Finance and Economics Discussion Series: 2010-06 Screen Reader version
♣
The Finances of American Households in the
Past Three Recessions: Evidence
from the Survey of Consumer Finances
Data for Figures
Figure 1, Top left panel. Total Payroll Employment
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 98.41 | 99.15 | 99.17 |
-11 | 98.45 | 99.37 | 99.3 |
-10 | 98.68 | 99.54 | 99.32 |
-9 | 98.78 | 99.5 | 99.46 |
-8 | 99.03 | 99.62 | 99.48 |
-7 | 99.12 | 99.63 | 99.59 |
-6 | 99.43 | 99.72 | 99.63 |
-5 | 99.65 | 99.71 | 99.59 |
-4 | 99.85 | 99.88 | 99.57 |
-3 | 99.89 | 99.99 | 99.64 |
-2 | 100.02 | 99.98 | 99.76 |
-1 | 100.04 | 100.02 | 99.91 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.81 | 99.79 | 99.95 |
2 | 99.74 | 99.75 | 99.84 |
3 | 99.59 | 99.66 | 99.76 |
4 | 99.46 | 99.56 | 99.64 |
5 | 99.4 | 99.44 | 99.54 |
6 | 99.29 | 99.26 | 99.42 |
7 | 99.02 | 99.01 | 99.33 |
8 | 98.87 | 98.79 | 99.2 |
9 | 98.68 | 98.66 | 98.97 |
10 | 98.56 | 98.56 | 98.7 |
11 | 98.64 | 98.45 | 98.26 |
12 | 98.6 | 98.43 | 97.77 |
13 | 98.61 | 98.37 | 97.24 |
14 | 98.64 | 98.36 | 96.74 |
15 | 98.65 | 98.39 | 96.27 |
16 | 98.6 | 98.32 | 95.9 |
17 | 98.62 | 98.31 | 95.68 |
18 | 98.67 | 98.27 | 95.34 |
19 | 98.61 | 98.36 | 95.14 |
20 | 98.65 | 98.37 | 94.98 |
Figure 1, Top right panel. Real Income from Wages and Salary
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 97.47 | 97.3 | 99.38 |
-11 | 97.35 | 97.51 | 99.91 |
-10 | 97.65 | 97.08 | 100.1 |
-9 | 98.42 | 97.52 | 100.25 |
-8 | 98.24 | 98.53 | 99.85 |
-7 | 98.4 | 98.74 | 99.62 |
-6 | 98.31 | 98.77 | 99.77 |
-5 | 98.91 | 98.82 | 99.66 |
-4 | 99.12 | 98.65 | 99.68 |
-3 | 99.67 | 98.46 | 100.06 |
-2 | 99.26 | 99.37 | 100.03 |
-1 | 99.6 | 99.81 | 100.05 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.1 | 99.21 | 99.7 |
2 | 99.2 | 98.62 | 99.49 |
3 | 98.12 | 98.34 | 99.36 |
4 | 98.08 | 98.19 | 98.99 |
5 | 98.68 | 98.01 | 98.79 |
6 | 97.8 | 98.18 | 98.19 |
7 | 97.68 | 97.72 | 97.88 |
8 | 97.79 | 97.94 | 98.17 |
9 | 97.85 | 98.23 | 97.83 |
10 | 97.78 | 98.45 | 98.31 |
11 | 98.6 | 98.44 | 99.18 |
12 | 98.04 | 98.51 | 99.13 |
13 | 98.11 | 98.27 | 96.65 |
14 | 98.45 | 98.42 | 95.44 |
15 | 98.01 | 98.75 | 94.91 |
16 | 98.24 | 98.07 | 94.55 |
17 | 98.9 | 98.06 | 94.38 |
18 | 98.66 | 98.01 | 93.61 |
19 | 99.59 | 97.75 | 93.72 |
Figure 1, Middle left panel. Real Disposable Personal Income
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 97.2 | 97.17 | 99.44 |
-11 | 97.45 | 97.58 | 99.27 |
-10 | 97.71 | 97.91 | 99.56 |
-9 | 98.11 | 98.12 | 99.76 |
-8 | 98.23 | 98.57 | 99.62 |
-7 | 98.26 | 99.04 | 99.61 |
-6 | 98.75 | 99.12 | 99.74 |
-5 | 99.04 | 99.08 | 99.83 |
-4 | 99.04 | 98.95 | 100.1 |
-3 | 99.65 | 99.15 | 100.29 |
-2 | 99.47 | 99.63 | 100.28 |
-1 | 99.67 | 99.78 | 100.01 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.49 | 99.65 | 99.75 |
2 | 99.51 | 99.43 | 99.47 |
3 | 98.8 | 99.51 | 99.27 |
4 | 98.9 | 101.08 | 99.32 |
5 | 99.3 | 102.91 | 104.45 |
6 | 99.06 | 102.19 | 101.76 |
7 | 99.3 | 100.52 | 100.21 |
8 | 99.54 | 100.85 | 99.27 |
9 | 99.89 | 101.25 | 99.36 |
10 | 99.87 | 103.51 | 99.65 |
11 | 100.39 | 103.61 | 100.7 |
12 | 100.1 | 103.65 | 100.99 |
13 | 100.21 | 103.94 | 101.2 |
14 | 100.48 | 104.17 | 100.21 |
15 | 100.63 | 104.37 | 100.11 |
16 | 100.7 | 103.94 | 100.98 |
17 | 101.41 | 103.76 | 102.52 |
18 | 102.1 | 103.72 | 100.86 |
19 | 102.55 | 103.83 | 100.81 |
Figure 1, Middle right panel. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 97.44 | 97.57 | 98.45 |
-11 | 98.4 | 97.43 | 98.83 |
-10 | 98.24 | 97.88 | 98.91 |
-9 | 98.2 | 98.08 | 99.09 |
-8 | 98.26 | 98.17 | 99.19 |
-7 | 99.06 | 98.66 | 99.25 |
-6 | 99.53 | 99.44 | 99.23 |
-5 | 99.01 | 99.4 | 99.42 |
-4 | 99.33 | 99.48 | 99.79 |
-3 | 99.55 | 100.01 | 99.87 |
-2 | 99.49 | 99.98 | 99.88 |
-1 | 99.81 | 100.1 | 100.09 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 100.02 | 100.1 | 99.92 |
2 | 99.96 | 100.54 | 99.71 |
3 | 99.39 | 100.58 | 99.89 |
4 | 99.3 | 100.79 | 99.99 |
5 | 98.96 | 101.37 | 99.84 |
6 | 98.13 | 100.37 | 99.74 |
7 | 98.76 | 102.79 | 99.14 |
8 | 99.91 | 102.32 | 99.11 |
9 | 99.55 | 102.17 | 98.65 |
10 | 99.77 | 102.52 | 98.36 |
11 | 99.74 | 102.93 | 98.44 |
12 | 100.17 | 102.88 | 97.79 |
13 | 99.99 | 103.38 | 98.36 |
14 | 100.04 | 103 | 98.45 |
15 | 99.66 | 103.52 | 98.22 |
16 | 100.13 | 104.1 | 98.04 |
17 | 100.26 | 104.22 | 98.09 |
18 | 101.65 | 103.69 | 98.26 |
19 | 101.71 | 103.98 | 98.47 |
Figure 1, Bottom left panel. Real Residential Investment
Months from NBER Peak | 1990:Q3 Peak | 2001:Q1 Peak | 2007:Q4 Peak |
-8 | 126.38 | 102.85 | 157.53 |
-7 | 126.27 | 103.37 | 155.2 |
-6 | 123.95 | 103.69 | 147.07 |
-5 | 118.72 | 104.38 | 137.58 |
-4 | 116.79 | 104.27 | 130.27 |
-3 | 113.43 | 103.1 | 123.52 |
-2 | 112.88 | 100.71 | 118.4 |
-1 | 107.38 | 100.24 | 110.5 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 93.23 | 100.92 | 91.22 |
2 | 87.12 | 101.45 | 86.55 |
3 | 88.64 | 100.54 | 81.94 |
4 | 91.62 | 102.98 | 77.7 |
5 | 92.89 | 104.69 | 69.15 |
6 | 96.87 | 104.77 | 64.5 |
7 | 99.89 | 105.87 | ND |
8 | 99.46 | 106.13 | ND |
9 | 102.22 | 108.46 | ND |
Figure 1, Bottom right panel. Sales of New Homes
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 134.87 | 95.85 | 161.23 |
-11 | 128.6 | 89.56 | 143.94 |
-10 | 117.9 | 91.27 | 133.76 |
-9 | 119 | 84.45 | 134.57 |
-8 | 126.2 | 94.46 | 143.3 |
-7 | 116.24 | 90.31 | 136.03 |
-6 | 114.39 | 97.12 | 128.11 |
-5 | 109.04 | 99.36 | 125.69 |
-4 | 105.9 | 93.72 | 112.92 |
-3 | 100 | 104.69 | 110.82 |
-2 | 98.52 | 99.68 | 117.45 |
-1 | 100.55 | 102.56 | 103.55 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 97.42 | 96.81 | 98.22 |
2 | 91.51 | 94.25 | 93.05 |
3 | 85.79 | 93.93 | 82.23 |
4 | 90.96 | 93.72 | 86.11 |
5 | 85.61 | 92.23 | 82.23 |
6 | 73.99 | 90.84 | 78.84 |
7 | 88.93 | 92.76 | 80.78 |
8 | 93.54 | 98.4 | 71.73 |
9 | 93.73 | 104.26 | 70.44 |
10 | 95.39 | 93.72 | 66.07 |
11 | 95.2 | 100.96 | 63 |
12 | 94.28 | 98.3 | 60.42 |
13 | 97.05 | 99.68 | 53.15 |
14 | 89.85 | 104.15 | 57.19 |
15 | 96.68 | 101.92 | 53.63 |
16 | 106.09 | 101.81 | 55.74 |
17 | 102.95 | 107.99 | 59.94 |
18 | 124.72 | 111.18 | 64.62 |
19 | 117.9 | 107.14 | 68.82 |
20 | 102.21 | 109.05 | 69.31 |
Figure 2, Top left panel. Personal Saving Rate
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 1 |
-11 | -0.87 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
-10 | -0.49 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
-9 | -0.11 | 0 | 0.8 |
-8 | -0.06 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
-7 | -0.78 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
-6 | -0.71 | -0.4 | 0.4 |
-5 | 0.04 | -0.4 | 0.3 |
-4 | -0.26 | -0.6 | 0.2 |
-3 | 0.12 | -0.9 | 0.3 |
-2 | 0 | -0.4 | 0.3 |
-1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
Peak | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | -0.49 | -0.5 | -0.1 |
2 | -0.41 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
3 | -0.55 | -1 | -0.4 |
4 | -0.39 | 0.3 | -0.6 |
5 | 0.27 | 1.5 | 4.4 |
6 | 0.76 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
7 | 0.39 | -2.1 | 1.2 |
8 | -0.43 | -1.3 | 0.3 |
9 | 0.22 | -0.7 | 0.8 |
10 | 0.01 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
11 | 0.52 | 0.9 | 2.4 |
12 | -0.15 | 0.9 | 3.3 |
13 | 0.12 | 0.7 | 3 |
14 | 0.34 | 1.3 | 2 |
15 | 0.79 | 1 | 2.1 |
16 | 0.44 | 0.1 | 3.1 |
17 | 0.98 | -0.2 | 4.5 |
18 | 0.47 | 0.3 | 2.8 |
19 | 0.83 | 0.1 | 2.6 |
Figure 2, Top right panel. Household Net Worth
Months from NBER Peak | 1990:Q3 Peak | 2001:Q1 Peak | 2007:Q4 Peak |
-8 | 90.19 | 93.45 | 92.04 |
-7 | 92.24 | 96.85 | 95.29 |
-6 | 94.31 | 95.7 | 94.42 |
-5 | 96.35 | 104.17 | 95.79 |
-4 | 99.25 | 107.43 | 99.1 |
-3 | 100.81 | 106.13 | 100.73 |
-2 | 100.69 | 106.9 | 102.21 |
-1 | 101.9 | 103.49 | 102.25 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 102.45 | 103.24 | 96.15 |
2 | 106.17 | 98.51 | 94.79 |
3 | 106.02 | 102.65 | 90.48 |
4 | 107.39 | 104.17 | 82.8 |
5 | 110.43 | 100.86 | 80.02 |
6 | 110.94 | 96.63 | 83.15 |
7 | 110.92 | 99.77 | ND |
8 | 112.24 | 99.97 | ND |
9 | 115.47 | 105.17 | ND |
Figure 2, Middle left panel. Stock Prices
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 99.79 | 134.29 | 96.21 |
-11 | 101.67 | 127.2 | 98.06 |
-10 | 101.25 | 122.61 | 96.3 |
-9 | 98.11 | 127.92 | 97.23 |
-8 | 99.51 | 125.22 | 100.9 |
-7 | 101.05 | 134.14 | 104.34 |
-6 | 93.47 | 127.87 | 102.64 |
-5 | 94.59 | 125.07 | 99.08 |
-4 | 96.72 | 112.5 | 100.19 |
-3 | 93.74 | 114.37 | 103.66 |
-2 | 101.89 | 118.65 | 105.76 |
-1 | 101.18 | 107.32 | 100.76 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 90.23 | 108.14 | 93.77 |
2 | 85.08 | 109.06 | 90.8 |
3 | 83.74 | 107.15 | 89.96 |
4 | 89.09 | 105.29 | 94.41 |
5 | 91.64 | 98.77 | 96.23 |
6 | 95.89 | 89.83 | 88.22 |
7 | 102.97 | 92.03 | 87.36 |
8 | 105.89 | 98.93 | 88.56 |
9 | 106.01 | 100.58 | 80.13 |
10 | 109.9 | 99.24 | 65.92 |
11 | 104.76 | 97.06 | 60.36 |
12 | 109.5 | 101.22 | 61.32 |
13 | 112.13 | 96.2 | 56.25 |
14 | 110.63 | 94.93 | 50.43 |
15 | 112.49 | 88.15 | 54.75 |
16 | 107.85 | 80.94 | 60.48 |
17 | 119.41 | 81.29 | 63.49 |
18 | 119.01 | 73.02 | 63.6 |
19 | 120.3 | 78.5 | 68.47 |
20 | 117.05 | 83.1 | 70.75 |
21 | 118.45 | 78.37 | 73.63 |
Figure 2, Middle right panel. Stock Prices
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 96.6 | 92.69 | 109.26 |
-11 | 96.95 | 93.74 | 109.01 |
-10 | 97.17 | 94.9 | 108.63 |
-9 | 97.24 | 95.81 | 108.57 |
-8 | 97.17 | 96.68 | 108.41 |
-7 | 97.1 | 97.16 | 108.5 |
-6 | 96.67 | 97.55 | 108.38 |
-5 | 97.03 | 97.88 | 108.03 |
-4 | 97.38 | 98.03 | 106.9 |
-3 | 98.23 | 98.08 | 105.13 |
-2 | 99.01 | 98.08 | 103.09 |
-1 | 99.65 | 98.94 | 101.67 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.79 | 101.01 | 98.17 |
2 | 99.29 | 102.21 | 96.88 |
3 | 98.87 | 103.37 | 96.54 |
4 | 98.37 | 104.43 | 96.85 |
5 | 98.16 | 104.96 | 97.1 |
6 | 97.66 | 105.05 | 96.98 |
7 | 98.51 | 105.1 | 96.28 |
8 | 99.72 | 105.25 | 94.87 |
9 | 101.27 | 105.58 | 93.57 |
10 | 102.2 | 105.97 | 92.25 |
11 | 102.76 | 106.83 | 90.61 |
12 | 102.9 | 107.94 | 88.22 |
13 | 102.55 | 109.24 | 86.49 |
14 | 101.91 | 110.64 | 85.86 |
15 | 101.42 | 112.18 | 86.52 |
16 | 101.42 | 113.43 | 87.81 |
17 | 101.13 | 114.24 | 89.17 |
18 | 100.92 | 114.73 | 90.02 |
19 | 101.27 | 115.11 | 90.58 |
20 | 102.27 | 115.69 | 90.74 |
Figure 2, Bottom left panel. Home Mortgage Debt
Months from NBER Peak | 1990:Q3 Peak | 2001:Q1 Peak | 2007:Q4 Peak |
-8 | 81.71 | 84.33 | 84.45 |
-7 | 83.97 | 86.32 | 87.24 |
-6 | 85.36 | 88.74 | 90.08 |
-5 | 87.72 | 90.41 | 92.35 |
-4 | 90.34 | 91.68 | 93.78 |
-3 | 92.37 | 93.96 | 95.59 |
-2 | 95.42 | 96.31 | 97.48 |
-1 | 97.9 | 98.26 | 98.8 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 101.74 | 103.28 | 100.6 |
2 | 103.37 | 106.38 | 100.56 |
3 | 105.86 | 108.64 | 100.17 |
4 | 106.84 | 111.45 | 99.48 |
5 | 109.02 | 115.07 | 99.48 |
6 | 110.68 | 119.03 | 99.2 |
7 | 112.02 | 123.19 | ND |
8 | 114.26 | 126.67 | ND |
9 | 116.1 | 131.92 | ND |
Figure 2, Bottom right panel. Consumer Credit
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 96.2 | 88.8 | 94.65 |
-11 | 96.53 | 89.4 | 94.87 |
-10 | 96.89 | 90.08 | 95.36 |
-9 | 97.36 | 91.48 | 95.87 |
-8 | 97.94 | 92.54 | 96.08 |
-7 | 98.48 | 93.69 | 96.7 |
-6 | 98.86 | 94.65 | 97.16 |
-5 | 98.99 | 95.63 | 97.65 |
-4 | 98.99 | 96.53 | 98.45 |
-3 | 98.99 | 97.52 | 98.86 |
-2 | 99.12 | 98.31 | 99.26 |
-1 | 99.5 | 99.32 | 99.74 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 100.23 | 100.9 | 100.3 |
2 | 100.44 | 101.32 | 100.67 |
3 | 100.71 | 101.91 | 101.14 |
4 | 100.84 | 102.13 | 101.58 |
5 | 100.17 | 102.56 | 101.75 |
6 | 99.96 | 103.01 | 102.18 |
7 | 100.02 | 103.92 | 102.46 |
8 | 100.18 | 105.46 | 102.25 |
9 | 100.12 | 106.02 | 102.34 |
10 | 100.12 | 106.1 | 102.2 |
11 | 99.89 | 106.89 | 101.79 |
12 | 99.65 | 107.65 | 101.57 |
13 | 99.4 | 108.28 | 101.78 |
14 | 99.26 | 108.89 | 101.27 |
15 | 98.98 | 109.56 | 100.63 |
16 | 98.93 | 110.2 | 99.94 |
17 | 98.9 | 110.61 | 99.59 |
18 | 99.02 | 110.77 | 98.97 |
19 | 99.1 | 111.12 | 98.12 |
Figure 3, Top left panel. Mortgage Delinquency Rate
Months from NBER Peak | 1990:Q3 Peak | 2001:Q1 Peak | 2007:Q4 Peak |
-8 | 0.12 | -0.07 | -0.46 |
-7 | 0.12 | -0.08 | -0.47 |
-6 | 0.11 | -0.1 | -0.57 |
-5 | 0.05 | -0.11 | -0.54 |
-4 | 0.04 | -0.12 | -0.52 |
-3 | 0.04 | -0.13 | -0.5 |
-2 | -0.01 | -0.1 | -0.37 |
-1 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.22 |
Peak | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.15 |
2 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.35 |
3 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.72 |
4 | 0.1 | 0.13 | 1.27 |
5 | 0.1 | 0.21 | 2.05 |
6 | 0.1 | 0.25 | 2.4 |
7 | 0.12 | 0.19 | ND |
8 | 0.11 | 0.17 | ND |
9 | 0.05 | 0.26 | ND |
Figure 3, Top right panel. Credit Card Delinquency Rate
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | -0.59 | -0.61 | -0.51 |
-11 | -0.76 | -0.52 | -0.51 |
-10 | -1.02 | -0.58 | -0.53 |
-9 | -0.94 | -0.6 | -0.57 |
-8 | -1.07 | -0.5 | -0.56 |
-7 | -0.81 | -0.53 | -0.5 |
-6 | -0.74 | -0.42 | -0.47 |
-5 | -0.64 | -0.36 | -0.47 |
-4 | -0.82 | -0.31 | -0.34 |
-3 | -0.17 | -0.25 | -0.2 |
-2 | -0.27 | -0.19 | -0.13 |
-1 | -0.11 | -0.05 | -0.08 |
Peak | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 |
2 | 0.49 | 0.09 | 0.07 |
3 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.17 |
4 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.24 |
5 | 0.67 | 0.12 | 0.31 |
6 | 0.45 | -0.09 | 0.36 |
7 | 0.67 | 0.1 | 0.44 |
8 | 0.65 | 0.08 | 0.47 |
9 | 0.59 | 0.2 | 0.53 |
10 | 0.64 | 0.19 | 0.66 |
11 | 0.54 | 0.22 | 0.87 |
12 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 1.19 |
13 | 0.24 | 0.07 | 1.41 |
14 | 0.45 | -0.02 | 1.62 |
15 | 0.58 | 0.08 | 1.94 |
16 | 0.47 | 0.06 | 2.08 |
17 | 0.48 | 0.16 | 1.85 |
18 | 0.58 | 0.25 | 1.78 |
19 | 0.5 | 0.27 | 1.72 |
20 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 1.72 |
Figure 3, Middle left panel. Prime Auto Loan Charge-Off Rate
Months from NBER Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 0.04 | -0.41 |
-11 | -0.35 | -0.39 |
-10 | -0.24 | -0.53 |
-9 | -0.38 | -0.55 |
-8 | -0.32 | -0.64 |
-7 | -0.09 | -0.62 |
-6 | -0.18 | -0.5 |
-5 | 0.05 | -0.37 |
-4 | 0.07 | -0.29 |
-3 | 0.07 | -0.35 |
-2 | 0.2 | -0.19 |
-1 | 0.08 | -0.07 |
Peak | 0 | 0 |
1 | -0.14 | 0.02 |
2 | -0.22 | -0.04 |
3 | -0.14 | -0.04 |
4 | -0.09 | -0.24 |
5 | -0.07 | -0.11 |
6 | -0.04 | 0.08 |
7 | 0.25 | 0.32 |
8 | 0.15 | 0.35 |
9 | 0.32 | 0.35 |
10 | 0.08 | 0.66 |
11 | 0.1 | 0.54 |
12 | 0.05 | 0.95 |
13 | 0.13 | 0.89 |
14 | -0.1 | 0.77 |
15 | 0.27 | 0.61 |
16 | 0.01 | 0.4 |
17 | -0.08 | 0.35 |
18 | 0.09 | 0.47 |
19 | 0.32 | 0.38 |
Figure 3, Middle right panel. Mortgage Delinquency Rate
Months from NBER Peak | 2001:Q1 Peak | 2007:Q4 Peak |
-8 | -6.46 | ND |
-7 | -41.7 | ND |
-6 | -40.08 | ND |
-5 | -56.36 | -55.28 |
-4 | -60.99 | -47.41 |
-3 | -52.42 | -43.05 |
-2 | -21.75 | -33.81 |
-1 | -30.44 | -17.46 |
Peak | 0 | 0 |
1 | 19.1 | 8.4 |
2 | 5.5 | 26.79 |
3 | 28.85 | 48.66 |
4 | 22.23 | 71.12 |
5 | 18.66 | 97.59 |
6 | 35.71 | 121.39 |
7 | 42.94 | ND |
8 | 55.61 | ND |
9 | 54.72 | ND |
Figure 3, Bottom left panel. Consumer Sentiment
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 104.31 | 117.05 | 121.46 |
-11 | 101.59 | 119.34 | 128.34 |
-10 | 108.62 | 120.98 | 120.93 |
-9 | 106.46 | 116.28 | 117.09 |
-8 | 103.06 | 118.36 | 115.36 |
-7 | 102.61 | 117.27 | 116.95 |
-6 | 105.44 | 116.72 | 112.98 |
-5 | 101.47 | 115.63 | 119.74 |
-4 | 103.51 | 117.6 | 110.46 |
-3 | 106.46 | 107.54 | 110.46 |
-2 | 102.72 | 103.5 | 107.15 |
-1 | 100.11 | 99.02 | 100.79 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 86.62 | 96.61 | 103.84 |
2 | 82.54 | 100.55 | 93.77 |
3 | 72.45 | 101.2 | 92.05 |
4 | 74.83 | 100.98 | 82.91 |
5 | 74.26 | 100 | 79.21 |
6 | 75.74 | 89.4 | 74.7 |
7 | 79.82 | 90.38 | 81.06 |
8 | 99.43 | 91.69 | 83.44 |
9 | 92.74 | 97.05 | 93.11 |
10 | 88.78 | 101.64 | 76.29 |
11 | 93.08 | 99.13 | 73.25 |
12 | 93.99 | 104.59 | 79.6 |
13 | 92.97 | 101.64 | 81.06 |
14 | 94.1 | 105.9 | 74.57 |
15 | 88.78 | 100.98 | 75.89 |
16 | 78.34 | 96.28 | 86.23 |
17 | 77.32 | 95.74 | 90.99 |
18 | 76.53 | 94.1 | 93.77 |
19 | 78 | 88.09 | 87.42 |
20 | 86.17 | 92.02 | 87.02 |
21 | 87.53 | 94.75 | 97.35 |
Figure 3, Bottom right panel. Consumer Confidence
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 118.39 | 117.28 | 121.41 |
-11 | 113.47 | 117.79 | 121.63 |
-10 | 114.36 | 123.78 | 122.74 |
-9 | 115.04 | 119.08 | 119.43 |
-8 | 113.18 | 122.33 | 117.33 |
-7 | 111.11 | 120.44 | 119.76 |
-6 | 104.72 | 121.9 | 116.23 |
-5 | 104.92 | 116.17 | 123.51 |
-4 | 108.75 | 113.43 | 116.56 |
-3 | 105.51 | 110.01 | 109.82 |
-2 | 105.51 | 98.97 | 105.08 |
-1 | 100.69 | 93.41 | 96.91 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 83.28 | 94.01 | 96.36 |
2 | 84.17 | 99.32 | 84.33 |
3 | 61.55 | 101.71 | 72.74 |
4 | 60.67 | 99.49 | 69.32 |
5 | 60.18 | 97.52 | 64.13 |
6 | 54.18 | 82.98 | 56.29 |
7 | 58.41 | 72.97 | 57.28 |
8 | 79.74 | 72.63 | 64.57 |
9 | 78.07 | 80.92 | 67.77 |
10 | 75.12 | 83.66 | 42.83 |
11 | 76.7 | 81.27 | 49.34 |
12 | 76.4 | 94.7 | 42.6 |
13 | 74.83 | 92.81 | 41.28 |
14 | 71.68 | 94.35 | 27.92 |
15 | 59.1 | 90.93 | 29.69 |
16 | 51.82 | 83.32 | 45.03 |
17 | 51.62 | 80.84 | 60.49 |
18 | 49.36 | 80.15 | 54.42 |
19 | 46.51 | 68.09 | 52.32 |
20 | 55.56 | 72.63 | 60.15 |
21 | 64.01 | 69.03 | 58.61 |
Figure 4: Household Net Worth in the Survey of the Consumer Finances, 1989-2009
Survey Year | Mean Net Worth | Median Net Worth |
1989 | 299.4 | 75.5 |
Jul 90 | 279.5 | 73.6 |
1992 | 270 | 71.7 |
1995 | 286.7 | 78.2 |
1998 | 360.1 | 91.3 |
Mar 01 | 463.1 | 98.6 |
2001 | 464.8 | 101.3 |
Nov 02 | 435 | 105.7 |
2004 | 493.5 | 102.3 |
2007 | 557.8 | 120.6 |
Jun 09 | 401.8 | 84 |
Figure 5: Changes in Net Worth Across the Net Worth Distributions
| Jul 90 to Nov 92 (1992 SCF) | Mar 01 to Nov 02 | Nov 07 (2007 SCF) to Jun 09 |
25th | 12 | 6 | -41 |
50th | -3 | 7 | -30 |
75th | -5 | 1 | -23 |
95th | -6 | -7 | -29 |
Appendix A,Top left panel. Transfer Payments
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 95.11 | 92.94 | 96.77 |
-11 | 95.72 | 93.79 | 98.16 |
-10 | 96.23 | 95.97 | 98.73 |
-9 | 96.59 | 94.98 | 98.62 |
-8 | 97.17 | 95.15 | 98.02 |
-7 | 96.76 | 95.82 | 98.06 |
-6 | 98.88 | 95.87 | 98.03 |
-5 | 98.81 | 95.93 | 98.4 |
-4 | 98.93 | 95.57 | 99.28 |
-3 | 99.5 | 97.09 | 99.28 |
-2 | 99.53 | 98.69 | 99.3 |
-1 | 100 | 99.16 | 98.77 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.62 | 101.35 | 100.4 |
2 | 100.43 | 101.7 | 100.75 |
3 | 100.94 | 101.8 | 101.06 |
4 | 101.3 | 102 | 101.64 |
5 | 102.55 | 101.48 | 111.55 |
6 | 104.08 | 102.75 | 109.92 |
7 | 104.82 | 104.88 | 102.27 |
8 | 105.66 | 105.67 | 103.04 |
9 | 107.13 | 106.73 | 103.82 |
10 | 107.46 | 107.92 | 103.99 |
11 | 107.75 | 107.87 | 105.81 |
12 | 107.57 | 107.44 | 107.35 |
13 | 108.14 | 108.78 | 110.08 |
14 | 108.74 | 108.85 | 110.53 |
15 | 111.33 | 108.88 | 112.67 |
16 | 110.93 | 108.9 | 115.5 |
17 | 113.11 | 108.82 | 124.78 |
18 | 115.1 | 109.24 | 117.48 |
19 | 115.19 | 109.29 | 118.08 |
Appendix A, Top right panel. Transfer Payments
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 83.2 | 96.34 | 76.23 |
-11 | 81.7 | 95.88 | 71.94 |
-10 | 81.04 | 95.47 | 71.17 |
-9 | 79.6 | 95.02 | 73.86 |
-8 | 80.71 | 94.84 | 79.54 |
-7 | 81.92 | 95.42 | 83.47 |
-6 | 82.7 | 96.05 | 86.32 |
-5 | 83.98 | 97.48 | 86.26 |
-4 | 86.28 | 98.5 | 88.03 |
-3 | 89.48 | 99.15 | 91.1 |
-2 | 92.95 | 99.16 | 95.27 |
-1 | 96.34 | 99.49 | 98.04 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 101.91 | 100.43 | 100.94 |
2 | 102.52 | 101.2 | 103.22 |
3 | 101.78 | 102.54 | 107.01 |
4 | 102 | 104.63 | 111.88 |
5 | 102.7 | 105.57 | 116.06 |
6 | 103.7 | 105.77 | 119.56 |
7 | 104.76 | 103.95 | 122.26 |
8 | 105.74 | 102.85 | 125.48 |
9 | 106.43 | 101.81 | 128.67 |
10 | 107.48 | 100.61 | 132.75 |
11 | 109.36 | 100.24 | 135.88 |
12 | 111.73 | 100.61 | 137.64 |
13 | 115.15 | 101.75 | 139.26 |
14 | 119.47 | 101.43 | 141 |
15 | 124.91 | 99.26 | 143.29 |
16 | 126.95 | 95.24 | 146.47 |
17 | 128.46 | 91.85 | 150.12 |
18 | 127.46 | 89.09 | 153.15 |
19 | 128.77 | 86.96 | 156.45 |
Appendix A, Middle left panel. Interest Income
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 99.51 | 100.97 | 90.59 |
-11 | 99.81 | 101.39 | 91.94 |
-10 | 99.85 | 101.78 | 93.4 |
-9 | 99.47 | 101.82 | 94.89 |
-8 | 99.52 | 101.91 | 95.69 |
-7 | 99.59 | 102.08 | 96.38 |
-6 | 99.36 | 101.66 | 97.17 |
-5 | 99.35 | 101.34 | 98.57 |
-4 | 99.41 | 101.02 | 99.91 |
-3 | 99.71 | 100.65 | 100.96 |
-2 | 99.89 | 100.17 | 101.01 |
-1 | 99.84 | 100.02 | 100.4 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.66 | 99.81 | 98.79 |
2 | 99.29 | 99.35 | 98.19 |
3 | 99.06 | 98.9 | 97.62 |
4 | 98.91 | 98.5 | 97.81 |
5 | 98.59 | 98.08 | 97.52 |
6 | 97.3 | 97.97 | 96.89 |
7 | 96.91 | 97.3 | 97.22 |
8 | 96.66 | 96.79 | 97.91 |
9 | 96.7 | 96.14 | 98.44 |
10 | 96.18 | 94.78 | 96.78 |
11 | 95.91 | 93.63 | 96.64 |
12 | 95.65 | 92.54 | 96.17 |
13 | 95.26 | 92.21 | 94.65 |
14 | 94.69 | 91.61 | 93.06 |
15 | 94.13 | 90.93 | 91.83 |
16 | 93.56 | 90.19 | 92.33 |
17 | 92.9 | 89.42 | 92.84 |
18 | 92.17 | 88.8 | 92.91 |
19 | 91.55 | 88.72 | 92.4 |
Appendix A, Middle right panel. Interest Income
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 97.57 | 102.72 | 106.77 |
-11 | 98.45 | 104.04 | 107.35 |
-10 | 99.47 | 104.92 | 107.66 |
-9 | 100.81 | 105.29 | 107.72 |
-8 | 101.92 | 105.5 | 107.77 |
-7 | 101.44 | 105.73 | 107.54 |
-6 | 101.85 | 105.23 | 107.21 |
-5 | 101.61 | 104.78 | 106.69 |
-4 | 101.52 | 104.09 | 105.99 |
-3 | 101.71 | 103.15 | 104.83 |
-2 | 99.72 | 101.64 | 103.46 |
-1 | 99.87 | 100.65 | 101.63 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.4 | 99.37 | 98.21 |
2 | 98.28 | 98.85 | 96.62 |
3 | 96.54 | 98.62 | 95.04 |
4 | 95.57 | 98.82 | 93.69 |
5 | 95.15 | 99.17 | 92.33 |
6 | 98.39 | 100.02 | 90.85 |
7 | 101.1 | 100.39 | 89.63 |
8 | 101.8 | 101.37 | 88.97 |
9 | 102.19 | 102.56 | 88.36 |
10 | 102.7 | 103.76 | 88.4 |
11 | 103.07 | 104.75 | 89.15 |
12 | 103.41 | 105.45 | 89.48 |
13 | 103.42 | 105.86 | 85.16 |
14 | 103.54 | 106.52 | 80.77 |
15 | 103.17 | 106.98 | 76.7 |
16 | 102.79 | 107.2 | 74.03 |
17 | 102.02 | 107.31 | 71.37 |
18 | 102.28 | 107.29 | 68.39 |
19 | 102.44 | 107.12 | 67.13 |
Appendix A, Bottom left panel. Contributions for Social Insurance
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 97.14 | 96.57 | 99.79 |
-11 | 96.97 | 96.67 | 100.51 |
-10 | 97.24 | 96.17 | 100.53 |
-9 | 97.89 | 96.5 | 100.47 |
-8 | 97.6 | 97.43 | 100.04 |
-7 | 97.63 | 97.63 | 99.71 |
-6 | 99.46 | 97.66 | 99.75 |
-5 | 98.92 | 97.77 | 99.68 |
-4 | 99.4 | 97.66 | 99.64 |
-3 | 99.06 | 97.59 | 99.98 |
-2 | 98.96 | 99.24 | 99.96 |
-1 | 99.67 | 99.74 | 99.96 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.06 | 99.37 | 100.46 |
2 | 99.02 | 98.91 | 100.36 |
3 | 97.89 | 98.68 | 100.32 |
4 | 97.82 | 98.64 | 100.05 |
5 | 98.33 | 98.51 | 99.9 |
6 | 99.99 | 98.75 | 99.37 |
7 | 99.79 | 98.36 | 99.08 |
8 | 99.85 | 98.57 | 99.43 |
9 | 99.89 | 98.9 | 99.2 |
10 | 99.76 | 100.38 | 99.68 |
11 | 100.47 | 100.37 | 100.68 |
12 | 100.27 | 100.41 | 100.76 |
13 | 100.33 | 100.17 | 99.27 |
14 | 100.65 | 100.3 | 98.11 |
15 | 100.13 | 100.6 | 97.67 |
16 | 100.21 | 99.95 | 97.35 |
17 | 100.83 | 99.9 | 97.21 |
18 | 101.97 | 99.87 | 96.48 |
19 | 102.82 | 99.62 | 96.56 |
Appendix A, Bottom right panel. Contributions for Social Insurance
Months from NBER Peak | July 1990 Peak | March 2001 Peak | December 2007 Peak |
-12 | 99.12 | 94.59 | 95.88 |
-11 | 99.13 | 95.31 | 97.5 |
-10 | 99.34 | 95.37 | 98.36 |
-9 | 99.61 | 95.69 | 98.94 |
-8 | 99.7 | 96.21 | 98.82 |
-7 | 100.2 | 96.33 | 98.89 |
-6 | 98.07 | 96.26 | 99.25 |
-5 | 98.88 | 96.34 | 99.48 |
-4 | 99.31 | 96.51 | 99.64 |
-3 | 99.75 | 96.91 | 99.9 |
-2 | 99.6 | 98.33 | 99.74 |
-1 | 99.84 | 99.27 | 99.75 |
Peak | 100 | 100 | 100 |
1 | 99.29 | 99.96 | 99.51 |
2 | 99.2 | 99.37 | 99.64 |
3 | 98.35 | 98.43 | 99.57 |
4 | 98.12 | 89.75 | 98.19 |
5 | 98.17 | 78.96 | 72.54 |
6 | 94.55 | 84.5 | 85.48 |
7 | 94.15 | 93.66 | 85.85 |
8 | 94.09 | 93.23 | 94.83 |
9 | 94.42 | 93.14 | 93.78 |
10 | 94.32 | 81.94 | 92.96 |
11 | 94.87 | 81.04 | 92.51 |
12 | 94.41 | 80.14 | 91.98 |
13 | 94.33 | 78.96 | 78.82 |
14 | 94.8 | 78.51 | 76.88 |
15 | 94.81 | 78.57 | 74.82 |
16 | 95.03 | 78.35 | 70.04 |
17 | 95.48 | 78.42 | 69.03 |
18 | 92.14 | 78.3 | 67.65 |
19 | 92.93 | 77.85 | 69.01 |