.0 | 99.8 | 100.0 |
100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |