Finance and Economics Discussion Series: 2009-12 Screen Reader version
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Heterogeneous Car Buyers: A Stylized Fact
Ana Aizcorbe, Benjamin Bridgman, Jeremy Nalewaik
Figure 1 data: Price Contours, 2000-2003 Model Year Vehicles
Date | 1st Mean Prices by Model Year | 2nd Mean Prices by Model Year | 3rd Mean Prices by Model Year | 4th Mean Prices by Model Year |
1999, Q3 | 23499.580465 | | | |
1999, Q4 | 23316.206472 | | | |
2000, Q1 | 22952.044462 | | | |
2000, Q2 | 22207.503876 | | | |
2000, Q3 | 22218.624545 | 24311.676441 | | |
2000, Q4 | 22285.209685 | 23565.940094 | | |
2001, Q1 | | 23083.048097 | | |
2001, Q2 | | 22961.652871 | | |
2001, Q3 | | 22402.206855 | 25042.58458 | |
2001, Q4 | | 22853.835892 | 24067.64322 | |
2002, Q1 | | | 23334.685987 | |
2002, Q2 | | | 23279.213033 | |
2002, Q3 | | | 22936.750018 | 25542.43694 |
2002, Q4 | | | 22389.782923 | 24748.188671 |
2003, Q1 | | | | 23937.600609 |
2003, Q2 | | | | 23189.250747 |
2003, Q3 | | | | 22854.619695 |
2003, Q4 | | | | 22436.99876 |
Figure 2 data: JDPower and NOP World Transaction Counts, 2000-2003 Model Year Vehicles
Date | 1st JDPower Transaction Counts by Model Year | 2nd JDPower Transaction Counts by Model Year | 3rd JDPower Transaction Counts by Model Year | 4th JDPower Transaction Counts by Model Year | 1st NOP World Transaction Counts | 2nd NOP World Transaction Counts | 3rd NOP World Transaction Counts | 4th NOP World Transaction Counts |
1999, Q3 | 50978 | | | | 685 | | | |
1999, Q4 | 196911 | | | | 1641 | | | |
2000, Q1 | 276196 | | | | 2268 | | | |
2000, Q2 | 303721 | | | | 1823 | | | |
2000, Q3 | 291540 | 61075 | | | 3192 | 738 | | |
2000, Q4 | 80360 | 243850 | | | 1674 | 2022 | | |
2001, Q1 | | 356021 | | | | 3167 | | |
2001, Q2 | | 430427 | | | | 3113 | | |
2001, Q3 | | 372541 | 110297 | | | 2912 | 978 | |
2001, Q4 | | 110151 | 414487 | | | 1702 | 2903 | |
2002, Q1 | | | 436488 | | | | 3307 | |
2002, Q2 | | | 487892 | | | | 3421 | |
2002, Q3 | | | 465439 | 96103 | | | 3095 | 739 |
2002, Q4 | | | 95289 | 330241 | | | 1499 | 2108 |
2003, Q1 | | | | 463069 | | | | 3048 |
2003, Q2 | | | | 523042 | | | | 3118 |
2003, Q3 | | | | 497705 | | | | 3005 |
2003, Q4 | | | | 136035 | | | | 1500 |
Figure 3 data: Price and Income Contours, 2000-2003 Model Year Vehicles
Date | 1st Mean Prices by Model Year | 2nd Mean Prices by Model Year | 3rd Mean Prices by Model Year | 4th Mean Prices by Model Year | 1st Mean Buyer Incomes | 1st lower SE bands | 1st upper SE bands | 2nd Mean Buyer Incomes | 2nd lower SE bands | 2nd upper SE bands | 3rd Mean Buyer Incomes | 3rd lower SE bands | 3rd upper SE bands | 4th Mean Buyer Incomes | 4th lower SE bands | 4th upper SE bands |
1999, Q3 | 23499.580465 | | | | 72094.890511 | 68671.718077312 | 75518.062944688 | | | | | | | | | |
1999, Q4 | 23316.206472 | | | | 74213.893967 | 71885.769786968 | 76542.018147032 | | | | | | | | | |
2000, Q1 | 22952.044462 | | | | 70938.602293 | 69075.5362507052 | 72801.6683352948 | | | | | | | | | |
2000, Q2 | 22207.503876 | | | | 69264.947888 | 67146.419514528 | 71383.476261472 | | | | | | | | | |
2000, Q3 | 22218.624545 | 24311.676441 | | | 66060.072055 | 64635.0398644236 | 67485.1042455764 | 76180.555556 | 72850.38071682 | 79510.73039518 | | | | | | |
2000, Q4 | 22285.209685 | 23565.940094 | | | 64097.222222 | 62207.1746690008 | 65987.2697749992 | 73453.882295 | 71443.684857892 | 75464.079732108 | | | | | | |
2001, Q1 | | 23083.048097 | | | | | | 73218.345437 | 71581.4275805268 | 74855.2632934732 | | | | | | |
2001, Q2 | | 22961.652871 | | | | | | 70042.161902 | 68528.5163849184 | 71555.8074190816 | | | | | | |
2001, Q3 | | 22402.206855 | 25042.58458 | | | | | 66706.730769 | 65154.9829357084 | 68258.4786022916 | 74179.447853 | 71335.472766096 | 77023.422939904 | | | |
2001, Q4 | | 22853.835892 | 24067.64322 | | | | | 68316.686251 | 66224.649228708 | 70408.723273292 | 75012.917671 | 73388.022091966 | 76637.813250034 | | | |
2002, Q1 | | | 23334.685987 | | | | | | | | 74202.44935 | 72669.9353994884 | 75734.9633005116 | | | |
2002, Q2 | | | 23279.213033 | | | | | | | | 73397.033031 | 71852.5480337448 | 74941.5180282552 | | | |
2002, Q3 | | | 22936.750018 | 25542.43694 | | | | | | | 70529.07916 | 68986.4527672408 | 72071.7055527592 | 78704.330176 | 75045.254544096 | 82363.405807904 |
2002, Q4 | | | 22389.782923 | 24748.188671 | | | | | | | 69138.592395 | 66866.012716708 | 71411.172073292 | 77212.998102 | 75188.889508444 | 79237.106695556 |
2003, Q1 | | | | 23937.600609 | | | | | | | | | | 73942.339239 | 72251.9076277512 | 75632.7708502488 |
2003, Q2 | | | | 23189.250747 | | | | | | | | | | 73136.225144 | 71511.728495526 | 74760.721792474 |
2003, Q3 | | | | 22854.619695 | | | | | | | | | | 71117.304493 | 69504.0404087416 | 72730.5685772584 |
2003, Q4 | | | | 22436.99876 | | | | | | | | | | 69060.833333 | 66832.469098904 | 71289.197567096 |
Figure 4 data: Cumulative Distribution Functions, Cumulative Purchases Over Model Year, by Selected Income Classes
| Income from $20,000 to $25,000 (10th percentile) | Income from $50,000 to $60,000 (50th percentile) | Income from $100,000 to $150,000 (90th percentile) |
Year prior: Q1 | 0.1407954945 | 0.2465078061 | 0.3043478261 |
Year prior: Q2 | 0.4927842309 | 1.0408107368 | 1.3152173913 |
Year prior: Q3 | 4.9630411827 | 6.8200493016 | 7.5543478261 |
Year prior: Q4 | 18.8313973957 | 22.6239386466 | 24.7500000001 |
Year of: Q1 | 42.8370292157 | 46.7680087646 | 50.2608695651 |
Year of: Q2 | 64.6603308697 | 67.5294439876 | 71.1195652171 |
Year of: Q3 | 87.3988032387 | 89.4686387286 | 90.4239130431 |
Year of: Q4 | 100.0000000007 | 99.9999999996 | 99.9999999996 |
Figure 5 data: Income Contours with Standard Errors, 2000-2003 Model Year Vehicles
Date | 1st Mean Buyer Incomes by Model Year | 2nd Mean Buyer Incomes by Model Year | 3rd Mean Buyer Incomes by Model Year | 4th Mean Buyer Incomes by Model Year | Mean Buyer Income (over all model years) |
1999, Q3 | 72094.890511 | | | | 67190.836299 |
1999, Q4 | 74213.893967 | | | | 70727.597145 |
2000, Q1 | 70938.602293 | | | | 70932.974989 |
2000, Q2 | 69264.947888 | | | | 69231.820667 |
2000, Q3 | 66060.072055 | 76180.555556 | | | 67960.559796 |
2000, Q4 | 64097.222222 | 73453.882295 | | | 69216.044372 |
2001, Q1 | | 73218.345437 | | | 73354.114713 |
2001, Q2 | | 70042.161902 | | | 70870.481005 |
2001, Q3 | | 66706.730769 | 74179.447853 | | 68585.475578 |
2001, Q4 | | 68316.686251 | 75012.917671 | | 72538.002172 |
2002, Q1 | | | 74202.44935 | | 74409.124629 |
2002, Q2 | | | 73397.033031 | | 73755.554013 |
2002, Q3 | | | 70529.07916 | 78704.330176 | 72104.85133 |
2002, Q4 | | | 69138.592395 | 77212.998102 | 73857.429997 |
2003, Q1 | | | | 73942.339239 | 74237.171159 |
2003, Q2 | | | | 73136.225144 | 73956.605223 |
2003, Q3 | | | | 71117.304493 | 73396.423752 |
2003, Q4 | | | | 69060.833333 | 74135.561343 |
Figure 6 data: De-Meaned Price and Income Contours, with Standard Errors for Income, 2000-2003 Model Year Vehicles
Date | 1st Normalized Price Means | 2nd Normalized Price Means | 3rd Normalized Price Means | 4th Normalized Price Means | 1st Normalized Mean Buyer Income | 1st lower SE band | 1st upper SE band | 2nd Normalized Mean Buyer Income | 2nd lower SE band | 2nd upper SE band | 3rd Normalized Mean Buyer Income | 3rd lower SE band | 3rd upper SE band | 4th Normalized Mean Buyer Income | 4th lower SE band | 4th upper SE band |
1999, Q3 | 407.83813388 | | | | 2221.5920514 | -904.711906608 | 5347.896009408 | | | | | | | | | |
1999, Q4 | 250.47363881 | | | | 3718.5445638 | 1552.78210466 | 5884.30702294 | | | | | | | | | |
2000, Q1 | 202.46681089 | | | | 1699.0711324 | -29.8836119392001 | 3428.0258767392 | | | | | | | | | |
2000, Q2 | 136.21464221 | | | | 1127.1866707 | -813.3578355528 | 3067.7311769528 | | | | | | | | | |
2000, Q3 | -229.9771925 | 599.98974684 | | | -2141.308847 | -3464.8560479536 | -817.7616460464 | 2313.9355627 | -739.46677488 | 5367.33790028 | | | | | | |
2000, Q4 | -430.9559582 | 383.38942421 | | | -4085.945782 | -5876.1530235556 | -2295.7385404444 | 2381.3222476 | 509.25967669 | 4253.38481851 | | | | | | |
2001, Q1 | | 90.145070069 | | | | | | 2431.3907911 | 905.1532560764 | 3957.6283261236 | | | | | | |
2001, Q2 | | -61.45801177 | | | | | | -601.3315276 | -1985.5500961972 | 782.8870409972 | | | | | | |
2001, Q3 | | -398.6921621 | 618.2433978 | | | | | -3364.338878 | -4808.6126464928 | -1920.0651095072 | -241.7236946 | -2924.109301592 | 2440.661912392 | | | |
2001, Q4 | | -82.5737676 | 642.97845383 | | | | | -1386.826296 | -3346.2609690644 | 572.6083770644 | 1762.1523753 | 242.8058708984 | 3281.4988797016 | | | |
2002, Q1 | | | -41.88898927 | | | | | | | | 1237.7352767 | -205.5468871424 | 2681.0174405424 | | | |
2002, Q2 | | | -272.1233544 | | | | | | | | -121.9077293 | -1566.0515768604 | 1322.2361182604 | | | |
2002, Q3 | | | -173.8009915 | 1108.9366114 | | | | | | | -1913.322139 | -3354.1674915452 | -472.4767864548 | 1799.2865606 | -1675.73618976 | 5274.30931096 |
2002, Q4 | | | -680.8713467 | 689.48868858 | | | | | | | -2607.011222 | -4773.843749216 | -440.178694784 | 2376.6690277 | 472.1421059816 | 4281.1959494184 |
2003, Q1 | | | | 177.52395216 | | | | | | | | | | -106.9703984 | -1689.0167378708 | 1475.0759410708 |
2003, Q2 | | | | -56.02433426 | | | | | | | | | | 462.0776224 | -1078.8171118684 | 2002.9723566684 |
2003, Q3 | | | | -495.9369903 | | | | | | | | | | -1417.226939 | -2919.6065817444 | 85.1527037444 |
2003, Q4 | | | | -926.0028173 | | | | | | | | | | -2724.741125 | -4832.4958181 | -616.9864319 |