Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Data for paper 2011-03
♣
Estimating Machinery Supply Elasticities Using Output Price Booms
Jesse Edgerton
Figure 3 Panel A: Houses - Recent Output Price Booms
Case-Shiller National House Price Index |
Single-Family Residential Construction Spending |
Year |
Quarter |
0.0942013 |
|
1988 |
1 |
0.1106138 |
|
1988 |
2 |
0.1204329 |
|
1988 |
3 |
0.1301889 |
|
1988 |
4 |
0.1417992 |
|
1989 |
1 |
0.1466639 |
|
1989 |
2 |
0.1493399 |
|
1989 |
3 |
0.1512232 |
|
1989 |
4 |
0.1490593 |
|
1990 |
1 |
0.1379409 |
|
1990 |
2 |
0.1219249 |
|
1990 |
3 |
0.10519 |
|
1990 |
4 |
0.0848858 |
|
1991 |
1 |
0.0803173 |
|
1991 |
2 |
0.0772033 |
|
1991 |
3 |
0.0704579 |
|
1991 |
4 |
0.0613074 |
|
1992 |
1 |
0.0546916 |
|
1992 |
2 |
0.0446084 |
|
1992 |
3 |
0.0361249 |
|
1992 |
4 |
0.0279083 |
-0.033968 |
1993 |
1 |
0.0191579 |
-0.0244427 |
1993 |
2 |
0.0177073 |
-0.0010109 |
1993 |
3 |
0.0162022 |
0.0482168 |
1993 |
4 |
0.018934 |
0.0699739 |
1994 |
1 |
0.0172904 |
0.103694 |
1994 |
2 |
0.0102086 |
0.0765448 |
1994 |
3 |
0.0064554 |
0.0460129 |
1994 |
4 |
0 |
5.33E-15 |
1995 |
1 |
-0.0026495 |
-0.0760231 |
1995 |
2 |
-0.0047081 |
-0.0742168 |
1995 |
3 |
-0.0085657 |
-0.0507135 |
1995 |
4 |
-0.0119495 |
-0.0383129 |
1996 |
1 |
-0.0149922 |
-0.0054712 |
1996 |
2 |
-0.0174527 |
-0.0029831 |
1996 |
3 |
-0.0233853 |
-0.0345259 |
1996 |
4 |
-0.0200675 |
-0.0567493 |
1997 |
1 |
-0.0206182 |
-0.0646467 |
1997 |
2 |
-0.020999 |
-0.0704288 |
1997 |
3 |
-0.0156741 |
-0.0637436 |
1997 |
4 |
-0.0091586 |
-0.0560551 |
1998 |
1 |
-0.0003707 |
-0.0291138 |
1998 |
2 |
0.0090044 |
0.0081587 |
1998 |
3 |
0.016844 |
0.034462 |
1998 |
4 |
0.0269985 |
0.0395279 |
1999 |
1 |
0.0349975 |
0.0318766 |
1999 |
2 |
0.0476022 |
0.0283966 |
1999 |
3 |
0.0599582 |
0.0489912 |
1999 |
4 |
0.073859 |
0.0665188 |
2000 |
1 |
0.0909331 |
0.0413504 |
2000 |
2 |
0.1037621 |
-0.0010147 |
2000 |
3 |
0.1171474 |
-0.0154409 |
2000 |
4 |
0.1268735 |
-0.0073185 |
2001 |
1 |
0.1383092 |
0.0046291 |
2001 |
2 |
0.1510837 |
0.0117722 |
2001 |
3 |
0.1556952 |
-0.0197077 |
2001 |
4 |
0.1678133 |
-0.0267868 |
2002 |
1 |
0.184515 |
-0.0073738 |
2002 |
2 |
0.2038522 |
-0.0107231 |
2002 |
3 |
0.2209404 |
0.0062466 |
2002 |
4 |
0.2325113 |
0.0377645 |
2003 |
1 |
0.2424781 |
0.0327082 |
2003 |
2 |
0.2614379 |
0.0748482 |
2003 |
3 |
0.2867584 |
0.1427851 |
2003 |
4 |
0.3109479 |
0.1594124 |
2004 |
1 |
0.3378208 |
0.1968651 |
2004 |
2 |
0.361304 |
0.2131586 |
2004 |
3 |
0.3872716 |
0.2106695 |
2004 |
4 |
0.4219098 |
0.2325535 |
2005 |
1 |
0.4468808 |
0.2483368 |
2005 |
2 |
0.4684358 |
0.2715454 |
2005 |
3 |
0.4884503 |
0.2933006 |
2005 |
4 |
0.4969966 |
0.2945738 |
2006 |
1 |
0.4837973 |
0.2113657 |
2006 |
2 |
0.4578915 |
0.1068716 |
2006 |
3 |
0.4498124 |
-0.0011187 |
2006 |
4 |
0.4436593 |
-0.0909653 |
2007 |
1 |
0.4118474 |
-0.157464 |
2007 |
2 |
0.3760192 |
-0.2594805 |
2007 |
3 |
0.3262432 |
-0.4173784 |
2007 |
4 |
0.2623067 |
-0.5906572 |
2008 |
1 |
0.215219 |
-0.6984062 |
2008 |
2 |
0.1592984 |
-0.8661966 |
2008 |
3 |
0.0878055 |
-1.062233 |
2008 |
4 |
0.0193098 |
-1.341227 |
2009 |
1 |
0.0220802 |
-1.533782 |
2009 |
2 |
0.0329375 |
-1.4526 |
2009 |
3 |
0.0278087 |
-1.417871 |
2009 |
4 |
0.0076184 |
-1.39445 |
2010 |
1 |
0.0215862 |
-1.378949 |
2010 |
2 |
|
-1.466461 |
2010 |
3 |
Figure 3 Panel B: Farm - Products Recent Output Price Booms
Farm Product PPI |
Year |
Quarter |
-0.1022892 |
1988 |
1 |
-0.0518022 |
1988 |
2 |
0.017817 |
1988 |
3 |
0.0120978 |
1988 |
4 |
0.0401702 |
1989 |
1 |
0.0453 |
1989 |
2 |
0.0162292 |
1989 |
3 |
0.0190282 |
1989 |
4 |
0.0725255 |
1990 |
1 |
0.0583601 |
1990 |
2 |
0.0412641 |
1990 |
3 |
0.0146422 |
1990 |
4 |
0.0106759 |
1991 |
1 |
0.0291138 |
1991 |
2 |
-0.0242524 |
1991 |
3 |
-0.0486569 |
1991 |
4 |
-0.0118022 |
1992 |
1 |
-0.0137095 |
1992 |
2 |
-0.0363064 |
1992 |
3 |
-0.0288467 |
1992 |
4 |
-0.0054307 |
1993 |
1 |
0.0267801 |
1993 |
2 |
0.0072241 |
1993 |
3 |
0.0363827 |
1993 |
4 |
0.0671601 |
1994 |
1 |
0.0392385 |
1994 |
2 |
-0.0300293 |
1994 |
3 |
-0.0267892 |
1994 |
4 |
0 |
1995 |
1 |
-0.0051227 |
1995 |
2 |
0.0289836 |
1995 |
3 |
0.0908108 |
1995 |
4 |
0.1220336 |
1996 |
1 |
0.1968493 |
1996 |
2 |
0.2091336 |
1996 |
3 |
0.1269937 |
1996 |
4 |
0.0974793 |
1997 |
1 |
0.1089311 |
1997 |
2 |
0.0763741 |
1997 |
3 |
0.0719485 |
1997 |
4 |
0.0355062 |
1998 |
1 |
0.0305123 |
1998 |
2 |
0.0059857 |
1998 |
3 |
-0.0024667 |
1998 |
4 |
-0.0249314 |
1999 |
1 |
-0.0384464 |
1999 |
2 |
-0.0432854 |
1999 |
3 |
-0.0464487 |
1999 |
4 |
-0.0390325 |
2000 |
1 |
0.0002856 |
2000 |
2 |
-0.0505257 |
2000 |
3 |
0.0021811 |
2000 |
4 |
0.0363307 |
2001 |
1 |
0.0480146 |
2001 |
2 |
0.0401487 |
2001 |
3 |
-0.0263705 |
2001 |
4 |
0.0115018 |
2002 |
1 |
-0.0513039 |
2002 |
2 |
-0.0147815 |
2002 |
3 |
-0.0138421 |
2002 |
4 |
0.0379353 |
2003 |
1 |
0.0688291 |
2003 |
2 |
0.0961509 |
2003 |
3 |
0.216486 |
2003 |
4 |
0.2028818 |
2004 |
1 |
0.2764335 |
2004 |
2 |
0.1922636 |
2004 |
3 |
0.1754251 |
2004 |
4 |
0.1873298 |
2005 |
1 |
0.1916614 |
2005 |
2 |
0.1564965 |
2005 |
3 |
0.1768637 |
2005 |
4 |
0.1378226 |
2006 |
1 |
0.1231027 |
2006 |
2 |
0.1806893 |
2006 |
3 |
0.2379465 |
2006 |
4 |
0.3174767 |
2007 |
1 |
0.3683414 |
2007 |
2 |
0.380826 |
2007 |
3 |
0.4455366 |
2007 |
4 |
0.5291986 |
2008 |
1 |
0.5589685 |
2008 |
2 |
0.5403433 |
2008 |
3 |
0.3677392 |
2008 |
4 |
0.3142629 |
2009 |
1 |
0.3569407 |
2009 |
2 |
0.2881422 |
2009 |
3 |
0.3437696 |
2009 |
4 |
0.4039755 |
2010 |
1 |
0.4180398 |
2010 |
2 |
0.4361897 |
2010 |
3 |
Figure 3 Panel C: Oil - Recent Output Price Booms
West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Price |
Year |
Quarter |
0.0354772 |
1988 |
1 |
0.0636742 |
1988 |
2 |
-0.071681 |
1988 |
3 |
-0.1086154 |
1988 |
4 |
0.1136262 |
1989 |
1 |
0.2092559 |
1989 |
2 |
0.1492665 |
1989 |
3 |
0.1987162 |
1989 |
4 |
0.2605827 |
1990 |
1 |
0.0619068 |
1990 |
2 |
0.4498041 |
1990 |
3 |
0.6301312 |
1990 |
4 |
0.2444835 |
1991 |
1 |
0.1915267 |
1991 |
2 |
0.2294941 |
1991 |
3 |
0.2286532 |
1991 |
4 |
0.0848184 |
1992 |
1 |
0.1938031 |
1992 |
2 |
0.2118068 |
1992 |
3 |
0.1506531 |
1992 |
4 |
0.113589 |
1993 |
1 |
0.1057181 |
1993 |
2 |
-0.0035479 |
1993 |
3 |
-0.0870392 |
1993 |
4 |
-0.195991 |
1994 |
1 |
-0.0181642 |
1994 |
2 |
0.016685 |
1994 |
3 |
-0.0345128 |
1994 |
4 |
-4.44E-16 |
1995 |
1 |
0.0474596 |
1995 |
2 |
-0.0371404 |
1995 |
3 |
-0.0247707 |
1995 |
4 |
0.0555501 |
1996 |
1 |
0.1467023 |
1996 |
2 |
0.1723499 |
1996 |
3 |
0.2630808 |
1996 |
4 |
0.1791546 |
1997 |
1 |
0.0394752 |
1997 |
2 |
0.028569 |
1997 |
3 |
0.0307875 |
1997 |
4 |
-0.1970379 |
1998 |
1 |
-0.2854344 |
1998 |
2 |
-0.3262823 |
1998 |
3 |
-0.4244263 |
1998 |
4 |
-0.4151641 |
1999 |
1 |
-0.1170588 |
1999 |
2 |
0.0860498 |
1999 |
3 |
0.202776 |
1999 |
4 |
0.3594961 |
2000 |
1 |
0.3532903 |
2000 |
2 |
0.4419897 |
2000 |
3 |
0.4490194 |
2000 |
4 |
0.3401091 |
2001 |
1 |
0.3028698 |
2001 |
2 |
0.2510438 |
2001 |
3 |
-0.0186722 |
2001 |
4 |
0.0341058 |
2002 |
1 |
0.2247987 |
2002 |
2 |
0.2956703 |
2002 |
3 |
0.2858443 |
2002 |
4 |
0.4724505 |
2003 |
1 |
0.3066936 |
2003 |
2 |
0.3417673 |
2003 |
3 |
0.3685315 |
2003 |
4 |
0.4865463 |
2004 |
1 |
0.5660622 |
2004 |
2 |
0.6967568 |
2004 |
3 |
0.7879758 |
2004 |
4 |
0.8112988 |
2005 |
1 |
0.8731215 |
2005 |
2 |
1.040962 |
2005 |
3 |
0.9868007 |
2005 |
4 |
1.03621 |
2006 |
1 |
1.138985 |
2006 |
2 |
1.13293 |
2006 |
3 |
0.9691453 |
2006 |
4 |
0.9293034 |
2007 |
1 |
1.038227 |
2007 |
2 |
1.18364 |
2007 |
3 |
1.363263 |
2007 |
4 |
1.435055 |
2008 |
1 |
1.665923 |
2008 |
2 |
1.612142 |
2008 |
3 |
0.9027529 |
2008 |
4 |
0.5924158 |
2009 |
1 |
0.9142978 |
2009 |
2 |
1.045453 |
2009 |
3 |
1.149874 |
2009 |
4 |
1.179199 |
2010 |
1 |
1.164418 |
2010 |
2 |
1.137013 |
2010 |
3 |
1.220806 |
|
|
Figure 4 Panel A: Construction Machinery - Machinery Prices and Quantities
Price Index |
Real Investment |
Quarter |
-0.0471604 |
0.0913837 |
1988q1 |
-0.0452754 |
0.019744 |
1988q2 |
-0.0555468 |
0.0597066 |
1988q3 |
-0.0476596 |
0.0637162 |
1988q4 |
-0.0373166 |
0.2309265 |
1989q1 |
-0.0390739 |
0.1843879 |
1989q2 |
-0.0352588 |
0.2414743 |
1989q3 |
-0.0324471 |
0.2833024 |
1989q4 |
-0.0206487 |
0.2945538 |
1990q1 |
-0.0194621 |
0.2169402 |
1990q2 |
-0.009686 |
0.1460661 |
1990q3 |
-0.005646 |
0.0927807 |
1990q4 |
-0.0091088 |
-0.1009291 |
1991q1 |
-0.0111656 |
-0.2743022 |
1991q2 |
-0.0095572 |
-0.342551 |
1991q3 |
-0.0075061 |
-0.4078823 |
1991q4 |
-0.0125859 |
-0.4548186 |
1992q1 |
-0.0114188 |
-0.3736291 |
1992q2 |
-0.0034518 |
-0.2850382 |
1992q3 |
-0.0036423 |
-0.2578917 |
1992q4 |
0.0006006 |
-0.1689254 |
1993q1 |
-0.0046525 |
-0.149767 |
1993q2 |
-0.0092118 |
-0.1462927 |
1993q3 |
-0.0093262 |
-0.0984993 |
1993q4 |
-0.003653 |
-0.1040782 |
1994q1 |
-0.0046644 |
-0.1049947 |
1994q2 |
-0.0049584 |
-0.0408419 |
1994q3 |
-0.0048325 |
-0.0201824 |
1994q4 |
-4.44E-16 |
2.22E-16 |
1995q1 |
0.0036755 |
-0.0232898 |
1995q2 |
0.0026858 |
-0.0118276 |
1995q3 |
0.0009491 |
0.0005431 |
1995q4 |
5.29e-05 |
0.0384192 |
1996q1 |
0.0003195 |
0.0488176 |
1996q2 |
1.65e-05 |
0.0763444 |
1996q3 |
-0.0009072 |
0.0932382 |
1996q4 |
-0.0016642 |
0.0524271 |
1997q1 |
-0.0040655 |
0.0570424 |
1997q2 |
-0.0080478 |
0.1031972 |
1997q3 |
-0.0081871 |
0.1353484 |
1997q4 |
-0.0090985 |
0.1283218 |
1998q1 |
-0.0112236 |
0.1290932 |
1998q2 |
-0.0110228 |
0.218482 |
1998q3 |
-0.0128479 |
0.1889488 |
1998q4 |
-0.0094485 |
0.168352 |
1999q1 |
-0.0066926 |
0.118279 |
1999q2 |
-0.0095856 |
0.1179628 |
1999q3 |
-0.0118923 |
0.1348177 |
1999q4 |
-0.014266 |
0.1677305 |
2000q1 |
-0.0177071 |
0.1712438 |
2000q2 |
-0.0198324 |
0.051769 |
2000q3 |
-0.0228209 |
0.02754 |
2000q4 |
-0.028492 |
0.0242437 |
2001q1 |
-0.033211 |
-0.066229 |
2001q2 |
-0.0359776 |
-0.0667087 |
2001q3 |
-0.0365667 |
-0.1085131 |
2001q4 |
-0.0431814 |
-0.1548166 |
2002q1 |
-0.0452011 |
-0.131904 |
2002q2 |
-0.0477793 |
-0.1901139 |
2002q3 |
-0.0500731 |
-0.2056708 |
2002q4 |
-0.0481713 |
-0.2281978 |
2003q1 |
-0.0503829 |
-0.1792697 |
2003q2 |
-0.0558047 |
-0.1053215 |
2003q3 |
-0.0553322 |
-0.1376144 |
2003q4 |
-0.05428 |
-0.0910101 |
2004q1 |
-0.0486848 |
-0.123246 |
2004q2 |
-0.0404463 |
-0.0665404 |
2004q3 |
-0.0407658 |
0.0358776 |
2004q4 |
-0.0359528 |
0.0460396 |
2005q1 |
-0.0286591 |
0.1020072 |
2005q2 |
-0.020319 |
0.1426749 |
2005q3 |
-0.0172138 |
0.1891996 |
2005q4 |
-0.0105345 |
0.2185363 |
2006q1 |
-0.0107839 |
0.201612 |
2006q2 |
-0.0096121 |
0.1807749 |
2006q3 |
-0.0089917 |
0.2220439 |
2006q4 |
-0.0082958 |
0.0375224 |
2007q1 |
-0.0096576 |
0.1192504 |
2007q2 |
-0.0119305 |
0.2198532 |
2007q3 |
-0.0083821 |
0.1213431 |
2007q4 |
-0.00647 |
0.0617436 |
2008q1 |
-0.0020471 |
-0.0417598 |
2008q2 |
0.0065818 |
-0.0983136 |
2008q3 |
0.0141022 |
-0.1990695 |
2008q4 |
0.0162232 |
-0.4850452 |
2009q1 |
0.0130424 |
-0.7268788 |
2009q2 |
0.0084119 |
-0.7386308 |
2009q3 |
0.0017984 |
-0.8046689 |
2009q4 |
-0.010216 |
-0.673538 |
2010q1 |
-0.0137143 |
-0.5300388 |
2010q2 |
|
|
2010q3 |
|
|
2010q4 |
Figure 4 Panel B: Farm Machinery - Machinery Prices and Quantities
Price Index |
Real Investment |
Quarter |
-0.071331 |
-0.1887159 |
1988q1 |
-0.0725873 |
-0.1369154 |
1988q2 |
-0.0819402 |
-0.1065564 |
1988q3 |
-0.0632174 |
-0.0842628 |
1988q4 |
-0.0595737 |
-0.0781724 |
1989q1 |
-0.0556781 |
-0.0033193 |
1989q2 |
-0.0506101 |
0.0838537 |
1989q3 |
-0.0475204 |
0.1010234 |
1989q4 |
-0.0435753 |
0.0670569 |
1990q1 |
-0.0465457 |
0.0738311 |
1990q2 |
-0.038568 |
0.1297619 |
1990q3 |
-0.030236 |
0.1745989 |
1990q4 |
-0.0233827 |
-0.0548165 |
1991q1 |
-0.0229118 |
-0.0614262 |
1991q2 |
-0.0211854 |
-0.1492167 |
1991q3 |
-0.0153601 |
-0.1722231 |
1991q4 |
-0.0044341 |
-0.1570871 |
1992q1 |
-0.0028999 |
-0.3049138 |
1992q2 |
-0.0006104 |
-0.3345203 |
1992q3 |
0.0002406 |
-0.2907991 |
1992q4 |
-0.0034003 |
-0.1983786 |
1993q1 |
-0.0010054 |
-0.1112432 |
1993q2 |
-0.0024371 |
-0.1582074 |
1993q3 |
-0.0002081 |
-0.1276438 |
1993q4 |
0.0024796 |
-0.0729728 |
1994q1 |
0.00228 |
-0.0552332 |
1994q2 |
0.003087 |
-0.0538425 |
1994q3 |
0.0027916 |
-0.0488784 |
1994q4 |
0 |
4.44E-16 |
1995q1 |
0.0025537 |
-0.0351644 |
1995q2 |
0.0035944 |
-0.0687485 |
1995q3 |
0.0063994 |
-0.0941229 |
1995q4 |
0.0081663 |
-0.0461307 |
1996q1 |
0.0046012 |
-0.0805113 |
1996q2 |
0.0024314 |
-0.0543685 |
1996q3 |
0.0009477 |
-0.0948555 |
1996q4 |
-0.0012336 |
-0.1331265 |
1997q1 |
-0.0079205 |
0.0295243 |
1997q2 |
-0.0118184 |
0.1708016 |
1997q3 |
-0.0120537 |
0.132504 |
1997q4 |
-0.0170417 |
0.1764488 |
1998q1 |
-0.0212028 |
0.1815717 |
1998q2 |
-0.0217824 |
0.0508907 |
1998q3 |
-0.0215781 |
-0.0868173 |
1998q4 |
-0.0222077 |
-0.1203597 |
1999q1 |
-0.0227363 |
-0.2298813 |
1999q2 |
-0.0264974 |
-0.3400438 |
1999q3 |
-0.0289834 |
-0.2654212 |
1999q4 |
-0.0325727 |
-0.1243052 |
2000q1 |
-0.0380876 |
-0.0889432 |
2000q2 |
-0.0423279 |
-0.1551404 |
2000q3 |
-0.0475967 |
-0.2253454 |
2000q4 |
-0.0476537 |
-0.1724391 |
2001q1 |
-0.0499289 |
-0.1271138 |
2001q2 |
-0.0544467 |
-0.0456703 |
2001q3 |
-0.0541241 |
-0.0470293 |
2001q4 |
-0.0569458 |
-0.050431 |
2002q1 |
-0.0602009 |
-0.0374296 |
2002q2 |
-0.0623364 |
0.0760415 |
2002q3 |
-0.0658214 |
0.1249731 |
2002q4 |
-0.0657077 |
0.1239188 |
2003q1 |
-0.0677702 |
0.0637872 |
2003q2 |
-0.0648327 |
0.0858345 |
2003q3 |
-0.0655701 |
0.1147041 |
2003q4 |
-0.0607138 |
0.1272326 |
2004q1 |
-0.05846 |
0.1462946 |
2004q2 |
-0.0562444 |
0.2153027 |
2004q3 |
-0.0500133 |
0.232543 |
2004q4 |
-0.0364261 |
0.200613 |
2005q1 |
-0.0361569 |
0.2608445 |
2005q2 |
-0.0379539 |
0.2483556 |
2005q3 |
-0.0394256 |
0.1854331 |
2005q4 |
-0.0363007 |
0.1847186 |
2006q1 |
-0.0339816 |
0.1751683 |
2006q2 |
-0.032469 |
0.1135151 |
2006q3 |
-0.0312552 |
0.1017232 |
2006q4 |
-0.0256393 |
0.0821943 |
2007q1 |
-0.0275412 |
0.1294174 |
2007q2 |
-0.0300615 |
0.1019001 |
2007q3 |
-0.018075 |
0.2274997 |
2007q4 |
-0.0122092 |
0.1281569 |
2008q1 |
-0.0015898 |
0.2048664 |
2008q2 |
0.0140083 |
0.37608 |
2008q3 |
0.020906 |
0.2629108 |
2008q4 |
0.023618 |
0.2315896 |
2009q1 |
0.0175142 |
0.0921357 |
2009q2 |
0.0187929 |
0.029043 |
2009q3 |
0.015759 |
0.007515 |
2009q4 |
0.0100319 |
0.0663967 |
2010q1 |
0.0046844 |
0.1779373 |
2010q2 |
|
|
2010q3 |
|
|
2010q4 |
Figure 4 Panel C: Mining and Oilfield Machinery - Machinery Prices and Quantities
Price Index |
Real Investment |
Quarter |
-0.0289145 |
0.2381388 |
1988q1 |
-0.0287828 |
0.3913362 |
1988q2 |
-0.0346966 |
0.3869462 |
1988q3 |
-0.0221705 |
0.1066816 |
1988q4 |
-0.0198147 |
0.1597178 |
1989q1 |
-0.0202134 |
0.3854795 |
1989q2 |
-0.0142844 |
0.3623439 |
1989q3 |
-0.014533 |
0.4902593 |
1989q4 |
-0.0088735 |
0.1702067 |
1990q1 |
-0.0017805 |
0.1512977 |
1990q2 |
0.0056636 |
0.175054 |
1990q3 |
0.0113728 |
0.2201327 |
1990q4 |
0.0187166 |
0.1744491 |
1991q1 |
0.0181563 |
-0.062308 |
1991q2 |
0.0185561 |
-0.5795436 |
1991q3 |
0.0184302 |
-0.1832961 |
1991q4 |
0.0072355 |
-1.245887 |
1992q1 |
0.0025127 |
-1.029251 |
1992q2 |
0.011925 |
-0.1718156 |
1992q3 |
0.0119503 |
0.2732708 |
1992q4 |
0.0043142 |
0.4625149 |
1993q1 |
-0.0025101 |
0.3513501 |
1993q2 |
-0.0043211 |
0.1024206 |
1993q3 |
-0.0067201 |
-0.0778999 |
1993q4 |
-0.0032132 |
0.1953216 |
1994q1 |
-0.0054257 |
0.1615781 |
1994q2 |
-0.0066955 |
-0.0246674 |
1994q3 |
-0.0029924 |
0.100374 |
1994q4 |
4.44E-16 |
4.44E-16 |
1995q1 |
2.24e-05 |
0.0031899 |
1995q2 |
0.0063643 |
-0.0127792 |
1995q3 |
0.0109546 |
0.0873885 |
1995q4 |
0.0049174 |
0.0675216 |
1996q1 |
0.0058429 |
0.0515637 |
1996q2 |
0.0104547 |
-0.0268052 |
1996q3 |
0.006887 |
-0.202122 |
1996q4 |
0.0134578 |
0.2250981 |
1997q1 |
0.0179768 |
0.1333281 |
1997q2 |
0.0180771 |
0.1290247 |
1997q3 |
0.0203578 |
0.0945976 |
1997q4 |
0.0155275 |
-0.0979059 |
1998q1 |
0.0112724 |
0.1141242 |
1998q2 |
0.007566 |
0.1792678 |
1998q3 |
0.0023866 |
0.0153869 |
1998q4 |
-0.0001078 |
0.2362496 |
1999q1 |
-0.0021284 |
0.3465554 |
1999q2 |
-0.0066597 |
0.4493183 |
1999q3 |
-0.0113986 |
0.366058 |
1999q4 |
-0.0124578 |
0.3656671 |
2000q1 |
-0.0149212 |
0.2679812 |
2000q2 |
-0.0177326 |
0.1950949 |
2000q3 |
-0.0186944 |
0.2124343 |
2000q4 |
-0.0082219 |
0.2983875 |
2001q1 |
-0.0075567 |
0.2640542 |
2001q2 |
-0.008323 |
0.3359468 |
2001q3 |
-0.0088177 |
0.3164536 |
2001q4 |
-0.0134716 |
-0.0346954 |
2002q1 |
-0.0169573 |
-0.0038342 |
2002q2 |
-0.0197289 |
-0.1725388 |
2002q3 |
-0.0223291 |
-0.7703731 |
2002q4 |
-0.0213611 |
-0.133105 |
2003q1 |
-0.0240414 |
-0.1846521 |
2003q2 |
-0.0236592 |
-0.0290782 |
2003q3 |
-0.0233293 |
-0.0740175 |
2003q4 |
-0.0195727 |
-0.1068131 |
2004q1 |
-0.0091341 |
0.0360541 |
2004q2 |
0.0006864 |
0.0013729 |
2004q3 |
0.0132287 |
-0.1340079 |
2004q4 |
0.0282981 |
-0.0653584 |
2005q1 |
0.0407205 |
0.2690494 |
2005q2 |
0.0457134 |
0.2033021 |
2005q3 |
0.0626497 |
0.2139008 |
2005q4 |
0.0696633 |
0.4088644 |
2006q1 |
0.0757782 |
0.4658579 |
2006q2 |
0.0863516 |
0.526523 |
2006q3 |
0.0939872 |
0.4924941 |
2006q4 |
0.1012034 |
0.6137373 |
2007q1 |
0.1029677 |
0.779628 |
2007q2 |
0.108182 |
0.6585822 |
2007q3 |
0.1076839 |
0.6285505 |
2007q4 |
0.1220095 |
0.5593289 |
2008q1 |
0.1498425 |
0.624303 |
2008q2 |
0.1720057 |
0.6262273 |
2008q3 |
0.1848826 |
0.5288457 |
2008q4 |
0.1780057 |
0.4605806 |
2009q1 |
0.1610274 |
0.2302141 |
2009q2 |
0.1461966 |
0.1395214 |
2009q3 |
0.1405289 |
0.1567287 |
2009q4 |
0.1366909 |
0.2277817 |
2010q1 |
0.135426 |
0.0503129 |
2010q2 |
|
|
2010q3 |
|
|
2010q4 |
Figure 5 Panel A: Construction Machinery - Recent Output Price Booms Tracing out Machinery Supply Curves
Price |
Quantity |
-0.0431814 |
-0.1548166 |
-0.0452011 |
-0.131904 |
-0.0477793 |
-0.1901139 |
-0.0500731 |
-0.2056708 |
-0.0481713 |
-0.2281978 |
-0.0503829 |
-0.1792697 |
-0.0558047 |
-0.1053215 |
-0.0553322 |
-0.1376144 |
-0.05428 |
-0.0910101 |
-0.0486848 |
-0.123246 |
-0.0404463 |
-0.0665404 |
-0.0407658 |
0.0358776 |
-0.0359528 |
0.0460396 |
-0.0286591 |
0.1020072 |
-0.020319 |
0.1426749 |
-0.0172138 |
0.1891996 |
-0.0105345 |
0.2185363 |
Figure 5 Panel B: Farm Machinery - Recent Output Price Booms Tracing out Machinery Supply Curves
Price |
Quantity |
-0.0541241 |
-0.0470293 |
-0.0569458 |
-0.050431 |
-0.0602009 |
-0.0374296 |
-0.0623364 |
0.0760415 |
-0.0658214 |
0.1249731 |
-0.0657077 |
0.1239188 |
-0.0677702 |
0.0637872 |
-0.0648327 |
0.0858345 |
-0.0655701 |
0.1147041 |
-0.0607138 |
0.1272326 |
-0.05846 |
0.1462946 |
-0.0562444 |
0.2153027 |
-0.0500133 |
0.232543 |
-0.0364261 |
0.200613 |
-0.0361569 |
0.2608445 |
-0.0379539 |
0.2483556 |
-0.0394256 |
0.1854331 |
-0.0363007 |
0.1847186 |
-0.0339816 |
0.1751683 |
-0.032469 |
0.1135151 |
-0.0312552 |
0.1017232 |
-0.0256393 |
0.0821943 |
-0.0275412 |
0.1294174 |
-0.0300615 |
0.1019001 |
-0.018075 |
0.2274997 |
-0.0122092 |
0.1281569 |
-0.0015898 |
0.2048664 |
0.0140083 |
0.37608 |
Figure 5 Panel C: Mining and Oilfield Machinery - Recent Output Price Booms Tracing out Machinery Supply Curves
Price |
Quantity |
-0.0088177 |
0.3164536 |
-0.0134716 |
-0.0346954 |
-0.0169573 |
-0.0038342 |
-0.0197289 |
-0.1725388 |
-0.0223291 |
-0.7703731 |
-0.0213611 |
-0.133105 |
-0.0240414 |
-0.1846521 |
-0.0236592 |
-0.0290782 |
-0.0233293 |
-0.0740175 |
-0.0195727 |
-0.1068131 |
-0.0091341 |
0.0360541 |
0.0006864 |
0.0013729 |
0.0132287 |
-0.1340079 |
0.0282981 |
-0.0653584 |
0.0407205 |
0.2690494 |
0.0457134 |
0.2033021 |
0.0626497 |
0.2139008 |
0.0696633 |
0.4088644 |
0.0757782 |
0.4658579 |
0.0863516 |
0.526523 |
0.0939872 |
0.4924941 |
0.1012034 |
0.6137373 |
0.1029677 |
0.779628 |
0.108182 |
0.6585822 |
0.1076839 |
0.6285505 |
0.1220095 |
0.5593289 |
0.1498425 |
0.624303 |
0.1720057 |
0.6262273 |
Figure 6: Imports as Share of Machinery Investment
Share |
Quarter |
0.1045333 |
1978q1 |
0.1124333 |
1978q2 |
0.1176 |
1978q3 |
0.1214 |
1978q4 |
0.1209333 |
1979q1 |
0.1208667 |
1979q2 |
0.1182 |
1979q3 |
0.1360667 |
1979q4 |
0.1264333 |
1980q1 |
0.1353 |
1980q2 |
0.1180667 |
1980q3 |
0.1160667 |
1980q4 |
0.1225667 |
1981q1 |
0.1231 |
1981q2 |
0.1186667 |
1981q3 |
0.1282 |
1981q4 |
0.1177 |
1982q1 |
0.1251 |
1982q2 |
0.1255 |
1982q3 |
0.121 |
1982q4 |
0.1255333 |
1983q1 |
0.1245333 |
1983q2 |
0.1335667 |
1983q3 |
0.1417333 |
1983q4 |
0.1447667 |
1984q1 |
0.1579667 |
1984q2 |
0.1931333 |
1984q3 |
0.1731 |
1984q4 |
0.1864 |
1985q1 |
0.1926 |
1985q2 |
0.2027333 |
1985q3 |
0.2014 |
1985q4 |
0.206 |
1986q1 |
0.2088667 |
1986q2 |
0.2272333 |
1986q3 |
0.2288 |
1986q4 |
0.2257 |
1987q1 |
0.2246667 |
1987q2 |
0.2164333 |
1987q3 |
0.2440667 |
1987q4 |
0.2344334 |
1988q1 |
0.2282667 |
1988q2 |
0.2252333 |
1988q3 |
0.2282333 |
1988q4 |
0.2317 |
1989q1 |
0.2284667 |
1989q2 |
0.2107333 |
1989q3 |
0.2103 |
1989q4 |
0.2189667 |
1990q1 |
0.2254333 |
1990q2 |
0.2287667 |
1990q3 |
0.2072 |
1990q4 |
0.2160667 |
1991q1 |
0.1997333 |
1991q2 |
0.1883 |
1991q3 |
0.2027333 |
1991q4 |
0.2115333 |
1992q1 |
0.2192667 |
1992q2 |
0.2514667 |
1992q3 |
0.2266667 |
1992q4 |
0.2117333 |
1993q1 |
0.2107 |
1993q2 |
0.2483667 |
1993q3 |
0.2314333 |
1993q4 |
0.2478667 |
1994q1 |
0.2410333 |
1994q2 |
0.2493333 |
1994q3 |
0.2385333 |
1994q4 |
0.2539333 |
1995q1 |
0.2579667 |
1995q2 |
0.2407333 |
1995q3 |
0.2212667 |
1995q4 |
0.2450333 |
1996q1 |
0.2374 |
1996q2 |
0.2385333 |
1996q3 |
0.2319333 |
1996q4 |
0.2241333 |
1997q1 |
0.2330333 |
1997q2 |
0.2181 |
1997q3 |
0.2301 |
1997q4 |
0.2227333 |
1998q1 |
0.2176667 |
1998q2 |
0.238 |
1998q3 |
0.2534 |
1998q4 |
0.2492667 |
1999q1 |
0.2591 |
1999q2 |
0.2510333 |
1999q3 |
0.2491 |
1999q4 |
0.2441667 |
2000q1 |
0.2449667 |
2000q2 |
0.257 |
2000q3 |
0.2444333 |
2000q4 |
0.2438333 |
2001q1 |
0.2534333 |
2001q2 |
0.2358333 |
2001q3 |
0.2479 |
2001q4 |
0.2552333 |
2002q1 |
0.2565333 |
2002q2 |
0.2650333 |
2002q3 |
0.2549 |
2002q4 |
0.2576333 |
2003q1 |
0.2681 |
2003q2 |
0.2770667 |
2003q3 |
0.295 |
2003q4 |
0.3124333 |
2004q1 |
0.3243667 |
2004q2 |
0.3203667 |
2004q3 |
0.3232 |
2004q4 |
0.3432667 |
2005q1 |
0.346 |
2005q2 |
0.3376 |
2005q3 |
0.3414333 |
2005q4 |
0.3396 |
2006q1 |
0.3477 |
2006q2 |
0.3576 |
2006q3 |
0.3512667 |
2006q4 |
0.363 |
2007q1 |
0.3187333 |
2007q2 |
0.3193 |
2007q3 |
0.3206667 |
2007q4 |
0.3419333 |
2008q1 |
0.3492666 |
2008q2 |
0.3380667 |
2008q3 |
0.3376667 |
2008q4 |
0.3030667 |
2009q1 |
0.2720667 |
2009q2 |
0.2717333 |
2009q3 |
0.2677 |
2009q4 |
0.2623667 |
2010q1 |
0.298 |
2010q2 |
0.3199 |
2010q3 |
|
2010q4 |