Calibrating the Single-Counterparty Credit Limit between Systemically Important Financial Institutions - March 4, 2016 - Accessible Version
Figure 1. Average Correlations 2007-2015: SIFI to SIFI and SIFI to non-SIFI
Period | SIFI-SIFI | SIFI-non-SIFI |
---|---|---|
2007w50 | 0.720 | 0.493 |
2007w51 | 0.699 | 0.484 |
2007w52 | 0.698 | 0.484 |
2008w1 | 0.705 | 0.501 |
2008w2 | 0.695 | 0.502 |
2008w3 | 0.699 | 0.523 |
2008w4 | 0.689 | 0.512 |
2008w5 | 0.682 | 0.507 |
2008w9 | 0.662 | 0.489 |
2008w10 | 0.738 | 0.536 |
2008w11 | 0.715 | 0.528 |
2008w12 | 0.822 | 0.638 |
2008w13 | 0.800 | 0.620 |
2008w14 | 0.806 | 0.654 |
2008w15 | 0.808 | 0.660 |
2008w16 | 0.818 | 0.678 |
2008w17 | 0.818 | 0.676 |
2008w18 | 0.818 | 0.675 |
2008w19 | 0.819 | 0.677 |
2008w20 | 0.819 | 0.677 |
2008w21 | 0.821 | 0.680 |
2008w22 | 0.819 | 0.679 |
2008w23 | 0.815 | 0.678 |
2008w24 | 0.814 | 0.677 |
2008w25 | 0.809 | 0.676 |
2008w26 | 0.809 | 0.679 |
2008w27 | 0.806 | 0.675 |
2008w28 | 0.799 | 0.670 |
2008w29 | 0.795 | 0.668 |
2008w30 | 0.792 | 0.665 |
2008w31 | 0.785 | 0.660 |
2008w32 | 0.782 | 0.657 |
2008w33 | 0.777 | 0.651 |
2008w34 | 0.775 | 0.649 |
2008w35 | 0.774 | 0.649 |
2008w36 | 0.764 | 0.643 |
2008w37 | 0.768 | 0.596 |
2008w38 | 0.718 | 0.578 |
2008w39 | 0.696 | 0.538 |
2008w40 | 0.638 | 0.506 |
2008w41 | 0.546 | 0.443 |
2008w42 | 0.528 | 0.340 |
2008w43 | 0.518 | 0.332 |
2008w44 | 0.513 | 0.325 |
2008w45 | 0.496 | 0.323 |
2008w46 | 0.491 | 0.319 |
2008w47 | 0.488 | 0.332 |
2008w48 | 0.487 | 0.327 |
2008w49 | 0.483 | 0.307 |
2008w50 | 0.481 | 0.301 |
2008w51 | 0.482 | 0.311 |
2008w52 | 0.482 | 0.311 |
2009w1 | 0.482 | 0.312 |
2009w2 | 0.475 | 0.283 |
2009w3 | 0.475 | 0.284 |
2009w4 | 0.474 | 0.282 |
2009w5 | 0.471 | 0.279 |
2009w6 | 0.472 | 0.283 |
2009w7 | 0.472 | 0.280 |
2009w8 | 0.486 | 0.283 |
2009w9 | 0.470 | 0.277 |
2009w10 | 0.485 | 0.288 |
2009w11 | 0.500 | 0.304 |
2009w12 | 0.491 | 0.300 |
2009w13 | 0.478 | 0.293 |
2009w14 | 0.477 | 0.293 |
2009w15 | 0.477 | 0.294 |
2009w16 | 0.475 | 0.292 |
2009w17 | 0.470 | 0.289 |
2009w18 | 0.470 | 0.289 |
2009w19 | 0.484 | 0.294 |
2009w20 | 0.484 | 0.294 |
2009w21 | 0.484 | 0.295 |
2009w22 | 0.485 | 0.296 |
2009w23 | 0.483 | 0.295 |
2009w24 | 0.482 | 0.294 |
2009w25 | 0.483 | 0.296 |
2009w26 | 0.482 | 0.296 |
2009w27 | 0.482 | 0.296 |
2009w28 | 0.482 | 0.295 |
2009w29 | 0.485 | 0.299 |
2009w30 | 0.485 | 0.300 |
2009w31 | 0.485 | 0.301 |
2009w32 | 0.485 | 0.301 |
2009w33 | 0.488 | 0.306 |
2009w34 | 0.489 | 0.307 |
2009w35 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w36 | 0.489 | 0.307 |
2009w37 | 0.490 | 0.308 |
2009w38 | 0.490 | 0.307 |
2009w39 | 0.490 | 0.307 |
2009w40 | 0.490 | 0.307 |
2009w41 | 0.490 | 0.307 |
2009w42 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w43 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w44 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w45 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w46 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w47 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w48 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2009w49 | 0.489 | 0.307 |
2009w50 | 0.490 | 0.307 |
2009w51 | 0.489 | 0.307 |
2009w52 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2010w1 | 0.489 | 0.306 |
2010w2 | 0.489 | 0.305 |
2010w3 | 0.489 | 0.307 |
2010w4 | 0.490 | 0.308 |
2010w5 | 0.489 | 0.307 |
2010w6 | 0.486 | 0.303 |
2010w7 | 0.487 | 0.302 |
2010w8 | 0.477 | 0.286 |
2010w9 | 0.478 | 0.287 |
2010w10 | 0.476 | 0.279 |
2010w11 | 0.474 | 0.275 |
2010w12 | 0.471 | 0.269 |
2010w13 | 0.471 | 0.268 |
2010w14 | 0.471 | 0.268 |
2010w15 | 0.471 | 0.267 |
2010w16 | 0.470 | 0.266 |
2010w17 | 0.470 | 0.264 |
2010w18 | 0.470 | 0.264 |
2010w19 | 0.472 | 0.267 |
2010w20 | 0.471 | 0.267 |
2010w21 | 0.473 | 0.269 |
2010w22 | 0.473 | 0.268 |
2010w23 | 0.474 | 0.269 |
2010w24 | 0.474 | 0.267 |
2010w25 | 0.477 | 0.270 |
2010w26 | 0.478 | 0.272 |
2010w27 | 0.478 | 0.272 |
2010w28 | 0.480 | 0.274 |
2010w29 | 0.480 | 0.274 |
2010w30 | 0.480 | 0.275 |
2010w31 | 0.481 | 0.275 |
2010w32 | 0.480 | 0.275 |
2010w33 | 0.454 | 0.263 |
2010w34 | 0.458 | 0.261 |
2010w35 | 0.431 | 0.259 |
2010w36 | 0.439 | 0.259 |
2010w37 | 0.490 | 0.287 |
2010w38 | 0.554 | 0.352 |
2010w39 | 0.569 | 0.357 |
2010w40 | 0.574 | 0.362 |
2010w41 | 0.584 | 0.363 |
2010w42 | 0.587 | 0.364 |
2010w43 | 0.592 | 0.354 |
2010w44 | 0.594 | 0.359 |
2010w45 | 0.600 | 0.372 |
2010w46 | 0.605 | 0.381 |
2010w47 | 0.604 | 0.375 |
2010w48 | 0.605 | 0.377 |
2010w49 | 0.606 | 0.377 |
2010w50 | 0.612 | 0.422 |
2010w51 | 0.614 | 0.423 |
2010w52 | 0.615 | 0.427 |
2011w1 | 0.620 | 0.437 |
2011w2 | 0.624 | 0.440 |
2011w3 | 0.623 | 0.444 |
2011w4 | 0.592 | 0.437 |
2011w5 | 0.630 | 0.453 |
2011w6 | 0.596 | 0.434 |
2011w7 | 0.573 | 0.410 |
2011w8 | 0.606 | 0.426 |
2011w9 | 0.633 | 0.447 |
2011w10 | 0.640 | 0.451 |
2011w11 | 0.646 | 0.453 |
2011w12 | 0.652 | 0.467 |
2011w13 | 0.665 | 0.483 |
2011w14 | 0.668 | 0.489 |
2011w15 | 0.618 | 0.499 |
2011w16 | 0.625 | 0.505 |
2011w17 | 0.631 | 0.505 |
2011w18 | 0.634 | 0.508 |
2011w19 | 0.649 | 0.523 |
2011w20 | 0.654 | 0.526 |
2011w21 | 0.652 | 0.523 |
2011w22 | 0.658 | 0.528 |
2011w23 | 0.660 | 0.529 |
2011w24 | 0.664 | 0.534 |
2011w25 | 0.656 | 0.522 |
2011w26 | 0.658 | 0.519 |
2011w27 | 0.667 | 0.525 |
2011w28 | 0.698 | 0.539 |
2011w29 | 0.681 | 0.520 |
2011w30 | 0.680 | 0.526 |
2011w31 | 0.684 | 0.528 |
2011w32 | 0.719 | 0.568 |
2011w33 | 0.704 | 0.559 |
2011w34 | 0.717 | 0.570 |
2011w35 | 0.702 | 0.556 |
2011w36 | 0.701 | 0.553 |
2011w37 | 0.710 | 0.566 |
2011w38 | 0.716 | 0.574 |
2011w39 | 0.707 | 0.575 |
2011w40 | 0.698 | 0.567 |
2011w41 | 0.707 | 0.572 |
2011w42 | 0.706 | 0.569 |
2011w43 | 0.700 | 0.568 |
2011w44 | 0.700 | 0.568 |
2011w45 | 0.700 | 0.566 |
2011w46 | 0.702 | 0.564 |
2011w47 | 0.713 | 0.572 |
2011w48 | 0.702 | 0.566 |
2011w49 | 0.729 | 0.585 |
2011w50 | 0.729 | 0.584 |
2011w51 | 0.726 | 0.581 |
2011w52 | 0.727 | 0.580 |
2012w1 | 0.728 | 0.581 |
2012w2 | 0.721 | 0.574 |
2012w3 | 0.721 | 0.574 |
2012w4 | 0.727 | 0.577 |
2012w5 | 0.731 | 0.574 |
2012w6 | 0.736 | 0.578 |
2012w7 | 0.738 | 0.577 |
2012w8 | 0.737 | 0.578 |
2012w9 | 0.737 | 0.578 |
2012w10 | 0.736 | 0.578 |
2012w11 | 0.736 | 0.577 |
2012w12 | 0.740 | 0.582 |
2012w13 | 0.741 | 0.586 |
2012w14 | 0.743 | 0.587 |
2012w15 | 0.744 | 0.583 |
2012w16 | 0.745 | 0.585 |
2012w17 | 0.748 | 0.578 |
2012w18 | 0.749 | 0.579 |
2012w19 | 0.749 | 0.578 |
2012w20 | 0.755 | 0.589 |
2012w21 | 0.753 | 0.584 |
2012w22 | 0.752 | 0.582 |
2012w23 | 0.754 | 0.585 |
2012w24 | 0.752 | 0.582 |
2012w25 | 0.752 | 0.581 |
2012w26 | 0.748 | 0.576 |
2012w27 | 0.749 | 0.577 |
2012w28 | 0.751 | 0.578 |
2012w29 | 0.749 | 0.572 |
2012w30 | 0.747 | 0.567 |
2012w31 | 0.750 | 0.569 |
2012w32 | 0.749 | 0.567 |
2012w33 | 0.749 | 0.566 |
2012w34 | 0.750 | 0.566 |
2012w35 | 0.750 | 0.566 |
2012w36 | 0.750 | 0.567 |
2012w37 | 0.751 | 0.570 |
2012w38 | 0.754 | 0.574 |
2012w39 | 0.755 | 0.576 |
2012w40 | 0.755 | 0.579 |
2012w41 | 0.757 | 0.581 |
2012w42 | 0.758 | 0.582 |
2012w43 | 0.757 | 0.582 |
2012w45 | 0.756 | 0.581 |
2012w46 | 0.757 | 0.580 |
2012w47 | 0.757 | 0.579 |
2012w48 | 0.757 | 0.579 |
2012w49 | 0.757 | 0.579 |
2012w50 | 0.757 | 0.578 |
2012w51 | 0.758 | 0.579 |
2012w52 | 0.758 | 0.580 |
2013w2 | 0.758 | 0.581 |
2013w3 | 0.758 | 0.581 |
2013w4 | 0.759 | 0.579 |
2013w5 | 0.759 | 0.579 |
2013w6 | 0.759 | 0.579 |
2013w7 | 0.760 | 0.577 |
2013w8 | 0.759 | 0.577 |
2013w9 | 0.759 | 0.576 |
2013w10 | 0.760 | 0.577 |
2013w11 | 0.760 | 0.577 |
2013w12 | 0.761 | 0.578 |
2013w13 | 0.761 | 0.579 |
2013w14 | 0.759 | 0.578 |
2013w15 | 0.759 | 0.577 |
2013w16 | 0.759 | 0.576 |
2013w17 | 0.759 | 0.577 |
2013w18 | 0.760 | 0.578 |
2013w19 | 0.759 | 0.577 |
2013w20 | 0.759 | 0.577 |
2013w21 | 0.760 | 0.578 |
2013w22 | 0.760 | 0.578 |
2013w23 | 0.761 | 0.579 |
2013w24 | 0.760 | 0.578 |
2013w25 | 0.763 | 0.586 |
2013w26 | 0.764 | 0.587 |
2013w27 | 0.763 | 0.587 |
2013w28 | 0.762 | 0.586 |
2013w29 | 0.763 | 0.587 |
2013w30 | 0.750 | 0.561 |
2013w31 | 0.762 | 0.568 |
2013w32 | 0.752 | 0.557 |
2013w33 | 0.765 | 0.571 |
2013w34 | 0.767 | 0.576 |
2013w35 | 0.762 | 0.565 |
2013w36 | 0.760 | 0.562 |
2013w37 | 0.766 | 0.559 |
2013w38 | 0.772 | 0.561 |
2013w39 | 0.770 | 0.562 |
2013w40 | 0.772 | 0.568 |
2013w41 | 0.782 | 0.572 |
2013w42 | 0.783 | 0.575 |
2013w43 | 0.782 | 0.573 |
2013w44 | 0.780 | 0.573 |
2013w45 | 0.774 | 0.569 |
2013w46 | 0.785 | 0.573 |
2013w47 | 0.743 | 0.545 |
2013w48 | 0.740 | 0.546 |
2013w49 | 0.748 | 0.549 |
2013w50 | 0.748 | 0.551 |
2013w51 | 0.748 | 0.551 |
2013w52 | 0.765 | 0.562 |
2014w1 | 0.766 | 0.564 |
2014w2 | 0.751 | 0.553 |
2014w3 | 0.754 | 0.566 |
2014w4 | 0.752 | 0.566 |
2014w5 | 0.746 | 0.571 |
2014w6 | 0.751 | 0.576 |
2014w7 | 0.760 | 0.580 |
2014w8 | 0.765 | 0.583 |
2014w9 | 0.768 | 0.585 |
2014w10 | 0.765 | 0.581 |
2014w11 | 0.766 | 0.584 |
2014w12 | 0.766 | 0.585 |
2014w13 | 0.759 | 0.587 |
2014w14 | 0.760 | 0.587 |
2014w15 | 0.765 | 0.593 |
2014w16 | 0.763 | 0.591 |
2014w17 | 0.766 | 0.593 |
2014w18 | 0.747 | 0.571 |
2014w19 | 0.746 | 0.563 |
2014w20 | 0.747 | 0.565 |
2014w21 | 0.743 | 0.561 |
2014w22 | 0.741 | 0.559 |
2014w23 | 0.747 | 0.571 |
2014w24 | 0.757 | 0.577 |
2014w25 | 0.753 | 0.578 |
2014w26 | 0.758 | 0.586 |
2014w27 | 0.763 | 0.597 |
2014w28 | 0.774 | 0.618 |
2014w29 | 0.758 | 0.615 |
2014w30 | 0.758 | 0.615 |
2014w31 | 0.760 | 0.623 |
2014w33 | 0.760 | 0.623 |
2014w34 | 0.763 | 0.626 |
2014w35 | 0.763 | 0.628 |
2014w36 | 0.758 | 0.617 |
2014w37 | 0.755 | 0.610 |
2014w38 | 0.749 | 0.605 |
2014w39 | 0.763 | 0.621 |
2014w40 | 0.763 | 0.622 |
2014w41 | 0.765 | 0.624 |
2014w42 | 0.769 | 0.624 |
2014w43 | 0.770 | 0.625 |
2014w44 | 0.769 | 0.624 |
2014w45 | 0.777 | 0.631 |
2014w46 | 0.778 | 0.630 |
2014w47 | 0.779 | 0.630 |
2014w48 | 0.782 | 0.632 |
2014w49 | 0.776 | 0.624 |
2014w50 | 0.779 | 0.625 |
2014w51 | 0.778 | 0.625 |
2014w52 | 0.781 | 0.630 |
2015w1 | 0.786 | 0.636 |
2015w2 | 0.785 | 0.636 |
2015w3 | 0.784 | 0.634 |
2015w4 | 0.783 | 0.641 |
2015w5 | 0.788 | 0.644 |
2015w6 | 0.791 | 0.647 |
2015w7 | 0.790 | 0.644 |
2015w8 | 0.794 | 0.646 |
2015w9 | 0.793 | 0.646 |
2015w10 | 0.792 | 0.645 |
2015w11 | 0.799 | 0.649 |
2015w12 | 0.797 | 0.653 |
2015w13 | 0.797 | 0.651 |
2015w14 | 0.795 | 0.649 |
2015w15 | 0.782 | 0.639 |
2015w16 | 0.784 | 0.640 |
2015w17 | 0.782 | 0.641 |
2015w18 | 0.781 | 0.643 |
2015w19 | 0.780 | 0.641 |
2015w20 | 0.777 | 0.635 |
2015w21 | 0.782 | 0.637 |
2015w22 | 0.716 | 0.530 |
Figure 2. 90th Percentile Correlations 2007-2015: SIFI to SIFI and SIFI to Non-SIFI
Period | SIFI-SIFI | SIFI-non-SIFI |
---|---|---|
2007w50 | 0.867 | 0.700 |
2007w51 | 0.840 | 0.685 |
2007w52 | 0.840 | 0.682 |
2008w1 | 0.844 | 0.691 |
2008w2 | 0.836 | 0.686 |
2008w3 | 0.831 | 0.696 |
2008w4 | 0.842 | 0.691 |
2008w5 | 0.837 | 0.686 |
2008w9 | 0.841 | 0.691 |
2008w10 | 0.884 | 0.746 |
2008w11 | 0.852 | 0.732 |
2008w12 | 0.927 | 0.823 |
2008w13 | 0.926 | 0.807 |
2008w14 | 0.923 | 0.825 |
2008w15 | 0.918 | 0.825 |
2008w16 | 0.923 | 0.835 |
2008w17 | 0.923 | 0.833 |
2008w18 | 0.923 | 0.832 |
2008w19 | 0.922 | 0.831 |
2008w20 | 0.922 | 0.831 |
2008w21 | 0.923 | 0.831 |
2008w22 | 0.918 | 0.830 |
2008w23 | 0.917 | 0.827 |
2008w24 | 0.915 | 0.825 |
2008w25 | 0.910 | 0.823 |
2008w26 | 0.909 | 0.823 |
2008w27 | 0.908 | 0.819 |
2008w28 | 0.907 | 0.813 |
2008w29 | 0.901 | 0.811 |
2008w30 | 0.896 | 0.809 |
2008w31 | 0.897 | 0.806 |
2008w32 | 0.895 | 0.802 |
2008w33 | 0.893 | 0.797 |
2008w34 | 0.893 | 0.796 |
2008w35 | 0.892 | 0.795 |
2008w36 | 0.891 | 0.794 |
2008w37 | 0.915 | 0.776 |
2008w38 | 0.911 | 0.756 |
2008w39 | 0.879 | 0.721 |
2008w40 | 0.858 | 0.697 |
2008w41 | 0.870 | 0.662 |
2008w42 | 0.857 | 0.596 |
2008w43 | 0.856 | 0.593 |
2008w44 | 0.855 | 0.589 |
2008w45 | 0.855 | 0.582 |
2008w46 | 0.855 | 0.579 |
2008w47 | 0.849 | 0.596 |
2008w48 | 0.849 | 0.590 |
2008w49 | 0.850 | 0.557 |
2008w50 | 0.844 | 0.551 |
2008w51 | 0.844 | 0.559 |
2008w52 | 0.843 | 0.556 |
2009w1 | 0.843 | 0.558 |
2009w2 | 0.838 | 0.520 |
2009w3 | 0.824 | 0.519 |
2009w4 | 0.822 | 0.517 |
2009w5 | 0.800 | 0.513 |
2009w6 | 0.801 | 0.514 |
2009w7 | 0.797 | 0.512 |
2009w8 | 0.808 | 0.509 |
2009w9 | 0.805 | 0.501 |
2009w10 | 0.821 | 0.510 |
2009w11 | 0.837 | 0.528 |
2009w12 | 0.837 | 0.518 |
2009w13 | 0.842 | 0.509 |
2009w14 | 0.828 | 0.507 |
2009w15 | 0.823 | 0.506 |
2009w16 | 0.822 | 0.502 |
2009w17 | 0.808 | 0.500 |
2009w18 | 0.807 | 0.501 |
2009w19 | 0.816 | 0.501 |
2009w20 | 0.813 | 0.499 |
2009w21 | 0.813 | 0.501 |
2009w22 | 0.813 | 0.501 |
2009w23 | 0.812 | 0.500 |
2009w24 | 0.809 | 0.499 |
2009w25 | 0.809 | 0.500 |
2009w26 | 0.806 | 0.499 |
2009w27 | 0.806 | 0.499 |
2009w28 | 0.806 | 0.498 |
2009w29 | 0.809 | 0.500 |
2009w30 | 0.811 | 0.499 |
2009w31 | 0.811 | 0.500 |
2009w32 | 0.808 | 0.499 |
2009w33 | 0.809 | 0.505 |
2009w34 | 0.809 | 0.505 |
2009w35 | 0.809 | 0.505 |
2009w36 | 0.809 | 0.505 |
2009w37 | 0.807 | 0.506 |
2009w38 | 0.805 | 0.505 |
2009w39 | 0.805 | 0.505 |
2009w40 | 0.804 | 0.505 |
2009w41 | 0.804 | 0.504 |
2009w42 | 0.804 | 0.503 |
2009w43 | 0.804 | 0.503 |
2009w44 | 0.804 | 0.503 |
2009w45 | 0.804 | 0.503 |
2009w46 | 0.805 | 0.502 |
2009w47 | 0.805 | 0.502 |
2009w48 | 0.805 | 0.503 |
2009w49 | 0.806 | 0.504 |
2009w50 | 0.804 | 0.504 |
2009w51 | 0.803 | 0.503 |
2009w52 | 0.803 | 0.502 |
2010w1 | 0.804 | 0.502 |
2010w2 | 0.804 | 0.501 |
2010w3 | 0.804 | 0.503 |
2010w4 | 0.804 | 0.504 |
2010w5 | 0.803 | 0.505 |
2010w6 | 0.805 | 0.501 |
2010w7 | 0.807 | 0.503 |
2010w8 | 0.823 | 0.490 |
2010w9 | 0.823 | 0.491 |
2010w10 | 0.821 | 0.488 |
2010w11 | 0.821 | 0.487 |
2010w12 | 0.819 | 0.480 |
2010w13 | 0.819 | 0.481 |
2010w14 | 0.819 | 0.480 |
2010w15 | 0.819 | 0.480 |
2010w16 | 0.818 | 0.480 |
2010w17 | 0.819 | 0.478 |
2010w18 | 0.819 | 0.478 |
2010w19 | 0.819 | 0.481 |
2010w20 | 0.819 | 0.480 |
2010w21 | 0.819 | 0.482 |
2010w22 | 0.819 | 0.481 |
2010w23 | 0.820 | 0.481 |
2010w24 | 0.820 | 0.482 |
2010w25 | 0.821 | 0.486 |
2010w26 | 0.821 | 0.486 |
2010w27 | 0.822 | 0.487 |
2010w28 | 0.822 | 0.489 |
2010w29 | 0.821 | 0.489 |
2010w30 | 0.822 | 0.490 |
2010w31 | 0.822 | 0.490 |
2010w32 | 0.822 | 0.490 |
2010w33 | 0.822 | 0.485 |
2010w34 | 0.822 | 0.487 |
2010w35 | 0.808 | 0.492 |
2010w36 | 0.817 | 0.489 |
2010w37 | 0.746 | 0.516 |
2010w38 | 0.799 | 0.537 |
2010w39 | 0.819 | 0.544 |
2010w40 | 0.819 | 0.546 |
2010w41 | 0.820 | 0.551 |
2010w42 | 0.818 | 0.550 |
2010w43 | 0.840 | 0.538 |
2010w44 | 0.840 | 0.546 |
2010w45 | 0.842 | 0.556 |
2010w46 | 0.846 | 0.570 |
2010w47 | 0.843 | 0.564 |
2010w48 | 0.843 | 0.566 |
2010w49 | 0.844 | 0.567 |
2010w50 | 0.852 | 0.600 |
2010w51 | 0.853 | 0.600 |
2010w52 | 0.853 | 0.607 |
2011w1 | 0.852 | 0.615 |
2011w2 | 0.868 | 0.617 |
2011w3 | 0.871 | 0.622 |
2011w4 | 0.862 | 0.616 |
2011w5 | 0.864 | 0.633 |
2011w6 | 0.855 | 0.613 |
2011w7 | 0.827 | 0.584 |
2011w8 | 0.833 | 0.606 |
2011w9 | 0.845 | 0.620 |
2011w10 | 0.841 | 0.625 |
2011w11 | 0.841 | 0.632 |
2011w12 | 0.844 | 0.648 |
2011w13 | 0.857 | 0.657 |
2011w14 | 0.857 | 0.664 |
2011w15 | 0.819 | 0.663 |
2011w16 | 0.825 | 0.676 |
2011w17 | 0.821 | 0.674 |
2011w18 | 0.820 | 0.676 |
2011w19 | 0.820 | 0.687 |
2011w20 | 0.830 | 0.695 |
2011w21 | 0.826 | 0.685 |
2011w22 | 0.826 | 0.692 |
2011w23 | 0.827 | 0.696 |
2011w24 | 0.825 | 0.700 |
2011w25 | 0.815 | 0.686 |
2011w26 | 0.820 | 0.683 |
2011w27 | 0.825 | 0.687 |
2011w28 | 0.844 | 0.694 |
2011w29 | 0.824 | 0.670 |
2011w30 | 0.820 | 0.677 |
2011w31 | 0.820 | 0.680 |
2011w32 | 0.849 | 0.717 |
2011w33 | 0.852 | 0.706 |
2011w34 | 0.854 | 0.716 |
2011w35 | 0.854 | 0.706 |
2011w36 | 0.855 | 0.703 |
2011w37 | 0.851 | 0.713 |
2011w38 | 0.855 | 0.720 |
2011w39 | 0.852 | 0.722 |
2011w40 | 0.864 | 0.723 |
2011w41 | 0.861 | 0.727 |
2011w42 | 0.859 | 0.723 |
2011w43 | 0.858 | 0.724 |
2011w44 | 0.854 | 0.723 |
2011w45 | 0.855 | 0.722 |
2011w46 | 0.864 | 0.719 |
2011w47 | 0.872 | 0.725 |
2011w48 | 0.865 | 0.723 |
2011w49 | 0.880 | 0.737 |
2011w50 | 0.879 | 0.737 |
2011w51 | 0.881 | 0.734 |
2011w52 | 0.882 | 0.734 |
2012w1 | 0.881 | 0.735 |
2012w2 | 0.877 | 0.731 |
2012w3 | 0.877 | 0.731 |
2012w4 | 0.881 | 0.732 |
2012w5 | 0.877 | 0.729 |
2012w6 | 0.880 | 0.731 |
2012w7 | 0.882 | 0.732 |
2012w8 | 0.883 | 0.733 |
2012w9 | 0.883 | 0.733 |
2012w10 | 0.882 | 0.732 |
2012w11 | 0.882 | 0.732 |
2012w12 | 0.884 | 0.734 |
2012w13 | 0.884 | 0.742 |
2012w14 | 0.886 | 0.741 |
2012w15 | 0.883 | 0.737 |
2012w16 | 0.883 | 0.740 |
2012w17 | 0.889 | 0.734 |
2012w18 | 0.894 | 0.736 |
2012w19 | 0.893 | 0.735 |
2012w20 | 0.897 | 0.740 |
2012w21 | 0.895 | 0.736 |
2012w22 | 0.895 | 0.735 |
2012w23 | 0.895 | 0.735 |
2012w24 | 0.897 | 0.733 |
2012w25 | 0.892 | 0.733 |
2012w26 | 0.886 | 0.728 |
2012w27 | 0.887 | 0.730 |
2012w28 | 0.887 | 0.732 |
2012w29 | 0.888 | 0.729 |
2012w30 | 0.888 | 0.725 |
2012w31 | 0.888 | 0.725 |
2012w32 | 0.888 | 0.724 |
2012w33 | 0.887 | 0.723 |
2012w34 | 0.888 | 0.724 |
2012w35 | 0.888 | 0.724 |
2012w36 | 0.888 | 0.723 |
2012w37 | 0.889 | 0.725 |
2012w38 | 0.888 | 0.728 |
2012w39 | 0.888 | 0.729 |
2012w40 | 0.887 | 0.730 |
2012w41 | 0.888 | 0.730 |
2012w42 | 0.888 | 0.730 |
2012w43 | 0.889 | 0.730 |
2012w45 | 0.890 | 0.729 |
2012w46 | 0.890 | 0.729 |
2012w47 | 0.889 | 0.728 |
2012w48 | 0.889 | 0.729 |
2012w49 | 0.889 | 0.729 |
2012w50 | 0.889 | 0.729 |
2012w51 | 0.892 | 0.730 |
2012w52 | 0.891 | 0.731 |
2013w2 | 0.890 | 0.732 |
2013w3 | 0.889 | 0.732 |
2013w4 | 0.889 | 0.732 |
2013w5 | 0.889 | 0.733 |
2013w6 | 0.889 | 0.733 |
2013w7 | 0.889 | 0.733 |
2013w8 | 0.889 | 0.732 |
2013w9 | 0.889 | 0.732 |
2013w10 | 0.889 | 0.734 |
2013w11 | 0.890 | 0.733 |
2013w12 | 0.890 | 0.734 |
2013w13 | 0.890 | 0.736 |
2013w14 | 0.890 | 0.735 |
2013w15 | 0.890 | 0.733 |
2013w16 | 0.890 | 0.733 |
2013w17 | 0.890 | 0.733 |
2013w18 | 0.890 | 0.734 |
2013w19 | 0.890 | 0.734 |
2013w20 | 0.890 | 0.734 |
2013w21 | 0.890 | 0.734 |
2013w22 | 0.890 | 0.735 |
2013w23 | 0.890 | 0.736 |
2013w24 | 0.890 | 0.735 |
2013w25 | 0.892 | 0.736 |
2013w26 | 0.891 | 0.738 |
2013w27 | 0.891 | 0.739 |
2013w28 | 0.892 | 0.739 |
2013w29 | 0.892 | 0.740 |
2013w30 | 0.893 | 0.714 |
2013w31 | 0.894 | 0.720 |
2013w32 | 0.889 | 0.710 |
2013w33 | 0.902 | 0.725 |
2013w34 | 0.904 | 0.731 |
2013w35 | 0.904 | 0.725 |
2013w36 | 0.904 | 0.722 |
2013w37 | 0.900 | 0.718 |
2013w38 | 0.880 | 0.711 |
2013w39 | 0.891 | 0.709 |
2013w40 | 0.892 | 0.716 |
2013w41 | 0.889 | 0.723 |
2013w42 | 0.893 | 0.726 |
2013w43 | 0.893 | 0.727 |
2013w44 | 0.895 | 0.728 |
2013w45 | 0.888 | 0.722 |
2013w46 | 0.904 | 0.729 |
2013w47 | 0.878 | 0.698 |
2013w48 | 0.874 | 0.696 |
2013w49 | 0.874 | 0.701 |
2013w50 | 0.872 | 0.702 |
2013w51 | 0.872 | 0.702 |
2013w52 | 0.872 | 0.715 |
2014w1 | 0.875 | 0.717 |
2014w2 | 0.872 | 0.700 |
2014w3 | 0.874 | 0.709 |
2014w4 | 0.872 | 0.705 |
2014w5 | 0.868 | 0.706 |
2014w6 | 0.871 | 0.714 |
2014w7 | 0.876 | 0.716 |
2014w8 | 0.878 | 0.719 |
2014w9 | 0.882 | 0.721 |
2014w10 | 0.880 | 0.718 |
2014w11 | 0.881 | 0.721 |
2014w12 | 0.881 | 0.722 |
2014w13 | 0.877 | 0.731 |
2014w14 | 0.887 | 0.733 |
2014w15 | 0.895 | 0.738 |
2014w16 | 0.898 | 0.737 |
2014w17 | 0.900 | 0.738 |
2014w18 | 0.886 | 0.723 |
2014w19 | 0.890 | 0.720 |
2014w20 | 0.891 | 0.724 |
2014w21 | 0.894 | 0.719 |
2014w22 | 0.897 | 0.719 |
2014w23 | 0.894 | 0.735 |
2014w24 | 0.890 | 0.739 |
2014w25 | 0.907 | 0.737 |
2014w26 | 0.907 | 0.743 |
2014w27 | 0.909 | 0.751 |
2014w28 | 0.902 | 0.760 |
2014w29 | 0.892 | 0.758 |
2014w30 | 0.894 | 0.759 |
2014w31 | 0.898 | 0.766 |
2014w33 | 0.898 | 0.766 |
2014w34 | 0.897 | 0.767 |
2014w35 | 0.903 | 0.770 |
2014w36 | 0.899 | 0.758 |
2014w37 | 0.903 | 0.756 |
2014w38 | 0.901 | 0.750 |
2014w39 | 0.904 | 0.764 |
2014w40 | 0.901 | 0.764 |
2014w41 | 0.902 | 0.767 |
2014w42 | 0.911 | 0.767 |
2014w43 | 0.919 | 0.767 |
2014w44 | 0.918 | 0.767 |
2014w45 | 0.920 | 0.773 |
2014w46 | 0.922 | 0.772 |
2014w47 | 0.922 | 0.774 |
2014w48 | 0.922 | 0.779 |
2014w49 | 0.921 | 0.777 |
2014w50 | 0.920 | 0.777 |
2014w51 | 0.923 | 0.776 |
2014w52 | 0.924 | 0.780 |
2015w1 | 0.926 | 0.785 |
2015w2 | 0.925 | 0.786 |
2015w3 | 0.926 | 0.785 |
2015w4 | 0.926 | 0.787 |
2015w5 | 0.928 | 0.792 |
2015w6 | 0.928 | 0.792 |
2015w7 | 0.926 | 0.791 |
2015w8 | 0.926 | 0.794 |
2015w9 | 0.925 | 0.794 |
2015w10 | 0.923 | 0.794 |
2015w11 | 0.922 | 0.800 |
2015w12 | 0.925 | 0.802 |
2015w13 | 0.927 | 0.803 |
2015w14 | 0.927 | 0.801 |
2015w15 | 0.923 | 0.794 |
2015w16 | 0.924 | 0.797 |
2015w17 | 0.925 | 0.798 |
2015w18 | 0.924 | 0.799 |
2015w19 | 0.923 | 0.797 |
2015w20 | 0.924 | 0.792 |
2015w21 | 0.926 | 0.795 |
2015w22 | 0.900 | 0.703 |
Figure 3. The Inter-SIFI Limit Under Alternative Correlation Assumptions
Inter-SIFI limit | Default probablity: SIFI to non-SIFI exposure |
Default probability: SIFI to SIFI exposure, corr=0.99 |
Default probability: SIFI to SIFI exposure, corr=0.85 |
Default probability: SIFI to SIFI exposure, corr=0.7 |
---|---|---|---|---|
0.000000 | 0.012000 | 0.010400 | 0.010400 | 0.010400 |
0.002525 | 0.012000 | 0.010434 | 0.010426 | 0.010419 |
0.005051 | 0.012000 | 0.010463 | 0.010449 | 0.010437 |
0.007576 | 0.012000 | 0.010495 | 0.010475 | 0.010452 |
0.010101 | 0.012000 | 0.010527 | 0.010499 | 0.010469 |
0.012626 | 0.012000 | 0.010556 | 0.010522 | 0.010487 |
0.015152 | 0.012000 | 0.010584 | 0.010547 | 0.010506 |
0.017677 | 0.012000 | 0.010614 | 0.010572 | 0.010523 |
0.020202 | 0.012000 | 0.010645 | 0.010595 | 0.010541 |
0.022727 | 0.012000 | 0.010675 | 0.010618 | 0.010559 |
0.025253 | 0.012000 | 0.010706 | 0.010642 | 0.010574 |
0.027778 | 0.012000 | 0.010738 | 0.010666 | 0.010592 |
0.030303 | 0.012000 | 0.010770 | 0.010690 | 0.010609 |
0.032828 | 0.012000 | 0.010798 | 0.010712 | 0.010624 |
0.035354 | 0.012000 | 0.010829 | 0.010737 | 0.010642 |
0.037879 | 0.012000 | 0.010859 | 0.010763 | 0.010658 |
0.040404 | 0.012000 | 0.010889 | 0.010787 | 0.010674 |
0.042929 | 0.012000 | 0.010921 | 0.010810 | 0.010690 |
0.045455 | 0.012000 | 0.010952 | 0.010836 | 0.010708 |
0.047980 | 0.012000 | 0.010982 | 0.010864 | 0.010725 |
0.050505 | 0.012000 | 0.011012 | 0.010886 | 0.010743 |
0.053030 | 0.012000 | 0.011044 | 0.010909 | 0.010762 |
0.055556 | 0.012000 | 0.011073 | 0.010932 | 0.010778 |
0.058081 | 0.012000 | 0.011105 | 0.010960 | 0.010794 |
0.060606 | 0.012000 | 0.011136 | 0.010984 | 0.010812 |
0.063131 | 0.012000 | 0.011167 | 0.011008 | 0.010829 |
0.065657 | 0.012000 | 0.011199 | 0.011032 | 0.010847 |
0.068182 | 0.012000 | 0.011229 | 0.011057 | 0.010864 |
0.070707 | 0.012000 | 0.011263 | 0.011083 | 0.010880 |
0.073232 | 0.012000 | 0.011295 | 0.011109 | 0.010898 |
0.075758 | 0.012000 | 0.011328 | 0.011134 | 0.010916 |
0.078283 | 0.012000 | 0.011362 | 0.011158 | 0.010935 |
0.080808 | 0.012000 | 0.011392 | 0.011184 | 0.010953 |
0.083333 | 0.012000 | 0.011425 | 0.011208 | 0.010970 |
0.085859 | 0.012000 | 0.011457 | 0.011234 | 0.010988 |
0.088384 | 0.012000 | 0.011490 | 0.011260 | 0.011006 |
0.090909 | 0.012000 | 0.011521 | 0.011285 | 0.011024 |
0.093434 | 0.012000 | 0.011552 | 0.011310 | 0.011043 |
0.095960 | 0.012000 | 0.011584 | 0.011334 | 0.011062 |
0.098485 | 0.012000 | 0.011615 | 0.011358 | 0.011078 |
0.101010 | 0.012000 | 0.011647 | 0.011382 | 0.011095 |
0.103535 | 0.012000 | 0.011681 | 0.011408 | 0.011114 |
0.106061 | 0.012000 | 0.011715 | 0.011430 | 0.011132 |
0.108586 | 0.012000 | 0.011748 | 0.011457 | 0.011153 |
0.111111 | 0.012000 | 0.011780 | 0.011481 | 0.011173 |
0.113636 | 0.012000 | 0.011810 | 0.011505 | 0.011193 |
0.116162 | 0.012000 | 0.011841 | 0.011527 | 0.011211 |
0.118687 | 0.012000 | 0.011872 | 0.011553 | 0.011228 |
0.121212 | 0.012000 | 0.011902 | 0.011577 | 0.011247 |
0.123737 | 0.012000 | 0.011931 | 0.011603 | 0.011266 |
0.126263 | 0.012000 | 0.011964 | 0.011629 | 0.011284 |
0.128788 | 0.012000 | 0.011996 | 0.011657 | 0.011304 |
0.131313 | 0.012000 | 0.012029 | 0.011682 | 0.011323 |
0.133838 | 0.012000 | 0.012062 | 0.011705 | 0.011343 |
0.136364 | 0.012000 | 0.012091 | 0.011733 | 0.011360 |
0.138889 | 0.012000 | 0.012121 | 0.011759 | 0.011378 |
0.141414 | 0.012000 | 0.012156 | 0.011784 | 0.011397 |
0.143939 | 0.012000 | 0.012188 | 0.011808 | 0.011414 |
0.146465 | 0.012000 | 0.012218 | 0.011833 | 0.011434 |
0.148990 | 0.012000 | 0.012254 | 0.011858 | 0.011453 |
0.151515 | 0.012000 | 0.012285 | 0.011883 | 0.011471 |
0.154040 | 0.012000 | 0.012316 | 0.011909 | 0.011490 |
0.156566 | 0.012000 | 0.012348 | 0.011934 | 0.011507 |
0.159091 | 0.012000 | 0.012383 | 0.011955 | 0.011524 |
0.161616 | 0.012000 | 0.012414 | 0.011981 | 0.011543 |
0.164141 | 0.012000 | 0.012451 | 0.012006 | 0.011561 |
0.166667 | 0.012000 | 0.012486 | 0.012031 | 0.011582 |
0.169192 | 0.012000 | 0.012520 | 0.012057 | 0.011602 |
0.171717 | 0.012000 | 0.012551 | 0.012083 | 0.011618 |
0.174242 | 0.012000 | 0.012583 | 0.012110 | 0.011637 |
0.176768 | 0.012000 | 0.012616 | 0.012140 | 0.011659 |
0.179293 | 0.012000 | 0.012648 | 0.012165 | 0.011675 |
0.181818 | 0.012000 | 0.012684 | 0.012191 | 0.011694 |
0.184343 | 0.012000 | 0.012716 | 0.012216 | 0.011714 |
0.186869 | 0.012000 | 0.012750 | 0.012242 | 0.011734 |
0.189394 | 0.012000 | 0.012784 | 0.012269 | 0.011752 |
0.191919 | 0.012000 | 0.012817 | 0.012297 | 0.011771 |
0.194444 | 0.012000 | 0.012850 | 0.012323 | 0.011788 |
0.196970 | 0.012000 | 0.012881 | 0.012349 | 0.011807 |
0.199495 | 0.012000 | 0.012917 | 0.012374 | 0.011827 |
0.202020 | 0.012000 | 0.012947 | 0.012402 | 0.011850 |
0.204545 | 0.012000 | 0.012978 | 0.012427 | 0.011871 |
0.207071 | 0.012000 | 0.013009 | 0.012454 | 0.011891 |
0.209596 | 0.012000 | 0.013041 | 0.012482 | 0.011909 |
0.212121 | 0.012000 | 0.013073 | 0.012507 | 0.011928 |
0.214646 | 0.012000 | 0.013105 | 0.012535 | 0.011948 |
0.217172 | 0.012000 | 0.013142 | 0.012558 | 0.011967 |
0.219697 | 0.012000 | 0.013175 | 0.012588 | 0.011986 |
0.222222 | 0.012000 | 0.013206 | 0.012613 | 0.012007 |
0.224747 | 0.012000 | 0.013239 | 0.012639 | 0.012027 |
0.227273 | 0.012000 | 0.013273 | 0.012667 | 0.012046 |
0.229798 | 0.012000 | 0.013304 | 0.012696 | 0.012064 |
0.232323 | 0.012000 | 0.013339 | 0.012724 | 0.012084 |
0.234848 | 0.012000 | 0.013373 | 0.012750 | 0.012102 |
0.237374 | 0.012000 | 0.013407 | 0.012776 | 0.012122 |
0.239899 | 0.012000 | 0.013442 | 0.012802 | 0.012143 |
0.242424 | 0.012000 | 0.013476 | 0.012828 | 0.012164 |
0.244949 | 0.012000 | 0.013506 | 0.012856 | 0.012183 |
0.247475 | 0.012000 | 0.013538 | 0.012884 | 0.012201 |
0.250000 | 0.012000 | 0.013577 | 0.012911 | 0.012222 |
Last update: March 21, 2016