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Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Data for paper 201409 ♣

Human Capital and Unemployment Dynamics: Why More Educated Workers Enjoy Greater Employment Stability

Isabel Cairo and Tomaz Cajner

Figure 1. U.S. unemployment rates by educational attainment (16+ years of age)

Year: Quarter Aggregate Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:1 0.081063472566438 0.117547206208357 0.0768380429475203 0.0715716022080286 0.0322586622600975
1976:2 0.0790440879439162 0.114260234613123 0.0748816138784057 0.071366509968072 0.0333571948879536
1976:3 0.0766855797373959 0.111510558905643 0.0749632250955141 0.0668834212354421 0.0326816381004681
1976:4 0.0771264085649027 0.114797694554374 0.074475731942645 0.0675817011772463 0.0345986395526546
1976:5 0.0747934007691284 0.109314555811797 0.0716342083926644 0.0646422304395947 0.0363807125197077
1976:6 0.0772106116641905 0.114189075464742 0.0715736761366297 0.0708255536156198 0.033704790268585
1976:7 0.0778742414421489 0.116478495880739 0.0735252257634682 0.064840790675758 0.0363766318597261
1976:8 0.0772507721854251 0.118939822562476 0.071758250474051 0.063374684987198 0.0354297265581863
1976:9 0.0770860720400097 0.11903993006326 0.0720315967390591 0.0650403561195452 0.0336157513515275
1976:10 0.0774488255300422 0.120724331138311 0.0726036254528601 0.0653331398468889 0.0342653675331989
1976:11 0.0783223831993445 0.120295138347176 0.0734714132524353 0.0678304325596906 0.0359187517359127
1976:12 0.0790475667782142 0.121737407610973 0.0736082700481062 0.0685213702890077 0.0372844406359274
1977:1 0.0779265199012164 0.117238266772747 0.0722215468464333 0.064416331620343 0.0389587418378421
1977:2 0.0795886853063266 0.120891114643278 0.0737973066547801 0.0658777139618701 0.0383253954087673
1977:3 0.0764082720150891 0.118271611533505 0.0691878481548704 0.0654088707999497 0.036553368747317
1977:4 0.0722398502306961 0.111326868320651 0.0667978377657432 0.0634730777892731 0.0353751365309814
1977:5 0.0708561786828956 0.109054765495186 0.0658735823431991 0.0575538909352891 0.0366131515907921
1977:6 0.0725202116468383 0.11160504112306 0.0668777553795527 0.0605991337231866 0.0364995262177243
1977:7 0.0695057716933523 0.109430042499878 0.063926069945401 0.0591932668520677 0.0321985947469966
1977:8 0.0703535950086071 0.110711433388972 0.0648318636747473 0.0598124376234711 0.031131789716668
1977:9 0.0694799501394052 0.11024701832939 0.0638700301584463 0.0575640962142423 0.0304990425679157
1977:10 0.0688700490093213 0.107803642133492 0.0637590287541919 0.057947551484 0.0318178150713421
1977:11 0.0682982308964665 0.106387680753952 0.0629583663161844 0.0583657544606978 0.0328448010881024
1977:12 0.0635599565810278 0.0982014223673487 0.05938190707629 0.0543231695689941 0.0300145810201449
1978:1 0.0647672879125961 0.103638734206332 0.0602389197411099 0.0532946936321064 0.0302723422818204
1978:2 0.0629694271355751 0.102108357726558 0.0585028132733813 0.0512333554280653 0.0299774523561307
1978:3 0.0628154378164656 0.102156109320262 0.0574170285196476 0.0515689955261657 0.0287161793520933
1978:4 0.0618073960289853 0.0987573492164869 0.0567071056112828 0.0512337046497808 0.0292934714464536
1978:5 0.0618391686769076 0.101673115549025 0.0551346687769939 0.0485680646167151 0.0265571084573233
1978:6 0.0595821890703398 0.100639145138801 0.0549359933732192 0.0489827274095069 0.0234908014272969
1978:7 0.0623991051093287 0.104944450574745 0.0539946999268126 0.0543335277813207 0.0282905678624132
1978:8 0.0599034268830312 0.0962311617832582 0.0534860745493718 0.0503238907310515 0.0290210771615637
1978:9 0.0606604425313173 0.0978707346661476 0.0529886858545808 0.0503395316638211 0.0296659610416515
1978:10 0.0581457866862493 0.0957695077954319 0.0517124504710463 0.0468231456794533 0.0257822456203537
1978:11 0.0585828696689712 0.0981174589150621 0.0526152276765854 0.0459341469331556 0.0256551484113974
1978:12 0.0601924488855356 0.0999911495332218 0.0544846460026595 0.0473872958043147 0.0289872591885152
1979:1 0.0579853047650576 0.0980975412300104 0.0531610582409035 0.0493631392604764 0.0260173680402124
1979:2 0.0585172263567508 0.0977788160837159 0.0554298162720237 0.0506423634958159 0.0234038825738036
1979:3 0.0578855441766963 0.0992722869352425 0.0526662120142518 0.0477420293602623 0.0259266425454281
1979:4 0.0580487321228387 0.102403082180085 0.0519636742045677 0.044080935246681 0.0231592707920787
1979:5 0.0569042356978225 0.0991403884034407 0.0483841899590231 0.0461716839358552 0.0220748067464436
1979:6 0.0568345392463236 0.0996395713597889 0.051622646020254 0.0440662481053908 0.026820386278983
1979:7 0.0569666821866217 0.0981851717288453 0.0541708702919552 0.0435221321179769 0.0249254000468633
1979:8 0.0599361306245013 0.0993920901286284 0.0553785116378321 0.049150678233771 0.0256960530623142
1979:9 0.0602482526936704 0.100140913790671 0.0560404907601023 0.0458854983661535 0.0256772120926025
1979:10 0.0608458528574221 0.100902157915339 0.0567591497539226 0.047992486343118 0.0259539616858348
1979:11 0.0596463170061423 0.102542569217878 0.0549611720563664 0.0466738633911343 0.0230434370145461
1979:12 0.060373152614711 0.105572894403539 0.0549909482842987 0.048949636027331 0.0233911451838355
1980:1 0.0630622721030608 0.11323851968922 0.0596664206945304 0.050479930801889 0.0221155959027679
1980:2 0.0628820236978878 0.111395530310787 0.0591596846122949 0.0503804843853647 0.0250151479111914
1980:3 0.0637670991491432 0.109791733613259 0.0605383676926855 0.0536153564124479 0.0234158316522966
1980:4 0.07013915399671 0.118362560053156 0.0689124816760844 0.0571531536063515 0.0250941918510858
1980:5 0.0752504857398548 0.125485804871629 0.0741306705671806 0.0634226269766844 0.0244084434662934
1980:6 0.0768428533493 0.124180038598419 0.0779746588661324 0.0652937357547138 0.0267565531070377
1980:7 0.0794175902131302 0.132260786987437 0.0790199166994604 0.0657095139766858 0.0280632558990942
1980:8 0.0782505044758021 0.133337808832825 0.0774184289698877 0.062619587011327 0.0273379596670535
1980:9 0.0765262941100938 0.128059744396024 0.0769850276815173 0.0632696295724306 0.0245343552863449
1980:10 0.0768646581503626 0.131742222805761 0.0750578631751723 0.0626339817161829 0.0274947912196557
1980:11 0.0761435809641822 0.130320511033979 0.075225567911005 0.0612061760918324 0.0281623109091478
1980:12 0.0738538254050877 0.127564256219499 0.0738948542880596 0.0591887588168695 0.0259386899030537
1981:1 0.0757822345455818 0.130907703294314 0.0743280129795579 0.0596480123375745 0.0300975040255937
1981:2 0.0756488379224729 0.131691270736569 0.074635318614931 0.0593882841323166 0.0261292955179146
1981:3 0.0746536663921158 0.130299662343376 0.0741373040195577 0.0572867593640503 0.0262499245402792
1981:4 0.0724399361666326 0.127116311669877 0.0682929165480729 0.0592064645349162 0.0269474754176776
1981:5 0.0757061873445119 0.129517420892144 0.0735064472691774 0.060800717914512 0.0284897035023796
1981:6 0.0750028269519922 0.13204725124187 0.0710378062947844 0.0639221424590213 0.0275377830092233
1981:7 0.073302606397147 0.127649033968916 0.0724771476102173 0.0590926405454706 0.0276486067264504
1981:8 0.0749605480495583 0.130799221289796 0.0743783113529276 0.0594367135482392 0.0269097412664526
1981:9 0.076996337031047 0.133758349648954 0.0768300338253324 0.0599239212384194 0.0290763662189746
1981:10 0.0803979489738551 0.140453673159872 0.0818051606499171 0.0617964417158237 0.029180557533711
1981:11 0.0832181671918013 0.144203123601195 0.0846654533083202 0.0654088079633621 0.0310763256756268
1981:12 0.086270037028269 0.147734029214728 0.0899728843712171 0.0692496074192991 0.0320556628148273
1982:1 0.0875278130903847 0.152695626145666 0.0891812794343224 0.0682489025947128 0.0301154374293874
1982:2 0.090065157078674 0.154667682016704 0.0906631201991472 0.0717426490637329 0.0325456009374938
1982:3 0.0920040830995003 0.155737123203488 0.0939582319406205 0.0740566518596182 0.0343392605609954
1982:4 0.0937435712345567 0.161986612871191 0.0984002904514463 0.0721254064448116 0.0353973483651085
1982:5 0.0938513683536939 0.166205475227953 0.0962245814467592 0.0708912670454476 0.035733250370522
1982:6 0.0946114127242091 0.162479256564989 0.099113605539151 0.0739011271376216 0.0340408775029263
1982:7 0.0971513255779213 0.170733131397384 0.0990816014755704 0.0797133194997304 0.0342370595818372
1982:8 0.0976715184556682 0.171639168762634 0.102810772266567 0.0771238460477945 0.0315667897747997
1982:9 0.100948840152015 0.178958282238191 0.104574339018126 0.0799709959154399 0.0372725097707528
1982:10 0.103587441126327 0.177256190682919 0.109424821205303 0.0843866022332972 0.0397069279986634
1982:11 0.107517420908552 0.183798334813059 0.114019592033326 0.0868764437491485 0.041787858228639
1982:12 0.108452324136819 0.191170860210764 0.115942138693153 0.0863706077640358 0.0412168473207975
1983:1 0.107365439677754 0.180367375844771 0.112931367518053 0.0859442290088631 0.0401531188239456
1983:2 0.107458343590304 0.178295099883879 0.115285207102208 0.0837753628321966 0.0393422972777882
1983:3 0.104720707032073 0.178313215406715 0.109342724572601 0.085132625419742 0.0401632498706707
1983:4 0.102887837571548 0.177265007603662 0.109969973918432 0.083508540108675 0.0393714362549383
1983:5 0.101442210847444 0.177709451706167 0.109966696994332 0.0791504279234762 0.0375868597528191
1983:6 0.0995000931304425 0.173372953129824 0.104822784488702 0.0793029516037291 0.0354502440429307
1983:7 0.0935670547149554 0.164039175226259 0.0962336516360467 0.0796733571456512 0.0355609357280793
1983:8 0.0941023906192227 0.16805892176385 0.0958330902660413 0.0788649289415621 0.0343904351823931
1983:9 0.0909400269472406 0.160884072246733 0.0960720210281547 0.072194530087776 0.0342327551717539
1983:10 0.0870136888982927 0.157588883721298 0.0895312965699837 0.0695470790215755 0.0333765329269575
1983:11 0.0847716979327831 0.151534797925159 0.0876948157533431 0.0687425899820167 0.0310487026467655
1983:12 0.0835399497878447 0.15287553596204 0.0866000085026542 0.0671558526349576 0.0321286054021248
1984:1 0.0810025318767014 0.145329445961538 0.0846849832125781 0.0634829100180014 0.0327094114433183
1984:2 0.0787691062957327 0.145124063413775 0.0821270471650638 0.0583322146919861 0.0314784357246795
1984:3 0.0781989466289398 0.147196777823678 0.0795016320140395 0.0607143395505163 0.0299894627783473
1984:4 0.0775316516874333 0.145074595216201 0.0782593941276693 0.062959451198592 0.0277955792092718
1984:5 0.0754195988096556 0.140971963828622 0.0767145124522386 0.0599762624884132 0.0278297611268496
1984:6 0.0724140945794794 0.134174999345216 0.074222894270556 0.0590493126279121 0.0282940636742358
1984:7 0.0750477664606611 0.146110498069778 0.0753509309687704 0.0580548594712687 0.0311512546161189
1984:8 0.0756651135719959 0.140879595340838 0.0772598972282399 0.0604965620827089 0.0286498083683468
1984:9 0.0739965800868875 0.138992558625887 0.075300918963168 0.0593240931171317 0.0267782731206705
1984:10 0.0745420991648506 0.13986566724491 0.0762163921412344 0.0587355595974358 0.0279083519838424
1984:11 0.0724384949186245 0.134282857906824 0.0740757263506582 0.056414020726005 0.0282221621132457
1984:12 0.072523087966669 0.138311080871745 0.0736327692383582 0.0555093427153551 0.0305580116605913
1985:1 0.0731405887758811 0.14224717394811 0.0737863321171446 0.0568035373215121 0.0290513813952608
1985:2 0.0717735582409356 0.13718527461146 0.0722446699397927 0.0561874942179619 0.0268635973477466
1985:3 0.0718234850156809 0.137655106750586 0.0733242894020982 0.0549254187162636 0.0275032645655026
1985:4 0.0727512007864983 0.137666881403339 0.0756612038578533 0.0554210246333254 0.0277699920031705
1985:5 0.0723500261788108 0.136912706932768 0.073424815156402 0.0585735834277836 0.0278081936663969
1985:6 0.0730186853279679 0.140939446391175 0.0748537985972311 0.0574644389308265 0.0275917580664471
1985:7 0.0734724832572234 0.140034445235488 0.0774325178863448 0.0578315256320558 0.0260264674724558
1985:8 0.0715766061716914 0.135026226384191 0.0742073587034857 0.0560192740904253 0.0262794711225667
1985:9 0.0715518343112522 0.135758086593513 0.0749224715859343 0.057402156266832 0.0250551920332868
1985:10 0.0710765470380049 0.137194608308058 0.0743095989977409 0.0555349860767371 0.0250031287121359
1985:11 0.0696272705160133 0.134880785516348 0.0742608356100332 0.0505816170923247 0.0245667488287702
1985:12 0.0694099396210413 0.132671221388922 0.0724655140180678 0.0567084621272217 0.0246070689760227
1986:1 0.0665575280949837 0.128930443944902 0.0719136947073089 0.0505091637634679 0.0234361261771136
1986:2 0.0723789028685409 0.138499020727497 0.0732550606136922 0.0576622330314416 0.0265007876604175
1986:3 0.0711573623376228 0.13498815599232 0.072956271987701 0.0589811127894958 0.0253966327196923
1986:4 0.0713966213639165 0.136748273458961 0.0727800488752949 0.0587652924043779 0.0259974457405116
1986:5 0.0714696120026701 0.137400464728868 0.074464871810859 0.0566631240729959 0.0269666209770413
1986:6 0.0712043498074105 0.1370549071227 0.0751581001791468 0.05539292910061 0.0261017737782792
1986:7 0.0703650622735419 0.135029497427379 0.0740384740025278 0.0542875867552433 0.027888592257909
1986:8 0.0688552476339509 0.134917857024599 0.0707160597694445 0.0556848552025362 0.0238223713096074
1986:9 0.0703136630526246 0.14220898008945 0.0711697676009256 0.0545652000878004 0.0267529916473008
1986:10 0.0689786980379759 0.136668244845119 0.0691633094068469 0.0560771705712126 0.0268913199553053
1986:11 0.0687813188631696 0.134828764817607 0.0678129394878057 0.0571714425775093 0.0267267731540785
1986:12 0.066814871851205 0.132367669620314 0.0665337749402562 0.0566896546246718 0.0256029562747376
1987:1 0.0666018152578302 0.131484436777355 0.066799537373889 0.0560416275976586 0.0247515032292819
1987:2 0.0663912593064173 0.130509944310716 0.0652685081315005 0.05405072663211 0.0262007970883631
1987:3 0.0656300012008158 0.128635824641118 0.0650465364078223 0.0548005678352764 0.026807665384311
1987:4 0.0635834704626619 0.125177538073384 0.0623454497201439 0.052680659718639 0.026277199111144
1987:5 0.0635211959139472 0.128557035666999 0.0602197366653768 0.0535738948981614 0.0265731046255724
1987:6 0.0612567061904057 0.123256709921183 0.0601020771422188 0.0505478932017644 0.0264656732534846
1987:7 0.0603238347425627 0.118065315175575 0.0605237075135814 0.0505269600345518 0.0246887266834091
1987:8 0.0604634549208833 0.11725810585514 0.0611774346005054 0.0475845353525535 0.0249728139994073
1987:9 0.0599368917860929 0.117516677904256 0.0600687284415994 0.0502142604943827 0.0243695669809444
1987:10 0.0602746861950884 0.12313451956808 0.0609754144417538 0.046284261487995 0.0233188850702825
1987:11 0.0589602637750018 0.117162720287547 0.0605504192131609 0.0457708964176976 0.0222940216490442
1987:12 0.0577978194185232 0.11451453701017 0.058965753114209 0.0459789423502414 0.0222194826691398
1988:1 0.0570459792739713 0.115732868058888 0.0590841336353263 0.0444330582928552 0.0233859157030105
1988:2 0.0570786853531557 0.113147092906548 0.0590946052507144 0.0460213123516221 0.0211349630661925
1988:3 0.0565541391049503 0.114400552728564 0.0585076704305224 0.0444366441395233 0.0210662035658461
1988:4 0.0550509645998655 0.114157894092368 0.0569481218065211 0.0426301573306858 0.0175120304131212
1988:5 0.0561725741688701 0.112493559429621 0.0574673630740115 0.0462300178898575 0.0207127398919953
1988:6 0.0532510731136278 0.111123727066345 0.052916796424979 0.0446979768271895 0.020660793194876
1988:7 0.0545135317672049 0.111586512771333 0.054743823497678 0.0432435812562995 0.0232012459205331
1988:8 0.056153959936661 0.114861739431584 0.0557740271928348 0.0446412422768418 0.0225308872924978
1988:9 0.0546574398781596 0.11273879829184 0.054493926590481 0.043530209038857 0.0217580220913691
1988:10 0.0541363258454453 0.107424057299964 0.0537696359467681 0.0455242748878648 0.0212234115185635
1988:11 0.0539191463201972 0.108705485153118 0.0526033803256751 0.0454212631340054 0.0206856504524995
1988:12 0.0535369286452052 0.107758015072388 0.0528698837226985 0.0419810049215211 0.0235014282321155
1989:1 0.0536804167413363 0.110630323560178 0.054463098822606 0.0432403413270943 0.023159602130561
1989:2 0.0509158654610329 0.103892416435717 0.0511964303120307 0.0412480592898629 0.0231226525933673
1989:3 0.0498909462666052 0.0985918632170909 0.0520306953882306 0.0400724617767126 0.0227925831382353
1989:4 0.0524128926455971 0.105836777251283 0.0517744602741905 0.0428074024267913 0.0232170844654453
1989:5 0.0514377585228753 0.105968018926587 0.0531227312310306 0.0395434609641481 0.0219857198751632
1989:6 0.0529028945344985 0.11351993855914 0.0550813147929656 0.0400681636226539 0.0223940090642236
1989:7 0.0534181249387168 0.108066602274627 0.0562377758253185 0.0422231817023301 0.0219447264350522
1989:8 0.0522222897082314 0.107130836303748 0.0527190605357825 0.0402371376126504 0.0223301026386461
1989:9 0.0537359754718384 0.106938240712873 0.0545484721330476 0.0415656110481598 0.02503969580334
1989:10 0.0539765413784939 0.10758747260622 0.0547212483299122 0.0424458203017598 0.0238971314022675
1989:11 0.0544580792223949 0.109409435050034 0.0553067392999482 0.0416691641829366 0.0247128389901221
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2003:9 0.0606054518378764 0.123575081019393 0.0670338420669778 0.0554100099167777 0.0328511921755021
2003:10 0.0598805925530154 0.122574922889924 0.0675433284785286 0.0519149368400701 0.0327317349249745
2003:11 0.0587428811689231 0.118301961075299 0.0652996142212399 0.051539098842048 0.0322138353391191
2003:12 0.0576153014185729 0.11477858383409 0.0663931631242986 0.0491184668643572 0.0320788175799305
2004:1 0.0576984291331137 0.122240155621588 0.0621574891701286 0.0520905131420628 0.0308438552536819
2004:2 0.056455375417495 0.117270504536787 0.0618771565501762 0.0492809414319215 0.0310756808019428
2004:3 0.0587754816214387 0.116093692959399 0.0671812743567811 0.0519469525451787 0.0310085021150705
2004:4 0.0555814178136949 0.116220584373148 0.0640595017917584 0.0474188202526917 0.029817993397103
2004:5 0.0557849943832235 0.123715920969636 0.0619932914174308 0.047194087816103 0.0293443593064298
2004:6 0.0563229572014924 0.119520303160309 0.0616501283911212 0.048901930432335 0.0296525883069535
2004:7 0.0554811450306245 0.119702934499148 0.0614555483510769 0.0487784868943036 0.0274034992275946
2004:8 0.0546208726071544 0.117818349227427 0.0604072034076568 0.0476197297304606 0.0278260780322949
2004:9 0.0540634206173019 0.120354309650913 0.0589091088459235 0.0482499967229265 0.0264998207716111
2004:10 0.0551639790281468 0.122364982925895 0.0610686768008045 0.0484418066961478 0.0265794988260831
2004:11 0.0544704852606425 0.114942002028967 0.060139240295166 0.0478207917967548 0.0273960747860798
2004:12 0.0541376952410806 0.117494212254547 0.0586570376583508 0.0481581306774282 0.0271859901532891
2005:1 0.0524587721538952 0.112753832142461 0.0599947861021452 0.0465413888006366 0.0267943935741969
2005:2 0.0538425277522739 0.115210080107711 0.0611373663906395 0.0477221096925986 0.0259535168630874
2005:3 0.0525755125198534 0.114502302402079 0.0590862253990068 0.0445669048439067 0.0255425695441115
2005:4 0.0516089767517962 0.116028262746158 0.0560391797756449 0.0452187006331289 0.0262156133763557
2005:5 0.0516738460067516 0.113069508206265 0.0567963269585809 0.0461373169437391 0.025646215288243
2005:6 0.0509133835194348 0.101036567855812 0.0604684512746243 0.0453434975305044 0.0241456953777199
2005:7 0.0502760607744973 0.106491878974686 0.0578984744738069 0.0420495021100308 0.0256171290217287
2005:8 0.0496025084200226 0.109947042473853 0.0586985432130005 0.0413670149678445 0.022655436775273
2005:9 0.0510316886966802 0.114118393969246 0.0599324822471566 0.0411600219813872 0.0244162892200723
2005:10 0.0503699759119187 0.108274818132016 0.0571588478302852 0.0442435704662057 0.0238076274241882
2005:11 0.0514652324462301 0.109841802057896 0.0588849953527619 0.0445934741050051 0.0238376159939593
2005:12 0.0497533147007938 0.109540493721183 0.0559166439526402 0.044448984263619 0.0227165346385555
2006:1 0.0463606094336418 0.0999024524815987 0.0570295502962138 0.0406427577557381 0.0225501217757916
2006:2 0.0479824333621733 0.103900417966497 0.0565460379684439 0.0417006841254701 0.023626707963508
2006:3 0.0470497046077859 0.102759975005299 0.0514758990161994 0.0418889935724995 0.0235900709947618
2006:4 0.0477816640316675 0.0979542201321397 0.0560708609833003 0.0425184253987522 0.0235318300536392
2006:5 0.0468208479769382 0.0971319741561743 0.0549089857414608 0.042165718097798 0.0221634884010636
2006:6 0.0466050685100213 0.101702120384364 0.0526407211854205 0.0404974913262291 0.0224152911566467
2006:7 0.0477820494982891 0.103174229840106 0.0562393033726785 0.0418670888641635 0.022319837144703
2006:8 0.0476515005923456 0.102679124920343 0.0587923647881262 0.0407228588288619 0.0204293868619164
2006:9 0.0469356200160805 0.0985050292707285 0.0543253111214745 0.0412878340345331 0.0223645391536994
2006:10 0.0457571064127943 0.0947204458587713 0.0538236193756324 0.039161871287992 0.0214687141011217
2006:11 0.0466551451067913 0.09747300922801 0.0554418520735499 0.0402309630412633 0.0202793608850072
2006:12 0.0459324959179435 0.0976711606011394 0.0549995020580497 0.0387646239921913 0.0204487886541738
2007:1 0.045551225969505 0.101481279209951 0.0540968461087575 0.0415736980680882 0.0223271864917374
2007:2 0.044993531425797 0.103160175754044 0.0520712577134705 0.0407220592950895 0.019906657323804
2007:3 0.0437180624709744 0.10073252919704 0.0480705273616583 0.0401976655929478 0.0195355067434562
2007:4 0.0452983396628618 0.105062750584834 0.0517141176984974 0.0395167567767639 0.0203538419980171
2007:5 0.0451441182269619 0.0995654076743714 0.0538935920450093 0.0389349525067697 0.021497669151497
2007:6 0.0459339707636542 0.102174721071114 0.0542045111964433 0.0396841969521974 0.022361824291234
2007:7 0.0467019971075581 0.10026424654508 0.0569907377166974 0.0407127869229301 0.0232641606798115
2007:8 0.0468997887844 0.0992832267933514 0.0565669930018247 0.0414994790825099 0.0231221578550431
2007:9 0.0485407732553595 0.110626735668562 0.0566308663787569 0.040692435072223 0.0229455778063763
2007:10 0.0488903877377158 0.103137306741171 0.0591259984174341 0.0413407845794255 0.0234195419094402
2007:11 0.048614188768974 0.111027684734372 0.0568197365482266 0.0384542669760204 0.0239083478418952
2007:12 0.0509292294173146 0.110670719410966 0.060514977476294 0.0449547982051666 0.0226588586011722
2008:1 0.0489387444462504 0.117087953223497 0.0591582434296531 0.0425122417963255 0.0229916567346073
2008:2 0.0485835576898176 0.110997772490517 0.0600876207713947 0.043508742499734 0.0221154505462722
2008:3 0.0507986471383004 0.115668656933884 0.0629542646009647 0.0438652529558026 0.0223269203931905
2008:4 0.0498855395367831 0.110993772831832 0.0621951080741902 0.0432768995549307 0.0227669872455899
2008:5 0.0550646380018593 0.122865672832175 0.0644709480985966 0.0523813706812745 0.0242313385577496
2008:6 0.0563140872198182 0.126265355565794 0.066788540401398 0.049992249114802 0.0253446990192938
2008:7 0.0584592952442865 0.131608859958876 0.0686283948963552 0.0524783398361994 0.0271165878828402
2008:8 0.0619072250013195 0.135534973548129 0.0735692357064904 0.0557758663454047 0.0299824488922946
2008:9 0.0631729144707471 0.136446630865257 0.0778271373775938 0.0572173462415108 0.0280401299373622
2008:10 0.066080249709377 0.144892869172782 0.0786080619524504 0.0583236623688766 0.0335440117250211
2008:11 0.0681499255401847 0.145507920071641 0.0833321053935765 0.0607708488775507 0.0334388611379174
2008:12 0.0745377508445202 0.154239522031477 0.0917735658712451 0.0653717030582912 0.0390822309918022
2009:1 0.0799085978105593 0.161060571133037 0.0965908360123712 0.0701091891705669 0.0416209655264972
2009:2 0.0851929177772544 0.166684375054288 0.102645345345169 0.0767283108307127 0.0444016802514275
2009:3 0.0881764900359323 0.174366402864097 0.106343807265799 0.0800785389415497 0.0463695734390098
2009:4 0.0886026085124902 0.180449208853021 0.11095464102182 0.0831092830922118 0.0464410943811033
2009:5 0.0933208416010767 0.188313041244049 0.115620820770571 0.086380468643836 0.0503763438105254
2009:6 0.0968091560250717 0.186285534902463 0.115151567122533 0.0891418726190962 0.0504885856593923
2009:7 0.0957079631084641 0.189193781025643 0.112021934473457 0.0876674031093619 0.0490559886722681
2009:8 0.0963019030286581 0.191031431700936 0.11513906979824 0.0897808626004687 0.050288303697392
2009:9 0.0978003758690681 0.188721918555369 0.12233069975341 0.0913574571550544 0.0515347859614593
2009:10 0.0997440104088998 0.191604768981371 0.129726437746995 0.0961409810913319 0.0499830768895569
2009:11 0.0980768379484472 0.19233964362745 0.12355285742095 0.0947003227002989 0.0503771297512168
2009:12 0.0998650747348461 0.194098214738789 0.123517214949978 0.0972431088543329 0.0518738537437309
2010:1 0.0997068123862473 0.192431820780787 0.119873346432604 0.0922644354219952 0.0502922567373179
2010:2 0.099336534343523 0.19347041003958 0.122321375521238 0.0881087507378459 0.0512898071246476
2010:3 0.0996904836194588 0.188603558127425 0.124744838466036 0.0917674231620883 0.0509206707116484
2010:4 0.0973525092558953 0.187109320411922 0.125362015275456 0.0921867150319139 0.0512152405489422
2010:5 0.0958104183279037 0.186953414238267 0.125232214734626 0.0882438359547511 0.0487948490643995
2010:6 0.095241552679685 0.176629223319813 0.122407679234512 0.0881833992402363 0.0466195276566025
2010:7 0.0962388332082428 0.182799774744483 0.116580445672947 0.0917343037769315 0.0479549514662509
2010:8 0.0964890739572148 0.187093663543391 0.117978102438201 0.0927365808853936 0.0478926878059752
2010:9 0.0955134469767741 0.195649771055672 0.115314517467521 0.0940668581928402 0.04717590766645
2010:10 0.0950900193504615 0.193100061762913 0.11876633081346 0.0911977979674888 0.0488135775563639
2010:11 0.0967139935814246 0.189678507821829 0.119405697751717 0.0932737011155425 0.0532172150907434
2010:12 0.0946510052579982 0.18879758674847 0.115679036403075 0.0906267105036748 0.0509737997863576
Return to Figure 1

Figure 2a. Unemployment flow rates (Outflow rate (in percent))

Year: Quarter Aggregate Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.397259497505537 0.401005928671653 0.398303622063822 0.420643507792927 0.355776236276909
1977:1 0.399425004403389 0.392177127717414 0.406200970688148 0.417042355308329 0.379314208482709
1977:2 0.406259161344474 0.393145748911073 0.418647092357104 0.419424216054768 0.391571538855534
1977:3 0.412924398432159 0.401877226282175 0.423804193525112 0.423400751026768 0.399733623061394
1977:4 0.410802244692187 0.397684568784267 0.42171641810075 0.421027397220861 0.400538865074688
1977:5 0.420675948280956 0.411733922197471 0.433187435084685 0.439637122751496 0.393338183424149
1977:6 0.432448377613569 0.426134591832362 0.443181753041331 0.437735044927477 0.414974561346529
1977:7 0.432423104639976 0.430114923554465 0.44670583618836 0.423987616507619 0.414657423476811
1977:8 0.437836866487342 0.435115965024496 0.454761003656302 0.429776975545792 0.417819483305286
1977:9 0.439927573009266 0.43612540477166 0.456734017546265 0.427789592760276 0.427882669166053
1977:10 0.447896999525641 0.447822440105195 0.459441027057677 0.437879340648901 0.433403953110786
1977:11 0.461635173740689 0.460960703670711 0.468223763940609 0.464383688475255 0.442447747951696
1977:12 0.465003138349354 0.459994851898432 0.469047004555672 0.478603914400612 0.446840704066554
1978:1 0.475297962401677 0.481659783779266 0.470878436084994 0.49355448750259 0.433725981348536
1978:2 0.480270448950433 0.483580612414336 0.47421849647104 0.512139862271201 0.437507666341931
1978:3 0.482727712835419 0.493274029755282 0.472407095181735 0.513138799004895 0.439218689878884
1978:4 0.491062076637287 0.500464901409556 0.485915104311654 0.515819390574032 0.456037019214769
1978:5 0.500808814786032 0.505738463121316 0.500056244797313 0.514401053993205 0.481022876292808
1978:6 0.503308881778461 0.513795092218734 0.510055059762002 0.506634143283611 0.460524509499241
1978:7 0.51133752123511 0.524698983155541 0.510247059107924 0.530286165927799 0.465538313562604
1978:8 0.51834540297209 0.532337789837671 0.517056981249471 0.535590023965017 0.469292277937492
1978:9 0.53015329395366 0.542217342520636 0.524516868510689 0.553031526180452 0.480780188189791
1978:10 0.534579972744944 0.541127319462458 0.531012625166656 0.573410537787745 0.482320936629485
1978:11 0.533522731345321 0.546618695691203 0.529302485138139 0.564509915807292 0.466421668994383
1978:12 0.537444759473862 0.550286906784237 0.534691446675563 0.556182799823842 0.485579985651908
1979:1 0.539998714674208 0.548411976129473 0.538827714767823 0.550094752604081 0.511442666998843
1979:2 0.540586787610825 0.549790142494973 0.538972854541544 0.555978138349168 0.502920348946817
1979:3 0.545915141175166 0.54207657764456 0.549597822642849 0.579771526934544 0.511576222850341
1979:4 0.553500826907888 0.554755222446771 0.557016265127812 0.578902108751759 0.518485964206014
1979:5 0.554410317395324 0.554150327856821 0.550843816791361 0.603055152149798 0.503796185269894
1979:6 0.554047464989611 0.543899057542931 0.546968187240563 0.613795228082578 0.513321778850178
1979:7 0.552320150490122 0.537412515621495 0.551043866309596 0.610528412309199 0.524523623271694
1979:8 0.554126297662908 0.535768004494773 0.54880473265705 0.624401589791654 0.526532070593061
1979:9 0.551518038564556 0.535251311202205 0.549621628027102 0.614226741619731 0.524498021115486
1979:10 0.553998961138649 0.536744445988633 0.553503542101096 0.597577286507419 0.554398920242393
1979:11 0.556965875190637 0.52888039344467 0.559514548724721 0.606825987046873 0.580393354836024
1979:12 0.549733966282557 0.518437953805954 0.555073980290499 0.605154299571634 0.564781521710412
1980:1 0.547573669940579 0.52153250747527 0.558044285815845 0.611436459216814 0.542150259177415
1980:2 0.548133321857517 0.524070525796663 0.556593751990485 0.594697461696917 0.56802712655155
1980:3 0.537071521983836 0.514943246744006 0.536989757338866 0.582480626979106 0.569625090538038
1980:4 0.528076941094102 0.502825194274408 0.524914059855543 0.586284871582066 0.574582869634271
1980:5 0.520083572351958 0.496402456382949 0.521867973981726 0.559278584851065 0.568493297031096
1980:6 0.512241461476866 0.489815650076716 0.51342932414032 0.545042338682105 0.562259834336221
1980:7 0.50582861432669 0.485355780635288 0.503335822726887 0.533764202909197 0.556522666663629
1980:8 0.495834581936713 0.479184216853325 0.488116826262808 0.521460871117035 0.566575594698873
1980:9 0.48469016316603 0.469121041900389 0.483016121942636 0.511599403056405 0.540154025313536
1980:10 0.475827558884984 0.467091846206973 0.4678905673407 0.503061363489516 0.512517325083534
1980:11 0.462755571099807 0.458852798663515 0.451408837366891 0.48666673617151 0.503227063751702
1980:12 0.456360613643335 0.457814615133662 0.445040257671767 0.481391174015362 0.485853553386113
1981:1 0.448280909472492 0.442076310364411 0.433692313662998 0.473526823503212 0.501311594936844
1981:2 0.442333592770393 0.43985112821954 0.426486597868864 0.466989800453915 0.481372599741069
1981:3 0.444657425360107 0.446411793406489 0.439619514744347 0.45473182959899 0.460225697690937
1981:4 0.434748073876315 0.432903675644351 0.425775243635789 0.452691416098144 0.440758559390709
1981:5 0.438391610420835 0.436169826666104 0.428674214843532 0.45361763659975 0.449298772384988
1981:6 0.441150966951143 0.442552098542017 0.42643960693817 0.467125230727659 0.448916126209045
1981:7 0.440615020545538 0.436465665186001 0.431602844947387 0.468830561126559 0.443970207405265
1981:8 0.440105725104345 0.4413083382276 0.433985645988334 0.463982751941178 0.422672619829364
1981:9 0.438427466894043 0.43921312911851 0.42545072689736 0.469596488939739 0.433072321806446
1981:10 0.436482282716416 0.436064975466451 0.427819354424356 0.462994011346994 0.429885839599876
1981:11 0.437235623554287 0.443825112150717 0.424510449740754 0.468081101231065 0.420127213786343
1981:12 0.444885600711095 0.448872627185384 0.430359438691095 0.47618513368732 0.43436078654528
1982:1 0.442531262120424 0.454709558558317 0.428907176971534 0.467117945453983 0.413495322491586
1982:2 0.434657760788214 0.448297697329575 0.421823833863827 0.462913713000269 0.397523600172961
1982:3 0.427025732594036 0.440322278982362 0.407364377534246 0.464628048796003 0.403745872804641
1982:4 0.426253972264952 0.436925277724552 0.411183969628246 0.456771421993858 0.397303866653696
1982:5 0.414595401880371 0.427254427972634 0.395142868622092 0.446227182925413 0.391249842194511
1982:6 0.406694067124696 0.415449615159746 0.392494899936762 0.426167886237056 0.391859353218126
1982:7 0.402235089405987 0.414808373687797 0.382606802891485 0.41684095849513 0.399223648916939
1982:8 0.389147564656958 0.397226580818334 0.379888562092815 0.399283512616056 0.382309865497407
1982:9 0.382513396518928 0.395607345130796 0.371478433802603 0.384989863011631 0.375133854143213
1982:10 0.37190671347572 0.383453114677298 0.359735631102789 0.380936527181763 0.358591462954613
1982:11 0.360489563595655 0.374965499959403 0.350568511326808 0.365562858342892 0.350196776838233
1982:12 0.350385421833012 0.369214012739117 0.342092978770619 0.34447821383232 0.340457282065648
1983:1 0.34289411177517 0.36224893896201 0.332367325732638 0.341689660791632 0.335593014486906
1983:2 0.339459693224181 0.350011703335315 0.334277831841892 0.338419746561644 0.336499480081819
1983:3 0.334810140873841 0.34757758988511 0.329862317362071 0.328720424924689 0.326251237729513
1983:4 0.329573361614997 0.342892332423327 0.322510444340515 0.322613182624848 0.318308793890755
1983:5 0.328288939238016 0.340433323710146 0.322240070551971 0.325757842674191 0.319523741772382
1983:6 0.330221645796915 0.344270724861157 0.323911050793832 0.328744871467727 0.309509083234456
1983:7 0.328064609967468 0.342840975967198 0.325118161657047 0.325581106775086 0.298832138634369
1983:8 0.333642375412693 0.346772917548701 0.326083463194927 0.341811223383799 0.311461273181947
1983:9 0.341027149624157 0.349338191476154 0.338472142723563 0.347712238387153 0.317873642054819
1983:10 0.348569726338526 0.35571173374189 0.34469848191506 0.354520029965653 0.332865676846222
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1993:7 0.355452581523555 0.400649296219844 0.362891897791426 0.338561096203982 0.293830376255254
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1993:11 0.362927845567218 0.399901944083202 0.368212375961551 0.354040766337363 0.310747062828122
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1998:2 0.539827417194593 0.524654976653579 0.532542088049048 0.581437638777448 0.512275616969626
1998:3 0.556195094978851 0.552594610224177 0.54833225051723 0.592384207626656 0.528289116314554
1998:4 0.562971116567888 0.565621363845732 0.556280684835493 0.580465410524764 0.550775440408575
1998:5 0.565461841463619 0.562966916379984 0.551699793094019 0.590879532960526 0.55603989297976
1998:6 0.567809110556737 0.56843106642478 0.55400598946529 0.588490635829748 0.570955557913308
1998:7 0.572951843480447 0.57631464570985 0.562051778732524 0.608516010878068 0.54874059191948
1998:8 0.57843563198632 0.588892832168501 0.560201139727537 0.60773396126962 0.562787177326139
1998:9 0.581373388905359 0.601680343545701 0.560628246371706 0.604409756624894 0.570748465312558
1998:10 0.579830901989694 0.592575704638371 0.559125652462833 0.611552133562307 0.570567525569594
1998:11 0.585068724017208 0.594030213257426 0.564737993391989 0.623007189641916 0.570301630874988
1998:12 0.582983849979435 0.590779019624016 0.56504657440083 0.610936401252924 0.575625623363032
1999:1 0.58130543222808 0.589727449943081 0.574305992947937 0.591553029349071 0.578852303246932
1999:2 0.585829526357605 0.605927591246455 0.573831174400506 0.600494430081814 0.570928730866334
1999:3 0.575090641094833 0.579173088180287 0.566913165922827 0.602925541861735 0.557230973537622
1999:4 0.578748845664856 0.566796483628354 0.570626421642766 0.628270720733614 0.561428353707126
1999:5 0.580886650291332 0.572310791191686 0.577098699657523 0.627841412385673 0.550270733517484
1999:6 0.583035622213636 0.570607192940412 0.582529206840214 0.624621208666158 0.553591602483987
1999:7 0.585595716073688 0.572318953880268 0.581997770410231 0.620006718021771 0.568538808805003
1999:8 0.589208286565237 0.56996136014107 0.58594009985277 0.635149496608334 0.567933310284184
1999:9 0.592918725832415 0.564760102240896 0.600252758574127 0.630051988189505 0.563078236665067
1999:10 0.596494214663523 0.575967104209355 0.602847561202343 0.623060759213235 0.572225294684522
1999:11 0.599672324921821 0.586299229644975 0.59987259273873 0.634438681179109 0.57556748882827
1999:12 0.601520274162515 0.582611248424921 0.599546184417934 0.65214607499914 0.567863357479
2000:1 0.60389464300986 0.58913035510911 0.592889587727282 0.662762042500027 0.579210568294399
2000:2 0.606381655714773 0.574427139175786 0.610225175141191 0.663891984064842 0.586144468741633
2000:3 0.61121237705412 0.589758557844098 0.61152725767853 0.651686888937482 0.593547295390114
2000:4 0.605870062705057 0.596916626073727 0.59961956511138 0.648075495896248 0.581444451832065
2000:5 0.616907543941068 0.619457020089297 0.609807014638959 0.646975007217005 0.604901369195568
2000:6 0.621906467378619 0.621448860907314 0.609826214913259 0.66266719394659 0.606770238847495
2000:7 0.619013378260503 0.619150208278313 0.60494498644855 0.669533284050342 0.599545103749375
2000:8 0.626508247705142 0.62761503634591 0.618031908378792 0.668513068004959 0.601312035433794
2000:9 0.624635938095112 0.633382413770087 0.597725756941676 0.67943136513801 0.60367325084199
2000:10 0.621453253797884 0.626609944552502 0.601125556700247 0.677827007040522 0.597544504122369
2000:11 0.623371956018827 0.631442567980396 0.60595815780013 0.665534983380438 0.595554081272906
2000:12 0.618065815983338 0.624106526556497 0.600219131224141 0.656953593058819 0.595222995974582
2001:1 0.624299728458775 0.619904518339451 0.604161368169479 0.673788935269909 0.606421604469033
2001:2 0.61540667292857 0.621021322014541 0.589696474495381 0.670083958922509 0.582433869607367
2001:3 0.61794813464744 0.627858616620655 0.592011487414281 0.673245769259474 0.581634395562722
2001:4 0.620755113556155 0.638232027039399 0.604167857604471 0.66346537343742 0.580710506290748
2001:5 0.610723785457943 0.616209606491758 0.601671969239695 0.657584606635857 0.561861348293509
2001:6 0.601719403994195 0.614418401164432 0.591356133841037 0.648095449763685 0.546415336619204
2001:7 0.593862571998668 0.62089456369655 0.584046754123065 0.627723992440386 0.54603259030036
2001:8 0.57912300852709 0.606450892265879 0.570333071450355 0.613071801256774 0.526402666831203
2001:9 0.566048362389686 0.591399921715541 0.573648611827777 0.578579227722573 0.514133210604432
2001:10 0.555974896109639 0.593567605353847 0.560527625213605 0.57490139200527 0.494869765441054
2001:11 0.538315497004776 0.563713324947539 0.550442861280245 0.556859900616081 0.479199545571759
2001:12 0.534421380958284 0.568252062959802 0.541754275278235 0.551746157422008 0.47589437028905
2002:1 0.517713621479841 0.556160883696257 0.530279210225592 0.529440335494422 0.44610036511613
2002:2 0.510463840200084 0.551605099937911 0.517031682956622 0.512049177262743 0.452676820530246
2002:3 0.486098270732498 0.515982816390254 0.497730312269828 0.48523513289903 0.432195472519104
2002:4 0.46766976563573 0.49986129928587 0.475453676892583 0.466448280080931 0.422032254671461
2002:5 0.454174039895146 0.494629605811034 0.460088229035224 0.451146771273489 0.408792564998894
2002:6 0.446651576478978 0.479151244399192 0.457029666041124 0.44479457279788 0.400672589890973
2002:7 0.443642284136458 0.475952275913862 0.452132118073189 0.442068540291759 0.394733941731141
2002:8 0.43304829219424 0.476904421891812 0.438673123036201 0.427499423021543 0.391395062327471
2002:9 0.428095252706062 0.465032247274741 0.432226957572987 0.433252600393044 0.380216429386855
2002:10 0.422006499757555 0.451183677988002 0.421495892294774 0.428424863362248 0.386377418080969
2002:11 0.417863554088341 0.456606977994208 0.416200717358806 0.418982473837097 0.379220044906121
2002:12 0.409803890499466 0.450197242491794 0.412584483614611 0.410047668761948 0.367769882984352
2003:1 0.402094592860423 0.457898661936457 0.402314538402126 0.394194676994276 0.363646715387215
2003:2 0.394821666490136 0.452032237635703 0.400257040084145 0.382699472075403 0.35735324412472
2003:3 0.396860538401414 0.464072252486992 0.392965749011578 0.386011998621233 0.358152904169758
2003:4 0.39809870914305 0.454050181706543 0.39721221750363 0.389621393978168 0.358227407453035
2003:5 0.39476904542082 0.44489555678032 0.393707537760365 0.390626434408592 0.357577910779337
2003:6 0.391349740970187 0.451697573866783 0.393154299748641 0.379100968821078 0.352446119169575
2003:7 0.384955367581193 0.431766589668275 0.391632617407151 0.375138183257057 0.339581646002975
2003:8 0.383573305616292 0.434077893738229 0.394214960143197 0.369318660732958 0.337145292633409
2003:9 0.381601723222532 0.437252522551233 0.392649944125026 0.36441329647453 0.337894657954199
2003:10 0.380495229200669 0.440334884417024 0.393335125844958 0.366549712042506 0.326186089972835
2003:11 0.381015578030072 0.4458665244573 0.384655129832591 0.376671219300819 0.32870355774106
2003:12 0.383340542528391 0.443500981417244 0.392083174906441 0.373839018973441 0.332361659896982
2004:1 0.380981293972277 0.432637029452841 0.392346595544893 0.380793510055565 0.323613604915627
2004:2 0.376486364680957 0.425080151662888 0.38860577246372 0.373711795425039 0.324697713582218
2004:3 0.382183078429053 0.425796278986157 0.397035851033574 0.386179987407441 0.325283185164414
2004:4 0.383669405716505 0.424966722462917 0.397008886488496 0.38777797845116 0.326216323411936
2004:5 0.385319593149247 0.426669340334841 0.399805219381741 0.382847428475172 0.332403503185996
2004:6 0.390243059067728 0.429163199507341 0.402412880342882 0.391318821486333 0.342603781232086
2004:7 0.396452370889741 0.434382335023781 0.406938836664777 0.394601573774235 0.350191933491718
2004:8 0.401460383926626 0.419732519342521 0.41576138510098 0.406855358498102 0.359035087868571
2004:9 0.405872201783245 0.426107151645806 0.417756604102781 0.409333679872932 0.364279020182821
2004:10 0.408204197193497 0.42833677833429 0.423049089446628 0.40530151229077 0.371806543771501
2004:11 0.412304987015898 0.421845384898328 0.432410527765322 0.407555353059048 0.384322359399518
2004:12 0.415665928179332 0.433601067414435 0.427293259516565 0.414480731961526 0.385487986860329
2005:1 0.422914069083827 0.441630892533852 0.43411008892906 0.414372261223842 0.399119890970445
2005:2 0.429385760177725 0.441196469531182 0.441832999099309 0.426993881560683 0.397642911307932
2005:3 0.429136790930088 0.434420396013155 0.449744187162755 0.421953220079401 0.395581727635022
2005:4 0.433145460927691 0.443555848075322 0.452367729589917 0.423322669572571 0.397151190816494
2005:5 0.439277664419997 0.465892755218402 0.454524768201577 0.429285122728404 0.403572646889403
2005:6 0.436963587340883 0.454106058642257 0.453709421092314 0.433119653557486 0.396466982992837
2005:7 0.441017919474703 0.461807662363876 0.451183117465359 0.439358274142458 0.404277721607126
2005:8 0.440284234907277 0.472252392103833 0.447501110901976 0.438428460464055 0.400132708082447
2005:9 0.444819557485116 0.484365212433832 0.449920096807133 0.439713250584516 0.404920930767025
2005:10 0.447772323049122 0.475253220512821 0.455037100403906 0.442470175923531 0.416828277849847
2005:11 0.449789530618661 0.481360302051431 0.461005855285963 0.43545224349979 0.416906570946656
2005:12 0.457048076862248 0.483512986251354 0.467840839165308 0.445102026082263 0.424900759093641
2006:1 0.456527207897696 0.476752700008517 0.469000607541568 0.446407531964838 0.425316549579396
2006:2 0.465428188442522 0.494484670526505 0.479720547727028 0.452147807192489 0.439335920003229
2006:3 0.470486128794205 0.508801416315273 0.474540605680568 0.451037110770993 0.454127123619029
2006:4 0.47234009870643 0.511924010989911 0.472557707034596 0.454119953425116 0.460222371622578
2006:5 0.477591645647175 0.504200578599943 0.480579913422176 0.470609483813248 0.459647720092392
2006:6 0.481578483629379 0.521533639213472 0.475711071944422 0.470640884228277 0.472059579801052
2006:7 0.483074456887752 0.525488563597754 0.470518591988961 0.471162313309955 0.482388608813562
2006:8 0.490736602080961 0.539630380352696 0.479434575683744 0.474958705417417 0.482723020061968
2006:9 0.497826190140256 0.549673125504111 0.480005091761329 0.485510871219663 0.491298930240564
2006:10 0.495518091481646 0.553891634230629 0.475444053057529 0.489259769778301 0.483503807809616
2006:11 0.499284141251609 0.552865749718273 0.475928857100886 0.498212426707114 0.486214248455688
2006:12 0.489726785444437 0.543430113793022 0.47261878719778 0.483847968528656 0.476386103984616
2007:1 0.497520323953471 0.551365322985796 0.48112293113875 0.491669759170701 0.485374905121784
2007:2 0.494826116564508 0.544500282610663 0.477199650728962 0.488015606252621 0.485428064838327
2007:3 0.493220565371144 0.539338655091815 0.479751153691381 0.486765056918752 0.485738611693706
2007:4 0.491114721696564 0.543107511530942 0.47223151678839 0.49031589298461 0.47748203512084
2007:5 0.486676549082161 0.540213007794619 0.469099805475543 0.479568960301443 0.472578031383285
2007:6 0.479517136030317 0.524280439317104 0.465845966930335 0.471786013015062 0.463688353089743
2007:7 0.478180326599923 0.523290293184281 0.475513922018044 0.465697583622554 0.456535939490073
2007:8 0.471724509051646 0.506057659872581 0.464340407565344 0.466883833032117 0.455025199341322
2007:9 0.460970952507162 0.4825819526278 0.458615005912675 0.456275814924982 0.446120905546715
2007:10 0.463437235883449 0.477876065060477 0.462335155973111 0.462955879492864 0.454101065797466
2007:11 0.454625581559339 0.475912703662112 0.45460509561311 0.444348541737944 0.449626794561713
2007:12 0.45764352202641 0.486162571850166 0.453490351643725 0.446981916166216 0.458255094891905
2008:1 0.451146578677793 0.491159562730012 0.445199274036389 0.445142786785767 0.445907746322958
2008:2 0.447880823336234 0.490532061885236 0.434356861544819 0.447272992102411 0.435470264370349
2008:3 0.443418169741899 0.498909772772782 0.428337759071707 0.444141759373369 0.419758679037002
2008:4 0.441635064978346 0.491460324759569 0.437008915207545 0.43270579958344 0.422679274385353
2008:5 0.432107736586868 0.475959407810277 0.429674505058275 0.423006394221579 0.41493615398291
2008:6 0.42891383018909 0.48759952708777 0.427244159649174 0.416066320427119 0.406695689971277
2008:7 0.417760012617982 0.47628226562392 0.416152348384527 0.406779948853091 0.38956447611391
2008:8 0.41227644892744 0.477237343235688 0.406081748514862 0.395393468087016 0.393505995705733
2008:9 0.401468804986267 0.46604940449623 0.401230715997468 0.387234775332531 0.373650788066712
2008:10 0.393299670055989 0.47593539429444 0.388548974885626 0.369403488382983 0.360516309406741
2008:11 0.382947022058854 0.46212087354085 0.375683835090611 0.370780953640484 0.343719645369501
2008:12 0.369885468712024 0.435309751467625 0.365432705875729 0.364177048718698 0.334821261421837
2009:1 0.356041420558013 0.411848349349333 0.350406989338178 0.345393522327749 0.327119715790495
2009:2 0.342128389470157 0.390733250970541 0.337602756829899 0.332003637809505 0.317048368804749
2009:3 0.327370107789123 0.36163850529493 0.322031907573353 0.322001734000034 0.313867601635224
2009:4 0.308607110011251 0.335571426326891 0.301481185122933 0.310405558865237 0.292667902948024
2009:5 0.298046974314593 0.326752848595743 0.288760999075203 0.298725039316579 0.283651989784786
2009:6 0.290338400411161 0.306971640116621 0.285018400484572 0.293472379107273 0.279315498797581
2009:7 0.279728486850864 0.295469633869654 0.27407185030986 0.2823001429003 0.274379478096469
2009:8 0.263883940956262 0.286213760184507 0.257730537478575 0.265185751866221 0.256975733322529
2009:9 0.254167752394881 0.276408183777687 0.243370661635634 0.249987470840404 0.260729117082989
2009:10 0.244346187262072 0.257970948714745 0.238783128451119 0.24238832050349 0.247201123788039
2009:11 0.238265044085483 0.249197145562763 0.234372039066123 0.235156691970607 0.244358704484148
2009:12 0.234603926230636 0.251352285852672 0.228872550248345 0.232274120008605 0.233363556776437
2010:1 0.227999277325538 0.247500283570678 0.215584611039029 0.234412686919544 0.223991151559307
2010:2 0.220577550272528 0.248428574438595 0.207688486033018 0.22194361395999 0.217354883845676
2010:3 0.214233844583476 0.245754977330362 0.202825475911075 0.213871053235971 0.208010875090525
2010:4 0.213503935084237 0.248369188555952 0.200710217065087 0.208260885922151 0.214205853736521
2010:5 0.213763642155352 0.250867956501117 0.197623292264616 0.208105681471002 0.218390343863008
2010:6 0.210042409450455 0.247890066784615 0.193520159619538 0.202694211816832 0.216111176188797
2010:7 0.208314139120375 0.243893587472555 0.193551415363471 0.200569006637228 0.213585089199371
2010:8 0.209683685895588 0.226640436884615 0.204674648067264 0.201439971312926 0.216037339215869
2010:9 0.210692904280331 0.22943238532465 0.205781321375457 0.206265990185855 0.209442142650862
2010:10 0.206416761956255 0.226996009170769 0.201719114961269 0.201748435231466 0.2005632178707
2010:11 0.208668525063577 0.230241881002694 0.201684891343594 0.207378826123132 0.20583905664016
Return to Figure 2a

Figure 2b: Unemployment flow rates (Inflow rate (in percent))

Year:Quarter Aggregate Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.0229565573263239 0.0331428014206619 0.0230410885019431 0.0210406535108577 0.0114904146000972
1977:1 0.0231696439412242 0.0332499177695493 0.0233068343122344 0.0209481918425458 0.0118383875910636
1977:2 0.0235166119315058 0.0336751992077208 0.0236474405958499 0.021040597420992 0.0123657460982657
1977:3 0.0236134399559249 0.0337167936783019 0.0236548060487892 0.0214125457725788 0.012475451026992
1977:4 0.0234757830886671 0.0335990560612176 0.023486042415167 0.0211211472481596 0.0124174550419976
1977:5 0.0236514877230198 0.03372349510613 0.0238451275548623 0.021024458416943 0.0129117405233164
1977:6 0.0236037366082664 0.033815277865431 0.0237910818743237 0.0205280433482474 0.0129595474181745
1977:7 0.0235409809373317 0.0339141561787409 0.0239842539822185 0.0204589908833088 0.0126173233021945
1977:8 0.0233387262366663 0.0338705957510632 0.0238540531596396 0.0200378586838912 0.0124760595676489
1977:9 0.023363383046156 0.0339259159973798 0.023791205053189 0.019964597602399 0.012767236501013
1977:10 0.023381956078619 0.0339750316038132 0.0237240421820864 0.0200335876776248 0.0128487500976501
1977:11 0.0232998944366972 0.033833463701774 0.0234376126786553 0.0204696958414569 0.0127662570143898
1977:12 0.0231376001068772 0.033782381118849 0.023056384232722 0.020603287127872 0.0125098781747705
1978:1 0.0228575063181946 0.0336296245726812 0.0226438314557596 0.0204289054555159 0.0122473834337671
1978:2 0.02267435681209 0.0335923749305525 0.0223965561642038 0.0203955966181461 0.0119978901680825
1978:3 0.0225002721017852 0.0335364504042923 0.0223019627711971 0.0199961229320984 0.0119845487596352
1978:4 0.0227286709296275 0.0342348673756831 0.0226879388821852 0.0199887326094964 0.0119042650846733
1978:5 0.022496233555091 0.0341946620745279 0.0224318985202218 0.0198016796705183 0.0115566685055575
1978:6 0.0225336771696103 0.0344057783715826 0.0224030124014954 0.0200003217052759 0.0114450342474853
1978:7 0.0225471055000043 0.0343261660817337 0.0222309291843265 0.0203467676082444 0.0116554037965625
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1991:7 0.024911589258337 0.0552429914857009 0.0273547365257051 0.0210783582771421 0.0106012010786041
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2006:2 0.018837361897408 0.0396692109945293 0.0229041465973335 0.0177781963013917 0.0102285796925674
2006:3 0.0190384239404256 0.0398937457140432 0.0230746878222368 0.0177146934863806 0.0104794806520335
2006:4 0.0189370784305449 0.0399350725579218 0.0227637905509054 0.0177913117233703 0.0104233382640951
2006:5 0.0189047484293187 0.0399192566118039 0.0225885391139056 0.0180298196956842 0.0103656860082488
2006:6 0.0189715330691899 0.0404190649594113 0.0223428266081345 0.0182147922892993 0.0104722566427223
2006:7 0.0190528241067173 0.0404778081107359 0.0223360872837616 0.0183348242351245 0.0105847866755635
2006:8 0.0189288848303525 0.0399533447155605 0.0218865765086539 0.0184528525883541 0.0105556886092009
2006:9 0.0189090680228168 0.0402278708812252 0.0217456567362334 0.018465532716391 0.010485264061059
2006:10 0.0186880277345617 0.040732044942546 0.0215355690828197 0.018293952140468 0.0101149073724666
2006:11 0.0187311277942483 0.0405493907696867 0.0215688907254383 0.0184162410347104 0.0101149150844213
2006:12 0.0185844153594601 0.0400982988148554 0.0214096031215773 0.0183692024389733 0.0100908185728366
2007:1 0.0187060894834794 0.0409690824595784 0.0217565153434288 0.0183542969878642 0.00993673110533218
2007:2 0.0184625087914278 0.0404329806698336 0.0214473276733007 0.0181899030198696 0.00968300050962059
2007:3 0.0182348355825456 0.0398595225719937 0.0212670521551252 0.0181180877765023 0.00953535456780187
2007:4 0.0181717506490331 0.0394312655519012 0.021226829778379 0.0180698756783351 0.00953056949758106
2007:5 0.0180290757011297 0.0388512953750703 0.021099635876795 0.0179372557542341 0.00942211036802958
2007:6 0.0178130639377239 0.0382090631768239 0.0210205380355248 0.0174966364759669 0.00933399589302968
2007:7 0.0177382907515721 0.0375234057620585 0.021161374410909 0.0173753802815354 0.00945771022045184
2007:8 0.0176278461901692 0.0379814036942602 0.0213017511491085 0.0171366236284094 0.0091280645988583
2007:9 0.0175312847507046 0.0371505346027628 0.021333476103703 0.0169689103675257 0.00923076851127413
2007:10 0.0176021755132527 0.0370073913890016 0.0212995710608607 0.017076235434658 0.00960834640946489
2007:11 0.0175138582793219 0.0372140060643135 0.0212230621309191 0.0168582499136853 0.009567463436521
2007:12 0.0175746299970819 0.0383782015344504 0.0213236228328329 0.0166653884186105 0.00958784145511849
2008:1 0.0174470438697699 0.0380618598238225 0.0211516905182799 0.0168932594427862 0.00955569583704
2008:2 0.0178133347825135 0.0396626007835031 0.0215126558217671 0.0171993194129437 0.00952087130815728
2008:3 0.017770533965707 0.040326057752697 0.0215142432545413 0.0172093158220398 0.009299314629224
2008:4 0.018043502533804 0.0412944834443445 0.0220511271983704 0.0174446004431483 0.0093624250769302
2008:5 0.0181139529413051 0.041475716516741 0.0223720980785142 0.0173098967791713 0.00940718381380469
2008:6 0.0182512416522075 0.0425812764053771 0.0225030344412688 0.0175035348761998 0.00934023392571968
2008:7 0.0186278382930392 0.0444184763859978 0.0227699683469114 0.0177516247827394 0.00943469103773288
2008:8 0.0188992937824258 0.0447253095575142 0.0229392098139468 0.0181990369248516 0.00961442657789525
2008:9 0.0191797558057056 0.0457567524119869 0.0234681671295899 0.0184151552093552 0.00974056900145127
2008:10 0.0196979815202177 0.0477154247924307 0.024040613668666 0.0188243794428185 0.00976799638276826
2008:11 0.0201416795858561 0.0479578015578273 0.0247544802143955 0.0191988375482359 0.010125948806536
2008:12 0.0207798197600577 0.0476918759040747 0.0255851014522534 0.0203255386168268 0.0107124402425331
2009:1 0.0213789142587609 0.0484427561651574 0.0260205726278401 0.0209368062161786 0.0112221797898201
2009:2 0.0217205754985453 0.0479509583947075 0.026477290267688 0.021337625278309 0.01170285972
2009:3 0.0222848448775726 0.0485631071712841 0.0270516675099513 0.0220460199606526 0.0122371792945683
2009:4 0.0224516580989544 0.0479150860881924 0.0273050309873776 0.0222369060239995 0.0124227045114072
2009:5 0.0228124850316365 0.0489356956457225 0.0275776447905137 0.0226781146289925 0.0125828906903892
2009:6 0.0231136703326994 0.0491410293497768 0.0280930825781434 0.0229670721085531 0.0128695686723847
2009:7 0.023002725716503 0.0488106281879636 0.0279606466280956 0.022896751351275 0.0128663952772828
2009:8 0.0229633319961628 0.0484713421510031 0.027959469183713 0.0224857362982702 0.0131368539505336
2009:9 0.0229592943658329 0.0482760354531137 0.0279794478831097 0.0225458021421524 0.0130876336720922
2009:10 0.0225785875776936 0.0465415264991451 0.027517569867804 0.0225930260132182 0.0129478746889079
2009:11 0.0223761475697077 0.046445283802317 0.0270941520739254 0.0226258975522447 0.0127669542662045
2009:12 0.0218591327565508 0.0463470898816571 0.0264195044092713 0.0220964371459995 0.0121769485216837
2010:1 0.0213402463380732 0.0457559725418554 0.0259204591730333 0.0213671863787192 0.0118274670309978
2010:2 0.0207674879676746 0.0449589901112485 0.0253504229286261 0.0207456135697634 0.0114281590984897
2010:3 0.0201211049759452 0.0442453293887905 0.0244979922829471 0.020044730892612 0.011017987412139
2010:4 0.0197675058097109 0.0440008283966679 0.0240777731869296 0.0195397093705941 0.0108249957262703
2010:5 0.0194877481329887 0.0428744067674252 0.0236872426547417 0.0192635090894342 0.0107808860003283
2010:6 0.0192698285693983 0.0416714074832917 0.0233848391249796 0.019126578777494 0.0107439573643556
2010:7 0.0191475742673947 0.0405160547986234 0.0234287283843826 0.0191969285231148 0.0105533426523304
2010:8 0.0190659001950219 0.0397401743871127 0.0234957097422231 0.0194427460863938 0.0103907198484628
2010:9 0.0187541248764713 0.0396678958110718 0.0230343581929167 0.018924151464818 0.0102702141916294
2010:10 0.0187410604694878 0.0403630245676378 0.0231181467766572 0.0186104391066121 0.0101854114616723
2010:11 0.0185643970397727 0.0403050134024141 0.0228169323396599 0.0185706543910758 0.0101468817906181
Return to Figure 2b

Figure 3a: Counterfactual unemployment rates : The role of outflows rates

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.0554617964942967 0.0552954028514059 0.0540381967452618 0.0613777323639095
1977:1 0.0576374493046148 0.0548146957987969 0.0550031877980922 0.0583760969458366
1977:2 0.0582195683554206 0.0540697417915383 0.0554771607620833 0.0574295422782227
1977:3 0.0573868085113054 0.0536507980765668 0.0551938391350588 0.0565685889323816
1977:4 0.0574552186594681 0.0535730231005397 0.0551309209879023 0.0561170286228738
1977:5 0.0557522278374013 0.0521134827496734 0.0523363388777549 0.0575771401009005
1977:6 0.0538921198834076 0.0506528158897637 0.052384902898339 0.0555171145154675
1977:7 0.0533199846350743 0.0501963228209594 0.053799750047195 0.0554146389946289
1977:8 0.0523031094268548 0.0489508362387524 0.0526663636727591 0.0546570319196923
1977:9 0.0522370361911835 0.0487860990482831 0.0529186408560368 0.0533417002446598
1977:10 0.0509852016536604 0.0485369385409528 0.0519982724474954 0.0525308756738137
1977:11 0.049217873012163 0.0475597470701924 0.0488779664103072 0.0512460015337917
1977:12 0.0490019067474776 0.0471680983323463 0.0475422975638493 0.0503624107827405
1978:1 0.0455050867255805 0.0464698243417665 0.045472530356106 0.0511283302053057
1978:2 0.0449858984732904 0.045864524639826 0.0435881119568245 0.050417665151305
1978:3 0.043954698810152 0.0456957920262855 0.0431176167139307 0.049900008421076
1978:4 0.043832237846102 0.0450610062395568 0.0433218399121132 0.0487856239910126
1978:5 0.0429422917928141 0.0434685339518283 0.0429981960914914 0.045904917988252
1978:6 0.0424456951914181 0.0427279854183946 0.043702064582443 0.047772921908164
1978:7 0.0416216091554306 0.0427363024435344 0.041568010812793 0.0471493559877602
1978:8 0.0411265028816844 0.0423844975704668 0.0412486665145246 0.0469649379662358
1978:9 0.0401514901009192 0.0416529426251118 0.0398825355160251 0.0459796046477003
1978:10 0.0400058493351062 0.0408767885955866 0.038666532423418 0.0455073351411015
1978:11 0.0397400262440514 0.041161698227451 0.0394073946938467 0.0481926254869744
1978:12 0.0395015412944041 0.0407849988159442 0.0399800881063509 0.0469091356720241
1979:1 0.0400182426266935 0.0408557743704507 0.0408488238490646 0.0452797312949662
1979:2 0.0397007590540328 0.0406467871023654 0.0404154106739221 0.0459057587129197
1979:3 0.0404451086886308 0.0399402088280369 0.039098768674804 0.0454536872867954
1979:4 0.0396278970716583 0.0393867678419406 0.0389571901671294 0.0448914374121246
1979:5 0.0399364523227447 0.0400428259429289 0.0377219102659243 0.0461747258518484
1979:6 0.040316485608169 0.0399724065134092 0.0365757924041899 0.0447542689960879
1979:7 0.040921827029504 0.0397939966541943 0.0368868036639 0.0439131568302426
1979:8 0.0409352085479118 0.0398386144232339 0.0359529189839239 0.0436437136734559
1979:9 0.0410908948338185 0.0398975723995542 0.0367000387777739 0.0438854006938342
1979:10 0.0412494946974432 0.0398939730823587 0.0376991250234256 0.0422061566607613
1979:11 0.0416687559414267 0.039271785013963 0.036896744577663 0.0387168047789108
1979:12 0.0432050377595503 0.040070617030968 0.0374556290431099 0.0401716249303454
1980:1 0.0430830777285766 0.0399682317681529 0.0370515697960122 0.0420283853292206
1980:2 0.0435803888808753 0.0407822975881575 0.0387170369872581 0.0407445929022114
1980:3 0.0457608980499793 0.0445548073720628 0.0401561819397458 0.0414570582576284
1980:4 0.0473782518394072 0.0463097897593497 0.0409598063465223 0.0420790192842905
1980:5 0.0488390918207997 0.047358086043362 0.0437155113234092 0.043761078682255
1980:6 0.0508386343528007 0.04935630692883 0.0461109436279361 0.0456282620934957
1980:7 0.0517352940839319 0.0508309482629758 0.0474730078480898 0.0465343041122429
1980:8 0.0526151848709073 0.0527314946651645 0.0484740189499375 0.0461692525330561
1980:9 0.0537241944753309 0.0532787555453934 0.0496052982713973 0.0502623707401909
1980:10 0.0540080292568877 0.0547812470595931 0.050384970328196 0.0521370016451801
1980:11 0.0549806684727404 0.0563096512860219 0.0516761647700025 0.0528377354825972
1980:12 0.0546327355473177 0.0565632819519352 0.0517700428640355 0.0550528289461363
1981:1 0.0563145236589609 0.0575660167622863 0.0524609655511449 0.0536815944173127
1981:2 0.0563628461551133 0.0581644582793051 0.0530109810471478 0.0549688396312069
1981:3 0.0544541158973545 0.0549557424836204 0.0532458564497582 0.0564185097152299
1981:4 0.0549900338349021 0.0557067513403284 0.0526558579799893 0.0571005057455515
1981:5 0.0545876985361624 0.0554029922008491 0.0525133280290683 0.0559627681072791
1981:6 0.0531333681243141 0.0549913958012846 0.0505996579181069 0.0553069401317071
1981:7 0.053606733358124 0.0541019622150409 0.0501344052718942 0.0555506103405685
1981:8 0.0534566537864105 0.0541504127783914 0.0508955667062012 0.0578091216096525
1981:9 0.054303500882679 0.0557271131580721 0.0507465340982337 0.0560902309039848
1981:10 0.0554964728646635 0.0563522053726996 0.0524882860607794 0.0574493262624048
1981:11 0.0561195410733492 0.0588325242728859 0.0534545090247669 0.060487791162021
1981:12 0.0570349046815052 0.0596415216838702 0.0540295107145773 0.0596837614574504
1982:1 0.0570925891946542 0.0606858183101877 0.0562788432482791 0.0628757648905122
1982:2 0.0586493479328477 0.062883628678239 0.0579258112689334 0.0669506813360641
1982:3 0.0610375088893185 0.0667151064817458 0.0589240229517203 0.0673138237673956
1982:4 0.0626282395148458 0.0672013698155664 0.0607490263162666 0.0690797479184293
1982:5 0.0642989919964075 0.0698555821652345 0.0630658355812028 0.0700797277822761
1982:6 0.0671155262738952 0.0713905559838662 0.066472034144909 0.0710227343140732
1982:7 0.0681538297796865 0.0736047745802057 0.0685712801949381 0.070992171759851
1982:8 0.07167181493154 0.0747294045033885 0.072646238403122 0.0770824704538713
1982:9 0.0724972548184696 0.0772295846159558 0.0756465946497674 0.0793289989712535
1982:10 0.0747739182962663 0.0796384615095789 0.0764443076858826 0.0841723482002325
1982:11 0.0756897134716885 0.0818912901649439 0.0787272671360364 0.0858855579389526
1982:12 0.0760113018035656 0.0825800276358615 0.0816323913354984 0.0870101437269667
1983:1 0.0771205729538814 0.0844512867562996 0.0822269889348917 0.0881438207526929
1983:2 0.0789393970578915 0.0835294341838225 0.0823325340693421 0.0872082812093704
1983:3 0.0786993214441237 0.0840585550984519 0.0832410545156946 0.0885900530779711
1983:4 0.0790786158771764 0.0848214518665832 0.0837571419596209 0.0895737906667724
1983:5 0.0792426611521795 0.0845253139026038 0.0826466381652017 0.0891173184563552
1983:6 0.0778724505643468 0.0836223348426156 0.0814412261155396 0.0903655354265002
1983:7 0.0775372636380268 0.0828212917135373 0.081441990333962 0.0911750018581717
1983:8 0.0758844561177277 0.08200406259387 0.0775455195579183 0.0858652882663415
1983:9 0.0745614846310392 0.078593524864369 0.0752990496006954 0.0833638037379416
1983:10 0.0723561017354764 0.0762587144235768 0.0733781087461182 0.0779922361644686
1983:11 0.0710044715351938 0.0727693540868106 0.0716177873353668 0.0761472088271313
1983:12 0.0694838423412427 0.0719753495720245 0.0688134405911552 0.0760196389983144
1984:1 0.0677628272204737 0.0693248069363822 0.0661029890141517 0.0733307759633271
1984:2 0.0652970628426267 0.0683265830263396 0.0644497470045129 0.069592923302141
1984:3 0.0644637801798712 0.0650548288807823 0.0632457370334177 0.0667081972079466
1984:4 0.0625129193747485 0.0631373872526352 0.0620794382547509 0.0650671290187177
1984:5 0.0603858550150622 0.0613007097466121 0.0598204814241328 0.0648809840663636
1984:6 0.0611785360638296 0.0607629533374914 0.0593220139212275 0.0654500058214661
1984:7 0.0596080028968714 0.0599954416411816 0.0580010571335011 0.0641371243233644
1984:8 0.0578635035597762 0.0591228834719205 0.0581141160992681 0.0615964100065605
1984:9 0.0584410423345768 0.0598776353552069 0.0570147178657859 0.0617694623638358
1984:10 0.0575228226061387 0.0586748517770171 0.0567249181146772 0.061359804639908
1984:11 0.0576153936196608 0.0572461774353207 0.0552238103872061 0.0607985408679891
1984:12 0.0586539647552809 0.0573500010869179 0.0558415129232193 0.0587938993352905
1985:1 0.0584648119729459 0.0570274171871921 0.0556522563730335 0.0575194156219073
1985:2 0.0580341876644859 0.0571063162809492 0.0551556490331915 0.0587231487165786
1985:3 0.0578377789296901 0.0574779408389855 0.055075540933101 0.0601704519374398
1985:4 0.0575569163073557 0.0571572069788433 0.0542296959998266 0.059018288096104
1985:5 0.0583189921222463 0.0579819240343819 0.0557641418786717 0.0587214389473696
1985:6 0.0569222642921589 0.0582936512667474 0.054848986402841 0.0551137897989007
1985:7 0.0572454871248534 0.0576766658645329 0.0543402229571036 0.0561128069692741
1985:8 0.0575249805956915 0.0577722904470383 0.0548094624456949 0.0562782765297729
1985:9 0.0563158930422082 0.0568405681298726 0.0539467002865144 0.0551824010925861
1985:10 0.0564010480795448 0.0569531481361212 0.053584928998926 0.0541480797143095
1985:11 0.0560131427020883 0.0569237285952921 0.0550701541880069 0.052844249216097
1985:12 0.0555746574787554 0.0558378046387961 0.0534178086267886 0.0519920546599036
1986:1 0.0561023186643926 0.0565364262021059 0.0569491067032185 0.0536212182311567
1986:2 0.0568528217645578 0.0560174000739886 0.0574646572728256 0.0525538935851664
1986:3 0.0560663959271036 0.0552831817188865 0.0572463885092937 0.0513090878965604
1986:4 0.0564086498389731 0.0556004697243821 0.0570848965847239 0.0520798610545685
1986:5 0.0558327890009493 0.0550125803108568 0.057170606607186 0.0523549314567004
1986:6 0.0553248931641762 0.0545684062316697 0.0574146401396423 0.0538926943359885
1986:7 0.0552841741047151 0.0546566733307424 0.0570689395316355 0.0528108269036254
1986:8 0.0550078053424301 0.0547300722685548 0.0566565119067161 0.0543170895817877
1986:9 0.0550897269047498 0.0545305834727736 0.0577619265035865 0.0549917147854378
1986:10 0.054991322272401 0.054379950191611 0.0585145890854275 0.0559763936129111
1986:11 0.0541690402487541 0.0540118078142383 0.0577310876488701 0.0548277754642725
1986:12 0.0537163271049353 0.0542987401701001 0.0582292350615094 0.0549670474168781
1987:1 0.0529678347551757 0.0531592428844194 0.0544910485553995 0.055212729611635
1987:2 0.0521571353408227 0.0530947295628108 0.0537583920835573 0.0560314682359508
1987:3 0.0517174459825759 0.052107653152918 0.0531278698805393 0.0555324179825421
1987:4 0.0506822547069588 0.0515254163876318 0.0536475705405007 0.0550968372699932
1987:5 0.0498805158286414 0.0508234219282509 0.0516011458316788 0.0540802692156203
1987:6 0.0488538139871656 0.0500883004194724 0.0509399628466536 0.0536540950877313
1987:7 0.0482057121799328 0.0497220838412321 0.0503924902032153 0.0539470171105234
1987:8 0.0479419575426156 0.0486725004201755 0.0490267553208283 0.0527402097611924
1987:9 0.0479999426675026 0.0484837877558193 0.0477806841649251 0.0512384879497269
1987:10 0.0471914631585569 0.0480961953536162 0.0459918825329824 0.0498075808947696
1987:11 0.0472989918112569 0.0478667635567283 0.0446070373324355 0.0498346509463112
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2004:8 0.0431590249510585 0.0435910216702404 0.0453414832182333 0.0500840082371699
2004:9 0.0424543216228873 0.0433178373217311 0.0449995208132352 0.0493010751156957
2004:10 0.0423576258120646 0.0428080332107092 0.0455117071948067 0.0483209962526602
2004:11 0.0429879964238086 0.0418764376968541 0.0455053853800667 0.0470502300869402
2004:12 0.042007306045012 0.042305875181898 0.0446769208462909 0.0468879931726903
2005:1 0.0419686164821307 0.0422917156546078 0.0453497554969845 0.0458199111793227
2005:2 0.0417247053722411 0.0412943036139949 0.0429490991213113 0.0456964335144132
2005:3 0.0423308114173511 0.04060537718715 0.043228439289981 0.0458774100832494
2005:4 0.0415586865738707 0.0404470047733081 0.0431681583557325 0.0457761122504582
2005:5 0.0400700417582306 0.0402691902034814 0.0424556780446156 0.0452260017517495
2005:6 0.0409922954155641 0.0400789634212122 0.0418966989742725 0.0457167964226164
2005:7 0.0401111429402739 0.0400365890829938 0.0411690472475008 0.0446195899030551
2005:8 0.0391903841469204 0.0404914651314821 0.0414459254750682 0.0453249783779713
2005:9 0.0384016091769032 0.0402488158674363 0.0412867844365419 0.0448216288948237
2005:10 0.0394728737673391 0.0399012448420075 0.041105860703078 0.0439043918072028
2005:11 0.0388708306276782 0.0392523711503645 0.0415868244562776 0.0437242952118916
2005:12 0.0387907419315478 0.0387345898172249 0.0409083405572353 0.0430095248413589
2006:1 0.0390563927016321 0.0383572558020483 0.040470238424137 0.0426822429635511
2006:2 0.0381127814492204 0.0380508527126342 0.0403740696685648 0.0418228249264423
2006:3 0.0372519470551878 0.0388272458581062 0.0408670556799973 0.0407848641572282
2006:4 0.0368627448852026 0.0387845103119497 0.0404213503070726 0.0400431361292234
2006:5 0.0371835153726456 0.0380717352830365 0.0391607873050105 0.0400256910023202
2006:6 0.035774304266279 0.0386535471542337 0.0392825878207113 0.0389775373293191
2006:7 0.0356798940076324 0.0394440207069967 0.0393967020134647 0.0384607465029704
2006:8 0.034635627134732 0.0386007990188322 0.0387971880999753 0.0381097150991674
2006:9 0.0342075139542088 0.0385183249457607 0.0380311669370826 0.0374824154986934
2006:10 0.0332020463441499 0.0384429895936556 0.0372398763599734 0.0376225979381221
2006:11 0.0333430353851193 0.0384894720712802 0.0365272836239293 0.0375019139719258
2006:12 0.0337021037248501 0.0384463179365258 0.0374215247444718 0.0381411257790017
2007:1 0.0333286812875395 0.0381054803843909 0.0370445557053613 0.0377321945214086
2007:2 0.0332897700810663 0.0379027235225946 0.0368383657210167 0.0372868273894656
2007:3 0.0332309899918903 0.0372525221837899 0.0364821733790746 0.0368599012138057
2007:4 0.0329212042889159 0.0378596061900695 0.0361368962327769 0.0374520241377449
2007:5 0.0328410466816324 0.0378062496452377 0.0365245787375356 0.0375780919275508
2007:6 0.0336965780224097 0.0376544591293627 0.0367231637846824 0.0378677992164824
2007:7 0.0336248000098482 0.0364969572833473 0.0370231872571616 0.0381636582237604
2007:8 0.0344555609135495 0.0370560371684678 0.0367197296486336 0.038080174145356
2007:9 0.0355061171964924 0.0373433819825944 0.0372493936895358 0.0384980856291418
2007:10 0.0361943594852904 0.0371887532140394 0.0369517534245196 0.0380822870246296
2007:11 0.0361623134480516 0.0376263220810016 0.0390361939214935 0.0382548765101492
2007:12 0.0356158230788824 0.0378408213858559 0.0388942103613728 0.0375385309569995
2008:1 0.0351108061451293 0.0381532449293259 0.038781686742242 0.0382473451349502
2008:2 0.0358342578744588 0.0396940011403288 0.0393697618889556 0.0398818598043553
2008:3 0.0352583254332047 0.0400933619437272 0.0395627724312504 0.0412474464095504
2008:4 0.0362035279545745 0.0398112813026235 0.0410885675018842 0.0415556103710082
2008:5 0.0377142655657413 0.0405957551147448 0.0421771606324434 0.0426871949271483
2008:6 0.0369894476319556 0.0412511165209548 0.0433734670317115 0.0441411809454487
2008:7 0.0386705242739769 0.0434194886308706 0.0453903928916562 0.047251478326293
2008:8 0.0391430357087003 0.0453650793291257 0.0471899312060299 0.0474148449092282
2008:9 0.0411813601702618 0.0466174316286945 0.0487715259486424 0.0517266069993923
2008:10 0.0412228888820696 0.0494706638763967 0.0518002017864132 0.0540495765936356
2008:11 0.043792038536216 0.0527989572735356 0.052869759490291 0.058156543165178
2008:12 0.0490753581008227 0.055724419203662 0.0554666553106495 0.0606844602212912
2009:1 0.0530447879364405 0.059427592052611 0.0597336858027468 0.0634196411948433
2009:2 0.0573882020810885 0.0627054680289518 0.0626937945508236 0.0662331353259124
2009:3 0.0628760831398464 0.0673419365654993 0.0657959858287904 0.0684000744857233
2009:4 0.0689885653375364 0.0716418913900728 0.0684939656677528 0.0745943606309518
2009:5 0.0719194228793428 0.0750822025409275 0.0722625111064727 0.0781518036236287
2009:6 0.0753106489019258 0.0765744256120574 0.0742816052928428 0.0801215848092541
2009:7 0.0769993468123878 0.0791953056182746 0.0769768027913933 0.0811421775543928
2009:8 0.0780178720123408 0.0862457943009204 0.08273220782037 0.0851876968605748
2009:9 0.0807522096202725 0.0902251934095488 0.0874019279166141 0.083980087747983
2009:10 0.082721313737611 0.0901210323604196 0.0880326610487444 0.0859484223468648
2009:11 0.0842919876836903 0.0908604346071812 0.089632327514363 0.0862392378423334
2009:12 0.0819860856798384 0.0905905829123231 0.088755748601634 0.0873528508161788
2010:1 0.081306290708203 0.0949163824896538 0.086614267936441 0.0884179111552631
2010:2 0.0790844692001312 0.0957984244921818 0.0896517068218137 0.0885648624176587
2010:3 0.077544741140513 0.0951664744003897 0.0898447404859021 0.0891077535632253
2010:4 0.0748359529809035 0.0945885545929685 0.0905262110749545 0.084963587425735
2010:5 0.0732380923275098 0.0946247339056097 0.089512147969754 0.0826137653964037
2010:6 0.0733364450445306 0.0949268847386309 0.0905551049375903 0.0825547408543954
2010:7 0.0740607008893181 0.0944121185085678 0.0910247675368695 0.0830227424971881
2010:8 0.0798155756742188 0.0881404719705851 0.0899718025627553 0.0816807476341332
2010:9 0.0776363872753835 0.0862759299236443 0.0865370151848526 0.0827178644753556
2010:10 0.0783187506334942 0.0874567432530224 0.088169191455533 0.0886003951488226
2010:11 0.0767751631315364 0.0867649560767763 0.0857603913543905 0.0863589581732369
Return to Figure 3a

Figure 3b: Counterfactual unemployment rates : The role of inflow rates

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.0777157208709012 0.0552860077206642 0.0509355217383332 0.028220969187064
1977:1 0.0775501128389978 0.0555945432355573 0.0504545802630184 0.0288966882349711
1977:2 0.0773031523940196 0.0555318125459399 0.0499545562142112 0.0297096079596066
1977:3 0.0763078449303656 0.0547655659802486 0.0500931907308513 0.0295322998247235
1977:4 0.0763923610012923 0.0546219093196843 0.0496912481559892 0.0295395132513074
1977:5 0.0745774111486662 0.0539982893641785 0.0480429237859173 0.0298888853323402
1977:6 0.0727997308077292 0.0524289344400462 0.0455854988518301 0.0291813508759949
1977:7 0.0729918451692246 0.0528164327340889 0.0454474870265207 0.0284631539308469
1977:8 0.0720584281327381 0.0519201574021202 0.0439903649464096 0.0278227007747551
1977:9 0.0718475415615608 0.0515634626071197 0.04362028693785 0.0283343190760663
1977:10 0.0706950949980627 0.0504794482886949 0.0428775464098272 0.0280157178006536
1977:11 0.0687089704226667 0.0486309503835558 0.0426455766628445 0.0271829526473436
1977:12 0.0681799864171185 0.0476045455246581 0.0426181194090971 0.0264992947981366
1978:1 0.0665130766361492 0.0458036323216198 0.0414032796170729 0.0253869538535101
1978:2 0.0658044750726954 0.0449067028340376 0.0409574298410898 0.0246639769832628
1978:3 0.0653868028697231 0.0445022171370686 0.0399814411040959 0.024508292048125
1978:4 0.0654920580583444 0.044503316067237 0.0393166056020396 0.0239234570627813
1978:5 0.0641748148436872 0.0431217286469548 0.0382082040325402 0.0226669192545804
1978:6 0.0642368563345898 0.0428622098712556 0.0383867875844832 0.0223420079769763
1978:7 0.0631413284733518 0.0418639746584157 0.038421654587161 0.022446320210038
1978:8 0.0626037755892657 0.0410292659855323 0.0381236250982161 0.0223989878280256
1978:9 0.0610955105757505 0.0400729265114337 0.0372514352548799 0.0215726322034006
1978:10 0.0609741318766767 0.0393522880577736 0.0369115384707705 0.0209578015643945
1978:11 0.0616012129083951 0.0392254120482144 0.0371847088436774 0.021116425899821
1978:12 0.0610506671996028 0.039240124876519 0.0368008845427752 0.0212233552830765
1979:1 0.0610829737190198 0.0395276561481815 0.0371133160178332 0.0213968070164046
1979:2 0.060411599321652 0.0393690450289528 0.0373577182108211 0.021533573855377
1979:3 0.0606269613924885 0.0389307672547926 0.0377152107650476 0.0210290356452497
1979:4 0.059512829919073 0.0381368277013555 0.0374779588036677 0.0208041940767683
1979:5 0.0596373663186162 0.0379974639242118 0.0377951101578118 0.0211858655669715
1979:6 0.0589325136268617 0.0377838309679284 0.0373985335241115 0.020983412685187
1979:7 0.0595594610941047 0.0380261790005013 0.0380900315094242 0.021317873845825
1979:8 0.0588266109820879 0.038118524929984 0.0377702894474709 0.0210502181296745
1979:9 0.05913728548031 0.0387536342504598 0.0375824700355342 0.0214387063393963
1979:10 0.0589599244374068 0.0391869988801292 0.0372221841023049 0.0219809573325125
1979:11 0.0581708805603857 0.0391608870525143 0.0368073687558949 0.0219315266698223
1979:12 0.0602151448778085 0.0404110672971474 0.0377359708749774 0.0217472760213888
1980:1 0.0613946622295406 0.041002433058529 0.0380872229454774 0.0216767820164081
1980:2 0.0625223677604504 0.0415886329847184 0.038626378174661 0.0219101214264881
1980:3 0.0654219212483456 0.043553188993804 0.0406299458121153 0.0232011438829185
1980:4 0.0686031414462051 0.0459118588791617 0.0420258665517993 0.0237340183701393
1980:5 0.0700893127727554 0.0484926271897306 0.0434150584858078 0.0236310195090918
1980:6 0.0730298637141023 0.0506072868328487 0.0452127301676151 0.0245152262863874
1980:7 0.0751846120669615 0.0518781702814539 0.0454738427007301 0.0246250679339816
1980:8 0.077114528252372 0.0530709460714608 0.0468734734150742 0.0249107584112994
1980:9 0.0800387894787258 0.0541202980097182 0.0484807168927566 0.0247900089876544
1980:10 0.0820023798491786 0.0547911416277301 0.0490317244928189 0.0247680311088006
1980:11 0.0843025841289802 0.0557799712998189 0.050032950735178 0.0248786497117733
1980:12 0.0849355908721295 0.0562135109350185 0.0503334769462236 0.0253954636046868
1981:1 0.0859464723036612 0.0567544463100575 0.0511134009049955 0.0255467737960529
1981:2 0.0872344745370144 0.0573366296434812 0.0505867007675626 0.0254644189093013
1981:3 0.0856221822618816 0.0565375104896594 0.0493209151275362 0.0241531292491631
1981:4 0.0855951498382037 0.0561810389449065 0.0505730468955266 0.024638668837402
1981:5 0.0856916830694005 0.0551901983415233 0.0500553103383985 0.0244748842899443
1981:6 0.0851937062533515 0.0539912115161486 0.049361357253477 0.0238345294531946
1981:7 0.0845673115538907 0.0538569254155507 0.0495726395058394 0.0237329025658808
1981:8 0.0856287112934122 0.0541449100375979 0.049861872325055 0.0239156932253601
1981:9 0.087251412942776 0.0549971240273365 0.0503950161325222 0.024232854967938
1981:10 0.088753159258443 0.0568968300623084 0.0513800783663767 0.0245772337761363
1981:11 0.0911355471545944 0.0586241024686921 0.0531613318261995 0.0248839711420746
1981:12 0.0925533510194457 0.0591140832895243 0.0535892043575558 0.0245964904408905
1982:1 0.095220751328721 0.0606647569089558 0.053867886203025 0.0249387729575619
1982:2 0.0987345007535395 0.0631571771081954 0.0560701641260451 0.0254281644362921
1982:3 0.102493271562333 0.0657878269981707 0.0582415973138822 0.0271195229983236
1982:4 0.105406656304677 0.0674858842509923 0.0581018533439883 0.0274092698044686
1982:5 0.109217834974546 0.0693408972698768 0.059029742586682 0.0282613441649591
1982:6 0.112513894027037 0.0722487679195844 0.0604005956843037 0.0292443353578343
1982:7 0.115300212657954 0.0742536611142471 0.0607757316993407 0.0297523207755981
1982:8 0.121239136774447 0.0785863954641647 0.0627722770065168 0.0310682601911726
1982:9 0.124257451310745 0.0806533177363644 0.0641542054829403 0.0319374989973409
1982:10 0.128151537498555 0.0826627219202448 0.0667561457798174 0.0324275537275095
1982:11 0.132733092226541 0.0850108041302526 0.0669615822630227 0.0330750706826326
1982:12 0.134731087360883 0.0859623442446051 0.0677882558591715 0.0337590609539751
1983:1 0.136031133524626 0.0881985651796856 0.0692910345516374 0.0342620152036654
1983:2 0.136874343359997 0.0884537025429897 0.0693510657526231 0.0344000515184753
1983:3 0.13777218845929 0.0889516732068143 0.0692290748693426 0.0340325430968332
1983:4 0.13665304856662 0.0901737210061675 0.0702101413113388 0.0338414902077095
1983:5 0.136788892034969 0.0902901749708753 0.0710599210347374 0.0336584760362291
1983:6 0.135737639160726 0.0888038894185726 0.0706718018240196 0.0330530815177327
1983:7 0.136135036061968 0.08822796266563 0.0708679356821527 0.0331597795561923
1983:8 0.1338228575203 0.0856940653465316 0.0696829838675553 0.0320774244085719
1983:9 0.130172606151849 0.0833799376359291 0.0676769935422555 0.0310801818524728
1983:10 0.127190198999692 0.0805135375395244 0.0650518881371507 0.0299647391447401
1983:11 0.123938491373196 0.0779508190403331 0.0636694681822391 0.0294099193279245
1983:12 0.121505562995733 0.0764358212453049 0.0619647584850997 0.0288013963527594
1984:1 0.11983208287519 0.0734868173203436 0.059874300972434 0.0282691817039202
1984:2 0.116650812531024 0.0715274458632505 0.0588097924926838 0.028466858882656
1984:3 0.113575807897911 0.0694080670396197 0.0574995165743548 0.0276421415484124
1984:4 0.112197970810924 0.0665833537018144 0.0556288490657041 0.0269352906568028
1984:5 0.109316160133965 0.0645674946757899 0.0540108635598254 0.0262808670231801
1984:6 0.109583540835131 0.0643487964325687 0.0534286757833272 0.0262127706344702
1984:7 0.108592366922656 0.0636788207528768 0.0520480655270695 0.0258024682570307
1984:8 0.105512376321849 0.0620570865468527 0.0506930384794844 0.0254216225271436
1984:9 0.105357545741334 0.0622346425490231 0.0515899686623646 0.0255797837717392
1984:10 0.10399663704576 0.0619451531459227 0.0508294017843284 0.0259198959444118
1984:11 0.101225174748397 0.0614027312497463 0.0500812211673215 0.025830161450035
1984:12 0.102207654084596 0.0615844092670019 0.0502240566282317 0.0261069782027657
1985:1 0.100131829597638 0.0609190716920985 0.0498266313724368 0.0259081961014672
1985:2 0.100603284948218 0.0608191812615273 0.0494401972759306 0.0252381805092016
1985:3 0.101810075293193 0.0608643442640058 0.0490335719045604 0.0253138259124602
1985:4 0.101072256559277 0.0604490127366896 0.0491297712458647 0.0254871890359052
1985:5 0.102671034407605 0.0608531196959246 0.0494835513173747 0.0260370639327887
1985:6 0.101213414538885 0.0602302345787791 0.0488807868539241 0.0258396285918122
1985:7 0.0995688803881978 0.0606141827086931 0.0492109744388532 0.0255892341603354
1985:8 0.100545856972455 0.0609175868180802 0.0493961304895106 0.025782204707874
1985:9 0.0992532249329151 0.0598785177008274 0.0482850058322803 0.0253440403284223
1985:10 0.0991481865905437 0.0596647230512713 0.0479778529212853 0.025277071585628
1985:11 0.0989327965402113 0.0596750182712658 0.0481179877170472 0.0250397004766256
1985:12 0.0970361131557559 0.0595709143375263 0.0473187229626123 0.0245312190315727
1986:1 0.0992102726556696 0.0605265092494512 0.0482382213681884 0.0249206690295267
1986:2 0.0983027994260607 0.0605787884516179 0.0479283648439628 0.0251189339668122
1986:3 0.0973022742995239 0.060218890743473 0.0474462881330349 0.0249481858713989
1986:4 0.0980949429245756 0.0610185271168288 0.0471623136881183 0.0248352984093553
1986:5 0.0985133556881421 0.0611331981044712 0.0465400203081766 0.0242530434086717
1986:6 0.0987270345039341 0.0610338743653753 0.0464696350308326 0.024131682982666
1986:7 0.0994671311687545 0.0599796973994409 0.0464790991718063 0.0239914302026661
1986:8 0.0993912030489554 0.0598674292978955 0.0464014706503981 0.0238378881344992
1986:9 0.101313485218242 0.0603620023116032 0.046581285404245 0.0238675284863271
1986:10 0.101703624745768 0.0602943359369226 0.046757558241806 0.0237285651517182
1986:11 0.101900616644435 0.0595530547970361 0.0457632471454693 0.0237856345546916
1986:12 0.102454592681349 0.0590614098573869 0.0466088381454976 0.023917367391026
1987:1 0.100303005343568 0.0578321986642132 0.0457452945810944 0.0232619139716083
1987:2 0.100249448462572 0.0577769342534269 0.0458560643647286 0.0227227794931933
1987:3 0.0987894181285504 0.0567777051140886 0.0456012466808964 0.0226437953399891
1987:4 0.0984466776338678 0.0555398043985479 0.0450591307162331 0.022719390256671
1987:5 0.0956214581564535 0.0543241705209608 0.0445820909510399 0.0225262035009058
1987:6 0.0949450205908152 0.0537829822158737 0.0444525906175888 0.0221152303310995
1987:7 0.0934520421626393 0.0533934869903162 0.0443278087112052 0.0220928236576306
1987:8 0.091074008939301 0.0521830201755163 0.0439205505634674 0.0216589159520273
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2004:7 0.0925917284051732 0.0530797531143941 0.0429683711958653 0.0250571305784564
2004:8 0.0910233745944662 0.0525579734734141 0.0431553656960359 0.0247613354474899
2004:9 0.0894776504814881 0.0516417863808292 0.0428560592437741 0.0244422836780709
2004:10 0.0888801110365042 0.0517791022269587 0.0423132643710744 0.0245326822581389
2004:11 0.0884786770309241 0.051749988882746 0.0421568213554543 0.024575878382869
2004:12 0.0869031861398275 0.0515032170159591 0.0419634749596439 0.0242448477558957
2005:1 0.0866675283702238 0.0513299305611022 0.0414182096579158 0.024327175153092
2005:2 0.0838134442075284 0.0501709402731327 0.0403351927218274 0.0235315323005395
2005:3 0.0840759853087226 0.0500571121939162 0.0404722209034745 0.0232998616104471
2005:4 0.0836643354994679 0.0497197130408022 0.0402491322632065 0.0228508319704696
2005:5 0.083107513840525 0.0491257291847025 0.0398618104415371 0.0225848694147703
2005:6 0.0827988303752366 0.0492904925771737 0.0397016952318468 0.0223170599492511
2005:7 0.0825004618447194 0.0484805968248398 0.0393692193112574 0.0216928743052331
2005:8 0.0836799961080315 0.0490951639699359 0.0391351778312279 0.0218999986656487
2005:9 0.0828268563532137 0.0485258962462049 0.0388124948112357 0.021669770492351
2005:10 0.0808627396188378 0.0487697257083119 0.0384186313609139 0.0218796857683919
2005:11 0.0806009193226469 0.0486163939555114 0.0377195304377008 0.0215262457163596
2005:12 0.079484372180634 0.0480868240981371 0.0371401502999491 0.0213172772170916
2006:1 0.0783694064022234 0.0477222885842713 0.036996906390366 0.0214602809631371
2006:2 0.0786745335383364 0.0471224935128997 0.0369301286135623 0.0215883629212581
2006:3 0.0783045178853836 0.0469696625083452 0.036417610810196 0.0218710968152457
2006:4 0.0780932110261814 0.0462077171242744 0.036429988377668 0.0216810345273728
2006:5 0.077270645426392 0.0454306293045205 0.0365000892849551 0.0213513128232126
2006:6 0.0775480216714134 0.0445446861669685 0.0365259889459738 0.0213916411109497
2006:7 0.0774436374317135 0.0444194379865348 0.0366496689688909 0.0215615649967813
2006:8 0.0752609567605408 0.0428316125347 0.0363133564430257 0.0211497816773978
2006:9 0.0747926798578639 0.0420686580111463 0.0358727334235856 0.0207796719659706
2006:10 0.0761298324980322 0.0418817738199864 0.0356955861458232 0.0200904298364112
2006:11 0.0752689760582055 0.041625899968447 0.0356702206720429 0.0199459977719106
2006:12 0.0758564195637134 0.0421826281203018 0.0362724160837545 0.0203051787914839
2007:1 0.0762269920854858 0.0421181500285885 0.0356921542801513 0.0196620481412389
2007:2 0.0756601927473699 0.0417561437935473 0.0355581843445481 0.0192804228130828
2007:3 0.0748747094917195 0.0415630171398784 0.0355307887262433 0.0190640077217825
2007:4 0.0744096563060946 0.0416524883476995 0.0355948805737855 0.0191383083255075
2007:5 0.0740215857911245 0.0417631044995894 0.03567243084329 0.0190911948777737
2007:6 0.0740247772430522 0.0423072072271136 0.0353663968590847 0.0192632492570877
2007:7 0.0729887298542242 0.0426729506038674 0.0352295702550133 0.0195548113165151
2007:8 0.0748069983587657 0.0434903276492095 0.0352134356509252 0.0191266042699365
2007:9 0.074781397645206 0.0443812682488574 0.0356355265605444 0.0197331866995855
2007:10 0.0741163751696789 0.0440642379900033 0.0356688984584044 0.0204283828294456
2007:11 0.0759456763195019 0.0447510389811716 0.0358916534967648 0.0207197309559861
2007:12 0.0776369632122458 0.044647781105334 0.035234295064612 0.0206141557056586
2008:1 0.0781165732532339 0.0449387928498 0.0361490682366186 0.0207857651396159
2008:2 0.0815978286735168 0.0459641525315386 0.0370289631981205 0.0208446494669576
2008:3 0.0835369067027607 0.0464001957708333 0.037392402352348 0.0205592881372719
2008:4 0.0856497085111593 0.0476634541696063 0.0380304333402942 0.0207753685096609
2008:5 0.0878015916345126 0.0494991016771534 0.0386585765140965 0.0213717897788645
2008:6 0.0909750357957692 0.05024272472374 0.0394848416714772 0.0214008562676469
2008:7 0.0968694672910936 0.0521665072063398 0.0411426561830993 0.0223035107797975
2008:8 0.0987224790085626 0.0532181479077459 0.0426900337870564 0.0229693304993376
2008:9 0.103535708575074 0.0561769263129868 0.0445605814005875 0.0241305497255977
2008:10 0.109316000745596 0.0585401618139015 0.0463798829721151 0.0247978700252044
2008:11 0.112925907001511 0.0623397804097839 0.0488259358893999 0.0267307006083412
2008:12 0.116051640131949 0.0666971749116216 0.0535434599942316 0.0295134360722713
2009:1 0.121771127080774 0.0702907062178892 0.0573828429910579 0.0321148096154811
2009:2 0.125227896040718 0.074098722314964 0.0607158005490058 0.0347020709355029
2009:3 0.131447530722792 0.0785990038717712 0.0651996091295869 0.0376163622948439
2009:4 0.136378285833546 0.0838460932500599 0.0695416677083246 0.0402705515033876
2009:5 0.143320051298666 0.0874265139128112 0.0731226798255134 0.0420312078743683
2009:6 0.146871391243587 0.0906342555621706 0.0753979024366767 0.0437318669077906
2009:7 0.150877365147358 0.0929201998638424 0.077457490437324 0.0451496651601097
2009:8 0.157460762362164 0.0974118353269715 0.0796398332622579 0.0482572124720429
2009:9 0.161970657748394 0.101055860334199 0.0826313781336823 0.0497838268001925
2009:10 0.161537162215952 0.102146688894715 0.0849763466838141 0.0506164899381452
2009:11 0.164472124180326 0.10298739667381 0.0868503166117742 0.0510705236972439
2009:12 0.165897474970779 0.102072117382132 0.0862418471670478 0.0496690470600586
2010:1 0.168058352969455 0.102795776189737 0.0858683360138054 0.0496638662863831
2010:2 0.170116658226552 0.103789334267683 0.0861121800459443 0.0496320727216769
2010:3 0.172169437186555 0.103226701622223 0.0858578669454267 0.049321413658288
2010:4 0.171790328656111 0.101980328206347 0.0841213643224835 0.0486552975057969
2010:5 0.168206551735168 0.100508686199797 0.0830329437200414 0.0484333709541911
2010:6 0.166632129351251 0.100854473844627 0.0836788802883583 0.0490035002233092
2010:7 0.163990846143248 0.101727232556026 0.0845673818612337 0.0485562603637907
2010:8 0.160318214104716 0.10130476090224 0.0850912425442247 0.0474682933918067
2010:9 0.159344228441615 0.0989938086259916 0.0825368147004604 0.0466851755298263
2010:10 0.164399132185897 0.101096026994465 0.0829290604494685 0.047247250460083
2010:11 0.162853985188052 0.0991466921257843 0.0820148793406715 0.046645264336872
Return to Figure 3b

Figure 4: Incidence rate of formal training from the 1979 NLSY

Year Less than high school High school Some college College
1988 8.82 18.22 22.94 26.60
1989 6.53 12.88 17.32 23.63
1990 7.40 12.67 18.18 22.52
1991 5.27 11.91 15.26 20.57
1992 6.00 10.69 17.53 20.65
1993 4.55 12.65 19.01 24.46
1994 4.32 11.83 18.57 21.40
1996 6.70 15.10 23.79 30.38
1998 6.51 14.40 21.49 25.19
2000 6.53 13.04 23.61 26.61
2002 3.99 11.86 19.00 22.42
2004 5.41 10.76 17.85 20.90
2006 5.25 10.09 16.94 22.38
2008 2.99 8.93 17.40 21.52
Return to Figure 4

Figure 5: Unemployment rates across education groups: model versus data

Year:Quarter Data Model Data Model Data Model Data Model
1976:1 0.0782253208875432 0.0869798570193735 0.0552410919795517 0.0685095922518652 0.0533385143428694 0.0329063259739548 0.0265445161350024 0.0254592076547059
1976:2 0.0773618027951521 0.0869798570193734 0.0555528870106547 0.0685095922518653 0.0522378006058977 0.0329063259738832 0.0288652711823161 0.0254592076523399
1976:3 0.0729931831344403 0.0869798570193735 0.055753549190079 0.0685095922518652 0.0506543371575225 0.0329063259738285 0.0270566409702923 0.025459207650456
1976:4 0.0753765328689719 0.0869798570193734 0.0556098313150109 0.0685095922518653 0.04847716293662 0.0329063259737837 0.0282955158786395 0.0254592076489484
1976:5 0.0688483919709931 0.0869798570193734 0.0519726638674069 0.0685095922518652 0.0458648599693252 0.0329063259737525 0.0301558859216378 0.0254592076477481
1976:6 0.077347166386183 0.0869798570193735 0.0553334112234216 0.0685095922518653 0.0535558021529737 0.0329063259737281 0.0280611061992815 0.0254592076467916
1976:7 0.0807119436368782 0.0869798570193734 0.0586627449670783 0.0685095922518653 0.0481629096643321 0.0329063259737082 0.0294345763515141 0.0254592076460288
1976:8 0.0793904361910015 0.0869798570193735 0.0540473779509866 0.0685095922518652 0.042759975679854 0.032906325973694 0.0299051962346862 0.0254592076454198
1976:9 0.0803142759752746 0.0869798570193734 0.0557835152128512 0.0685095922518653 0.0483469043069845 0.0329063259736832 0.0294358158872723 0.0254592076449335
1976:10 0.0785295496328619 0.0869798570193734 0.0541344538661601 0.0685095922518652 0.0466251019679532 0.0329063259736733 0.0295273593996159 0.0254592076445467
1976:11 0.0793411636546014 0.0869798570193735 0.053602952310195 0.0685095922518653 0.0470730577620728 0.0329063259736665 0.0303367024684766 0.0254592076442369
1976:12 0.0823914377239833 0.0869798570193734 0.0545778639693787 0.0685095922518652 0.0488102506206734 0.0329063259736619 0.0310336279045566 0.0254592076439902
1977:1 0.0760819872993878 0.0869798570193735 0.0531553074433445 0.0685095922518653 0.046347279961929 0.0329063259736589 0.0323838499817013 0.0254592076437942
1977:2 0.0833043101602821 0.0869798570193734 0.0522662039731425 0.0685095922518653 0.0482423530913313 0.0329063259736546 0.0294088985642889 0.0254592076436379
1977:3 0.0779690332087718 0.0869798570193734 0.0506311340751137 0.0685095922518652 0.0480348116918709 0.0329063259736522 0.0292080691607212 0.0254592076435117
1977:4 0.0733643960361487 0.0869798570193735 0.0496005170112451 0.0685095922518653 0.0477955375829662 0.0329063259736522 0.0283120736857077 0.0254592076434119
1977:5 0.0693873657017886 0.0830112640543572 0.0471061351454653 0.0651121992426154 0.0441471839432427 0.0315576667816916 0.0292619915883294 0.0247109154189096
1977:6 0.0695438867576972 0.0853044788673524 0.0497969018400532 0.0671370449652102 0.0430287680083551 0.0321771163534301 0.0342425638800315 0.0248583380669918
1977:7 0.0681200442776241 0.0821308326923665 0.0493981006023527 0.064375737782554 0.0382321249704848 0.031163266108831 0.0276777594064522 0.0243906840624927
1977:8 0.0686073078056879 0.0784625255472028 0.0484843151153796 0.0612971200177018 0.0412360829651803 0.029797676950469 0.0259061427831254 0.0234950038239188
1977:9 0.0688172867898503 0.0766156840191088 0.0468338015747206 0.0597170024067749 0.0411600314939734 0.0290858192380619 0.0249940425908178 0.0230342037732882
1977:10 0.0700439717289462 0.0756457658475548 0.0470744528180151 0.0588625704509153 0.0427026818819576 0.0286903655862794 0.0261172715437808 0.022782135088381
1977:11 0.0663718150102055 0.0751158415969118 0.0469022263193256 0.0583758005188837 0.041472217003717 0.028454734813398 0.0273118275892866 0.0226337718642328
1977:12 0.0640999099378726 0.0748162231035379 0.044017686593416 0.0580851048620283 0.0382187252131099 0.0283045442371174 0.0258124892980058 0.0225395678981672
1978:1 0.0645549089245127 0.0746420568770406 0.0428396054392222 0.0579046335060784 0.0359691789222659 0.0282032094856453 0.0253619939399806 0.0224755531734119
1978:2 0.0611969112662857 0.0715643092489546 0.0413197228320195 0.0554502875433276 0.0343382543909235 0.0272455659706726 0.0263047180000777 0.0218538537903392
1978:3 0.0628554421091013 0.0683061915836781 0.0406064538364635 0.0528365385972994 0.0322632062746801 0.0260484056168487 0.0242067185124109 0.0209691890664678
1978:4 0.0584336535180617 0.0667586649026912 0.043333862654975 0.0515677663431733 0.0335145751308543 0.0254572963564647 0.0246618822869151 0.0205405869655264
1978:5 0.0624383264877621 0.0659873655686086 0.0415818216113304 0.0509140566614823 0.0343649136157976 0.0251433835124681 0.0220873081236137 0.0203181397198766
1978:6 0.0614377259182857 0.0655843577405469 0.0386118969339138 0.0505557573854224 0.0353785873683568 0.0249623480764882 0.0203686225311791 0.0201923903937501
1978:7 0.060114087166632 0.0653647054644186 0.0382300803961377 0.0503478699707135 0.0387647480657747 0.0248492841827491 0.0233340461633784 0.0201146150678364
1978:8 0.0569582000175757 0.0652407578497503 0.0401708165357736 0.0502214639875781 0.0365010348972646 0.024773852320211 0.0241927435062547 0.020062521991646
1978:9 0.0595444578397509 0.0651689259825576 0.0380067614248739 0.0501418511755342 0.0373060642515685 0.0247210508515564 0.0242493873627078 0.0200254559878982
1978:10 0.0582043758860775 0.0651264818001218 0.0383849605030973 0.050090461429796 0.0344815232163707 0.0246828992589945 0.021813722948576 0.0199979876610148
1978:11 0.0613226397891347 0.065101059844268 0.0377253947124034 0.0500567429755257 0.0310253659928722 0.0246547867962175 0.0219671502606879 0.0199771131959088
1978:12 0.0609379275533831 0.0650856922668013 0.0384594456947056 0.0500343856740135 0.0362083565671192 0.0246338292297719 0.0264922886733035 0.0199610137637553
1979:1 0.0602659137920075 0.0650763452152425 0.038851250463075 0.050019463306308 0.036990532465012 0.0246180999275631 0.0228632411384025 0.0199484923998982
1979:2 0.0616189188489574 0.0650706369439918 0.0398213400775565 0.0500094625440743 0.0393100749670557 0.024606249122166 0.0204245083009733 0.0199387081280208
1979:3 0.0604375756833629 0.0650671416419293 0.0389959319975038 0.0500027432980636 0.0345964321254033 0.0245973010163867 0.0232129231782231 0.0199310428020074
1979:4 0.0659315905116685 0.0650649977051427 0.0383932563673824 0.0499982218707091 0.0315499112807037 0.024590536348815 0.020796451356585 0.0199250289712942
1979:5 0.0582862133933696 0.065063681199101 0.034599533449338 0.0499951765199127 0.0345646779856497 0.0245854188154461 0.0190741779532028 0.0199203071383187
1979:6 0.0595956402875258 0.0650628722037318 0.0364957977008639 0.0499931241934863 0.030424368589079 0.0245815458597558 0.0236400734652257 0.0199165981506666
1979:7 0.0601020958410998 0.0650623748440299 0.0373461392769003 0.0499917406087189 0.0304674081028207 0.0245786141680124 0.0218775096474214 0.0199136840708787
1979:8 0.0622664368677702 0.0650620689824947 0.0384667372340425 0.0499908076632134 0.0358792450094402 0.0245763947112427 0.0223489813315249 0.0199113942431574
1979:9 0.0604593619090236 0.0650618808505047 0.0391073241107887 0.0499901785017812 0.0317929383084083 0.0245747143427204 0.0219751486308991 0.0199095948155219
1979:10 0.0601945581232371 0.065061765118317 0.0409665236810027 0.0499897541740187 0.0328433824857628 0.0245734420739145 0.0225178742497684 0.0199081807079243
1979:11 0.0626864817320085 0.0650616939182721 0.0411682684529556 0.049989467979608 0.0336844285067933 0.0245724787719319 0.0201010174800661 0.019907069386914
1979:12 0.063384360977693 0.065061650112778 0.0390552439940465 0.0499892749458908 0.0338183092633279 0.0245717493963846 0.0198310483960729 0.0199061960103946
1980:1 0.0726440389935652 0.0728722981060561 0.0429489399466989 0.0561475951990025 0.037342527960679 0.0268287952052628 0.0193444365945315 0.0212413002944142
1980:2 0.0710750056925273 0.0734822941461227 0.0435587887757323 0.0566647921314072 0.0379364934820186 0.0272312074211778 0.0223033235410526 0.021650089486787
1980:3 0.0705266828903601 0.0738368075175598 0.0450932748404358 0.0569789676355165 0.0428034425253202 0.0274592416497309 0.0203329931644271 0.0218681119864464
1980:4 0.0829742674870191 0.0847604491462889 0.0545591158278793 0.0660783514986589 0.0441120787708406 0.0310215845234849 0.0222509240639847 0.0237880964644637
1980:5 0.0842476222735939 0.0855792935665253 0.0571297943224518 0.0668679022083747 0.0449635133957732 0.0315946063104261 0.0197958542759494 0.0243402954341888
1980:6 0.0830383021929968 0.0860948959821909 0.0597077491282857 0.0673929705123749 0.0495906583056096 0.0319620955443692 0.0229350104262055 0.0246690128384297
1980:7 0.087302445855403 0.0864201974750609 0.061589185320417 0.0677464068460207 0.0519081374536551 0.0322103584418059 0.025364965602307 0.0248778094661162
1980:8 0.0888927165217207 0.0866257122021136 0.0606561969824576 0.0679862916891751 0.0507228743798184 0.0323851726367009 0.0243740764349831 0.0250188321193234
1980:9 0.0845873224202398 0.0867556689558876 0.0614205275933955 0.0681500153988659 0.0473442287597408 0.0325120665430952 0.0206335800986589 0.02511911948857
1980:10 0.0876836301181263 0.0868378981507242 0.0566185616648619 0.0682621723860545 0.0491515588151018 0.0326061268897457 0.0242342151814504 0.0251932824936202
1980:11 0.0852345158354996 0.0868899501500888 0.05628145788357 0.0683391917539464 0.045877928316193 0.0326768211205259 0.0242448749747673 0.0252496509651622
1980:12 0.0866068110992622 0.0869229091291152 0.0553934976909917 0.0683921664100714 0.046219291846767 0.0327304278557306 0.0227666821503666 0.0252932803325368
1981:1 0.0868064424423139 0.0869437826063715 0.0553807719052535 0.0684286410025488 0.0458312249715916 0.0327713054189589 0.0260848467856546 0.025327443704658
1981:2 0.0894460190278556 0.0869570038793117 0.0544074824806858 0.0684537719573503 0.0465034330938638 0.0328025851923373 0.0221991496812431 0.0253543889513714
1981:3 0.0853576707820879 0.0869653789916071 0.054552814978049 0.0684710948537176 0.0451009446390631 0.0328265722613789 0.0224933299904822 0.0253757356200994
1981:4 0.0822661626703852 0.0869706845898197 0.0517443714788293 0.0684830390689092 0.0465735677295003 0.0328449912574619 0.0227929414433243 0.0253926926244772
1981:5 0.085416340122734 0.0869740458019717 0.0548816987596679 0.0684912762083988 0.047146031732171 0.032859146182496 0.0236122145248936 0.0254061846126797
1981:6 0.0859953615938312 0.0869761752624279 0.0546661318535678 0.068496957516394 0.0496198105288849 0.0328700295996121 0.0234855866365385 0.0254169301734758
1981:7 0.083845234039051 0.0869775243850349 0.0558901939161461 0.0685008763314707 0.0444691612432486 0.0328784001721256 0.0236305137627511 0.0254254934201164
1981:8 0.0883816595163997 0.0869783791344356 0.0546701365748459 0.0685035795654825 0.0458290642464339 0.0328848392824479 0.0235937574202571 0.0254323199757823
1981:9 0.0846849631687693 0.0869789206736886 0.0577043940269468 0.0685054443433035 0.047654619613436 0.032889793167845 0.0252410875429632 0.0254377632107754
1981:10 0.0940559728125527 0.086979263775983 0.0615219333730688 0.0685067307551239 0.0477784989447513 0.0328936046704269 0.0259984219661548 0.0254421039915332
1981:11 0.095697322577931 0.0987969060748719 0.0649945849510401 0.0781998009036061 0.0520848528045668 0.0368940527883677 0.0273543801765181 0.0279798870800303
1981:12 0.0992304481631058 0.100165392386081 0.071077050011795 0.0793891802312848 0.0565750934693801 0.0376082942277652 0.0286487717879525 0.0285741316830388
1982:1 0.10460257150451 0.10099742906316 0.0687262217555895 0.0801454987736525 0.0537152825426458 0.0380652134054679 0.0271937951884239 0.0289439454500501
1982:2 0.106349961074851 0.101512113093874 0.0689986175972266 0.0806394578032126 0.0563281192649189 0.0383721489388186 0.0285117523274819 0.0291872829326995
1982:3 0.108402513793175 0.101834629089408 0.0745339287189374 0.080968732444795 0.0589970230921302 0.0385870677302282 0.0310468929955415 0.029355938550131
1982:4 0.11381984167269 0.102038640658612 0.0807012556871622 0.0811915497778163 0.0582111586946496 0.0387425213540638 0.0314484193849669 0.0294780605031186
1982:5 0.118926125951834 0.102168563743567 0.0774724623628598 0.0813439503954671 0.0569439836859507 0.0388576712954561 0.0319297647772064 0.0295695262702729
1982:6 0.121742207400815 0.115304975211823 0.0799698455215606 0.0919269761773549 0.0599577180175578 0.0447644860614198 0.030616291025975 0.0331736327860723
1982:7 0.125838839312609 0.117530388569319 0.081116142497552 0.0937862710316784 0.0619135184043162 0.0458357359751974 0.0301000342561627 0.0340539033767201
1982:8 0.12402007647968 0.118913093717499 0.0819894062075525 0.0949848219334046 0.0619413716929592 0.0465730740944407 0.0271122360376198 0.0346447691515371
1982:9 0.133713348994779 0.119788385498222 0.0837725225959076 0.09577797356799 0.0673776030213282 0.047099530803621 0.0329947650438737 0.0350603344255303
1982:10 0.132931240447779 0.120350278061724 0.088729541202087 0.0963137194199538 0.0707251173445432 0.0474864891695175 0.0349381994861588 0.0353646129606233
1982:11 0.136330649426414 0.120714681978781 0.0917414247068761 0.0966812028382668 0.072860583408577 0.0477771474170973 0.0373047212211485 0.0355946623243156
1982:12 0.139434707255828 0.120952735444468 0.0988963234436733 0.0969361026244437 0.0717854047861583 0.0479988819210633 0.0373081751552779 0.0357728027962281
1983:1 0.134740345509381 0.121109046393262 0.0908264769096257 0.0971143195290282 0.0736435426678275 0.0481698624302623 0.0361304884729378 0.0359131152712762
1983:2 0.130704486406751 0.121212049772027 0.0946151466399722 0.0972396158040224 0.0730499739317696 0.0483026687148116 0.0359836423603162 0.0360249323780192
1983:3 0.135098426342944 0.121280092586862 0.0892113496199384 0.0973280443887106 0.070683401757607 0.0484063256740205 0.0358030601599263 0.0361147425958596
1983:4 0.132319316193551 0.121325116948022 0.0925039446570115 0.097390617655807 0.0683163971393086 0.0484874910372743 0.0356538043344263 0.0361872513019783
1983:5 0.129444257701873 0.121354944379888 0.0911992614142627 0.097434974783272 0.0677830672367378 0.0485511789079127 0.0348352436194957 0.0362459895686806
1983:6 0.129792496881202 0.121374719896149 0.087593461949952 0.0974664571080848 0.067898330561405 0.0486012214862905 0.0318743188710643 0.0362936768539136
1983:7 0.125235655329866 0.121387838094956 0.080768362816426 0.0974888200272137 0.0651987340318175 0.0486405775373732 0.0320923289940221 0.0363324469866301
1983:8 0.12410222266745 0.116192860091019 0.0767288482731574 0.0934761687931391 0.065219323038333 0.046384493916565 0.0310431806717999 0.0348869104745584
1983:9 0.124965975173196 0.110378812517442 0.0764413763387807 0.0887891303714509 0.058831034849344 0.0438033780976526 0.0303455640644961 0.0330948792012761
1983:10 0.119477456993822 0.107144477361864 0.070832242955004 0.0861238697831486 0.0575140023567189 0.0423006634886977 0.029468255971725 0.0320625078439014
1983:11 0.117207955714862 0.10528510057735 0.0696776461132857 0.0845445043182256 0.0546920284743151 0.0413798588468397 0.0267321085513547 0.03143683900559
1983:12 0.11650672125425 0.104185272198816 0.0701538704202404 0.0835721048936619 0.0556882024236409 0.0407854978615729 0.0283179028100429 0.031036024920348
1984:1 0.1071507176928 0.103519356075287 0.0674984232264899 0.0829533547284542 0.0524862818953305 0.0403830731860025 0.0296032455286914 0.030764881545038
1984:2 0.10815640036746 0.103108737163585 0.0653520925251697 0.0825490342443441 0.048461301806022 0.0400994941865113 0.0283534187793194 0.0305724189126285
1984:3 0.105503431159524 0.102852034798458 0.0639661455137015 0.0822794089230661 0.0503551422181032 0.0398933971452232 0.0271878338432898 0.030430422837879
1984:4 0.105731157652112 0.0981368107383878 0.0633654152378695 0.0783741069344491 0.0519417163735412 0.0381662772754349 0.0248349533857759 0.0292997422541231
1984:5 0.103602555429253 0.0931466187645527 0.060834027466976 0.0742177027699609 0.0516718249789505 0.0361573309123139 0.0247725772008432 0.0278619455042312
1984:6 0.0985815971702138 0.0904999890287455 0.0604026327915039 0.0719557138048039 0.0482405506186232 0.0350336326631765 0.0254203244814513 0.0270599999089534
1984:7 0.11146993969498 0.0890441072543678 0.0601478543720952 0.0706665740476004 0.0487145210269241 0.0343673557509464 0.0280755134032463 0.0265851660728708
1984:8 0.105787281052328 0.0882164907794314 0.0622016176480826 0.0698988499819244 0.0472196233785453 0.0339479001912516 0.0256499903338045 0.0262851942329277
1984:9 0.0999677615721015 0.0877328015907672 0.0617039256048314 0.0694237279548212 0.0481587378533268 0.0336689512742722 0.0228323177862701 0.0260835729260924
1984:10 0.103325602610564 0.0874437952791638 0.0637304344568594 0.0691203856837257 0.0492619061188056 0.0334748957963167 0.0248833313786747 0.0259407452516484
1984:11 0.0997716264955852 0.0872681730858609 0.0607663547778456 0.0689220682869468 0.0474109543755828 0.033335250244789 0.0256815804527316 0.025835420454704
1984:12 0.09960676312795 0.0871601143687638 0.0596846879612015 0.068790162326566 0.0457287829758978 0.0332323430977972 0.0279737623107696 0.0257555201700865
1985:1 0.107170589973841 0.0870930286445123 0.0604308183869309 0.0687013636158639 0.0475010458550096 0.0331552950870112 0.0266906555830061 0.0256937538780597
1985:2 0.100684596458429 0.0870511157820119 0.0592964066090688 0.0686410896205427 0.045370843127574 0.0330970124386839 0.0238842431135833 0.0256454264457402
1985:3 0.0990713273732409 0.0870248143601259 0.0610398553320135 0.0685999500352341 0.0448787268519576 0.0330526370428041 0.0246012247225917 0.0256073281626752
1985:4 0.105310152269846 0.0870082591893778 0.063066117916746 0.0685717669416746 0.0463289575486205 0.0330187128400994 0.0253399498806494 0.0255771546867014
1985:5 0.100781799925174 0.0869978168963218 0.0585732751366829 0.0685524129087207 0.0474620991744174 0.0329927130616032 0.024601263428351 0.0255531902727763
1985:6 0.103994520982773 0.0869912209290732 0.0611576661356166 0.0685391008356188 0.0504773547561049 0.0329727557235343 0.0255237770102803 0.0255341248318213
1985:7 0.10391866647093 0.0869870504701277 0.0624454975170899 0.0685299350028845 0.046937809523196 0.032957421961183 0.0231471588125034 0.0255189413334793
1985:8 0.0993555611081411 0.0869844118510883 0.0621965506109732 0.0685236197167712 0.04603275993869 0.0329456337483002 0.0239743989416867 0.0255068419201717
1985:9 0.101083961920106 0.086982741665382 0.0621430948003572 0.0685192665408591 0.0484877227387107 0.032936568032347 0.0220662165021198 0.0254971965843332
1985:10 0.0970902359401186 0.0869816841534161 0.0602259042166573 0.0685162649989288 0.0439126777153468 0.0329295945299002 0.0225966339616102 0.0254895058692881
1985:11 0.0976394483674569 0.0869810144297757 0.059628604079309 0.0685141950295446 0.0416278089839275 0.032924229678538 0.021771531119279 0.0254833728569053
1985:12 0.0952204924197237 0.086980590233513 0.0591078632041552 0.068512767331732 0.0471133486202695 0.0329201020576726 0.022620871648961 0.0254784816550908
1986:1 0.0969171524634438 0.0869803215263233 0.0584602683147003 0.0685117825430975 0.0408842941366905 0.0329169261818648 0.0211121148705841 0.0254745806360441
1986:2 0.102287022064147 0.0869801513027623 0.0601541799866687 0.0685111032267047 0.0502715899373176 0.032914482523885 0.0238308466538 0.025471469256498
1986:3 0.102036019836581 0.0869800434629853 0.0599098085665838 0.0685106346122552 0.0494610276205126 0.032912602231476 0.0232691640238654 0.0254689876360202
1986:4 0.0995868101491503 0.0869799751424712 0.0602072007066339 0.0685103113398169 0.0480463489411747 0.032911155408865 0.0230286084859217 0.0254670082878229
1986:5 0.100458998563653 0.0869799318580224 0.0603222588945559 0.0685100883280302 0.0456199072768337 0.0329100421191669 0.0233686204245581 0.025465429543832
1986:6 0.102451343422604 0.0869799044347912 0.0618075691358113 0.0685099344803555 0.047406423825539 0.03290918547013 0.0229807037275648 0.0254641703203219
1986:7 0.102703329980826 0.086979887060413 0.0605816527943801 0.068509828345844 0.045718576554854 0.0329085262980733 0.0242223490599469 0.0254631659476263
1986:8 0.102989272325984 0.0869798760525616 0.058633433542999 0.0685097551268046 0.0450932630741551 0.0329080190792827 0.0223687652705882 0.0254623648461219
1986:9 0.102252697822843 0.0869798690783066 0.0596686861067352 0.0685097046150467 0.0460959793668036 0.0329076287848995 0.0238801735853842 0.0254617258760164
1986:10 0.104383429573539 0.0869798646596091 0.0580727352619519 0.0685096697683453 0.0477225254929519 0.0329073284612589 0.024208906963337 0.0254612162240065
1986:11 0.101097575130814 0.086979861860038 0.0567292231438796 0.0685096457285195 0.0477159378564775 0.0329070973682044 0.0240954577061124 0.025460809717911
1986:12 0.096352076604927 0.086979860086301 0.054945895344821 0.0685096291440628 0.0460738132901188 0.0329069195466647 0.0228299909417445 0.0254604854824849
1987:1 0.0968997429807335 0.0869798589625052 0.0546601379277326 0.068509617702867 0.0468188907853415 0.0329067827164851 0.0221209062796904 0.0254602268673693
1987:2 0.0941625429037645 0.0869798582504943 0.0527611998441654 0.0685096098098738 0.0449027161305375 0.0329066774283433 0.0242535710777912 0.0254600205919973
1987:3 0.0936501992538572 0.0869798577993817 0.0554855525409333 0.0685096043646978 0.0442917595945629 0.0329065964111772 0.0237029886437272 0.0254598560636027
1987:4 0.0898735830369759 0.0830112645445228 0.0511973524535299 0.0651122074244901 0.0438804090586886 0.0315578687667411 0.0234719115293414 0.0247114157264123
1987:5 0.0889439539887693 0.0789214390951776 0.0491588905939748 0.0616925063640366 0.0445706933252067 0.0300127922731969 0.0243447019177038 0.0236665460494797
1987:6 0.085860043191466 0.0768647125427644 0.0509332216920759 0.0599407116558828 0.0417348780151502 0.0292114811190012 0.0228862033291617 0.0231326054265925
1987:7 0.0834812748976928 0.0757857622317619 0.0514128115209573 0.0589953763162898 0.0414606112666781 0.0287690230318466 0.0223340096292285 0.0228430499980076
1987:8 0.0826585226127248 0.0751968538225178 0.0513908044507655 0.0584578620932474 0.0416544846422284 0.028507035556162 0.0226081743911424 0.0226742796755937
1987:9 0.0843379557458422 0.0748641626550781 0.0497092539735397 0.0581373978976613 0.040765837374005 0.0283409901706196 0.0217251842186657 0.0225681295001763
1987:10 0.0895691510662326 0.0746708978026994 0.0511521311463679 0.0579387077536243 0.0380642683391942 0.0282294636335019 0.0216375198115953 0.0224965691775323
1987:11 0.0830305863522312 0.0745561998556331 0.050517944597915 0.0578117754873737 0.0374779854412384 0.0281511715642198 0.0201706526980777 0.0224455879379273
1987:12 0.0841220563905783 0.074487051654917 0.0504058158983086 0.0577289199179335 0.0364871200383652 0.0280944920403395 0.0201529753201574 0.0224078078357446
1988:1 0.0808478305705902 0.0744448957811319 0.0493887189065494 0.0576740273970792 0.0358924407791172 0.028052624189988 0.0220325194237257 0.0223790743595709
1988:2 0.0828497722078099 0.0744189953050203 0.0495451344729106 0.0576372985417465 0.038364220900258 0.0280213041492026 0.0185776786546525 0.0223568643459998
1988:3 0.0795576528906209 0.0744029973584717 0.0478434043785698 0.0576125632468969 0.0367132619624118 0.0279976930439207 0.0183538710096104 0.0223395281564183
1988:4 0.0801334807501897 0.071420879123737 0.0466112609659498 0.0552603390091795 0.0352727668139711 0.0270972736215982 0.0159544260261956 0.0217538487011674
1988:5 0.0831330144818411 0.0729704601740658 0.0467426511312857 0.0564654406455402 0.0364209030228259 0.0273586328660222 0.018692798643356 0.0217992647139977
1988:6 0.0820103109494389 0.0707097209610523 0.0447305581153486 0.0546784679664846 0.0370141845684767 0.0267671454132542 0.0191869924660535 0.0214781081153407
1988:7 0.0775089878930065 0.0678715150251946 0.0452739842083537 0.0524193038042421 0.0364140875804101 0.0257698624694951 0.0211105659406253 0.0207538407260529
1988:8 0.0856675309977146 0.0723510441544432 0.0450535730992516 0.055935218363607 0.0384544111800042 0.027011917987809 0.0210898223987088 0.0214886819682202
1988:9 0.0796394451877395 0.0703577888143924 0.044826187772559 0.0543624961350586 0.0376161413441255 0.0265589240200828 0.0206945350713676 0.0212983519603067
1988:10 0.0760831524652343 0.0676747959984216 0.0450979446938351 0.0522313291397761 0.0371200021663909 0.0256415548230453 0.0200926223294974 0.0206461999832697
1988:11 0.081537883140668 0.0664140761393042 0.0447876969094832 0.0512120966237186 0.0365755240296968 0.0251971582177555 0.0185313828650296 0.0203354737065863
1988:12 0.0773391450120788 0.0657927130435944 0.0434269290083489 0.0506956412919107 0.034600061343148 0.0249667238962595 0.0216876612420078 0.0201778429089912
1989:1 0.0770716458926415 0.0654714617481591 0.0433483598208954 0.0504172199865413 0.0335249594341151 0.0248371944610553 0.0206890633889213 0.0200910975739492
1989:2 0.0731480335918388 0.0652979601556019 0.0423761767494091 0.0502580175039569 0.0339934851541379 0.0247581698121515 0.0216890270483731 0.0200388554595705
1989:3 0.0710283130649794 0.0652007654578233 0.0429207542482305 0.0501623264026745 0.0329194044025007 0.0247064093973717 0.0218406481946269 0.0200046325335275
1989:4 0.0784990603537344 0.0651447443671711 0.0424850748498684 0.0501025627883958 0.034049425885783 0.0246706403249817 0.0216285830702692 0.019980668466867
1989:5 0.0762662409209373 0.0651117712696167 0.0440823816669775 0.0500642065061449 0.0325224966260918 0.0246450075648599 0.0209389178233358 0.0199630927632917
1989:6 0.0769093898135933 0.0650920750805575 0.044415818216153 0.0500391341053701 0.0322579077177988 0.0246262139653395 0.0206952550957554 0.0199498195247493
1989:7 0.0761376052818711 0.0650801902963468 0.0455730161980566 0.0500225493155926 0.0335444883112566 0.0246122445516813 0.020631167515281 0.0199396195203093
1989:8 0.0774721159322722 0.0650729702762828 0.0425083483467262 0.0500114963105385 0.0325015224988835 0.0246017777378832 0.0210821297958822 0.0199317026133335
1989:9 0.0779803548129083 0.0650685644657039 0.0445365395686062 0.0500040955606362 0.0334962943716579 0.0245938993609174 0.0225480620610444 0.0199255233003433
1989:10 0.0776054992959452 0.0650658680752714 0.0451915768692372 0.0499991260002705 0.0362320458644189 0.0245879539064224 0.0215952338844105 0.0199206852431739
1989:11 0.0779652392913089 0.0650642147232495 0.0450697622331408 0.0499957831006652 0.0350279198778837 0.0245834605769403 0.0218705348209912 0.0199168908470184
1989:12 0.0744957478816212 0.065063199684433 0.046630959621803 0.0499935320047069 0.035692850819686 0.0245800619122437 0.021135839366037 0.0199139121894216
1990:1 0.07646621778845 0.065062576027926 0.047272175066304 0.0499920151368243 0.0363842138110828 0.0245774900447789 0.021654008860467 0.0199115727016194
1990:2 0.0772473674998249 0.065062192646469 0.0466110876219002 0.0499909926128941 0.0358025838422655 0.0245755433356527 0.0206546540295369 0.0199097347143911
1990:3 0.0802390839299421 0.0650619568917912 0.0445343355372048 0.0499903031616017 0.0347683503393248 0.0245740696108068 0.0199992226658386 0.0199082905036709
1990:4 0.078751181713206 0.0650618118871287 0.0463229512842637 0.0499898382214713 0.0349249588526225 0.0245729538606718 0.0213700289845712 0.0199071556107607
1990:5 0.0776619057550901 0.065061722687485 0.0456687932151589 0.0499895246555256 0.0364293592726313 0.0245721090931701 0.02035671575108 0.0199062637460368
1990:6 0.0749164897161229 0.0650616678114739 0.0449140652653749 0.0499893131683516 0.0353080902756482 0.0245714694783979 0.0225965248210052 0.0199055628495292
1990:7 0.0805004322434953 0.0728721334875708 0.0466999595284462 0.0561474873391197 0.0390282779917657 0.0268285279105585 0.022584912910696 0.0212407269189755
1990:8 0.0790762056392651 0.0734822121986131 0.0499114286495838 0.0566647411376906 0.0414237445370327 0.0272310082110805 0.0223926954704983 0.0216496307183577
1990:9 0.0840041498268257 0.0738367649575944 0.0515552443391086 0.0569789425488968 0.0395968610399772 0.0274590918116178 0.0218404321007428 0.0218677466553847
1990:10 0.0874996697645361 0.074047249771372 0.0498552289578527 0.0571766028138209 0.0390517091038605 0.0275977556546971 0.0226722981683588 0.0219924715032012
1990:11 0.093484863156606 0.0741741740852896 0.0543006017678954 0.0573042229119365 0.0422475833107662 0.0276877196722017 0.0249961934189813 0.0220694355733211
1990:12 0.0994977927229128 0.0849523100354601 0.0561914319096905 0.0662922963033866 0.0426052793053006 0.0311819970796008 0.025923079421448 0.0239231628443133
1991:1 0.1033138658954 0.0857032250450727 0.0519527069104321 0.067016701707702 0.0435775614988588 0.0317114093868379 0.0254035997151577 0.0244367299342253
1991:2 0.113678766907451 0.0861744340792752 0.0571930460246401 0.0674961633641013 0.044270846856274 0.0320488568890199 0.0253947416534306 0.0247405318646275
1991:3 0.105125274732744 0.0864710276927558 0.0591356496055397 0.0678178389614705 0.0488898779525966 0.0322756550851846 0.0286973583239878 0.0249322741403925
1991:4 0.101667982116168 0.0866581044051139 0.0584810145809824 0.0680356793660814 0.0491311503909543 0.0324347288828132 0.029020651187373 0.02506104099701
1991:5 0.107159939118473 0.0867762722794226 0.0586517956344979 0.0681841353315178 0.049233093361536 0.0325498756676934 0.0312109183885631 0.0251521966944932
1991:6 0.103851945581042 0.0868509864184048 0.0615795924568048 0.0682857326633154 0.0492637716487883 0.0326350682737597 0.0278080319977025 0.0252193837814889
1991:7 0.102036722442371 0.0868982573637391 0.0574506863766025 0.0683554551673142 0.0439404425982021 0.032699019519095 0.0290357369636883 0.0252703351766763
1991:8 0.110927515943196 0.0869281787315097 0.0586254067157 0.0684033905108953 0.0492475274741405 0.0327474755212454 0.0279171672188267 0.0253097140631186
1991:9 0.106506521089934 0.0869471240254827 0.0590461083264202 0.0684363861921672 0.0503773307932108 0.0327844074893418 0.0273571813325485 0.025340520764797
1991:10 0.104728694519408 0.0869591220920215 0.0607397651266567 0.0684591160502939 0.0499413162683304 0.0328126595662177 0.028392575551065 0.0253648047267494
1991:11 0.10395318186253 0.0869667215424834 0.0623906115841894 0.0684747820046507 0.0529368792148134 0.0328343208115514 0.0279530611315533 0.0253840363828149
1991:12 0.107614282042975 0.086971535413445 0.0637857557712489 0.0684855829193043 0.0542755591552145 0.0328509519784029 0.0296351125501176 0.0253993100855938
1992:1 0.106328650684728 0.0987940919758017 0.0668424819988817 0.0781868300621953 0.0542874192137958 0.0368594117585982 0.0311148702238512 0.0279431068117822
1992:2 0.109403030092321 0.10016330937096 0.0691109588838409 0.0793795479318769 0.0558830176613028 0.0375805336999279 0.0331903434714156 0.0285437448449745
1992:3 0.111130746685179 0.100995965619323 0.0677049334202997 0.0801384992694482 0.0560067533691053 0.0380432224657481 0.0293087159838255 0.0289190978593245
1992:4 0.108279346485953 0.101511115220541 0.0688480705996051 0.0806344387783829 0.0563554272396721 0.0383548503261361 0.0307273399973121 0.0291670902259484
1992:5 0.119606668555798 0.101833960995215 0.0686356014850966 0.0809651636798087 0.0564469249655355 0.0385735189620712 0.032261355765425 0.0293395904642567
1992:6 0.127080443133486 0.102038198523372 0.0684954496370255 0.0811890259020838 0.0581969048393194 0.0387319380907396 0.0318012170216885 0.0294648556545458
1992:7 0.120202228173233 0.102168273350395 0.0677784183239646 0.0813421717435783 0.056695546827276 0.0388494183636577 0.0311475196346974 0.0295588755451144
1992:8 0.120277510986544 0.102251508923207 0.0730609296334711 0.0814477176541274 0.0562155558825669 0.0389379678561226 0.0301491428383592 0.0296311387343514
1992:9 0.117042875544827 0.102304948428165 0.0668163843907441 0.0815208283995118 0.0564076537892183 0.0390054467701225 0.0332447357860418 0.0296875895220536
1992:10 0.115931653093488 0.10233933694617 0.0655368378995381 0.0815716463450156 0.0564182442659676 0.039057241645632 0.0350506194399813 0.0297321646961702
1992:11 0.116550468058847 0.102361501214093 0.0659419523181866 0.0816070510929671 0.0535522851789977 0.0390971846978409 0.0348375345507063 0.0297676083918325
1992:12 0.111855450411892 0.10237580224995 0.0669014737423698 0.0816317559574351 0.0580346367608466 0.0391280808237252 0.0323447756758855 0.0297959166626549
1993:1 0.110482204289833 0.097836109945098 0.0648734484302442 0.0779338210267515 0.0541790019870873 0.0375925687523211 0.0308320571356491 0.0288093547421847
1993:2 0.110072561246578 0.0929629063917858 0.0630548033831741 0.0739268042060378 0.0537259370430783 0.0357372393729034 0.0316804097430178 0.0274908413524195
1993:3 0.107652183039803 0.0903865124759866 0.0639564203704188 0.0717607867866646 0.0515425362803797 0.0347204213118746 0.0311782540436531 0.0267735769717603
1993:4 0.107149057202887 0.0889734636059999 0.064378053281509 0.0705346789302077 0.0518636895360672 0.034131064420952 0.03056999264945 0.0263612868436826
1993:5 0.104833181747593 0.088172269939399 0.0649455632909736 0.0698090152800706 0.0500945061800404 0.0337682961617439 0.0287059303426921 0.0261088116438104
1993:6 0.116064030624831 0.0877050148244457 0.0647629655312864 0.0693622715624033 0.0526536162852416 0.0335317916043112 0.0286708114068377 0.0259439325952998
1993:7 0.104600718285639 0.0874262891342166 0.0645237380258391 0.0690782207683667 0.0526684352520549 0.0333698438507262 0.0275234357738052 0.0258298654477999
1993:8 0.105882483635655 0.0872571240328477 0.0607332623296865 0.0688930838886021 0.0558955821042003 0.0332546449760152 0.0265920835141492 0.025747219716446
1993:9 0.106667266828231 0.0871531321514785 0.0619430860080724 0.0687702133819186 0.0514535767589427 0.0331704270759361 0.0291323020581723 0.0256852839796085
1993:10 0.108135417992006 0.087088612685312 0.0617691047378651 0.06868762225327 0.0511654828096613 0.03310770274533 0.0288068871068368 0.0256377869292993
1993:11 0.104264577417592 0.0870483212845903 0.0586061984273062 0.0686316191718657 0.0470982820045517 0.0330604149470889 0.0283444605426594 0.0256008124007717
1993:12 0.108195024650562 0.0870230452697403 0.0576674284633294 0.0685934208104003 0.0497116355906311 0.0330244872123937 0.0280889732138689 0.0255717557658801
1994:1 0.105085689424814 0.0870071389520393 0.0577275511090162 0.0685672644752637 0.0480005720612611 0.0329970573699846 0.0289614182250189 0.0255487875468379
1994:2 0.101865400964138 0.0869971074048961 0.0606669183301842 0.0685493076132591 0.04752041526628 0.0329760520787906 0.028255767640884 0.0255305670499029
1994:3 0.103705008836451 0.0869907715255222 0.0585702397277861 0.0685369589478383 0.0456234788803653 0.0329599365872028 0.0278202890647854 0.0255160815607202
1994:4 0.10123276827751 0.0869867657873229 0.0564583404300995 0.0685284575373342 0.0462881964302014 0.0329475584332462 0.0247246378015708 0.0255045503927465
1994:5 0.0913941988543402 0.0830156028861604 0.0533897596651468 0.0651249361475811 0.0462017385260571 0.0315884539227681 0.0252579819234418 0.0247458917892628
1994:6 0.100489333590384 0.0789240659129261 0.0543175629183628 0.0617008388329611 0.0431916876202167 0.0300350665634617 0.0253034022830949 0.0236925486020317
1994:7 0.0991196944973406 0.0768663188260029 0.0522531882178343 0.0599462426243033 0.0428035072758506 0.0292279968869071 0.0259867879344726 0.0231526015249659
1994:8 0.0999531161563311 0.0757867511829309 0.0534106215167134 0.0589990818097717 0.0434918298227928 0.0287814067138996 0.0258533185678279 0.0228586102255505
1994:9 0.0996999502284683 0.0751974655302494 0.0507348845261553 0.0584603596349939 0.0431273376201924 0.0285163842959476 0.0247585643299118 0.0226864736234982
1994:10 0.0975805198428969 0.0748645422088419 0.0496978526626139 0.0581390878290498 0.0425986599403401 0.0283480765671593 0.0238191310364478 0.022577724922734
1994:11 0.0924369006237672 0.0746711338039193 0.0489832150500494 0.057939854072394 0.0424705476342487 0.0282348481755744 0.0224276802071556 0.0225041379268576
1994:12 0.085203985987092 0.0745563468035726 0.047106183604173 0.0578125542919492 0.0399502010954206 0.0281552688211463 0.0228826669439855 0.0224515663397953
1995:1 0.0917618898014297 0.0744871432384672 0.0507047215104573 0.0577294495653139 0.039393690613398 0.0280976123921605 0.0235555114858549 0.0224125338196881
1995:2 0.0886165252330444 0.0714719755993799 0.0471932982833857 0.0553374610217613 0.0361888838843447 0.0271705742048168 0.0232527031536699 0.0218086275079136
1995:3 0.0813706960125463 0.0730010862461937 0.0446081864648967 0.056516353350346 0.0412115006851433 0.0274136304992145 0.0254481936454356 0.0218425252031215
1995:4 0.0910170332723336 0.0736945337614523 0.0505424330390608 0.0570430785106126 0.0411439086864849 0.027688313206935 0.0275339637278393 0.0220807535350309
1995:5 0.0889035978970057 0.0740237753977625 0.0502267075761616 0.0572912237031736 0.0428570728152453 0.0278127776445328 0.0254668637208803 0.0221884381474997
1995:6 0.0893557628867771 0.0741865017430865 0.0477423640809409 0.0574127565487814 0.0419328809950606 0.0278696712481059 0.0261631360690208 0.0222369556227511
1995:7 0.0921669975018643 0.074270408069125 0.048083710707329 0.0574751528083054 0.0406517140061062 0.0278960511869304 0.0248098705114643 0.0222586893435749
1995:8 0.0954643450250722 0.0743154881192247 0.047380849825935 0.0575089036711683 0.0398733854632443 0.0279085614458436 0.0253809928372446 0.0222683247107081
1995:9 0.0908160577657453 0.074340616175373 0.0474270433950176 0.0575281373495792 0.0380746338893402 0.0279146991788701 0.0232383650654488 0.0222725159097278
1995:10 0.0923076820135424 0.0743550586742575 0.0452357579513763 0.0575396265525904 0.0396080200841279 0.0279178578355054 0.0238352887910053 0.0222742737519719
1995:11 0.0929554493506044 0.0743635612502591 0.0482503609190259 0.0575467608064774 0.041673122772616 0.027919585826563 0.0235193298155199 0.0222749571226304
1995:12 0.0939926418586867 0.0743686573665533 0.0477783625242383 0.0575513236155164 0.0364451529229255 0.0279205990468732 0.0238505209698649 0.0222751766244929
1996:1 0.088993994729239 0.0743717514206433 0.049080377629295 0.0575543043541056 0.0396179292103558 0.0279212354834898 0.0240347942439743 0.0222752044692907
1996:2 0.0879936192815344 0.0714017408339973 0.0471171385616759 0.0552215151429729 0.0379456743237857 0.0270406049055441 0.0234927772335061 0.0217050072947074
1996:3 0.0921556276268597 0.0729589171696851 0.0475237758796918 0.0564396310883036 0.0374209897906046 0.0273158205680301 0.0218924286513015 0.0217603790767773
1996:4 0.0918395757989715 0.0736680549146721 0.0484341742327817 0.0569904341171351 0.0386946822335836 0.0276130902847307 0.0234027275255391 0.0220152255248773
1996:5 0.0970480916102245 0.0740071808433223 0.0473780939843362 0.0572551977847846 0.0380608218277805 0.0277551330822277 0.0238307767062196 0.0221363454209216
1996:6 0.0879969415516333 0.0712064826403406 0.0459863476873491 0.0550555568350567 0.0374954997864762 0.0269460076593646 0.0223320999443138 0.0216271038984505
1996:7 0.0878062907005915 0.0681074837442587 0.0470965960763746 0.0525979398125005 0.0372789297992487 0.0258466091726975 0.0227883891977897 0.0208146629435854
1996:8 0.0850198120648019 0.0666448919123019 0.0449749801937585 0.0514181353260601 0.0376915018523251 0.0253151065766635 0.0216897477918144 0.0204293017202313
1996:9 0.0822643430562344 0.0659207209208561 0.0463850554970998 0.0508177519816534 0.0371542881984485 0.0250402161364427 0.0225236740971066 0.0202350377191387
1996:10 0.0798112252279896 0.06554468062057 0.0466150267540835 0.0504926891018713 0.0365254494050815 0.0248861376504907 0.0214871479213891 0.0201289496089168
1996:11 0.085371162592956 0.0653408180717938 0.0470309730713906 0.0503061025874196 0.03655360962207 0.0247923871748901 0.0229708224971884 0.0200655587296149
1996:12 0.082831133932302 0.0652262680145133 0.0456814211591573 0.0501936074062704 0.0369847471433418 0.0247311136762465 0.0227326671978368 0.0200243125402892
1997:1 0.0894204919490694 0.065160092704858 0.0457356241547449 0.0501231907760498 0.0353122816874128 0.0246888353524948 0.0208963724118204 0.0199955746996903
1997:2 0.0903627375457499 0.0651210792479712 0.0460684575438017 0.0500779275810512 0.0346770042789655 0.0246585680261672 0.0203633731675833 0.0199745672254759
1997:3 0.0848790261629444 0.0650977485341323 0.0446582515973764 0.0500483103299918 0.0351494551670924 0.0246363898951645 0.0201792158368172 0.0199587342053843
1997:4 0.0842086217749594 0.0650836599114186 0.0432908793864773 0.0500287065730514 0.0330377484363472 0.0246199106320429 0.0197869174956063 0.0199465813442423
1997:5 0.0834145268331915 0.0650750967208607 0.0424474583242294 0.0500156362863073 0.0311023086437734 0.024607565817891 0.0224023499823628 0.0199371549429738
1997:6 0.0820563259919922 0.0650698695412831 0.0437324773686402 0.0500068826428024 0.0325250068655068 0.0245982749593536 0.0206743573859086 0.019929800152013
1997:7 0.0774734787279692 0.0650666697733664 0.0420191472409935 0.050001003722532 0.0310329764388941 0.0245912640338626 0.0212702899620988 0.0199240429335783
1997:8 0.0768945612513201 0.0650647074884281 0.0423065393427796 0.049997048749582 0.0316216535778616 0.0245859656630197 0.0212941502783547 0.019919528161563
1997:9 0.0813062128968468 0.0650635026776093 0.0417301147007895 0.0499943853342242 0.0332496846857909 0.0245819581650714 0.0210156794443242 0.0199159842151807
1997:10 0.0792077018659262 0.062968867876264 0.0424343544575758 0.047831853310278 0.0294183306013617 0.0237048111260004 0.0191353912272903 0.0194297639637001
1997:11 0.0752078908721279 0.0604850724263762 0.0394433690487819 0.0456371917126133 0.0314557811721615 0.0226864818407677 0.0174383868400521 0.0187029740299829
1997:12 0.0749059668130489 0.0593892374240622 0.0410512112507499 0.0446420422816959 0.0332713845356157 0.0222249048431729 0.0180511597359145 0.018377296370984
1998:1 0.0703348142525897 0.058879357115976 0.0405248373529195 0.0441594662556568 0.0326847153240822 0.0219991740225753 0.0191351720623832 0.0182205917023941
1998:2 0.0701758307435783 0.0586284343323253 0.0406338727661289 0.0439075561186509 0.0308941869801093 0.0218778564907143 0.0188463487659926 0.0181376045407484
1998:3 0.0710169517572196 0.0584982286442416 0.0427907416346026 0.0437664995787606 0.0325464853475962 0.0218059549992147 0.0185611756016138 0.0180886784794893
1998:4 0.0724328122042669 0.0584275418565756 0.0399351042249806 0.0436827743492332 0.0272286889994252 0.0217596020951305 0.0165620393798725 0.0180568657205145
1998:5 0.0686657483821085 0.0583877916533649 0.0364229098784827 0.0436308859985051 0.0314306486592364 0.0217278276573247 0.0168600980207204 0.0180345910340266
1998:6 0.0715084466572651 0.058364859288601 0.0397528536162614 0.0435977718155259 0.0284481320781633 0.0217051664242378 0.0170654525416965 0.018018222978327
1998:7 0.0735572814587386 0.0583513939196015 0.0411057078363778 0.0435762392375578 0.0299580385613696 0.0216886195530999 0.0169354150287227 0.0180058472799476
1998:8 0.0713053295725422 0.058343394077877 0.0397119380158375 0.0435620754261008 0.0279206815731744 0.0216763753537899 0.0182757553903753 0.0179963406349744
1998:9 0.0693733604313092 0.0583386050181457 0.0411439003709443 0.0435526940838221 0.03011687263934 0.0216672484924111 0.0170300375208366 0.0179889754743207
1998:10 0.0687523597330596 0.0583357241020909 0.0395686801415192 0.0435464549592958 0.0295994768169252 0.0216604183459911 0.0191196235143376 0.0179832437406424
1998:11 0.0709684627675276 0.0583339857171575 0.0395527416791077 0.0435422956447104 0.0287919038987759 0.021655296114907 0.0187430177402259 0.0179787727182927
1998:12 0.0696434518368898 0.0583329347239605 0.038116928654897 0.0435395189644847 0.0286837662850345 0.02165145037887 0.0184808222207183 0.0179752808672297
1999:1 0.0714199290323475 0.0583322985461596 0.0353220412929016 0.0435376638009911 0.0292731823803082 0.0216485612882726 0.0182162130040206 0.0179725520277625
1999:2 0.0735732919726934 0.0583319131702921 0.0350290912388571 0.0435364237404687 0.0308494880461425 0.0216463901785534 0.0194048293845193 0.0179704187783851
1999:3 0.0616007225169807 0.0556665359705341 0.0350884803325303 0.0420378831039759 0.0289489043341165 0.0210397671202563 0.0187238957692679 0.0176477636713975
1999:4 0.0694873050556846 0.0574337856669822 0.0353935117265047 0.0427359616868933 0.0296094997482929 0.0212167131541781 0.0202790753194293 0.0175641698915362
1999:5 0.0689699775043156 0.0552690151809212 0.0353449401769114 0.0416839196734534 0.0290057741690901 0.0208482586273829 0.0187627142257197 0.0174703363187794
1999:6 0.0689091694758706 0.0572535164766893 0.0385686842661159 0.0425732142068873 0.0248870079394388 0.0211281221995892 0.0200809578534074 0.0174839626744833
1999:7 0.0688837554480318 0.0578384292256714 0.0360683817801433 0.0430926543805905 0.0302387813734266 0.0214043255863622 0.0181429402610418 0.0177476731551054
1999:8 0.0716899358084808 0.0554312932331369 0.0353318179660374 0.041822815620795 0.0308053947754819 0.0209187161036978 0.0162578843484381 0.0175397853677646
1999:9 0.0697887221842245 0.0530552152926649 0.0370163765539675 0.0402464314536622 0.0276583420913621 0.0201757347209035 0.0169223142742841 0.0170060657975161
1999:10 0.0672161867182988 0.0520685953384331 0.0330922693733537 0.0395881799929884 0.0274098747388836 0.0198617859438874 0.0169075454707831 0.0167876807752102
1999:11 0.0651931992354097 0.0516328218869706 0.0325580278944423 0.0392927400825669 0.0267034019937838 0.0197175129535865 0.0171941957344458 0.0166921734338765
1999:12 0.0584681586531961 0.0514269146424096 0.0349115626773359 0.0391482259561866 0.0247481648027188 0.0196435050443585 0.0173712536444929 0.0166459822102231
2000:1 0.0649121057891417 0.0513231211609735 0.034351150798625 0.0390711189933299 0.0261042355453446 0.0196008365505885 0.0184309921514362 0.0166206664831612
2000:2 0.0597818294152781 0.0512678608620512 0.0344801119438851 0.0390268052366455 0.0292849954093598 0.0195736642134756 0.0165241546802411 0.0166049812688382
2000:3 0.0668187678208068 0.0512371933109987 0.0338887445964873 0.0389999001715433 0.0279522642144584 0.0195551088691368 0.0163462975065714 0.0165942908219487
2000:4 0.0639464641577639 0.0512196734478401 0.03364511967216 0.0389829598838152 0.026330390856368 0.0195418867477251 0.0152637373738477 0.0165865429069476
2000:5 0.0707466817606191 0.0512094719157791 0.0349994798224374 0.0389720528385529 0.0262835010077621 0.0195322386057646 0.0165194672206808 0.0165807282497964
2000:6 0.0656726342579401 0.0512034596280385 0.0343977443442075 0.03896493779891 0.0279165891882981 0.0195251092919546 0.0158086838656697 0.0165762835251094
2000:7 0.0648760635504915 0.051199889813033 0.0341796040537152 0.0389602616719716 0.0280496958265098 0.0195198069742697 0.0172755311492801 0.0165728542402624
2000:8 0.0617677104589382 0.0511977606267907 0.0366112879835821 0.0389571755627854 0.0281531842750807 0.0195158504588301 0.018892484061344 0.0165701961908106
2000:9 0.0617239321181387 0.0511964872369197 0.0349977620443709 0.0389551340816828 0.0261209215217653 0.0195128932604987 0.0188681559906821 0.0165681312685539
2000:10 0.0658443016527396 0.0511957244302489 0.0355936018940433 0.0389537818929583 0.0238291699416798 0.0195106811342701 0.0160680650123564 0.0165665253517685
2000:11 0.0670150647742259 0.05119526703904 0.0356527403623522 0.0389528856271837 0.0262377975051146 0.0195090256663445 0.015435017221984 0.0165652757393723
2000:12 0.0601425062466862 0.0511949926220467 0.0349335193508419 0.038952291327347 0.0267444390049893 0.0195077865202895 0.0154285632846549 0.0165643031246367
2001:1 0.0675555933127602 0.058254128414576 0.0379803909027656 0.0427752878825772 0.0299763771439326 0.0211087233889153 0.016306679870176 0.0172957095769641
2001:2 0.0750989434636733 0.0555262523028259 0.0374324916943082 0.0416045760177206 0.0277722981399895 0.0207244607616709 0.0156950925849456 0.0173037908470201
2001:3 0.0690294729130905 0.0573136386071939 0.037864022182755 0.0424751300658074 0.0273614893403948 0.02101696943418 0.0198594581279964 0.0173691476051564
2001:4 0.0692978586879504 0.0578415525261375 0.037145893455997 0.0430097579324731 0.029504185645181 0.0213124967519032 0.021481291056402 0.0176628645589341
2001:5 0.0664411693650347 0.0580823110494702 0.0390640098809114 0.0432545741554224 0.0300641505585746 0.0214499669592799 0.0209169282826412 0.0177945797880112
2001:6 0.070691341037438 0.058198398719968 0.0393272226425241 0.0433746597129489 0.0315927280944853 0.0215195227168863 0.022188392627803 0.0178580265826039
2001:7 0.0705551581819959 0.0582575251458161 0.042403024939391 0.0434380758853173 0.0315132986872259 0.0215583320320352 0.0221209133008804 0.0178916724969517
2001:8 0.0741813244691534 0.0635855331335342 0.0448024023429263 0.0491914304581438 0.0340744411283547 0.0237369861274024 0.0236674043198385 0.0190950147916079
2001:9 0.0788421730496394 0.0642623319523974 0.0454322857175595 0.0494407293065409 0.0355149186261128 0.0240384033312784 0.0250140026278057 0.0194221446502922
2001:10 0.0786001937567418 0.0724379788260323 0.0478860882802966 0.0557734835774848 0.0406094787756387 0.0264464752249862 0.0267780332704148 0.0209011568243842
2001:11 0.080029987240448 0.0732164833507898 0.0505570795164558 0.0563973740373339 0.0416517244621031 0.0269493040125952 0.0294071033436944 0.0214024910185938
2001:12 0.085836885793829 0.0736730581959268 0.0503963154513706 0.0567913999367001 0.0427826770841858 0.0272485927608869 0.0309067306060941 0.0216819681749695
2002:1 0.0843139986252498 0.0739459468428469 0.0537646526192288 0.0570465220407932 0.0428173302456316 0.027439174829469 0.0297107828543891 0.0218499018998568
2002:2 0.0847994162907597 0.0741112993098078 0.053146084671414 0.0572146107406537 0.0428524243423178 0.0275676635993696 0.0291161869971146 0.0219586309826187
2002:3 0.082627014897464 0.0742124630628042 0.0537618757355932 0.057326668363714 0.0434830953832376 0.0276581078895285 0.0278776155260942 0.0220337034889468
2002:4 0.0922576046970742 0.0742747690391556 0.0553562733253254 0.057401954532702 0.0466748384628118 0.0277237038739727 0.0291332419814278 0.0220881320942408
2002:5 0.0848689054349772 0.0743133170317598 0.0552136576672584 0.0574527910691934 0.0478690995923451 0.0277722141024379 0.0290960796577386 0.0221289435490812
2002:6 0.0788690674084607 0.0743372391843605 0.0545588219189261 0.0574872292890315 0.0460734168031423 0.0278085289533301 0.0296673188490717 0.0221602135857059
2002:7 0.08732020445139 0.0743521152273853 0.0514148735459647 0.0575106069291841 0.0446553975110517 0.0278359172611811 0.0294389251917743 0.0221844934320847
2002:8 0.0846587204694953 0.0743613785643751 0.0517238966571857 0.0575264971164169 0.0449880204204082 0.0278566657118794 0.0281789791681911 0.0222034959793528
2002:9 0.0796337914161877 0.0743671521006837 0.0516505102304271 0.0575373069053884 0.0476020714437396 0.0278724258408299 0.0294236721824187 0.0222184378008312
2002:10 0.0872359074468561 0.0743707527283455 0.0486053476354911 0.0575446644492188 0.0452272116086655 0.0278844157568599 0.0303099339643698 0.0222302185679474
2002:11 0.0918907396087701 0.0743729991340267 0.0521595643980845 0.0575496739228177 0.0462637498371201 0.0278935458389226 0.0291727200549792 0.0222395216095677
2002:12 0.0902557017542084 0.0743744010217446 0.0525728007761261 0.0575530853956562 0.0483231973459815 0.0279005020027743 0.0293651083855043 0.022246874685211
2003:1 0.087179327647941 0.0743752760346823 0.0526121192174969 0.057555408928802 0.0474553695264079 0.0279058035659039 0.0308275598328564 0.0222526895412271
2003:2 0.0888724193439056 0.0743758222528794 0.0551362211928039 0.0575569916041693 0.0476420148531176 0.0279098448529375 0.0303052560541909 0.0222572893382189
2003:3 0.0871467477103823 0.0743761632504096 0.0554978744296544 0.0575580697003753 0.0491336461242164 0.0279129257938392 0.0306195473570579 0.0222609285964497
2003:4 0.0858874418566179 0.0743763761419485 0.0574558404365753 0.0575588041085432 0.0487732431820777 0.0279152747512973 0.030691298755313 0.0222638081810745
2003:5 0.0906690843855498 0.074376509058842 0.056092553049697 0.0575593044039294 0.0492067640781019 0.0279170657011707 0.0301539283469887 0.0222660867982093
2003:6 0.0938291680923984 0.0850563167211165 0.0570661371132692 0.06645798433836 0.0489884506045412 0.0313633659405607 0.0305682845754271 0.0240839478089183
2003:7 0.0884916633712269 0.0818141170780087 0.054556358459822 0.0637655361466013 0.050279839413226 0.0305290549453621 0.0304331008991713 0.0238362571471873
2003:8 0.0944156303753244 0.0845802396570632 0.0548995302962406 0.0662466071827882 0.0493211001393174 0.031456292744579 0.0317976566580339 0.0242639957435937
2003:9 0.0870508823944498 0.0816737201738822 0.054201481334133 0.0637760906975703 0.0495920931865922 0.0306462012777767 0.0321141894725012 0.0239691172933743
2003:10 0.0909865093494173 0.0781847654097064 0.0551892069407726 0.0609052779374191 0.0478677978885598 0.0294312987197785 0.0310890329181885 0.0231951688674272
2003:11 0.0880594340073158 0.0764454164368924 0.0530774694229911 0.0594572155512499 0.0465844458780105 0.0288189296436697 0.0308854908945973 0.0228122600546593
2003:12 0.0800266252737881 0.0755407593831097 0.0546805944715019 0.0586886627406306 0.0438309431820777 0.0284924430520159 0.030758894873382 0.0226134588528624
2004:1 0.0900205328752561 0.0750508166918045 0.0502063010993795 0.0582586449020632 0.0450507874470678 0.0283063161877318 0.0296816716531593 0.0225034484198642
2004:2 0.0856833877937143 0.0747758454504508 0.0506578035307029 0.0580058589731217 0.043527285537013 0.0281924928925787 0.0294245996846413 0.0224378697597115
2004:3 0.0886923522682382 0.0746169377922218 0.0531630807174529 0.0578508904782855 0.0475794745135234 0.0281182709867741 0.0287374495616448 0.0223957245930307
2004:4 0.0866598815908299 0.0745229970933601 0.0526071621019719 0.0577527200473815 0.041258204731516 0.0280672987140647 0.0284261635099546 0.0223667994385686
2004:5 0.0873379566499391 0.0744665223807058 0.0508813606977317 0.05768901905485 0.0399135863893681 0.02803094719759 0.0283558673160253 0.022345918929394
2004:6 0.0883704470306824 0.0744321610778144 0.0520064895267818 0.0576469869286219 0.042097176185915 0.0280043542030795 0.0273064529414104 0.0223303072920146
2004:7 0.0832481646351212 0.0744110784353687 0.0501117449449471 0.0576189382121701 0.0426296453295016 0.0279845804011991 0.0265850814162684 0.0223183670579991
2004:8 0.0816837894190018 0.0743980684367158 0.0499196581101811 0.0576000814770542 0.0411581008662082 0.0279697281322621 0.0269954152248281 0.0223091060659809
2004:9 0.0873278029056615 0.0743900086801874 0.0478836046726371 0.057587343294259 0.0415020259645309 0.0279585041156992 0.0257857933108283 0.0223018626472045
2004:10 0.0854513105262031 0.0743850025215775 0.0486735945283271 0.0575787117719495 0.0417355917179702 0.0279499909718971 0.025373509028692 0.0222961692447051
2004:11 0.0812586295631477 0.0743818875912951 0.0484685931080884 0.0575728514617273 0.0430751818806713 0.027943519952969 0.0254086292810095 0.0222916813032765
2004:12 0.081508537547915 0.0743799471560659 0.0481606303590946 0.0575688676815878 0.0424792500241491 0.0279385948980808 0.0248864659105175 0.0222881377097464
2005:1 0.0780361792284359 0.0714067541510665 0.0486020134042028 0.0552312100775767 0.041412371428561 0.0270534532817214 0.0246870790376252 0.0217148011997188
2005:2 0.0783474947214802 0.0682142212182781 0.0489512006272811 0.0526969321515332 0.0418003727293608 0.0259112741979118 0.0241262480578734 0.0208670815664506
2005:3 0.0780114111294645 0.066704043219573 0.0471313268246631 0.0514769382665979 0.0397327720360315 0.025356995243871 0.0244374559688052 0.0204634181386906
2005:4 0.0839492523235401 0.0659545353477193 0.0443796781496367 0.0508541569391684 0.0392356293546866 0.0250689348448997 0.0246431770578277 0.0202588128833602
2005:5 0.0788922326352153 0.065564465305896 0.0454332127197125 0.0505159123694425 0.0387207087804921 0.0249066118840415 0.0242607070513186 0.0201463317255554
2005:6 0.069714255989947 0.0653525874991284 0.0484264763546879 0.0503212221916562 0.0395548268271022 0.0248073510920711 0.023390314158706 0.0200786604686393
2005:7 0.0762061383173115 0.0652333498681947 0.048478080903884 0.0502035830154434 0.0378298120655477 0.0247422156605828 0.0238825447566867 0.0200343694582228
2005:8 0.0760546105309548 0.0651643869179353 0.0475966335019357 0.0501298283709699 0.0355325515603669 0.0246971447171922 0.0212198849412093 0.0200033755921729
2005:9 0.0821776841309783 0.0651236964541524 0.0498824430496448 0.0500823674837617 0.0368129319338552 0.0246648186434618 0.0236929130717748 0.0199806538342305
2005:10 0.0735497136749701 0.0650993490023064 0.0480347023407386 0.0500512898758727 0.0385822371360205 0.0246411053131237 0.0229547910964645 0.0199634987505637
2005:11 0.0746553708977139 0.0650846407640919 0.0482512171312435 0.0500307100906998 0.0392770155448325 0.0246234736531796 0.023063354399814 0.0199503176859963
2005:12 0.0751506323232895 0.065075698691065 0.0459867185979187 0.0500169851405206 0.040130418109121 0.0246102605197767 0.0218474253177715 0.0199400878548954
2006:1 0.07040920272224 0.065070239321342 0.0450720904504923 0.0500077914226256 0.0359971685416282 0.024600313992229 0.0213749571957796 0.0199321036364836
2006:2 0.0727712773075992 0.0650668970570851 0.0448288809313612 0.0500016162815142 0.0370468905364753 0.0245928073742192 0.022377507820682 0.019925852603548
2006:3 0.0698303704975397 0.065064847240536 0.0408908948644068 0.0499974617551264 0.0374161613412323 0.0245871340014318 0.0224931913001631 0.0199209501081927
2006:4 0.0697283832111167 0.0650635886293781 0.04446364005027 0.0499946638410811 0.037867587915413 0.0245828426989958 0.0223507801242306 0.0199171016066295
2006:5 0.0697980299174964 0.065062815249916 0.043384102658992 0.0499927783965961 0.0376683493320704 0.0245795953143648 0.0209260674461242 0.0199140789418074
2006:6 0.0706818615563309 0.0629684552100972 0.0417057978808646 0.0478307934075162 0.0354900908850726 0.023703093767862 0.0208775780616895 0.019428314578374
2006:7 0.0713301988720858 0.0637918275419058 0.044433824395838 0.0491073849977722 0.0367347377405692 0.0240752209856794 0.0206208176244054 0.0194720019982626
2006:8 0.0692227692625703 0.0644673876974162 0.0473862269371045 0.0495639852171511 0.0359515311312304 0.024332323526075 0.0184512536469017 0.0197011074241168
2006:9 0.0648980848238558 0.062680127118088 0.0420392338740893 0.0476138577459836 0.0368446256787164 0.0235765685354586 0.0213838174334487 0.0193211549576007
2006:10 0.059648368775531 0.0603453408198666 0.041844651182869 0.0455250026545176 0.0348698512828056 0.0226183215751986 0.0191987156383218 0.0186461613549969
2006:11 0.0676571152584246 0.0593178276443679 0.0441558190573537 0.0445800195185059 0.0344984452703148 0.0221849338708447 0.0186154653598974 0.0183442215873053
2006:12 0.0690108708151235 0.0588410734698217 0.0437284685229178 0.0441230208671648 0.0348017299813102 0.0219736212593635 0.0187114364250204 0.0181993105946014
2007:1 0.0700101315397079 0.0633553730057607 0.0430199016368679 0.0489821791365963 0.0379069805727834 0.0238367018321752 0.0209365203644074 0.0192155033854685
2007:2 0.0733059008998107 0.0621107183145467 0.0430720290564156 0.047258592872633 0.0360997153592003 0.023295475306325 0.0188382834515116 0.0190627715621555
2007:3 0.0705788467178479 0.060054409714225 0.0393901603555995 0.0453093699919177 0.0355765709848669 0.0224525242032178 0.0182360132139915 0.0185024305874837
2007:4 0.0715309583040805 0.0591618850486093 0.041239699972633 0.0444443043225851 0.0360600458675789 0.0220784530466812 0.0186365670711027 0.0182553715511455
2007:5 0.066794545527258 0.0587542222939402 0.0445345222824865 0.0440355417348991 0.0343523631348792 0.0219008177721191 0.0199426803524077 0.0181393363955311
2007:6 0.0676446270486908 0.0585573462727906 0.0425984635736443 0.0438278942881536 0.0356018438063863 0.0218086000420332 0.0201996506751767 0.018079751050181
2007:7 0.0734723748318267 0.0633894786675788 0.0452643960074515 0.0490213710261658 0.0358697650499015 0.0237956540324966 0.0211966315937632 0.019171823319222
2007:8 0.0658238225855079 0.0641909539875243 0.0447072124447095 0.0494019449093023 0.0366510239899668 0.0241147091992396 0.0211538919726847 0.0194996329097469
2007:9 0.0761651022015755 0.0645884843625614 0.0457911903516356 0.0496198329226443 0.034634712984508 0.0242807262481931 0.0206518427659565 0.0196594623503441
2007:10 0.0738454099994427 0.0647952527135767 0.0474256818470277 0.0497509301515291 0.0354991404457504 0.0243744028328119 0.0214360430872065 0.0197431193292871
2007:11 0.0778802908746227 0.064907508628428 0.0456215141423989 0.049832867267673 0.0333970412589325 0.0244317576807269 0.022007523516102 0.0197908681961092
2007:12 0.0780330727493215 0.0649706572161761 0.0469936085167263 0.0498854813084972 0.0388071968244959 0.024469431714775 0.0213275099660021 0.0198206735473108
2008:1 0.0781539264530593 0.0650071692771059 0.0474774570969319 0.0499198851170193 0.0373023814588817 0.0244955188780975 0.0210823485686664 0.0198407856168438
2008:2 0.0742092609606996 0.065028708029296 0.0479924169172871 0.0499426472693103 0.0383121219654637 0.0245142377867531 0.0207295958759977 0.0198551709231514
2008:3 0.0847916897032858 0.0650415940118582 0.0502095892050047 0.0499578192311847 0.0393167883177774 0.0245279731596696 0.020943415172158 0.0198658668540022
2008:4 0.0776386934852909 0.0650493776323431 0.0506797110428635 0.0499679787457901 0.0398341260929802 0.0245381875369397 0.0215072343174911 0.0198740113330558
2008:5 0.0820952651651429 0.0650541094792578 0.050667474873336 0.0499748011460713 0.0432498287591335 0.0245458428909701 0.0223514317112961 0.019880299923793
2008:6 0.0877241033213567 0.0728693880104619 0.0531066931453385 0.056138951087742 0.0437451764690975 0.0268080582762523 0.0238571766784696 0.0212186129886397
2008:7 0.0878074631072441 0.073480174549288 0.054052498115453 0.0566584455112797 0.0466735906159866 0.0272149250056686 0.0250161593901769 0.0216317637353641
2008:8 0.0979354770177825 0.0738353591004137 0.059406929783068 0.0569744474744141 0.0494357320330071 0.0274466159590125 0.0285526587838271 0.0218534408658293
2008:9 0.0990773567344264 0.0847602409749886 0.0630852852807038 0.0660757411156603 0.0516458252101242 0.0310111960846121 0.026497490301597 0.0237752551953455
2008:10 0.104824909067231 0.0855790488238539 0.0656362994387321 0.0668658964050916 0.0530991018799346 0.0315863203746279 0.0318189914153653 0.0243297642309855
2008:11 0.10851362427465 0.0860946925042738 0.0707392872967635 0.0673914948915625 0.055282129322988 0.0319555823432898 0.0323356035869748 0.0246604749666883
2008:12 0.11300759417284 0.0982932344455906 0.0784404932298848 0.0774539515829 0.0585105049277071 0.0361629300734517 0.0370870014077915 0.0273666547527095
2009:1 0.124191517699998 0.0998250356937441 0.0819379467306561 0.0788495552330039 0.0653805539181564 0.0370375183557762 0.0397239620568921 0.0280904026943843
2009:2 0.13091176344262 0.100770845405918 0.0855376098053977 0.0797596160894318 0.0717179884199692 0.0376202739420783 0.0414501731726595 0.0285595646357582
2009:3 0.139394498482109 0.114459354795801 0.0899300868687505 0.0908626397010655 0.0740376596457904 0.0437940342893882 0.0435805027671848 0.0323455459761968
2009:4 0.150928254951786 0.116957210377126 0.0944278225458351 0.0930160895554421 0.0762898530557506 0.0450702639990352 0.0438099342963952 0.0333870640373978
2009:5 0.155593952509554 0.118527205364477 0.0989143221115647 0.0944306340352528 0.0785157479437112 0.0459695620687159 0.0478706694012449 0.0341054779486699
2009:6 0.158228368218932 0.119529748922814 0.0993201299604669 0.0953806836031312 0.0815992690137069 0.0466238517471448 0.0484159113848841 0.0346229804350229
2009:7 0.157271176062788 0.12017744691228 0.0959392630646166 0.0960296088138835 0.0804306871662624 0.0471116379375147 0.0478672212535788 0.035009289624698
2009:8 0.157381290642797 0.120599420462931 0.0981603338369497 0.0964783630815866 0.0821794015552429 0.0474817885664838 0.0480179046098687 0.0353056493087441
2009:9 0.146043458545869 0.120875970919517 0.107999502807663 0.0967914452229141 0.0849120534704392 0.0477661766883215 0.0502655182446427 0.0355375502493926
2009:10 0.154069745876953 0.121057967580897 0.112992636841999 0.097011231669747 0.0895530668135793 0.0479865298249399 0.0481435798062091 0.0357215315177373
2009:11 0.149767467074249 0.12117808310658 0.105110430240492 0.0971661882790749 0.0884013434866394 0.0481582383092959 0.048825668050248 0.0358688636222093
2009:12 0.153048942271461 0.121257514699624 0.106228680251032 0.0972757608088364 0.0895809465574242 0.0482925451144025 0.0494595950105009 0.035987580282649
2010:1 0.151138857863493 0.121310113523932 0.1005601930816 0.0973533978428025 0.0846471500774096 0.0483978573310112 0.0479551776309048 0.0360836284837092
2010:2 0.153992870827842 0.121344976248175 0.105337383556467 0.0974084826235584 0.0784738472926156 0.0484805681844492 0.0488480596859536 0.0361615419736728
2010:3 0.145825220496354 0.121368098031411 0.107908251264104 0.0974476025528651 0.0831618369685121 0.0485455968239497 0.0485430685415762 0.0362248525999774
2010:4 0.149372906953069 0.121383439558179 0.106303683420457 0.097475402100802 0.0835777666225695 0.0485967585393847 0.0482885212337732 0.0362763538099441
2010:5 0.149409888575091 0.121393621798838 0.108053239787609 0.0974951655198008 0.0832166950574297 0.0486370283243572 0.0466106038617847 0.0363182779954762
2010:6 0.141999423433839 0.121400381148601 0.107308312891175 0.0975092198815065 0.0832426439217426 0.048668734167541 0.0444489273419758 0.0363524215229084
2010:7 0.140517695176616 0.121404868866238 0.102686259760024 0.0975192162977919 0.084511408635198 0.0486937020033766 0.0458506772676354 0.0363802364619442
2010:8 0.142426534666222 0.121407848660517 0.102682007542758 0.0975263273573158 0.0871845773616115 0.0487133661635902 0.0461433946850912 0.03640290004267
2010:9 0.153861151169828 0.121409827334963 0.100439720216299 0.0975313863328994 0.0911274980352183 0.0487288544798824 0.045104201594826 0.0364213684993672
2010:10 0.153947513308354 0.121411141291415 0.101377065708469 0.0975349856214949 0.0846261509659612 0.0487410543511238 0.0468360677443554 0.0364364195131887
2010:11 0.158099345338601 0.1214120138613 0.101869013972354 0.097537546495218 0.086585039669697 0.0487506642915323 0.0511811143231489 0.0364486860529031
2010:12 0.154259770752419 0.121412593327415 0.0989626535506973 0.0975393685917946 0.0827567053530419 0.0487582342845716 0.0480478972011337 0.0364586835647929
Return to Figure 5

Figure 6a: The role of training parameters

Average training duration Unemployment rate Job finding rate Separation rate
1 10.6257 46.6278 5.4472
1.5 8.8919 46.2355 4.4205
2 7.4903 45.7889 3.6227
2.5 6.108 45.6796 2.9031
3 5.0231 45.4553 2.3405
3.5 4.1658 45.2126 1.9112
4 3.5096 45.0874 1.589
4.5 3.0109 44.7783 1.3534
5 2.6717 44.9284 1.1994
5.5 2.5175 44.2873 1.1166
6 2.356 44.8651 1.06
Return to Figure 6a

Figure 6b: The role of training parameters

Productivity gap of new hires Unemployment rate Job finding rate Separation rate
0 0.150728441724506 0.473685865636685 0.0830538955720848
0.01 0.146647823817911 0.470458657245488 0.0797755902320985
0.02 0.141471675491417 0.467650652781334 0.0760848564561584
0.03 0.136966507028709 0.464543693181106 0.0726875541671294
0.04 0.130206309231495 0.465484270802728 0.068660467764305
0.05 0.12449545468638 0.464342976772949 0.06509014055352
0.06 0.119243015706283 0.461928986515058 0.0616218846627818
0.07 0.114763503443743 0.458934012405343 0.05849793457415
0.08 0.1081488055036 0.459732335785793 0.0547503673049845
0.09 0.102920347482208 0.458094563275441 0.0515807093132869
0.1 0.0978795857096193 0.456178137363993 0.0485117200512346
0.11 0.0937022012856781 0.451751081015811 0.0457664018498923
0.12 0.0855109469250572 0.456608216919648 0.0418222091329203
0.13 0.0809675614085121 0.453666955588998 0.0390945008517183
0.14 0.0749207409813726 0.454463162699248 0.0360008256534419
0.15 0.0683304569436387 0.457716236809505 0.0327559083334798
0.16 0.0651800951754234 0.452583586514287 0.0308056811881744
0.17 0.0597746439481812 0.453711414599405 0.0281347998534647
0.18 0.0554735152482745 0.452037442311058 0.0258899951073565
0.19 0.0521228625957773 0.450574965622206 0.0240603260261662
0.2 0.0478474129257668 0.450977250225198 0.0219385052529346
0.21 0.0432758849653854 0.455262084464788 0.0200279426348375
0.22 0.0401628389924037 0.452751532717389 0.0183834137347052
0.23 0.0368987705256908 0.453754899150408 0.0168659463640733
0.24 0.0335283082207982 0.457393234950576 0.0154312543960573
0.25 0.0313028445821308 0.455967732580893 0.0143433198983029
0.26 0.0292089011780768 0.457457062561707 0.0133605535675724
0.27 0.0275439333795924 0.454853218925992 0.0124936135271099
0.28 0.0256037484928197 0.458020366662896 0.0117335620017089
0.29 0.0240688748805257 0.459542640201413 0.0110284374414966
0.3 0.022788215333548 0.460150124708332 0.0104770339009675
Return to Figure 6b

Figure 7a: The effects of on-the-job training on reservation productivities

Average training duration trainees skilled
1 0.794346 0.741212
1.5 0.794346 0.711693
2 0.791394 0.685125
2.5 0.791394 0.655606
3 0.788442 0.629039
3.5 0.788442 0.599520
4 0.788442 0.572952
4.5 0.788442 0.543433
5 0.785490 0.516866
5.5 0.785490 0.490299
6 0.785490 0.463731
Return to Figure 7a

Figure 7b: The effects of on-the-job training on reservation productivities

Productivity gap of new hires trainees skilled
0 0.806153927217561 0.806153927217561
0.01 0.806153927217561 0.797298172432664
0.02 0.806153927217561 0.788442417647767
0.03 0.803202008955929 0.779586662862869
0.04 0.803202008955929 0.770730908077972
0.05 0.803202008955929 0.761875153293074
0.06 0.803202008955929 0.753019398508177
0.07 0.803202008955929 0.744163643723279
0.08 0.800250090694296 0.735307888938382
0.09 0.800250090694296 0.726452134153484
0.1 0.800250090694296 0.717596379368587
0.11 0.800250090694296 0.708740624583689
0.12 0.797298172432664 0.69693295153716
0.13 0.797298172432664 0.688077196752262
0.14 0.797298172432664 0.679221441967365
0.15 0.794346254171031 0.667413768920835
0.16 0.794346254171031 0.658558014135937
0.17 0.791394335909399 0.64970225935104
0.18 0.791394335909399 0.63789458630451
0.19 0.791394335909399 0.629038831519612
0.2 0.788442417647767 0.617231158473082
0.21 0.788442417647767 0.608375403688185
0.22 0.785490499386134 0.596567730641655
0.23 0.782538581124502 0.587711975856758
0.24 0.782538581124502 0.575904302810228
0.25 0.779586662862869 0.56704854802533
0.26 0.779586662862869 0.5552408749788
0.27 0.776634744601237 0.54343320193227
0.28 0.776634744601237 0.534577447147373
0.29 0.773682826339604 0.522769774100843
0.3 0.770730908077972 0.513914019315946
Return to Figure 7b

Figure 8a: Unemployment rate by training requirements all

Year:Quarter Up to 3 months 3 months - 1 year 1-2 years Over 2 years
1976:12 0.0845959281883001 0.0645803367252009 0.0464258785784678 0.0357829680457744
1977:1 0.0838284154421581 0.0649552727844978 0.0464357912064252 0.0356803442909489
1977:2 0.0833786335061686 0.0651923393119357 0.0466393135681765 0.0354430627679256
1977:3 0.083055963997263 0.0651369126337534 0.0467494073966356 0.0353649532463569
1977:4 0.0825696042167658 0.0644014565792968 0.0467544661295053 0.035073756702341
1977:5 0.0820989605317238 0.0642576124574984 0.046735910530945 0.0348530445218793
1977:6 0.0813625636829998 0.0635594791439025 0.0463130133059323 0.0346880858498824
1977:7 0.0802280454311154 0.0629809166814103 0.0457869166141719 0.0339798138691114
1977:8 0.0793576693558477 0.0625130711570087 0.045499423272278 0.033518534218377
1977:9 0.0781565559292669 0.0622456630133678 0.0450172827709356 0.0329356532982082
1977:10 0.077392117840775 0.0618279398580862 0.0448409841152979 0.0324269056408712
1977:11 0.0766021213266357 0.0608197785704925 0.0439661751451421 0.0321450182716431
1977:12 0.0753247411071667 0.0595945084557896 0.0431217466701092 0.031466331416969
1978:1 0.074366192473775 0.0578864882156693 0.0418561148451538 0.0309278189668665
1978:2 0.0725057015928724 0.0560534204925678 0.0409036502754847 0.0301028775542837
1978:3 0.0711549826331881 0.0549732075761539 0.0397931145043077 0.0292908478541516
1978:4 0.0704249385960898 0.0535755235677465 0.0390721545543027 0.0285706456424527
1978:5 0.0701210400158876 0.0529191809976307 0.0384116358394423 0.0279582135155948
1978:6 0.0694848458387111 0.0520985111230433 0.0376166002161441 0.0271010291122407
1978:7 0.0690453324896623 0.0513670177883317 0.036868744833048 0.0266446801417087
1978:8 0.0682231719924192 0.0503486298848496 0.0362425363932451 0.0262746916680543
1978:9 0.0674883973485535 0.0496352383010108 0.0354747509748643 0.0260527699253602
1978:10 0.0666090615730426 0.0480278523420113 0.0346186051119411 0.0257118076704387
1978:11 0.0658064098140196 0.0468140752443026 0.0343118700679165 0.0250343333838076
1978:12 0.0652852226993156 0.0464438830782269 0.0341637155142619 0.0247697599349312
1979:1 0.0647866544454614 0.0459765168583666 0.0341870348669965 0.0244653650730292
1979:2 0.0648177296756149 0.0455868846000704 0.0340570853638789 0.0243518585247759
1979:3 0.0647994059128531 0.0451690849359895 0.0339292944381059 0.0242594069062295
1979:4 0.0648322921708363 0.0454889130486274 0.0337952316835561 0.0241062655402501
1979:5 0.0644329804119771 0.0451657931541313 0.0336018744568024 0.0238270859414953
1979:6 0.0639956717514383 0.0446318808330436 0.0335569855889775 0.0239385385920029
1979:7 0.063545371549879 0.0442466436472066 0.033528995886712 0.0238228580609877
1979:8 0.0634927236088895 0.0442312174287766 0.0334627220803675 0.0238534437134044
1979:9 0.0634732087667004 0.0435440476416804 0.0333545471105136 0.0238379180490364
1979:10 0.0636950210094959 0.04356202205921 0.0335453006019863 0.0238621655986509
1979:11 0.063930290340643 0.0437068473203684 0.0336207030796903 0.0239488676140901
1979:12 0.0640666215358047 0.0433286265247422 0.0335374409103429 0.023752861189497
1980:1 0.0648271059973788 0.0437570972992342 0.0336798905258579 0.0237646079122968
1980:2 0.0657522683532141 0.0440758786306803 0.0337138245378239 0.023856949389169
1980:3 0.0665711545295704 0.0441531761830176 0.0342327175906429 0.0242097588555872
1980:4 0.0681598570729656 0.0453311762215319 0.0349890887459651 0.0249471723169324
1980:5 0.0704717913746471 0.0462194143073212 0.0359776957186841 0.0258066194467308
1980:6 0.072854571394221 0.0484516157043657 0.0367145194204946 0.0265688617893631
1980:7 0.0756380989343378 0.0504890316030512 0.0378678238192314 0.0274541747695
1980:8 0.0781094273082269 0.0520822976374575 0.0387959323365805 0.028261696523045
1980:9 0.0800053558995175 0.0541926342067436 0.039989860010566 0.0289405158510734
1980:10 0.0821014440743775 0.0563237606953974 0.0409411132380131 0.0294353681522196
1980:11 0.0840744367241754 0.0582519982856977 0.0416171789712132 0.0300356773929135
1980:12 0.086165449459637 0.0600469328237144 0.0423688355057072 0.0307411262525513
1981:1 0.0877245433065493 0.061237474378825 0.0430967210175597 0.0314043684286016
1981:2 0.0888661112698665 0.0627947251326457 0.0437436453290077 0.032124032736803
1981:3 0.089718438865226 0.0646052476774499 0.0439114192192412 0.0326888728204627
1981:4 0.0895695902247657 0.0643973854306255 0.0436882079358424 0.0328972686937394
1981:5 0.0891634928403643 0.0651507057783079 0.0437740003969922 0.0330753641315612
1981:6 0.0891034533857135 0.0644700246766584 0.0438235740284519 0.0330583234924149
1981:7 0.0883174608212639 0.0640114343057972 0.0435603436131828 0.0327734316353953
1981:8 0.0877675854575391 0.0636916652626789 0.0433365643090406 0.0325371045209593
1981:9 0.0878930465126272 0.0632992937737849 0.0432246292678968 0.032531452524713
1981:10 0.087943787583745 0.0632843350580982 0.0433215524208513 0.0329027961370535
1981:11 0.0883540484375283 0.0642652770752228 0.0440463137763675 0.0332574475711346
1981:12 0.0892840293458728 0.0651479010337978 0.0451903294895365 0.0340299229592992
1982:1 0.0903629501084557 0.0661002887032702 0.0460812111535847 0.0347105973830459
1982:2 0.0919265247233457 0.0667405777356005 0.0472124189586761 0.0353181421546982
1982:3 0.0941690096405837 0.0679184446035911 0.0488043981070371 0.0361837778923163
1982:4 0.0967176986792123 0.0707692529035 0.0505797319762603 0.0371274999200497
1982:5 0.0990420818645541 0.0726574638173743 0.0516213545035535 0.0381743913798741
1982:6 0.101014637254106 0.0749501751086936 0.0534738042080775 0.0391957290268916
1982:7 0.103423625064209 0.0769154995200062 0.0554351400252557 0.0403344482616468
1982:8 0.105595020431492 0.0785397219571385 0.0575520075298248 0.041316640542016
1982:9 0.108080741629272 0.0807492501304058 0.059867712905257 0.0424728152085547
1982:10 0.110910577896732 0.0828926825219031 0.0621540173198626 0.0434406000409452
1982:11 0.11368636469603 0.0849426374296922 0.0638754567254743 0.044892692836551
1982:12 0.11652098162102 0.0874424502225479 0.0656240825308727 0.0459833666737449
1983:1 0.118926515145867 0.090552315092428 0.067180363322471 0.0472691358184125
1983:2 0.120722393486436 0.0933290815179645 0.068758286555084 0.0486453869461371
1983:3 0.122177607946667 0.0954544509079356 0.0697077588635133 0.0496208431732535
1983:4 0.1232713646178 0.0962322320989335 0.0708072480239032 0.050292270529475
1983:5 0.12438218170825 0.0970484681948795 0.0717081210650702 0.0507087675314387
1983:6 0.125242929406049 0.0977144414754666 0.0719088847128695 0.0510388915611612
1983:7 0.125443765690176 0.0984232560181494 0.0715091787381631 0.0511285387304978
1983:8 0.125389476343983 0.09909158604289 0.0708052155027966 0.0511133039323785
1983:9 0.124861034054947 0.0988589583821578 0.0698670616394838 0.0507115426118125
1983:10 0.123191758960643 0.0982782872492237 0.0687221155602586 0.0499948156496396
1983:11 0.121171613599533 0.0971951930017246 0.0673418374548858 0.0487665791515421
1983:12 0.118668019876964 0.0964704472378808 0.0654794142252527 0.0475546332836629
1984:1 0.116247947914256 0.0940774582115977 0.0637331117124957 0.0461426267726513
1984:2 0.113895747738461 0.0917829995352225 0.0616024510805617 0.0445002938346777
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2001:1 0.0522938147986847 0.0415097756098057 0.0256997119190168 0.0193751963628141
2001:2 0.0527696730464618 0.0420000857453985 0.0258662002062568 0.0193417254243009
2001:3 0.0528473893815634 0.043062258452503 0.0263159996441211 0.0193367976125306
2001:4 0.0527330463534002 0.0435405727210026 0.0268098116241044 0.0198116089507396
2001:5 0.0527193387291439 0.0438663764197649 0.026998454402368 0.0201764773530309
2001:6 0.0531985098441434 0.0444455974193919 0.0274607297749953 0.0205079398738665
2001:7 0.0537766958849161 0.0447241042495164 0.0279983739500598 0.0209018692459846
2001:8 0.0543360668075168 0.045216673442866 0.0286425467442507 0.0214482988207393
2001:9 0.0553445092871422 0.0455141635112226 0.029546444788154 0.022011337027349
2001:10 0.0567610140551777 0.0470488236072421 0.0305377871331273 0.0227967195334979
2001:11 0.0582661233928564 0.0480367862147912 0.0319676429617352 0.0237108090618254
2001:12 0.0602627221849643 0.049206497866397 0.0331209915841682 0.0249313879660221
2002:1 0.0618582118911729 0.0506581161669874 0.0343955242442712 0.0261950115408771
2002:2 0.0632989750075287 0.051364860221555 0.0357733582625823 0.0273412391324647
2002:3 0.0645153936376744 0.0523745160038265 0.0367279717571052 0.0285741132887727
2002:4 0.0664873390568378 0.0537540799835987 0.0377548205939148 0.0295207596153599
2002:5 0.0679539254461344 0.0548786233678226 0.0387555481754123 0.0305000084806946
2002:6 0.0688737194449095 0.0559187127127911 0.0396614280026106 0.031503932018349
2002:7 0.0698189490495188 0.057063295257438 0.040505041162235 0.0322559614761891
2002:8 0.0704856489475954 0.0578922291702638 0.0411800787990123 0.0327142938816256
2002:9 0.0713941204327332 0.058246705833843 0.0412280702274107 0.0332784309768026
2002:10 0.0717735415425558 0.0580294079099756 0.0413460260449652 0.0335891752172813
2002:11 0.0718097773390121 0.0586393751804711 0.0412582709309755 0.034050480181862
2002:12 0.0716285825155834 0.0581401203902528 0.0414651005899395 0.0344903102543311
2003:1 0.0712143388855225 0.0577489871759973 0.0418089426875895 0.0347982615919297
2003:2 0.0716363700139185 0.0573754642802457 0.0417820464837944 0.0351978055346107
2003:3 0.0721743446757254 0.0572634100022289 0.0421717835552697 0.0353754823256385
2003:4 0.0722036468163193 0.0573774633548462 0.0424210175610787 0.0354465511939101
2003:5 0.0723117389005165 0.0577803616050961 0.0427271010634984 0.0354157606540263
2003:6 0.0723892575386197 0.0579254481508837 0.0433239037291804 0.0356274783763935
2003:7 0.0726646021608481 0.0581427176245886 0.0435839146565474 0.0358456515517381
2003:8 0.0729308307897881 0.0584448439156686 0.0438060131818582 0.036245839499536
2003:9 0.0728421961342331 0.0590214983967198 0.0443592833170609 0.0363339084828219
2003:10 0.0731338768788775 0.0595151524220304 0.0445982851436359 0.036488092667032
2003:11 0.0732540795902524 0.0592393863514042 0.0448388398632305 0.0363781200227513
2003:12 0.0732181241023551 0.0596740088847291 0.0449317195413792 0.0360319694639533
2004:1 0.073456788750552 0.0601554158477636 0.0447047821044228 0.0355646044002683
2004:2 0.0730389189116853 0.0605806503214549 0.0445647919625121 0.0351532469870657
2004:3 0.0726375559671381 0.0611150409928688 0.0445837144964486 0.0348945614679402
2004:4 0.0721305759922864 0.0608870763148164 0.0440639979979708 0.0346302145785271
2004:5 0.0716816195675225 0.0599829213008847 0.0435253521519186 0.0343330274390882
2004:6 0.0716747620065407 0.0594942670676785 0.0426120882242565 0.033872427106274
2004:7 0.071159145516006 0.0589172512645446 0.0422881544871108 0.033419253370936
2004:8 0.0708444588719143 0.0576218834764439 0.0418407137167428 0.032760932214218
2004:9 0.0702287857072942 0.0570308716108238 0.0414154328419478 0.0322945465523874
2004:10 0.0696869297010454 0.0567847638171102 0.041139011900063 0.0316440472774125
2004:11 0.0691711469730627 0.0573525635038559 0.0406835361102405 0.0312320562064968
2004:12 0.0687429663653374 0.0571507910123265 0.0403449095106405 0.0309819342988261
2005:1 0.068080717041701 0.0570478430305738 0.0399513947332262 0.0306717513921827
2005:2 0.0675591006534251 0.0565730348332674 0.0397210298250595 0.0304414607570782
2005:3 0.0670964105077811 0.0552649416612032 0.0389903270380248 0.0300839073996004
2005:4 0.0669318838131906 0.0543997520900429 0.0387172325608572 0.0296177585591747
2005:5 0.0664012786760748 0.0548383773674219 0.0383589478164322 0.0293491814639779
2005:6 0.065546848634297 0.0546404690089116 0.0381336184395198 0.0290431616026106
2005:7 0.0654169039662706 0.0543406414818566 0.0377706234869968 0.0287662460835303
2005:8 0.064771845238071 0.0547695746070778 0.0375016994589663 0.0283102821647006
2005:9 0.0649602146764492 0.0545777682728926 0.0374737247469195 0.0279648730637252
2005:10 0.0644834453140534 0.0536020065865641 0.0373810862481565 0.027882383882942
2005:11 0.0645031567736802 0.0531488398770909 0.0371148912573539 0.0275923359553014
2005:12 0.0645132274831355 0.0524444391358173 0.0370681174871393 0.0271906864971932
2006:1 0.0642229408773456 0.0514727067190314 0.0366007217434056 0.0267757533043993
2006:2 0.0643532473311945 0.0511233273016964 0.0362262308394744 0.0262376170742509
2006:3 0.063932460107005 0.0503538031058091 0.0357240834581021 0.0260226460155657
2006:4 0.063418196863692 0.0498175424265292 0.0357715241324058 0.0258911754171911
2006:5 0.0634263407598501 0.0487323732749608 0.035944874864502 0.0254662837616261
2006:6 0.0629446743888607 0.0483849242121682 0.035862392772445 0.0249780291210116
2006:7 0.0624159987189 0.048070512576918 0.0357938864225332 0.0247341510254118
2006:8 0.0621540504712978 0.0474468666704693 0.035416995380593 0.0248327362434802
2006:9 0.0614373086938327 0.046480345708449 0.0350109358423222 0.0247259791415178
2006:10 0.0610060215679918 0.0463559494343042 0.0342922956498375 0.0243635688077159
2006:11 0.060292682649739 0.0455338517278964 0.0339399777047327 0.0241263496550472
2006:12 0.0596257433942655 0.0459947753502668 0.0333176637682361 0.0240027362064863
2007:1 0.0592772288021277 0.046697373620523 0.0330926622141201 0.0240993638389449
2007:2 0.0586317413168185 0.0466753600913954 0.0328913089852548 0.0241901152365498
2007:3 0.0582020824792171 0.0466937181778381 0.032899835864853 0.0239187460955279
2007:4 0.0579111693869614 0.0465782691028418 0.032278108230567 0.0239241635333233
2007:5 0.0578279891075611 0.0465029385523336 0.0318042986318 0.0240065758250813
2007:6 0.0583217066495658 0.0458101582486897 0.0313692841186122 0.0240817815833303
2007:7 0.0588272577373595 0.0458147686577957 0.0310518937882832 0.0240658604187472
2007:8 0.0586980154976841 0.0457413433658853 0.031150176769051 0.0241166734248343
2007:9 0.0590469022656027 0.0461401917084852 0.0311528459853757 0.0240685571792998
2007:10 0.0594191002231446 0.0466524051891458 0.0314220618316582 0.024255156856644
2007:11 0.059799035162896 0.0465044513772117 0.031578629666971 0.0243229973418601
2007:12 0.0604874073864052 0.0461688632395145 0.031709509470669 0.0245894239330073
2008:1 0.0610052386120332 0.045251760272071 0.0320062928595826 0.0246637675315095
2008:2 0.0614076508909374 0.0447146488383089 0.0320763271563174 0.0249283015106128
2008:3 0.0621069623748582 0.0460394702122512 0.0323963505380922 0.0253585898604112
2008:4 0.0625654231284566 0.0466974948200069 0.0328430582845149 0.0256428397401892
2008:5 0.062899101290285 0.0473136298259222 0.0334103452634036 0.0261920520668399
2008:6 0.0632225348796845 0.0485609443804555 0.0342014858008936 0.0267795849819153
2008:7 0.063566881536265 0.0494115026479881 0.0351013137924362 0.0273704924053576
2008:8 0.0653994508429226 0.0510882533272906 0.0359923945452577 0.028063546374225
2008:9 0.0667711565869488 0.0525304001978659 0.037106461914299 0.0289542799822379
2008:10 0.0682557386655905 0.0535238258291611 0.0383159778829555 0.0301723468930597
2008:11 0.0700275671668588 0.0549079004469592 0.039670443042975 0.0317236241677922
2008:12 0.0724999599513041 0.0567943308596798 0.0414671438851641 0.0334026811430382
2009:1 0.0758801476831879 0.0601621544978455 0.0436038757715642 0.0357666704655766
2009:2 0.0799137198062576 0.064215547803689 0.0461724516467367 0.0381760893351749
2009:3 0.0843226620236957 0.067131672637258 0.0486879424559088 0.040839231376713
2009:4 0.0890155853634827 0.0700580198283833 0.0514107104360184 0.0431649677408384
2009:5 0.0934332393387802 0.0733346485685873 0.0544028017044598 0.0456312019846351
2009:6 0.0975268198308661 0.0766576996855578 0.0576003288357296 0.0481169441897532
2009:7 0.101191748433874 0.0793754234093475 0.0603875826197793 0.0508080052304804
2009:8 0.104720926256717 0.081798754106003 0.0630194012393557 0.0531082536856093
2009:9 0.108026282411658 0.0841060455672776 0.0659132069381139 0.055533026682471
2009:10 0.111230754210391 0.0872181227838241 0.068602751997678 0.057749025177335
2009:11 0.113781837407866 0.0895840116255246 0.0710846130544006 0.0595857634047488
2009:12 0.116304294311014 0.09234121136486 0.0731208476746947 0.0610472519097223
2010:1 0.118393367731006 0.0944524161039551 0.0744336612833883 0.0620530362668409
2010:2 0.119714821178007 0.0951339478601879 0.0756666336811911 0.062986960573827
2010:3 0.1208289010841 0.0960030488345561 0.076781398068621 0.0635587707903794
2010:4 0.121003064150958 0.0971400661960468 0.0775335940856315 0.0640682970562121
2010:5 0.121349489457445 0.0977985814919623 0.0776616265280356 0.0642386184500817
2010:6 0.121552507952569 0.0973668934533179 0.0775198929528341 0.06422176537969
2010:7 0.121982307916473 0.0977558847683564 0.0776378424940425 0.0638805641317244
2010:8 0.121959314929298 0.0979617759300185 0.0776197868473133 0.0638998598240897
2010:9 0.122203714455228 0.0988374273085489 0.077018921140951 0.0635787939392685
2010:10 0.121880469682903 0.0987682669560875 0.0765458459729433 0.063001863755683
2010:11 0.122501320873366 0.0999721615426498 0.0758209957723176 0.0627936902556776
Return to Figure 8a

Figure 8b: Unemployment rate by training requirements high school graduates

Year:Quarter Up to 3 months 3 months - 1 year 1-2 years Over 2 years
1976:12 0.0788708252351637 0.0579274614931562 0.0451661090489979 0.0379720380252722
1977:1 0.0779089577394906 0.0589815551733234 0.0449659850527718 0.0380880974118073
1977:2 0.0772175608736802 0.0585424588788133 0.0448687408395155 0.0376421140687059
1977:3 0.0758226639980377 0.0587646456773448 0.0447681237336941 0.0375163599419762
1977:4 0.0749875224785383 0.0577772847357827 0.0446603384587156 0.0370753125116372
1977:5 0.0741227102337737 0.057749936073807 0.0447554832263851 0.0364436839332376
1977:6 0.0730970193146877 0.0574766719559908 0.0445621912704823 0.0361345199160162
1977:7 0.0712976440466968 0.0574584980029483 0.0443465492949136 0.0355810605385215
1977:8 0.0701596523104184 0.0570423484034959 0.0444052885013505 0.0352939760400671
1977:9 0.0687212475934303 0.0568466095236774 0.0439006607633419 0.0348906346502562
1977:10 0.0676900808444894 0.0566214297136995 0.0437056274369351 0.0344359229459495
1977:11 0.0670794722913856 0.055768450062813 0.0426648127348832 0.0346133074489513
1977:12 0.0661739558894101 0.0548557261719747 0.0415703142772942 0.0341116234207467
1978:1 0.0650215161912837 0.0534546018930869 0.0405139610260763 0.0336057952668279
1978:2 0.0632687301704421 0.0530328850642834 0.0398854184421494 0.032887694366416
1978:3 0.0623395826144923 0.052396149095672 0.0389721631897885 0.0319704159947434
1978:4 0.0619382375502626 0.0514031852053058 0.0385755543784077 0.0313682358206004
1978:5 0.061835569001582 0.0510521723493363 0.0377818001276585 0.0309551102582519
1978:6 0.0613683479684205 0.0504669180683695 0.0369939477167497 0.0298239461730932
1978:7 0.0608822263044956 0.0495278154818796 0.0359622634953486 0.0288772570168725
1978:8 0.0603699542816241 0.0490089984739893 0.0350779498321256 0.0281345057158336
1978:9 0.0598476515519092 0.0477122942096567 0.0345332134625359 0.0274136568218127
1978:10 0.0593611529751873 0.0459566408917478 0.0336736492868115 0.0267853550401811
1978:11 0.0583299188488057 0.0455708054430043 0.0332282367924184 0.0257378058972322
1978:12 0.057113740452198 0.0455897488972106 0.0333466132488131 0.0252832517233087
1979:1 0.0566127595855471 0.0449082682200052 0.0333701898742005 0.0248149665029987
1979:2 0.0565662408918178 0.0440488115526307 0.0332268384277104 0.0246860807725533
1979:3 0.056218207398166 0.043026560065115 0.0330395106040026 0.0250593446994584
1979:4 0.0554480476095645 0.0430540488877569 0.0326874340619388 0.0248757304927134
1979:5 0.0546197983032996 0.0421387894556354 0.0327177408008752 0.0244526454623546
1979:6 0.0541981127176568 0.0417181308698047 0.032783571895741 0.0245086445571509
1979:7 0.0541190316110216 0.0416735951390588 0.03252116509476 0.0246453732195252
1979:8 0.0537064074094288 0.0414477492899316 0.0324576292248767 0.0245822875194563
1979:9 0.0538657630190695 0.0415126792763465 0.0322024609523524 0.0249375500796201
1979:10 0.0541124389685108 0.0416119018894024 0.0324498643537502 0.0250723243888412
1979:11 0.0548187068951253 0.0415064651744101 0.0324802692342195 0.0252664551758325
1979:12 0.0555654402303253 0.0407397229715971 0.0322309506452845 0.025180644083629
1980:1 0.0560960607310439 0.0413116188571717 0.0323631020217962 0.0255085316153234
1980:2 0.0568351986045122 0.0413789808014366 0.0323721362530859 0.0259123628056914
1980:3 0.0580023457092815 0.0413250160511926 0.0328693684478218 0.0263403638483235
1980:4 0.0601980968273917 0.0422837951364563 0.033774832726265 0.027324152284897
1980:5 0.0630740424569257 0.0432369931844632 0.0350220056299293 0.0286906480768096
1980:6 0.065418674500761 0.0455735153867553 0.0360211841747813 0.0304497584247958
1980:7 0.0685414596033403 0.0474073807043068 0.0374601336514274 0.03149291992324
1980:8 0.0714368888426148 0.0481267072440106 0.03873616638472 0.0328257173229748
1980:9 0.0737031772417855 0.0497077249390098 0.0404362625632546 0.0340774904061757
1980:10 0.075665067444156 0.0518443235095414 0.0411116553444919 0.0346342107902294
1980:11 0.0774989039824194 0.0536682866450794 0.0418344215338672 0.035681171401499
1980:12 0.0798517564568375 0.0553288529263069 0.0425849979195225 0.0365601986891011
1981:1 0.0819820371773609 0.0566731478197169 0.0431446925843366 0.03728664453442
1981:2 0.0834299583419236 0.0580877632807824 0.0437936650367749 0.038160174432899
1981:3 0.0846888250857756 0.0591962278004069 0.0440588476857677 0.0389461943552445
1981:4 0.0841017793093256 0.0588480449835158 0.0436163613037169 0.0393775763872035
1981:5 0.083234596470934 0.059331216803719 0.0434429965781967 0.0397760051527331
1981:6 0.0828191130311411 0.0585154392737076 0.0432525759040196 0.0394118046252998
1981:7 0.082007742898339 0.0576402415042572 0.0432278027375577 0.039077461919801
1981:8 0.0810157385117386 0.0575271253125749 0.0429735141724678 0.0387411604452777
1981:9 0.0808977534003457 0.0570591565010226 0.04290358041734 0.0383319682749254
1981:10 0.080850400702072 0.0567237380247532 0.0434589354477044 0.0391657049187147
1981:11 0.0817106865991442 0.0574647515812488 0.0443859270015289 0.0393286810840447
1981:12 0.0827468823725869 0.0588360260092709 0.0461612521810775 0.0403220253748266
1982:1 0.0836696534721185 0.0601715597885357 0.0476707310734176 0.0412327231990538
1982:2 0.0855560579870573 0.0605789017496887 0.0488164967548686 0.0424373934258687
1982:3 0.0877383224743632 0.0630818447912758 0.050858059629421 0.0434828285694847
1982:4 0.0905918775334688 0.0671732904237991 0.0531532340961831 0.0449237498411006
1982:5 0.0932365567306969 0.0694709962847428 0.0545060790919009 0.0459942958175643
1982:6 0.0952369375499398 0.0725142059058523 0.0567556966568886 0.0474370659647611
1982:7 0.0974420346319821 0.074354177476433 0.0587692860106379 0.0491505242936268
1982:8 0.0998263151590577 0.0760253144000627 0.0609460915733992 0.051111819729681
1982:9 0.102046863009473 0.0782881291429007 0.0625936610509223 0.0530335457666053
1982:10 0.104799265707272 0.0806760658083128 0.064782215246146 0.0543313818461062
1982:11 0.107372969911205 0.0825047806572694 0.0667235949191729 0.0563557840028409
1982:12 0.110286057545755 0.0845713582773904 0.0687756383625827 0.0580570669359832
1983:1 0.112296744483003 0.0866407499412615 0.0706097534681309 0.060405024966208
1983:2 0.114192647642775 0.0905234679091644 0.0729973971647919 0.0625004074313348
1983:3 0.115092359335847 0.0927845118992544 0.0740447849747103 0.0642483914456988
1983:4 0.116133490643391 0.092759028350337 0.0751900062140219 0.0656464371159351
1983:5 0.117634324433079 0.0932563668489043 0.0760325611392113 0.0668944221405724
1983:6 0.118583679206794 0.0927492758085294 0.0761423066550428 0.0679699931747376
1983:7 0.118324448580937 0.0937539430660819 0.0754722120881417 0.0683604984985836
1983:8 0.118036481927514 0.094738985095871 0.0742279782502637 0.0679265290064052
1983:9 0.117618770834098 0.0943170144300764 0.0732027114948237 0.0676820299377242
1983:10 0.115675422575123 0.0929508054467289 0.0718846010616677 0.0667768493554173
1983:11 0.113127787566293 0.0912773212979187 0.0701332380074709 0.0657008018845158
1983:12 0.110140652843684 0.0900109331201669 0.0674631252981156 0.0641094733306464
1984:1 0.107900549892727 0.0879635134970231 0.0652034225575667 0.0618888705063199
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2000:11 0.0486037855606555 0.0380300982890803 0.028525183545485 0.0239620894903684
2000:12 0.0483672664151302 0.0382257838607877 0.0282791566914801 0.0241246428036393
2001:1 0.0486102818174889 0.0384578616215094 0.0288450071894964 0.0243083861631223
2001:2 0.048963708448215 0.0384625810701915 0.0292268218352227 0.0244654370265589
2001:3 0.0494526364148681 0.039380739989263 0.0299918701425822 0.0242578975476789
2001:4 0.0493576307310352 0.0396020853744834 0.0304064914323424 0.0249271442353311
2001:5 0.0492311525992301 0.0405810869141882 0.0308047449696604 0.0254148118036779
2001:6 0.0497242638068251 0.0410527560892932 0.0312064460460246 0.0256641798121629
2001:7 0.0502210773878419 0.0408944359147847 0.0320933713728643 0.0264345498541589
2001:8 0.0509431017638996 0.0405621781649124 0.0331235709457307 0.0269604041506823
2001:9 0.0519180841580733 0.0412791260249718 0.0341449617818797 0.0273012338725729
2001:10 0.0534688640235768 0.0433543267928044 0.0350134744860736 0.0274213208589846
2001:11 0.0549466732573018 0.0442179643620684 0.0368472256075364 0.0280912013477636
2001:12 0.0567785987769967 0.0445325494439223 0.0380059778997724 0.0293564543758691
2002:1 0.0587521492660548 0.045973510147599 0.0390251549749612 0.030864174278943
2002:2 0.0605754800203885 0.0466318170380621 0.0406835996984385 0.0320427728632742
2002:3 0.0617292342484185 0.0473298531186652 0.0422549394062503 0.0339921739501401
2002:4 0.0637292888460559 0.0483121036075595 0.0435706748743432 0.0353573985826416
2002:5 0.0651530730060714 0.0495152028904789 0.0446590160956386 0.0365428898660317
2002:6 0.0661460997574121 0.0507790117466411 0.0463374162081491 0.037801579556975
2002:7 0.0668747199947601 0.0524974757144664 0.0470048801351363 0.0383684889065735
2002:8 0.0673577356896295 0.0530250326858251 0.0474619538654883 0.0390628065283523
2002:9 0.0682525466824515 0.0524322735450343 0.0474681387569854 0.0397106340954818
2002:10 0.067796292338253 0.0514921718861072 0.0477478048653117 0.0403613210005801
2002:11 0.0675150652170416 0.0525761684787713 0.0477460768954203 0.0408015499815779
2002:12 0.0670685378745948 0.0530329542230351 0.047835795322795 0.0413811556961211
2003:1 0.0663172147433916 0.053251084612832 0.0479585203754486 0.0414993686442539
2003:2 0.0669402546889758 0.0536780419709223 0.0470114112146849 0.0422192759629845
2003:3 0.0677072590331115 0.054141211663883 0.0467906410988649 0.0420032603383105
2003:4 0.0683610282585196 0.0548155247666677 0.0470197071314235 0.0416589981617474
2003:5 0.0684464773537937 0.055287834673325 0.047102104220449 0.041438398274121
2003:6 0.0684450307948514 0.056029590202079 0.0474883146381719 0.0415205894684855
2003:7 0.0687345478047666 0.0564519440191852 0.0476148237385329 0.0418485594004152
2003:8 0.0692879979411965 0.0575417929572973 0.0475863076781309 0.0416845035026011
2003:9 0.0690424442332096 0.0595885753803041 0.0477446375031959 0.041630307602936
2003:10 0.069994242661747 0.0606457811860631 0.0478333538450262 0.0417950428595663
2003:11 0.0699219835034838 0.0609816801826676 0.0477671340439379 0.0420265201529825
2003:12 0.0701964887908487 0.0617745979334119 0.0481288202774499 0.0418908708413778
2004:1 0.0704754804248228 0.0618346445520897 0.0476362981681672 0.041198021620083
2004:2 0.069735441530477 0.0618162310755903 0.0477400936890716 0.0404315037368818
2004:3 0.0689835565418461 0.0625068184949513 0.0474481304908613 0.040518988001592
2004:4 0.0679030189772158 0.062871533792221 0.0470054177623629 0.0404088342895879
2004:5 0.0675871297321487 0.0617541920417097 0.0464480928363476 0.0401899181012609
2004:6 0.0678576689063754 0.0612076519860135 0.0450622373811705 0.0397541685538511
2004:7 0.067641112654608 0.0613888171985018 0.0447345522799853 0.0390105955338238
2004:8 0.0670912044850841 0.0594662480199763 0.0443777943509447 0.0389267051693599
2004:9 0.0664308882440643 0.05779328903371 0.0444271637228882 0.0386253039903689
2004:10 0.0657849875523926 0.0572761844335098 0.0442820243702498 0.0379297641210269
2004:11 0.0655362357638352 0.056617683069998 0.0438702159465358 0.0376003679998183
2004:12 0.0653469492829223 0.0555080418095189 0.0435205810572051 0.0367326458188272
2005:1 0.0649372098793429 0.0554783249931041 0.0433709074903499 0.0368948632745926
2005:2 0.0645670712305792 0.0558420931512205 0.0433523473665335 0.0366820899952956
2005:3 0.0644279153557864 0.0541597643922567 0.0429826135417593 0.0361172386533406
2005:4 0.0641744660804266 0.0528019046993339 0.0424204972582221 0.0352168078478023
2005:5 0.0634696405627167 0.0536856526748264 0.0420302801416859 0.0348113093340798
2005:6 0.062432700139704 0.053734616918973 0.042104742522313 0.0347117920924583
2005:7 0.0619362243935341 0.0529459789180388 0.0423187489197751 0.0349284952156352
2005:8 0.0611868254756234 0.0541352890398965 0.042359422095711 0.0346702160321905
2005:9 0.0616213992388924 0.0548399975978602 0.0422775158972587 0.0345396219905235
2005:10 0.0611530436637248 0.0540174965481447 0.0422858003183542 0.0351286693631297
2005:11 0.0611770856953472 0.0542771950950608 0.0420622429638399 0.0350347912479473
2005:12 0.0607223400080265 0.0540507619743371 0.0423286509532152 0.0348673599822933
2006:1 0.060403256844755 0.0532158173514604 0.0418540121302742 0.0346089227216783
2006:2 0.0604057866415546 0.0525769375406537 0.0413940107681122 0.0338925522001441
2006:3 0.0596725548256446 0.0520894198803952 0.0406651573296702 0.0334291708747958
2006:4 0.0594410950321813 0.0516232934762189 0.0405753959487133 0.0338028718194345
2006:5 0.0599401767779156 0.0497030909231602 0.0402354410230404 0.0336000024980936
2006:6 0.0595497351002742 0.0486999780600811 0.0397602193527168 0.0327546998252387
2006:7 0.0593671885449981 0.0479305578336378 0.0396326697536458 0.0321179322604093
2006:8 0.0593635040441623 0.0474099500902776 0.0396136596503455 0.0320930608130869
2006:9 0.0586140643262402 0.045382406833059 0.0396560625079657 0.0317333793674757
2006:10 0.0585430346440906 0.0451150718210111 0.039166724659018 0.0307314609403861
2006:11 0.0582216593859961 0.0444062835096905 0.0389303583064237 0.0304424052274933
2006:12 0.0583797895236025 0.0445765825254304 0.0380241645253775 0.0306921037293934
2007:1 0.0578928396711065 0.0454672314705449 0.0377931908975915 0.0305242545138836
2007:2 0.0572866718014581 0.0451093799219654 0.0373853250119196 0.031082006745279
2007:3 0.0571782278258392 0.0443704820622676 0.0374367026737522 0.0307906469446698
2007:4 0.0571447683943015 0.0430103161385769 0.0369816103410597 0.0306057874656092
2007:5 0.0572487271773543 0.0430917817667076 0.0366612807674351 0.0309728965280921
2007:6 0.0576926960376508 0.0425533075644089 0.0363628642744092 0.0311756911060784
2007:7 0.0582751474175487 0.0433895402109254 0.0355206762626681 0.0313171332617856
2007:8 0.0580911597686199 0.0435537875413128 0.0347714390484027 0.0315325231544811
2007:9 0.0586813934064725 0.0449688398846737 0.0337623942601012 0.0322137791725311
2007:10 0.0590748482565326 0.0460776952645235 0.0335870232229971 0.0327605669493339
2007:11 0.0595387031782622 0.0459433589568505 0.0332264293016141 0.0327394134841161
2007:12 0.0600354302077496 0.0463564247252256 0.0329942283146288 0.0329275462450639
2008:1 0.060532719909005 0.0457189763206013 0.0336138712271794 0.0333387355257659
2008:2 0.0610823653161703 0.0459482454422323 0.0340526036906011 0.033658387675677
2008:3 0.0617774875589857 0.0478551376187127 0.0345747923201578 0.0350668059621262
2008:4 0.0623572305746224 0.0498365755935576 0.0353041246602987 0.0356870274256488
2008:5 0.0620619276296378 0.0511375162627357 0.0371367204129916 0.0358704089493006
2008:6 0.0620957027612074 0.0527657282771099 0.0382590691100486 0.0368612286265358
2008:7 0.0621717830116262 0.05270270486345 0.0397523693513905 0.0377210774583893
2008:8 0.0635857824583694 0.0536693211519563 0.0416566140748704 0.03805705566231
2008:9 0.0646988032921642 0.0549962760392878 0.0438861730443649 0.0389493214221614
2008:10 0.0661690565903708 0.0552438916471136 0.0456381834909555 0.0402804137813577
2008:11 0.0674081116148502 0.0569977454008701 0.0482851213323412 0.0425267149119942
2008:12 0.0703490718501724 0.058603770117546 0.0513162244883858 0.0448404875607128
2009:1 0.0741876910006596 0.0618116871629541 0.0540562374619138 0.0479876036361062
2009:2 0.0782192212281528 0.0649362996141717 0.057128038690009 0.0514981209163589
2009:3 0.082553405238408 0.0675992464196862 0.0603769181269715 0.0553594088003287
2009:4 0.0871775732722523 0.0702667519021921 0.0635168692346285 0.0586349187224601
2009:5 0.0928679991902628 0.072655404280023 0.0660012349458647 0.0622419090528712
2009:6 0.0973871137728228 0.0758274308083482 0.0693444928344586 0.0650391784065808
2009:7 0.101086833577444 0.0782399374663271 0.0722318365767552 0.0685692575474915
2009:8 0.104758390404196 0.0806363202011147 0.0743266538236622 0.0718667872773259
2009:9 0.108563178256352 0.082613945178764 0.0778584439081217 0.0754035414455505
2009:10 0.111964242486325 0.0866378869413041 0.0814813195036471 0.079036715487378
2009:11 0.114438825323834 0.0881428421823111 0.0844731866776404 0.0819990585739816
2009:12 0.116279955152198 0.0902443813989658 0.0870624751536649 0.0845754147270872
2010:1 0.118511350162773 0.0912153916160088 0.0885535559710484 0.0864700153346973
2010:2 0.120207967375406 0.0918708087723088 0.0905970088074365 0.0886738069695454
2010:3 0.122528463335224 0.0935445014610546 0.0920792247750496 0.0897864628919379
2010:4 0.123703145667713 0.0941180510253618 0.092613904898813 0.0911641759504872
2010:5 0.124093449045667 0.0945007428199079 0.0929948655419169 0.0926376341073102
2010:6 0.125018075961984 0.0935652729706695 0.0933460656388544 0.0939087945725421
2010:7 0.126094479732117 0.0947717521770721 0.0932785495829944 0.09384264771397
2010:8 0.126127501439619 0.0953512833997228 0.0933491572722879 0.094428587737846
2010:9 0.12595687967032 0.0966676008103819 0.0915902748368971 0.0937701985450812
2010:10 0.125660150273219 0.0953514126985886 0.0901299858484587 0.0928851001456263
2010:11 0.126721506978765 0.0954102794128897 0.0890882282814856 0.091948184301158
Return to Figure 8b

Figure 9a: Unemployment flow rates by training requirements, high school graduates:Outflow rate, high school graduates (in percent)

Year:Quarter Up to 3 months 3 months - 1 year 1-2 years Over 2 years
1976:12 0.417599227761677 0.347316600626085 0.429740141098815 0.353132027241316
1977:1 0.4212673688629 0.374578756783168 0.437581910167906 0.362371454119511
1977:2 0.445088653047667 0.38152438328582 0.43072113988149 0.364052402259035
1977:3 0.451928676758493 0.402712564511198 0.431521416026832 0.367296023897597
1977:4 0.457155183146896 0.375388399141482 0.415197672121918 0.379640303206783
1977:5 0.473840186420134 0.391216364526079 0.432369322471887 0.377186161253725
1977:6 0.487752188128903 0.386288784901102 0.434518834602597 0.39693529751678
1977:7 0.490259646235484 0.39816083653953 0.434749230845197 0.404180296092375
1977:8 0.498188583903643 0.412027050312598 0.44803549194141 0.416283330760765
1977:9 0.504214165158335 0.407823189079385 0.443556821894249 0.422075499224793
1977:10 0.493180756343531 0.435835821743031 0.474894514955978 0.408089347721381
1977:11 0.496260460069489 0.454716878000754 0.490329360979552 0.420113576920707
1977:12 0.499599037994398 0.457289133296299 0.489955472012738 0.419028169037418
1978:1 0.501456700906115 0.442624563707045 0.488004136401808 0.431114412291449
1978:2 0.492442000230561 0.437366609383836 0.51392543318501 0.448371496011012
1978:3 0.477993319543048 0.457883880886969 0.507177797020581 0.454114455440395
1978:4 0.487212634853811 0.458862287700699 0.531530661987084 0.460202794025245
1978:5 0.497828189259316 0.453052045840739 0.550228421278224 0.485209283550854
1978:6 0.520985440290758 0.473539069592968 0.546121432442327 0.482403868024925
1978:7 0.521256059712096 0.485713719072071 0.550238567132 0.477712100107516
1978:8 0.523709163777004 0.489922594043053 0.553402107056594 0.492457353150146
1978:9 0.52942661357272 0.512474085001227 0.566796104131336 0.493916321403795
1978:10 0.554760605653205 0.476924652273852 0.549791036045869 0.512577327562489
1978:11 0.560491388051728 0.478932496382118 0.526639419064304 0.509717107674501
1978:12 0.558067935396668 0.507522419802785 0.537525155445403 0.518218090749206
1979:1 0.565624999698231 0.523242090944728 0.53520512887578 0.509260098528551
1979:2 0.575010475679857 0.533954448451401 0.528012971615319 0.480518737391668
1979:3 0.595078118324914 0.519777566315594 0.537605992748617 0.496052356359821
1979:4 0.601726190324691 0.543092489154036 0.531177368355517 0.503489461544585
1979:5 0.599498788649115 0.562445414845288 0.51992477906385 0.486355506407036
1979:6 0.582847960156319 0.557404584215597 0.539206032623705 0.481420284653868
1979:7 0.59537571956461 0.556415893752101 0.532910053524484 0.489057125582583
1979:8 0.589936312656954 0.571760425083099 0.551917992051217 0.459155154978909
1979:9 0.590813373842104 0.568004995981037 0.548404906812316 0.479115298611772
1979:10 0.586744170061101 0.591828183063182 0.569828816184407 0.47661380189836
1979:11 0.589924304776652 0.592628085468243 0.58129538222665 0.483245198568281
1979:12 0.606530397751033 0.551683074713265 0.581086203814245 0.463952512035376
1980:1 0.599929303911398 0.547473207797778 0.590820552660878 0.473603983015443
1980:2 0.587206817277521 0.553938971866343 0.583824399964447 0.486540739639151
1980:3 0.561790428784543 0.537241536478291 0.572711147430354 0.466129969782927
1980:4 0.543312117596073 0.536228045706879 0.571238342029719 0.451687999363537
1980:5 0.541995278315311 0.492148961166095 0.572358899438322 0.454244172436802
1980:6 0.517835959168053 0.504071402846274 0.560286992372369 0.472711932475797
1980:7 0.503945153364553 0.51213894584704 0.557698430549318 0.451361919402438
1980:8 0.488466485231629 0.473400298818869 0.525072274668179 0.451603680141017
1980:9 0.476377262052633 0.465348258272501 0.527818508388379 0.451021336439721
1980:10 0.460002466861926 0.45932184762617 0.502790023390909 0.427138052272587
1980:11 0.437862345230741 0.454093537551962 0.49291177764459 0.417861226689102
1980:12 0.4209917437067 0.461667377881767 0.481845499717321 0.421239691855793
1981:1 0.415787503941755 0.457791032058355 0.466209258110276 0.410365662341672
1981:2 0.408685818013228 0.458770041348454 0.463689225642726 0.403140201757922
1981:3 0.429397563330263 0.470297460870368 0.466446500530697 0.408833214867313
1981:4 0.422904597082673 0.44037369773035 0.435881036217194 0.405555742543742
1981:5 0.416702291166015 0.459555010005246 0.438689629667628 0.415468010090714
1981:6 0.425920342215142 0.45175626794357 0.424742077714331 0.408778426479122
1981:7 0.436304586168544 0.442851972747496 0.429308206631909 0.412953168539915
1981:8 0.434730388326163 0.466912305378155 0.422883218856289 0.423170264519517
1981:9 0.435469679651357 0.465493233188068 0.414319486031558 0.400061542393351
1981:10 0.433188984063341 0.459001273432099 0.412898675302452 0.427195308063916
1981:11 0.4392994268905 0.454067529875219 0.397754849761036 0.415240901932228
1981:12 0.443092282427624 0.468610131359202 0.410519244625679 0.420880354479238
1982:1 0.43568682188364 0.481612245586192 0.415939496795369 0.41724778503349
1982:2 0.436521970045949 0.440354354659839 0.395971525086535 0.419044861154748
1982:3 0.418694349696936 0.420194291841516 0.389323243821827 0.403337438834358
1982:4 0.412005427700086 0.43908876879148 0.404121242356595 0.40729399076534
1982:5 0.404592659306202 0.420340439490313 0.373686443133472 0.387576349399922
1982:6 0.398725822513216 0.435128553623114 0.379238017983687 0.375713791335114
1982:7 0.387833410083667 0.420870652537453 0.367283212959811 0.37201544279265
1982:8 0.386960747136367 0.400339299066313 0.370476175086312 0.364804032058839
1982:9 0.379006957009142 0.39269671895569 0.347640684484125 0.364665971138788
1982:10 0.370782754626609 0.384590136270911 0.338889524297144 0.335338881470264
1982:11 0.35962083045186 0.374691034507064 0.329341639974502 0.335996943319451
1982:12 0.361739814250135 0.344706154479528 0.310930821559908 0.321548360248169
1983:1 0.357745253047478 0.318282508948121 0.302498371549447 0.31859156150064
1983:2 0.354095610398042 0.340356822798227 0.319832859879337 0.310623656632953
1983:3 0.345639029588181 0.340757966265719 0.314346544127748 0.310533055414186
1983:4 0.338728856275883 0.324400693484226 0.31293711107484 0.305387608239775
1983:5 0.339113912641336 0.330320620142281 0.319760480021013 0.295131787017459
1983:6 0.344478294155161 0.308209802658933 0.326380562052113 0.293927988035148
1983:7 0.337940191896344 0.314363789065528 0.339312640738777 0.297610549496205
1983:8 0.342297987052279 0.318634600622374 0.335493238867449 0.292058576553686
1983:9 0.36045320070572 0.31975933188754 0.343283895266288 0.307680179878377
1983:10 0.370271324841508 0.318525114265507 0.348889855272396 0.31296128952914
1983:11 0.381105846114871 0.310586301949247 0.359897175496537 0.321498842530185
1983:12 0.371606146730307 0.335429093481382 0.365180601940339 0.328997889223637
1984:1 0.381884000938004 0.34891901775978 0.368944845442771 0.335844637959634
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2001:7 0.614460596770556 0.596320891940804 0.520661494456793 0.614364336461325
2001:8 0.602067050764382 0.567582052336667 0.514747869397031 0.593651641611032
2001:9 0.602390372701146 0.541926062891855 0.524661139143159 0.60543124788292
2001:10 0.595676974379133 0.556569322828203 0.482226623299153 0.578954121453919
2001:11 0.571942081630654 0.575893234850323 0.498742426563517 0.550954527902069
2001:12 0.550332097711875 0.512598550092494 0.526769783313488 0.546715323260566
2002:1 0.536564316859854 0.535546987237392 0.506857985933373 0.54349778789567
2002:2 0.535275643365643 0.544971497637749 0.503642221029326 0.510692792223761
2002:3 0.49878231335486 0.530601318103605 0.487283718074533 0.514142881441555
2002:4 0.479608594121833 0.492257880721161 0.470969009846175 0.497559272662881
2002:5 0.460990201470015 0.469718158978776 0.449823181893487 0.480626862936678
2002:6 0.451164435947825 0.442709977282378 0.461219779208716 0.490523046610115
2002:7 0.450500320743649 0.44822655313556 0.454130109361028 0.477040064613686
2002:8 0.425605809944506 0.457817444468773 0.453184109625337 0.456885293263842
2002:9 0.426300919043789 0.444210479622813 0.431980789092332 0.447286488395936
2002:10 0.413495018264525 0.400088663958001 0.429790566319159 0.436078998097945
2002:11 0.411488564051922 0.397731804020161 0.430212384224129 0.429115665609553
2002:12 0.407163948599504 0.395074261968542 0.411920521283458 0.432975916973593
2003:1 0.393046392004682 0.391120557071343 0.413349329915738 0.412960460803042
2003:2 0.387892165121891 0.384159881657082 0.397217042682947 0.423461138156706
2003:3 0.381795064420144 0.400266155546675 0.391375872125673 0.411871573958232
2003:4 0.386223187957379 0.403429510275793 0.396007056581336 0.419349828430956
2003:5 0.391175110086449 0.411377100405534 0.385911408015057 0.400343660962564
2003:6 0.387828245154837 0.42872820000533 0.383310013226896 0.39740327236888
2003:7 0.387849836927597 0.412261202898327 0.390296985925289 0.398853680295471
2003:8 0.400781214559868 0.393337329221379 0.393820723671936 0.396436447717083
2003:9 0.395424388572915 0.401143998973321 0.396842536075192 0.3971096416256
2003:10 0.401396897076115 0.403959065567773 0.386112383995085 0.393347331783195
2003:11 0.396994078645189 0.387520494773094 0.359209986770133 0.400113003826216
2003:12 0.399678919869645 0.401590868900942 0.36889966166498 0.41377025981111
2004:1 0.409428395423798 0.379211067920362 0.360692652674062 0.413659749151392
2004:2 0.413738722796971 0.360601248865727 0.364728133122185 0.399558585772516
2004:3 0.419828219566663 0.364444699678858 0.37344631110356 0.412300884587372
2004:4 0.416013947474721 0.378022261854623 0.378756632979107 0.410134786542062
2004:5 0.405327293661351 0.360857885751229 0.412516251585252 0.419246051162662
2004:6 0.417231911112789 0.339916732043315 0.400595577427946 0.428764038677558
2004:7 0.420627012927265 0.389966295241913 0.409825159903578 0.418887600467315
2004:8 0.426796136208027 0.401885679452925 0.403809498740338 0.430760746082487
2004:9 0.423660272967819 0.39361802100812 0.412873167629681 0.440920414633238
2004:10 0.425748834506212 0.405171169069905 0.422156786832547 0.443252286769871
2004:11 0.431763805536381 0.422030144014859 0.425563084598661 0.46766264789556
2004:12 0.436052383160915 0.399748169485462 0.42420003841895 0.446189142837651
2005:1 0.440784374078785 0.3991967497266 0.424804203800504 0.464339448615369
2005:2 0.439922031619908 0.441801527446525 0.429035508805137 0.475394933779606
2005:3 0.446788782867468 0.437108828700192 0.429246702968061 0.492148923152064
2005:4 0.45198754981468 0.417990601861199 0.430098920626135 0.497529638955372
2005:5 0.465680072693075 0.440530715519183 0.405023761522599 0.50422555346134
2005:6 0.461637558023367 0.461329058429906 0.409057996891341 0.487210892535309
2005:7 0.461801984449092 0.424224832794603 0.402850262933398 0.499367821171194
2005:8 0.449149827253834 0.441649632787973 0.403152786007979 0.49225762346691
2005:9 0.456217295428075 0.483998593967739 0.391490815106863 0.479474302873391
2005:10 0.45106664667679 0.480641896941657 0.402669249672902 0.497427921822299
2005:11 0.462367867257036 0.496748537296633 0.41011460098631 0.489483854902435
2005:12 0.469213672783993 0.518654747270518 0.431320402641302 0.485999452124037
2006:1 0.463272910946423 0.527672145539236 0.431918564331644 0.496474824923758
2006:2 0.471519979568868 0.540356779753548 0.445206844642411 0.490790586214584
2006:3 0.473040909593802 0.535727996931468 0.445226077579658 0.471877154297024
2006:4 0.465859174673024 0.554683576534226 0.443599096864387 0.472544632291248
2006:5 0.47613701435452 0.552158677151728 0.454968532600486 0.487928159476314
2006:6 0.467673398296242 0.565482286388607 0.440278025663364 0.485855513952808
2006:7 0.469052350362563 0.547869799140677 0.44323746209161 0.463320891018942
2006:8 0.47638069309859 0.579524349302252 0.431800408625914 0.48928542727267
2006:9 0.46923021241157 0.540692611808184 0.453781846567917 0.509914778651512
2006:10 0.469863520620646 0.523289385288833 0.453073956557305 0.506881316478307
2006:11 0.46832068205673 0.532321468680211 0.465115429643548 0.495603754221224
2006:12 0.467854798718795 0.519079110892463 0.448102236505835 0.511738062659469
2007:1 0.478348836145901 0.534876273335199 0.455191915604828 0.508905515191208
2007:2 0.470278824666588 0.524168936924277 0.443622314067577 0.532374201480376
2007:3 0.471594945347308 0.563419161703624 0.440377097790838 0.534967023236548
2007:4 0.468471596997853 0.536508729979064 0.44001836205236 0.516538138672149
2007:5 0.461841966869859 0.525832629150562 0.441390815260996 0.507430584451577
2007:6 0.453571550405623 0.477555906419258 0.44952381434037 0.516682374996726
2007:7 0.459583073173075 0.515840991902228 0.453307981141648 0.523531320626505
2007:8 0.440364354228418 0.475148687099874 0.496192740403668 0.493712567197263
2007:9 0.444640068251656 0.465553355020286 0.472544469949599 0.489265836316284
2007:10 0.450160677313011 0.491203806353735 0.469134159718895 0.485381951562588
2007:11 0.44227732479157 0.456940663540387 0.461811251591497 0.485637620940907
2007:12 0.444535248237616 0.475854473998109 0.44128734220276 0.478464108155646
2008:1 0.436900532504738 0.452396454716412 0.451872844662374 0.466426185388049
2008:2 0.4345510366499 0.427188643689516 0.453515522550176 0.437969011715034
2008:3 0.428106889518729 0.384335362108973 0.451930234863726 0.437568634369165
2008:4 0.441206116936702 0.394197190232062 0.426165369968416 0.462137743751823
2008:5 0.428901755511655 0.394382895424308 0.432270202188125 0.455497361243504
2008:6 0.426566358700222 0.416723489381429 0.427196869771814 0.439003615449837
2008:7 0.408846535404188 0.393947593942512 0.410372780597292 0.449176980971897
2008:8 0.412776278805689 0.384797318286095 0.371519568978896 0.427561017674755
2008:9 0.40583610470663 0.419941176987167 0.36910992536814 0.411164652670281
2008:10 0.404039248275174 0.398850759401106 0.355568122272395 0.385714671409975
2008:11 0.37990421603936 0.397159949356262 0.349666470540021 0.378327813784924
2008:12 0.361567356049118 0.380857198402917 0.361402598054131 0.365737647730434
2009:1 0.354595630295283 0.376230146998156 0.333579644839008 0.350450293601847
2009:2 0.342716115447863 0.375785819023896 0.317392340136777 0.332023587443276
2009:3 0.323077281949851 0.36937848207865 0.305822418140041 0.329300458219053
2009:4 0.292236476589176 0.358549753171581 0.305307581990574 0.303959725921234
2009:5 0.290082389749872 0.337433336414014 0.277072125726304 0.292504285999031
2009:6 0.291984628806704 0.342983226299892 0.277168497101724 0.277356310607804
2009:7 0.279665929933471 0.320506096740045 0.274023339944242 0.26102407431056
2009:8 0.264072373411137 0.313489779219347 0.24106136091031 0.254469530430226
2009:9 0.251340129028775 0.289483821291559 0.233963593575994 0.240801175024582
2009:10 0.241869539210693 0.306696631391798 0.221813450113088 0.242126172094227
2009:11 0.240545492771129 0.289068548211613 0.207848259670872 0.233397500016172
2009:12 0.230457617891379 0.278324142679537 0.204596082745938 0.226696453492028
2010:1 0.221234895784498 0.268452438042921 0.19437286630869 0.211128698993623
2010:2 0.209746929670849 0.242683173347981 0.191752545344831 0.217864399174813
2010:3 0.205730740234455 0.252272852764605 0.191443279502642 0.207226002911875
2010:4 0.207971739547307 0.24744677275794 0.190866134439859 0.199461561943445
2010:5 0.204427081068017 0.247400654019353 0.181311453004178 0.196343891252941
2010:6 0.198851102102649 0.219929761773447 0.18010115372208 0.20594312264078
2010:7 0.207039132432992 0.219172505461551 0.180427850787996 0.193556336939271
2010:8 0.212333640232899 0.205440570038175 0.202643635545244 0.211448632404962
2010:9 0.214681424584616 0.206019521448313 0.199392988813538 0.203411227692032
2010:10 0.205506946744328 0.190030551981346 0.202431184016952 0.202562929556363
2010:11 0.210976578274669 0.200748948843481 0.204472216605295 0.20057535517379
Return to Figure 9a

Figure 9b: Unemployment flow rates by training requirements high school graduates: Inflow rate, high school graduates (in percent)

Year:Quarter Up to 3 months 3 months - 1 year 1-2 years Over 2 years
1976:12 0.0345959607493027 0.0226865490270809 0.0199195619346054 0.0140879556452892
1977:1 0.0351849657226632 0.0227642924101494 0.0203562784084769 0.0138615510491768
1977:2 0.035942576607453 0.0240124328526878 0.0201001826709757 0.0140076204357687
1977:3 0.0362281256201222 0.0239447019197195 0.0200385651610905 0.0137337155845133
1977:4 0.0362148572873133 0.0234016485733938 0.0195309808615356 0.0138289445253401
1977:5 0.0366192477331099 0.0239980082896458 0.0198910440745999 0.0138686400677698
1977:6 0.0362240080877753 0.0238530471136554 0.0198324045285754 0.0141327336406487
1977:7 0.0361280608175833 0.0241627286381422 0.0202173535732017 0.0144470432966978
1977:8 0.0353914983469497 0.0250130338763924 0.0200467712297184 0.0146527137993901
1977:9 0.035422631614837 0.0245466314584914 0.0200716118753428 0.0146876920284656
1977:10 0.0349870962576927 0.0251003739764701 0.0202059477907677 0.0147650572451919
1977:11 0.0344590276184316 0.0254513139740806 0.0200465836942159 0.01447191696069
1977:12 0.0340048020230335 0.0247502746914787 0.0197181997197193 0.014168227252525
1978:1 0.0327290395773251 0.0245966167839138 0.0197290397099236 0.014197966327414
1978:2 0.032289513134313 0.0235706546521286 0.0201631561078666 0.0141781358423269
1978:3 0.0315431657630833 0.0237630292220166 0.020087636875937 0.0141907992702877
1978:4 0.0322016427807885 0.0242217738855681 0.0202216135470968 0.0142659922585887
1978:5 0.0322723446283355 0.0231793506935745 0.0204333628087342 0.013757558955264
1978:6 0.0330849258506663 0.0237109576712096 0.0197839223869301 0.0133654810327618
1978:7 0.0329157333917224 0.0242570792573217 0.0195384992128138 0.0129933949734485
1978:8 0.0327211001609794 0.0232540184743596 0.0195600909248482 0.0128398822395307
1978:9 0.0329135045488988 0.0231607382461105 0.0191888242931806 0.0127650121508107
1978:10 0.0331848817608241 0.0225830199643673 0.0186095947658303 0.0124486030119966
1978:11 0.0326638624280811 0.0227251173841655 0.018327568727067 0.0126701634001396
1978:12 0.0328892519645713 0.0231629559257642 0.0185993846123939 0.0128217619779497
1979:1 0.0338647474346987 0.0238091257999255 0.0182307325662586 0.0127214036707765
1979:2 0.0339686394502714 0.0235794070557064 0.0179138414916019 0.012415240174044
1979:3 0.0342289073647677 0.023597994290938 0.0179224762220466 0.0123268800655764
1979:4 0.0340581304412011 0.0233634252143023 0.0181090245384504 0.0120570158100057
1979:5 0.0339560748257756 0.0242707040891009 0.0177510047610684 0.0121124211911125
1979:6 0.033331630077329 0.024232795378961 0.0178949711956077 0.0121369420060542
1979:7 0.0334800961700671 0.0241850039489988 0.0178959363527203 0.0121161236379487
1979:8 0.033754360290559 0.0248348311672702 0.0181335567428321 0.0119782532710304
1979:9 0.0341360568210219 0.0250018493139907 0.0185108617907341 0.0123601654611515
1979:10 0.03478883216818 0.0256038669828899 0.0190026397686407 0.012458801246012
1979:11 0.035400664649272 0.0248497603624279 0.0189895526304518 0.012385259773184
1979:12 0.0367061637883279 0.0243726644227745 0.0195399819005439 0.0122877310256018
1980:1 0.036745893083121 0.0235772595888623 0.0198191574546559 0.0128417890504713
1980:2 0.0368441270662986 0.023876527484174 0.0200554257189075 0.0135782081275348
1980:3 0.0374368561853628 0.0245957397473107 0.0204677534551277 0.0139024221647216
1980:4 0.038576850084277 0.0251439480063478 0.0213713970348974 0.0145778922157826
1980:5 0.0395541833347699 0.0257009241581761 0.0220482283421236 0.0157414185371685
1980:6 0.040105719558859 0.0265551123570572 0.0226246938054245 0.0163117820519767
1980:7 0.0407271236028226 0.0265330407153359 0.0229371947047589 0.0165701602466076
1980:8 0.0405166492279057 0.0263233120056312 0.0232046190097886 0.0170059538023589
1980:9 0.040446543426789 0.0271340718019828 0.0230738429842939 0.0167786881778414
1980:10 0.040191977802906 0.0276214015599819 0.022767491618492 0.0169143464741285
1980:11 0.0400463260536923 0.0281644584707338 0.0229026084315681 0.0168324671438188
1980:12 0.0393524400828626 0.0285363108943837 0.0223891630432504 0.017009924609098
1981:1 0.0390941701666744 0.0292920106642334 0.022083043542131 0.0170318962748639
1981:2 0.0393014241310209 0.0296859499576517 0.0217768152806821 0.0170656119049815
1981:3 0.0390556670865874 0.0290978846275772 0.0211132147665379 0.0172368050073252
1981:4 0.0378177836330385 0.0284508168462922 0.0200546213000687 0.0172386715712629
1981:5 0.0376836993621414 0.0279759360022389 0.0197486241074689 0.0168949059888458
1981:6 0.0373804703177272 0.0270816889571193 0.0193561835509148 0.016488417377843
1981:7 0.037406447840439 0.0266788598097866 0.0191995350226015 0.016451566253188
1981:8 0.0378500578164946 0.0275564121018471 0.01895571194799 0.0165224331734966
1981:9 0.0381562103573362 0.0274719711821318 0.0193417339701785 0.0170151221809037
1981:10 0.0394656722658969 0.0282336609379855 0.0199950466260228 0.0176141091495778
1981:11 0.0406654599618816 0.0292368455777976 0.0206444648671325 0.0182928757445943
1981:12 0.0416842751426423 0.03060334975967 0.021827195554125 0.0186506383694753
1982:1 0.0425925786974367 0.0309053036173721 0.022291474661495 0.0190721114734621
1982:2 0.043790761883041 0.0312923337235378 0.0226092597150927 0.0193923748539344
1982:3 0.0441587440439905 0.0328078292116308 0.0234808080798959 0.0195892699546389
1982:4 0.0447564965513774 0.0338892510497587 0.0239141725119243 0.0200015148423938
1982:5 0.044266674042255 0.0345264201650111 0.0241118858371236 0.0202351502555952
1982:6 0.0449614441956661 0.0355691874746036 0.0249811291338287 0.020838858804663
1982:7 0.0454981216666873 0.0354270230770771 0.0256462645586723 0.0216064452414078
1982:8 0.0468917549033999 0.0356904191216576 0.0260402845647575 0.0221778247811214
1982:9 0.0475019729159321 0.0366186429903866 0.0262777735242927 0.0220473685670622
1982:10 0.0473213536418051 0.0364535053661395 0.0262140994429509 0.0219627197895243
1982:11 0.0476358609408584 0.0365945229484963 0.0260770993621984 0.0219525437784374
1982:12 0.0470018566919512 0.0354697719792001 0.0253876878411821 0.0223270301372243
1983:1 0.0472121613099002 0.0357973884534793 0.0259127592326435 0.0224021818555814
1983:2 0.0458911574896911 0.0366151414467649 0.0264787910651883 0.0221946767379843
1983:3 0.0454626275214528 0.0346198846405267 0.0264985255151928 0.0226051981454642
1983:4 0.0457880492183133 0.0335314623798127 0.0266518969035642 0.0226852362720366
1983:5 0.0459556955199856 0.0332798203123453 0.0265949112108129 0.0224101747355224
1983:6 0.0454287612490744 0.0333903370943917 0.0259763780029264 0.0218904167086941
1983:7 0.0446663379541388 0.0342778609511593 0.0256330615244972 0.0212567795593259
1983:8 0.0442817291816304 0.0335132644712816 0.025152097118543 0.0209439757359949
1983:9 0.0439701893580598 0.0320608972748244 0.0247912041193335 0.0209032122343757
1983:10 0.0435795586196082 0.0306510538186003 0.024061294270914 0.0207246451909462
1983:11 0.0431128969993821 0.0299754046558134 0.0234305158108369 0.0203085617761169
1983:12 0.0425793524442994 0.0303270486511994 0.0232060224375231 0.0197014366844557
1984:1 0.0417999830733934 0.0301068465831162 0.0223983201487257 0.0192693482729521
1984:2 0.0421090862661152 0.0282041122004733 0.0216408197464546 0.0193310504635202
1984:3 0.0422246736877486 0.0286314431405425 0.0211717219200321 0.0187493496369386
1984:4 0.04138409973555 0.0286845256738397 0.020943681160478 0.0182830350871666
1984:5 0.0410768695486815 0.0285926591975145 0.0205003408691182 0.0183490972356359
1984:6 0.0409657940228136 0.0285184168464029 0.0202922804674408 0.0188502388649976
1984:7 0.0414683106331494 0.0297234237410613 0.0197839425205579 0.0193123702822462
1984:8 0.0412433809787522 0.0295164034202573 0.0197432501424008 0.0191039620665354
1984:9 0.0415492878071824 0.0298541312580836 0.0195778518346838 0.0190227649123191
1984:10 0.0413272519374777 0.0307995915170611 0.0202682896275952 0.0191250767769229
1984:11 0.040864864659459 0.0308025507256543 0.0211008401636538 0.0192239397354871
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2001:10 0.0349505006748965 0.0262117197048973 0.0199092000871352 0.017246925329701
2001:11 0.0350460348514739 0.0268559628301501 0.0205701881451475 0.0175625690653423
2001:12 0.0346681417674551 0.0256260765587964 0.0218307465409642 0.018179817506311
2002:1 0.0348698737744933 0.0265531724621041 0.0222754771392899 0.0183860908458084
2002:2 0.0346112066229721 0.0277117285684387 0.0226725668913489 0.0189348934323879
2002:3 0.034460789252391 0.0276308591708454 0.0225137831174612 0.0192119965802295
2002:4 0.0338434882972242 0.0265231723432713 0.022395475259821 0.0191045422033256
2002:5 0.0328455397116518 0.0261549938377422 0.0229286105801286 0.0194046449796066
2002:6 0.0323197100305983 0.0259872973548276 0.0231295922471021 0.0195936119084459
2002:7 0.0323237564764502 0.0254255928638067 0.0228059820282753 0.0196538786771827
2002:8 0.0317260833993235 0.0246692200083859 0.0224754544312319 0.0193567630344524
2002:9 0.0303714803655264 0.0234123041730805 0.0219992963745363 0.0193882735994591
2002:10 0.0295304929414322 0.0233430732000052 0.0216986668175245 0.0190114888301546
2002:11 0.0292206292775029 0.0228241280941518 0.0217313308025247 0.0189397845778657
2002:12 0.0281151936020367 0.0229672463027601 0.0212704711797982 0.0188453435976255
2003:1 0.0280084234341359 0.023187040661578 0.0200288012812342 0.0186669444503768
2003:2 0.0283210623016537 0.0227330765923934 0.0196111202018778 0.0183557870402072
2003:3 0.0280933142645603 0.0242939776109904 0.0197725008052815 0.0176104586353523
2003:4 0.0281564102011653 0.0248125744728075 0.019830795560377 0.0177803911773247
2003:5 0.0285059332859624 0.0260416508834964 0.0197254146385111 0.0171853241558738
2003:6 0.02853817775964 0.0271030907840335 0.0194503071745255 0.0173762115031712
2003:7 0.0289859486270213 0.0272648819868626 0.0197090166170516 0.0169024419238127
2003:8 0.0289980488104212 0.0277902782173631 0.0200101069818336 0.0169520047580161
2003:9 0.0302123590394592 0.0276383010037712 0.0201598262467111 0.017191083459558
2003:10 0.0298755526645823 0.0272502812306582 0.0194246962823003 0.017294628137869
2003:11 0.0298943966523239 0.0267343340519437 0.0187240473178457 0.0172148888657002
2003:12 0.030186768684983 0.0265554630488818 0.0179494022222611 0.0169972028903537
2004:1 0.0297922993580389 0.0250326649338706 0.0181369550159823 0.0168103358637718
2004:2 0.0295684585108491 0.024630210558556 0.0179637213953549 0.0168287658007423
2004:3 0.0293126953631333 0.0245039308357166 0.0180653538068181 0.0171854487728756
2004:4 0.0294978776063421 0.0235796872733034 0.0179728889323183 0.0169551573271062
2004:5 0.0295896703508885 0.0229458966371886 0.0180840210690941 0.0170087208781782
2004:6 0.0302939756081854 0.0222235560990462 0.0180946967232638 0.0167023675386348
2004:7 0.030018987327603 0.0220696170129803 0.018323102819923 0.0167983325788866
2004:8 0.0298908980408408 0.0222443039027806 0.0184560869496067 0.0167543025296054
2004:9 0.0291473627268383 0.022591640549942 0.0186705438098337 0.0164819777234994
2004:10 0.0293251653629423 0.0227616814372166 0.0186694870615233 0.0167329810089154
2004:11 0.0295958584347545 0.0231935634291321 0.0188134563189155 0.0168579197115341
2004:12 0.0296064878803094 0.0228300424541609 0.0188825240865431 0.0169855588646587
2005:1 0.0300953030234358 0.0234018887455466 0.0190268686671871 0.0173248169444685
2005:2 0.0301994767411001 0.0237385837745552 0.0188524413288079 0.0173285403470885
2005:3 0.0304728675009361 0.0229404251527855 0.0185408397421826 0.0171696872413707
2005:4 0.0299413458570482 0.0241749030765937 0.0184082039865903 0.0175359817405804
2005:5 0.0298905282787557 0.0246383358453029 0.0178444620204309 0.0179867257626806
2005:6 0.029648385898651 0.0248916427631473 0.0181670541701852 0.0176945959586611
2005:7 0.029099468272683 0.0255395226058237 0.0177512282242447 0.0176377950492685
2005:8 0.0295957723398215 0.0265284894798047 0.0176194207574023 0.0174942586664263
2005:9 0.0292800063905384 0.026949903365679 0.017204530420331 0.0179115387263706
2005:10 0.0294536951911438 0.0279853869756357 0.0173415910655964 0.0178582430552342
2005:11 0.0293641298306832 0.0280940372909699 0.0181977941367468 0.0174534662903883
2005:12 0.0298310487392569 0.0283909026463047 0.0182707453245189 0.0171106981935268
2006:1 0.029553328702016 0.0288558842753577 0.0181508044382045 0.0166751105368914
2006:2 0.0294772498368439 0.0290214726958948 0.0182897538842672 0.0164581170836962
2006:3 0.0297836596331134 0.0288239935332906 0.0185967638431203 0.0167063207478853
2006:4 0.0302505957426334 0.0274129833212504 0.0181767991107737 0.0161979033557822
2006:5 0.0299754922492738 0.0273287301164349 0.0183759124380621 0.0157203326877504
2006:6 0.0292336102843287 0.0278904246831113 0.01807185185946 0.0155429279324138
2006:7 0.0294967631641941 0.0268333354984603 0.0182458018687177 0.0153183567989434
2006:8 0.0288287450402673 0.02560060730967 0.0178631717674728 0.0155997022747685
2006:9 0.0288371722963994 0.0251044166384165 0.0180334491751031 0.0151439958670071
2006:10 0.0285824479887482 0.0236608854383897 0.0180751991205145 0.0154903311671064
2006:11 0.0289120498101529 0.0247179575626498 0.0176067674005442 0.0157024710981691
2006:12 0.0282549335167794 0.0250623300843781 0.0173506330957902 0.0158934003323732
2007:1 0.0287624343501665 0.0246834210397351 0.01722158174263 0.0167504648302467
2007:2 0.0284065803200635 0.0234805669132402 0.0171084671675408 0.0166236366346997
2007:3 0.0284225557682426 0.0236312589704875 0.0163669344040546 0.0166787146159011
2007:4 0.0283998299866458 0.0236845370823478 0.0162673795290232 0.0166008918087771
2007:5 0.028581836685212 0.0225157069105872 0.016152580725004 0.016325395805678
2007:6 0.0286514221044546 0.0216988527575232 0.0157678767026234 0.0165716478160073
2007:7 0.028274728323267 0.023304957922281 0.0155098916183478 0.0170205596601159
2007:8 0.0281514233576045 0.0235718993330177 0.016142565110532 0.0169297781787481
2007:9 0.0285009061510699 0.0232482963050798 0.0158728228855015 0.0169627921835678
2007:10 0.0290555610400843 0.023238205692004 0.0155374146120199 0.0164206534817126
2007:11 0.0289908808975202 0.0223894667993226 0.0152659236197079 0.0166391355940193
2007:12 0.0292704284706311 0.0219663982285815 0.0153196506836115 0.0166758059041771
2008:1 0.0287830790302309 0.0216284555551003 0.0158296210334784 0.0162332572478398
2008:2 0.028981514907043 0.0228409995635867 0.016131235242114 0.0167945472925832
2008:3 0.0288165097412266 0.022228715860043 0.0165225880290439 0.0164564995530969
2008:4 0.0287514615293494 0.0226778536763385 0.0173843831677334 0.0171906621930092
2008:5 0.0282982429152083 0.0235989970534619 0.0176445681227845 0.0181044741073291
2008:6 0.0284034034676849 0.0230962253994283 0.0182926619298917 0.017906112029851
2008:7 0.0288179601786323 0.0231637593869921 0.0187437443267112 0.0178717614432248
2008:8 0.0292406487055599 0.0231209825002347 0.0189695159252054 0.0178081299643982
2008:9 0.0296499525225678 0.0243488126545929 0.0192189054917514 0.0183668413717366
2008:10 0.0299111933704292 0.0252815799386901 0.0202325967199437 0.018796953568724
2008:11 0.030744253478378 0.0261035004143151 0.0215075536599322 0.0194351520776463
2008:12 0.0313530976256211 0.0279276595421565 0.0227677689145623 0.0204890232114989
2009:1 0.0320274295741298 0.0285619148023829 0.0226503231890183 0.0210360410138871
2009:2 0.0327391415592674 0.0287616413621814 0.022730454976369 0.0211863850430693
2009:3 0.0332340163885507 0.0294605277017401 0.0231529280194133 0.0221070711235852
2009:4 0.0341073877993435 0.0294743510650919 0.0231056388203146 0.0223437476644248
2009:5 0.0345756692330398 0.0296166853454173 0.0233658433335562 0.0222244068023469
2009:6 0.0349859995371519 0.0304985961355792 0.0236123566277119 0.0228360333765856
2009:7 0.0350193613456407 0.0293555167346708 0.0233609845759171 0.0229884401582905
2009:8 0.0348468171542549 0.0294541894837344 0.0230288631730402 0.023400861749708
2009:9 0.0346557607190258 0.0286247177941246 0.0233053061310866 0.0236858627409615
2009:10 0.0337426821738065 0.0280122733002299 0.0226774707714053 0.0238516064519033
2009:11 0.0330765071168931 0.0272472673576584 0.0220509612383343 0.0235292944981634
2009:12 0.0323969686021794 0.0254134572795818 0.021320488185388 0.0228898357063881
2010:1 0.0318503986096691 0.0242868622738281 0.0212335644551663 0.0224845133202733
2010:2 0.0312056501600023 0.0234551216260846 0.0206308229210693 0.0223695441880446
2010:3 0.0299006511632559 0.023374923796059 0.0200304142052632 0.0218592175912638
2010:4 0.0293538144801256 0.0226136411566486 0.0196451475027598 0.021628362308933
2010:5 0.0297844141020612 0.0212213740010278 0.0189465295341483 0.0211089938404243
2010:6 0.0295486110446682 0.0209835223913864 0.0184880683506042 0.0207382823308423
2010:7 0.0298044640101211 0.0207992213819034 0.0185222404737947 0.0206267226630682
2010:8 0.0300709818871978 0.0205971800366587 0.0185579768993384 0.0206797237662928
2010:9 0.0299521920228886 0.0205087497937079 0.0181796732101124 0.0197684317433975
2010:10 0.0304755939992103 0.0206075981696583 0.0184397074508391 0.0193417099379708
2010:11 0.030363379310966 0.0202151023630349 0.0179749797352536 0.0192352937541882
Return to Figure 9b

Figure 10a: U.S. unemployment rates educational attainment and age

Age Less than high school High school Some college College
16 0.229927572355769 0.282639742236025 0.33838145 0.30333498
17 0.181645449047619 0.20439527547619 0.181395368358209 0.291103290909091
18 0.220778760952381 0.166283256904762 0.114505801428571 0.362331752380952
19 0.256647435238096 0.152973162857143 0.0962500942857143 0.374761688679245
20 0.240262654761905 0.13734069547619 0.08590832 0.214756339534884
21 0.214151017380952 0.124197052619048 0.0772764176190476 0.123577632275132
22 0.195004360381862 0.113305218377088 0.0756226894988067 0.084082706921241
23 0.178826322142857 0.104006692619048 0.0709541502380952 0.0572316857142857
24 0.165836643333333 0.0966323004761905 0.0665652202380953 0.0446286769047619
25 0.154364883095238 0.0901261554761906 0.0634059228571428 0.0383037619047619
26 0.150083210714286 0.0862264688095238 0.0608944621428571 0.0342280816666667
27 0.143685397380952 0.0822748061904761 0.0587370966666667 0.031364915
28 0.135413437142857 0.0787019557142858 0.0556362221428571 0.0301706876190476
29 0.135212612857143 0.0761168573809524 0.0552786202380952 0.0289199635714286
30 0.128004343571429 0.0727398514285714 0.0526898819047619 0.0272923966666667
31 0.124359025714286 0.0691565440476191 0.0493232271428572 0.0269483376190476
32 0.113633332619048 0.0684031966666667 0.0499301135714286 0.0262644238095238
33 0.110671064285714 0.0658463476190477 0.0479808480952381 0.0250736595238095
34 0.111050918333333 0.0633999176190476 0.0473412628571429 0.0247554361904762
35 0.108827098809524 0.0606462645238095 0.0449617221428572 0.0251411226190476
36 0.102496911190476 0.059666245952381 0.044628284047619 0.0245171992857143
37 0.103747578095238 0.0582727492857143 0.0438932326190476 0.0245792997619048
38 0.100850041190476 0.0556974226190476 0.0428251426190476 0.0237437837320574
39 0.097459111904762 0.0539233614285714 0.0414377742857143 0.0230100702380952
40 0.0921633969047619 0.0515255790476191 0.0400357947619048 0.023470092124105
41 0.0904103216666667 0.0508940961904762 0.0399695373809524 0.023219365625
42 0.0892719583333333 0.0490510280952381 0.0393475378571428 0.0227677787589499
43 0.0890966319047619 0.0487112207142857 0.0382889847619047 0.0230040309523809
44 0.0861548019047619 0.0459994352380952 0.0378267083333333 0.0233302434052758
45 0.0810106523809524 0.0452616904761905 0.0380186823809524 0.0224979229116945
46 0.0821006085714285 0.0440888733333333 0.0368776890476191 0.0244571802884615
47 0.0776293416666667 0.0420129385714286 0.0382165441527447 0.0228190971360382
48 0.0778516983333333 0.0425759471428572 0.0361550276190476 0.0229483940191388
49 0.0769011992840096 0.043151891646778 0.0372425601431981 0.0230748738609113
50 0.0713937510739857 0.0426423229116946 0.0391459143198091 0.0228035867647059
51 0.0743005804761905 0.0411071314285714 0.0366595578571429 0.0225718410194175
52 0.0722881983333333 0.0403380969047619 0.0357773719047619 0.0240855367541766
53 0.0711492811455847 0.0384681200477327 0.0366915508353222 0.0234026625304136
54 0.068287742583732 0.0386046875598086 0.0369805296650718 0.0243431007425743
55 0.0660991230215827 0.0383999153477218 0.0360092729016787 0.0236685074441687
56 0.065151019047619 0.0381781835714286 0.0366677347619048 0.0245248199507389
57 0.065442259472422 0.0374493251798561 0.0363119807692307 0.0250624498765432
58 0.0633932983293557 0.0383360429594272 0.0360068854066986 0.0245875491139241
59 0.0594754267942584 0.0381092377990431 0.0348338320574162 0.0239579373737374
60 0.0598270171428571 0.0377086969047619 0.0358341844868735 0.0268129534177215
61 0.0588819997607655 0.0380154677033493 0.036758341686747 0.0287314348648649
62 0.0557344643031785 0.0344196608801956 0.0354414876237624 0.0269666890532544
63 0.0572844479318735 0.0342463682926829 0.040943430958231 0.0290949789017341
64 0.0562707361179362 0.0341546759213759 0.0396419648989899 0.0292341558441558
65 0.0614224164556962 0.0385567511392405 0.0462332595238095 0.03470663866171
Return to Figure 10a

Figure 10b: U.S. unemployment rates. educational attainment and age

Age Less than high school High school Some college College
16 0.98524267139423 0.0103111335403727 0.00962499 0.00912372
17 0.912577060476191 0.0722403340476191 0.0160266044776119 0.00449715454545455
18 0.436284369047619 0.383852534285714 0.17893927 0.00289945238095238
19 0.185343131666667 0.415571863571428 0.397541162857143 0.00299528301886792
20 0.146340361904762 0.388370344047619 0.460772298333333 0.00514424360465116
21 0.134784248095238 0.379725786666667 0.460344492619048 0.026133653968254
22 0.126271337470167 0.363954521002387 0.385554833651551 0.124219310739857
23 0.118943590952381 0.349033072857143 0.328216317619048 0.203807019761905
24 0.116019010238095 0.342894643571429 0.300906080476191 0.240180263571429
25 0.116089449761905 0.340508242857143 0.286391491904762 0.257010812857143
26 0.112996711190476 0.336482375952381 0.278304586190476 0.272216331904762
27 0.11188073547619 0.334191921190476 0.273304875952381 0.280622470952381
28 0.111452594047619 0.33166393952381 0.272170693333333 0.284712771666667
29 0.108173589761905 0.32934044 0.270710959047619 0.291775009761905
30 0.112417647619048 0.330343115952381 0.266548537619048 0.2906907
31 0.111433441666667 0.329361322619048 0.265538266190476 0.293666970476191
32 0.113977741428571 0.328076517857143 0.262868326666667 0.295077415
33 0.115503707380952 0.328375436666666 0.261393813809524 0.294727033333333
34 0.116262911666667 0.330175645714286 0.260260547619048 0.293300894285714
35 0.117468849761905 0.333176372857143 0.257618831190476 0.291735946904762
36 0.119902867380952 0.333275929285714 0.255973898095238 0.290847295
37 0.120482892857143 0.336835189285714 0.255212397380952 0.287469519047619
38 0.123146249523809 0.339011350952381 0.252432225952381 0.28578738492823
39 0.125115717619048 0.338823187857143 0.25280467 0.283256425
40 0.128176585 0.341054173333333 0.249183401190476 0.281832606682578
41 0.126839244761905 0.34340970952381 0.249889983333333 0.280859291105769
42 0.130420371904762 0.345547576904762 0.246409071190476 0.277780105011933
43 0.133974793095238 0.345076386904761 0.244011651190476 0.276937172142857
44 0.134985602142857 0.346033841666666 0.243546248571428 0.275848669064748
45 0.138210757380952 0.347433019047619 0.238894143095238 0.275684758949881
46 0.141521978809524 0.34680461452381 0.239555528571428 0.27304456610577
47 0.145415451428571 0.347310410238095 0.236341488066826 0.271445591646778
48 0.150147142857143 0.347430964761905 0.232583915714286 0.270270878229665
49 0.154767316945107 0.34465232673031 0.231675107398568 0.269346570263789
50 0.161538048448688 0.34759847398568 0.225907503102625 0.267493896323529
51 0.162919508809524 0.34689421 0.225035169047619 0.26655319368932
52 0.166865712380952 0.347602013333333 0.221939973095238 0.263702908830549
53 0.171635554176611 0.346838868973747 0.219522609785203 0.263474654501217
54 0.177138369617225 0.346644423205742 0.217212112440191 0.261533686633663
55 0.183981801678657 0.348204243405276 0.21191065851319 0.258396777419355
56 0.186912108809524 0.35083432952381 0.210963855952381 0.253895609852217
57 0.191941319184652 0.350982167625899 0.209801478125 0.248804687901235
58 0.200098618377088 0.351715447732697 0.20597649784689 0.245643168101266
59 0.207416519856459 0.353609724401914 0.20107978062201 0.241286601010101
60 0.213825934047619 0.352618081428571 0.20051418902148 0.236471410886076
61 0.222008513157895 0.350560753827751 0.196946565783132 0.238233251891892
62 0.223230264303178 0.346844336919315 0.193841864356436 0.244956423668639
63 0.227843910462287 0.339668515853659 0.195569013513514 0.244850978612717
64 0.234151505405406 0.336415874938575 0.191898001010101 0.248984099025974
65 0.244244949620253 0.329022503544304 0.188824057936508 0.255574327137546
Return to Figure 10b

Figure 11: Unemployment duration shares by education groups

Age Less than high school High school Some college College
1 26.95 33.18 26.18 13.69
2 25.56 34.72 25.3 14.41
3 23.79 35.71 25.21 15.29
4 22.31 36.08 25.65 15.97
5 20.17 36.86 26.16 16.81
6 21.1 36.97 25.96 15.97
7 22.75 36.69 25.15 15.41
8 20.47 37.19 26.33 16.01
9 19.96 36.58 26.87 16.59
10 18.43 35.97 27.45 18.15
11 18.1 35.79 27.95 18.16
12 17.51 36.53 27.59 18.37
13 24.11 36.97 24.38 14.54
14 21.79 36.7 26.19 15.32
15 20.66 37.08 25.25 17.01
16 17.79 38.37 26.23 17.6
17 15.5 36.68 28.35 19.47
18 15.93 33.9 28.88 21.29
19 13.13 33.55 31.03 22.28
20 15.52 34.57 29.69 20.21
21 14.38 32.42 30.04 23.17
22 15.2 31.16 29.9 23.74
23 10.81 35.52 29.73 23.94
24 10.81 31.35 29.19 28.65
25 11.36 35.23 23.86 29.55
26 23 35.9 24.6 16.51
27 19.57 35.89 26.63 17.92
28 18.42 35.62 25.74 20.21
29 16.69 37.01 25.03 21.27
Return to Figure 11

Figure 12a: Gross Flow Rates (25+ Years Of Age):Employment- Unemployment transition rate

Year:Quarter Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 1976:12 2.0716 1.3501 1.195 0.7441
1977:1 1977:1 2.1078 1.3668 1.1955 0.7558
1977:2 1977:2 2.1178 1.3727 1.1691 0.7805
1977:3 1977:3 2.1166 1.36 1.1925 0.7867
1977:4 1977:4 2.1233 1.3449 1.1855 0.7854
1977:5 1977:5 2.1335 1.3471 1.1756 0.8334
1977:6 1977:6 2.1052 1.3328 1.1534 0.8274
1977:7 1977:7 2.1226 1.3468 1.175 0.8087
1977:8 1977:8 2.1032 1.315 1.1744 0.8241
1977:9 1977:9 2.0807 1.3352 1.1723 0.8387
1977:10 1977:10 2.0505 1.3419 1.1442 0.8409
1977:11 1977:11 2.0216 1.3114 1.1643 0.8297
1977:12 1977:12 1.9467 1.2549 1.1407 0.7919
1978:1 1978:1 1.9172 1.2291 1.1483 0.7872
1978:2 1978:2 1.8992 1.2086 1.1369 0.8008
1978:3 1978:3 1.8353 1.2135 1.111 0.7894
1978:4 1978:4 1.8366 1.2263 1.1133 0.7939
1978:5 1978:5 1.8421 1.1866 1.0998 0.7516
1978:6 1978:6 1.8401 1.1621 1.0796 0.7632
1978:7 1978:7 1.7989 1.1447 1.0735 0.7734
1978:8 1978:8 1.8012 1.161 1.0708 0.7579
1978:9 1978:9 1.8076 1.1367 1.051 0.732
1978:10 1978:10 1.8206 1.1249 1.0348 0.7062
1978:11 1978:11 1.8115 1.1026 1.0097 0.7249
1978:12 1978:12 1.873 1.157 1.0375 0.7441
1979:1 1979:1 1.8486 1.1675 1.0171 0.7296
1979:2 1979:2 1.8212 1.1563 1.0347 0.729
1979:3 1979:3 1.8995 1.1421 1.0289 0.7205
1979:4 1979:4 1.901 1.1392 1.0201 0.7135
1979:5 1979:5 1.9004 1.1519 1.0411 0.7379
1979:6 1979:6 1.9181 1.1563 1.0476 0.6962
1979:7 1979:7 1.9627 1.1776 1.0542 0.675
1979:8 1979:8 1.9748 1.1725 1.037 0.6556
1979:9 1979:9 1.9916 1.1838 1.0255 0.6733
1979:10 1979:10 2.0332 1.2098 1.0404 0.6807
1979:11 1979:11 2.0204 1.2041 1.0356 0.6643
1979:12 1979:12 2.077 1.2264 1.0576 0.6349
1980:1 1980:1 2.1394 1.2453 1.1095 0.6451
1980:2 1980:2 2.1659 1.2759 1.1408 0.6375
1980:3 1980:3 2.2208 1.3312 1.1862 0.6472
1980:4 1980:4 2.3503 1.3947 1.2504 0.6554
1980:5 1980:5 2.3777 1.4642 1.2759 0.6386
1980:6 1980:6 2.4677 1.5373 1.3004 0.6674
1980:7 1980:7 2.5176 1.5758 1.3416 0.6812
1980:8 1980:8 2.5421 1.6253 1.3832 0.6833
1980:9 1980:9 2.5915 1.6462 1.4295 0.6807
1980:10 1980:10 2.591 1.6531 1.4358 0.6887
1980:11 1980:11 2.6449 1.6834 1.4788 0.7007
1980:12 1980:12 2.6309 1.7025 1.4726 0.723
1981:1 1981:1 2.6263 1.7091 1.4472 0.7018
1981:2 1981:2 2.68 1.7207 1.43 0.7119
1981:3 1981:3 2.6519 1.7047 1.441 0.716
1981:4 1981:4 2.5464 1.6781 1.4315 0.7044
1981:5 1981:5 2.5624 1.6423 1.4336 0.6893
1981:6 1981:6 2.5138 1.6176 1.4218 0.6851
1981:7 1981:7 2.4838 1.5945 1.3842 0.6763
1981:8 1981:8 2.4988 1.5971 1.3864 0.6962
1981:9 1981:9 2.5558 1.6272 1.3716 0.7045
1981:10 1981:10 2.6242 1.6712 1.4033 0.7136
1981:11 1981:11 2.7038 1.7294 1.4698 0.7176
1981:12 1981:12 2.8162 1.7793 1.5302 0.7124
1982:1 1982:1 2.854 1.7964 1.5658 0.7349
1982:2 1982:2 2.8992 1.8471 1.6269 0.7444
1982:3 1982:3 2.9798 1.8968 1.642 0.7649
1982:4 1982:4 3.0645 1.9337 1.6434 0.7932
1982:5 1982:5 3.1047 1.9894 1.6465 0.8069
1982:6 1982:6 3.2382 2.0137 1.6939 0.8518
1982:7 1982:7 3.2677 2.057 1.7255 0.8726
1982:8 1982:8 3.3564 2.1102 1.7492 0.8934
1982:9 1982:9 3.3507 2.1417 1.7972 0.8994
1982:10 1982:10 3.3646 2.1671 1.8235 0.9017
1982:11 1982:11 3.4365 2.1847 1.7669 0.9
1982:12 1982:12 3.4012 2.1479 1.7807 0.9031
1983:1 1983:1 3.3709 2.1719 1.7768 0.8977
1983:2 1983:2 3.3397 2.1551 1.7436 0.9066
1983:3 1983:3 3.272 2.1531 1.7146 0.8894
1983:4 1983:4 3.189 2.1335 1.7122 0.8764
1983:5 1983:5 3.1696 2.1107 1.737 0.885
1983:6 1983:6 3.0483 2.0992 1.711 0.8483
1983:7 1983:7 3.0247 2.072 1.7133 0.8473
1983:8 1983:8 2.9855 2.0354 1.6854 0.8297
1983:9 1983:9 2.9608 1.9773 1.6336 0.8317
1983:10 1983:10 2.9475 1.9341 1.5891 0.8033
1983:11 1983:11 2.8483 1.906 1.5791 0.8012
1983:12 1983:12 2.8133 1.8792 1.5419 0.8056
1984:1 1984:1 2.8649 1.8543 1.517 0.8338
1984:2 1984:2 2.8311 1.8463 1.4978 0.8088
1984:3 1984:3 2.8136 1.7774 1.4782 0.8011
1984:4 1984:4 2.8228 1.7731 1.4503 0.7898
1984:5 1984:5 2.8204 1.7608 1.4045 0.766
1984:6 1984:6 2.8716 1.7155 1.3896 0.754
1984:7 1984:7 2.8941 1.7318 1.3817 0.7529
1984:8 1984:8 2.8553 1.6972 1.3688 0.7421
1984:9 1984:9 2.8277 1.6922 1.403 0.7346
1984:10 1984:10 2.8128 1.6827 1.3953 0.753
1984:11 1984:11 2.7629 1.6613 1.3712 0.7591
1984:12 1984:12 2.8618 1.679 1.3558 0.7639
1985:1 1985:1 2.8608 1.6851 1.3814 0.7551
1985:2 1985:2 2.881 1.6616 1.3811 0.759
1985:3 1985:3 2.9439 1.7001 1.3937 0.7623
1985:4 1985:4 2.9676 1.6985 1.4311 0.7855
1985:5 1985:5 2.9978 1.6827 1.4343 0.8039
1985:6 1985:6 2.9718 1.7098 1.4329 0.7911
1985:7 1985:7 2.9651 1.694 1.4203 0.7781
1985:8 1985:8 3.0009 1.7164 1.432 0.7825
1985:9 1985:9 3.0442 1.7384 1.4078 0.7896
1985:10 1985:10 3.063 1.7526 1.4167 0.7766
1985:11 1985:11 3.0751 1.7585 1.4024 0.7535
1985:12 1985:12 2.969 1.7779 1.3802 0.7493
1986:1 1986:1 2.9145 1.7689 1.3742 0.753
1986:2 1986:2 2.9267 1.7889 1.3933 0.7602
1986:3 1986:3 2.8896 1.7568 1.3787 0.7689
1986:4 1986:4 2.9451 1.782 1.3696 0.7581
1986:5 1986:5 2.9018 1.7821 1.3887 0.7408
1986:6 1986:6 2.9251 1.7756 1.3747 0.7491
1986:7 1986:7 2.9603 1.7703 1.3676 0.746
1986:8 1986:8 2.9582 1.7603 1.3528 0.7438
1986:9 1986:9 3.0036 1.7526 1.3668 0.7462
1986:10 1986:10 2.9871 1.7436 1.3752 0.7633
1986:11 1986:11 3.0001 1.7492 1.3886 0.7772
1986:12 1986:12 2.9957 1.7251 1.4005 0.7642
1987:1 1987:1 2.9902 1.7055 1.3821 0.7487
1987:2 1987:2 2.9983 1.7005 1.3642 0.7511
1987:3 1987:3 2.982 1.6995 1.3749 0.7503
1987:4 1987:4 2.9215 1.6635 1.3676 0.7523
1987:5 1987:5 2.9229 1.669 1.3466 0.7555
1987:6 1987:6 2.8502 1.6702 1.3769 0.7445
1987:7 1987:7 2.7815 1.6472 1.3586 0.7458
1987:8 1987:8 2.7421 1.6333 1.3712 0.7239
1987:9 1987:9 2.662 1.6311 1.3442 0.7242
1987:10 1987:10 2.5892 1.6132 1.3404 0.6939
1987:11 1987:11 2.6152 1.6158 1.3339 0.6986
1987:12 1987:12 2.5602 1.6206 1.3203 0.7027
1988:1 1988:1 2.5488 1.6269 1.312 0.6856
1988:2 1988:2 2.5004 1.5971 1.2941 0.6607
1988:3 1988:3 2.5366 1.5983 1.2472 0.651
1988:4 1988:4 2.54 1.5972 1.2196 0.6572
1988:5 1988:5 2.5031 1.5663 1.2247 0.6447
1988:6 1988:6 2.4912 1.5154 1.1826 0.6605
1988:7 1988:7 2.5445 1.513 1.1807 0.6465
1988:8 1988:8 2.5426 1.5279 1.1739 0.6611
1988:9 1988:9 2.5383 1.5254 1.1671 0.6381
1988:10 1988:10 2.5892 1.5103 1.1509 0.6346
1988:11 1988:11 2.5275 1.4829 1.1406 0.6218
1988:12 1988:12 2.5152 1.4686 1.1383 0.6203
1989:1 1989:1 2.5306 1.458 1.1594 0.6622
1989:2 1989:2 2.5285 1.4752 1.1595 0.6869
1989:3 1989:3 2.5191 1.4725 1.2001 0.6968
1989:4 1989:4 2.5565 1.4757 1.1925 0.6883
1989:5 1989:5 2.5548 1.4921 1.1671 0.7003
1989:6 1989:6 2.6119 1.5226 1.1564 0.6952
1989:7 1989:7 2.5581 1.5074 1.1677 0.7062
1989:8 1989:8 2.5944 1.5007 1.165 0.7238
1989:9 1989:9 2.615 1.4725 1.1745 0.7422
1989:10 1989:10 2.6365 1.5203 1.1985 0.7855
1989:11 1989:11 2.6241 1.5295 1.2052 0.786
1989:12 1989:12 2.6762 1.5605 1.2133 0.7882
1990:1 1990:1 2.6894 1.5944 1.2187 0.7637
1990:2 1990:2 2.7085 1.585 1.235 0.7549
1990:3 1990:3 2.6687 1.5962 1.2168 0.7482
1990:4 1990:4 2.6113 1.5937 1.2061 0.737
1990:5 1990:5 2.6445 1.5963 1.2336 0.7428
1990:6 1990:6 2.6623 1.5885 1.2776 0.7552
1990:7 1990:7 2.6803 1.6323 1.293 0.767
1990:8 1990:8 2.6555 1.6216 1.2692 0.7408
1990:9 1990:9 2.6138 1.6652 1.2729 0.7239
1990:10 1990:10 2.64 1.685 1.2818 0.7188
1990:11 1990:11 2.7054 1.6956 1.288 0.7226
1990:12 1990:12 2.7628 1.6997 1.3155 0.7163
1991:1 1991:1 2.7952 1.7363 1.3129 0.7273
1991:2 1991:2 2.854 1.7699 1.34 0.7473
1991:3 1991:3 2.8601 1.7846 1.3713 0.7515
1991:4 1991:4 2.9557 1.7992 1.4361 0.7702
1991:5 1991:5 2.9726 1.8119 1.4468 0.7543
1991:6 1991:6 2.9882 1.8197 1.4315 0.7423
1991:7 1991:7 3.0774 1.8011 1.4331 0.7531
1991:8 1991:8 3.1142 1.8169 1.4626 0.7671
1991:9 1991:9 3.1856 1.8089 1.4463 0.7958
1991:10 1991:10 3.1642 1.7881 1.4552 0.7786
1991:11 1991:11 3.2231 1.7765 1.4538 0.7773
1991:12 1991:12 3.1929 1.7939 1.47 0.8025
1992:1 1992:1 3.1762 1.7474 1.4602 0.7958
1992:2 1992:2 3.1313 1.7118 1.4429 0.7804
1992:3 1992:3 3.1607 1.7197 1.441 0.7797
1992:4 1992:4 3.1478 1.7051 1.4151 0.7618
1992:5 1992:5 3.1486 1.7002 1.4168 0.7836
1992:6 1992:6 3.1968 1.7161 1.424 0.7814
1992:7 1992:7 3.0808 1.7063 1.4252 0.7561
1992:8 1992:8 3.1022 1.6944 1.424 0.7638
1992:9 1992:9 3.1215 1.6946 1.4483 0.7449
1992:10 1992:10 3.1193 1.6788 1.4094 0.7572
1992:11 1992:11 3.0655 1.6958 1.4439 0.7662
1992:12 1992:12 3.0683 1.6681 1.3994 0.7694
1993:1 1993:1 3.0383 1.6573 1.3973 0.7686
1993:2 1993:2 3.0716 1.6705 1.3989 0.7746
1993:3 1993:3 3.0367 1.6448 1.401 0.7772
1993:4 1993:4 2.9629 1.6356 1.3893 0.7917
1993:5 1993:5 2.9181 1.6336 1.3797 0.7776
1993:6 1993:6 2.8753 1.6548 1.3911 0.7907
1993:7 1993:7 2.9144 1.6699 1.3723 0.7831
1993:8 1993:8 2.8898 1.6919 1.3595 0.7877
1993:9 1993:9 2.8622 1.6761 1.3519 0.7762
1993:10 1993:10 2.8392 1.6735 1.3609 0.7593
1993:11 1993:11 2.8641 1.6577 1.349 0.757
1993:12 1993:12 2.7776 1.5914 1.3251 0.7276
1994:1 1994:1 2.7695 1.5992 1.2969 0.7273
1994:2 1994:2 2.7429 1.5832 1.2821 0.7195
1994:3 1994:3 2.798 1.6048 1.2899 0.7092
1994:4 1994:4 2.761 1.614 1.2983 0.7129
1994:5 1994:5 2.8624 1.6382 1.3034 0.7344
1994:6 1994:6 2.8889 1.6092 1.285 0.7396
1994:7 1994:7 2.9253 1.5994 1.3097 0.7713
1994:8 1994:8 2.9413 1.5911 1.3117 0.7601
1994:9 1994:9 2.8911 1.5645 1.294 0.7679
1994:10 1994:10 2.8936 1.5559 1.2881 0.771
1994:11 1994:11 2.8556 1.5546 1.2708 0.7757
1994:12 1994:12 3.0118 1.634 1.3328 0.8027
1995:1 1995:1 3.0723 1.6299 1.3578 0.806
1995:2 1995:2 3.0038 1.6384 1.3725 0.8107
1995:3 1995:3 2.9579 1.6337 1.3534 0.8149
1995:4 1995:4 3.0187 1.6365 1.3566 0.8031
1995:5 1995:5 2.9916 1.6182 1.3505 0.7792
1995:6 1995:6 2.9323 1.6192 1.3524 0.755
1995:7 1995:7 2.9239 1.6287 1.3442 0.7281
1995:8 1995:8 2.9071 1.6379 1.3619 0.7206
1995:9 1995:9 2.9618 1.6728 1.3726 0.7333
1995:10 1995:10 2.9994 1.6775 1.3938 0.7438
1995:11 1995:11 2.994 1.6485 1.3647 0.7101
1995:12 1995:12 2.9272 1.6343 1.3052 0.6888
1996:1 1996:1 2.864 1.6353 1.3207 0.6933
1996:2 1996:2 3.017 1.6239 1.2879 0.6981
1996:3 1996:3 3.0802 1.6028 1.2839 0.6881
1996:4 1996:4 3.0671 1.602 1.2628 0.7433
1996:5 1996:5 3.0331 1.5884 1.268 0.7538
1996:6 1996:6 3.0254 1.5956 1.2738 0.7516
1996:7 1996:7 2.9388 1.5817 1.2785 0.7659
1996:8 1996:8 2.9014 1.552 1.2856 0.7636
1996:9 1996:9 2.8502 1.5518 1.275 0.757
1996:10 1996:10 2.8576 1.5696 1.2742 0.7653
1996:11 1996:11 2.8052 1.578 1.272 0.7715
1996:12 1996:12 2.8428 1.5713 1.2763 0.7717
1997:1 1997:1 2.8059 1.5589 1.2476 0.7643
1997:2 1997:2 2.7653 1.5486 1.2675 0.7424
1997:3 1997:3 2.7082 1.5513 1.2624 0.7447
1997:4 1997:4 2.7646 1.5475 1.2704 0.7219
1997:5 1997:5 2.7809 1.5654 1.2567 0.7095
1997:6 1997:6 2.7109 1.5455 1.2537 0.7145
1997:7 1997:7 2.7462 1.5281 1.2224 0.7205
1997:8 1997:8 2.7516 1.5125 1.2086 0.7186
1997:9 1997:9 2.811 1.5141 1.223 0.7211
1997:10 1997:10 2.7254 1.466 1.2054 0.694
1997:11 1997:11 2.8018 1.4903 1.2297 0.7072
1997:12 1997:12 2.6712 1.4771 1.2226 0.7077
1998:1 1998:1 2.7159 1.4945 1.2204 0.6959
1998:2 1998:2 2.7111 1.5164 1.2264 0.7154
1998:3 1998:3 2.7924 1.5187 1.1894 0.7112
1998:4 1998:4 2.7444 1.5067 1.1633 0.6984
1998:5 1998:5 2.7106 1.4782 1.1584 0.7067
1998:6 1998:6 2.7738 1.5204 1.1589 0.7169
1998:7 1998:7 2.7371 1.53 1.1648 0.7008
1998:8 1998:8 2.7516 1.5499 1.1672 0.6902
1998:9 1998:9 2.7404 1.5209 1.1723 0.6948
1998:10 1998:10 2.7892 1.5336 1.1634 0.7064
1998:11 1998:11 2.7788 1.5143 1.1648 0.6892
1998:12 1998:12 2.7963 1.4954 1.1518 0.6782
1999:1 1999:1 2.7904 1.4783 1.1418 0.6848
1999:2 1999:2 2.7598 1.4511 1.1134 0.6633
1999:3 1999:3 2.7162 1.431 1.149 0.6774
1999:4 1999:4 2.6838 1.4338 1.1634 0.6789
1999:5 1999:5 2.6725 1.4361 1.1276 0.6799
1999:6 1999:6 2.6438 1.3837 1.1547 0.6847
1999:7 1999:7 2.68 1.3825 1.1698 0.6737
1999:8 1999:8 2.6133 1.3742 1.165 0.6931
1999:9 1999:9 2.5678 1.3772 1.1477 0.6774
1999:10 1999:10 2.5245 1.3588 1.1337 0.6772
1999:11 1999:11 2.4788 1.3505 1.1256 0.6788
1999:12 1999:12 2.5167 1.3609 1.1471 0.682
2000:1 2000:1 2.4979 1.3211 1.1464 0.6764
2000:2 2000:2 2.5278 1.3305 1.1481 0.6721
2000:3 2000:3 2.4736 1.3084 1.1301 0.654
2000:4 2000:4 2.4947 1.2883 1.1205 0.6484
2000:5 2000:5 2.4887 1.3053 1.1674 0.6605
2000:6 2000:6 2.4264 1.3082 1.1442 0.657
2000:7 2000:7 2.4064 1.3133 1.1589 0.6685
2000:8 2000:8 2.454 1.3373 1.1518 0.6617
2000:9 2000:9 2.4878 1.3196 1.1412 0.6534
2000:10 2000:10 2.5135 1.3486 1.1521 0.6348
2000:11 2000:11 2.486 1.3349 1.1343 0.6273
2000:12 2000:12 2.4718 1.3398 1.1311 0.6168
2001:1 2001:1 2.5379 1.3773 1.1565 0.6273
2001:2 2001:2 2.5466 1.3734 1.1472 0.6352
2001:3 2001:3 2.5828 1.406 1.1534 0.6479
2001:4 2001:4 2.5563 1.4447 1.1545 0.6517
2001:5 2001:5 2.5878 1.4479 1.1622 0.6466
2001:6 2001:6 2.6807 1.4364 1.1487 0.6351
2001:7 2001:7 2.7324 1.4537 1.153 0.6581
2001:8 2001:8 2.7042 1.4404 1.1624 0.652
2001:9 2001:9 2.6781 1.4842 1.1957 0.6976
2001:10 2001:10 2.7471 1.5318 1.2299 0.7606
2001:11 2001:11 2.8145 1.5549 1.2435 0.7766
2001:12 2001:12 2.887 1.589 1.2644 0.7934
2002:1 2002:1 2.8948 1.6091 1.2901 0.8088
2002:2 2002:2 2.8847 1.6328 1.3102 0.8213
2002:3 2002:3 2.8655 1.6268 1.3408 0.8351
2002:4 2002:4 2.8992 1.6281 1.3512 0.8578
2002:5 2002:5 2.8623 1.6328 1.3436 0.8611
2002:6 2002:6 2.815 1.666 1.3674 0.8739
2002:7 2002:7 2.8169 1.6682 1.3706 0.8807
2002:8 2002:8 2.8372 1.6542 1.3772 0.8878
2002:9 2002:9 2.8669 1.6448 1.3706 0.8812
2002:10 2002:10 2.8782 1.6335 1.3675 0.8595
2002:11 2002:11 2.8227 1.644 1.3804 0.856
2002:12 2002:12 2.7973 1.6129 1.3554 0.8609
2003:1 2003:1 2.7302 1.5958 1.3179 0.8465
2003:2 2003:2 2.7595 1.5958 1.3146 0.8491
2003:3 2003:3 2.7484 1.6159 1.2829 0.8446
2003:4 2003:4 2.7723 1.6227 1.3156 0.8334
2003:5 2003:5 2.7799 1.6197 1.3259 0.8299
2003:6 2003:6 2.8117 1.6252 1.3279 0.817
2003:7 2003:7 2.8336 1.6244 1.3284 0.8064
2003:8 2003:8 2.8621 1.64 1.3052 0.7953
2003:9 2003:9 2.8785 1.672 1.2813 0.783
2003:10 2003:10 2.8369 1.6234 1.2677 0.7609
2003:11 2003:11 2.9018 1.6392 1.2589 0.77
2003:12 2003:12 2.9264 1.6131 1.2474 0.756
2004:1 2004:1 2.9264 1.6095 1.2436 0.7466
2004:2 2004:2 2.9213 1.5982 1.243 0.7325
2004:3 2004:3 2.9049 1.5831 1.2413 0.7372
2004:4 2004:4 2.8139 1.5448 1.2073 0.7373
2004:5 2004:5 2.8221 1.5193 1.1918 0.7304
2004:6 2004:6 2.852 1.5284 1.1887 0.773
2004:7 2004:7 2.7787 1.5104 1.1554 0.768
2004:8 2004:8 2.751 1.5144 1.1731 0.7801
2004:9 2004:9 2.7073 1.4754 1.1864 0.7727
2004:10 2004:10 2.6989 1.4762 1.1822 0.7739
2004:11 2004:11 2.6639 1.4556 1.1836 0.767
2004:12 2004:12 2.5526 1.4719 1.1802 0.7729
2005:1 2005:1 2.5689 1.4733 1.1929 0.7707
2005:2 2005:2 2.5493 1.4796 1.1695 0.7711
2005:3 2005:3 2.6108 1.4621 1.1724 0.7621
2005:4 2005:4 2.6285 1.4732 1.1656 0.7445
2005:5 2005:5 2.6115 1.501 1.1765 0.7581
2005:6 2005:6 2.5533 1.4809 1.1811 0.728
2005:7 2005:7 2.5812 1.4816 1.1825 0.7043
2005:8 2005:8 2.6114 1.4875 1.1694 0.6966
2005:9 2005:9 2.5875 1.4763 1.1596 0.6953
2005:10 2005:10 2.5041 1.4646 1.1374 0.6913
2005:11 2005:11 2.5225 1.4546 1.1371 0.6986
2005:12 2005:12 2.508 1.45 1.15 0.6904
2006:1 2006:1 2.5087 1.4622 1.1383 0.701
2006:2 2006:2 2.548 1.4335 1.1579 0.721
2006:3 2006:3 2.5114 1.4625 1.1649 0.7178
2006:4 2006:4 2.572 1.4583 1.1625 0.7233
2006:5 2006:5 2.6075 1.4418 1.1819 0.7137
2006:6 2006:6 2.6248 1.4485 1.1827 0.6991
2006:7 2006:7 2.5942 1.4458 1.1871 0.6893
2006:8 2006:8 2.5214 1.4361 1.1946 0.6953
2006:9 2006:9 2.5252 1.4238 1.191 0.6905
2006:10 2006:10 2.5668 1.4368 1.2015 0.6809
2006:11 2006:11 2.6023 1.4582 1.2072 0.6804
2006:12 2006:12 2.6489 1.4496 1.2164 0.6931
2007:1 2007:1 2.6705 1.48 1.2289 0.6881
2007:2 2007:2 2.6243 1.497 1.2165 0.6711
2007:3 2007:3 2.6363 1.4833 1.2111 0.6597
2007:4 2007:4 2.5726 1.4919 1.1983 0.6639
2007:5 2007:5 2.5225 1.4829 1.1897 0.6671
2007:6 2007:6 2.4986 1.4896 1.1682 0.6847
2007:7 2007:7 2.479 1.4954 1.1718 0.7122
2007:8 2007:8 2.5331 1.5119 1.1515 0.6952
2007:9 2007:9 2.5289 1.5389 1.1611 0.6975
2007:10 2007:10 2.5357 1.5381 1.1557 0.7143
2007:11 2007:11 2.538 1.5233 1.1399 0.7098
2007:12 2007:12 2.6049 1.5285 1.1114 0.6946
2008:1 2008:1 2.5883 1.4955 1.1109 0.6942
2008:2 2008:2 2.7334 1.5259 1.1324 0.7018
2008:3 2008:3 2.7367 1.5397 1.1457 0.6973
2008:4 2008:4 2.8259 1.5628 1.1903 0.6958
2008:5 2008:5 2.8868 1.5956 1.1652 0.6842
2008:6 2008:6 2.9448 1.5709 1.1694 0.6774
2008:7 2008:7 2.9913 1.5913 1.2048 0.6995
2008:8 2008:8 3.0374 1.6085 1.2387 0.7092
2008:9 2008:9 3.1539 1.6471 1.2695 0.7382
2008:10 2008:10 3.2319 1.6983 1.2989 0.7441
2008:11 2008:11 3.2781 1.7914 1.3338 0.7686
2008:12 2008:12 3.3485 1.8864 1.4269 0.8174
2009:1 2009:1 3.4841 1.9721 1.5028 0.8433
2009:2 2009:2 3.4586 2.0256 1.5416 0.8663
2009:3 2009:3 3.5655 2.068 1.5844 0.9026
2009:4 2009:4 3.5737 2.1049 1.5922 0.9312
2009:5 2009:5 3.626 2.1423 1.6721 0.9635
2009:6 2009:6 3.704 2.2236 1.7269 0.9977
2009:7 2009:7 3.7696 2.2653 1.7182 0.9939
2009:8 2009:8 3.7951 2.3064 1.7298 1.0339
2009:9 2009:9 3.8254 2.3413 1.7467 1.0274
2009:10 2009:10 3.8128 2.3205 1.7813 1.0343
2009:11 2009:11 3.9002 2.2971 1.8014 1.036
2009:12 2009:12 3.9036 2.263 1.7839 1.0093
2010:1 2010:1 3.8467 2.1969 1.7361 1.0131
2010:2 2010:2 3.8975 2.1703 1.7137 1.0056
2010:3 2010:3 3.9462 2.1203 1.6714 0.9978
2010:4 2010:4 3.9413 2.1048 1.6466 1.0043
2010:5 2010:5 3.9425 2.0708 1.5927 1.0007
2010:6 2010:6 3.9091 2.0645 1.5601 1.0092
2010:7 2010:7 3.9198 2.0714 1.5843 1.002
2010:8 2010:8 3.8898 2.0678 1.5941 0.9763
2010:9 2010:9 3.8141 2.0346 1.569 0.9644
2010:10 2010:10 3.9098 2.0481 1.5517 0.9741
2010:11 2010:11 3.8231 2.0425 1.5405 0.9722
Return to Figure 12a

Figure 12b: Gross Flow Rates (25+ Years Of Age): Employment-Inactivity transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 3.6956 2.4371 2.2224 1.6307
1977:1 3.6562 2.4095 2.2135 1.6054
1977:2 3.6239 2.4004 2.2136 1.6161
1977:3 3.6091 2.3811 2.2087 1.6168
1977:4 3.5842 2.3837 2.2273 1.6289
1977:5 3.6295 2.4152 2.2601 1.6257
1977:6 3.6495 2.3934 2.2133 1.5993
1977:7 3.6355 2.4083 2.2152 1.5769
1977:8 3.6293 2.3938 2.1938 1.6245
1977:9 3.6286 2.4053 2.2329 1.6242
1977:10 3.6266 2.3979 2.216 1.6537
1977:11 3.6275 2.3771 2.215 1.6631
1977:12 3.5564 2.3492 2.1882 1.6726
1978:1 3.6035 2.3632 2.2236 1.7315
1978:2 3.6538 2.3551 2.2701 1.7479
1978:3 3.6716 2.3283 2.2545 1.7078
1978:4 3.6528 2.3192 2.2602 1.7193
1978:5 3.6318 2.31 2.2706 1.7287
1978:6 3.6133 2.3273 2.2786 1.7609
1978:7 3.6808 2.3229 2.2851 1.782
1978:8 3.7076 2.3257 2.3181 1.7462
1978:9 3.7199 2.3286 2.2696 1.7546
1978:10 3.7581 2.3488 2.2896 1.7881
1978:11 3.7005 2.3575 2.2606 1.7686
1978:12 3.7428 2.3855 2.2937 1.7535
1979:1 3.7209 2.3843 2.2792 1.7187
1979:2 3.6927 2.3895 2.2714 1.7005
1979:3 3.7127 2.4164 2.2887 1.7108
1979:4 3.7444 2.4098 2.3034 1.6773
1979:5 3.7541 2.3988 2.2832 1.6888
1979:6 3.7676 2.3814 2.2575 1.6463
1979:7 3.7746 2.3686 2.2708 1.6912
1979:8 3.7982 2.3772 2.2313 1.6999
1979:9 3.7701 2.3811 2.2573 1.7059
1979:10 3.7739 2.3974 2.2471 1.6968
1979:11 3.8042 2.3895 2.2795 1.6675
1979:12 3.7791 2.3719 2.261 1.6996
1980:1 3.7978 2.3752 2.2475 1.7164
1980:2 3.8349 2.3737 2.2312 1.761
1980:3 3.8081 2.3595 2.1838 1.7569
1980:4 3.7674 2.4023 2.177 1.7754
1980:5 3.7635 2.3917 2.1626 1.7324
1980:6 3.7159 2.3698 2.1413 1.7648
1980:7 3.6497 2.3853 2.1221 1.6972
1980:8 3.5999 2.3779 2.1032 1.6866
1980:9 3.6297 2.37 2.1126 1.6934
1980:10 3.6042 2.3259 2.0714 1.6458
1980:11 3.6051 2.3564 2.0514 1.691
1980:12 3.6125 2.3585 2.0247 1.6444
1981:1 3.5942 2.3244 2.0212 1.6259
1981:2 3.5308 2.2989 2.0103 1.61
1981:3 3.5318 2.321 2.0444 1.6192
1981:4 3.5185 2.2582 2.0153 1.5947
1981:5 3.521 2.2585 1.9829 1.6063
1981:6 3.5465 2.2648 2.0252 1.6011
1981:7 3.5635 2.2278 1.9981 1.6148
1981:8 3.6259 2.2287 2.0327 1.6252
1981:9 3.611 2.2065 2.0258 1.6092
1981:10 3.6038 2.2157 2.0346 1.6219
1981:11 3.6143 2.2225 2.0189 1.6014
1981:12 3.6113 2.2032 2.0236 1.5959
1982:1 3.5751 2.2431 2.0145 1.6091
1982:2 3.6082 2.2515 2.0162 1.6071
1982:3 3.6295 2.2324 1.9924 1.6266
1982:4 3.5919 2.2354 2.0518 1.6299
1982:5 3.5824 2.2391 2.0293 1.5744
1982:6 3.5881 2.2392 2.0244 1.5908
1982:7 3.5853 2.2442 2.0448 1.6042
1982:8 3.5575 2.21 2.0441 1.5976
1982:9 3.575 2.2095 2.0389 1.6155
1982:10 3.5927 2.18 2.0257 1.629
1982:11 3.5593 2.1378 2.0647 1.6267
1982:12 3.5367 2.1452 2.071 1.6611
1983:1 3.5079 2.1337 2.0635 1.6469
1983:2 3.4909 2.1465 2.0493 1.6368
1983:3 3.5005 2.1498 2.0503 1.6096
1983:4 3.5958 2.1657 2.0075 1.6266
1983:5 3.6497 2.163 2.0357 1.6405
1983:6 3.6282 2.1286 2.0309 1.5781
1983:7 3.656 2.1228 2.0198 1.5359
1983:8 3.6342 2.1565 1.9645 1.5525
1983:9 3.6262 2.1751 1.9747 1.5492
1983:10 3.6 2.1923 1.9518 1.5508
1983:11 3.6301 2.2194 1.9332 1.5456
1983:12 3.6815 2.2422 1.9585 1.526
1984:1 3.7262 2.2448 1.9913 1.5323
1984:2 3.7601 2.2634 2.0076 1.534
1984:3 3.7412 2.2588 2.0163 1.524
1984:4 3.6935 2.2524 2.0055 1.5138
1984:5 3.7049 2.2866 2.0318 1.55
1984:6 3.7463 2.3226 2.0535 1.6075
1984:7 3.7438 2.3346 2.0975 1.6015
1984:8 3.7684 2.298 2.1732 1.5838
1984:9 3.7992 2.2776 2.1334 1.6036
1984:10 3.8462 2.3215 2.1605 1.6155
1984:11 3.8384 2.314 2.1466 1.6256
1984:12 3.8305 2.3031 2.1229 1.646
1985:1 3.9291 2.3038 2.1122 1.6639
1985:2 3.9211 2.2848 2.1227 1.6596
1985:3 3.9693 2.2923 2.136 1.6643
1985:4 4.0341 2.3277 2.1616 1.7094
1985:5 3.9816 2.306 2.1396 1.7148
1985:6 3.945 2.2761 2.1103 1.6346
1985:7 3.9659 2.2805 2.0707 1.6533
1985:8 3.964 2.2991 2.0175 1.6569
1985:9 3.954 2.3311 2.0444 1.6554
1985:10 3.9716 2.3072 2.0407 1.6572
1985:11 3.9328 2.2772 2.0202 1.6622
1985:12 3.9444 2.304 2.044 1.6622
1986:1 3.9309 2.2779 2.0404 1.658
1986:2 3.926 2.2867 2.0291 1.6486
1986:3 3.8542 2.2923 2.0087 1.6554
1986:4 3.8612 2.2794 1.9903 1.6135
1986:5 3.8406 2.221 1.9995 1.5339
1986:6 3.8727 2.2459 2.0057 1.5839
1986:7 3.91 2.2566 1.9894 1.603
1986:8 3.9313 2.2638 1.9842 1.6265
1986:9 3.9306 2.2401 1.9751 1.6104
1986:10 3.8806 2.2231 1.9669 1.5989
1986:11 3.8725 2.2515 1.9702 1.5909
1986:12 3.8627 2.2343 1.9307 1.5839
1987:1 3.7713 2.2317 1.9134 1.5829
1987:2 3.7323 2.2181 1.9272 1.5791
1987:3 3.7551 2.2178 1.9512 1.6199
1987:4 3.6568 2.1706 1.9432 1.6181
1987:5 3.6249 2.1831 1.9488 1.6176
1987:6 3.5968 2.1938 1.9589 1.6161
1987:7 3.5 2.1719 1.9758 1.5961
1987:8 3.428 2.1742 1.9779 1.5722
1987:9 3.4148 2.1683 1.9657 1.5498
1987:10 3.4375 2.1609 1.9804 1.5523
1987:11 3.4887 2.1587 1.9825 1.5624
1987:12 3.5151 2.1502 1.9936 1.5888
1988:1 3.5561 2.151 1.9937 1.5738
1988:2 3.6117 2.1384 1.9631 1.5711
1988:3 3.6056 2.1294 1.9305 1.5102
1988:4 3.6368 2.1592 1.9615 1.536
1988:5 3.6793 2.1792 1.9453 1.5518
1988:6 3.6836 2.1697 1.9262 1.5319
1988:7 3.6766 2.1629 1.9008 1.5204
1988:8 3.7455 2.1794 1.9213 1.53
1988:9 3.7486 2.2098 1.922 1.5273
1988:10 3.7665 2.2217 1.9231 1.502
1988:11 3.7807 2.2424 1.9352 1.5425
1988:12 3.6917 2.2405 1.9236 1.4984
1989:1 3.7161 2.2599 1.9415 1.5019
1989:2 3.7332 2.2698 1.9572 1.4989
1989:3 3.8 2.2663 1.9687 1.5028
1989:4 3.8316 2.2451 1.9237 1.458
1989:5 3.8665 2.2362 1.9349 1.461
1989:6 3.8734 2.2322 1.9592 1.4837
1989:7 3.899 2.2263 1.9756 1.487
1989:8 3.8811 2.2247 1.9639 1.4763
1989:9 3.9083 2.2153 1.9621 1.503
1989:10 3.8651 2.2129 1.969 1.5263
1989:11 3.8565 2.1532 1.9524 1.4838
1989:12 3.8854 2.15 1.9509 1.5154
1990:1 3.9106 2.1471 1.9455 1.5273
1990:2 3.9102 2.1672 1.9463 1.5448
1990:3 3.8414 2.179 1.9342 1.582
1990:4 3.8114 2.1748 1.9227 1.5866
1990:5 3.7756 2.1745 1.9173 1.582
1990:6 3.7895 2.1607 1.8835 1.588
1990:7 3.7907 2.1802 1.8905 1.5754
1990:8 3.7577 2.1548 1.8799 1.5574
1990:9 3.723 2.133 1.8905 1.5432
1990:10 3.7372 2.1503 1.8777 1.5185
1990:11 3.6946 2.1557 1.8718 1.5103
1990:12 3.7584 2.1729 1.8743 1.4916
1991:1 3.6705 2.1503 1.847 1.4756
1991:2 3.6473 2.1197 1.8422 1.4697
1991:3 3.6241 2.0817 1.8376 1.4351
1991:4 3.6707 2.1065 1.8644 1.4674
1991:5 3.6505 2.076 1.8189 1.4521
1991:6 3.5929 2.0832 1.8222 1.4262
1991:7 3.6037 2.0843 1.8193 1.4437
1991:8 3.5919 2.0688 1.7894 1.4393
1991:9 3.5733 2.0875 1.784 1.4353
1991:10 3.6062 2.0613 1.7753 1.4508
1991:11 3.5979 2.0729 1.7738 1.4419
1991:12 3.5437 2.0567 1.771 1.4245
1992:1 3.5738 2.0549 1.7801 1.3967
1992:2 3.5654 2.0673 1.7485 1.3983
1992:3 3.5954 2.0932 1.7487 1.419
1992:4 3.5746 2.0761 1.74 1.3964
1992:5 3.5371 2.0811 1.7463 1.4029
1992:6 3.5908 2.0826 1.7746 1.3957
1992:7 3.5966 2.0501 1.7567 1.3839
1992:8 3.6111 2.0392 1.7798 1.3944
1992:9 3.6396 2.0414 1.801 1.4017
1992:10 3.5998 2.0151 1.8084 1.3819
1992:11 3.6275 2.0254 1.8445 1.38
1992:12 3.6549 2.0103 1.8507 1.4065
1993:1 3.6542 2.037 1.8875 1.4386
1993:2 3.6675 2.0434 1.9116 1.4362
1993:3 3.7048 2.0577 1.9312 1.438
1993:4 3.7127 2.0544 1.9168 1.4327
1993:5 3.7529 2.0367 1.8933 1.4135
1993:6 3.7667 2.032 1.8817 1.4413
1993:7 3.8078 2.0251 1.8832 1.4435
1993:8 3.858 2.0623 1.8949 1.451
1993:9 3.7846 2.0448 1.894 1.4337
1993:10 3.799 2.0649 1.8978 1.4332
1993:11 3.8117 2.0522 1.8757 1.452
1993:12 3.7722 2.0352 1.8574 1.426
1994:1 3.8038 2.0513 1.8538 1.4293
1994:2 3.8598 2.0713 1.8719 1.4377
1994:3 3.8339 2.1016 1.8745 1.4081
1994:4 3.8456 2.1257 1.8771 1.4196
1994:5 3.8866 2.1693 1.9588 1.4522
1994:6 3.9221 2.1684 1.9449 1.4546
1994:7 3.9078 2.1971 1.9591 1.4934
1994:8 3.8996 2.2022 1.976 1.4945
1994:9 4.0081 2.2262 1.9654 1.5154
1994:10 4.013 2.2271 1.9571 1.5391
1994:11 4.132 2.2732 1.9506 1.5439
1994:12 4.1461 2.3076 1.9531 1.5618
1995:1 4.1684 2.297 1.9493 1.5625
1995:2 4.1461 2.2897 1.9334 1.5345
1995:3 4.1662 2.2763 1.9334 1.529
1995:4 4.1336 2.2743 1.9774 1.5318
1995:5 4.1169 2.2406 1.9257 1.473
1995:6 4.0622 2.2315 1.9249 1.4068
1995:7 4.0301 2.2363 1.912 1.3416
1995:8 4.0306 2.2381 1.8767 1.338
1995:9 4.0916 2.2195 1.8758 1.3405
1995:10 4.1689 2.2813 1.8837 1.3354
1995:11 4.0552 2.2186 1.8894 1.314
1995:12 4.0029 2.2255 1.9187 1.2569
1996:1 4.038 2.2116 1.8927 1.2466
1996:2 4.0064 2.2009 1.8597 1.3042
1996:3 3.8979 2.145 1.8491 1.3319
1996:4 3.9193 2.1506 1.8443 1.3427
1996:5 3.9875 2.1902 1.8449 1.3956
1996:6 4.065 2.1694 1.8635 1.492
1996:7 4.0393 2.1806 1.8819 1.5262
1996:8 4.0227 2.1382 1.8836 1.537
1996:9 3.92 2.1375 1.8516 1.5338
1996:10 3.8793 2.0997 1.8622 1.5274
1996:11 3.8351 2.0978 1.8517 1.5368
1996:12 3.8697 2.0827 1.8533 1.5596
1997:1 3.8372 2.0717 1.8605 1.5633
1997:2 3.7841 2.0848 1.8963 1.5411
1997:3 3.8561 2.0816 1.8919 1.5381
1997:4 3.8534 2.0864 1.8565 1.5404
1997:5 3.8417 2.0802 1.8577 1.55
1997:6 3.7895 2.0946 1.8496 1.4993
1997:7 3.7621 2.0821 1.8409 1.5032
1997:8 3.7093 2.1065 1.8363 1.4794
1997:9 3.7516 2.1095 1.8694 1.4623
1997:10 3.7433 2.141 1.8545 1.4627
1997:11 3.8044 2.1717 1.8911 1.4501
1997:12 3.822 2.1585 1.8874 1.4548
1998:1 3.8427 2.1748 1.8786 1.4608
1998:2 3.8897 2.1718 1.8634 1.461
1998:3 3.8638 2.2021 1.8731 1.4852
1998:4 3.8305 2.1887 1.8619 1.4639
1998:5 3.8093 2.2003 1.874 1.4802
1998:6 3.8469 2.2466 1.8832 1.541
1998:7 3.9025 2.2638 1.8997 1.5386
1998:8 3.9388 2.2679 1.8994 1.5423
1998:9 3.9446 2.2713 1.8866 1.5808
1998:10 3.9232 2.266 1.8955 1.6041
1998:11 3.9141 2.2699 1.8819 1.6386
1998:12 3.9075 2.2824 1.8783 1.6536
1999:1 3.9048 2.293 1.9019 1.6612
1999:2 3.9087 2.2926 1.9198 1.6758
1999:3 3.9539 2.3011 1.9301 1.6983
1999:4 4.0498 2.2926 1.9654 1.6989
1999:5 4.0391 2.3195 1.9607 1.6946
1999:6 4.0845 2.3232 1.97 1.6948
1999:7 4.1046 2.3181 1.9824 1.6829
1999:8 4.2052 2.3467 1.9897 1.7032
1999:9 4.2092 2.3451 1.9893 1.6818
1999:10 4.2621 2.3438 1.9789 1.6777
1999:11 4.2904 2.3351 1.9835 1.654
1999:12 4.2452 2.3101 2.0034 1.6401
2000:1 4.2304 2.308 1.9928 1.6342
2000:2 4.2649 2.337 1.9953 1.6307
2000:3 4.2562 2.3231 1.9612 1.5881
2000:4 4.221 2.3515 1.9465 1.6122
2000:5 4.1887 2.3336 1.9896 1.6178
2000:6 4.1042 2.3093 1.9826 1.5885
2000:7 4.0514 2.3126 1.9478 1.6103
2000:8 3.9633 2.3165 1.9599 1.6137
2000:9 3.9426 2.3543 1.9824 1.6274
2000:10 3.9658 2.3767 2.0352 1.6678
2000:11 3.9106 2.405 2.0157 1.693
2000:12 3.9929 2.4162 2.0406 1.6949
2001:1 4.0251 2.4503 2.0613 1.7099
2001:2 4.0247 2.4232 2.0415 1.72
2001:3 4.0503 2.4585 2.0757 1.7467
2001:4 4.1122 2.4692 2.0882 1.7568
2001:5 4.1755 2.4709 2.0835 1.7739
2001:6 4.1527 2.4844 2.0961 1.7825
2001:7 4.2432 2.5331 2.1537 1.8087
2001:8 4.3704 2.5501 2.1479 1.8076
2001:9 4.3721 2.5374 2.1606 1.8045
2001:10 4.3034 2.5206 2.1535 1.7987
2001:11 4.3322 2.4986 2.1824 1.7821
2001:12 4.2889 2.5014 2.1364 1.8092
2002:1 4.2311 2.4704 2.1148 1.7994
2002:2 4.2616 2.4931 2.1314 1.7964
2002:3 4.2354 2.4692 2.1113 1.7907
2002:4 4.2343 2.4748 2.1212 1.8046
2002:5 4.2286 2.4821 2.1035 1.8034
2002:6 4.1737 2.4564 2.0988 1.814
2002:7 4.0424 2.4251 2.0793 1.7774
2002:8 3.9257 2.3865 2.0635 1.7871
2002:9 4.007 2.3747 2.0434 1.8052
2002:10 4.076 2.3776 2.0524 1.7864
2002:11 4.0328 2.3534 2.0469 1.7866
2002:12 4.0412 2.3534 2.0336 1.7611
2003:1 4.0715 2.3575 2.0274 1.7558
2003:2 4.0026 2.3307 2.0424 1.7484
2003:3 3.941 2.3198 2.0368 1.7394
2003:4 3.8789 2.3007 2.0175 1.7108
2003:5 3.8604 2.2754 1.9975 1.6909
2003:6 3.9046 2.2851 1.9947 1.6774
2003:7 3.9309 2.2688 1.9779 1.7044
2003:8 3.8525 2.2723 2.0025 1.7183
2003:9 3.8535 2.2799 2.0339 1.7263
2003:10 3.8593 2.2679 2.0104 1.716
2003:11 3.8802 2.3033 2.0119 1.7365
2003:12 3.8729 2.2861 2.0518 1.7311
2004:1 3.8384 2.2806 2.0579 1.7393
2004:2 3.8262 2.2921 2.0413 1.7564
2004:3 3.8457 2.3374 2.0763 1.7786
2004:4 3.77 2.344 2.0794 1.7727
2004:5 3.7387 2.3254 2.0904 1.7647
2004:6 3.8008 2.3515 2.1012 1.7579
2004:7 3.831 2.3595 2.1018 1.73
2004:8 3.9409 2.3769 2.1064 1.7117
2004:9 3.9097 2.3961 2.0654 1.7123
2004:10 3.9137 2.4115 2.0383 1.7274
2004:11 3.9309 2.4135 2.0493 1.7342
2004:12 3.9277 2.4528 2.008 1.757
2005:1 4.0223 2.4405 2.0064 1.7473
2005:2 4.0591 2.4662 2.0171 1.7655
2005:3 4.0883 2.4371 1.9962 1.7558
2005:4 4.1135 2.4161 2.0127 1.7757
2005:5 4.1455 2.4468 2.0359 1.8328
2005:6 4.1329 2.4244 2.0262 1.8319
2005:7 4.1397 2.4176 2.0124 1.8318
2005:8 4.0936 2.4011 2.0027 1.8305
2005:9 4.0634 2.394 2.0148 1.8037
2005:10 3.9904 2.4056 2.0502 1.7968
2005:11 4.0185 2.4009 2.0418 1.7976
2005:12 3.9927 2.4023 2.045 1.8051
2006:1 3.8958 2.4177 2.0796 1.8254
2006:2 3.94 2.4034 2.0812 1.8095
2006:3 3.8935 2.4098 2.0835 1.8201
2006:4 3.9077 2.4147 2.1014 1.8077
2006:5 3.8942 2.4217 2.132 1.7944
2006:6 3.8841 2.4241 2.1267 1.7972
2006:7 3.8448 2.4532 2.141 1.8159
2006:8 3.8746 2.4837 2.1445 1.8097
2006:9 3.8277 2.4724 2.1504 1.8093
2006:10 3.7691 2.4512 2.1445 1.8036
2006:11 3.728 2.4674 2.1446 1.7828
2006:12 3.7167 2.4816 2.177 1.775
2007:1 3.8006 2.5319 2.1773 1.7697
2007:2 3.7995 2.5442 2.1496 1.7626
2007:3 3.883 2.5551 2.1522 1.7645
2007:4 3.8909 2.568 2.1294 1.7668
2007:5 3.9382 2.5631 2.0901 1.7525
2007:6 3.8771 2.5502 2.0972 1.7458
2007:7 3.9617 2.5566 2.1077 1.7384
2007:8 3.9184 2.546 2.1065 1.7347
2007:9 3.9456 2.5511 2.0815 1.7558
2007:10 3.9531 2.5462 2.0609 1.7569
2007:11 3.9238 2.524 2.0909 1.7496
2007:12 3.9528 2.5155 2.0761 1.7228
2008:1 3.9166 2.4901 2.0436 1.7009
2008:2 3.8765 2.4829 2.0568 1.6907
2008:3 3.7749 2.4607 2.0449 1.6583
2008:4 3.7599 2.4429 2.0398 1.6997
2008:5 3.7246 2.4211 2.0375 1.6828
2008:6 3.7074 2.4335 2.0359 1.7039
2008:7 3.6512 2.4012 2.036 1.7142
2008:8 3.6934 2.3985 2.0263 1.7217
2008:9 3.6531 2.3771 2.0602 1.6901
2008:10 3.7156 2.3827 2.0522 1.6904
2008:11 3.7661 2.3858 2.0183 1.6932
2008:12 3.7172 2.4084 2.0435 1.7225
2009:1 3.6861 2.3818 2.0306 1.7226
2009:2 3.705 2.3989 2.045 1.7235
2009:3 3.781 2.4127 2.0476 1.7512
2009:4 3.7733 2.4068 2.0469 1.6896
2009:5 3.7831 2.3961 2.0286 1.7
2009:6 3.8262 2.3982 2.0247 1.6988
2009:7 3.8015 2.4133 1.9901 1.6679
2009:8 3.7043 2.413 1.9946 1.6541
2009:9 3.7619 2.4323 1.9936 1.6491
2009:10 3.6954 2.415 1.991 1.6446
2009:11 3.6296 2.4506 2.0052 1.6577
2009:12 3.6875 2.3693 1.9643 1.6595
2010:1 3.7053 2.3466 1.9834 1.6765
2010:2 3.6834 2.3262 1.9726 1.6857
2010:3 3.6699 2.295 1.9484 1.6964
2010:4 3.7001 2.3073 1.9457 1.7215
2010:5 3.6169 2.3089 1.9623 1.699
2010:6 3.613 2.3159 1.9761 1.7138
2010:7 3.6347 2.2728 1.9881 1.7355
2010:8 3.6772 2.2747 1.9879 1.7419
2010:9 3.7334 2.2831 1.9882 1.7652
2010:10 3.7439 2.3142 2.0111 1.7707
2010:11 3.8014 2.266 1.9959 1.7629
Return to Figure 12b

Figure 12c: Gross Flow Rates (25+ Years Of Age): Unemployment-Employment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 24.873 24.4626 25.5626 25.753
1977:1 24.5847 24.7739 25.8233 27.0139
1977:2 25.3346 25.2768 25.3312 27.7737
1977:3 25.2496 25.899 25.7049 28.1975
1977:4 25.2225 26.2168 26.3496 28.3307
1977:5 25.5243 26.4817 26.9445 28.995
1977:6 25.5469 26.477 27.0474 29.6625
1977:7 25.8671 26.8449 26.7289 29.373
1977:8 26.4312 27.2376 27.0914 29.963
1977:9 26.0373 27.5168 27.1303 30.9786
1977:10 26.1603 27.5234 27.537 31.1267
1977:11 26.3003 27.7938 27.9985 31.4338
1977:12 26.9686 28.5381 28.6756 32.3985
1978:1 27.8156 29.099 29.9649 32.9323
1978:2 27.0905 29.1973 30.6514 32.8868
1978:3 27.4474 29.328 30.4859 33.6652
1978:4 28.0049 29.381 30.268 34.0831
1978:5 28.5215 29.9615 30.4668 34.8286
1978:6 28.4112 29.8083 30.0392 34.4778
1978:7 28.6462 29.5666 30.2984 35.3006
1978:8 29.3403 30.0787 31.0241 35.1909
1978:9 29.6944 30.8728 31.0867 34.6347
1978:10 30.2887 31.8788 32.1555 34.2485
1978:11 30.1895 31.4953 31.2532 33.2737
1978:12 29.4432 30.7836 30.4814 33.4782
1979:1 29.1637 30.9173 29.8727 33.9466
1979:2 29.4416 30.767 30.3382 33.7579
1979:3 28.6114 30.5254 31.0641 33.3782
1979:4 28.7213 31.485 31.7759 33.8225
1979:5 28.8511 31.8821 32.1552 33.799
1979:6 29.5444 32.3337 32.6148 34.3647
1979:7 29.2658 32.306 32.8919 34.0294
1979:8 28.8856 31.9398 32.8907 34.0973
1979:9 28.8582 31.8162 32.9188 34.0584
1979:10 28.734 31.541 32.1451 34.9833
1979:11 28.8805 31.497 32.4288 35.9098
1979:12 28.691 31.4568 32.2815 35.2401
1980:1 28.7847 31.4665 33.2424 34.4916
1980:2 28.5542 31.2263 32.9626 35.045
1980:3 28.719 30.9301 32.7373 35.3671
1980:4 28.2819 30.1814 33.4558 35.8191
1980:5 27.5681 29.4909 32.8109 35.3528
1980:6 26.8457 29.2692 32.8353 34.591
1980:7 27.2788 29.629 32.7349 35.4425
1980:8 26.9001 29.1832 32.0283 34.9445
1980:9 27.0765 28.9466 32.3066 35.3838
1980:10 26.7861 28.7181 32.1811 34.4289
1980:11 26.5433 28.7577 32.3959 34.0239
1980:12 26.7178 28.4492 32.3113 33.8191
1981:1 26.3756 27.5889 31.5 33.6982
1981:2 26.4 27.6263 31.2419 33.7146
1981:3 27.0132 28.3829 30.658 33.6432
1981:4 26.6081 28.2416 29.4671 32.9103
1981:5 26.5419 28.101 29.2823 32.0357
1981:6 26.7081 28.0076 29.4129 32.3852
1981:7 26.1048 27.5703 29.0788 31.6502
1981:8 25.5126 27.5182 28.8835 31.8105
1981:9 25.4422 27.1497 28.9633 31.6055
1981:10 25.3572 26.8505 28.8381 31.8085
1981:11 25.5083 26.5886 28.73 31.651
1981:12 25.41 26.6529 29.4312 31.5992
1982:1 25.6274 26.7707 28.4742 30.786
1982:2 25.7359 26.3859 28.0574 30.2281
1982:3 24.9822 25.4828 28.0087 30.0964
1982:4 24.9201 25.1487 27.9943 29.4993
1982:5 24.5051 24.6126 27.7614 29.6702
1982:6 24.2324 24.0245 26.9862 29.4359
1982:7 23.8876 23.8145 26.7804 29.7075
1982:8 23.4166 23.592 25.9575 29.0754
1982:9 22.6236 23.3262 24.9401 28.2827
1982:10 22.301 22.7506 24.4805 27.5112
1982:11 21.9899 22.4082 24.3786 27.5211
1982:12 21.489 22.1109 23.4449 27.3062
1983:1 20.8199 21.5045 23.5071 27.1188
1983:2 20.2195 21.3604 23.3456 26.7727
1983:3 19.9457 20.9919 23.3472 25.5798
1983:4 19.5545 20.7121 23.0221 25.7392
1983:5 19.106 20.6529 23.5503 25.8226
1983:6 19.0431 20.8186 23.3274 25.1248
1983:7 18.9307 20.8802 22.9495 25.176
1983:8 19.0552 20.6618 23.5357 25.8176
1983:9 19.0424 20.5291 24.0808 25.885
1983:10 19.3861 20.9269 24.4907 26.5713
1983:11 19.552 21.1686 24.4034 26.1153
1983:12 19.9848 21.351 24.9937 26.3565
1984:1 20.3006 21.8995 25.6732 27.2707
1984:2 20.471 22.3093 26.1915 28.0657
1984:3 20.4124 22.9664 25.8738 29.2809
1984:4 21.0491 23.4866 25.4422 29.7043
1984:5 21.9225 24.0868 25.9719 30.2963
1984:6 21.8656 24.4079 26.4439 30.7758
1984:7 22.4438 24.6023 27.3971 31.3035
1984:8 22.7354 24.26 27.7861 31.2443
1984:9 22.9847 24.6334 27.8112 31.7699
1984:10 22.9782 24.9498 28.0759 31.6227
1984:11 22.7202 25.0701 27.9828 31.3812
1984:12 22.4783 25.439 27.9775 31.5606
1985:1 22.9444 25.6767 28.3688 31.6064
1985:2 23.4702 25.9264 28.538 31.3113
1985:3 23.7528 26.0933 28.5289 30.4627
1985:4 23.9178 26.5562 29.5798 30.4727
1985:5 23.5873 26.1847 28.3225 30.6848
1985:6 23.8913 26.2142 28.4808 31.0729
1985:7 23.7804 26.2858 28.1162 30.8217
1985:8 23.944 26.8299 27.2866 31.996
1985:9 24.1684 26.7626 26.9192 31.6793
1985:10 24.1107 26.7788 27.1673 32.2363
1985:11 24.3844 26.6386 27.1274 33.2849
1985:12 24.9106 26.6061 28.1794 34.2365
1986:1 24.1848 26.5946 27.0933 33.4238
1986:2 23.7264 26.5729 26.7086 34.2061
1986:3 24.2564 26.2527 26.6221 34.5189
1986:4 23.9428 26.0156 26.5777 34.7752
1986:5 24.0427 26.1908 27.6372 34.1179
1986:6 23.8775 26.0187 27.1872 33.8487
1986:7 24.2321 26.2622 27.6934 33.0113
1986:8 23.8921 26.4517 28.2083 31.3927
1986:9 24.0256 26.6339 28.2053 32.0737
1986:10 24.3094 26.5879 27.7094 31.5712
1986:11 24.5504 26.9317 28.1939 32.5019
1986:12 24.4583 26.9668 27.4644 32.2452
1987:1 24.5155 26.8071 28.0372 32.6938
1987:2 24.6669 26.6186 28.3807 32.6217
1987:3 24.6405 27.2705 29.0483 33.5519
1987:4 25.0366 27.6612 28.5423 33.4772
1987:5 25.4063 27.8599 28.4354 33.3294
1987:6 25.9499 28.5113 29.1163 33.1173
1987:7 25.943 27.9993 29.0042 33.2529
1987:8 26.4973 28.0054 29.8114 33.6219
1987:9 26.6267 27.9873 30.7534 33.9666
1987:10 26.4021 28.2242 31.0101 34.1986
1987:11 26.4946 28.421 31.7693 33.8356
1987:12 26.5091 28.5512 31.8992 33.4515
1988:1 26.6051 29.0745 32.2645 33.5646
1988:2 26.6749 29.2434 32.4366 33.0093
1988:3 26.9003 29.3842 32.9446 32.8088
1988:4 26.6801 29.0063 33.8447 33.9073
1988:5 26.42 29.0673 34.6448 34.6684
1988:6 26.4822 28.8701 34.5706 34.9562
1988:7 26.07 29.4888 34.9261 35.0061
1988:8 26.4703 29.8871 35.1587 35.3153
1988:9 26.6005 30.2945 34.7636 34.996
1988:10 26.6923 30.304 34.3633 35.2133
1988:11 26.4582 30.6805 33.7482 34.6149
1988:12 25.9563 30.5984 34.3538 35.4594
1989:1 26.9101 30.7516 34.8363 35.8703
1989:2 27.4703 31.254 35.1337 36.0606
1989:3 27.365 30.9534 35.0733 35.9018
1989:4 27.8086 31.2099 35.0063 35.4767
1989:5 27.9048 31.9028 34.664 35.8942
1989:6 27.9209 31.7495 34.6248 36.2605
1989:7 28.3719 31.5602 34.7637 36.0531
1989:8 28.7754 32.0836 34.5548 35.9691
1989:9 28.7102 32.0203 34.567 35.914
1989:10 29.0082 32.7494 35.865 36.4534
1989:11 29.4293 32.3837 35.6614 36.3764
1989:12 30.029 32.4433 35.2647 35.2537
1990:1 29.5899 33.0269 35.3238 35.2155
1990:2 29.0228 32.5697 35.4866 35.0547
1990:3 28.9721 32.4243 34.7033 34.6307
1990:4 28.4565 32.589 33.9216 33.7723
1990:5 29.2497 32.5077 34.4325 32.4035
1990:6 28.7909 32.5732 33.9122 31.7571
1990:7 29.0706 33.0815 33.7215 33.2669
1990:8 27.8665 32.089 32.276 32.9352
1990:9 27.7411 32.2386 32.2336 32.2047
1990:10 27.7109 31.6242 31.609 31.3058
1990:11 27.4406 31.2765 31.5879 30.5967
1990:12 27.0153 30.7856 31.2157 30.8383
1991:1 26.4699 29.8445 30.5982 30.8907
1991:2 26.3106 29.8675 29.6435 31.0226
1991:3 26.3323 29.8381 29.9216 30.7931
1991:4 26.3959 29.6297 30.7309 30.3238
1991:5 25.6028 28.5671 29.7496 30.2534
1991:6 25.1927 28.273 30.0725 29.6357
1991:7 24.639 27.5847 30.1521 28.8223
1991:8 24.8412 27.3935 31.0839 28.7592
1991:9 24.7589 26.8868 30.7516 29.3785
1991:10 24.5019 26.921 30.0321 29.4468
1991:11 24.478 26.7794 29.2246 29.3622
1991:12 25.233 26.9529 28.8846 29.4493
1992:1 25.0652 26.3692 27.809 27.9505
1992:2 24.7028 25.7092 27.6066 27.2651
1992:3 24.1716 25.3469 27.2011 27.5543
1992:4 24.0497 24.7429 26.1713 27.4717
1992:5 23.5356 24.5551 25.6648 27.4257
1992:6 23.937 24.3799 25.5287 28.0454
1992:7 23.3429 23.8336 24.5687 27.6291
1992:8 22.8106 23.4198 23.9157 26.6854
1992:9 22.6941 23.344 23.6815 26.2288
1992:10 22.324 22.9392 23.7968 25.8237
1992:11 22.0671 23.1759 24.1871 26.3009
1992:12 21.5192 22.7313 24.3253 26.0448
1993:1 21.1577 22.8823 24.498 26.6429
1993:2 21.2058 23.0426 24.7611 26.7522
1993:3 21.4271 23.2062 24.8898 26.401
1993:4 21.5335 23.0904 25.0996 26.2181
1993:5 21.225 23.2152 24.9762 26.049
1993:6 21.6417 23.4643 25.4225 26.2706
1993:7 22.6427 23.9353 25.1862 26.036
1993:8 23.1174 23.7936 25.4809 26.3876
1993:9 23.014 23.5794 25.5701 26.0601
1993:10 23.0486 23.4637 25.3791 26.5893
1993:11 22.8706 23.5094 25.8481 26.7539
1993:12 23.2188 24.2983 26.1629 26.7823
1994:1 23.6097 24.9697 26.6027 26.9209
1994:2 23.924 25.4417 26.7404 27.004
1994:3 24.2197 25.7764 27.0352 27.9778
1994:4 24.4831 26.6591 27.1588 29.1369
1994:5 25.0883 27.2436 27.9469 29.4715
1994:6 24.8495 27.3808 27.9822 29.026
1994:7 24.3163 27.5916 29.1233 29.3982
1994:8 24.532 28.7055 29.969 30.4888
1994:9 25.2267 28.8395 30.3087 30.9391
1994:10 25.8353 29.1128 30.7821 31.4506
1994:11 26.8149 29.4566 31.0844 32.2665
1994:12 26.0673 29.0646 30.9998 32.0754
1995:1 26.905 29.2374 31.8985 33.0026
1995:2 27.0852 29.6438 32.1017 33.6721
1995:3 27.054 29.501 32.0562 33.0838
1995:4 26.9609 29.4865 32.1842 32.928
1995:5 27.2688 29.5164 32.2976 33.8841
1995:6 27.3506 29.712 32.4035 34.6236
1995:7 27.3268 29.6692 32.1757 35.1852
1995:8 26.7825 29.082 31.1137 33.7296
1995:9 26.6493 29.6987 31.3672 34.0999
1995:10 26.5157 30.062 31.924 33.6338
1995:11 25.6139 29.4567 31.7035 32.3237
1995:12 26.8615 29.2245 30.7912 31.6445
1996:1 26.3718 29.5814 30.2556 31.2844
1996:2 26.752 28.5543 30.6066 31.7551
1996:3 26.4537 28.0896 30.4332 31.7102
1996:4 27.275 28.4675 31.0152 31.9033
1996:5 26.8092 28.5312 30.1984 31.5883
1996:6 26.7502 28.4871 30.1656 31.3198
1996:7 27.7852 29.7481 31.0582 31.6076
1996:8 27.8391 30.3627 32.0813 32.3478
1996:9 28.4282 30.4215 32.0684 32.9738
1996:10 29.0208 30.7532 31.5413 33.2062
1996:11 29.1105 31.212 31.2376 33.5329
1996:12 28.6887 31.6096 32.0096 34.8401
1997:1 28.8066 31.2773 31.7558 34.6824
1997:2 28.4721 31.9304 32.1126 34.1176
1997:3 28.9808 32.3439 32.3443 34.4784
1997:4 29.1658 32.8083 33.0427 34.5107
1997:5 29.9327 32.8436 33.7172 34.7776
1997:6 29.8309 33.006 34.8003 35.4013
1997:7 29.7379 32.4829 34.285 35.2367
1997:8 29.4038 32.7583 33.5767 35.2738
1997:9 29.3848 33.0849 34.5793 35.5332
1997:10 28.7896 33.0311 35.0541 35.4123
1997:11 29.6349 33.4024 35.6341 35.7162
1997:12 29.5268 33.6551 35.5888 34.3941
1998:1 29.4705 34.0518 36.2187 34.1522
1998:2 30.043 33.788 36.0962 34.9633
1998:3 30.9967 34.4679 37.0394 36.0945
1998:4 30.8595 33.9275 36.0572 36.3045
1998:5 30.6725 33.9728 36.3802 36.5664
1998:6 31.5424 34.6754 36.1456 36.8938
1998:7 31.5077 35.1573 36.5035 37.6728
1998:8 32.7111 35.3893 37.061 37.7859
1998:9 32.4959 35.5579 36.8576 37.5708
1998:10 32.965 35.2142 37.9961 37.5245
1998:11 32.4426 35.2186 37.7741 37.5337
1998:12 32.7718 35.4689 37.675 37.5828
1999:1 32.3139 35.7729 37.9436 37.6264
1999:2 32.6998 36.524 38.4287 36.809
1999:3 32.5447 36.3264 38.0497 35.5725
1999:4 32.5473 36.7806 38.3541 35.3556
1999:5 32.2378 37.4218 38.6009 34.9924
1999:6 32.0485 37.0227 38.8469 34.792
1999:7 32.6568 36.4243 38.3693 35.231
1999:8 32.8864 36.5945 38.9942 36.6671
1999:9 32.431 36.0913 38.2383 36.7311
1999:10 32.9408 36.8684 37.5933 36.1446
1999:11 33.3907 36.3361 38.1903 35.9141
1999:12 34.18 36.0657 40.1303 36.8483
2000:1 34.9233 35.3949 39.8303 37.7432
2000:2 35.2952 35.7787 39.7387 38.5938
2000:3 34.8563 35.6576 39.759 38.2864
2000:4 34.3615 35.2982 40.0814 38.316
2000:5 34.7093 35.0036 39.878 40.1527
2000:6 35.0422 34.5396 39.6898 40.088
2000:7 34.8896 34.4976 40.4751 39.7501
2000:8 35.3042 35.0326 40.5845 38.7382
2000:9 36.1463 35.4234 41.1616 38.4142
2000:10 35.7573 35.5127 41.3547 39.0896
2000:11 35.7322 35.6623 40.7599 39.4362
2000:12 34.7677 35.2713 39.3506 39.6667
2001:1 34.5171 35.7198 39.3113 39.9414
2001:2 33.8298 35.1699 38.7461 39.502
2001:3 33.493 35.2312 38.7117 39.8439
2001:4 34.2082 35.8684 38.9029 39.4883
2001:5 35.208 36.6561 39.2225 37.4141
2001:6 34.9709 36.4294 39.2993 36.8466
2001:7 35.2762 36.6843 39.2519 37.1574
2001:8 34.6439 35.3055 37.9928 36.7964
2001:9 34.4242 34.9286 37.0574 36.4153
2001:10 34.1331 34.0538 37.0376 36.3933
2001:11 33.7548 33.8107 37.034 35.5974
2001:12 33.6843 33.4654 36.014 34.4598
2002:1 34.1449 33.1479 36.068 33.7846
2002:2 33.7532 32.4629 35.622 33.1686
2002:3 33.6524 31.5455 34.4221 32.8651
2002:4 33.0102 30.6467 32.8375 32.4847
2002:5 31.5338 28.8185 31.0718 31.927
2002:6 30.6586 28.8561 29.4631 31.703
2002:7 29.2974 28.4558 28.8714 31.1028
2002:8 28.7953 27.9613 28.6867 30.8225
2002:9 28.0006 27.6355 28.1414 29.7887
2002:10 27.9472 27.2556 27.2408 29.4556
2002:11 27.3798 27.1659 26.4605 28.9716
2002:12 27.2919 27.0933 26.3501 28.6514
2003:1 26.6878 26.153 25.2717 27.1975
2003:2 26.8911 26.1997 24.7596 26.5389
2003:3 27.0527 26.2202 24.9335 25.9541
2003:4 26.9032 26.0153 25.3741 26.074
2003:5 27.0059 26.1478 25.5309 26.0775
2003:6 27.005 26.0147 25.6764 25.8283
2003:7 27.1434 26.2432 25.6929 24.9043
2003:8 27.1941 26.5207 25.1039 24.4744
2003:9 27.4299 26.4815 25.6409 24.5969
2003:10 27.4832 26.5195 25.269 24.1047
2003:11 28.1536 26.4917 25.816 24.2399
2003:12 28.5383 26.4765 25.7574 24.3203
2004:1 28.718 26.5217 25.6062 24.5729
2004:2 28.6184 26.2831 25.4513 25.049
2004:3 28.0768 26.661 26.0404 25.3757
2004:4 27.7109 26.516 26.1281 24.9362
2004:5 27.6154 26.848 26.8149 24.8559
2004:6 27.848 27.4407 27.2709 25.6218
2004:7 27.9851 26.7382 26.6922 26.0751
2004:8 27.3293 27.586 27.6707 26.7874
2004:9 26.5119 28.1095 27.9667 27.5877
2004:10 26.2775 28.3939 28.2919 27.8632
2004:11 26.1698 28.744 27.7772 28.5668
2004:12 26.3322 28.9 28.1173 28.7791
2005:1 26.4168 29.4273 28.8837 28.8427
2005:2 26.1428 29.4966 30.0518 28.8414
2005:3 26.7415 29.9812 30.1489 29.2818
2005:4 27.5491 29.6104 30.3484 29.7749
2005:5 27.1758 29.7943 30.4408 30.9247
2005:6 26.737 29.6188 30.1836 30.1853
2005:7 26.4905 30.2043 30.9336 30.608
2005:8 26.7507 30.0257 31.0758 30.1549
2005:9 27.277 29.8736 30.9465 29.9914
2005:10 27.2743 30.0368 31.1623 30.0451
2005:11 27.04 29.7225 31.1853 30.0988
2005:12 26.625 30.4455 30.8663 30.8184
2006:1 27.1554 30.2124 31.0743 31.3305
2006:2 27.5618 30.4265 30.3166 31.6235
2006:3 27.3325 30.1111 30.0845 31.9459
2006:4 26.9995 30.825 30.4441 32.134
2006:5 28.0977 31.0473 30.997 31.8487
2006:6 28.2743 31.2324 31.566 32.0953
2006:7 28.5041 30.9944 31.5955 32.1341
2006:8 29.2392 30.9926 32.1399 33.14
2006:9 30.1411 30.6248 32.6141 32.9154
2006:10 30.3941 30.6021 32.6806 33.5867
2006:11 31.1464 31.2352 33.259 33.4099
2006:12 32.2308 30.7648 32.9449 32.9048
2007:1 31.555 31.3809 32.9251 33.7739
2007:2 31.6514 32.3016 33.5564 33.9043
2007:3 31.9759 32.1482 33.3715 33.6721
2007:4 31.7995 32.1468 33.2926 33.8013
2007:5 31.2813 31.8353 32.9611 33.8401
2007:6 31.8657 31.4505 32.5979 33.7112
2007:7 32.1435 31.7119 31.8191 34.2082
2007:8 31.9357 31.1861 30.5853 33.2681
2007:9 31.6709 31.214 29.6397 33.752
2007:10 31.3588 31.2898 29.4256 32.9667
2007:11 31.4211 31.1551 28.852 32.9493
2007:12 30.7375 31.165 29.4267 32.6756
2008:1 31.6953 30.9538 29.0098 32.0584
2008:2 31.9721 30.1607 28.807 31.8178
2008:3 32.3174 30.1029 28.5072 31.9779
2008:4 32.6563 29.8777 28.0722 31.8478
2008:5 32.5157 29.6845 27.1485 31.4135
2008:6 32.8097 29.6686 26.345 31.1821
2008:7 32.5588 29.0635 26.4487 29.809
2008:8 31.8745 28.6938 26.3182 29.639
2008:9 31.8996 28.3732 26.3603 28.9675
2008:10 31.8583 27.6243 25.9332 28.3396
2008:11 30.521 26.6926 25.9583 27.5879
2008:12 30.0539 25.9891 25.2145 27.0701
2009:1 28.6631 24.8804 24.2689 25.8312
2009:2 27.7221 24.1182 23.1802 25.1083
2009:3 26.3598 23.743 23.0142 24.1238
2009:4 24.9959 22.5183 22.175 22.9123
2009:5 24.6432 21.701 21.7238 22.2313
2009:6 23.2418 21.1483 21.5536 21.9682
2009:7 22.2061 20.5059 20.6091 21.567
2009:8 22.172 19.648 19.4993 20.757
2009:9 21.0005 19.026 18.7618 20.2963
2009:10 20.5296 18.8804 18.1339 20.0888
2009:11 20.7938 18.4841 17.4684 19.9765
2009:12 20.3621 18.1411 17.2919 19.6302
2010:1 20.2946 17.8361 17.1639 19.535
2010:2 20.6686 17.6846 17.0399 19.4233
2010:3 20.9332 17.1702 16.7947 19.7107
2010:4 21.1853 17.0783 16.6461 20.1097
2010:5 21.0917 16.8277 16.2838 19.999
2010:6 21.7793 16.7994 16.299 19.8403
2010:7 21.656 16.6319 16.2439 19.5267
2010:8 21.1972 16.6144 16.3784 19.6661
2010:9 21.0207 16.6537 16.3144 19.2587
2010:10 21.0344 16.5292 16.4087 19.1939
2010:11 21.2056 16.7936 16.6724 19.2182
Return to Figure 12c

Figure 12d: Gross Flow Rates (25+ Years Of Age): Unemployment-Inactivity transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 21.5292 19.7358 19.7988 16.2026
1977:1 21.6119 19.8241 20.0704 15.4943
1977:2 21.3263 19.5632 20.3107 15.737
1977:3 21.3706 19.7348 20.2305 16.4556
1977:4 21.5376 19.8515 19.9707 16.4508
1977:5 21.8563 20.3908 20.2483 16.4459
1977:6 22.4806 20.8458 19.7393 16.1028
1977:7 22.8827 20.9153 19.6665 16.4058
1977:8 22.7983 20.8346 19.2044 16.6193
1977:9 23.3074 20.6331 18.6197 17.0326
1977:10 23.5277 20.8604 18.6568 17.2278
1977:11 24.2984 20.7961 19.0813 17.1308
1977:12 24.4487 20.8996 19.3243 17.6092
1978:1 24.7193 21.1843 19.4142 18.1783
1978:2 24.8977 21.4375 19.2758 18.1134
1978:3 25.0979 21.3611 19.6511 17.7591
1978:4 24.7915 20.9848 20.3025 18.4198
1978:5 24.9783 20.8433 20.322 18.4227
1978:6 25.3847 20.989 20.0257 18.4872
1978:7 25.4256 21.3871 20.5858 18.0821
1978:8 25.5991 21.5489 21.1745 17.6122
1978:9 25.7664 21.548 21.2271 17.4135
1978:10 26.0413 21.621 20.8027 17.5612
1978:11 25.6175 21.7966 20.8481 17.7084
1978:12 25.8744 21.9532 21.1194 17.1599
1979:1 26.2681 21.6678 21.1396 17.5416
1979:2 26.3453 21.6091 21.3531 18.1174
1979:3 26.2668 21.9682 21.0749 18.0855
1979:4 26.3589 22.3905 20.2395 18.0187
1979:5 26.4663 22.4337 20.3406 18.0842
1979:6 26.0624 21.9698 21.0168 18.2285
1979:7 26.0526 22.0101 21.0251 18.3362
1979:8 25.5968 21.7254 21.1499 18.8746
1979:9 25.3029 21.3301 20.9413 18.3877
1979:10 25.1022 21.1657 21.1576 18.9001
1979:11 25.0792 20.9931 21.0193 19.1625
1979:12 24.9993 20.9106 21.1151 19.8374
1980:1 24.8955 21.1823 21.0296 19.405
1980:2 24.7431 21.1976 20.6845 19.7025
1980:3 24.2915 20.6536 20.6846 19.8728
1980:4 23.8446 20.4517 20.5459 20.0645
1980:5 23.2378 20.0495 20.2332 20.0631
1980:6 23.1233 19.6997 19.3086 20.0443
1980:7 22.603 19.0718 18.8021 19.6262
1980:8 22.6611 18.7933 18.7744 19.6529
1980:9 22.252 18.7173 18.5528 19.4329
1980:10 21.8448 18.0946 18.5311 19.1936
1980:11 21.5992 17.8664 18.5438 19.3413
1980:12 21.0904 17.2633 17.9519 18.8996
1981:1 20.7698 17.2902 17.5253 19.2616
1981:2 20.856 17.0459 17.4066 18.3721
1981:3 20.9179 17.1417 17.415 17.6486
1981:4 21.0368 16.6755 17.5704 16.5509
1981:5 21.1297 16.8136 17.6853 16.5519
1981:6 21.4516 17.0371 17.9587 16.2783
1981:7 21.3967 17.1537 18.0635 16.1063
1981:8 21.6363 17.5786 17.7665 15.8908
1981:9 21.5678 17.9962 17.8367 16.3807
1981:10 21.635 18.0998 17.8523 15.9373
1981:11 21.5467 18.1913 17.6854 14.7491
1981:12 21.5338 18.3453 17.2885 14.7636
1982:1 21.3145 18.058 17.3893 14.0492
1982:2 21.1807 17.8922 17.2942 13.7951
1982:3 21.3222 17.6529 16.9772 13.767
1982:4 21.0852 17.5043 16.8832 14.1783
1982:5 20.9594 16.8798 16.241 14.0682
1982:6 19.8436 16.5915 16.1439 14.3597
1982:7 19.7466 16.2786 15.921 14.2905
1982:8 19.2624 15.8023 15.4353 13.9251
1982:9 19.0105 15.0823 15.2208 13.6098
1982:10 18.6436 14.6862 14.8582 13.4942
1982:11 18.3872 14.3289 14.4865 13.9884
1982:12 18.1691 13.9828 14.3627 13.5915
1983:1 18.2409 13.7703 14.1652 13.7314
1983:2 17.8577 13.774 14.1116 13.6655
1983:3 17.5926 13.5613 14.1422 13.7252
1983:4 17.5364 13.4064 13.9038 13.4616
1983:5 17.799 13.7872 13.8644 13.4637
1983:6 18.3943 13.8574 14.0637 13.5164
1983:7 18.5981 13.9991 13.886 13.5353
1983:8 18.5252 14.1642 14.256 13.4265
1983:9 18.8267 14.4555 14.4064 13.4497
1983:10 19.1282 14.8932 14.4762 13.2828
1983:11 19.2954 15.2193 14.4638 12.991
1983:12 19.552 15.7174 14.9533 13.0631
1984:1 19.8287 16.1452 15.0897 12.847
1984:2 20.4709 16.278 15.3475 12.996
1984:3 20.7998 16.4609 15.4705 13.0899
1984:4 21.1542 16.9936 15.6898 12.7729
1984:5 21.1964 17.216 15.9887 12.7448
1984:6 20.8633 17.3853 15.9523 12.4465
1984:7 20.9546 17.7293 16.6247 12.4598
1984:8 21.2633 18.0049 16.9987 13.0805
1984:9 21.3583 18.3522 17.5358 13.1166
1984:10 21.8011 18.5799 17.7641 13.679
1984:11 22.145 18.7632 18.3081 13.9834
1984:12 22.2401 18.7991 18.1301 14.5061
1985:1 21.9724 18.5812 18.1336 15.3166
1985:2 21.7299 18.5097 18.2176 15.5094
1985:3 21.9397 18.6271 18.6163 15.6301
1985:4 21.6097 18.6166 19.0009 16.1577
1985:5 21.6008 18.5113 19.1851 15.9434
1985:6 21.7418 18.5119 19.4014 16.0672
1985:7 21.9606 18.6031 19.0184 16.05
1985:8 22.0697 18.6395 18.7796 15.3467
1985:9 21.9718 18.4062 18.4726 15.4499
1985:10 22.1625 18.4596 18.775 15.3766
1985:11 22.271 18.3862 18.3383 15.7049
1985:12 22.4487 18.5333 18.6545 16.4341
1986:1 22.936 18.6705 18.393 16.0677
1986:2 22.9251 18.8299 18.488 15.7263
1986:3 22.7898 19.137 18.653 15.8996
1986:4 23.1438 18.9742 18.5022 15.7365
1986:5 22.9056 18.9244 18.2607 15.5389
1986:6 23.126 18.8805 18.4701 15.48
1986:7 22.7608 18.717 18.7711 15.7332
1986:8 22.8286 18.7058 18.747 16.2761
1986:9 22.8617 18.8697 18.8825 16.0276
1986:10 22.5359 18.665 18.8248 15.8059
1986:11 22.3256 18.3337 19.2229 15.1271
1986:12 21.7249 18.1288 19.1423 14.3908
1987:1 21.5736 18.3549 19.5649 13.9691
1987:2 21.6587 18.5837 19.7226 14.02
1987:3 21.6981 18.7482 19.2968 14.2835
1987:4 21.4822 18.7345 19.4376 14.1193
1987:5 21.9462 18.9947 19.4538 14.3856
1987:6 21.8686 19.056 18.9079 14.4958
1987:7 22.2356 18.9437 18.6137 14.1807
1987:8 22.3617 19.1559 18.6824 13.958
1987:9 22.4569 19.0729 18.4333 14.2458
1987:10 22.4026 18.9693 18.4448 14.158
1987:11 22.7291 19.3555 18.1913 14.4383
1987:12 23.1574 19.6554 18.6777 13.9277
1988:1 23.0072 19.484 18.3499 14.2319
1988:2 23.1588 19.4694 18.2256 14.4026
1988:3 23.1777 19.1747 17.8276 14.0187
1988:4 23.3005 19.4468 17.8914 13.8704
1988:5 23.2228 19.671 17.5939 14.0277
1988:6 23.2447 19.5657 17.5755 13.7038
1988:7 23.3127 19.5929 17.0489 13.6779
1988:8 23.4495 19.6001 16.6003 13.9256
1988:9 24.0784 19.8168 16.7931 14.4798
1988:10 23.9728 19.8611 16.4833 14.177
1988:11 23.7816 19.6815 16.7734 14.3203
1988:12 24.0616 19.4691 16.2422 14.8954
1989:1 24.3346 19.5439 16.3835 14.7932
1989:2 24.6147 19.3583 16.4725 15.0674
1989:3 24.6508 19.1898 16.5956 14.8317
1989:4 25.1812 19.3968 16.1326 15.2382
1989:5 25.4573 19.0676 16.7802 15.3572
1989:6 25.5103 19.1127 17.4184 15.7151
1989:7 25.6234 19.1009 17.954 16.0025
1989:8 25.3933 18.8161 18.4542 15.6506
1989:9 25.0672 18.6641 17.9702 15.2746
1989:10 25.2821 18.966 18.5207 15.7682
1989:11 25.1849 19.0073 18.4927 15.6461
1989:12 25.576 19.0215 18.7238 16.3433
1990:1 25.792 18.6301 18.8279 16.6865
1990:2 25.6956 18.947 18.3102 16.979
1990:3 25.7282 19.2405 18.5326 17.2522
1990:4 25.3513 18.688 18.497 17.0365
1990:5 24.983 18.675 18.0147 16.5477
1990:6 24.6746 18.7399 18.0994 16.8962
1990:7 24.4317 18.6716 18.1913 16.9865
1990:8 24.43 18.6788 17.9473 16.9906
1990:9 24.0157 18.4455 18.2138 16.4974
1990:10 23.8742 18.5513 17.8468 16.4456
1990:11 24.0661 18.227 17.568 16.5961
1990:12 23.4649 18.4325 17.3525 15.6036
1991:1 22.7876 18.6507 17.1662 15.143
1991:2 22.4159 18.2046 17.1632 14.406
1991:3 22.0044 17.8282 16.8864 14.1822
1991:4 21.8667 17.9295 16.988 14.2654
1991:5 21.6483 17.7642 17.0109 14.2681
1991:6 21.7415 17.5667 16.4609 13.758
1991:7 21.5164 17.619 16.0152 13.575
1991:8 21.4282 17.553 15.9457 13.799
1991:9 21.6551 17.4034 16.1184 13.7859
1991:10 21.2909 16.9773 15.7956 13.8209
1991:11 20.9304 16.9917 15.7918 13.6478
1991:12 20.4365 16.5927 15.5022 13.4148
1992:1 20.5346 16.3413 15.5012 13.1535
1992:2 20.2976 16.3838 15.2947 13.0761
1992:3 20.6863 16.2891 15.3179 12.9603
1992:4 20.8096 16.069 15.3149 12.8307
1992:5 20.6881 15.7986 15.2417 12.5698
1992:6 20.9152 15.6875 15.1627 12.3258
1992:7 20.8855 15.5647 15.373 11.9711
1992:8 20.9403 15.6382 15.3165 11.8164
1992:9 20.8502 15.7007 14.7487 11.9749
1992:10 20.9889 15.7601 14.6192 11.5627
1992:11 21.1213 16.1046 14.4967 11.3869
1992:12 21.4265 15.917 14.5346 11.5642
1993:1 21.7459 16.4503 14.6714 11.9482
1993:2 21.846 16.5322 14.991 11.7452
1993:3 21.8485 16.7106 15.084 11.8004
1993:4 21.567 16.8414 14.8567 11.7588
1993:5 21.6017 16.8901 14.7795 11.8376
1993:6 21.3197 17.0324 14.7403 11.9816
1993:7 21.447 17.0939 14.5263 12.0982
1993:8 21.6189 17.3599 14.5938 12.0051
1993:9 21.5839 17.5029 14.6436 11.8724
1993:10 21.5165 17.6925 15.3031 11.8289
1993:11 21.5332 17.5862 15.3007 11.9019
1993:12 21.5483 17.8023 15.3769 11.9391
1994:1 21.7956 17.6534 15.4063 12.2858
1994:2 22.53 17.5952 15.8011 13.1493
1994:3 22.791 18.1475 16.0528 13.644
1994:4 23.5816 18.9467 16.7713 14.0696
1994:5 24.8859 20.1752 17.8671 15.1948
1994:6 25.5995 21.3563 18.6119 15.9372
1994:7 26.8192 22.2275 19.1108 16.479
1994:8 27.1054 22.5724 19.0391 16.8018
1994:9 27.173 23.2024 19.9021 17.2207
1994:10 27.8827 23.5467 20.0617 17.9317
1994:11 28.4729 24.504 20.6175 18.6694
1994:12 28.598 24.2435 21.2697 18.5629
1995:1 28.7172 24.578 21.7462 18.6594
1995:2 28.5453 24.8482 21.7333 18.4576
1995:3 28.4812 24.6808 21.9919 18.2276
1995:4 28.8418 24.5621 22.2786 18.6006
1995:5 28.4778 24.1876 21.9247 18.1434
1995:6 28.3351 23.583 21.853 17.7927
1995:7 27.6137 23.3257 22.1716 17.8892
1995:8 27.5228 23.0808 23.1555 18.3241
1995:9 28.0415 23.3071 23.2108 18.3882
1995:10 28.764 23.2996 22.6895 18.1586
1995:11 29.6873 23.0542 22.3096 17.6093
1995:12 28.8129 23.3346 21.5073 17.6254
1996:1 28.3664 23.7322 21.5506 18.0807
1996:2 28.1683 24.1667 21.5727 18.5423
1996:3 28.6637 24.5365 21.5835 18.9221
1996:4 27.8069 24.3693 21.0643 19.3857
1996:5 28.5933 24.2121 21.8643 20.0385
1996:6 28.4007 23.9779 22.3142 20.2354
1996:7 27.4754 23.7429 22.2776 20.1415
1996:8 27.8263 23.6756 22.2021 20.2505
1996:9 27.4992 23.2417 22.0941 20.1216
1996:10 26.6594 23.1892 22.9029 20.2119
1996:11 26.2011 22.788 22.8138 19.8503
1996:12 26.8187 22.8813 22.6328 19.9594
1997:1 27.2492 22.3203 22.2054 19.7262
1997:2 27.5078 22.1808 22.1046 19.7962
1997:3 27.3229 22.265 22.6839 20.4434
1997:4 27.5664 22.3417 22.7511 19.8734
1997:5 26.7915 22.653 22.5555 19.271
1997:6 27.1726 22.7694 22.4846 19.3253
1997:7 28.2869 22.8449 22.718 19.6086
1997:8 27.9746 22.3672 23.2778 19.5222
1997:9 28.1513 22.7921 23.34 19.7634
1997:10 28.9129 22.7809 23.299 20.0694
1997:11 28.6156 23.3616 23.6996 20.675
1997:12 28.6929 23.0851 24.2189 21.285
1998:1 28.7741 23.5104 24.6366 20.8317
1998:2 28.7496 23.8208 24.7767 20.6638
1998:3 28.7301 23.7005 24.5847 20.3825
1998:4 28.7911 23.6213 25.0124 20.7648
1998:5 29.314 23.402 24.8861 21.1327
1998:6 29.0631 23.6377 24.5226 21.0891
1998:7 28.8219 23.7083 24.467 20.568
1998:8 28.9094 24.0342 23.7549 21.0402
1998:9 29.4122 23.8674 23.9418 20.8953
1998:10 29.9656 24.4658 23.2223 20.5306
1998:11 30.6621 24.3985 23.9351 20.1826
1998:12 30.407 24.8582 23.7953 19.8177
1999:1 30.4806 25.0823 23.3531 19.9324
1999:2 30.324 24.8577 23.0729 20.2373
1999:3 30.4333 24.9828 22.6833 20.3223
1999:4 30.5911 25.1221 22.584 20.2913
1999:5 30.2127 25.1202 22.8226 19.5841
1999:6 30.0497 25.1727 23.0714 19.3009
1999:7 29.9456 25.3626 23.3134 19.0439
1999:8 29.5603 25.4106 23.2945 18.0151
1999:9 29.3536 25.7795 23.2164 18.2214
1999:10 29.0234 25.6396 23.3278 19.8057
1999:11 28.5956 25.6787 22.9351 20.4147
1999:12 28.5341 25.5232 22.5576 20.0876
2000:1 28.6305 25.315 22.804 20.3779
2000:2 28.6596 25.3218 23.6319 20.4891
2000:3 28.7006 25.6298 23.8565 21.1723
2000:4 28.7887 25.5063 24.0106 21.1562
2000:5 29.5968 26.291 23.9034 21.5522
2000:6 29.3818 26.4057 23.6639 22.5037
2000:7 29.5298 26.5912 23.5534 23.0563
2000:8 29.9067 26.5265 24.0213 23.5336
2000:9 29.3206 25.8883 24.2734 23.2777
2000:10 28.4344 25.6862 24.6711 22.0169
2000:11 28.5356 25.1646 24.5674 21.8726
2000:12 28.5609 24.9518 24.3691 21.6778
2001:1 28.4528 24.678 24.4127 21.6891
2001:2 28.8507 24.3244 24.1691 20.9106
2001:3 29.3994 24.192 23.8744 19.8919
2001:4 29.2027 24.3207 23.2766 19.8329
2001:5 28.4206 23.4584 22.8084 20.3763
2001:6 28.4115 23.1722 22.5447 19.1862
2001:7 28.0402 22.7008 22.2608 18.7154
2001:8 27.4784 22.9654 22.2413 18.461
2001:9 28.008 23.1465 21.5736 18.3755
2001:10 28.3368 22.9132 20.8564 17.7773
2001:11 27.7169 23.1134 20.2016 17.6505
2001:12 27.292 23.0187 20.4534 17.9391
2002:1 27.1315 22.6301 20.2279 17.3208
2002:2 26.7982 22.7232 19.6487 17.2757
2002:3 25.9414 22.0262 19.246 16.7293
2002:4 25.8133 21.6155 19.2218 16.2991
2002:5 26.1387 21.7517 18.961 15.4175
2002:6 26.5157 21.7045 19.3236 15.6644
2002:7 26.7675 21.5743 18.9624 15.7148
2002:8 26.9621 21.1525 18.3499 15.3966
2002:9 26.9291 20.9729 18.4984 15.5451
2002:10 27.2243 21.2195 18.5005 15.8138
2002:11 26.9585 20.9063 18.6213 15.3809
2002:12 27.3115 21.1578 18.4586 15.221
2003:1 27.1978 21.5077 18.3148 15.7338
2003:2 26.8822 21.5306 18.5471 16.3179
2003:3 27.0493 21.6591 18.8602 16.4868
2003:4 26.9608 21.8223 18.864 16.5042
2003:5 26.241 21.4236 19.0541 16.4046
2003:6 25.9924 20.9305 19.0147 15.9429
2003:7 25.5858 20.6822 19.0084 16.008
2003:8 25.3223 20.8729 19.2303 16.1115
2003:9 25.5911 21.1849 19.121 15.9143
2003:10 24.7503 20.6888 19.3312 16.1796
2003:11 25.0924 21.0808 19.1707 16.4737
2003:12 24.4947 20.8332 19.076 16.2352
2004:1 24.0967 21.1135 19.5151 16.1683
2004:2 24.2939 20.8502 19.7854 16.0745
2004:3 23.9431 20.9739 19.7792 16.356
2004:4 23.5671 20.8059 19.3505 16.1462
2004:5 24.3966 20.7163 19.102 17.02
2004:6 24.1968 21.1537 18.8378 17.9097
2004:7 24.3694 21.4754 19.4945 18.1167
2004:8 24.8676 21.4759 19.6093 18.3317
2004:9 25.5064 21.0505 19.7876 18.7251
2004:10 26.3245 20.9426 19.7103 18.5271
2004:11 26.7369 20.7953 20.3913 18.5385
2004:12 27.3508 20.8934 20.82 18.8596
2005:1 27.5248 20.719 20.3007 18.6999
2005:2 27.6819 21.204 19.7803 18.7889
2005:3 27.8599 21.2207 19.8575 18.7179
2005:4 27.8611 21.3903 20.493 18.9504
2005:5 28.4221 21.6857 20.8427 18.6249
2005:6 29.9283 21.5392 21.4367 18.5487
2005:7 30.4333 21.6211 20.9241 18.6955
2005:8 30.3782 21.6728 20.8024 18.7748
2005:9 29.6717 21.9597 20.9037 18.7647
2005:10 28.9268 22.0625 21.3989 19.1953
2005:11 29.0222 22.4076 21.8554 19.8265
2005:12 29.5265 22.3697 22.6396 19.89
2006:1 29.3665 22.7106 23.1482 20.171
2006:2 29.6337 22.8682 23.5145 20.1256
2006:3 30.3111 23.1651 23.8052 20.2938
2006:4 31.5791 23.4974 23.6834 21.0475
2006:5 30.1144 23.9133 24.1899 21.8138
2006:6 29.9014 23.9617 24.0246 21.7922
2006:7 29.9543 24.3903 24.4677 21.9963
2006:8 29.8201 24.595 24.2965 21.8921
2006:9 30.5034 24.7165 24.3813 22.518
2006:10 31.5459 24.8606 24.224 22.1979
2006:11 31.4757 24.5461 23.3712 21.9955
2006:12 30.605 24.8723 22.7592 22.4667
2007:1 30.9469 25.1052 22.9547 22.4659
2007:2 30.6156 24.7474 23.1933 22.5519
2007:3 30.0377 24.4805 23.0819 22.6178
2007:4 29.9433 24.1973 23.021 22.236
2007:5 30.5718 24.0405 22.6719 21.5257
2007:6 29.0586 24.305 22.4412 21.718
2007:7 28.7817 23.9636 22.2591 21.5492
2007:8 28.8937 23.9556 22.8066 21.6675
2007:9 27.8864 24.0489 22.6705 21.1361
2007:10 27.2335 24.3522 23.0942 21.3228
2007:11 26.7361 24.28 22.928 21.127
2007:12 27.2862 23.7824 22.5876 20.6037
2008:1 26.9766 23.1408 22.4333 20.567
2008:2 26.8312 23.1263 22.1988 20.6836
2008:3 26.9167 23.483 22.1592 20.7873
2008:4 26.101 23.4496 22.3746 20.8132
2008:5 25.7718 23.2953 22.3921 20.9458
2008:6 26.186 22.614 22.4367 20.5324
2008:7 25.9042 22.2049 22.0476 20.3649
2008:8 25.5855 22.0802 21.7091 20.4893
2008:9 24.9978 21.8186 21.7287 20.1026
2008:10 24.1356 21.2481 20.8431 20.4466
2008:11 24.14 21.2064 20.8627 20.4403
2008:12 23.4464 21.0265 20.784 20.5326
2009:1 23.3419 20.8045 20.6183 20.0043
2009:2 23.2623 20.5745 20.2278 19.3559
2009:3 22.7749 19.7881 19.7268 18.6754
2009:4 22.5606 19.5659 19.5378 18.2897
2009:5 22.1765 19.0366 19.0903 17.4682
2009:6 21.6471 19.1174 18.7127 17.1743
2009:7 21.1421 19.1779 18.6409 16.7897
2009:8 20.5245 18.7227 18.3761 16.3039
2009:9 20.6563 18.2461 17.7858 16.0925
2009:10 20.9823 17.9882 17.5037 15.1284
2009:11 20.9506 17.5696 17.422 14.7015
2009:12 20.7556 17.6897 17.0652 14.5313
2010:1 20.7503 17.5025 16.9628 14.7776
2010:2 20.4917 17.4837 16.9648 14.9532
2010:3 20.2905 17.6782 17.0225 15.1741
2010:4 19.9546 17.6123 16.8482 15.3763
2010:5 20.3209 17.9224 17.0859 15.8831
2010:6 20.801 17.8582 17.2362 16.0204
2010:7 21.1729 18.0577 17.1278 16.1078
2010:8 21.7405 18.2241 17.2519 16.3299
2010:9 22.0275 18.4182 17.473 16.4997
2010:10 21.7433 18.5482 18.0826 16.6684
2010:11 21.3667 18.8089 18.428 16.6708
Return to Figure 12d

Figure 12e: Gross Flow Rates (25+ Years Of Age): Inactivity-Employment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 2.3571 3.6995 4.4214 5.3378
1977:1 2.3611 3.7342 4.4137 5.3972
1977:2 2.3496 3.7852 4.4332 5.4766
1977:3 2.3672 3.7823 4.4439 5.4004
1977:4 2.3675 3.7943 4.5361 5.2963
1977:5 2.3977 3.7493 4.5859 5.3408
1977:6 2.3667 3.7155 4.5712 5.1806
1977:7 2.3495 3.6479 4.6012 5.1979
1977:8 2.3906 3.6505 4.6138 5.269
1977:9 2.3954 3.6753 4.7204 5.2741
1977:10 2.416 3.7343 4.6786 5.3749
1977:11 2.4058 3.7093 4.6261 5.3447
1977:12 2.4492 3.7861 4.7075 5.4794
1978:1 2.4715 3.8189 4.7739 5.4855
1978:2 2.4964 3.8351 4.7751 5.4499
1978:3 2.488 3.8381 4.8912 5.5933
1978:4 2.4921 3.7843 4.8247 5.5351
1978:5 2.5093 3.8335 4.8775 5.5221
1978:6 2.5166 3.8704 4.9044 5.5394
1978:7 2.5175 3.8867 4.9638 5.5518
1978:8 2.4834 4.0078 5.0374 5.6404
1978:9 2.4859 3.9843 4.9691 5.6347
1978:10 2.4754 3.9552 5.0678 5.6472
1978:11 2.451 3.93 5.0597 5.5582
1978:12 2.4046 3.8944 5.0368 5.4534
1979:1 2.3559 3.8677 5.0509 5.4678
1979:2 2.3526 3.8978 5.0889 5.5052
1979:3 2.3598 3.8676 4.9879 5.3783
1979:4 2.372 3.9292 4.9931 5.4664
1979:5 2.3548 3.9235 4.9898 5.3962
1979:6 2.3629 3.9264 4.958 5.4458
1979:7 2.3956 3.9583 4.9035 5.5537
1979:8 2.3825 3.8898 4.8753 5.5492
1979:9 2.3652 3.9145 4.8263 5.5932
1979:10 2.3716 3.8953 4.8504 5.5793
1979:11 2.3757 3.9557 4.8221 5.7363
1979:12 2.3694 3.9228 4.8113 5.7695
1980:1 2.4051 3.9018 4.847 5.8313
1980:2 2.3866 3.8329 4.8618 5.9255
1980:3 2.3468 3.8705 4.9241 6.0169
1980:4 2.3357 3.855 5.0195 6.08
1980:5 2.2895 3.8154 4.9196 6.0744
1980:6 2.2717 3.8318 4.8934 6.0485
1980:7 2.2533 3.8213 4.9143 6.0114
1980:8 2.2139 3.7852 4.8819 5.9621
1980:9 2.2175 3.7548 4.9035 5.9304
1980:10 2.1727 3.7804 4.8272 5.9714
1980:11 2.1673 3.7463 4.8434 5.8369
1980:12 2.1633 3.75 4.8024 5.899
1981:1 2.1102 3.7313 4.7197 5.7865
1981:2 2.1166 3.698 4.7256 5.7627
1981:3 2.1421 3.6705 4.7619 5.846
1981:4 2.1335 3.6547 4.6486 5.801
1981:5 2.1079 3.6149 4.6247 5.7889
1981:6 2.1047 3.6576 4.6766 5.7898
1981:7 2.0531 3.5909 4.6755 5.6932
1981:8 2.0197 3.5161 4.6465 5.5787
1981:9 2.0229 3.5615 4.6818 5.7405
1981:10 2.0317 3.5103 4.6939 5.6512
1981:11 1.9921 3.4882 4.699 5.6372
1981:12 1.9692 3.491 4.7097 5.6057
1982:1 1.9628 3.4815 4.7367 5.6733
1982:2 1.9442 3.5505 4.6186 5.7253
1982:3 1.9112 3.5195 4.5937 5.6303
1982:4 1.9011 3.529 4.5702 5.5939
1982:5 1.9101 3.5303 4.5819 5.5805
1982:6 1.9347 3.462 4.5528 5.6268
1982:7 1.9121 3.4798 4.6023 5.6766
1982:8 1.9319 3.4953 4.6763 5.8022
1982:9 1.8918 3.3692 4.5893 5.6717
1982:10 1.8748 3.3563 4.5431 5.7185
1982:11 1.8906 3.3145 4.5853 5.8759
1982:12 1.8689 3.2941 4.5441 5.8702
1983:1 1.8639 3.2697 4.5344 5.8015
1983:2 1.8478 3.2226 4.5794 5.6988
1983:3 1.8355 3.2204 4.5241 5.7149
1983:4 1.8221 3.2083 4.508 5.6774
1983:5 1.8404 3.2446 4.5258 5.6729
1983:6 1.822 3.2026 4.55 5.6634
1983:7 1.8611 3.1832 4.4994 5.6491
1983:8 1.8606 3.2186 4.5065 5.6937
1983:9 1.8366 3.3017 4.538 5.69
1983:10 1.8316 3.3431 4.563 5.7232
1983:11 1.8487 3.3844 4.554 5.6748
1983:12 1.8865 3.3624 4.599 5.6313
1984:1 1.9299 3.4208 4.5748 5.7593
1984:2 1.9392 3.4009 4.5619 5.8421
1984:3 1.9315 3.4029 4.5264 5.8766
1984:4 1.9565 3.4109 4.6529 5.919
1984:5 1.9641 3.4403 4.6963 6.0336
1984:6 1.957 3.4939 4.7302 6.0732
1984:7 1.9669 3.5314 4.7952 6.1959
1984:8 1.9601 3.4678 4.7864 6.0394
1984:9 1.9612 3.4305 4.8494 6.0983
1984:10 1.978 3.4353 4.8594 6.0876
1984:11 1.9774 3.4587 4.8436 6.1291
1984:12 1.9711 3.5149 4.8588 6.1491
1985:1 1.9601 3.5243 4.8657 6.2111
1985:2 1.9573 3.5387 4.9535 6.1514
1985:3 1.9656 3.565 5 6.1053
1985:4 1.9547 3.559 4.9723 6.2494
1985:5 1.931 3.5436 4.932 6.2488
1985:6 1.9196 3.5367 4.942 6.1993
1985:7 1.9055 3.5712 4.9663 6.2325
1985:8 1.9248 3.5929 4.9121 6.3694
1985:9 1.9512 3.587 4.8366 6.3225
1985:10 1.9354 3.5722 4.785 6.2942
1985:11 1.9063 3.5579 4.8197 6.1918
1985:12 1.9379 3.5783 4.8208 6.2711
1986:1 1.8915 3.5648 4.8353 6.0505
1986:2 1.9239 3.5631 4.7879 6.049
1986:3 1.9237 3.5683 4.8018 6.0274
1986:4 1.9498 3.6209 4.7989 5.8463
1986:5 1.9649 3.6162 4.8252 5.8345
1986:6 1.9757 3.6081 4.7969 5.915
1986:7 1.9943 3.5865 4.7048 5.8514
1986:8 1.9767 3.607 4.6344 5.6623
1986:9 1.9903 3.6197 4.7229 5.7421
1986:10 1.9966 3.6117 4.7476 5.6977
1986:11 1.9938 3.6385 4.722 5.6986
1986:12 1.9702 3.6221 4.6552 5.6469
1987:1 1.9947 3.6014 4.6001 5.7368
1987:2 1.9748 3.6446 4.6448 5.7118
1987:3 2.0208 3.6186 4.7283 5.8009
1987:4 1.9855 3.5995 4.7169 5.8291
1987:5 1.9495 3.6006 4.7136 5.8573
1987:6 1.959 3.5676 4.7262 5.8165
1987:7 1.9327 3.5557 4.6696 5.6607
1987:8 1.9261 3.5267 4.7277 5.6129
1987:9 1.9391 3.5558 4.7999 5.6747
1987:10 1.9403 3.5611 4.777 5.6816
1987:11 1.9723 3.5534 4.8361 5.7209
1987:12 1.9881 3.5408 4.8854 5.7911
1988:1 2.0378 3.5388 4.989 5.8327
1988:2 2.068 3.5135 4.9327 5.9078
1988:3 2.0359 3.5555 4.8898 5.9037
1988:4 2.063 3.5084 4.8802 5.925
1988:5 2.0973 3.5005 4.9688 5.9375
1988:6 2.0806 3.5255 4.9366 5.8778
1988:7 2.1019 3.5145 4.9905 5.9793
1988:8 2.1062 3.5922 5.0349 6.0546
1988:9 2.1179 3.5846 4.9441 5.8601
1988:10 2.1461 3.6162 5.0568 5.9437
1988:11 2.1579 3.6345 4.9474 5.8383
1988:12 2.162 3.6548 4.9628 5.8327
1989:1 2.1297 3.6602 4.9773 5.8564
1989:2 2.1303 3.6892 5.0453 5.7443
1989:3 2.1554 3.6556 5.0595 5.7094
1989:4 2.1848 3.6629 5.0784 5.6341
1989:5 2.1796 3.6636 5.0273 5.6753
1989:6 2.1823 3.667 5.0033 5.7498
1989:7 2.1699 3.6731 5.0659 5.6662
1989:8 2.2074 3.659 5.0599 5.6745
1989:9 2.1733 3.6467 5.066 5.7901
1989:10 2.1834 3.6513 5.0327 5.8078
1989:11 2.1676 3.6005 5.0961 5.8812
1989:12 2.1628 3.5615 5.0753 5.9187
1990:1 2.1713 3.6005 5.1218 5.9354
1990:2 2.1684 3.6081 5.1124 6.0356
1990:3 2.1604 3.63 5.0446 6.0704
1990:4 2.1305 3.6569 5.1228 6.1588
1990:5 2.156 3.6708 5.0812 6.0526
1990:6 2.1443 3.6995 5.1126 6.0779
1990:7 2.1668 3.7126 5.0701 6.1723
1990:8 2.1322 3.6292 4.9656 6.1688
1990:9 2.1188 3.6195 4.9257 6.0649
1990:10 2.0769 3.5899 4.9967 6.011
1990:11 2.0785 3.6433 4.9555 5.9519
1990:12 2.0323 3.6337 4.9064 5.8256
1991:1 2.0445 3.6048 4.764 5.7432
1991:2 2.0169 3.5752 4.6934 5.6655
1991:3 1.9931 3.5249 4.6903 5.644
1991:4 1.9642 3.4914 4.6354 5.6315
1991:5 1.9531 3.4618 4.5854 5.6577
1991:6 1.9764 3.4201 4.5762 5.5733
1991:7 1.9517 3.373 4.5538 5.5768
1991:8 1.9317 3.3743 4.6284 5.4711
1991:9 1.954 3.3121 4.5776 5.4824
1991:10 1.9571 3.266 4.3971 5.4176
1991:11 1.9325 3.1828 4.4 5.5024
1991:12 1.9776 3.2116 4.4845 5.5484
1992:1 1.9403 3.1685 4.4364 5.4874
1992:2 1.9517 3.1428 4.4434 5.4669
1992:3 1.9942 3.1657 4.3912 5.4502
1992:4 1.9992 3.1494 4.3498 5.4158
1992:5 1.9747 3.1383 4.3743 5.3777
1992:6 1.9675 3.1425 4.4208 5.3934
1992:7 1.9537 3.1304 4.445 5.3425
1992:8 1.958 3.0577 4.3466 5.4199
1992:9 1.957 3.1133 4.4128 5.5056
1992:10 1.9485 3.134 4.4933 5.5373
1992:11 1.9577 3.1398 4.462 5.5004
1992:12 1.9185 3.1037 4.4651 5.4741
1993:1 1.9551 3.1381 4.5742 5.5668
1993:2 1.9405 3.1496 4.5597 5.5545
1993:3 1.9071 3.1239 4.5966 5.5005
1993:4 1.8902 3.1555 4.6421 5.493
1993:5 1.8956 3.1291 4.6763 5.502
1993:6 1.89 3.0823 4.6582 5.4493
1993:7 1.8866 3.0828 4.6365 5.4587
1993:8 1.8999 3.1206 4.6616 5.3878
1993:9 1.905 3.0752 4.5891 5.2973
1993:10 1.8981 3.0468 4.5206 5.2688
1993:11 1.8983 3.0842 4.5636 5.2828
1993:12 1.9489 3.1115 4.5494 5.3234
1994:1 1.9577 3.1361 4.5014 5.3606
1994:2 1.99 3.135 4.5606 5.3822
1994:3 2.0071 3.2011 4.5791 5.4305
1994:4 2.0263 3.1902 4.5055 5.3926
1994:5 2.0465 3.2639 4.5621 5.3591
1994:6 2.0389 3.3003 4.5443 5.4117
1994:7 2.0754 3.3403 4.5156 5.4035
1994:8 2.0768 3.4187 4.4611 5.4615
1994:9 2.0479 3.4271 4.4918 5.5406
1994:10 2.0878 3.4944 4.5081 5.5656
1994:11 2.1044 3.4747 4.4825 5.5949
1994:12 2.089 3.437 4.4818 5.5685
1995:1 2.0606 3.4304 4.5089 5.3772
1995:2 2.0252 3.4208 4.5062 5.3522
1995:3 2.032 3.3754 4.5063 5.2891
1995:4 2.0263 3.3687 4.4698 5.3209
1995:5 2.0134 3.3663 4.3975 5.3824
1995:6 2.0217 3.3822 4.3972 5.3373
1995:7 1.9921 3.3498 4.3996 5.2277
1995:8 1.9415 3.175 4.309 4.8309
1995:9 2.0035 3.2344 4.3312 4.8331
1995:10 1.9954 3.2125 4.4188 4.7978
1995:11 1.9796 3.2029 4.314 4.673
1995:12 1.9696 3.1613 4.2292 4.5684
1996:1 2.0009 3.1896 4.2721 4.8826
1996:2 1.9922 3.2134 4.1689 4.9681
1996:3 1.963 3.1927 4.1569 4.972
1996:4 1.9857 3.2383 4.1797 5.0573
1996:5 1.9504 3.204 4.2188 5.0968
1996:6 1.9945 3.2021 4.2067 5.1651
1996:7 2.0746 3.2191 4.2025 5.2284
1996:8 2.0599 3.2439 4.2983 5.415
1996:9 2.052 3.1917 4.2676 5.3457
1996:10 2.0598 3.1545 4.2121 5.3389
1996:11 2.0632 3.1712 4.2466 5.3267
1996:12 2.0828 3.2044 4.2547 5.3305
1997:1 2.0613 3.1554 4.1602 5.2231
1997:2 2.1071 3.1668 4.1767 5.1994
1997:3 2.1061 3.1892 4.221 5.2138
1997:4 2.1352 3.1514 4.2274 5.1641
1997:5 2.1952 3.1701 4.1503 5.1146
1997:6 2.2027 3.1699 4.091 5.0154
1997:7 2.1683 3.1521 4.1079 5.041
1997:8 2.2076 3.1189 4.0848 4.9826
1997:9 2.2367 3.1446 4.072 5.0272
1997:10 2.2436 3.1594 4.0754 5.0915
1997:11 2.2712 3.2221 4.1941 5.0931
1997:12 2.2818 3.2093 4.2694 5.0987
1998:1 2.2935 3.1905 4.298 5.0879
1998:2 2.2908 3.147 4.3116 5.0979
1998:3 2.353 3.1597 4.2661 5.1563
1998:4 2.3229 3.1543 4.294 5.1367
1998:5 2.3188 3.1235 4.2453 5.1403
1998:6 2.309 3.1009 4.3244 5.3082
1998:7 2.321 3.1622 4.3275 5.3324
1998:8 2.3627 3.2521 4.3873 5.4669
1998:9 2.3361 3.3127 4.5027 5.4768
1998:10 2.3165 3.3446 4.5497 5.4745
1998:11 2.3588 3.3045 4.5151 5.5901
1998:12 2.3655 3.348 4.4552 5.6527
1999:1 2.3481 3.3941 4.4979 5.5903
1999:2 2.3537 3.4252 4.453 5.5906
1999:3 2.3692 3.4556 4.491 5.6658
1999:4 2.4073 3.4991 4.4805 5.7141
1999:5 2.4629 3.5414 4.6242 5.6545
1999:6 2.4848 3.6045 4.6399 5.5835
1999:7 2.4925 3.5553 4.654 5.5605
1999:8 2.4813 3.5398 4.6886 5.4947
1999:9 2.5198 3.5196 4.5538 5.5391
1999:10 2.5506 3.5227 4.4866 5.4302
1999:11 2.5236 3.538 4.4907 5.387
1999:12 2.4853 3.5118 4.495 5.3867
2000:1 2.5286 3.5045 4.5248 5.3989
2000:2 2.56 3.5231 4.6107 5.4413
2000:3 2.499 3.4817 4.589 5.3637
2000:4 2.4965 3.4258 4.5625 5.2873
2000:5 2.4604 3.4501 4.5901 5.3255
2000:6 2.3944 3.4125 4.6014 5.2707
2000:7 2.3811 3.4016 4.6423 5.2814
2000:8 2.3849 3.435 4.61 5.3703
2000:9 2.3669 3.4317 4.6648 5.3198
2000:10 2.382 3.4212 4.7606 5.3797
2000:11 2.3874 3.4237 4.7925 5.3974
2000:12 2.4868 3.4493 4.9011 5.4106
2001:1 2.5215 3.5119 4.8735 5.5078
2001:2 2.4918 3.4977 4.8589 5.5078
2001:3 2.5146 3.5172 4.7813 5.4978
2001:4 2.5364 3.5488 4.7959 5.5976
2001:5 2.5319 3.54 4.7402 5.65
2001:6 2.5994 3.5529 4.7246 5.7655
2001:7 2.6112 3.633 4.7456 5.7099
2001:8 2.6111 3.5994 4.77 5.6809
2001:9 2.6185 3.5683 4.77 5.7092
2001:10 2.589 3.571 4.7695 5.7118
2001:11 2.5814 3.5517 4.7245 5.704
2001:12 2.5121 3.5345 4.6266 5.6573
2002:1 2.5036 3.4862 4.5882 5.6776
2002:2 2.4768 3.4656 4.4885 5.6435
2002:3 2.4752 3.4717 4.546 5.6158
2002:4 2.4685 3.4739 4.5621 5.5666
2002:5 2.5004 3.4791 4.5789 5.542
2002:6 2.4647 3.4863 4.5632 5.4891
2002:7 2.4453 3.3917 4.555 5.6263
2002:8 2.4156 3.364 4.4342 5.4856
2002:9 2.386 3.3572 4.4225 5.4909
2002:10 2.4274 3.3456 4.3679 5.565
2002:11 2.4518 3.3279 4.3135 5.5227
2002:12 2.4741 3.2876 4.3344 5.5578
2003:1 2.4224 3.2267 4.3406 5.5032
2003:2 2.4606 3.2654 4.3528 5.5023
2003:3 2.4548 3.2658 4.3095 5.5006
2003:4 2.4161 3.2365 4.2622 5.4501
2003:5 2.4006 3.2133 4.2487 5.4747
2003:6 2.4158 3.2048 4.2095 5.4701
2003:7 2.4951 3.2248 4.1803 5.3414
2003:8 2.485 3.2124 4.2674 5.3741
2003:9 2.5138 3.2244 4.2567 5.3935
2003:10 2.489 3.2301 4.2771 5.3422
2003:11 2.4659 3.2336 4.3551 5.3086
2003:12 2.4579 3.2758 4.3362 5.2632
2004:1 2.4677 3.2798 4.3179 5.2239
2004:2 2.4854 3.2322 4.375 5.1587
2004:3 2.5049 3.19 4.4388 5.1433
2004:4 2.5172 3.1939 4.4252 5.1198
2004:5 2.47 3.2018 4.3722 5.0618
2004:6 2.5096 3.192 4.429 5.0286
2004:7 2.4106 3.2008 4.4132 5.01
2004:8 2.4484 3.1889 4.3641 5.0503
2004:9 2.4275 3.243 4.3603 4.9807
2004:10 2.4204 3.2518 4.2975 4.9843
2004:11 2.4336 3.2761 4.2273 5.0598
2004:12 2.4036 3.2503 4.2619 5.0642
2005:1 2.4261 3.2695 4.2699 5.1147
2005:2 2.4372 3.2617 4.2193 5.1077
2005:3 2.4489 3.3127 4.2213 5.2232
2005:4 2.5219 3.3161 4.2599 5.2971
2005:5 2.541 3.2871 4.2751 5.3295
2005:6 2.5383 3.2683 4.3449 5.3732
2005:7 2.5691 3.2682 4.3237 5.3855
2005:8 2.5673 3.3153 4.3326 5.3325
2005:9 2.5754 3.2514 4.3942 5.2866
2005:10 2.6176 3.1885 4.4237 5.228
2005:11 2.6607 3.1877 4.4857 5.27
2005:12 2.7417 3.214 4.4982 5.2151
2006:1 2.762 3.2503 4.4668 5.197
2006:2 2.765 3.2672 4.5033 5.2636
2006:3 2.7826 3.2487 4.5484 5.2022
2006:4 2.747 3.2341 4.5938 5.2004
2006:5 2.7726 3.2705 4.6312 5.2265
2006:6 2.7401 3.3103 4.6055 5.2168
2006:7 2.7538 3.3155 4.5799 5.3076
2006:8 2.7649 3.3661 4.5691 5.3138
2006:9 2.7673 3.3963 4.5896 5.3184
2006:10 2.7329 3.4649 4.5699 5.4002
2006:11 2.7039 3.4956 4.5619 5.3647
2006:12 2.6678 3.5049 4.4936 5.3942
2007:1 2.684 3.5081 4.5833 5.4576
2007:2 2.7117 3.5329 4.5304 5.4493
2007:3 2.7016 3.5004 4.4308 5.4155
2007:4 2.7093 3.5377 4.3592 5.37
2007:5 2.7143 3.5054 4.3297 5.3873
2007:6 2.7154 3.4888 4.1972 5.3508
2007:7 2.7645 3.49 4.2001 5.2655
2007:8 2.7066 3.4183 4.1382 5.2784
2007:9 2.7115 3.3845 4.0792 5.2571
2007:10 2.741 3.352 4.0226 5.2372
2007:11 2.7244 3.3372 3.9847 5.1625
2007:12 2.6834 3.3069 3.9658 5.116
2008:1 2.6983 3.2881 3.8882 5.0176
2008:2 2.6439 3.264 3.8963 5.0327
2008:3 2.5853 3.268 3.8778 5.0341
2008:4 2.5743 3.2143 3.8944 5.0393
2008:5 2.5514 3.1645 3.9045 4.9804
2008:6 2.5718 3.1664 3.9707 4.954
2008:7 2.4824 3.142 3.9774 4.9715
2008:8 2.5478 3.1112 4.0232 4.8728
2008:9 2.5572 3.0932 3.9705 4.8383
2008:10 2.53 3.0226 4.0611 4.6945
2008:11 2.5213 2.9981 4.0204 4.7483
2008:12 2.5671 3.0156 3.9813 4.7693
2009:1 2.518 2.9918 3.988 4.7545
2009:2 2.5414 2.9713 3.9592 4.6933
2009:3 2.6016 2.9674 3.9986 4.7317
2009:4 2.5621 2.9816 3.9285 4.6593
2009:5 2.5149 3.001 3.8239 4.5946
2009:6 2.5382 2.9764 3.7386 4.5626
2009:7 2.5606 2.9526 3.6912 4.5819
2009:8 2.5081 2.9449 3.6342 4.5346
2009:9 2.436 2.9321 3.6375 4.5703
2009:10 2.4057 2.9515 3.6015 4.5822
2009:11 2.3864 2.9237 3.5748 4.5971
2009:12 2.3999 2.8819 3.6065 4.6658
2010:1 2.4296 2.8369 3.5344 4.6925
2010:2 2.4219 2.8282 3.5743 4.6991
2010:3 2.3659 2.8164 3.5525 4.6342
2010:4 2.3718 2.8009 3.5508 4.6708
2010:5 2.3862 2.7708 3.5765 4.6731
2010:6 2.3237 2.7381 3.5864 4.651
2010:7 2.3104 2.7534 3.6191 4.5539
2010:8 2.3556 2.7331 3.6033 4.6599
2010:9 2.4071 2.7057 3.5482 4.6152
2010:10 2.4613 2.6942 3.4924 4.6019
2010:11 2.4882 2.7178 3.5487 4.5799
Return to Figure 12e

Figure 12f: Gross Flow Rates (25+ Years Of Age): Inactivity-Unemployment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 1.4567 2.1784 2.5975 2.2156
1977:1 1.4663 2.1719 2.628 2.2183
1977:2 1.4699 2.1739 2.5881 2.2362
1977:3 1.4618 2.2105 2.6094 2.2317
1977:4 1.4629 2.2204 2.5869 2.2667
1977:5 1.4325 2.2659 2.5553 2.3512
1977:6 1.4254 2.2341 2.5397 2.3307
1977:7 1.4177 2.2356 2.5067 2.2441
1977:8 1.4298 2.2212 2.4392 2.1342
1977:9 1.3925 2.1687 2.4939 2.1836
1977:10 1.3922 2.1761 2.5154 2.1788
1977:11 1.4052 2.184 2.5244 2.1945
1977:12 1.4009 2.1652 2.5537 2.2125
1978:1 1.3666 2.147 2.4967 2.2955
1978:2 1.3512 2.1282 2.4581 2.2448
1978:3 1.345 2.0572 2.3967 2.2009
1978:4 1.3907 2.0581 2.3752 2.2202
1978:5 1.4019 2.0271 2.3729 2.1173
1978:6 1.3966 1.998 2.4196 2.0723
1978:7 1.378 1.9412 2.4384 2.0616
1978:8 1.3741 1.9167 2.4767 2.1533
1978:9 1.368 1.9333 2.4003 2.1082
1978:10 1.3714 1.9063 2.3795 2.1623
1978:11 1.3451 1.8944 2.3702 2.1176
1978:12 1.3366 1.8683 2.4398 2.0996
1979:1 1.3393 1.8922 2.5755 2.0227
1979:2 1.3372 1.8847 2.6008 2.0646
1979:3 1.3124 1.8935 2.6334 2.0626
1979:4 1.2855 1.9048 2.6917 1.98
1979:5 1.2887 1.9058 2.6439 2.0809
1979:6 1.2744 1.9317 2.5508 2.15
1979:7 1.2634 1.9581 2.6117 2.2229
1979:8 1.2303 1.9268 2.4928 2.2666
1979:9 1.2226 1.9253 2.4676 2.2636
1979:10 1.2109 1.9109 2.4158 2.2646
1979:11 1.219 1.9339 2.4003 2.3007
1979:12 1.2434 1.9645 2.3508 2.3065
1980:1 1.2378 1.9611 2.2623 2.3039
1980:2 1.2274 1.9603 2.3003 2.3016
1980:3 1.2378 1.9854 2.357 2.3511
1980:4 1.2254 2.0233 2.3551 2.3318
1980:5 1.2024 2.0246 2.3937 2.2932
1980:6 1.2049 2.031 2.4802 2.2424
1980:7 1.2472 2.0551 2.4489 2.2334
1980:8 1.2508 2.0861 2.5089 2.0996
1980:9 1.2998 2.0737 2.6197 2.1643
1980:10 1.3021 2.1143 2.6804 2.1213
1980:11 1.3065 2.0855 2.6897 2.1046
1980:12 1.3068 2.0967 2.7235 2.1831
1981:1 1.335 2.0772 2.7191 2.1724
1981:2 1.3615 2.1194 2.7529 2.1185
1981:3 1.3751 2.0954 2.7009 2.0238
1981:4 1.3728 2.0348 2.6573 2.0715
1981:5 1.4031 2.0305 2.6326 2.0448
1981:6 1.432 2.0843 2.6314 2.0598
1981:7 1.427 2.057 2.6141 2.0094
1981:8 1.4423 2.077 2.7255 2.071
1981:9 1.4615 2.1187 2.6823 2.0585
1981:10 1.4765 2.1362 2.6593 2.0814
1981:11 1.4813 2.1809 2.6963 2.0362
1981:12 1.4807 2.2197 2.7422 1.9759
1982:1 1.5019 2.2664 2.7184 1.932
1982:2 1.502 2.268 2.6877 1.9572
1982:3 1.5333 2.3167 2.6798 2.0291
1982:4 1.5896 2.3901 2.7326 2.0958
1982:5 1.5814 2.4085 2.774 2.194
1982:6 1.6006 2.4068 2.7928 2.2597
1982:7 1.6098 2.4608 2.809 2.2431
1982:8 1.6107 2.4815 2.7143 2.2147
1982:9 1.5912 2.4744 2.7918 2.186
1982:10 1.6134 2.4398 2.8566 2.1795
1982:11 1.6536 2.4904 2.938 2.232
1982:12 1.6669 2.4848 2.9023 2.2801
1983:1 1.6346 2.5042 2.9445 2.3061
1983:2 1.6559 2.502 2.944 2.3196
1983:3 1.6534 2.5008 2.96 2.3211
1983:4 1.6249 2.4966 3.009 2.2616
1983:5 1.6617 2.5639 3.0568 2.2338
1983:6 1.6407 2.5398 3.0537 2.1953
1983:7 1.6583 2.5203 3.0611 2.2335
1983:8 1.6953 2.5165 3.0838 2.2368
1983:9 1.6701 2.4775 3.049 2.2179
1983:10 1.6763 2.4904 3.0151 2.1457
1983:11 1.6312 2.4385 2.9324 2.1849
1983:12 1.6256 2.4322 2.8984 2.1505
1984:1 1.6449 2.4415 2.8646 2.1909
1984:2 1.6422 2.4136 2.8916 2.1702
1984:3 1.6792 2.4159 2.9007 2.1587
1984:4 1.679 2.3929 2.8435 2.1713
1984:5 1.6676 2.3075 2.8006 2.1752
1984:6 1.6783 2.3451 2.8066 2.1664
1984:7 1.6511 2.3613 2.779 2.2373
1984:8 1.6222 2.3329 2.8076 2.1879
1984:9 1.6569 2.3919 2.8488 2.2299
1984:10 1.6629 2.3995 2.8408 2.2926
1984:11 1.6971 2.4102 2.9022 2.2471
1984:12 1.6724 2.4209 2.9451 2.2349
1985:1 1.6545 2.3598 2.982 2.2416
1985:2 1.6618 2.4356 2.9813 2.256
1985:3 1.6272 2.4537 2.9827 2.2346
1985:4 1.6349 2.4575 3.0073 2.1858
1985:5 1.6351 2.4952 2.9877 2.1594
1985:6 1.637 2.482 2.975 2.1305
1985:7 1.6243 2.4846 2.9551 2.069
1985:8 1.6358 2.5295 2.9302 2.104
1985:9 1.6159 2.4952 2.8581 2.0704
1985:10 1.5966 2.5047 2.8451 2.0998
1985:11 1.5698 2.45 2.8031 2.1755
1985:12 1.6073 2.4432 2.7745 2.113
1986:1 1.6429 2.4921 2.7854 2.1013
1986:2 1.6203 2.4712 2.7411 2.159
1986:3 1.6077 2.4778 2.7681 2.1368
1986:4 1.5631 2.501 2.7351 2.1907
1986:5 1.5547 2.4753 2.7229 2.1359
1986:6 1.5342 2.4384 2.7731 2.1647
1986:7 1.5639 2.4036 2.815 2.0839
1986:8 1.5438 2.3771 2.8039 2.0205
1986:9 1.5349 2.3754 2.8396 2.0252
1986:10 1.5424 2.3358 2.9167 2.0098
1986:11 1.5288 2.318 2.8977 1.9412
1986:12 1.5268 2.2942 2.9549 1.972
1987:1 1.4896 2.2429 2.9145 1.9975
1987:2 1.4926 2.2081 2.9574 1.9037
1987:3 1.4654 2.174 2.9208 2.0112
1987:4 1.4885 2.165 2.8922 2.0075
1987:5 1.4704 2.1503 2.847 1.9792
1987:6 1.4822 2.1795 2.7883 1.9253
1987:7 1.4437 2.1465 2.7868 2.0011
1987:8 1.4359 2.117 2.7948 2.024
1987:9 1.4333 2.1107 2.7458 1.9971
1987:10 1.3991 2.0927 2.6454 1.9843
1987:11 1.409 2.0918 2.616 1.9816
1987:12 1.4091 2.1032 2.5438 2.0179
1988:1 1.3854 2.1247 2.5368 1.9466
1988:2 1.3555 2.0885 2.4471 1.961
1988:3 1.3686 2.0551 2.4706 1.8094
1988:4 1.3619 2.0375 2.4626 1.7938
1988:5 1.3563 2.0159 2.4658 1.7854
1988:6 1.3699 2.0005 2.4034 1.8325
1988:7 1.3731 1.9928 2.3703 1.7988
1988:8 1.3906 1.9951 2.3218 1.7844
1988:9 1.3989 1.9806 2.3537 1.7968
1988:10 1.3895 1.9834 2.3225 1.7611
1988:11 1.3899 1.967 2.3201 1.7444
1988:12 1.3842 1.9265 2.2402 1.7239
1989:1 1.4078 1.8982 2.2545 1.7571
1989:2 1.4177 1.9013 2.2265 1.7376
1989:3 1.4291 1.8847 2.1973 1.8426
1989:4 1.4147 1.92 2.1979 1.8716
1989:5 1.4539 1.9333 2.2447 1.9334
1989:6 1.4469 1.9195 2.3196 1.882
1989:7 1.4661 1.9329 2.3042 1.8472
1989:8 1.4616 1.9141 2.3324 1.8627
1989:9 1.4548 1.9209 2.2577 1.8724
1989:10 1.4585 1.9546 2.2957 1.8946
1989:11 1.439 1.9786 2.3022 1.9414
1989:12 1.4317 1.9926 2.3823 1.9208
1990:1 1.4347 2.0252 2.387 1.9366
1990:2 1.4315 2.0143 2.4586 2.0291
1990:3 1.4195 2.0478 2.4093 2.0027
1990:4 1.4294 1.9955 2.4114 1.9472
1990:5 1.3944 1.997 2.4068 1.9425
1990:6 1.3722 1.9746 2.4024 1.9924
1990:7 1.3495 2.0129 2.534 2.0807
1990:8 1.3417 1.9879 2.4899 2.0908
1990:9 1.3532 1.9818 2.4672 2.0546
1990:10 1.3587 1.9884 2.4854 2.055
1990:11 1.3864 2.019 2.4936 2.073
1990:12 1.4002 2.0056 2.5297 2.0876
1991:1 1.4659 2.0179 2.5774 2.0426
1991:2 1.4557 2.0572 2.5993 1.9756
1991:3 1.4572 2.0488 2.6319 1.9944
1991:4 1.4902 2.0645 2.6478 2.0748
1991:5 1.4988 2.1272 2.6338 2.0872
1991:6 1.4984 2.1263 2.595 2.1134
1991:7 1.5273 2.1285 2.5302 2.0586
1991:8 1.5418 2.1728 2.5782 2.0887
1991:9 1.5301 2.1665 2.6736 2.1653
1991:10 1.5428 2.1698 2.7123 2.1608
1991:11 1.5446 2.1845 2.735 2.1201
1991:12 1.5591 2.2342 2.8091 2.1189
1992:1 1.4798 2.2121 2.7706 2.1556
1992:2 1.5181 2.2266 2.7854 2.1535
1992:3 1.5316 2.2527 2.8916 2.1268
1992:4 1.5333 2.272 2.9266 2.1398
1992:5 1.5616 2.2306 2.9669 2.0899
1992:6 1.6056 2.3037 3.0717 2.0525
1992:7 1.6086 2.3602 3.0517 2.0322
1992:8 1.6104 2.3447 3.0482 1.9884
1992:9 1.6401 2.3384 3.0451 1.9501
1992:10 1.6306 2.3457 2.9725 1.9562
1992:11 1.6182 2.3897 3.0239 1.9879
1992:12 1.5923 2.3929 2.9643 2.0232
1993:1 1.6012 2.4008 3.0214 2.0856
1993:2 1.5924 2.363 2.9761 2.1184
1993:3 1.6108 2.3642 2.8915 2.148
1993:4 1.6056 2.3498 2.812 2.044
1993:5 1.6189 2.348 2.785 2.0543
1993:6 1.5996 2.2978 2.7455 2.0143
1993:7 1.6218 2.2024 2.8158 2.0129
1993:8 1.6443 2.1874 2.8374 2.0392
1993:9 1.636 2.2149 2.8382 2.0266
1993:10 1.6441 2.1777 2.8743 2.0258
1993:11 1.6469 2.132 2.8659 2.028
1993:12 1.6557 2.1009 2.8181 1.9868
1994:1 1.702 2.168 2.7892 1.9698
1994:2 1.7553 2.2334 2.8613 2.0219
1994:3 1.7572 2.2633 2.9381 1.9967
1994:4 1.7453 2.2959 3.0021 2.0685
1994:5 1.7293 2.3675 3.1347 2.1095
1994:6 1.7485 2.4367 3.2084 2.1994
1994:7 1.7474 2.5524 3.1632 2.3021
1994:8 1.7408 2.5716 3.1689 2.4273
1994:9 1.7885 2.5539 3.2009 2.4844
1994:10 1.8113 2.5789 3.2681 2.5153
1994:11 1.8269 2.5697 3.2389 2.5228
1994:12 1.8144 2.575 3.273 2.5096
1995:1 1.792 2.5237 3.2793 2.5207
1995:2 1.7338 2.4709 3.3209 2.5056
1995:3 1.7282 2.4697 3.2878 2.5118
1995:4 1.7231 2.4634 3.3404 2.5761
1995:5 1.726 2.4341 3.2852 2.6077
1995:6 1.72 2.3947 3.2342 2.5957
1995:7 1.6961 2.2952 3.2453 2.5013
1995:8 1.6693 2.2862 3.245 2.3182
1995:9 1.6552 2.2969 3.2295 2.2373
1995:10 1.6613 2.2778 3.1508 2.2278
1995:11 1.6701 2.2578 3.0938 2.2142
1995:12 1.6463 2.2286 2.9875 2.1269
1996:1 1.6652 2.3161 2.9653 2.1249
1996:2 1.7093 2.3411 2.9235 2.1431
1996:3 1.7072 2.2718 2.8506 2.0833
1996:4 1.7773 2.239 2.7667 1.9897
1996:5 1.7652 2.1822 2.7657 1.9694
1996:6 1.7598 2.1953 2.7696 2.0619
1996:7 1.7426 2.2022 2.7951 2.124
1996:8 1.7061 2.2436 2.8338 2.1567
1996:9 1.6881 2.2465 2.7967 2.2388
1996:10 1.689 2.2374 2.752 2.2898
1996:11 1.6945 2.2363 2.7631 2.2603
1996:12 1.746 2.2161 2.7568 2.3271
1997:1 1.765 2.1356 2.7202 2.2791
1997:2 1.7776 2.139 2.7046 2.2641
1997:3 1.7655 2.0968 2.6975 2.2672
1997:4 1.7583 2.1084 2.6041 2.2741
1997:5 1.7783 2.1237 2.616 2.2839
1997:6 1.8041 2.0699 2.6553 2.3021
1997:7 1.8247 2.0644 2.6708 2.347
1997:8 1.8337 2.0375 2.6069 2.3215
1997:9 1.811 2.0066 2.5968 2.2293
1997:10 1.7853 1.9916 2.5831 2.1241
1997:11 1.7796 1.9712 2.5801 2.1021
1997:12 1.7407 1.9581 2.5586 2.0343
1998:1 1.7398 1.961 2.5491 2.0064
1998:2 1.7507 1.921 2.5323 1.9608
1998:3 1.7767 1.9456 2.5166 1.94
1998:4 1.7152 1.8606 2.572 1.922
1998:5 1.6773 1.8318 2.5149 1.9187
1998:6 1.65 1.8777 2.4332 1.8263
1998:7 1.6182 1.8573 2.3808 1.7791
1998:8 1.6388 1.848 2.383 1.7408
1998:9 1.6409 1.8374 2.3605 1.7436
1998:10 1.6599 1.8537 2.3818 1.7654
1998:11 1.6613 1.8409 2.3392 1.7747
1998:12 1.6839 1.8434 2.3623 1.7643
1999:1 1.6428 1.8219 2.3759 1.8098
1999:2 1.5824 1.8298 2.3418 1.8179
1999:3 1.5554 1.8287 2.3354 1.8611
1999:4 1.5699 1.8547 2.2938 1.8766
1999:5 1.5376 1.8787 2.2817 1.8948
1999:6 1.5131 1.8713 2.3454 1.8344
1999:7 1.5122 1.8382 2.3201 1.7826
1999:8 1.5197 1.8426 2.3186 1.7563
1999:9 1.5048 1.8309 2.2813 1.7602
1999:10 1.5012 1.8316 2.2421 1.7709
1999:11 1.49 1.875 2.222 1.8007
1999:12 1.5072 1.8759 2.1586 1.8224
2000:1 1.489 1.8678 2.1489 1.7864
2000:2 1.549 1.8507 2.1772 1.7958
2000:3 1.571 1.8463 2.1854 1.7169
2000:4 1.5828 1.8447 2.195 1.6916
2000:5 1.6281 1.8094 2.2477 1.7021
2000:6 1.6454 1.7763 2.1641 1.7532
2000:7 1.6158 1.7906 2.1774 1.8035
2000:8 1.6061 1.7566 2.1648 1.8564
2000:9 1.5807 1.7648 2.1528 1.7903
2000:10 1.5585 1.7535 2.1518 1.7723
2000:11 1.5613 1.6808 2.1766 1.7344
2000:12 1.5377 1.6641 2.1941 1.7288
2001:1 1.5708 1.6692 2.1604 1.7203
2001:2 1.5148 1.6708 2.1118 1.7117
2001:3 1.4711 1.6623 2.1328 1.7839
2001:4 1.4596 1.6764 2.1302 1.777
2001:5 1.4551 1.6805 2.0511 1.7695
2001:6 1.4294 1.6887 2.0495 1.7602
2001:7 1.4601 1.713 2.0556 1.6967
2001:8 1.491 1.7339 2.056 1.7338
2001:9 1.5179 1.7673 2.1197 1.8519
2001:10 1.5545 1.7659 2.1994 1.8701
2001:11 1.5869 1.8061 2.2391 1.9638
2001:12 1.5289 1.8057 2.2566 1.9838
2002:1 1.5845 1.8527 2.3157 2.0375
2002:2 1.6199 1.8631 2.3654 2.0563
2002:3 1.6723 1.8912 2.3584 2.0806
2002:4 1.6987 1.9063 2.3971 2.0792
2002:5 1.7047 1.9331 2.4375 2.0385
2002:6 1.7133 1.9651 2.4748 2.0569
2002:7 1.7236 1.9779 2.4622 2.1456
2002:8 1.6651 1.9687 2.514 2.1264
2002:9 1.6856 1.9496 2.4721 2.0776
2002:10 1.6806 1.9718 2.4673 2.1098
2002:11 1.6591 1.9965 2.5436 2.0414
2002:12 1.6835 2.0367 2.5581 2.0484
2003:1 1.6443 2.0031 2.5379 1.9806
2003:2 1.6835 2.0139 2.5388 1.9932
2003:3 1.6597 2.0123 2.5619 1.9785
2003:4 1.6676 1.9936 2.594 1.9863
2003:5 1.6983 2.0237 2.6206 2.0242
2003:6 1.7133 1.951 2.6399 2.0357
2003:7 1.7302 1.9181 2.6889 1.9661
2003:8 1.7458 1.8978 2.6603 1.999
2003:9 1.7975 1.912 2.7403 1.9933
2003:10 1.7919 1.8847 2.7394 2.0192
2003:11 1.8016 1.8745 2.6718 2.0189
2003:12 1.8628 1.8385 2.6695 1.9982
2004:1 1.8509 1.8454 2.6392 2.0705
2004:2 1.8294 1.8594 2.6792 2.075
2004:3 1.8215 1.8741 2.6552 2.056
2004:4 1.7657 1.8562 2.5955 2.0418
2004:5 1.7428 1.8507 2.6007 2.0394
2004:6 1.7463 1.8904 2.5604 2.035
2004:7 1.751 1.891 2.564 2.0371
2004:8 1.8092 1.9079 2.6142 1.9946
2004:9 1.7536 1.8987 2.5908 2.0298
2004:10 1.781 1.9162 2.6073 2.0144
2004:11 1.8014 1.9128 2.5782 2.0303
2004:12 1.7752 1.8921 2.5905 2.0411
2005:1 1.8006 1.8916 2.6348 1.9639
2005:2 1.7708 1.868 2.558 1.9152
2005:3 1.7462 1.8581 2.6071 1.9449
2005:4 1.7897 1.8591 2.624 1.9231
2005:5 1.7672 1.7979 2.5917 1.9231
2005:6 1.7827 1.8251 2.5997 1.8982
2005:7 1.7795 1.8477 2.5275 1.9317
2005:8 1.7433 1.8497 2.474 1.9861
2005:9 1.7288 1.8361 2.4353 1.9654
2005:10 1.7237 1.84 2.4705 1.8926
2005:11 1.6961 1.8541 2.5305 1.9067
2005:12 1.6918 1.9033 2.5276 1.9035
2006:1 1.6732 1.9123 2.5322 1.9286
2006:2 1.6607 1.9192 2.5296 1.9195
2006:3 1.7038 1.9195 2.5075 1.8578
2006:4 1.7293 1.9383 2.4993 1.9041
2006:5 1.7568 1.9434 2.527 1.9218
2006:6 1.7318 1.9426 2.5562 1.9345
2006:7 1.7013 1.9512 2.5934 1.8435
2006:8 1.6994 1.9147 2.5817 1.785
2006:9 1.7024 1.8966 2.589 1.7711
2006:10 1.6861 1.8733 2.4713 1.8003
2006:11 1.6887 1.8378 2.4168 1.7463
2006:12 1.6754 1.8315 2.3826 1.7678
2007:1 1.6771 1.7888 2.3502 1.7609
2007:2 1.7061 1.7803 2.3802 1.7324
2007:3 1.699 1.7336 2.3425 1.7374
2007:4 1.6608 1.736 2.3293 1.7155
2007:5 1.6183 1.7474 2.3315 1.6282
2007:6 1.646 1.7043 2.3109 1.6239
2007:7 1.6252 1.6624 2.2966 1.659
2007:8 1.6247 1.6601 2.2922 1.6299
2007:9 1.6383 1.6659 2.2495 1.6272
2007:10 1.6422 1.6951 2.2699 1.6227
2007:11 1.6273 1.7343 2.2963 1.6365
2007:12 1.6426 1.7026 2.2629 1.565
2008:1 1.6304 1.7053 2.2237 1.6003
2008:2 1.6581 1.7221 2.2209 1.6321
2008:3 1.6747 1.7561 2.224 1.6635
2008:4 1.6709 1.7824 2.2661 1.6743
2008:5 1.7048 1.8047 2.2549 1.727
2008:6 1.7067 1.8379 2.2653 1.7828
2008:7 1.8127 1.889 2.2792 1.7905
2008:8 1.8321 1.9381 2.3379 1.7988
2008:9 1.872 1.9893 2.4412 1.8553
2008:10 1.8566 1.9904 2.448 1.9081
2008:11 1.9053 2.0238 2.4304 2.0298
2008:12 1.9929 2.1145 2.5341 2.1299
2009:1 2.0419 2.1628 2.6689 2.1404
2009:2 2.0735 2.2234 2.7291 2.2046
2009:3 2.1627 2.3184 2.8192 2.2089
2009:4 2.2291 2.3949 2.8901 2.2678
2009:5 2.3673 2.4413 2.9985 2.2862
2009:6 2.415 2.5009 3.1283 2.3188
2009:7 2.4059 2.553 3.2103 2.3966
2009:8 2.4376 2.6317 3.1722 2.4522
2009:9 2.494 2.6588 3.1882 2.4787
2009:10 2.5512 2.7252 3.2677 2.5055
2009:11 2.6201 2.7464 3.3356 2.4684
2009:12 2.6152 2.7777 3.394 2.5144
2010:1 2.6295 2.803 3.365 2.5708
2010:2 2.6675 2.842 3.3953 2.6105
2010:3 2.6231 2.8562 3.4791 2.7134
2010:4 2.6426 2.8281 3.4817 2.7121
2010:5 2.5726 2.8751 3.4139 2.7618
2010:6 2.5879 2.9135 3.3937 2.7898
2010:7 2.6094 2.9212 3.4217 2.8061
2010:8 2.6515 2.912 3.4943 2.8044
2010:9 2.6221 2.9086 3.5164 2.7543
2010:10 2.6737 2.9096 3.5715 2.7827
2010:11 2.6123 2.9038 3.6352 2.7916
Return to Figure 12f

Figure 13a: counterfactual unemployment rates (25 + years of age): The role of Employment-Unemployment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 7.5312 5.8328 5.4403 4.3359
1977:1 7.5411 5.8057 5.374 4.3071
1977:2 7.4748 5.7471 5.242 4.3197
1977:3 7.4186 5.6767 5.2501 4.2984
1977:4 7.3974 5.6163 5.2084 4.2747
1977:5 7.3377 5.5512 5.1246 4.3258
1977:6 7.2283 5.4764 5.0327 4.273
1977:7 7.2184 5.4696 5.0472 4.1975
1977:8 7.1248 5.3625 4.9972 4.1821
1977:9 7.0351 5.3673 4.9546 4.1823
1977:10 6.9022 5.3335 4.8361 4.1446
1977:11 6.7788 5.2203 4.8492 4.0956
1977:12 6.3426 4.858 4.5785 3.8014
1978:1 6.0966 4.6687 4.4797 3.7002
1978:2 6.0512 4.6168 4.4485 3.728
1978:3 5.8466 4.5512 4.3225 3.6373
1978:4 5.8616 4.5939 4.3427 3.6635
1978:5 5.7717 4.4305 4.2352 3.4964
1978:6 5.7608 4.3703 4.1842 3.5126
1978:7 5.6228 4.2879 4.1276 3.4929
1978:8 5.5766 4.279 4.0824 3.431
1978:9 5.5431 4.1921 4.0056 3.3499
1978:10 5.4841 4.1081 3.9169 3.2525
1978:11 5.5135 4.0837 3.8847 3.3124
1978:12 5.7509 4.2946 4.0345 3.4351
1979:1 5.7284 4.3377 4.0123 3.4213
1979:2 5.633 4.2828 4.0238 3.3942
1979:3 5.8304 4.2955 4.0513 3.4109
1979:4 5.7465 4.2203 3.9682 3.3393
1979:5 5.7261 4.2313 3.9943 3.3714
1979:6 5.6847 4.1771 3.9441 3.2267
1979:7 5.7892 4.2354 3.9724 3.1975
1979:8 5.8211 4.2329 3.9505 3.1684
1979:9 5.8766 4.2718 3.9427 3.2138
1979:10 5.9605 4.3234 3.9716 3.2257
1979:11 5.9055 4.2919 3.9427 3.17
1979:12 6.0914 4.3939 4.0401 3.1355
1980:1 6.1781 4.402 4.1177 3.1335
1980:2 6.2839 4.5113 4.229 3.1493
1980:3 6.4403 4.6585 4.3536 3.1889
1980:4 6.734 4.8212 4.5156 3.2344
1980:5 6.9102 5.061 4.6625 3.2896
1980:6 7.1966 5.2939 4.788 3.4101
1980:7 7.3001 5.376 4.8758 3.4415
1980:8 7.3966 5.505 4.989 3.4714
1980:9 7.5452 5.5937 5.1292 3.5071
1980:10 7.6405 5.673 5.1979 3.5641
1980:11 7.8197 5.7898 5.3465 3.63
1980:12 7.9206 5.9446 5.4204 3.7533
1981:1 8.0459 6.0595 5.4567 3.7609
1981:2 8.1986 6.1085 5.4353 3.7972
1981:3 8.0713 6.0224 5.4057 3.7717
1981:4 7.9186 5.9995 5.417 3.7496
1981:5 8.0063 5.9706 5.4686 3.757
1981:6 7.8989 5.9179 5.4477 3.7566
1981:7 7.9253 5.937 5.4257 3.782
1981:8 8.0192 6.0034 5.4905 3.8775
1981:9 8.119 6.0518 5.4456 3.8796
1981:10 8.3316 6.2057 5.568 3.9423
1981:11 8.6227 6.4348 5.8201 4.0139
1981:12 8.88 6.5526 5.974 3.9941
1982:1 9.0536 6.6635 6.127 4.0993
1982:2 9.246 6.8557 6.3421 4.1665
1982:3 9.5905 7.1039 6.5131 4.3167
1982:4 9.9157 7.3046 6.6243 4.4763
1982:5 10.1692 7.57 6.7469 4.6005
1982:6 10.699 7.8063 7.0278 4.8593
1982:7 10.8645 7.9942 7.1798 4.9756
1982:8 11.1506 8.1815 7.2938 5.0616
1982:9 11.4038 8.4654 7.5945 5.2146
1982:10 11.6876 8.7229 7.8328 5.3363
1982:11 12.081 8.925 7.812 5.4236
1982:12 12.3395 9.0985 8.117 5.6096
1983:1 12.4271 9.2994 8.2237 5.6592
1983:2 12.4969 9.3751 8.2417 5.7672
1983:3 12.4606 9.4699 8.2541 5.7827
1983:4 12.3638 9.5146 8.3371 5.8158
1983:5 12.3467 9.489 8.44 5.8782
1983:6 11.9809 9.3908 8.3043 5.7141
1983:7 11.9212 9.3185 8.3051 5.7053
1983:8 11.7989 9.2077 8.2174 5.6464
1983:9 11.639 8.9757 8.0047 5.5889
1983:10 11.3784 8.685 7.7272 5.3978
1983:11 10.9554 8.4771 7.5854 5.3025
1983:12 10.5754 8.1809 7.2603 5.1764
1984:1 10.4789 7.933 7.0394 5.1564
1984:2 10.2282 7.7801 6.8754 5.0054
1984:3 10.0929 7.5314 6.7612 4.94
1984:4 9.9344 7.3577 6.5385 4.7912
1984:5 9.6924 7.1291 6.2437 4.5788
1984:6 9.7938 7.0138 6.2066 4.5564
1984:7 9.6865 6.9204 6.0709 4.4586
1984:8 9.5608 6.8122 6.0132 4.4117
1984:9 9.4335 6.7599 6.0564 4.3704
1984:10 9.3421 6.7087 6.0188 4.4142
1984:11 9.1902 6.6348 5.9385 4.4264
1984:12 9.3351 6.6129 5.8328 4.3859
1985:1 9.2593 6.5752 5.8488 4.331
1985:2 9.2715 6.4911 5.826 4.3271
1985:3 9.3616 6.548 5.8244 4.3122
1985:4 9.3689 6.5174 5.8874 4.3622
1985:5 9.55 6.5693 5.9718 4.4707
1985:6 9.4041 6.5589 5.8925 4.3697
1985:7 9.388 6.5212 5.8597 4.334
1985:8 9.4352 6.5512 5.8686 4.3316
1985:9 9.5598 6.6239 5.8331 4.3635
1985:10 9.5668 6.633 5.834 4.318
1985:11 9.5325 6.5891 5.7372 4.198
1985:12 9.1181 6.5012 5.5737 4.1055
1986:1 9.1472 6.6 5.6712 4.201
1986:2 9.1781 6.6462 5.7143 4.2118
1986:3 9.0602 6.5418 5.6507 4.2054
1986:4 9.1711 6.5873 5.6223 4.1669
1986:5 8.9735 6.4957 5.5778 4.0378
1986:6 9.065 6.5132 5.5755 4.0861
1986:7 9.1237 6.497 5.558 4.0801
1986:8 9.1232 6.4793 5.5302 4.0781
1986:9 9.1331 6.3958 5.4994 4.0321
1986:10 9.1234 6.3858 5.5249 4.071
1986:11 9.0587 6.3249 5.5006 4.0616
1986:12 9.1614 6.3541 5.5986 4.0786
1987:1 9.0501 6.219 5.469 3.9645
1987:2 9.0135 6.1611 5.3827 3.9334
1987:3 8.8804 6.0894 5.338 3.8789
1987:4 8.722 5.9808 5.2911 3.8548
1987:5 8.645 5.9295 5.1838 3.8124
1987:6 8.4068 5.8692 5.1961 3.7463
1987:7 8.2927 5.8343 5.1647 3.7532
1987:8 8.1451 5.7519 5.1368 3.6671
1987:9 7.9149 5.6886 5.0255 3.6205
1987:10 7.7078 5.6069 4.9775 3.5143
1987:11 7.6823 5.5533 4.9169 3.4903
1987:12 7.4896 5.5101 4.8371 3.4675
1988:1 7.3906 5.4651 4.7635 3.385
1988:2 7.2307 5.3513 4.6791 3.2876
1988:3 7.2598 5.3192 4.5542 3.2354
1988:4 7.2576 5.3155 4.4965 3.2531
1988:5 7.1359 5.2131 4.4711 3.1961
1988:6 7.1161 5.1051 4.3813 3.229
1988:7 7.1711 5.053 4.3339 3.1568
1988:8 7.131 5.0538 4.297 3.1692
1988:9 7.1028 5.0384 4.2784 3.1238
1988:10 7.1929 4.9817 4.2186 3.0915
1988:11 7.0992 4.9522 4.2232 3.0877
1988:12 7.0048 4.8537 4.1535 3.0213
1989:1 6.9681 4.7873 4.1592 3.0914
1989:2 6.9026 4.7798 4.1234 3.1202
1989:3 6.9312 4.8068 4.2334 3.1659
1989:4 6.9452 4.7688 4.1785 3.1123
1989:5 6.9376 4.8045 4.1341 3.1464
1989:6 7.037 4.8599 4.1021 3.1277
1989:7 6.9155 4.8213 4.1214 3.1493
1989:8 6.9493 4.7898 4.0978 3.1632
1989:9 7.0134 4.7535 4.1319 3.2108
1989:10 6.921 4.7683 4.1087 3.2585
1989:11 6.8921 4.7828 4.1139 3.2453
1989:12 6.9997 4.8527 4.1371 3.2601
1990:1 7.0114 4.9086 4.1398 3.2067
1990:2 7.105 4.9333 4.2139 3.2214
1990:3 7.0456 4.968 4.1865 3.2151
1990:4 6.9812 4.989 4.1794 3.2
1990:5 7.0309 4.9817 4.2197 3.1984
1990:6 7.0908 4.9724 4.3212 3.2273
1990:7 7.0929 5.0379 4.3354 3.2409
1990:8 7.1712 5.0947 4.3566 3.2409
1990:9 7.1187 5.2016 4.3799 3.2144
1990:10 7.2686 5.3149 4.4618 3.2531
1990:11 7.5263 5.4188 4.5393 3.3103
1990:12 7.8683 5.6049 4.7607 3.4112
1991:1 8.0839 5.8001 4.8511 3.4967
1991:2 8.3077 5.9439 4.9752 3.588
1991:3 8.3509 5.9954 5.0591 3.6059
1991:4 8.5968 6.0781 5.2509 3.6987
1991:5 8.8065 6.2345 5.3949 3.7564
1991:6 8.9294 6.3053 5.4099 3.7665
1991:7 9.2123 6.3503 5.4874 3.8533
1991:8 9.2757 6.3784 5.546 3.8815
1991:9 9.4751 6.4066 5.5497 3.9792
1991:10 9.5557 6.4573 5.6572 4.0048
1991:11 9.8434 6.5165 5.7299 4.0619
1991:12 9.7501 6.5373 5.7484 4.1068
1992:1 9.9087 6.5689 5.8422 4.1668
1992:2 9.9665 6.5925 5.9098 4.2077
1992:3 10.1226 6.6869 5.9767 4.2647
1992:4 10.2224 6.7309 5.9935 4.272
1992:5 10.3435 6.8066 6.082 4.3965
1992:6 10.5011 6.8952 6.1488 4.4395
1992:7 10.3904 6.975 6.2493 4.4532
1992:8 10.5524 7.0222 6.3175 4.5259
1992:9 10.6304 7.0465 6.3923 4.4955
1992:10 10.655 7.0157 6.2976 4.5167
1992:11 10.4763 7.0547 6.3966 4.5535
1992:12 10.619 7.0915 6.3676 4.6394
1993:1 10.4564 7.0049 6.3155 4.6127
1993:2 10.468 6.9911 6.27 4.5941
1993:3 10.3797 6.9286 6.275 4.6066
1993:4 10.1686 6.87 6.2097 4.61
1993:5 10.0523 6.8634 6.1802 4.5633
1993:6 9.857 6.8413 6.1423 4.5421
1993:7 9.8735 6.817 6.0366 4.4772
1993:8 9.7844 6.8531 5.9949 4.4825
1993:9 9.7589 6.8368 5.9952 4.4644
1993:10 9.6931 6.8276 6.0188 4.4243
1993:11 9.6758 6.7208 5.9246 4.3658
1993:12 9.2096 6.3405 5.6784 4.1253
1994:1 9.1044 6.2984 5.561 4.096
1994:2 8.971 6.2278 5.4979 4.069
1994:3 8.9643 6.1876 5.4307 3.9865
1994:4 8.7687 6.1259 5.3737 3.9428
1994:5 8.7676 6.0232 5.248 3.8948
1994:6 8.7637 5.9315 5.1846 3.891
1994:7 8.7327 5.8444 5.1857 3.9274
1994:8 8.6135 5.7295 5.1082 3.8369
1994:9 8.4127 5.6185 5.0234 3.8342
1994:10 8.2876 5.5117 4.9339 3.7926
1994:11 8.0066 5.3905 4.7907 3.7358
1994:12 8.4176 5.6388 4.9994 3.8599
1995:1 8.398 5.5285 4.9691 3.8031
1995:2 8.1527 5.4705 4.928 3.7511
1995:3 8.096 5.4846 4.9101 3.7744
1995:4 8.2252 5.5035 4.93 3.7647
1995:5 8.1299 5.4235 4.8746 3.6707
1995:6 7.9653 5.3798 4.8333 3.5744
1995:7 7.9267 5.3745 4.7916 3.4905
1995:8 8.0352 5.4936 4.9179 3.5496
1995:9 8.0385 5.4898 4.8708 3.5183
1995:10 8.0808 5.4836 4.9018 3.5352
1995:11 8.1869 5.484 4.8854 3.4875
1995:12 8.098 5.4763 4.7645 3.4423
1996:1 7.9729 5.4653 4.7811 3.4367
1996:2 8.3172 5.4596 4.7272 3.4643
1996:3 8.4047 5.3753 4.6783 3.4012
1996:4 8.3091 5.3177 4.5847 3.4621
1996:5 8.2479 5.301 4.6101 3.5014
1996:6 8.2631 5.3486 4.6567 3.5314
1996:7 7.9949 5.2456 4.5976 3.5073
1996:8 7.8115 5.1084 4.535 3.4423
1996:9 7.7076 5.0981 4.5049 3.42
1996:10 7.6912 5.1107 4.4821 3.4197
1996:11 7.5625 5.1202 4.466 3.4243
1996:12 7.5136 5.0256 4.4136 3.3787
1997:1 7.4906 5.0364 4.386 3.3845
1997:2 7.3709 4.9898 4.4059 3.3175
1997:3 7.1685 4.9262 4.3326 3.2744
1997:4 7.2051 4.8778 4.3083 3.1979
1997:5 7.2068 4.8957 4.2656 3.162
1997:6 7.0047 4.8035 4.2106 3.1324
1997:7 7.089 4.7891 4.1696 3.1582
1997:8 7.1088 4.7627 4.1477 3.1541
1997:9 7.1255 4.7033 4.1192 3.1154
1997:10 6.925 4.5751 4.0507 3.032
1997:11 6.9332 4.5217 4.0193 2.9957
1997:12 6.6526 4.4618 3.9724 2.9656
1998:1 6.6809 4.4541 3.9347 2.9179
1998:2 6.6313 4.4701 3.9178 2.9376
1998:3 6.6918 4.43 3.822 2.9075
1998:4 6.6133 4.3982 3.7631 2.8688
1998:5 6.5175 4.3183 3.7314 2.866
1998:6 6.5726 4.353 3.6983 2.859
1998:7 6.4542 4.3266 3.6697 2.7924
1998:8 6.4033 4.3131 3.6247 2.7351
1998:9 6.3757 4.2573 3.6253 2.7358
1998:10 6.4385 4.2689 3.5986 2.7534
1998:11 6.4075 4.2223 3.5918 2.7113
1998:12 6.414 4.1667 3.5516 2.6788
1999:1 6.393 4.1273 3.5268 2.6877
1999:2 6.2921 4.0431 3.441 2.6226
1999:3 6.258 4.0297 3.5147 2.6583
1999:4 6.1839 4.0237 3.5314 2.6551
1999:5 6.1329 4.0018 3.4396 2.6332
1999:6 6.0949 3.9172 3.4905 2.6439
1999:7 6.1514 3.9104 3.5112 2.619
1999:8 6.0396 3.8956 3.5023 2.6528
1999:9 5.9894 3.9117 3.4833 2.6303
1999:10 5.8923 3.8643 3.4454 2.6198
1999:11 5.8262 3.8609 3.4412 2.6322
1999:12 5.8124 3.8234 3.4331 2.6009
2000:1 5.7459 3.7217 3.4054 2.5659
2000:2 5.7531 3.7118 3.3841 2.5442
2000:3 5.6612 3.6686 3.3476 2.5064
2000:4 5.7282 3.6594 3.3561 2.5194
2000:5 5.6708 3.6554 3.4144 2.5173
2000:6 5.558 3.6521 3.3656 2.5015
2000:7 5.5067 3.6471 3.3771 2.5115
2000:8 5.5447 3.6585 3.344 2.4812
2000:9 5.5835 3.6188 3.3173 2.4616
2000:10 5.6341 3.6757 3.3433 2.4362
2000:11 5.5756 3.6389 3.2972 2.4082
2000:12 5.6421 3.7076 3.3397 2.4176
2001:1 5.7486 3.7749 3.386 2.4389
2001:2 5.8208 3.7973 3.3939 2.4655
2001:3 5.9117 3.8808 3.4314 2.5133
2001:4 5.8419 3.9295 3.4177 2.5075
2001:5 5.8989 3.9396 3.4345 2.5021
2001:6 6.1028 3.9396 3.4306 2.4958
2001:7 6.2142 3.996 3.4657 2.5614
2001:8 6.2747 4.0539 3.5531 2.6114
2001:9 6.3202 4.1997 3.678 2.7507
2001:10 6.5343 4.3552 3.7991 2.9153
2001:11 6.8028 4.5035 3.9169 3.0244
2001:12 7.0932 4.681 4.0498 3.1237
2002:1 7.1822 4.7696 4.1457 3.1898
2002:2 7.3195 4.938 4.2979 3.3076
2002:3 7.4408 5.0362 4.4633 3.4167
2002:4 7.6521 5.1579 4.5842 3.5505
2002:5 7.8153 5.3502 4.7259 3.6903
2002:6 7.8212 5.4921 4.8463 3.7766
2002:7 7.9101 5.552 4.9037 3.8323
2002:8 8.0123 5.5666 4.9581 3.8751
2002:9 8.1575 5.6061 4.999 3.9052
2002:10 8.2487 5.634 5.0357 3.8966
2002:11 8.254 5.76 5.1518 3.9463
2002:12 8.2463 5.7207 5.1198 3.9814
2003:1 8.2764 5.7965 5.136 4.0187
2003:2 8.3567 5.8024 5.1316 4.0245
2003:3 8.3079 5.8265 5.0382 3.9949
2003:4 8.3494 5.8339 5.1018 3.9633
2003:5 8.3987 5.8538 5.1523 3.9761
2003:6 8.5074 5.8943 5.183 3.9633
2003:7 8.572 5.9075 5.1977 3.9531
2003:8 8.6343 5.9428 5.1527 3.9313
2003:9 8.6581 6.0135 5.1061 3.9131
2003:10 8.626 5.9355 5.1001 3.8772
2003:11 8.6769 5.8968 5.015 3.8586
2003:12 8.7652 5.8543 5.0043 3.8365
2004:1 8.7433 5.831 4.9836 3.8055
2004:2 8.7626 5.8278 5.0052 3.7895
2004:3 8.7083 5.7836 4.9966 3.7981
2004:4 8.5302 5.7033 4.9248 3.7948
2004:5 8.4703 5.5825 4.8328 3.7326
2004:6 8.4166 5.5222 4.754 3.7704
2004:7 8.2912 5.4993 4.6984 3.7723
2004:8 8.1731 5.4688 4.7004 3.7747
2004:9 8.02 5.3368 4.6819 3.7191
2004:10 7.9771 5.3288 4.6637 3.7198
2004:11 7.8517 5.2468 4.6402 3.6836
2004:12 7.4928 5.2078 4.5693 3.6498
2005:1 7.4571 5.1598 4.5542 3.6124
2005:2 7.3305 5.1187 4.4507 3.5778
2005:3 7.3695 5.0238 4.4011 3.5085
2005:4 7.3579 5.0093 4.3491 3.4389
2005:5 7.2503 5.0144 4.3248 3.4291
2005:6 7.1524 4.9826 4.342 3.3727
2005:7 7.1385 4.9348 4.3015 3.2864
2005:8 7.182 4.9355 4.2677 3.2612
2005:9 7.1203 4.8974 4.2322 3.2429
2005:10 6.9226 4.8553 4.1692 3.2237
2005:11 6.9362 4.8155 4.1529 3.228
2005:12 6.8381 4.7529 4.1376 3.1774
2006:1 6.7913 4.7477 4.0891 3.1868
2006:2 6.8253 4.6508 4.1004 3.2027
2006:3 6.75 4.6975 4.107 3.1912
2006:4 6.8127 4.6578 4.0762 3.1854
2006:5 6.8181 4.5828 4.0719 3.1351
2006:6 6.8172 4.5704 4.0484 3.0866
2006:7 6.7345 4.5442 4.0376 3.0532
2006:8 6.5576 4.4844 4.0113 3.0309
2006:9 6.5153 4.4251 3.9697 2.9924
2006:10 6.5106 4.3791 3.9232 2.9119
2006:11 6.5013 4.3643 3.8818 2.8646
2006:12 6.6338 4.3794 3.9305 2.9156
2007:1 6.5984 4.3799 3.9098 2.8715
2007:2 6.4427 4.3731 3.8461 2.805
2007:3 6.4937 4.3699 3.8557 2.7991
2007:4 6.3857 4.389 3.8326 2.8073
2007:5 6.3208 4.3854 3.8304 2.8191
2007:6 6.3124 4.4276 3.8123 2.8748
2007:7 6.2865 4.4438 3.8237 2.9284
2007:8 6.4332 4.514 3.8226 2.9251
2007:9 6.4725 4.5984 3.872 2.9542
2007:10 6.5201 4.6232 3.8848 3.0079
2007:11 6.6164 4.656 3.9057 3.044
2007:12 6.7688 4.6727 3.8447 3.0061
2008:1 6.7797 4.6375 3.8616 3.0133
2008:2 7.1282 4.7481 3.9483 3.0629
2008:3 7.1306 4.7705 3.9699 3.0493
2008:4 7.3556 4.863 4.1019 3.085
2008:5 7.5865 5.018 4.1273 3.1263
2008:6 7.8014 5.0358 4.2039 3.171
2008:7 8.027 5.1897 4.3825 3.311
2008:8 8.2011 5.2914 4.508 3.3794
2008:9 8.5528 5.4652 4.6583 3.514
2008:10 8.9296 5.7334 4.8562 3.6334
2008:11 9.298 6.1563 5.0963 3.8229
2008:12 9.8673 6.7042 5.6117 4.1861
2009:1 10.5643 7.199 6.0509 4.4231
2009:2 10.9193 7.6148 6.3966 4.6804
2009:3 11.4075 7.9126 6.6803 4.9114
2009:4 11.8245 8.3077 6.9674 5.1995
2009:5 12.3705 8.7465 7.4937 5.5506
2009:6 12.871 9.1998 7.8681 5.8448
2009:7 13.2819 9.5068 8.0281 5.9915
2009:8 13.6372 9.8283 8.2418 6.2443
2009:9 14.0435 10.1603 8.4992 6.3954
2009:10 14.2653 10.2862 8.7678 6.5435
2009:11 14.8061 10.4607 9.0307 6.7165
2009:12 15.0433 10.5199 9.1136 6.7182
2010:1 15.0395 10.4365 9.071 6.8085
2010:2 15.222 10.3967 9.0359 6.811
2010:3 15.4227 10.3277 8.9814 6.8385
2010:4 15.4226 10.2962 8.9195 6.8758
2010:5 15.4426 10.1976 8.7544 6.8641
2010:6 15.3647 10.1965 8.6813 6.9127
2010:7 15.4628 10.2744 8.8042 6.9361
2010:8 15.3608 10.2458 8.8183 6.8535
2010:9 15.1806 10.1725 8.7663 6.8405
2010:10 15.467 10.2543 8.754 6.918
2010:11 15.0349 10.0832 8.5837 6.7986
Return to Figure 13a

Figure 13b: counterfactual unemployment rates (25 + years of age): The role of Employment-Inactivity transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 6.9088 5.8128 5.616 5.0852
1977:1 6.8615 5.7858 5.6115 5.0685
1977:2 6.767 5.724 5.5633 5.0375
1977:3 6.7169 5.6741 5.525 5.0062
1977:4 6.6538 5.636 5.5005 4.9785
1977:5 6.6129 5.5968 5.4656 4.9125
1977:6 6.5555 5.51 5.3599 4.823
1977:7 6.522 5.5055 5.3469 4.7914
1977:8 6.4331 5.4232 5.2594 4.7557
1977:9 6.3806 5.3964 5.2547 4.7329
1977:10 6.2912 5.3146 5.1641 4.6932
1977:11 6.2154 5.2207 5.0858 4.6229
1977:12 5.7881 4.8762 4.747 4.3411
1978:1 5.5932 4.6891 4.5808 4.2168
1978:2 5.5757 4.6347 4.5707 4.1884
1978:3 5.4653 4.5156 4.4564 4.0688
1978:4 5.4911 4.5383 4.4877 4.101
1978:5 5.3324 4.4004 4.3642 3.9771
1978:6 5.2757 4.3763 4.3362 3.9664
1978:7 5.2142 4.2812 4.2537 3.8985
1978:8 5.1798 4.2453 4.2317 3.8477
1978:9 5.1114 4.1782 4.1326 3.7902
1978:10 5.0209 4.0928 4.0467 3.7243
1978:11 5.002 4.1189 4.0404 3.7225
1978:12 5.2174 4.3073 4.233 3.8689
1979:1 5.228 4.3195 4.2346 3.8471
1979:2 5.163 4.2836 4.1883 3.7967
1979:3 5.2287 4.3451 4.2448 3.8435
1979:4 5.1525 4.2631 4.1792 3.7538
1979:5 5.17 4.2689 4.1798 3.7724
1979:6 5.11 4.1988 4.1095 3.6896
1979:7 5.1559 4.2289 4.1563 3.7569
1979:8 5.1597 4.2279 4.1328 3.7569
1979:9 5.1772 4.2633 4.1816 3.7923
1979:10 5.2189 4.3173 4.2192 3.8326
1979:11 5.193 4.2644 4.2009 3.7645
1979:12 5.2819 4.3441 4.2793 3.8793
1980:1 5.3132 4.3763 4.3009 3.9308
1980:2 5.4245 4.4519 4.3657 4.0377
1980:3 5.5521 4.5757 4.4645 4.1618
1980:4 5.6893 4.7617 4.618 4.3286
1980:5 5.8787 4.928 4.7793 4.4739
1980:6 6.0703 5.1208 4.9637 4.7002
1980:7 6.127 5.2249 5.0423 4.7438
1980:8 6.2203 5.3269 5.1359 4.8362
1980:9 6.3495 5.4151 5.2348 4.9239
1980:10 6.4601 5.4854 5.302 4.9726
1980:11 6.5751 5.6199 5.3929 5.1163
1980:12 6.7367 5.7537 5.4932 5.1858
1981:1 6.8482 5.8178 5.58 5.2467
1981:2 6.8846 5.8701 5.6453 5.3045
1981:3 6.7871 5.802 5.5883 5.2369
1981:4 6.7658 5.7396 5.5469 5.1941
1981:5 6.8025 5.76 5.5359 5.2226
1981:6 6.7672 5.7054 5.5078 5.1587
1981:7 6.819 5.6967 5.5023 5.184
1981:8 6.9405 5.7585 5.584 5.2403
1981:9 6.9676 5.782 5.6191 5.2696
1981:10 7.1062 5.9219 5.7564 5.4037
1981:11 7.3508 6.1443 5.9468 5.5822
1981:12 7.4786 6.2514 6.081 5.7036
1982:1 7.5684 6.4107 6.1858 5.8274
1982:2 7.7603 6.574 6.3429 5.9795
1982:3 8.0375 6.7847 6.5453 6.2047
1982:4 8.214 6.9735 6.7907 6.3743
1982:5 8.4445 7.1953 6.9725 6.5294
1982:6 8.776 7.4918 7.2574 6.8398
1982:7 8.9379 7.6443 7.4226 6.9982
1982:8 9.1062 7.7984 7.6033 7.1703
1982:9 9.4111 8.0345 7.8391 7.4033
1982:10 9.7013 8.2326 8.0509 7.6301
1982:11 9.8806 8.3635 8.2779 7.7835
1982:12 10.0993 8.5736 8.4828 8.0052
1983:1 10.2187 8.7033 8.6055 8.1101
1983:2 10.2932 8.7844 8.6528 8.1549
1983:3 10.3615 8.822 8.6846 8.1511
1983:4 10.4813 8.8401 8.6377 8.1619
1983:5 10.5513 8.8371 8.6658 8.1736
1983:6 10.3869 8.6627 8.5226 7.9701
1983:7 10.3868 8.6246 8.4786 7.8928
1983:8 10.271 8.5521 8.3361 7.807
1983:9 10.0542 8.3901 8.1645 7.6341
1983:10 9.7328 8.1518 7.8877 7.3907
1983:11 9.507 7.9597 7.6376 7.1825
1983:12 9.2292 7.686 7.3704 6.8749
1984:1 9.0728 7.4995 7.2303 6.7216
1984:2 8.8957 7.3279 7.0628 6.5449
1984:3 8.7197 7.1725 6.9231 6.3861
1984:4 8.4749 7.0065 6.7579 6.2362
1984:5 8.1623 6.7717 6.5353 6.0223
1984:6 8.1189 6.7304 6.4799 6.0033
1984:7 7.9622 6.626 6.4049 5.8975
1984:8 7.8858 6.5092 6.3736 5.797
1984:9 7.8796 6.4515 6.2972 5.7763
1984:10 7.8455 6.4259 6.2606 5.7267
1984:11 7.7776 6.3524 6.1784 5.6693
1984:12 7.7416 6.3312 6.1445 5.6947
1985:1 7.7551 6.2753 6.0807 5.6658
1985:2 7.7209 6.2273 6.0627 5.6315
1985:3 7.7651 6.2521 6.0939 5.664
1985:4 7.7873 6.2622 6.0984 5.6887
1985:5 7.8732 6.3535 6.1796 5.7981
1985:6 7.8003 6.2946 6.1204 5.6922
1985:7 7.7777 6.2654 6.057 5.6765
1985:8 7.7968 6.3023 6.0408 5.703
1985:9 7.8139 6.3665 6.1012 5.7371
1985:10 7.8252 6.3417 6.0947 5.7357
1985:11 7.7204 6.2555 6.0215 5.6941
1985:12 7.5209 6.0977 5.8653 5.5252
1986:1 7.664 6.1674 5.9529 5.6002
1986:2 7.6888 6.2114 5.9768 5.6289
1986:3 7.5553 6.153 5.8941 5.5739
1986:4 7.59 6.1762 5.9139 5.5762
1986:5 7.4891 6.0538 5.8567 5.4372
1986:6 7.5219 6.0845 5.8712 5.4912
1986:7 7.5372 6.0811 5.8473 5.4944
1986:8 7.5266 6.064 5.8215 5.49
1986:9 7.4727 6.0087 5.7798 5.4473
1986:10 7.4597 6.0188 5.7962 5.4597
1986:11 7.3812 5.9939 5.755 5.4129
1986:12 7.4667 6.048 5.7803 5.4618
1987:1 7.2419 5.9394 5.6585 5.3622
1987:2 7.1497 5.8794 5.6241 5.3179
1987:3 7.0575 5.7926 5.5591 5.2757
1987:4 6.9305 5.7002 5.4966 5.2167
1987:5 6.8253 5.6442 5.4348 5.1557
1987:6 6.7178 5.5776 5.3708 5.0823
1987:7 6.6349 5.5422 5.3641 5.0451
1987:8 6.5059 5.4716 5.2947 4.9608
1987:9 6.3896 5.3803 5.2003 4.8646
1987:10 6.2847 5.2695 5.1127 4.7707
1987:11 6.2559 5.2124 5.0652 4.733
1987:12 6.1845 5.1229 4.9999 4.686
1988:1 6.1272 5.0523 4.9321 4.6097
1988:2 6.0484 4.9354 4.8 4.5086
1988:3 6.0062 4.8981 4.7472 4.439
1988:4 5.9912 4.8875 4.7372 4.4276
1988:5 5.9207 4.8131 4.6406 4.3562
1988:6 5.8815 4.7593 4.5775 4.2921
1988:7 5.8309 4.7209 4.5267 4.2551
1988:8 5.834 4.7057 4.5152 4.2423
1988:9 5.8044 4.6921 4.482 4.2064
1988:10 5.7676 4.6704 4.4549 4.1656
1988:11 5.7393 4.6435 4.4203 4.1515
1988:12 5.5843 4.5816 4.3538 4.0596
1989:1 5.5685 4.5731 4.3458 4.0442
1989:2 5.546 4.5609 4.3377 4.0288
1989:3 5.6402 4.5997 4.3858 4.0681
1989:4 5.6362 4.5631 4.3326 4.0163
1989:5 5.6739 4.564 4.3446 4.0219
1989:6 5.6859 4.5733 4.3785 4.0551
1989:7 5.6771 4.5427 4.3638 4.0311
1989:8 5.6583 4.5369 4.3534 4.0232
1989:9 5.6881 4.5419 4.3631 4.0516
1989:10 5.6448 4.5362 4.3652 4.069
1989:11 5.6754 4.5178 4.3781 4.0613
1989:12 5.7416 4.5547 4.4156 4.1263
1990:1 5.7601 4.5573 4.4168 4.14
1990:2 5.8048 4.604 4.45 4.18
1990:3 5.7534 4.6065 4.4352 4.2
1990:4 5.7303 4.6009 4.4245 4.2006
1990:5 5.7211 4.62 4.4411 4.2184
1990:6 5.7724 4.6529 4.459 4.267
1990:7 5.7993 4.6937 4.4911 4.2854
1990:8 5.85 4.7284 4.5318 4.3119
1990:9 5.8748 4.7518 4.5764 4.3369
1990:10 5.9933 4.8563 4.6569 4.4022
1990:11 6.0944 4.9726 4.76 4.4991
1990:12 6.3799 5.1751 4.9359 4.6465
1991:1 6.5181 5.3251 5.074 4.7864
1991:2 6.671 5.4483 5.2169 4.9205
1991:3 6.7359 5.4877 5.281 4.9574
1991:4 6.8969 5.6161 5.4078 5.0852
1991:5 7.0739 5.7474 5.5169 5.2172
1991:6 7.0984 5.8097 5.5715 5.2492
1991:7 7.2157 5.9013 5.657 5.3443
1991:8 7.2662 5.9409 5.6855 5.3871
1991:9 7.3309 6.018 5.7415 5.4381
1991:10 7.4608 6.0628 5.7916 5.4974
1991:11 7.5672 6.1671 5.8745 5.5657
1991:12 7.5343 6.1767 5.9 5.5745
1992:1 7.6673 6.2482 5.9782 5.6025
1992:2 7.7425 6.3078 5.9869 5.6378
1992:3 7.8554 6.3994 6.0539 5.7183
1992:4 7.9173 6.433 6.0911 5.7357
1992:5 7.9922 6.5356 6.1893 5.8356
1992:6 8.1268 6.6038 6.2787 5.8877
1992:7 8.233 6.6314 6.3167 5.9231
1992:8 8.329 6.6889 6.4008 5.991
1992:9 8.3655 6.7063 6.4348 6.0144
1992:10 8.3135 6.668 6.4293 5.9828
1992:11 8.3513 6.683 6.4767 5.981
1992:12 8.444 6.7012 6.517 6.0398
1993:1 8.316 6.6243 6.4537 5.9819
1993:2 8.2767 6.597 6.4511 5.9535
1993:3 8.2688 6.567 6.4263 5.9109
1993:4 8.1983 6.5055 6.3565 5.8546
1993:5 8.2243 6.4625 6.3052 5.8088
1993:6 8.1603 6.4038 6.2424 5.7867
1993:7 8.1204 6.3426 6.1906 5.7398
1993:8 8.1229 6.3447 6.1714 5.7203
1993:9 8.0749 6.3307 6.1722 5.6967
1993:10 8.0652 6.3242 6.1497 5.6689
1993:11 7.9767 6.2293 6.046 5.6227
1993:12 7.5893 5.9158 5.7353 5.3143
1994:1 7.5363 5.8543 5.6546 5.2441
1994:2 7.5083 5.7892 5.5875 5.1665
1994:3 7.4049 5.7572 5.5353 5.095
1994:4 7.3154 5.6942 5.4578 5.0278
1994:5 7.1773 5.6033 5.4142 4.9368
1994:6 7.1621 5.5502 5.3483 4.8859
1994:7 7.0836 5.5323 5.3175 4.8801
1994:8 6.9487 5.4307 5.2257 4.7865
1994:9 6.9265 5.3456 5.1096 4.7062
1994:10 6.8146 5.2535 5.0115 4.6453
1994:11 6.7231 5.1403 4.8587 4.509
1994:12 6.9541 5.3776 5.0632 4.7249
1995:1 6.8843 5.3029 4.9986 4.6738
1995:2 6.7837 5.2381 4.9293 4.6008
1995:3 6.8124 5.2311 4.9314 4.5929
1995:4 6.807 5.2456 4.9833 4.6089
1995:5 6.7493 5.175 4.8966 4.517
1995:6 6.6421 5.1195 4.85 4.4139
1995:7 6.5866 5.103 4.8179 4.3381
1995:8 6.7394 5.2175 4.8992 4.4279
1995:9 6.7205 5.178 4.8781 4.42
1995:10 6.75 5.2162 4.8778 4.4141
1995:11 6.7218 5.1866 4.9007 4.4058
1995:12 6.6272 5.1436 4.8777 4.2965
1996:1 6.6426 5.1263 4.8515 4.2842
1996:2 6.6514 5.1445 4.8465 4.3607
1996:3 6.518 5.0657 4.808 4.3623
1996:4 6.4694 5.0256 4.7601 4.3371
1996:5 6.4906 5.0337 4.7401 4.3615
1996:6 6.5674 5.0268 4.7666 4.4535
1996:7 6.4258 4.9355 4.6852 4.3884
1996:8 6.2978 4.813 4.5963 4.3106
1996:9 6.2171 4.7988 4.5572 4.2918
1996:10 6.1943 4.7777 4.5729 4.2946
1996:11 6.1385 4.7669 4.5544 4.2967
1996:12 6.0842 4.6808 4.4877 4.2573
1997:1 6.0712 4.6709 4.4914 4.255
1997:2 5.9723 4.6369 4.4805 4.1937
1997:3 5.9179 4.5556 4.3979 4.1225
1997:4 5.8705 4.5225 4.3395 4.0924
1997:5 5.8441 4.5014 4.3247 4.0841
1997:6 5.7327 4.4514 4.2563 3.9805
1997:7 5.7285 4.4488 4.2552 3.9876
1997:8 5.6829 4.4544 4.2415 3.9613
1997:9 5.6365 4.4091 4.2226 3.9172
1997:10 5.4972 4.3173 4.1031 3.8158
1997:11 5.4395 4.2844 4.0834 3.7697
1997:12 5.3635 4.2014 4.0106 3.7097
1998:1 5.3322 4.1834 3.9741 3.6888
1998:2 5.3612 4.1797 3.9629 3.6944
1998:3 5.2804 4.145 3.9172 3.6616
1998:4 5.2175 4.0997 3.8758 3.6149
1998:5 5.1353 4.0537 3.8345 3.576
1998:6 5.1113 4.0645 3.8257 3.602
1998:7 5.0667 4.017 3.7804 3.5465
1998:8 5.0238 3.9755 3.7384 3.5131
1998:9 4.9903 3.95 3.7057 3.5105
1998:10 4.9797 3.9503 3.7152 3.5294
1998:11 4.9266 3.9132 3.6692 3.5146
1998:12 4.8732 3.8779 3.6227 3.4829
1999:1 4.8325 3.8556 3.6116 3.4619
1999:2 4.7334 3.7651 3.5367 3.3893
1999:3 4.7674 3.7823 3.5552 3.4147
1999:4 4.7955 3.7605 3.5588 3.401
1999:5 4.7287 3.7278 3.5118 3.3532
1999:6 4.73 3.7089 3.4978 3.3328
1999:7 4.7361 3.7068 3.5054 3.3283
1999:8 4.757 3.6976 3.4866 3.3163
1999:9 4.7525 3.6881 3.4773 3.2959
1999:10 4.7405 3.6475 3.4322 3.2553
1999:11 4.7665 3.6408 3.4314 3.2352
1999:12 4.7068 3.6033 3.4258 3.2089
2000:1 4.6311 3.5479 3.3667 3.1563
2000:2 4.619 3.541 3.3456 3.1349
2000:3 4.5927 3.5038 3.296 3.079
2000:4 4.5907 3.5253 3.2913 3.0937
2000:5 4.5711 3.5178 3.321 3.1024
2000:6 4.5107 3.4887 3.3012 3.0696
2000:7 4.4857 3.4942 3.2865 3.0853
2000:8 4.4284 3.4865 3.2844 3.0811
2000:9 4.3775 3.4718 3.2647 3.0597
2000:10 4.3792 3.4848 3.2969 3.0873
2000:11 4.2895 3.4566 3.245 3.0639
2000:12 4.3702 3.4947 3.2918 3.0968
2001:1 4.4153 3.5502 3.3417 3.1461
2001:2 4.4517 3.5656 3.3599 3.181
2001:3 4.5117 3.6289 3.4221 3.2383
2001:4 4.5251 3.627 3.4248 3.2412
2001:5 4.562 3.6344 3.4292 3.2576
2001:6 4.5598 3.6558 3.4506 3.2765
2001:7 4.6383 3.7141 3.5139 3.3234
2001:8 4.7814 3.7803 3.5633 3.3705
2001:9 4.9371 3.9065 3.6971 3.4848
2001:10 5.0833 4.0609 3.8552 3.6378
2001:11 5.2862 4.1925 4.0076 3.7521
2001:12 5.4412 4.3529 4.1328 3.9231
2002:1 5.5323 4.4356 4.214 4.0042
2002:2 5.7366 4.5926 4.3556 4.122
2002:3 5.8955 4.715 4.471 4.2389
2002:4 6.0636 4.8496 4.5998 4.3665
2002:5 6.2577 5.0167 4.7405 4.5189
2002:6 6.3483 5.1111 4.8452 4.6358
2002:7 6.3732 5.1779 4.9156 4.6911
2002:8 6.3858 5.2129 4.9596 4.7491
2002:9 6.4952 5.249 4.9882 4.8015
2002:10 6.5769 5.2732 5.0163 4.8057
2002:11 6.6711 5.351 5.109 4.8937
2002:12 6.6943 5.3481 5.0909 4.8628
2003:1 6.788 5.3976 5.1247 4.8914
2003:2 6.7517 5.3949 5.1603 4.9046
2003:3 6.6783 5.3643 5.1346 4.8764
2003:4 6.6767 5.3846 5.1521 4.8853
2003:5 6.7287 5.4119 5.177 4.9119
2003:6 6.7897 5.4448 5.1997 4.9263
2003:7 6.8179 5.4436 5.1981 4.9547
2003:8 6.7568 5.4395 5.2088 4.9581
2003:9 6.7593 5.4398 5.2262 4.957
2003:10 6.7465 5.4004 5.177 4.9142
2003:11 6.6806 5.3761 5.1243 4.8867
2003:12 6.6606 5.3421 5.1435 4.8621
2004:1 6.6033 5.3114 5.1238 4.8445
2004:2 6.598 5.3216 5.1054 4.856
2004:3 6.5602 5.3106 5.089 4.8323
2004:4 6.439 5.2569 5.0342 4.7716
2004:5 6.3227 5.1584 4.9645 4.6844
2004:6 6.3045 5.1315 4.931 4.6383
2004:7 6.302 5.1063 4.8991 4.5852
2004:8 6.3397 5.0909 4.8761 4.5485
2004:9 6.2283 5.031 4.7766 4.4811
2004:10 6.2207 5.0295 4.7391 4.4783
2004:11 6.1622 4.9675 4.6869 4.4243
2004:12 6.0537 4.9157 4.5664 4.3655
2005:1 6.0778 4.8674 4.531 4.3269
2005:2 6.0055 4.8036 4.4604 4.2682
2005:3 5.9595 4.7297 4.3964 4.2165
2005:4 5.9201 4.6649 4.3607 4.1866
2005:5 5.8718 4.6417 4.3355 4.1857
2005:6 5.8437 4.602 4.3033 4.1592
2005:7 5.785 4.545 4.2437 4.1109
2005:8 5.7487 4.5293 4.2325 4.1055
2005:9 5.6973 4.4971 4.2146 4.0632
2005:10 5.5764 4.4475 4.1859 4.0001
2005:11 5.5788 4.4303 4.1669 3.9889
2005:12 5.4965 4.3769 4.1191 3.9447
2006:1 5.3841 4.3618 4.1199 3.9374
2006:2 5.3903 4.3355 4.109 3.9156
2006:3 5.3624 4.3424 4.1142 3.9267
2006:4 5.3499 4.3264 4.1066 3.9005
2006:5 5.292 4.2885 4.0843 3.85
2006:6 5.2538 4.2633 4.0549 3.8261
2006:7 5.1798 4.24 4.0257 3.8004
2006:8 5.1205 4.1981 3.9728 3.7466
2006:9 5.039 4.1465 3.9344 3.7084
2006:10 4.9325 4.0832 3.8871 3.6717
2006:11 4.8513 4.0615 3.8611 3.6355
2006:12 4.887 4.1135 3.9256 3.6683
2007:1 4.8781 4.1048 3.8884 3.6372
2007:2 4.8143 4.0592 3.818 3.5828
2007:3 4.8635 4.0625 3.8154 3.5794
2007:4 4.8588 4.062 3.7925 3.5728
2007:5 4.8903 4.0615 3.7709 3.5663
2007:6 4.8874 4.0835 3.8052 3.5908
2007:7 4.9485 4.1034 3.8285 3.6042
2007:8 4.9757 4.1368 3.8634 3.6342
2007:9 5.0493 4.191 3.8973 3.693
2007:10 5.0999 4.2259 3.9192 3.7252
2007:11 5.1413 4.2525 3.9776 3.7474
2007:12 5.1622 4.2445 3.9644 3.7246
2008:1 5.1688 4.2455 3.9558 3.7177
2008:2 5.268 4.3513 4.0691 3.8099
2008:3 5.2399 4.3655 4.0866 3.8103
2008:4 5.3338 4.4451 4.1726 3.9271
2008:5 5.4411 4.5285 4.2648 4.0086
2008:6 5.4931 4.5933 4.3153 4.0777
2008:7 5.6641 4.7438 4.4813 4.2458
2008:8 5.8146 4.8465 4.5738 4.3443
2008:9 5.9999 5.0146 4.775 4.4847
2008:10 6.2956 5.2301 4.9663 4.6755
2008:11 6.6864 5.531 5.2254 4.9497
2008:12 7.1559 6.0312 5.7059 5.409
2009:1 7.6365 6.449 6.1083 5.8012
2009:2 8.0577 6.8117 6.4432 6.0955
2009:3 8.4424 7.1032 6.7089 6.3717
2009:4 8.8662 7.4566 7.0608 6.6402
2009:5 9.4206 7.8864 7.4694 7.0883
2009:6 9.8879 8.2702 7.8309 7.4602
2009:7 10.152 8.532 8.0254 7.6536
2009:8 10.3934 8.8237 8.3062 7.9026
2009:9 10.7589 9.1005 8.5549 8.1154
2009:10 10.9368 9.2853 8.7391 8.2865
2009:11 11.1126 9.5579 8.9652 8.4964
2009:12 11.3319 9.5466 9.004 8.5884
2010:1 11.3772 9.5026 9.0102 8.5827
2010:2 11.3714 9.4819 8.9963 8.5907
2010:3 11.4032 9.4548 8.9662 8.604
2010:4 11.4086 9.4373 8.9266 8.607
2010:5 11.2296 9.3787 8.8909 8.5092
2010:6 11.2058 9.3613 8.8806 8.5017
2010:7 11.3202 9.3769 8.9657 8.5993
2010:8 11.3169 9.3286 8.9157 8.5581
2010:9 11.3178 9.2626 8.8375 8.5094
2010:10 11.3874 9.3579 8.9177 8.5596
2010:11 11.2865 9.1263 8.7416 8.4015
Return to Figure 13b

Figure 13c: counterfactual unemployment rates (25 + years of age): The role of Unemployment-Employment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 5.9467 5.9681 5.8265 5.8877
1977:1 6.0085 5.914 5.7786 5.6923
1977:2 5.9135 5.8448 5.8523 5.5823
1977:3 5.9099 5.7609 5.7968 5.5093
1977:4 5.8942 5.7079 5.7112 5.4741
1977:5 5.863 5.6773 5.6309 5.376
1977:6 5.787 5.6111 5.5555 5.2304
1977:7 5.7465 5.5679 5.5947 5.275
1977:8 5.6561 5.4965 5.5232 5.2088
1977:9 5.6789 5.4439 5.5016 5.1142
1977:10 5.5956 5.3835 5.3945 5.0569
1977:11 5.5174 5.3016 5.3008 4.99
1977:12 5.1684 4.9494 4.971 4.6381
1978:1 4.955 4.8041 4.7503 4.5379
1978:2 4.9886 4.7481 4.6014 4.4966
1978:3 4.8629 4.6427 4.514 4.3311
1978:4 4.8591 4.686 4.5818 4.3379
1978:5 4.724 4.5374 4.4725 4.1812
1978:6 4.6746 4.4962 4.4641 4.1639
1978:7 4.59 4.4569 4.3651 3.9813
1978:8 4.5428 4.4209 4.3153 3.9827
1978:9 4.4588 4.3174 4.2688 3.9809
1978:10 4.3737 4.2021 4.1702 4.0015
1978:11 4.3328 4.1971 4.2207 4.0513
1978:12 4.5405 4.3922 4.427 4.1293
1979:1 4.5625 4.3693 4.4714 4.0911
1979:2 4.4911 4.3458 4.3955 4.071
1979:3 4.5926 4.394 4.3746 4.1273
1979:4 4.5475 4.2802 4.2746 4.0514
1979:5 4.5661 4.2782 4.2723 4.0817
1979:6 4.4775 4.2172 4.2108 4.0205
1979:7 4.5352 4.2532 4.2169 4.0905
1979:8 4.5373 4.255 4.1988 4.0704
1979:9 4.5744 4.2896 4.226 4.0999
1979:10 4.6191 4.3421 4.3141 4.0568
1979:11 4.5753 4.3236 4.257 3.9516
1979:12 4.669 4.3834 4.3395 4.0714
1980:1 4.7036 4.4245 4.2977 4.1606
1980:2 4.8009 4.5206 4.3833 4.1739
1980:3 4.9066 4.6658 4.4957 4.2478
1980:4 5.0954 4.8719 4.5717 4.3457
1980:5 5.2701 5.0328 4.7402 4.4872
1980:6 5.5229 5.2049 4.8769 4.7069
1980:7 5.5883 5.2802 5.003 4.7253
1980:8 5.6766 5.3763 5.1077 4.804
1980:9 5.7699 5.4978 5.1806 4.8592
1980:10 5.851 5.5568 5.2277 4.9693
1980:11 6.0115 5.667 5.3071 5.0953
1980:12 6.0702 5.8346 5.4287 5.2032
1981:1 6.1297 5.956 5.5019 5.2161
1981:2 6.1776 6.0009 5.5768 5.253
1981:3 6.0766 5.891 5.6102 5.2327
1981:4 6.0268 5.8089 5.6262 5.2107
1981:5 6.0261 5.8183 5.6442 5.3493
1981:6 5.9569 5.7967 5.5969 5.2685
1981:7 5.9796 5.7983 5.5859 5.3073
1981:8 6.099 5.858 5.6576 5.342
1981:9 6.1147 5.9112 5.6576 5.3681
1981:10 6.2537 6.0707 5.783 5.4439
1981:11 6.4265 6.3267 5.9679 5.6256
1981:12 6.6044 6.4626 5.935 5.7692
1982:1 6.67 6.549 6.1942 5.9663
1982:2 6.771 6.7496 6.3909 6.1481
1982:3 7.0183 7.0026 6.5457 6.2908
1982:4 7.1977 7.2135 6.6917 6.5326
1982:5 7.4012 7.4367 6.8594 6.6287
1982:6 7.6716 7.7757 7.1764 6.8345
1982:7 7.8602 7.9313 7.3356 6.9039
1982:8 8.0593 8.055 7.5674 7.0351
1982:9 8.3793 8.2397 7.8433 7.2521
1982:10 8.5761 8.4985 8.0321 7.4782
1982:11 8.7696 8.7244 8.1216 7.5372
1982:12 9.0247 8.88 8.439 7.6187
1983:1 9.1899 9.0448 8.4268 7.6577
1983:2 9.314 9.0707 8.454 7.713
1983:3 9.3313 9.1073 8.4141 7.9045
1983:4 9.3829 9.1296 8.431 7.836
1983:5 9.5213 9.1486 8.3264 7.8188
1983:6 9.3472 8.9136 8.1955 7.7937
1983:7 9.3117 8.8455 8.2226 7.7368
1983:8 9.1989 8.8041 8.0432 7.6196
1983:9 9.0039 8.6657 7.802 7.4659
1983:10 8.7436 8.3831 7.5671 7.201
1983:11 8.4921 8.0869 7.4302 7.1432
1983:12 8.1455 7.8534 7.0947 6.9596
1984:1 8.0178 7.6668 6.9361 6.7886
1984:2 7.8774 7.4856 6.7462 6.5852
1984:3 7.7817 7.2741 6.705 6.2755
1984:4 7.547 7.0712 6.6676 6.1212
1984:5 7.2131 6.8377 6.5049 5.9065
1984:6 7.2368 6.7852 6.4226 5.8217
1984:7 7.1017 6.7266 6.2208 5.7399
1984:8 6.9628 6.6817 6.1019 5.6859
1984:9 6.911 6.6246 6.1014 5.6285
1984:10 6.9 6.5601 6.0581 5.6424
1984:11 6.8724 6.4448 6.0007 5.6111
1984:12 6.9599 6.355 6.0137 5.5871
1985:1 6.8827 6.3212 5.9718 5.5898
1985:2 6.799 6.288 5.9526 5.6311
1985:3 6.7897 6.307 5.9962 5.7899
1985:4 6.8379 6.319 5.9224 5.854
1985:5 6.9125 6.3971 6.1342 5.8399
1985:6 6.8072 6.3491 6.0736 5.75
1985:7 6.7731 6.2908 6.0734 5.7339
1985:8 6.7996 6.2677 6.2091 5.7012
1985:9 6.8065 6.3144 6.2941 5.7807
1985:10 6.8177 6.3136 6.2669 5.719
1985:11 6.6972 6.285 6.222 5.5145
1985:12 6.4564 6.2114 5.9786 5.3156
1986:1 6.6059 6.2165 6.1468 5.4292
1986:2 6.6923 6.2294 6.216 5.3476
1986:3 6.5477 6.202 6.1515 5.2228
1986:4 6.5901 6.2283 6.1549 5.1921
1986:5 6.4999 6.1276 5.9077 5.2198
1986:6 6.522 6.1516 5.9763 5.2408
1986:7 6.4977 6.1421 5.9342 5.3683
1986:8 6.5135 6.0956 5.845 5.4459
1986:9 6.4656 6.0472 5.8224 5.3604
1986:10 6.4151 6.0509 5.8822 5.4142
1986:11 6.394 6.0111 5.8338 5.347
1986:12 6.4439 6.0269 5.9619 5.3853
1987:1 6.3046 5.9446 5.772 5.2302
1987:2 6.2247 5.9222 5.6735 5.1999
1987:3 6.2079 5.8392 5.5683 5.0869
1987:4 6.0891 5.736 5.5628 5.0328
1987:5 5.99 5.663 5.5358 5.0069
1987:6 5.9071 5.5747 5.4374 5.0332
1987:7 5.8466 5.5757 5.3894 4.945
1987:8 5.733 5.5256 5.2803 4.8804
1987:9 5.6403 5.4557 5.1273 4.8015
1987:10 5.5825 5.3389 5.011 4.6951
1987:11 5.5446 5.2883 4.9235 4.7131
1987:12 5.4693 5.1987 4.8434 4.7212
1988:1 5.4213 5.1047 4.7826 4.6859
1988:2 5.3032 4.9773 4.6689 4.6448
1988:3 5.2456 4.9338 4.5916 4.6273
1988:4 5.2637 4.9647 4.4968 4.542
1988:5 5.2315 4.8973 4.3748 4.3978
1988:6 5.1614 4.8594 4.3226 4.303
1988:7 5.1892 4.7681 4.2706 4.2755
1988:8 5.1719 4.7505 4.27 4.2715
1988:9 5.1355 4.693 4.2818 4.2767
1988:10 5.0868 4.6607 4.2955 4.2286
1988:11 5.0824 4.5812 4.317 4.2492
1988:12 5.1093 4.5145 4.1699 4.091
1989:1 5.0274 4.536 4.1647 4.0904
1989:2 5.0006 4.5164 4.1651 4.0987
1989:3 5.045 4.5714 4.2 4.1446
1989:4 4.9767 4.5244 4.1846 4.1524
1989:5 5.0073 4.4986 4.2429 4.1531
1989:6 5.0247 4.536 4.2666 4.1378
1989:7 4.9558 4.5363 4.2404 4.1419
1989:8 4.9354 4.5078 4.2601 4.1527
1989:9 4.9568 4.525 4.2703 4.1653
1989:10 4.9922 4.5243 4.2139 4.1858
1989:11 4.923 4.5547 4.2248 4.1835
1989:12 4.8393 4.5936 4.3145 4.3562
1990:1 4.9137 4.5587 4.3277 4.3783
1990:2 4.9811 4.6122 4.3258 4.4042
1990:3 4.9546 4.596 4.3702 4.4151
1990:4 4.9659 4.5485 4.4015 4.4445
1990:5 4.9104 4.5793 4.3836 4.6314
1990:6 4.9702 4.5724 4.4531 4.6979
1990:7 5.0175 4.5979 4.5391 4.6265
1990:8 5.0718 4.6292 4.6214 4.6074
1990:9 5.1114 4.6355 4.6436 4.6873
1990:10 5.1581 4.7325 4.7328 4.8072
1990:11 5.2606 4.8496 4.7907 4.9677
1990:12 5.4972 5.081 4.9502 5.0258
1991:1 5.6726 5.2502 5.0628 5.071
1991:2 5.8149 5.3544 5.268 5.1555
1991:3 5.8609 5.4026 5.2879 5.2402
1991:4 5.9998 5.5469 5.3388 5.4451
1991:5 6.1196 5.7122 5.4589 5.4982
1991:6 6.207 5.7617 5.4245 5.6016
1991:7 6.3133 5.8803 5.4508 5.711
1991:8 6.3491 5.9557 5.4116 5.7575
1991:9 6.4064 6.0501 5.4845 5.7366
1991:10 6.4878 6.0755 5.6207 5.7577
1991:11 6.5307 6.1469 5.8072 5.8177
1991:12 6.3904 6.1662 5.95 5.8454
1992:1 6.3673 6.2194 6.0732 6.0177
1992:2 6.3962 6.2931 6.0651 6.0789
1992:3 6.5127 6.3772 6.1615 6.0793
1992:4 6.4943 6.4214 6.2546 6.0557
1992:5 6.627 6.4962 6.3667 6.1046
1992:6 6.6458 6.6188 6.4737 6.09
1992:7 6.6914 6.6543 6.5489 6.0918
1992:8 6.7654 6.7143 6.6204 6.1764
1992:9 6.7881 6.728 6.6533 6.2228
1992:10 6.7794 6.7152 6.5566 6.2099
1992:11 6.9031 6.7255 6.5299 6.1733
1992:12 7.0029 6.833 6.445 6.1833
1993:1 7.0255 6.7489 6.3574 6.0322
1993:2 7.0196 6.7215 6.32 6.0194
1993:3 6.9684 6.6847 6.2846 6.0562
1993:4 6.8923 6.637 6.1914 6.0177
1993:5 6.9134 6.5575 6.1642 6.0019
1993:6 6.8462 6.5143 6.0979 5.974
1993:7 6.6927 6.4305 6.1346 6.0038
1993:8 6.643 6.467 6.1143 5.9819
1993:9 6.6212 6.4609 6.0677 5.986
1993:10 6.5893 6.4598 6.0784 5.9042
1993:11 6.5627 6.388 5.9408 5.8221
1993:12 6.2776 5.9478 5.6853 5.6401
1994:1 6.1936 5.859 5.6266 5.6284
1994:2 6.1147 5.7669 5.5923 5.5986
1994:3 6.0652 5.7207 5.5435 5.4692
1994:4 6.0302 5.6189 5.5215 5.3262
1994:5 5.9069 5.5493 5.425 5.263
1994:6 5.8788 5.4633 5.3665 5.2642
1994:7 5.9583 5.4513 5.2238 5.2265
1994:8 5.9167 5.2959 5.1362 5.1352
1994:9 5.7826 5.2299 5.0617 5.0507
1994:10 5.6505 5.159 4.9648 4.9825
1994:11 5.4066 5.049 4.885 4.8539
1994:12 5.7303 5.2746 5.0513 5.0239
1995:1 5.5984 5.2586 4.9625 4.9395
1995:2 5.535 5.1807 4.9059 4.829
1995:3 5.5194 5.1767 4.8919 4.8718
1995:4 5.5504 5.1983 4.901 4.9057
1995:5 5.4596 5.1445 4.8389 4.7395
1995:6 5.4062 5.0744 4.7823 4.6147
1995:7 5.3706 5.0366 4.7637 4.5189
1995:8 5.4647 5.1199 4.8739 4.6462
1995:9 5.4829 5.063 4.8598 4.6247
1995:10 5.5361 5.0585 4.838 4.6933
1995:11 5.5604 5.044 4.7787 4.7346
1995:12 5.2242 5.0051 4.8522 4.7653
1996:1 5.2512 4.9429 4.8716 4.7686
1996:2 5.2162 5.0749 4.8474 4.7391
1996:3 5.1666 5.0434 4.7852 4.661
1996:4 5.0972 5.0176 4.7374 4.6492
1996:5 5.1226 4.979 4.7948 4.6512
1996:6 5.1653 5.0129 4.8269 4.7084
1996:7 5.0674 4.9014 4.7472 4.6796
1996:8 5.009 4.7984 4.6256 4.5771
1996:9 4.9495 4.7835 4.6164 4.5264
1996:10 4.8947 4.7619 4.6849 4.5166
1996:11 4.8925 4.7142 4.7212 4.4885
1996:12 4.964 4.6469 4.6023 4.3247
1997:1 4.9244 4.6542 4.6025 4.3144
1997:2 4.9369 4.5522 4.5501 4.3407
1997:3 4.8515 4.4748 4.4867 4.2668
1997:4 4.8252 4.4313 4.4254 4.251
1997:5 4.7686 4.4528 4.379 4.2494
1997:6 4.7387 4.3958 4.2561 4.1543
1997:7 4.7187 4.4066 4.268 4.1384
1997:8 4.7236 4.3661 4.2878 4.1134
1997:9 4.7129 4.3272 4.2158 4.0925
1997:10 4.6483 4.2239 4.0518 3.9988
1997:11 4.566 4.2028 4.0109 3.9876
1997:12 4.4785 4.084 3.9347 4.0547
1998:1 4.4836 4.0491 3.8828 4.0761
1998:2 4.4335 4.0871 3.9038 4.0225
1998:3 4.3885 4.0551 3.8554 3.9668
1998:4 4.3223 4.015 3.8427 3.875
1998:5 4.3013 3.9709 3.7797 3.8173
1998:6 4.2599 3.9549 3.8365 3.8357
1998:7 4.2398 3.9024 3.7879 3.7596
1998:8 4.1334 3.8812 3.7447 3.7444
1998:9 4.1194 3.8438 3.7315 3.7318
1998:10 4.1069 3.8933 3.6904 3.7578
1998:11 4.0999 3.8453 3.6595 3.7115
1998:12 4.0285 3.8008 3.6489 3.681
1999:1 4.0633 3.7608 3.6144 3.6573
1999:2 3.979 3.6444 3.5328 3.6656
1999:3 3.9865 3.6551 3.5533 3.7388
1999:4 3.9893 3.6346 3.537 3.7542
1999:5 3.9822 3.5538 3.4898 3.7491
1999:6 3.9673 3.5561 3.4457 3.7351
1999:7 3.9244 3.5848 3.4696 3.7061
1999:8 3.9281 3.5913 3.4546 3.6615
1999:9 3.9184 3.5833 3.4581 3.628
1999:10 3.8551 3.5023 3.4631 3.6368
1999:11 3.814 3.5391 3.42 3.6472
1999:12 3.7642 3.601 3.3068 3.5826
2000:1 3.6144 3.5931 3.275 3.4767
2000:2 3.5955 3.5748 3.2836 3.4214
2000:3 3.5649 3.5269 3.2283 3.3786
2000:4 3.5984 3.547 3.2123 3.379
2000:5 3.5873 3.5866 3.2454 3.298
2000:6 3.5198 3.5822 3.2196 3.2623
2000:7 3.5341 3.5915 3.1763 3.2849
2000:8 3.508 3.564 3.1677 3.3192
2000:9 3.4583 3.5415 3.1384 3.3305
2000:10 3.5109 3.5624 3.1538 3.3141
2000:11 3.4706 3.5047 3.1496 3.2523
2000:12 3.5653 3.5316 3.2273 3.215
2001:1 3.6581 3.5605 3.2865 3.2517
2001:2 3.6908 3.5817 3.3109 3.2676
2001:3 3.7698 3.6361 3.37 3.3108
2001:4 3.7472 3.6238 3.3805 3.3596
2001:5 3.7057 3.5995 3.386 3.5164
2001:6 3.7242 3.6284 3.3817 3.5627
2001:7 3.7717 3.6862 3.4528 3.6092
2001:8 3.8166 3.7697 3.5314 3.6378
2001:9 3.9246 3.8953 3.6893 3.7504
2001:10 4.0951 4.1015 3.8046 3.8781
2001:11 4.2412 4.2455 3.9095 4.0507
2001:12 4.335 4.3818 4.101 4.2461
2002:1 4.3749 4.4888 4.168 4.3543
2002:2 4.5085 4.6443 4.3034 4.5036
2002:3 4.5711 4.7797 4.4782 4.5947
2002:4 4.679 4.8923 4.6889 4.7053
2002:5 4.814 5.0683 4.8846 4.7841
2002:6 4.9441 5.1071 5.0728 4.8474
2002:7 5.0671 5.1516 5.1285 4.8932
2002:8 5.118 5.2109 5.1586 4.9211
2002:9 5.1763 5.2261 5.2007 5.0032
2002:10 5.153 5.2459 5.2633 5.0112
2002:11 5.2667 5.2821 5.3864 5.1111
2002:12 5.2447 5.2572 5.3684 5.1292
2003:1 5.2407 5.2998 5.4107 5.2213
2003:2 5.2018 5.278 5.4649 5.3026
2003:3 5.1582 5.2398 5.4028 5.3412
2003:4 5.191 5.2755 5.3634 5.3457
2003:5 5.2173 5.3005 5.3872 5.3927
2003:6 5.2365 5.3359 5.386 5.4407
2003:7 5.222 5.3139 5.3851 5.5342
2003:8 5.2018 5.2713 5.4245 5.5502
2003:9 5.2034 5.3023 5.3928 5.5641
2003:10 5.1358 5.2315 5.375 5.5588
2003:11 5.0388 5.2429 5.3045 5.5399
2003:12 4.9698 5.244 5.3111 5.5221
2004:1 4.9311 5.218 5.3134 5.4685
2004:2 4.935 5.2411 5.3323 5.3871
2004:3 4.99 5.21 5.2792 5.3488
2004:4 4.9462 5.1443 5.1857 5.3157
2004:5 4.9085 5.0484 5.0374 5.2707
2004:6 4.9087 5.0072 5.0109 5.2133
2004:7 4.8344 5.0174 5.0084 5.1047
2004:8 4.9261 4.9839 4.9497 5.0824
2004:9 4.9575 4.8815 4.8713 4.9541
2004:10 4.9949 4.8582 4.8433 4.9323
2004:11 4.9657 4.7702 4.8645 4.8011
2004:12 4.9072 4.6951 4.7709 4.7247
2005:1 4.9123 4.6442 4.7009 4.7328
2005:2 4.9148 4.6045 4.5312 4.702
2005:3 4.8345 4.5411 4.4956 4.624
2005:4 4.7408 4.5496 4.454 4.5404
2005:5 4.7998 4.5403 4.4553 4.4194
2005:6 4.7785 4.4919 4.4133 4.4285
2005:7 4.7839 4.4197 4.3307 4.3827
2005:8 4.7325 4.413 4.3028 4.3932
2005:9 4.6338 4.3927 4.281 4.3739
2005:10 4.5895 4.3354 4.2197 4.3274
2005:11 4.5853 4.3398 4.1823 4.299
2005:12 4.6099 4.2235 4.1952 4.195
2006:1 4.5572 4.2479 4.1777 4.1372
2006:2 4.4992 4.2076 4.2323 4.0887
2006:3 4.5088 4.2225 4.2424 4.0562
2006:4 4.5387 4.1718 4.2247 4.047
2006:5 4.4107 4.146 4.1739 4.0666
2006:6 4.3899 4.1301 4.1222 4.0416
2006:7 4.3345 4.1129 4.0891 4.0103
2006:8 4.2521 4.0903 4.0382 3.9365
2006:9 4.152 4.0749 3.9767 3.9125
2006:10 4.0846 4.0369 3.9334 3.8263
2006:11 4.0277 3.9907 3.8888 3.8543
2006:12 3.9417 4.0761 3.9793 3.9367
2007:1 3.9999 4.0087 3.9777 3.8701
2007:2 3.9791 3.9277 3.9068 3.8456
2007:3 3.954 3.9357 3.9193 3.8597
2007:4 3.9553 3.9242 3.9126 3.8384
2007:5 3.9702 3.9207 3.9083 3.8043
2007:6 3.9161 3.9668 3.9485 3.8273
2007:7 3.9215 3.9732 4.0339 3.8218
2007:8 3.9235 3.994 4.0948 3.8574
2007:9 3.9737 4.0339 4.1912 3.8653
2007:10 4.0148 4.0406 4.2199 3.9331
2007:11 4.0234 4.0684 4.3065 3.9521
2007:12 4.077 4.0512 4.2009 3.9721
2008:1 3.9811 4.0571 4.2232 4.0005
2008:2 4.0281 4.1896 4.3152 4.1027
2008:3 4.0116 4.1985 4.3482 4.0951
2008:4 4.0669 4.2965 4.4659 4.1894
2008:5 4.1241 4.3578 4.6075 4.2714
2008:6 4.1221 4.3911 4.7545 4.3354
2008:7 4.249 4.5714 4.8667 4.5478
2008:8 4.3873 4.679 4.9585 4.6272
2008:9 4.5145 4.8718 5.1057 4.8177
2008:10 4.6655 5.1035 5.293 5.0528
2008:11 5.0446 5.4234 5.4617 5.3442
2008:12 5.4355 5.9266 5.9764 5.8053
2009:1 5.8291 6.3598 6.3658 6.2043
2009:2 6.1204 6.6688 6.7688 6.5347
2009:3 6.4563 6.9139 7.0256 6.8852
2009:4 6.8131 7.2582 7.2964 7.244
2009:5 7.1576 7.7514 7.7424 7.6829
2009:6 7.6693 8.1181 8.0893 8.0043
2009:7 7.918 8.3319 8.3676 8.1437
2009:8 8.0634 8.629 8.7423 8.362
2009:9 8.3633 8.8968 9.0035 8.541
2009:10 8.5564 9.0249 9.249 8.6982
2009:11 8.6046 9.3076 9.579 8.8561
2009:12 8.6762 9.386 9.582 8.9277
2010:1 8.6332 9.4277 9.5568 8.8921
2010:2 8.5377 9.4471 9.5777 8.9037
2010:3 8.4495 9.5068 9.5878 8.8002
2010:4 8.3781 9.5321 9.6239 8.6889
2010:5 8.2705 9.4581 9.5952 8.5725
2010:6 8.0834 9.4747 9.5984 8.6301
2010:7 8.1412 9.5499 9.6423 8.7255
2010:8 8.1863 9.5015 9.5436 8.6663
2010:9 8.146 9.397 9.4725 8.681
2010:10 8.2048 9.4952 9.5067 8.767
2010:11 8.0684 9.2749 9.2963 8.6551
Return to Figure 13c

Figure 13d: counterfactual unemployment rates (25 + years of age): The role of Unemployment-Inacivity transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 5.7779 5.9431 5.9599 6.3122
1977:1 5.7448 5.9069 5.9079 6.3709
1977:2 5.6947 5.8524 5.813 6.2626
1977:3 5.6568 5.8031 5.7815 6.1751
1977:4 5.6112 5.7573 5.7603 6.1306
1977:5 5.5681 5.6962 5.7234 6.1163
1977:6 5.4542 5.5907 5.7048 6.0813
1977:7 5.4201 5.5789 5.7051 6.0538
1977:8 5.3472 5.4995 5.6432 5.9498
1977:9 5.2891 5.4866 5.6562 5.8914
1977:10 5.2111 5.4051 5.5884 5.7946
1977:11 5.1 5.3531 5.485 5.7396
1977:12 4.769 5.0048 5.0998 5.2989
1978:1 4.6003 4.8272 4.9498 5.0762
1978:2 4.5636 4.7847 4.9354 5.0582
1978:3 4.4421 4.6738 4.8011 4.9644
1978:4 4.4803 4.7171 4.7812 4.9398
1978:5 4.3326 4.5932 4.6451 4.7931
1978:6 4.2854 4.5635 4.6599 4.7733
1978:7 4.2179 4.466 4.5505 4.7337
1978:8 4.1837 4.428 4.4898 4.7198
1978:9 4.1112 4.3549 4.4097 4.6568
1978:10 4.023 4.2731 4.3513 4.5457
1978:11 4.0465 4.2581 4.3471 4.5361
1978:12 4.2112 4.4443 4.5223 4.8301
1979:1 4.1957 4.47 4.528 4.8126
1979:2 4.1488 4.4307 4.4716 4.7292
1979:3 4.2109 4.4721 4.5469 4.7931
1979:4 4.1299 4.3708 4.5103 4.7191
1979:5 4.138 4.3819 4.5185 4.7276
1979:6 4.0878 4.3288 4.3692 4.6128
1979:7 4.132 4.3713 4.4135 4.6526
1979:8 4.1372 4.3722 4.3985 4.6197
1979:9 4.163 4.4095 4.4257 4.666
1979:10 4.2121 4.4606 4.4579 4.6771
1979:11 4.1663 4.4228 4.417 4.6001
1979:12 4.2602 4.5259 4.4982 4.6099
1980:1 4.2976 4.5424 4.5372 4.6735
1980:2 4.3881 4.6235 4.6433 4.7306
1980:3 4.5126 4.7539 4.7377 4.8121
1980:4 4.6859 4.9099 4.9104 4.9453
1980:5 4.8631 5.0743 5.0638 5.086
1980:6 5.0237 5.282 5.3251 5.268
1980:7 5.0951 5.3635 5.3966 5.3342
1980:8 5.1789 5.473 5.4846 5.4245
1980:9 5.2819 5.563 5.5853 5.5296
1980:10 5.3485 5.6553 5.63 5.588
1980:11 5.4704 5.7881 5.7374 5.6804
1980:12 5.5717 5.9196 5.8581 5.7963
1981:1 5.6555 5.983 5.961 5.8336
1981:2 5.6869 6.0432 6.0109 5.9427
1981:3 5.6096 5.9632 5.9396 5.9218
1981:4 5.5394 5.9366 5.8655 5.9449
1981:5 5.5592 5.9519 5.8827 5.9732
1981:6 5.5106 5.8963 5.815 5.9687
1981:7 5.5259 5.8995 5.8179 6.0001
1981:8 5.5939 5.9586 5.9223 6.1029
1981:9 5.6378 5.969 5.961 6.1073
1981:10 5.7626 6.1007 6.097 6.2941
1981:11 5.9572 6.2839 6.3085 6.661
1981:12 6.0694 6.3719 6.4905 6.7735
1982:1 6.1886 6.5019 6.5829 6.9524
1982:2 6.3382 6.6713 6.7431 7.139
1982:3 6.534 6.9067 6.9821 7.3715
1982:4 6.7294 7.1042 7.1736 7.5153
1982:5 6.889 7.3346 7.3969 7.6729
1982:6 7.2375 7.6256 7.674 7.8953
1982:7 7.378 7.7971 7.8286 8.0458
1982:8 7.5281 7.967 8.0091 8.2201
1982:9 7.7439 8.2439 8.244 8.4636
1982:10 7.9461 8.4881 8.4676 8.6651
1982:11 8.0999 8.6706 8.6544 8.7034
1982:12 8.2721 8.901 8.855 8.9775
1983:1 8.358 9.0402 8.9885 9.0702
1983:2 8.4483 9.0816 9.0377 9.1276
1983:3 8.4854 9.1211 9.0449 9.1345
1983:4 8.4898 9.1427 9.077 9.1663
1983:5 8.5025 9.1337 9.1343 9.2152
1983:6 8.2884 8.9818 8.9622 9.0696
1983:7 8.2329 8.9295 8.9502 9.0324
1983:8 8.1542 8.8195 8.8152 8.9446
1983:9 7.9783 8.6305 8.6432 8.788
1983:10 7.7329 8.3295 8.4013 8.5698
1983:11 7.5265 8.087 8.2099 8.4299
1983:12 7.2936 7.7764 7.8892 8.1638
1984:1 7.1456 7.5855 7.7343 8.0506
1984:2 6.9439 7.432 7.5677 7.8814
1984:3 6.7844 7.2687 7.4219 7.7279
1984:4 6.6176 7.07 7.2483 7.6126
1984:5 6.3995 6.821 6.9727 7.3881
1984:6 6.3926 6.7487 6.9259 7.3748
1984:7 6.3097 6.6327 6.7798 7.2825
1984:8 6.2274 6.5493 6.6899 7.1595
1984:9 6.2036 6.4952 6.6166 7.1261
1984:10 6.1622 6.4659 6.5844 7.0512
1984:11 6.0904 6.4097 6.4713 6.9638
1984:12 6.0703 6.3965 6.4926 6.8563
1985:1 6.0492 6.3693 6.4414 6.72
1985:2 6.0307 6.3292 6.3907 6.651
1985:3 6.0583 6.3665 6.4036 6.6882
1985:4 6.0988 6.3825 6.3862 6.6497
1985:5 6.1843 6.4816 6.4577 6.7696
1985:6 6.1092 6.418 6.3739 6.689
1985:7 6.0626 6.3807 6.3755 6.6615
1985:8 6.0694 6.3915 6.406 6.7334
1985:9 6.1077 6.4456 6.4687 6.7624
1985:10 6.0945 6.4396 6.4386 6.7676
1985:11 6.0061 6.3636 6.4062 6.6323
1985:12 5.8571 6.2052 6.2109 6.3958
1986:1 5.9024 6.2889 6.3424 6.5251
1986:2 5.9374 6.3121 6.3689 6.5996
1986:3 5.8852 6.2198 6.295 6.5169
1986:4 5.8762 6.2515 6.325 6.5518
1986:5 5.7783 6.1316 6.2253 6.4403
1986:6 5.7955 6.1785 6.2431 6.4968
1986:7 5.8121 6.1794 6.207 6.4572
1986:8 5.7966 6.1692 6.1979 6.3998
1986:9 5.7528 6.1104 6.1388 6.3758
1986:10 5.7663 6.1186 6.1329 6.3881
1986:11 5.7307 6.0897 6.0264 6.3992
1986:12 5.8068 6.1224 6.0453 6.4962
1987:1 5.7063 5.9802 5.8753 6.4178
1987:2 5.657 5.9168 5.8203 6.3666
1987:3 5.5856 5.835 5.7782 6.2757
1987:4 5.5154 5.7472 5.6819 6.1941
1987:5 5.4343 5.6805 5.6343 6.1181
1987:6 5.3675 5.5884 5.5966 6.0113
1987:7 5.3007 5.5559 5.5778 5.9975
1987:8 5.2209 5.465 5.4914 5.9245
1987:9 5.1205 5.3713 5.4079 5.7926
1987:10 5.024 5.2708 5.3011 5.6865
1987:11 4.9759 5.2067 5.2952 5.6198
1987:12 4.8889 5.1347 5.2026 5.655
1988:1 4.8225 5.0677 5.1463 5.5376
1988:2 4.7066 4.961 5.0492 5.4063
1988:3 4.6453 4.9145 5.0073 5.3642
1988:4 4.6358 4.8957 5.0016 5.3733
1988:5 4.5686 4.8067 4.9451 5.2802
1988:6 4.5082 4.7509 4.8792 5.2401
1988:7 4.4593 4.6989 4.8692 5.1871
1988:8 4.443 4.6868 4.8796 5.1579
1988:9 4.4082 4.6677 4.8603 5.1181
1988:10 4.3761 4.6233 4.8441 5.1063
1988:11 4.3602 4.6075 4.7904 5.0609
1988:12 4.2472 4.5402 4.757 4.8829
1989:1 4.2293 4.5313 4.7396 4.8837
1989:2 4.2042 4.5293 4.7221 4.8495
1989:3 4.2429 4.5834 4.7607 4.9101
1989:4 4.1858 4.542 4.7548 4.846
1989:5 4.1859 4.5763 4.7215 4.8505
1989:6 4.2143 4.608 4.7094 4.8585
1989:7 4.1983 4.597 4.6575 4.8234
1989:8 4.1942 4.5949 4.6163 4.8247
1989:9 4.2078 4.603 4.6472 4.8455
1989:10 4.2178 4.6004 4.629 4.8133
1989:11 4.2189 4.5911 4.6254 4.8184
1989:12 4.2509 4.6604 4.6711 4.8137
1990:1 4.2421 4.6869 4.6657 4.793
1990:2 4.286 4.7108 4.746 4.8181
1990:3 4.2903 4.7007 4.7405 4.8094
1990:4 4.2801 4.7031 4.7169 4.7971
1990:5 4.2983 4.7019 4.7451 4.8275
1990:6 4.3547 4.736 4.7743 4.8382
1990:7 4.396 4.7661 4.7952 4.8574
1990:8 4.4215 4.7983 4.8427 4.9023
1990:9 4.4559 4.827 4.8397 4.9509
1990:10 4.5441 4.904 4.9504 5.0508
1990:11 4.6138 5.0354 5.0702 5.139
1990:12 4.8269 5.1758 5.2733 5.4569
1991:1 4.9929 5.293 5.4206 5.6264
1991:2 5.1183 5.4347 5.5319 5.7966
1991:3 5.1666 5.4836 5.5743 5.8361
1991:4 5.303 5.6099 5.7027 5.9675
1991:5 5.4325 5.7415 5.8282 6.1024
1991:6 5.4442 5.7844 5.9035 6.1776
1991:7 5.5346 5.8648 6.0207 6.2785
1991:8 5.5771 5.907 6.0635 6.2998
1991:9 5.6234 5.9845 6.1166 6.3714
1991:10 5.6835 6.0524 6.1789 6.4011
1991:11 5.783 6.1295 6.2535 6.5045
1991:12 5.8009 6.1344 6.2413 6.4789
1992:1 5.8352 6.2178 6.2962 6.5797
1992:2 5.8823 6.2404 6.3528 6.6234
1992:3 5.9351 6.3393 6.4404 6.7266
1992:4 5.9468 6.3836 6.4668 6.7677
1992:5 6.0281 6.4889 6.5509 6.8877
1992:6 6.0777 6.5727 6.6314 6.9896
1992:7 6.1095 6.6196 6.6493 7.0732
1992:8 6.1655 6.6825 6.7295 7.1665
1992:9 6.1801 6.6916 6.7938 7.1684
1992:10 6.1275 6.6465 6.7701 7.1777
1992:11 6.1479 6.6334 6.8171 7.231
1992:12 6.1432 6.7086 6.8606 7.2565
1993:1 6.0806 6.6118 6.8111 7.1663
1993:2 6.0579 6.5901 6.7573 7.1796
1993:3 6.0378 6.5486 6.7244 7.1474
1993:4 5.9911 6.4655 6.6737 7.0783
1993:5 5.9504 6.4212 6.6463 7.0267
1993:6 5.9291 6.3522 6.5937 6.9495
1993:7 5.8703 6.2918 6.5589 6.8719
1993:8 5.8594 6.2704 6.55 6.8775
1993:9 5.8483 6.2433 6.5291 6.8745
1993:10 5.8581 6.2293 6.4675 6.8828
1993:11 5.7745 6.1539 6.3772 6.7765
1993:12 5.4936 5.8172 6.0485 6.4314
1994:1 5.4191 5.7654 5.9732 6.3227
1994:2 5.3319 5.7361 5.9034 6.1858
1994:3 5.2914 5.6673 5.8542 6.1147
1994:4 5.2241 5.595 5.7748 6.0499
1994:5 5.146 5.5065 5.691 5.9477
1994:6 5.1138 5.4344 5.6439 5.8988
1994:7 5.0739 5.4035 5.6328 5.8793
1994:8 4.9862 5.3043 5.538 5.7466
1994:9 4.9394 5.2159 5.4202 5.6569
1994:10 4.8403 5.1382 5.3572 5.5199
1994:11 4.7402 4.9984 5.2348 5.3683
1994:12 4.9432 5.2518 5.4082 5.6305
1995:1 4.8976 5.1821 5.3272 5.575
1995:2 4.8453 5.089 5.259 5.5177
1995:3 4.8436 5.0946 5.2376 5.5292
1995:4 4.8556 5.1312 5.2525 5.5382
1995:5 4.7796 5.0536 5.1685 5.4614
1995:6 4.6993 5.0028 5.0748 5.389
1995:7 4.6905 4.9715 4.999 5.3306
1995:8 4.7988 5.0982 5.0577 5.4317
1995:9 4.7608 5.0745 5.0418 5.4134
1995:10 4.7322 5.0852 5.0881 5.4415
1995:11 4.6625 5.0845 5.1076 5.4801
1995:12 4.6545 4.9605 5.0945 5.3802
1996:1 4.6703 4.9304 5.0842 5.3459
1996:2 4.7209 4.9426 5.1234 5.3557
1996:3 4.6625 4.8897 5.0933 5.3011
1996:4 4.6512 4.8429 5.0648 5.221
1996:5 4.634 4.8913 5.0464 5.2083
1996:6 4.683 4.9483 5.0561 5.2326
1996:7 4.6296 4.8575 4.9534 5.125
1996:8 4.5232 4.7606 4.8542 5.0113
1996:9 4.4979 4.7392 4.8155 4.9698
1996:10 4.5426 4.7395 4.7619 4.9574
1996:11 4.5351 4.7293 4.7267 4.9444
1996:12 4.4391 4.6736 4.6918 4.8752
1997:1 4.3986 4.6895 4.701 4.8718
1997:2 4.3431 4.656 4.6639 4.8242
1997:3 4.2906 4.585 4.5692 4.72
1997:4 4.2424 4.5418 4.5244 4.7056
1997:5 4.2607 4.4896 4.5076 4.7137
1997:6 4.1753 4.4089 4.4435 4.6366
1997:7 4.1429 4.4227 4.4497 4.6409
1997:8 4.1352 4.4254 4.4073 4.6254
1997:9 4.1019 4.3809 4.3766 4.5843
1997:10 3.9707 4.2836 4.2851 4.4634
1997:11 3.9758 4.2367 4.2426 4.3962
1997:12 3.9084 4.1958 4.1364 4.2817
1998:1 3.8921 4.1556 4.0955 4.2928
1998:2 3.8997 4.1448 4.0934 4.3094
1998:3 3.8544 4.0996 4.0559 4.2726
1998:4 3.8112 4.0623 3.9979 4.2155
1998:5 3.7438 4.0327 3.9631 4.1475
1998:6 3.7594 4.024 3.9853 4.1528
1998:7 3.7178 3.9657 3.9336 4.1201
1998:8 3.6805 3.9117 3.9238 4.0644
1998:9 3.6448 3.8988 3.8973 4.0514
1998:10 3.6358 3.8812 3.9417 4.0799
1998:11 3.581 3.8622 3.8813 4.0831
1998:12 3.5628 3.7897 3.8538 4.0717
1999:1 3.5394 3.7579 3.8566 4.0422
1999:2 3.4594 3.6801 3.7768 3.9345
1999:3 3.4746 3.6968 3.812 3.9524
1999:4 3.4635 3.6846 3.8097 3.947
1999:5 3.4289 3.6297 3.7442 3.9301
1999:6 3.4185 3.6091 3.7132 3.9285
1999:7 3.4232 3.6032 3.7052 3.9455
1999:8 3.4185 3.5828 3.6861 3.9616
1999:9 3.4148 3.5597 3.6805 3.945
1999:10 3.3975 3.5336 3.6385 3.8435
1999:11 3.4071 3.5216 3.6478 3.7896
1999:12 3.3723 3.4901 3.6263 3.7625
2000:1 3.3163 3.4443 3.5546 3.6876
2000:2 3.3084 3.4368 3.5151 3.6764
2000:3 3.2725 3.3899 3.47 3.6179
2000:4 3.2789 3.4051 3.4742 3.6289
2000:5 3.2757 3.4007 3.5085 3.6362
2000:6 3.2608 3.3702 3.4951 3.5625
2000:7 3.2623 3.3699 3.5063 3.5415
2000:8 3.2497 3.3696 3.49 3.5229
2000:9 3.2367 3.3583 3.4462 3.495
2000:10 3.2752 3.373 3.4369 3.5502
2000:11 3.2233 3.3483 3.3916 3.5057
2000:12 3.2468 3.3919 3.4446 3.5633
2001:1 3.2924 3.4507 3.489 3.6098
2001:2 3.2908 3.4836 3.5116 3.6634
2001:3 3.324 3.5434 3.5812 3.7582
2001:4 3.3279 3.5344 3.601 3.7564
2001:5 3.3494 3.5615 3.6127 3.7181
2001:6 3.3467 3.5714 3.6263 3.7793
2001:7 3.4002 3.6306 3.6782 3.8453
2001:8 3.4763 3.681 3.7362 3.9216
2001:9 3.5738 3.7983 3.8925 4.0627
2001:10 3.6832 3.9397 4.0689 4.2458
2001:11 3.8285 4.0495 4.237 4.3833
2001:12 4.0033 4.2065 4.3691 4.5165
2002:1 4.0685 4.2915 4.4436 4.6181
2002:2 4.2034 4.4192 4.6078 4.7661
2002:3 4.3155 4.5438 4.7227 4.8965
2002:4 4.4277 4.6854 4.8487 5.0482
2002:5 4.5283 4.8161 5.0345 5.2805
2002:6 4.6131 4.9308 5.1289 5.3895
2002:7 4.6484 4.9906 5.2033 5.4473
2002:8 4.6618 5.0342 5.2569 5.4936
2002:9 4.6967 5.0889 5.2951 5.5358
2002:10 4.7089 5.1072 5.3397 5.5598
2002:11 4.7917 5.196 5.3992 5.6811
2002:12 4.7509 5.1642 5.4155 5.6983
2003:1 4.7943 5.195 5.4874 5.7211
2003:2 4.834 5.2121 5.4877 5.6915
2003:3 4.8062 5.1832 5.4448 5.657
2003:4 4.8284 5.1882 5.4611 5.6719
2003:5 4.8975 5.2341 5.4446 5.686
2003:6 4.9148 5.278 5.4475 5.7363
2003:7 4.9384 5.2966 5.4503 5.7346
2003:8 4.953 5.2879 5.4398 5.7318
2003:9 4.9498 5.2756 5.4562 5.755
2003:10 4.9528 5.2578 5.3805 5.674
2003:11 4.9097 5.2089 5.3793 5.6189
2003:12 4.9268 5.1895 5.341 5.5987
2004:1 4.9422 5.1508 5.2845 5.5872
2004:2 4.9274 5.1748 5.2637 5.5955
2004:3 4.9319 5.1481 5.2458 5.5551
2004:4 4.8744 5.0771 5.1938 5.4866
2004:5 4.7576 5.0155 5.1452 5.3311
2004:6 4.761 4.9629 5.1515 5.2307
2004:7 4.7406 4.9316 5.0998 5.2066
2004:8 4.7107 4.9226 5.0845 5.1788
2004:9 4.6274 4.8808 5.001 5.0761
2004:10 4.571 4.8794 4.997 5.0813
2004:11 4.5068 4.852 4.8972 5.0356
2004:12 4.4097 4.801 4.8088 4.9483
2005:1 4.3531 4.7678 4.7989 4.9083
2005:2 4.2873 4.6692 4.7788 4.8424
2005:3 4.2228 4.61 4.7161 4.7858
2005:4 4.1983 4.5747 4.648 4.7411
2005:5 4.1677 4.5477 4.6148 4.7613
2005:6 4.0688 4.5524 4.5634 4.76
2005:7 3.9961 4.493 4.5382 4.6927
2005:8 3.9859 4.4783 4.5313 4.6762
2005:9 3.9814 4.4265 4.4894 4.6398
2005:10 3.9788 4.3701 4.41 4.5614
2005:11 3.9843 4.3589 4.3918 4.5247
2005:12 3.9253 4.3316 4.3074 4.4845
2006:1 3.9351 4.3114 4.2714 4.4634
2006:2 3.9154 4.2973 4.2415 4.4626
2006:3 3.9058 4.3039 4.2484 4.4763
2006:4 3.8579 4.2926 4.2593 4.4407
2006:5 3.911 4.2375 4.1964 4.3629
2006:6 3.8987 4.199 4.1756 4.3305
2006:7 3.8809 4.1632 4.1376 4.3039
2006:8 3.8373 4.1051 4.0911 4.2529
2006:9 3.7849 4.0651 4.0518 4.1894
2006:10 3.6926 4.0076 4.0119 4.1578
2006:11 3.6438 3.9686 4.0085 4.1091
2006:12 3.7418 3.9807 4.0871 4.1089
2007:1 3.7098 3.9561 4.0627 4.0954
2007:2 3.6678 3.9114 3.9862 4.0236
2007:3 3.6856 3.9179 3.9845 4.013
2007:4 3.6723 3.9129 3.969 4.0126
2007:5 3.6207 3.9055 3.9738 4.0384
2007:6 3.718 3.8983 4.0004 4.036
2007:7 3.7382 3.9235 4.0189 4.0547
2007:8 3.7692 3.9601 4.0357 4.0932
2007:9 3.8408 3.996 4.0847 4.159
2007:10 3.904 4.0199 4.1022 4.1907
2007:11 3.9527 4.0466 4.1377 4.2269
2007:12 3.8767 4.0545 4.1326 4.2389
2008:1 3.8704 4.066 4.1179 4.2167
2008:2 3.972 4.1661 4.225 4.3058
2008:3 3.981 4.161 4.2399 4.3132
2008:4 4.099 4.2543 4.3202 4.4035
2008:5 4.1963 4.3454 4.4022 4.4787
2008:6 4.2076 4.4435 4.4424 4.5529
2008:7 4.3536 4.6121 4.6113 4.7094
2008:8 4.4606 4.7105 4.723 4.8012
2008:9 4.6441 4.8739 4.8743 4.9873
2008:10 4.8764 5.0854 5.1102 5.1259
2008:11 5.1413 5.3675 5.4126 5.4213
2008:12 5.6392 5.8531 5.8746 5.8701
2009:1 6.0127 6.2607 6.2615 6.351
2009:2 6.3049 6.5933 6.6041 6.7258
2009:3 6.564 6.8902 6.8838 7.0289
2009:4 6.8671 7.2229 7.206 7.3862
2009:5 7.2639 7.6591 7.6345 7.8933
2009:6 7.6608 8.0072 8.0307 8.2865
2009:7 7.8966 8.1983 8.2423 8.5446
2009:8 8.1819 8.46 8.4927 8.8345
2009:9 8.3661 8.718 8.7767 9.0928
2009:10 8.4589 8.8888 8.9579 9.3448
2009:11 8.6238 9.1412 9.1606 9.6186
2009:12 8.6919 9.148 9.2741 9.6876
2010:1 8.6739 9.1616 9.2713 9.6235
2010:2 8.6987 9.1525 9.2591 9.5837
2010:3 8.7202 9.1323 9.2537 9.5588
2010:4 8.7389 9.1137 9.251 9.4995
2010:5 8.6605 9.042 9.1922 9.3861
2010:6 8.5999 9.0584 9.1741 9.3689
2010:7 8.6319 9.1145 9.2827 9.4497
2010:8 8.5486 9.0812 9.2544 9.405
2010:9 8.4867 9.0254 9.192 9.3497
2010:10 8.6288 9.1114 9.2051 9.4301
2010:11 8.5453 8.9071 8.9885 9.2555
Return to Figure 13d

Figure 13e: counterfactual unemployment rates (25 + years of age): The role of Inactivity-Employment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 6.6153 5.6579 5.3061 5.0503
1977:1 6.5855 5.626 5.302 5.0216
1977:2 6.5332 5.5542 5.2538 4.9529
1977:3 6.4706 5.5153 5.2098 4.9439
1977:4 6.4274 5.4739 5.1473 4.9352
1977:5 6.3563 5.4663 5.0935 4.8881
1977:6 6.2677 5.3779 4.9977 4.8346
1977:7 6.2438 5.3768 4.9554 4.8057
1977:8 6.1469 5.3095 4.8903 4.7428
1977:9 6.1213 5.2833 4.8504 4.7273
1977:10 6.0389 5.197 4.8127 4.6407
1977:11 5.9474 5.1173 4.7421 4.5621
1977:12 5.5648 4.7764 4.4349 4.2468
1978:1 5.3772 4.6105 4.2648 4.0998
1978:2 5.3349 4.5782 4.2377 4.0828
1978:3 5.2239 4.4748 4.1109 3.944
1978:4 5.2304 4.5103 4.1403 3.9736
1978:5 5.0863 4.3612 4.017 3.8708
1978:6 5.0657 4.3222 3.9885 3.8475
1978:7 4.9888 4.245 3.9027 3.7809
1978:8 4.9703 4.1977 3.8677 3.7527
1978:9 4.881 4.1309 3.8129 3.6854
1978:10 4.797 4.0631 3.7053 3.6096
1978:11 4.8058 4.0625 3.6942 3.6273
1978:12 5.0375 4.2305 3.8434 3.7979
1979:1 5.0661 4.2286 3.8279 3.7824
1979:2 5.0221 4.1793 3.7792 3.7339
1979:3 5.0677 4.2337 3.8432 3.8075
1979:4 4.987 4.1483 3.7859 3.7285
1979:5 4.9992 4.1537 3.7918 3.7527
1979:6 4.9087 4.0886 3.7462 3.6928
1979:7 4.9471 4.1313 3.8166 3.7206
1979:8 4.9409 4.1321 3.811 3.7139
1979:9 4.9857 4.1569 3.8533 3.7378
1979:10 5.026 4.2093 3.8914 3.7845
1979:11 4.9959 4.1527 3.8788 3.7141
1979:12 5.0948 4.2506 3.9505 3.7684
1980:1 5.1061 4.3018 3.9863 3.7995
1980:2 5.2063 4.4018 4.054 3.8499
1980:3 5.3617 4.5073 4.1542 3.9399
1980:4 5.5452 4.6762 4.2903 4.0835
1980:5 5.7308 4.8324 4.4497 4.2158
1980:6 5.9504 5.0126 4.646 4.3974
1980:7 6.0258 5.0865 4.7092 4.4777
1980:8 6.1378 5.1784 4.7974 4.5616
1980:9 6.2364 5.2794 4.8797 4.652
1980:10 6.3416 5.3288 4.9585 4.7009
1980:11 6.4621 5.4502 5.0532 4.8394
1980:12 6.5909 5.5633 5.184 4.9235
1981:1 6.6992 5.6197 5.248 4.9927
1981:2 6.7408 5.6851 5.295 5.0455
1981:3 6.6493 5.6325 5.2274 4.9691
1981:4 6.5935 5.5828 5.2035 4.928
1981:5 6.6261 5.6062 5.2051 4.9234
1981:6 6.5983 5.5465 5.1419 4.8778
1981:7 6.6333 5.559 5.123 4.8773
1981:8 6.7339 5.6347 5.1771 4.9279
1981:9 6.7766 5.6606 5.2089 4.9389
1981:10 6.9026 5.8092 5.3198 5.075
1981:11 7.1665 6.006 5.4912 5.2558
1981:12 7.3133 6.1106 5.5925 5.3751
1982:1 7.4617 6.2414 5.7004 5.47
1982:2 7.6585 6.3712 5.9016 5.6105
1982:3 7.9116 6.5896 6.0923 5.818
1982:4 8.1267 6.7677 6.2777 5.9944
1982:5 8.329 6.9694 6.4615 6.1891
1982:6 8.6196 7.2988 6.7588 6.4391
1982:7 8.8276 7.447 6.8897 6.5688
1982:8 8.999 7.6199 7.0486 6.7249
1982:9 9.2639 7.8804 7.2632 6.9258
1982:10 9.5225 8.1005 7.4787 7.0985
1982:11 9.6859 8.322 7.6116 7.1789
1982:12 9.9717 8.5165 7.7968 7.3275
1983:1 10.104 8.6375 7.892 7.4428
1983:2 10.1809 8.7052 7.9098 7.5037
1983:3 10.2269 8.7271 7.9455 7.5115
1983:4 10.2631 8.7381 7.9564 7.5248
1983:5 10.288 8.7435 7.9731 7.5553
1983:6 10.1111 8.5892 7.7811 7.3934
1983:7 10.0176 8.5613 7.7609 7.3583
1983:8 9.9199 8.4571 7.6686 7.2639
1983:9 9.7834 8.2482 7.5019 7.116
1983:10 9.5145 7.9762 7.2605 6.8869
1983:11 9.2738 7.7335 7.0864 6.7335
1983:12 8.8873 7.4983 6.8117 6.5194
1984:1 8.6831 7.3348 6.7065 6.3657
1984:2 8.4881 7.1801 6.5515 6.1889
1984:3 8.3242 7.0223 6.4178 6.0324
1984:4 8.1231 6.8706 6.2312 5.8813
1984:5 7.8749 6.6365 6.0165 5.6366
1984:6 7.8658 6.5742 5.9754 5.5962
1984:7 7.7576 6.4684 5.8762 5.5001
1984:8 7.6555 6.3878 5.7814 5.4231
1984:9 7.6002 6.3647 5.7227 5.3709
1984:10 7.5557 6.3322 5.6865 5.3391
1984:11 7.4981 6.2506 5.6298 5.2594
1984:12 7.5101 6.2052 5.6337 5.2617
1985:1 7.4772 6.1648 5.5983 5.2213
1985:2 7.4402 6.1262 5.5419 5.2103
1985:3 7.4741 6.1506 5.5609 5.2628
1985:4 7.5021 6.1693 5.5827 5.2443
1985:5 7.623 6.2548 5.6686 5.3092
1985:6 7.5339 6.1799 5.6001 5.2683
1985:7 7.522 6.1383 5.5677 5.2382
1985:8 7.5314 6.1586 5.6054 5.253
1985:9 7.549 6.2039 5.6697 5.3089
1985:10 7.5379 6.1885 5.6697 5.2981
1985:11 7.4665 6.1073 5.5776 5.2614
1985:12 7.251 5.9535 5.4446 5.1008
1986:1 7.3926 6.0153 5.4873 5.2019
1986:2 7.4021 6.0537 5.5377 5.2384
1986:3 7.3219 5.98 5.465 5.1784
1986:4 7.3213 5.9826 5.4922 5.2468
1986:5 7.173 5.8862 5.3964 5.1742
1986:6 7.211 5.9271 5.437 5.1753
1986:7 7.1759 5.9232 5.4521 5.1748
1986:8 7.1655 5.8926 5.4426 5.1711
1986:9 7.1061 5.8554 5.3934 5.1294
1986:10 7.1022 5.8692 5.3942 5.1545
1986:11 7.0479 5.8206 5.3783 5.1309
1986:12 7.1113 5.8596 5.4407 5.1772
1987:1 6.932 5.7522 5.3516 5.0464
1987:2 6.8949 5.6831 5.2948 5.0094
1987:3 6.7883 5.6414 5.2247 4.9376
1987:4 6.7117 5.5612 5.1457 4.8495
1987:5 6.6731 5.4895 5.083 4.7823
1987:6 6.5682 5.4308 5.0089 4.729
1987:7 6.5326 5.3826 4.9773 4.7123
1987:8 6.434 5.3074 4.8899 4.647
1987:9 6.323 5.2121 4.8021 4.5657
1987:10 6.2098 5.1114 4.7179 4.4747
1987:11 6.1313 5.0818 4.67 4.4339
1987:12 6.0501 5.0343 4.5877 4.3542
1988:1 5.9453 4.9853 4.5135 4.3062
1988:2 5.8017 4.8883 4.4274 4.1943
1988:3 5.7614 4.8205 4.3954 4.1555
1988:4 5.7317 4.8255 4.3826 4.1351
1988:5 5.6221 4.7652 4.3002 4.0735
1988:6 5.5735 4.6918 4.254 4.0318
1988:7 5.5134 4.6663 4.2097 3.9911
1988:8 5.5113 4.6494 4.204 3.9841
1988:9 5.4681 4.6154 4.1823 3.9786
1988:10 5.4319 4.5952 4.1464 3.9557
1988:11 5.3905 4.5526 4.1458 3.951
1988:12 5.291 4.4662 4.0756 3.8968
1989:1 5.2979 4.4502 4.0615 3.8827
1989:2 5.282 4.4303 4.0399 3.8954
1989:3 5.3179 4.4891 4.0787 3.9432
1989:4 5.2561 4.4495 4.0435 3.9295
1989:5 5.2691 4.4561 4.0587 3.9241
1989:6 5.2942 4.4781 4.0904 3.9295
1989:7 5.2814 4.4525 4.0521 3.9194
1989:8 5.2481 4.4496 4.0493 3.9168
1989:9 5.2895 4.4688 4.0626 3.9101
1989:10 5.2712 4.4652 4.0712 3.9102
1989:11 5.2751 4.4862 4.0477 3.8867
1989:12 5.3282 4.5495 4.0908 3.9096
1990:1 5.3378 4.5515 4.0976 3.922
1990:2 5.3956 4.5926 4.1364 3.9397
1990:3 5.4009 4.5787 4.1463 3.9249
1990:4 5.4184 4.5689 4.1321 3.9073
1990:5 5.4047 4.5759 4.1611 3.9486
1990:6 5.4676 4.606 4.192 3.9854
1990:7 5.4866 4.6391 4.239 4.0061
1990:8 5.5374 4.6806 4.2738 4.0228
1990:9 5.5636 4.7025 4.3019 4.0615
1990:10 5.6957 4.7955 4.3606 4.1435
1990:11 5.8192 4.8758 4.4759 4.2619
1990:12 6.0986 5.0386 4.6435 4.434
1991:1 6.2277 5.1783 4.8007 4.567
1991:2 6.3725 5.307 4.9344 4.6984
1991:3 6.4215 5.3649 4.9737 4.7427
1991:4 6.5806 5.4981 5.0914 4.8518
1991:5 6.7268 5.6368 5.2224 4.9506
1991:6 6.7423 5.696 5.2624 5.0029
1991:7 6.8567 5.7983 5.3451 5.0719
1991:8 6.9046 5.8352 5.3699 5.1193
1991:9 6.949 5.9165 5.4321 5.1648
1991:10 6.9838 5.9745 5.5152 5.2098
1991:11 7.1018 6.1006 5.5759 5.2379
1991:12 7.0365 6.1255 5.584 5.274
1992:1 7.1315 6.1921 5.6422 5.3232
1992:2 7.1734 6.2424 5.6692 5.3569
1992:3 7.244 6.323 5.7717 5.4359
1992:4 7.2736 6.3578 5.8028 5.463
1992:5 7.4025 6.4551 5.873 5.5528
1992:6 7.5042 6.536 5.9294 5.6164
1992:7 7.5713 6.5811 5.9497 5.6486
1992:8 7.6477 6.6717 6.0223 5.6882
1992:9 7.7008 6.6896 6.0433 5.7075
1992:10 7.6916 6.6594 5.997 5.6826
1992:11 7.6943 6.6712 6.0288 5.7081
1992:12 7.8117 6.7221 6.0347 5.7255
1993:1 7.7372 6.6595 5.9433 5.6495
1993:2 7.7218 6.6271 5.9263 5.6317
1993:3 7.7089 6.5994 5.8672 5.6065
1993:4 7.6619 6.5263 5.805 5.5595
1993:5 7.613 6.5101 5.7542 5.5208
1993:6 7.5356 6.4714 5.7033 5.4834
1993:7 7.4711 6.4154 5.6639 5.4397
1993:8 7.4605 6.3954 5.6522 5.4408
1993:9 7.4186 6.3835 5.6411 5.4293
1993:10 7.3972 6.3681 5.6323 5.4041
1993:11 7.3202 6.273 5.5514 5.3446
1993:12 6.8888 5.9543 5.2935 5.073
1994:1 6.805 5.8761 5.2514 5.0076
1994:2 6.7237 5.8252 5.1759 4.9451
1994:3 6.6664 5.7548 5.1369 4.8984
1994:4 6.5606 5.6823 5.0827 4.8348
1994:5 6.4804 5.5684 5.0018 4.7876
1994:6 6.4548 5.5018 4.9597 4.7209
1994:7 6.408 5.4658 4.9527 4.7021
1994:8 6.2962 5.347 4.8794 4.6157
1994:9 6.2402 5.2612 4.7892 4.5178
1994:10 6.1269 5.1621 4.722 4.4514
1994:11 5.9668 5.0467 4.6103 4.3244
1994:12 6.2216 5.2793 4.8058 4.5167
1995:1 6.1519 5.205 4.7274 4.5012
1995:2 6.0851 5.1285 4.6608 4.4393
1995:3 6.0684 5.1391 4.649 4.4477
1995:4 6.0986 5.1617 4.678 4.4552
1995:5 6.0041 5.0801 4.6326 4.3685
1995:6 5.9044 5.0023 4.5721 4.3293
1995:7 5.8603 4.9616 4.5182 4.3126
1995:8 5.9615 5.073 4.5859 4.4206
1995:9 5.8992 5.0439 4.5817 4.4249
1995:10 5.9244 5.0701 4.569 4.4503
1995:11 5.9066 5.0388 4.5858 4.4529
1995:12 5.812 4.9752 4.5395 4.4097
1996:1 5.8044 4.9787 4.5411 4.3495
1996:2 5.8478 4.9947 4.5944 4.3489
1996:3 5.8082 4.9464 4.5456 4.2942
1996:4 5.7579 4.9084 4.5225 4.2633
1996:5 5.8205 4.9311 4.5051 4.2466
1996:6 5.8432 4.9839 4.554 4.2668
1996:7 5.7064 4.9047 4.49 4.1936
1996:8 5.6159 4.8109 4.3911 4.094
1996:9 5.5684 4.7883 4.3616 4.0727
1996:10 5.5393 4.7914 4.3676 4.0645
1996:11 5.5229 4.7759 4.3448 4.0673
1996:12 5.4414 4.7017 4.2958 4.0226
1997:1 5.4308 4.696 4.2984 4.0194
1997:2 5.355 4.6583 4.2612 3.9947
1997:3 5.2787 4.5799 4.19 3.9298
1997:4 5.2066 4.55 4.148 3.9033
1997:5 5.1222 4.525 4.1667 3.9071
1997:6 5.0181 4.4358 4.1083 3.8581
1997:7 5.038 4.4417 4.0991 3.8469
1997:8 4.992 4.436 4.0876 3.8393
1997:9 4.9413 4.3949 4.0633 3.8078
1997:10 4.8316 4.2878 3.9668 3.7016
1997:11 4.7911 4.2515 3.9212 3.6948
1997:12 4.7133 4.1957 3.8327 3.6335
1998:1 4.6763 4.1806 3.8016 3.6156
1998:2 4.6715 4.1953 3.7963 3.6127
1998:3 4.5975 4.1563 3.775 3.5697
1998:4 4.5629 4.1089 3.7235 3.5293
1998:5 4.5052 4.0684 3.6905 3.4779
1998:6 4.5314 4.0995 3.6803 3.4616
1998:7 4.4809 4.0373 3.6436 3.4266
1998:8 4.4352 3.9878 3.6154 3.3978
1998:9 4.4385 3.9592 3.5831 3.3843
1998:10 4.4663 3.9594 3.5831 3.3958
1998:11 4.4067 3.9448 3.5617 3.3371
1998:12 4.3687 3.8895 3.5529 3.2891
1999:1 4.3675 3.853 3.5252 3.2874
1999:2 4.2768 3.7595 3.4602 3.2129
1999:3 4.3063 3.7826 3.4813 3.2279
1999:4 4.2887 3.7712 3.4845 3.2204
1999:5 4.2311 3.7268 3.4114 3.2154
1999:6 4.2114 3.6904 3.399 3.2195
1999:7 4.2017 3.7025 3.3919 3.2209
1999:8 4.1946 3.6947 3.3755 3.2143
1999:9 4.1602 3.6845 3.3851 3.1939
1999:10 4.0891 3.6385 3.3592 3.1752
1999:11 4.0983 3.6232 3.3488 3.1747
1999:12 4.079 3.5986 3.3165 3.1503
2000:1 3.9905 3.5501 3.2631 3.0994
2000:2 3.9713 3.5404 3.2391 3.0874
2000:3 3.9373 3.4931 3.1864 3.0449
2000:4 3.9385 3.5106 3.1888 3.0548
2000:5 3.969 3.511 3.1925 3.0543
2000:6 3.9688 3.4811 3.1477 3.0266
2000:7 3.9765 3.4866 3.1412 3.0276
2000:8 3.967 3.4733 3.1413 3.0179
2000:9 3.9501 3.4516 3.1086 3.0042
2000:10 3.977 3.4873 3.1152 3.0196
2000:11 3.9336 3.4506 3.0752 2.9841
2000:12 3.9411 3.5094 3.1062 3.0392
2001:1 3.9908 3.5532 3.1732 3.0806
2001:2 4.028 3.5783 3.1959 3.1003
2001:3 4.0819 3.632 3.2761 3.1562
2001:4 4.086 3.635 3.2876 3.1525
2001:5 4.097 3.6484 3.3125 3.1522
2001:6 4.0834 3.6776 3.3485 3.1605
2001:7 4.1525 3.7181 3.406 3.2289
2001:8 4.2333 3.793 3.4574 3.2775
2001:9 4.3713 3.933 3.5775 3.3861
2001:10 4.555 4.0857 3.7225 3.5312
2001:11 4.7107 4.2293 3.8569 3.6508
2001:12 4.9099 4.3708 4.0114 3.7851
2002:1 4.9911 4.4629 4.096 3.8533
2002:2 5.1591 4.6017 4.2499 3.9733
2002:3 5.297 4.7247 4.3509 4.0967
2002:4 5.4493 4.8611 4.4713 4.2244
2002:5 5.6154 5.027 4.6167 4.375
2002:6 5.7595 5.1242 4.7145 4.4678
2002:7 5.833 5.2214 4.7694 4.4956
2002:8 5.8738 5.2548 4.8197 4.5383
2002:9 5.9506 5.3038 4.8622 4.5725
2002:10 5.9574 5.3409 4.9027 4.5735
2002:11 6.0196 5.431 5.0005 4.6566
2002:12 5.9888 5.453 4.9773 4.6286
2003:1 6.0697 5.5138 4.9935 4.6529
2003:2 6.0637 5.518 5.011 4.6737
2003:3 6.0281 5.4812 4.9929 4.6403
2003:4 6.0491 5.4917 5.0081 4.655
2003:5 6.0855 5.5309 5.0379 4.67
2003:6 6.0945 5.5598 5.0792 4.6951
2003:7 6.0598 5.5608 5.0975 4.7282
2003:8 6.0743 5.5696 5.0792 4.7239
2003:9 6.0651 5.5755 5.0918 4.7252
2003:10 6.0399 5.5276 5.041 4.6965
2003:11 6.0258 5.4916 4.9757 4.6819
2003:12 6.0181 5.444 4.9716 4.686
2004:1 5.9774 5.4119 4.9507 4.67
2004:2 5.9615 5.4336 4.9211 4.6865
2004:3 5.9294 5.4363 4.8777 4.6716
2004:4 5.8509 5.3692 4.8209 4.6186
2004:5 5.7777 5.2561 4.7433 4.542
2004:6 5.7124 5.2321 4.694 4.528
2004:7 5.7348 5.1841 4.6531 4.486
2004:8 5.6875 5.1692 4.6467 4.4647
2004:9 5.6138 5.0669 4.5725 4.4099
2004:10 5.5991 5.0438 4.5795 4.3919
2004:11 5.5337 4.9774 4.5593 4.3152
2004:12 5.476 4.9102 4.4669 4.2364
2005:1 5.4258 4.8729 4.4445 4.2067
2005:2 5.3436 4.8045 4.3973 4.1425
2005:3 5.2855 4.7339 4.3558 4.0751
2005:4 5.217 4.7055 4.3169 4.0298
2005:5 5.1803 4.7058 4.2951 4.006
2005:6 5.1617 4.6957 4.2473 3.9679
2005:7 5.0755 4.6407 4.2049 3.9201
2005:8 5.0628 4.6118 4.1931 3.9189
2005:9 5.0108 4.596 4.1417 3.8942
2005:10 4.9127 4.5686 4.0687 3.8525
2005:11 4.8847 4.5727 4.0433 3.8397
2005:12 4.7688 4.5153 4.0013 3.8219
2006:1 4.7417 4.4841 3.9984 3.8119
2006:2 4.7342 4.4696 3.9803 3.7878
2006:3 4.7299 4.481 3.9721 3.8034
2006:4 4.7284 4.4692 3.9426 3.7865
2006:5 4.6809 4.4238 3.9053 3.7564
2006:6 4.6723 4.3705 3.8879 3.7354
2006:7 4.6401 4.3438 3.871 3.696
2006:8 4.5816 4.2837 3.8292 3.6552
2006:9 4.5326 4.2303 3.7877 3.6162
2006:10 4.5038 4.1498 3.7556 3.5621
2006:11 4.476 4.096 3.7282 3.5469
2006:12 4.5475 4.1315 3.7929 3.5736
2007:1 4.5254 4.1187 3.755 3.5517
2007:2 4.4514 4.0499 3.7183 3.5032
2007:3 4.4446 4.0529 3.7356 3.5004
2007:4 4.4273 4.0237 3.7435 3.5
2007:5 4.4114 4.0288 3.7433 3.4871
2007:6 4.4148 4.0426 3.7986 3.503
2007:7 4.4109 4.0629 3.8186 3.5378
2007:8 4.4712 4.1041 3.8525 3.5539
2007:9 4.5173 4.1613 3.906 3.6001
2007:10 4.527 4.1998 3.9513 3.6242
2007:11 4.566 4.2282 3.9845 3.6648
2007:12 4.5672 4.2146 3.9652 3.6569
2008:1 4.539 4.2035 3.9708 3.6632
2008:2 4.6667 4.3103 4.0632 3.7496
2008:3 4.7005 4.3069 4.0698 3.7502
2008:4 4.7994 4.4246 4.1497 3.8318
2008:5 4.8971 4.5389 4.2127 3.9101
2008:6 4.9599 4.6096 4.2493 3.976
2008:7 5.186 4.7824 4.3977 4.111
2008:8 5.2588 4.9005 4.4827 4.2153
2008:9 5.4237 5.0733 4.652 4.3759
2008:10 5.641 5.3184 4.7916 4.6021
2008:11 5.965 5.6183 5.0931 4.8391
2008:12 6.4405 6.095 5.5951 5.2821
2009:1 6.9031 6.5208 5.9797 5.6608
2009:2 7.2279 6.8665 6.3178 5.9793
2009:3 7.5057 7.1803 6.5937 6.2421
2009:4 7.8742 7.4872 6.9258 6.5593
2009:5 8.3801 7.8904 7.3925 6.9645
2009:6 8.7369 8.2809 7.8073 7.3109
2009:7 8.9553 8.5269 8.0428 7.4884
2009:8 9.2735 8.7929 8.3068 7.732
2009:9 9.6374 9.0583 8.5376 7.9406
2009:10 9.8602 9.2216 8.7142 8.099
2009:11 10.1345 9.4698 8.9548 8.2721
2009:12 10.1914 9.5956 8.9897 8.2825
2010:1 10.1389 9.6201 9.0132 8.2365
2010:2 10.1441 9.626 8.9795 8.2279
2010:3 10.169 9.6054 8.9599 8.2233
2010:4 10.151 9.611 8.9501 8.1868
2010:5 10.0553 9.5794 8.8417 8.1009
2010:6 10.0983 9.5797 8.7934 8.0753
2010:7 10.1914 9.6347 8.8329 8.1697
2010:8 10.1227 9.6259 8.8132 8.1032
2010:9 9.9797 9.5825 8.7746 8.0479
2010:10 9.9816 9.6671 8.8754 8.1168
2010:11 9.7581 9.4784 8.6641 7.9939
Return to Figure 13e

Figure 13f: counterfactual unemployment rates (25 + years of age):The role of Inactivity-Unemployment transition rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 5.4355 6.2337 6.6428 6.1979
1977:1 5.4165 6.1867 6.6226 6.1656
1977:2 5.365 6.1195 6.5171 6.1133
1977:3 5.3077 6.0935 6.4726 6.0501
1977:4 5.2667 6.0567 6.3978 6.0342
1977:5 5.1774 6.0635 6.3102 6.086
1977:6 5.1055 5.9606 6.226 5.9968
1977:7 5.0916 5.9543 6.1897 5.922
1977:8 5.0389 5.8746 6.0821 5.7941
1977:9 4.9943 5.8239 6.1097 5.8238
1977:10 4.9183 5.7427 6.0351 5.7352
1977:11 4.8426 5.6514 5.9437 5.656
1977:12 4.5154 5.2559 5.6001 5.3155
1978:1 4.3334 5.0834 5.3946 5.2184
1978:2 4.303 5.0572 5.3503 5.1638
1978:3 4.2152 4.9114 5.2118 5.0384
1978:4 4.2692 4.917 5.1968 5.0572
1978:5 4.1722 4.7523 5.049 4.8175
1978:6 4.1432 4.6939 5.0785 4.7477
1978:7 4.0679 4.585 5.0371 4.6811
1978:8 4.0318 4.5334 5.01 4.6774
1978:9 3.9676 4.4776 4.8879 4.577
1978:10 3.897 4.3683 4.7793 4.5434
1978:11 3.8847 4.3864 4.8021 4.5145
1978:12 4.0498 4.552 5.0887 4.7058
1979:1 4.0382 4.5556 5.1544 4.6379
1979:2 3.987 4.4939 5.1205 4.6174
1979:3 4.0174 4.5656 5.2164 4.6823
1979:4 3.923 4.5004 5.1683 4.5393
1979:5 3.9315 4.5038 5.1295 4.633
1979:6 3.853 4.4643 4.9537 4.6166
1979:7 3.8646 4.514 5.0265 4.6991
1979:8 3.8553 4.5122 4.987 4.7321
1979:9 3.8844 4.5508 5.007 4.7683
1979:10 3.9284 4.5979 5.0266 4.8325
1979:11 3.8849 4.5573 4.9435 4.8177
1979:12 3.9832 4.6641 4.9648 4.8907
1980:1 4.0229 4.7056 4.9606 4.9329
1980:2 4.0938 4.7955 5.0851 5.0251
1980:3 4.2027 4.9128 5.218 5.1608
1980:4 4.3464 5.1059 5.3905 5.2974
1980:5 4.4778 5.2893 5.6177 5.4549
1980:6 4.6606 5.4869 5.894 5.6072
1980:7 4.7663 5.5596 5.9175 5.6445
1980:8 4.8554 5.6689 6.0421 5.683
1980:9 4.9648 5.7276 6.1856 5.7971
1980:10 5.0204 5.8193 6.2915 5.8115
1980:11 5.1507 5.923 6.438 5.9232
1980:12 5.246 6.0345 6.5718 6.1155
1981:1 5.3388 6.0925 6.6488 6.1762
1981:2 5.3979 6.1542 6.696 6.1549
1981:3 5.355 6.0725 6.5951 6.0135
1981:4 5.3248 5.9942 6.5377 6.0327
1981:5 5.3746 5.9978 6.526 6.011
1981:6 5.3306 5.9669 6.4374 5.9406
1981:7 5.3445 5.9714 6.4574 5.9382
1981:8 5.4 6.0412 6.5777 6.0327
1981:9 5.4317 6.084 6.5647 6.0384
1981:10 5.5663 6.2299 6.6766 6.187
1981:11 5.7517 6.4786 6.915 6.2852
1981:12 5.8524 6.6263 7.0548 6.3135
1982:1 5.9797 6.7765 7.1467 6.3666
1982:2 6.137 6.9466 7.2965 6.5513
1982:3 6.3519 7.1832 7.4911 6.8077
1982:4 6.5394 7.3836 7.6714 7.0013
1982:5 6.6923 7.5829 7.8981 7.294
1982:6 6.9849 7.8705 8.2149 7.6524
1982:7 7.1242 8.0564 8.3677 7.7741
1982:8 7.2907 8.2409 8.4873 7.9289
1982:9 7.5058 8.4929 8.8074 8.1533
1982:10 7.7397 8.6728 9.1013 8.3608
1982:11 7.893 8.8255 9.2862 8.5429
1982:12 8.0968 9.029 9.4806 8.817
1983:1 8.1681 9.1716 9.6435 8.9567
1983:2 8.2387 9.2238 9.6988 9.0201
1983:3 8.2603 9.2536 9.7456 9.0508
1983:4 8.2503 9.2846 9.8259 9.0218
1983:5 8.2694 9.3283 9.8391 8.9546
1983:6 8.0947 9.1483 9.6786 8.7591
1983:7 8.0659 9.0796 9.6332 8.743
1983:8 7.9869 8.9608 9.5307 8.629
1983:9 7.8131 8.7748 9.3528 8.4625
1983:10 7.5692 8.526 9.0375 8.1171
1983:11 7.3466 8.3056 8.7847 8.023
1983:12 7.0836 8.0262 8.4642 7.7032
1984:1 6.9441 7.846 8.2496 7.5827
1984:2 6.78 7.6515 8.1008 7.3975
1984:3 6.6486 7.476 7.9276 7.2122
1984:4 6.4989 7.2862 7.701 7.0658
1984:5 6.301 6.9885 7.4456 6.8623
1984:6 6.256 6.9666 7.3866 6.79
1984:7 6.1298 6.8685 7.2515 6.7212
1984:8 6.0335 6.7774 7.1934 6.6162
1984:9 5.9917 6.7364 7.122 6.568
1984:10 5.9507 6.6968 7.0691 6.5951
1984:11 5.9043 6.6053 7.0318 6.4301
1984:12 5.8567 6.6026 7.0587 6.3995
1985:1 5.8202 6.533 7.0626 6.3849
1985:2 5.769 6.5263 6.9914 6.3405
1985:3 5.7749 6.5822 7.034 6.3588
1985:4 5.793 6.5965 7.0614 6.3229
1985:5 5.8695 6.7245 7.1341 6.3859
1985:6 5.8171 6.642 7.047 6.2878
1985:7 5.7818 6.6214 7.0093 6.2271
1985:8 5.8007 6.6508 6.9979 6.2541
1985:9 5.8504 6.7022 7.0339 6.2979
1985:10 5.8215 6.7021 7.0127 6.3197
1985:11 5.7463 6.5924 6.9187 6.372
1985:12 5.6409 6.4036 6.701 6.1208
1986:1 5.7272 6.504 6.7751 6.1647
1986:2 5.749 6.5364 6.7895 6.2554
1986:3 5.6643 6.463 6.7299 6.1608
1986:4 5.6463 6.5077 6.7343 6.2398
1986:5 5.5586 6.3872 6.6215 6.087
1986:6 5.5687 6.4025 6.7175 6.1654
1986:7 5.5946 6.3734 6.7457 6.1015
1986:8 5.5756 6.3608 6.7423 6.0609
1986:9 5.5238 6.3064 6.7038 6.0139
1986:10 5.5419 6.2765 6.7679 6.0072
1986:11 5.5102 6.2367 6.7214 5.9091
1986:12 5.5519 6.2574 6.8163 5.993
1987:1 5.4226 6.1146 6.682 5.919
1987:2 5.3841 6.0432 6.6646 5.7958
1987:3 5.3056 5.9562 6.5755 5.8218
1987:4 5.2508 5.8585 6.4615 5.7337
1987:5 5.1872 5.7992 6.373 5.659
1987:6 5.1337 5.7456 6.2358 5.5273
1987:7 5.0731 5.6962 6.2131 5.5623
1987:8 4.9977 5.5977 6.131 5.4995
1987:9 4.9152 5.5007 6.0034 5.3923
1987:10 4.8134 5.4167 5.8576 5.3135
1987:11 4.7815 5.3694 5.7799 5.2651
1987:12 4.7142 5.3129 5.6482 5.2373
1988:1 4.6379 5.2641 5.5745 5.1178
1988:2 4.5313 5.1529 5.427 5.0506
1988:3 4.512 5.0913 5.397 4.9028
1988:4 4.4993 5.0779 5.3925 4.8865
1988:5 4.4271 4.9861 5.3246 4.8098
1988:6 4.3884 4.9181 5.217 4.7959
1988:7 4.3624 4.8754 5.151 4.729
1988:8 4.3636 4.864 5.115 4.7092
1988:9 4.3388 4.8259 5.1039 4.6876
1988:10 4.3111 4.8077 5.0538 4.6323
1988:11 4.2928 4.7713 5.0392 4.593
1988:12 4.2387 4.6751 4.9032 4.5172
1989:1 4.2455 4.6393 4.893 4.5278
1989:2 4.2424 4.6264 4.8586 4.5005
1989:3 4.2927 4.6568 4.89 4.6232
1989:4 4.2406 4.6269 4.836 4.5969
1989:5 4.2592 4.6162 4.8476 4.631
1989:6 4.274 4.628 4.933 4.6095
1989:7 4.2635 4.611 4.8955 4.5592
1989:8 4.2548 4.5922 4.8966 4.5578
1989:9 4.2698 4.619 4.876 4.5863
1989:10 4.2575 4.6186 4.8747 4.5842
1989:11 4.2258 4.6346 4.8645 4.6261
1989:12 4.2498 4.6847 4.9799 4.6399
1990:1 4.2497 4.6998 4.9757 4.6459
1990:2 4.273 4.7219 5.0565 4.7426
1990:3 4.2585 4.7464 5.0199 4.7227
1990:4 4.2709 4.7208 5.0273 4.6893
1990:5 4.2639 4.7487 5.0482 4.711
1990:6 4.2839 4.774 5.0945 4.8037
1990:7 4.2771 4.805 5.1673 4.8581
1990:8 4.3117 4.8381 5.1982 4.9129
1990:9 4.3526 4.8663 5.2146 4.9182
1990:10 4.4333 4.9589 5.318 5.0003
1990:11 4.5415 5.0698 5.4081 5.0988
1990:12 4.73 5.2316 5.6491 5.2987
1991:1 4.8947 5.3621 5.8003 5.3838
1991:2 5.0082 5.5214 5.9468 5.4598
1991:3 5.0534 5.5563 6.0124 5.5146
1991:4 5.1838 5.6772 6.1385 5.6825
1991:5 5.2904 5.843 6.2421 5.8048
1991:6 5.3348 5.8909 6.2603 5.8804
1991:7 5.4433 5.9901 6.3343 5.951
1991:8 5.4746 6.0338 6.3757 5.9836
1991:9 5.5105 6.0797 6.4912 6.0899
1991:10 5.5669 6.1339 6.5736 6.1317
1991:11 5.6459 6.2372 6.6865 6.1651
1991:12 5.6407 6.2644 6.6833 6.1306
1992:1 5.6575 6.35 6.7733 6.2533
1992:2 5.7123 6.3874 6.8138 6.2674
1992:3 5.7799 6.4703 6.9517 6.3078
1992:4 5.7986 6.506 6.9991 6.3394
1992:5 5.9261 6.5667 7.1425 6.3821
1992:6 5.9983 6.658 7.2503 6.3685
1992:7 6.021 6.7294 7.2686 6.3807
1992:8 6.0903 6.7985 7.3516 6.4347
1992:9 6.1357 6.813 7.3718 6.4266
1992:10 6.1049 6.7961 7.2916 6.4114
1992:11 6.0788 6.8307 7.3298 6.4438
1992:12 6.0844 6.8902 7.357 6.5374
1993:1 5.9986 6.7975 7.298 6.4933
1993:2 5.9842 6.7575 7.2545 6.5216
1993:3 5.9725 6.7302 7.1698 6.519
1993:4 5.932 6.6805 7.0735 6.39
1993:5 5.908 6.6371 7.0043 6.3628
1993:6 5.8705 6.5716 6.9502 6.3047
1993:7 5.8541 6.455 6.9482 6.2619
1993:8 5.8547 6.4275 6.9447 6.2631
1993:9 5.825 6.4264 6.9219 6.2304
1993:10 5.8163 6.3788 6.9401 6.2137
1993:11 5.7611 6.2617 6.855 6.1488
1993:12 5.4973 5.9278 6.4868 5.8038
1994:1 5.456 5.878 6.3617 5.6929
1994:2 5.3906 5.8129 6.2952 5.6189
1994:3 5.3227 5.7579 6.2635 5.5255
1994:4 5.2229 5.6842 6.2079 5.4975
1994:5 5.0789 5.6197 6.1736 5.412
1994:6 4.9995 5.576 6.1208 5.3907
1994:7 4.9401 5.5959 6.032 5.3969
1994:8 4.8284 5.4956 5.9092 5.3343
1994:9 4.7652 5.3803 5.8216 5.274
1994:10 4.6799 5.2856 5.7379 5.1882
1994:11 4.5773 5.1492 5.5819 5.0693
1994:12 4.7678 5.3761 5.8428 5.2813
1995:1 4.7066 5.2924 5.7896 5.2374
1995:2 4.6141 5.2039 5.7516 5.1748
1995:3 4.6111 5.207 5.7377 5.1819
1995:4 4.6168 5.2161 5.781 5.2369
1995:5 4.5625 5.123 5.6622 5.1902
1995:6 4.513 5.0406 5.5684 5.1222
1995:7 4.4889 4.9715 5.5683 5.0522
1995:8 4.5768 5.088 5.7066 5.0894
1995:9 4.5536 5.0817 5.6768 5.0211
1995:10 4.5863 5.0958 5.66 5.0422
1995:11 4.5974 5.083 5.6205 5.0349
1995:12 4.5514 5.0413 5.5208 4.9238
1996:1 4.535 5.0525 5.4729 4.8875
1996:2 4.5844 5.0862 5.4732 4.9168
1996:3 4.5681 5.0209 5.41 4.8514
1996:4 4.5985 4.9705 5.3296 4.7622
1996:5 4.6113 4.9489 5.3696 4.7724
1996:6 4.6293 4.9862 5.4028 4.8716
1996:7 4.5316 4.8958 5.311 4.8147
1996:8 4.4081 4.8066 5.2076 4.725
1996:9 4.3697 4.7798 5.1557 4.7425
1996:10 4.3704 4.7716 5.1212 4.7775
1996:11 4.3647 4.7568 5.1146 4.7355
1996:12 4.3461 4.6553 5.0214 4.7245
1997:1 4.3735 4.6282 5.0212 4.7119
1997:2 4.3419 4.5877 4.9666 4.6591
1997:3 4.2726 4.4942 4.8963 4.6037
1997:4 4.2373 4.4685 4.8093 4.5764
1997:5 4.2289 4.4552 4.781 4.5575
1997:6 4.1794 4.3389 4.7212 4.485
1997:7 4.1838 4.3276 4.7234 4.5013
1997:8 4.1858 4.3116 4.6918 4.4853
1997:9 4.1533 4.2742 4.6642 4.4163
1997:10 4.0492 4.1786 4.5694 4.253
1997:11 4.0202 4.1356 4.5371 4.211
1997:12 3.9374 4.0781 4.4739 4.103
1998:1 3.9148 4.0574 4.4446 4.0618
1998:2 3.9346 4.0439 4.4478 4.0444
1998:3 3.9022 4.0125 4.385 3.9836
1998:4 3.8396 3.9376 4.3963 3.952
1998:5 3.7865 3.8933 4.338 3.9311
1998:6 3.7857 3.9481 4.309 3.8922
1998:7 3.7372 3.9066 4.2504 3.8363
1998:8 3.7159 3.8616 4.2093 3.7793
1998:9 3.6996 3.8381 4.1809 3.7633
1998:10 3.7082 3.8426 4.1866 3.7753
1998:11 3.6837 3.8059 4.1284 3.7576
1998:12 3.6567 3.7582 4.0931 3.7002
1999:1 3.612 3.7287 4.0855 3.7151
1999:2 3.5032 3.6645 3.9936 3.6515
1999:3 3.5092 3.687 4.0143 3.7019
1999:4 3.5067 3.6915 3.9759 3.6962
1999:5 3.4338 3.6659 3.9165 3.6618
1999:6 3.401 3.6492 3.9461 3.6
1999:7 3.4143 3.6429 3.9494 3.5884
1999:8 3.4079 3.6351 3.9392 3.5649
1999:9 3.3939 3.6237 3.9166 3.5632
1999:10 3.3569 3.5892 3.856 3.5365
1999:11 3.3301 3.6064 3.8216 3.5445
1999:12 3.3187 3.5822 3.7475 3.5429
2000:1 3.2599 3.5284 3.6902 3.4712
2000:2 3.2703 3.4926 3.6746 3.4502
2000:3 3.2427 3.4478 3.6369 3.3523
2000:4 3.2587 3.4553 3.6541 3.3479
2000:5 3.2961 3.4246 3.6831 3.3503
2000:6 3.2915 3.3795 3.6078 3.3734
2000:7 3.2658 3.3836 3.6074 3.3933
2000:8 3.2562 3.3627 3.5953 3.413
2000:9 3.2279 3.3568 3.5773 3.3588
2000:10 3.2402 3.3801 3.6073 3.3751
2000:11 3.2254 3.3023 3.6106 3.3259
2000:12 3.2579 3.3398 3.6758 3.3698
2001:1 3.3294 3.3922 3.7074 3.4132
2001:2 3.3334 3.4307 3.7248 3.4469
2001:3 3.3603 3.4844 3.8028 3.5591
2001:4 3.3552 3.4967 3.8026 3.5566
2001:5 3.3761 3.5242 3.7748 3.5768
2001:6 3.3759 3.5538 3.7975 3.5926
2001:7 3.4471 3.6221 3.8574 3.6112
2001:8 3.5116 3.6836 3.9126 3.683
2001:9 3.6194 3.7983 4.0462 3.853
2001:10 3.7797 3.9288 4.2364 3.9981
2001:11 3.9052 4.0595 4.3695 4.1765
2001:12 3.9934 4.2218 4.5585 4.3595
2002:1 4.0787 4.3005 4.6408 4.4438
2002:2 4.226 4.431 4.8082 4.5838
2002:3 4.3687 4.5537 4.9081 4.704
2002:4 4.5031 4.6839 5.0611 4.819
2002:5 4.6499 4.8533 5.2533 4.9321
2002:6 4.7328 4.9646 5.3705 5.0306
2002:7 4.7846 5.0187 5.4094 5.1313
2002:8 4.7908 5.0611 5.4867 5.1697
2002:9 4.8629 5.1073 5.5224 5.1978
2002:10 4.8707 5.1398 5.5397 5.2388
2002:11 4.9242 5.2411 5.69 5.2503
2002:12 4.9152 5.2412 5.6602 5.2147
2003:1 4.953 5.2871 5.7276 5.2239
2003:2 4.9818 5.2934 5.7244 5.2306
2003:3 4.933 5.2634 5.7116 5.1897
2003:4 4.951 5.2576 5.7421 5.2077
2003:5 4.9818 5.2849 5.7595 5.2452
2003:6 5.0371 5.2508 5.8196 5.298
2003:7 5.0666 5.2443 5.8681 5.2733
2003:8 5.0755 5.2288 5.8522 5.2913
2003:9 5.0963 5.2188 5.8881 5.2648
2003:10 5.0553 5.158 5.8517 5.2509
2003:11 5.0467 5.1268 5.77 5.2316
2003:12 5.1034 5.0752 5.753 5.1956
2004:1 5.0611 5.0489 5.6963 5.2283
2004:2 5.0374 5.0538 5.7181 5.2256
2004:3 5.0131 5.0495 5.6848 5.1921
2004:4 4.926 4.9996 5.6089 5.1463
2004:5 4.8226 4.9114 5.526 5.0614
2004:6 4.7895 4.9161 5.4464 5.0147
2004:7 4.7554 4.8788 5.416 4.9802
2004:8 4.7625 4.8583 5.4041 4.9218
2004:9 4.6535 4.7848 5.3157 4.8816
2004:10 4.6545 4.7771 5.3005 4.8436
2004:11 4.6179 4.7169 5.2143 4.8045
2004:12 4.5219 4.6267 5.1529 4.7479
2005:1 4.51 4.591 5.1441 4.6527
2005:2 4.4524 4.5394 5.0578 4.5795
2005:3 4.3749 4.4651 5.0159 4.5393
2005:4 4.3661 4.4158 4.9725 4.4695
2005:5 4.3557 4.3678 4.9618 4.4846
2005:6 4.3296 4.3512 4.9283 4.4225
2005:7 4.277 4.3162 4.825 4.3883
2005:8 4.2486 4.3097 4.7907 4.4074
2005:9 4.2186 4.2804 4.7456 4.3732
2005:10 4.164 4.2334 4.7151 4.2591
2005:11 4.11 4.2198 4.7383 4.2453
2005:12 4.0413 4.2011 4.6637 4.1768
2006:1 4.0063 4.1855 4.6442 4.1758
2006:2 3.9807 4.1752 4.6243 4.1531
2006:3 4.0197 4.1837 4.6222 4.1156
2006:4 4.0068 4.168 4.5827 4.1206
2006:5 3.9793 4.122 4.5411 4.0741
2006:6 3.9295 4.0905 4.5294 4.056
2006:7 3.8845 4.0737 4.53 3.9737
2006:8 3.8483 4.0181 4.4856 3.9073
2006:9 3.8107 3.9648 4.4448 3.8556
2006:10 3.7695 3.9184 4.3326 3.8561
2006:11 3.7701 3.8842 4.2809 3.805
2006:12 3.8081 3.934 4.3098 3.8787
2007:1 3.8014 3.896 4.2812 3.866
2007:2 3.7653 3.8295 4.2326 3.7885
2007:3 3.783 3.8156 4.2352 3.8109
2007:4 3.756 3.8178 4.2275 3.7959
2007:5 3.728 3.8406 4.2456 3.7312
2007:6 3.785 3.838 4.2678 3.7616
2007:7 3.7978 3.8406 4.2928 3.8189
2007:8 3.832 3.8722 4.3315 3.8392
2007:9 3.8948 3.9291 4.3615 3.8922
2007:10 3.917 3.9705 4.3964 3.9075
2007:11 3.9198 4.0221 4.4374 3.9351
2007:12 3.9534 4.0084 4.4227 3.8761
2008:1 3.9427 4.0083 4.3949 3.898
2008:2 4.0507 4.1084 4.4868 4.0075
2008:3 4.0503 4.1242 4.4736 4.0232
2008:4 4.1231 4.2239 4.5853 4.1102
2008:5 4.2188 4.3089 4.6483 4.2259
2008:6 4.2569 4.3761 4.6976 4.3124
2008:7 4.4683 4.543 4.8404 4.4452
2008:8 4.5576 4.6526 4.9559 4.5268
2008:9 4.7104 4.814 5.1517 4.6918
2008:10 4.8858 5.0148 5.3604 4.9373
2008:11 5.1732 5.2937 5.5908 5.306
2008:12 5.6431 5.7667 6.08 5.786
2009:1 6.0375 6.1621 6.5547 6.1526
2009:2 6.3525 6.5011 6.9051 6.4863
2009:3 6.6507 6.8034 7.2047 6.7054
2009:4 6.9651 7.1404 7.5449 7.0188
2009:5 7.4765 7.544 8.0269 7.3844
2009:6 7.8287 7.9128 8.4667 7.7332
2009:7 7.991 8.1319 8.7128 7.9738
2009:8 8.2495 8.4328 8.9343 8.2527
2009:9 8.5222 8.6775 9.1868 8.502
2009:10 8.6997 8.862 9.3824 8.6465
2009:11 8.9774 9.0778 9.659 8.7943
2009:12 8.9883 9.1334 9.7436 8.8694
2010:1 8.9734 9.1302 9.6975 8.8977
2010:2 8.9673 9.1233 9.6785 8.8955
2010:3 8.8935 9.0977 9.6978 8.9512
2010:4 8.9061 9.06 9.6918 8.9404
2010:5 8.7489 9.047 9.5493 8.9336
2010:6 8.7351 9.0571 9.5021 8.9315
2010:7 8.8087 9.1194 9.5859 9.0025
2010:8 8.7851 9.0517 9.5824 8.9408
2010:9 8.7079 9.0003 9.5618 8.8374
2010:10 8.8038 9.0433 9.6578 8.9084
2010:11 8.5469 8.8572 9.5306 8.7427
Return to Figure 13f

Figure 14a: Unemployment flow rates (16+ years of age): outflow rate (in percent)

Year:Quarter Aggregate Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.487663530819125 0.521709407696367 0.441051489852778 0.554205454298938 0.387105956648268
1977:1 0.487401257967904 0.514226445523349 0.444048903908923 0.551828901036899 0.398543509802332
1977:2 0.495330623914821 0.517013773656021 0.458102879018718 0.551979129323338 0.413808895099549
1977:3 0.505489448786524 0.528108282269484 0.467102442722304 0.564749385571252 0.423202883191161
1977:4 0.504869499950776 0.525632288952928 0.468465145070898 0.563470548079481 0.42512816581011
1977:5 0.51137234930794 0.536090950523664 0.475704842349832 0.567898838214806 0.429478484412011
1977:6 0.520579113022559 0.550083017920538 0.482742867181651 0.561979661652951 0.448795075309763
1977:7 0.523347895823321 0.557215210004256 0.485173767049457 0.563135279466972 0.443300270334119
1977:8 0.526737869707245 0.560538174706473 0.493012249591783 0.56803319341788 0.441319946464572
1977:9 0.531485690921658 0.565662973136125 0.498763333975127 0.571940175090871 0.451235031291121
1977:10 0.540745925081039 0.576078348079746 0.507403945815964 0.578249075042442 0.458262584879986
1977:11 0.55309167796388 0.591953074411001 0.516758480357179 0.596561508987634 0.467630220723965
1977:12 0.55829214147059 0.591640304807605 0.516290311639348 0.605250578518541 0.472937612815967
1978:1 0.569747170935909 0.607403315292265 0.519985561440215 0.621835589733312 0.471179350759003
1978:2 0.57276385175427 0.61217795326393 0.520409763970987 0.633695366012819 0.469830485086887
1978:3 0.574480079263362 0.617380617901798 0.521499167915717 0.637887667794801 0.471377780460583
1978:4 0.583602313701392 0.626017381332642 0.533663561017108 0.645479317431128 0.487249442897641
1978:5 0.591848294123127 0.629045960511327 0.54032961623034 0.650525142667694 0.497414263754113
1978:6 0.594820401236071 0.632964874195651 0.545130569030031 0.657260992221647 0.483094069124196
1978:7 0.607468131530002 0.646529886340467 0.553982473560024 0.676176057983445 0.490695995945548
1978:8 0.613490819714824 0.658765935914383 0.55941237625938 0.681036483756146 0.491574292096596
1978:9 0.623455460021309 0.668518427413553 0.569569238447888 0.691611555224618 0.508224412749069
1978:10 0.627304795766544 0.672376056367056 0.570735459866055 0.706141346726183 0.514065269818764
1978:11 0.625737256569793 0.672579976641902 0.56778193455443 0.701581056685172 0.50387997627882
1978:12 0.63479662813003 0.67861007770392 0.579753571870015 0.69556562903922 0.517219853719896
1979:1 0.637504595756683 0.679350904380502 0.582758592722318 0.693493460753579 0.537142483720066
1979:2 0.641152253055863 0.682148590283121 0.586853301737487 0.702185062483526 0.535363573180416
1979:3 0.645720703098501 0.682732852463844 0.595556575879504 0.714431928576396 0.545058727681911
1979:4 0.649065080038181 0.689349072157101 0.603299851301904 0.701958662871818 0.5498662811202
1979:5 0.651354354597413 0.69048574373219 0.601950060197594 0.715549247074458 0.534456049364222
1979:6 0.653863969236312 0.68871202851992 0.59922533778018 0.724448721159269 0.550978210050384
1979:7 0.65207724160679 0.682619383069483 0.603353648471445 0.730222954641548 0.561334234043649
1979:8 0.652810620672688 0.680460266569106 0.602451628045052 0.734232709427696 0.567017977856088
1979:9 0.65066247025318 0.679018767422485 0.601066422573363 0.730979348478099 0.560959623022926
1979:10 0.654920671350593 0.679166661309499 0.609096848523611 0.734896313528892 0.586120995341915
1979:11 0.657314155532377 0.678134022152906 0.612320088444332 0.737275675590412 0.604679323638513
1979:12 0.653213531843864 0.673627764446652 0.605816231507417 0.74036507248387 0.601181461089838
1980:1 0.650058194174118 0.677077773394944 0.60683645879541 0.740362687374616 0.582681033419047
1980:2 0.648012828205747 0.677357047811402 0.602700734133304 0.726805441912934 0.606044307969051
1980:3 0.636919168523495 0.667646181431685 0.582415509123293 0.713351564045845 0.606305262289384
1980:4 0.62800455943504 0.655602860371682 0.566027241670642 0.714305913641313 0.607762234380722
1980:5 0.617097604017522 0.650755517535615 0.559833060276931 0.702651937608127 0.605245871868126
1980:6 0.604683667245604 0.63716982186206 0.553319424440991 0.680741385896824 0.598497868108875
1980:7 0.594950781006773 0.627857478905614 0.540551123175791 0.658117338765504 0.591033200097278
1980:8 0.585304627111848 0.618003967231681 0.527470852168157 0.642920941202342 0.598149421172761
1980:9 0.572220238352782 0.602335469608766 0.516084820791226 0.632555365046155 0.578876202547676
1980:10 0.558641111400003 0.593414427828852 0.499102305242865 0.610166199596616 0.551304974675483
1980:11 0.549864373372354 0.584423892276362 0.488008897138938 0.601532639913725 0.54836340022218
1980:12 0.536828426277248 0.576193736729728 0.479178425575081 0.594482997862392 0.523855710986065
1981:1 0.528658655312342 0.560635680003508 0.46715203980735 0.587959103039445 0.53462326725051
1981:2 0.521994400915622 0.554076916806573 0.460003658426867 0.584656790182332 0.513664527479448
1981:3 0.521849432562746 0.5531330249401 0.470429554204638 0.572639962740568 0.497634786023373
1981:4 0.516239904580012 0.548563624202402 0.461396908717456 0.573945885290043 0.480142647066538
1981:5 0.51730781218051 0.547263251728008 0.466003753648655 0.567296266041578 0.484952685151825
1981:6 0.520034678566006 0.556366481830897 0.463053520412176 0.578756583223515 0.47692948079615
1981:7 0.51619349783514 0.550598922289369 0.461252256048627 0.577784743546422 0.476088456919473
1981:8 0.515956745294496 0.549677300860765 0.463056095062385 0.580230607748096 0.455959774619437
1981:9 0.515635601565917 0.551476909167238 0.460031360816237 0.576765745854506 0.462053899120352
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1982:3 0.499073827004303 0.544079150669848 0.442784991751641 0.556946592920063 0.428049952668909
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1985:3 0.528750772517759 0.564677962141308 0.483956750906412 0.572095595397048 0.46969959441649
1985:4 0.532164998372207 0.568708955671982 0.487632830400528 0.573904401805239 0.478192250584269
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1985:8 0.543868912548551 0.583933850799778 0.495424755051096 0.589287782888564 0.499662793546501
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1986:11 0.544919378392373 0.592362199664488 0.502286639752505 0.571191938697259 0.493366234285403
1986:12 0.541949286801819 0.591760658568281 0.497586453122871 0.569175432256279 0.490431674386407
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1987:8 0.573380358664437 0.626148399551451 0.53057116329259 0.609043851409126 0.473554951539574
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1988:7 0.615317182100716 0.682815922236319 0.565907578603114 0.647789723151393 0.518011574629299
1988:8 0.617506080772648 0.688052599134096 0.568434316591508 0.653311096415786 0.52212395578416
1988:9 0.622955250094952 0.701909004606155 0.576653136698998 0.645545097395803 0.51488299143769
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1988:11 0.621641941946554 0.693454928416238 0.580542710576943 0.662868424965761 0.487226775800154
1988:12 0.626017249932879 0.695593646885047 0.582217329569754 0.66481287058833 0.494379733363448
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1989:10 0.659756207865583 0.738205007273364 0.597550505022258 0.744023991092389 0.494025904392225
1989:11 0.666122702352931 0.744065226831937 0.608524578181427 0.731119831252116 0.511718813435614
1989:12 0.666190322657933 0.74230521006222 0.611587683556598 0.730548769099091 0.513128737700077
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1990:5 0.657879784205387 0.729924402667603 0.61098617495572 0.711460357158595 0.504604511627842
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1990:8 0.637805399877453 0.710616036607363 0.583127674569898 0.685142308642996 0.503232945914706
1990:9 0.633053838799183 0.703432376036739 0.583478390104923 0.67698005110186 0.491836730548099
1990:10 0.625701004552239 0.700735076692028 0.577250788416521 0.659064493547866 0.487897585080171
1990:11 0.615704123297656 0.696974713943413 0.559993955348232 0.646157555909231 0.475368427406791
1990:12 0.608548265381085 0.692946802024541 0.559823197627157 0.63734463548838 0.468964764119552
1991:1 0.592545234928029 0.675734644477381 0.54620153676882 0.625862129313727 0.455114375845805
1991:2 0.57774962998353 0.667472596941498 0.530515132892541 0.596589964236705 0.435954260614797
1991:3 0.572504600586985 0.658037414857671 0.528596476599598 0.589945591694157 0.424061363315891
1991:4 0.562216487980621 0.648290769267792 0.521370488449269 0.583158444116917 0.404698806174971
1991:5 0.549448223355803 0.634647005375547 0.502843558166128 0.577309059564034 0.414304974767053
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1991:7 0.540389925685657 0.617136542602852 0.501880326713278 0.560597681747007 0.407308728478153
1991:8 0.535332830935305 0.614119043339169 0.495190511791966 0.553635764131118 0.405127589059852
1991:9 0.526627325369431 0.609307436180181 0.482728354406579 0.540052317541875 0.398785658502663
1991:10 0.520532637202339 0.605594831274103 0.473566730603717 0.534013952219517 0.393552362300389
1991:11 0.511533275228404 0.592242142744251 0.46675769834791 0.524314096338686 0.381161111052746
1991:12 0.498082941720315 0.587449289486755 0.450208974083879 0.517881584700747 0.376433567734396
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1992:10 0.430907325448924 0.523457211299981 0.390930511874988 0.449465376381823 0.300988896324649
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1992:12 0.429645046413928 0.522500841417076 0.391217693918185 0.440628894948894 0.311325451181875
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1993:2 0.436853585922107 0.53336147677408 0.394849112112792 0.446749998416264 0.307775432631642
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1993:4 0.443355446434872 0.546094898876225 0.401856121289687 0.446744403859435 0.318675207378027
1993:5 0.446823290416267 0.54512414800989 0.403995467268735 0.452126347542915 0.317787428421291
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1993:7 0.45167125168854 0.555031862699734 0.417011911429339 0.441767640880971 0.320534189261752
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1993:9 0.451700879417866 0.555052883649925 0.417926736956069 0.444778803338426 0.3235312963248
1993:10 0.45714974329192 0.561319673857406 0.424525523801959 0.447967883629692 0.3278564478948
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1993:12 0.462492072138489 0.559218434350892 0.431454977953845 0.457138864286559 0.337914461776421
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1994:4 0.474725108251409 0.55136371801677 0.451107268015005 0.468017920463824 0.377939391543432
1994:5 0.481703658805123 0.556235644471547 0.459406521929132 0.476372644183918 0.384222696523676
1994:6 0.488181756332759 0.555434651745591 0.467884940037699 0.48402330872195 0.393691958314411
1994:7 0.491296468393068 0.55077334216169 0.467226288961646 0.499325064640995 0.408597158216475
1994:8 0.499577587151964 0.552882776249297 0.479703830509266 0.501305657476361 0.431465144329168
1994:9 0.502110791236476 0.548934371751528 0.483682353350606 0.509038529861376 0.444264130167447
1994:10 0.510945436124556 0.55341532698003 0.491211090839744 0.516186623248241 0.46695256282193
1994:11 0.519336989880291 0.559430647604072 0.503280682684275 0.527466665056753 0.46976182288437
1994:12 0.533419477084685 0.577690518277234 0.50772887524557 0.543689797999636 0.470871107229847
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1995:3 0.549710000379129 0.595919978559049 0.53038708922573 0.555384378489241 0.465330664998102
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1995:5 0.55430211935532 0.596926983312366 0.535805598912326 0.561161798590431 0.480736354385741
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1995:7 0.557981303930095 0.592407967240466 0.541639494809569 0.570373714825974 0.489979132466102
1995:8 0.562425239919493 0.600151684422247 0.537805176100371 0.579543301764013 0.495496679965224
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1995:11 0.570520305835433 0.615321947667351 0.54786864797912 0.576418258589787 0.488892083997485
1995:12 0.56838288007539 0.609201600968988 0.550952919830727 0.574330943444278 0.490188453323611
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1996:5 0.57247124011398 0.607922276851619 0.548351200595849 0.597386949754249 0.50718361584498
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1996:7 0.575862939740001 0.616237841229227 0.548650553365831 0.606150515851666 0.511572133465269
1996:8 0.573013429532039 0.616573083171957 0.541599615232915 0.604436623025481 0.505981643048131
1996:9 0.569083494919835 0.613101231519841 0.530447358710303 0.607725131864339 0.512197235875215
1996:10 0.572802736039778 0.614325868382022 0.535822693702347 0.610938041544377 0.520975174957667
1996:11 0.575262715707638 0.613376867470402 0.537359146213334 0.613791845437578 0.533061859381988
1996:12 0.576297233706373 0.616867011229014 0.53960666003656 0.613441047555871 0.543120302340604
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1997:2 0.581311784250803 0.615059053900275 0.540084500457406 0.621625167644212 0.541648171106121
1997:3 0.588195416450981 0.626834185612591 0.539927219222597 0.629709653340778 0.549413550112848
1997:4 0.59157871737885 0.633561557023194 0.544511411655474 0.635978716494672 0.539582631822562
1997:5 0.590095146533561 0.634775250886521 0.544547731583807 0.634050231420271 0.536830050139729
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1997:7 0.595971417568211 0.648564725581379 0.547544843615535 0.631295647295654 0.544008593642097
1997:8 0.596538464804975 0.636936282611933 0.557099036115157 0.632720927982114 0.540269299211213
1997:9 0.603623993664758 0.645104282512398 0.565565132778497 0.651959495956289 0.537037130712132
1997:10 0.606896412978354 0.650632294496902 0.566895322790922 0.654117189713613 0.535684294505906
1997:11 0.609030876178973 0.660860294742977 0.566923703428105 0.654297593282497 0.534755022134388
1997:12 0.614320283138854 0.660058805887072 0.571766751244226 0.659089724962664 0.536771872765714
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1998:2 0.629454446354157 0.678750383122291 0.58719864228073 0.669114667139933 0.547969502103206
1998:3 0.644813774033936 0.691720422310931 0.605342287917998 0.68533404395189 0.565064902039318
1998:4 0.649330680560881 0.702663792318759 0.608467337551984 0.677291940011109 0.584245464252142
1998:5 0.652165663171277 0.698276764428395 0.608478967364515 0.686643005528656 0.587568092914685
1998:6 0.654554518352298 0.699273882236043 0.613105125023353 0.688452806343826 0.597214028685697
1998:7 0.658420887459515 0.70404542460643 0.618541774168587 0.701644784687409 0.580531698020162
1998:8 0.665849930445296 0.718308324807902 0.620490385182194 0.702510975227611 0.59157665305203
1998:9 0.670614108994672 0.728744144595819 0.623088080912406 0.699648404632075 0.60648071353486
1998:10 0.670966445733013 0.719295983429043 0.628145195070873 0.713020689641349 0.605864986259171
1998:11 0.677377104465149 0.724749654389204 0.634063128480059 0.727615613964637 0.603423005539632
1998:12 0.679702095501239 0.730829474851357 0.637535190308581 0.712570302470778 0.609442947711015
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1999:2 0.68292835456818 0.735487830529213 0.64394761054645 0.714149277103929 0.604736854325505
1999:3 0.675788688799809 0.725756491299113 0.640048713815524 0.715809578766592 0.591581656729217
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1999:5 0.681911725043065 0.725331856608285 0.650039287045262 0.735040445439015 0.581048099126209
1999:6 0.687819356017116 0.734605578954251 0.653070711127441 0.738078516101848 0.590405106405331
1999:7 0.693413982252435 0.740075473413582 0.659513965962434 0.732072910140286 0.607144731035194
1999:8 0.695291315498132 0.733399555374495 0.662640505031532 0.74878064746353 0.608736072314298
1999:9 0.695211596477457 0.723778955993456 0.675874595359351 0.748562726232712 0.598836553353346
1999:10 0.702201689548229 0.742272664575878 0.6769639954703 0.744005152983326 0.611105225157818
1999:11 0.708169849962801 0.753561131233015 0.683320022011286 0.754843689349649 0.619532743209842
1999:12 0.714934141363555 0.756913628412275 0.681180972041723 0.779855630036514 0.61190142473214
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2000:2 0.725403844945458 0.770391784153518 0.69974128966813 0.788083563395734 0.632250588962798
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2000:4 0.72779515178807 0.78050364193091 0.697730577827293 0.781566637793977 0.631962163109189
2000:5 0.735597785882408 0.791472795255831 0.702892562174024 0.778379948262809 0.658144057612726
2000:6 0.736911225421059 0.783866578606094 0.703455127842245 0.788778376030066 0.656084774427439
2000:7 0.732146463755349 0.776923489991602 0.695188404992347 0.796766591760366 0.644080058963168
2000:8 0.738667399649089 0.793182573845171 0.709070197937985 0.789687896560808 0.644342245830486
2000:9 0.740470012717845 0.803471082597413 0.693568453386753 0.802022270080719 0.647240214352428
2000:10 0.737247248176498 0.795702809080822 0.695727584456061 0.798217481088923 0.643700628579294
2000:11 0.731005235845453 0.789554251656333 0.691059638036782 0.784135625495229 0.637429696570319
2000:12 0.72571522821019 0.783344433041102 0.690982488965377 0.768530701474219 0.634302307870993
2001:1 0.733521247007003 0.772461834999139 0.695731379747766 0.791667166496154 0.648975869286588
2001:2 0.720773405329568 0.766718148836332 0.675617013985936 0.785894616815343 0.625757730627166
2001:3 0.718441746297387 0.768144611663975 0.669007035334388 0.790326682996612 0.619632049549019
2001:4 0.722270217904804 0.777263721171218 0.674993309587314 0.78797160721997 0.617265309347685
2001:5 0.712368719798383 0.76475703085787 0.673007588634932 0.783921412381109 0.600568197121302
2001:6 0.705644074671123 0.765276514157499 0.667442368181968 0.771934645005035 0.585998685690153
2001:7 0.698190053553014 0.767022537129644 0.659913571569301 0.750895054238622 0.584540083013421
2001:8 0.685664465405012 0.752825722816589 0.645614734220419 0.739721404051359 0.564567433578972
2001:9 0.672172227467059 0.733251751952303 0.641733562568294 0.70237995872584 0.558932040518277
2001:10 0.659118132627179 0.725388588204716 0.62791756753388 0.689917216993678 0.534787607058448
2001:11 0.644918356234554 0.70570545653799 0.616463567418772 0.670670761702913 0.518401337906348
2001:12 0.631512751687093 0.700226593673941 0.60455974372847 0.667710551236594 0.515120609972779
2002:1 0.609388428424292 0.68825766185059 0.589567833750223 0.637681859448572 0.481230393051254
2002:2 0.598925770526906 0.680618163764316 0.574268358410434 0.618968671912291 0.486931093254094
2002:3 0.57686258387137 0.654491069043959 0.558310087009863 0.583445512289505 0.46893982505204
2002:4 0.562105435217015 0.634388780735276 0.545185065395033 0.564259708117843 0.461017736815513
2002:5 0.546862836221163 0.627782147467217 0.525211896912881 0.546616702585734 0.448269072479306
2002:6 0.538150322848167 0.619384857652768 0.519249612314865 0.538950443522532 0.439270356950235
2002:7 0.533754435309453 0.612445091871199 0.515750573590935 0.534413034929942 0.432211140005968
2002:8 0.524780413649048 0.60605567708048 0.503428032146877 0.526037292910867 0.430857035982633
2002:9 0.518938141355738 0.601472294677715 0.496972196708289 0.52709281222825 0.413676481365868
2002:10 0.513332919076171 0.592456888946399 0.489926073683959 0.520731865440278 0.419178186924361
2002:11 0.508992286686321 0.589328677729967 0.486993706496795 0.512696289583055 0.411660738930943
2002:12 0.500864790720105 0.578880875323197 0.483655865176941 0.505673458566036 0.398091309160857
2003:1 0.49334329913932 0.586450118032659 0.472458606355878 0.491252253177015 0.392948361893065
2003:2 0.487076832407927 0.582117064971492 0.470538040546897 0.479885806582764 0.386532600361952
2003:3 0.483804324146627 0.582421364339678 0.461899697030602 0.474248430768163 0.38826873114107
2003:4 0.481596586279607 0.576903468037094 0.456826055984322 0.476630033208032 0.38650246682889
2003:5 0.476710836957434 0.566272071518235 0.454526948229195 0.478800533234042 0.385674093465122
2003:6 0.471392531610439 0.562637275999914 0.452454529589761 0.462379423040811 0.381976422203842
2003:7 0.466318780542539 0.549692227923768 0.447892722152905 0.463705802166961 0.371892024337005
2003:8 0.461416254772657 0.549788578710736 0.444001922168292 0.452421916083307 0.369272360783638
2003:9 0.458034151147467 0.550498303030155 0.438545944301976 0.449205892095429 0.36698899304287
2003:10 0.456782726038567 0.553953253511915 0.437807687301188 0.450054305470194 0.354555378267259
2003:11 0.455777341023523 0.556394010919096 0.427788597790568 0.457486058765254 0.358711878961235
2003:12 0.455650320729475 0.552636261212211 0.431588908036628 0.450139442438476 0.361344970978451
2004:1 0.453742164315554 0.543770044852741 0.433851191937106 0.461069638623768 0.351929143900529
2004:2 0.448619534733779 0.542554611705224 0.423425531419693 0.458255520202677 0.351920363136607
2004:3 0.455818409133079 0.546909510281696 0.436259703840487 0.470748201851853 0.354645407792869
2004:4 0.456594350137857 0.542927386187365 0.43868300642129 0.470668637797008 0.356542701909337
2004:5 0.460853111486645 0.552081066286339 0.44087501436258 0.465622817348998 0.35850700926366
2004:6 0.464674406823589 0.547626589250438 0.440576510959073 0.479867404529622 0.371782674122988
2004:7 0.469168132534754 0.552658662158648 0.447582283806405 0.47883097200899 0.374969860090915
2004:8 0.475575798396121 0.547516062103039 0.4589860644041 0.490194231883196 0.38659445488099
2004:9 0.477353538108838 0.544674224587054 0.460403779148016 0.492034215393508 0.391168458791513
2004:10 0.479789338691273 0.547309854389663 0.465092230886844 0.490784392510049 0.397343401085692
2004:11 0.483799380145437 0.543296804942496 0.474256809185559 0.492315599901119 0.408187817856808
2004:12 0.490885228456261 0.555085445128358 0.46986706813352 0.503535722764244 0.409276587205739
2005:1 0.495092548849789 0.554640897159435 0.475427798703858 0.499953894058626 0.425142273368852
2005:2 0.502705793370828 0.552273836632859 0.489930672744449 0.509559232000798 0.425676514432514
2005:3 0.5013484924787 0.552660559693215 0.492072720799906 0.506026994604329 0.419882421230277
2005:4 0.506333617083562 0.566169418521114 0.49632088122038 0.503575663383455 0.420777258637619
2005:5 0.512537541324816 0.574172720635432 0.495935300138646 0.512184962479205 0.432075855790569
2005:6 0.512707861289879 0.571599357617075 0.501809470225609 0.513549060285424 0.418594820735307
2005:7 0.514729614573266 0.574479005824723 0.497245777072937 0.518498916406569 0.43014702909983
2005:8 0.51298005716777 0.578782153120005 0.492463197169254 0.523298054842442 0.424232467472253
2005:9 0.520097859077792 0.593671816394154 0.500458617015706 0.524090664197472 0.431919999087209
2005:10 0.524407808339652 0.589944992005349 0.503097753142971 0.532345491459103 0.444570303043356
2005:11 0.528177905256452 0.597652090250485 0.510461998344517 0.531274614611894 0.443357259794796
2005:12 0.536427945626984 0.599957796665156 0.51508524597685 0.538385615808008 0.450353072578225
2006:1 0.538889169327791 0.601871641730809 0.516571666319531 0.542619304220765 0.450270133603667
2006:2 0.546156503918222 0.613263784465037 0.527618322439447 0.547277158524623 0.463482569907401
2006:3 0.548787413681622 0.625494963399584 0.519928909618531 0.543179746785122 0.479396305334535
2006:4 0.550915339100469 0.627337039901615 0.518543443535965 0.550645209474039 0.48387052379281
2006:5 0.55393034311736 0.623946934191587 0.528724433523477 0.55808143772138 0.479818653501918
2006:6 0.556898159737 0.633766931152287 0.521286306283874 0.557556315551378 0.494840569576177
2006:7 0.559339990436793 0.640412997118103 0.518975363436761 0.55965232140273 0.499894140643884
2006:8 0.565458947496978 0.655703266266553 0.527706022605193 0.559860742332335 0.502563983029596
2006:9 0.570506824229362 0.662358079765856 0.529424780747014 0.573091145628964 0.503869615203057
2006:10 0.567723356952954 0.669153645155409 0.525894152810609 0.570057196676439 0.496462457614803
2006:11 0.570966920366891 0.672515598226211 0.525632795674257 0.578331913795304 0.500959088874646
2006:12 0.566106774616077 0.671072173539641 0.524639851131393 0.564127910920487 0.494083348114105
2007:1 0.573376600172953 0.67400506787494 0.534132079100706 0.56766871069557 0.502333449017137
2007:2 0.568764766084536 0.668217321334038 0.53121343615976 0.556650121601598 0.503565001284452
2007:3 0.564296294828592 0.654738345034022 0.531108475790731 0.559821215007511 0.501102395137022
2007:4 0.562459125861021 0.655118739780012 0.525456202287208 0.558847611153071 0.497251422384374
2007:5 0.55741981057443 0.650560905118581 0.518553247559251 0.550611109017832 0.49230291507472
2007:6 0.554124029450744 0.654106826695189 0.512897235898329 0.546176479502528 0.48388481762197
2007:7 0.552778722083755 0.648775504463458 0.52087069150291 0.542983888547927 0.479652856052857
2007:8 0.545605990168899 0.63583771432348 0.510920793769956 0.539421384313837 0.479195984442089
2007:9 0.536067820050459 0.624873905547898 0.500660818105833 0.527105697137358 0.480533269804027
2007:10 0.536436481963852 0.611476684296168 0.503920763368413 0.535116051180654 0.488631000854855
2007:11 0.527058208277129 0.606952130870148 0.495799627175558 0.514308303079856 0.484448581121496
2007:12 0.525596214183647 0.600818802408773 0.49649449480043 0.516767384915684 0.488111399912774
2008:1 0.519233888797744 0.60644056686413 0.487146067161094 0.513856161011726 0.478552378049368
2008:2 0.517159945878477 0.604516719675639 0.47515039114288 0.524559502215463 0.467527044458512
2008:3 0.517124042979445 0.610553324701374 0.476249622874152 0.521251793572235 0.456405764025849
2008:4 0.511568737243871 0.598218248885902 0.483860955312442 0.505390286111274 0.456801326696803
2008:5 0.504348302984691 0.592308996683503 0.478648966828753 0.499971095105508 0.451156436061235
2008:6 0.496866185937248 0.585569908444712 0.478601195848026 0.488957488419379 0.439945798112412
2008:7 0.489488110754582 0.582672905616762 0.466903913232894 0.482491530606393 0.424797698655407
2008:8 0.48287310496729 0.575645764681514 0.45645179101813 0.473905590253343 0.423068041311601
2008:9 0.473549810249453 0.55553873732807 0.452589556898829 0.468060466727485 0.399929320679779
2008:10 0.4656287095488 0.561938105938912 0.439549603720026 0.448736475531082 0.387758078016117
2008:11 0.452064856496969 0.543180343874272 0.423558187346117 0.446666613547218 0.368983142209798
2008:12 0.433278469364959 0.525872297085025 0.409707344426178 0.438207032675438 0.363034240356244
2009:1 0.414965005643849 0.500163242561101 0.389593680570868 0.417784102067903 0.351051277237799
2009:2 0.399650980183145 0.480289444944049 0.374316707664129 0.398634201801695 0.339897316365595
2009:3 0.385055562579734 0.455800849085587 0.357043552228876 0.382626153535877 0.334086609100423
2009:4 0.366088089524554 0.432379222021906 0.33192653680896 0.37613116358862 0.313030331760344
2009:5 0.350239920786324 0.421351457955343 0.318506032361187 0.35890704831396 0.303215752553979
2009:6 0.339078990114777 0.398204042639204 0.311867520823175 0.353225842297672 0.302542544106819
2009:7 0.323229491832236 0.377202457005655 0.298462345682141 0.333979852353626 0.292396880119287
2009:8 0.309048235752767 0.363192162131179 0.283210988391209 0.315330515306798 0.277968267479892
2009:9 0.297741596001319 0.355400631683554 0.266830036025351 0.297635243141256 0.279265374654458
2009:10 0.283550829514794 0.329705543208452 0.257354104290822 0.288031503943109 0.265004844572476
2009:11 0.276935030800415 0.321601130697909 0.253933872316195 0.27823631946736 0.260396850858931
2009:12 0.269575382962062 0.320207023003148 0.248238365550872 0.272657360022067 0.24913208483879
2010:1 0.264292166041243 0.314716566560737 0.239106597412706 0.273694273263881 0.24047979159862
2010:2 0.25664849460339 0.311919663357194 0.230223783673889 0.2624356585027 0.233842044575424
2010:3 0.250226825959238 0.307246806198285 0.224101004783571 0.256976398237477 0.224958610203523
2010:4 0.251561058595611 0.313154074235519 0.224665271726061 0.255599285057865 0.230147833189343
2010:5 0.252665647842933 0.312091572302288 0.222632604181915 0.256033091179238 0.234388192083884
2010:6 0.248177958649294 0.30500308113085 0.220569103700451 0.248734212951379 0.230128867809283
2010:7 0.246233951811948 0.300356329434379 0.218893536047526 0.249586795221399 0.229131165573345
2010:8 0.248263167744422 0.291768348736811 0.228324971576209 0.251942132676123 0.229930561327085
2010:9 0.247128788830407 0.292373332038718 0.228006745386237 0.251499064269009 0.224687411265802
2010:10 0.245131716361124 0.298116593142114 0.226652097964709 0.245153076639201 0.216172131641159
2010:11 0.24711445774082 0.298666426172365 0.227218243075577 0.250416925670245 0.221403951413097
Return to Figure 14a

Figure 14b: Unemployment flow rates (16+ years of age): inflow rate (in percent)

Year:Quarter Aggregate Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.040939415252012 0.0686238241000743 0.0345613184971669 0.039479568625244 0.0148734347886188
1977:1 0.0412422672567904 0.0685790579363852 0.0350969085907888 0.0391184821148353 0.0153475519534836
1977:2 0.041848011628489 0.0696021919902365 0.0355649734621949 0.0392950401585568 0.0159460430494987
1977:3 0.0420911714995483 0.0698530262427403 0.0357732884080947 0.0398495711025791 0.0161214678596344
1977:4 0.0419432462807703 0.0697793831167691 0.0358310074902609 0.0390740859961073 0.0161948047105031
1977:5 0.0422166977181336 0.0708477160671381 0.036248425686229 0.0387319210587725 0.0166689005117821
1977:6 0.0421814197144284 0.0714946276351569 0.0359365438377992 0.0382783131845963 0.0166931415657661
1977:7 0.0422034811360807 0.0720958900259232 0.0360610276897646 0.0382994900653006 0.0162776721255429
1977:8 0.042053630471728 0.0720364881525381 0.0362348704368922 0.0379203817694565 0.0161210229703366
1977:9 0.0419487918749956 0.0718078921072413 0.0361641459440029 0.0377375707979167 0.0164714352476573
1977:10 0.0420757345703532 0.0723738674237648 0.0361710498765132 0.0375422734417141 0.0165425310385988
1977:11 0.0418115658655445 0.0720326787405962 0.0358894057250653 0.0376244131330721 0.0162999915510718
1977:12 0.0416909494031299 0.0719536327970686 0.035462153254991 0.0377565025992966 0.0160332727432719
1978:1 0.0414017543422865 0.0722620296941842 0.0347265028419039 0.0376852915981303 0.0156142782641848
1978:2 0.0410660952961219 0.0720603404073104 0.0343256419769132 0.037759712675222 0.0152284998972938
1978:3 0.0408352661650517 0.0721129856378524 0.0339958519134299 0.0373892018444082 0.0151697372044335
1978:4 0.0410802409985982 0.073100246291146 0.0340796488030596 0.0375362602057346 0.014998576616552
1978:5 0.0406797096759006 0.0725271694863989 0.0337996470944238 0.0370581202190367 0.0144462188441896
1978:6 0.0408792542925735 0.073212734085591 0.0337863154532746 0.0374826554355358 0.014443352005378
1978:7 0.0409102098401098 0.0731176512538342 0.0336812446208641 0.037661995700491 0.0146754868062167
1978:8 0.040947608781412 0.0736684377028634 0.0334964495397488 0.0376980813896149 0.0147637695733274
1978:9 0.0408632551813343 0.0738545318365034 0.0334554298703688 0.037318221388521 0.0146165856193722
1978:10 0.0406168366277525 0.0741053474925009 0.0330435789237444 0.037223736499871 0.0144333189143167
1978:11 0.0407492516308262 0.07495002687495 0.0329529297092061 0.0368635254657409 0.0145633839616885
1978:12 0.0407108780416361 0.074715652742696 0.0331891168402704 0.0364528217414388 0.0145388954427032
1979:1 0.0407972936734619 0.0745186207151651 0.0334967923406242 0.0365619254344702 0.0146420410917149
1979:2 0.0406739447045891 0.0744448812467266 0.0334243306634414 0.0364869706769362 0.0147193439832221
1979:3 0.0407562911703405 0.0751400131977533 0.0335754174001869 0.0364127853591076 0.0144633180548571
1979:4 0.0405826891550201 0.0751536467526661 0.0335251027238687 0.0359027567515621 0.0144186844005702
1979:5 0.0406889642072685 0.0754390403934343 0.0335073923037933 0.0360562205284004 0.0146784957475614
1979:6 0.0403859926653869 0.0744751066262648 0.0335669515365035 0.0354458346319131 0.0145954024258947
1979:7 0.0405990454515257 0.074714691350251 0.0340029771524449 0.0361744482929897 0.0147234564506
1979:8 0.0406018721345627 0.0747917565649349 0.0341564808071569 0.0358964283246726 0.0146310978673967
1979:9 0.0408080037903746 0.0750304712374961 0.0345183223210626 0.0361282646717896 0.0147238309628326
1979:10 0.0410149965441246 0.0752262129912398 0.0349273231872116 0.0363890118611006 0.0149995414869585
1979:11 0.041138123323471 0.0755698333293998 0.0350308771402545 0.0366415289394555 0.0150657895820829
1979:12 0.0416509876981311 0.0768997498505707 0.0355378986871325 0.036956489047336 0.0149441682719353
1980:1 0.041639297469606 0.0781970748373096 0.0355418618495612 0.0369493635274115 0.0148795792018468
1980:2 0.0419472162989032 0.078781029681035 0.0359698564161796 0.0369278736757944 0.0150934382083043
1980:3 0.0423151970448588 0.0790953955624198 0.0362422430139048 0.0374775237784757 0.0154671612433481
1980:4 0.0431656437380517 0.080228817696488 0.0372064473421609 0.0387234159210423 0.0156703897537666
1980:5 0.0436202565313617 0.0808871602263118 0.0381491547056974 0.039547337765649 0.0154491022795165
1980:6 0.0441317543392418 0.0820409711604682 0.0387545385835686 0.0397721534109965 0.0155797321469326
1980:7 0.0441968539258331 0.0827935690269057 0.0388813332287981 0.0388455564518163 0.0154056728404438
1980:8 0.0442258013278492 0.0828671231037399 0.0389128310260819 0.039255286784927 0.0153304022504399
1980:9 0.0441475121721072 0.0831951489212144 0.0388501605649711 0.0393634846738337 0.0150583173546701
1980:10 0.0441330132921138 0.0834498147865699 0.0388749991706247 0.0389379797353165 0.014875984386474
1980:11 0.0440224588277207 0.0833867915734305 0.0389328002333115 0.0388585964598766 0.0146679637253543
1980:12 0.0435745237241333 0.0828647932680611 0.0385725148312119 0.0387924107944841 0.0146758369928945
1981:1 0.0436809600088032 0.0823933751939199 0.0385881055195748 0.0389027350267485 0.0145580550131737
1981:2 0.0437155135957398 0.0827654945102109 0.0387166824243527 0.0386467019677978 0.0142764044499465
1981:3 0.043262321992151 0.0826583964214569 0.0384393198979276 0.0378678858270554 0.0139042463356334
1981:4 0.04270307978747 0.0817240568913438 0.0377459951735456 0.0375454502936148 0.0137498190698446
1981:5 0.0424697098886171 0.081926766658492 0.0372874023542304 0.0370970600050032 0.0137049768869366
1981:6 0.0420855213231823 0.0821650314729387 0.036748789296179 0.0371193208732463 0.0133917474255371
1981:7 0.0417974019400064 0.0814216447605659 0.0365652410193436 0.0372063682317746 0.0133833552687709
1981:8 0.0420320708958238 0.0821257448009493 0.0368552208112199 0.0371285224851586 0.0133822982220834
1981:9 0.0424200419398593 0.083257240365369 0.0373670977766623 0.037100889224883 0.0134228032808137
1981:10 0.0429716420342396 0.0843385595578308 0.0382476214521244 0.0374242935980665 0.013510958046407
1981:11 0.0438581265641263 0.0858003652794119 0.0392670423409619 0.0383004018395854 0.0135380255443798
1981:12 0.0445965243658386 0.0878554329136206 0.040117631744646 0.0386528777877443 0.0135601651872374
1982:1 0.0450988210236659 0.0893504561054207 0.040743449272998 0.0386566803711441 0.0136424001907782
1982:2 0.0455772404439165 0.0905911028676635 0.041297612783752 0.0392548962972221 0.0136744834755234
1982:3 0.0462515194248819 0.0916626911256326 0.0421593387469336 0.0400330029658417 0.0141424689677417
1982:4 0.0467026549045139 0.0932496431565 0.0427192119821412 0.0400186426015154 0.0141918461798679
1982:5 0.0467133944610027 0.0935734942092148 0.0429384355821564 0.0398372467739037 0.0141895150180347
1982:6 0.0471138318809843 0.0938515489299532 0.0437186275288605 0.0401460746679366 0.0144148305514769
1982:7 0.047651646780867 0.0953736823545058 0.0442348716953077 0.0403143240223795 0.0144425342051957
1982:8 0.0479316164238231 0.0959453462843167 0.0449488973377007 0.0401983890339883 0.0145374200770408
1982:9 0.0479837591786659 0.0959655535296974 0.0450134842883647 0.0403259115682165 0.0147258664054048
1982:10 0.0479095267042138 0.0961070991368097 0.044826261875744 0.0406992205724832 0.0145015724977072
1982:11 0.0475067081314654 0.0962206477095416 0.0446856143649774 0.0398732346229265 0.0144463621828705
1982:12 0.0471223617855662 0.0953220552445537 0.0444631474504251 0.0396954979449972 0.014525483727002
1983:1 0.046921455077048 0.094440066165166 0.044686607916752 0.0396747401963164 0.0144997554048207
1983:2 0.0464587409753627 0.0937140418906621 0.0444170473164106 0.0391783090550056 0.0143606148696986
1983:3 0.046106546607115 0.093343468965759 0.0442273950476711 0.038785877951048 0.0140615766105813
1983:4 0.045861533948765 0.0928215779542255 0.0440995828154087 0.0387023219134296 0.0139100263883732
1983:5 0.0459713558202671 0.0942026959964318 0.0441767176574395 0.0388611395385131 0.0138345307153703
1983:6 0.0455857164999963 0.0935253434730861 0.0436427449076564 0.0386745921023828 0.0137673830336464
1983:7 0.0452090534860097 0.0930761514601901 0.0432547316260173 0.0384618105564839 0.0138205305855471
1983:8 0.0449213400606884 0.0929126665626526 0.0428827711285247 0.0386065739017933 0.013649769578057
1983:9 0.0445509295788479 0.0924190632423442 0.0426922117013934 0.0381581348331434 0.0134256489159668
1983:10 0.0440172788244779 0.0916358936959016 0.042094691031268 0.0376960190361465 0.0132043919146934
1983:11 0.0436016843726796 0.0908507270275726 0.0415392745211665 0.037623137578777 0.0131745523967206
1983:12 0.0432357343916923 0.0904650544897149 0.0410766491893154 0.0369943294163308 0.0130819792653248
1984:1 0.0427642051136664 0.0909407391222571 0.0404860204613183 0.0363833013842094 0.013068434835908
1984:2 0.0423998745827324 0.0903905601280173 0.0400482387133762 0.0362325388770345 0.013398520806668
1984:3 0.0421290784918764 0.0900489124068228 0.0395696537084273 0.0363091557375853 0.013259012692329
1984:4 0.0417048247455169 0.0896625722048471 0.0390575004547611 0.0358376952045311 0.0131979592399165
1984:5 0.041227658579033 0.0874212296687413 0.0386845075509325 0.0356627399756081 0.0131315684086697
1984:6 0.0411452464848479 0.0878332342358803 0.0386803015026904 0.0349772477568103 0.0130632711011199
1984:7 0.0410854189509348 0.0881943055942981 0.0388547048553807 0.0347304883132379 0.013020361172281
1984:8 0.0407780083965495 0.0878499443645257 0.0382723547441905 0.0344733547923035 0.0130549612134921
1984:9 0.0407922128296055 0.0881381469052041 0.0380796748813225 0.0347640170145885 0.0130807887591256
1984:10 0.0408376774417281 0.0883199383399017 0.0384001149310732 0.0345368560608713 0.0134351826998096
1984:11 0.0407931997263599 0.0879916936037864 0.0385204184647101 0.034281944833458 0.0135668310289477
1984:12 0.0411673202461226 0.0894440492373851 0.0386766690845779 0.0345088797445813 0.013757856312671
1985:1 0.0413756353563317 0.0890878809184141 0.0386906260790717 0.0348666101612043 0.01391817717314
1985:2 0.0416006383032369 0.0900692379970821 0.0387568221295227 0.0350066595753376 0.0137539487733446
1985:3 0.0417338929233742 0.0905895461937672 0.0389694797538968 0.0346107838747122 0.0138561609020942
1985:4 0.041921651348757 0.0911148006678591 0.039101754995991 0.0349951958698236 0.0140490877882863
1985:5 0.04228145604798 0.0925239329407627 0.0394012883573644 0.0349215792845248 0.0141896752919546
1985:6 0.042523703428067 0.0932585816292432 0.0395872741837901 0.035407886539534 0.0142276307653833
1985:7 0.0424304353167147 0.0926426678084794 0.0396831890843714 0.0354608474168388 0.0141539128935072
1985:8 0.0425493639386002 0.0928440213949809 0.0399844358490584 0.0355012827377256 0.0141745230304917
1985:9 0.0424725586162389 0.092571053353865 0.0399693181618585 0.0354703432830672 0.0141449616387495
1985:10 0.0424330177009975 0.0929779237266274 0.0398482047073286 0.0354734598534928 0.0140959112793417
1985:11 0.0424403242809083 0.0934557554227253 0.0397334854270069 0.0355555597656552 0.013872547980585
1985:12 0.0419766332708298 0.0920130526696271 0.0398050852391369 0.0351981755527711 0.0136655476019836
1986:1 0.0418710735506166 0.0921249595395642 0.0397274808983971 0.0351911511221027 0.0134977568006065
1986:2 0.041902040308797 0.0917459832060424 0.0399483978931944 0.0351172900838021 0.0136222832206903
1986:3 0.0420678590082166 0.0917920261671307 0.0401081960601933 0.0355419456619228 0.0137355659842868
1986:4 0.042093383955685 0.0920034254487144 0.0403228919213204 0.0353864559807325 0.013685838591808
1986:5 0.0418768336869911 0.091819243960383 0.0402132625115894 0.0352024985167443 0.0135459388783452
1986:6 0.0416628087818366 0.0916236306381792 0.0399371470735023 0.0348866663843319 0.0135218151339968
1986:7 0.0415591695439397 0.0921386810015146 0.039501673443756 0.0350359282801303 0.0134010478302306
1986:8 0.0413528993195827 0.0923255718219053 0.0391951011826216 0.0347705178075471 0.0132603558336283
1986:9 0.0412114897318369 0.0927537840648175 0.0390532632204086 0.0345792542291766 0.0132338416218336
1986:10 0.0410544268630712 0.0926511788297246 0.0387551858877899 0.0344434847975461 0.0130779231433769
1986:11 0.0409130788985761 0.0929736051653287 0.0384392508496321 0.0341126727650384 0.0133376866074104
1986:12 0.0408505552147691 0.0932474148244725 0.0379344180760901 0.0345487166640459 0.0133412394178011
1987:1 0.0406854875639786 0.093045930933993 0.0377563631124644 0.034464001139936 0.0132246863289842
1987:2 0.0405110328507609 0.093170268118579 0.0374420861966092 0.034542846805136 0.0128482672273648
1987:3 0.0399342944278219 0.0920053864477379 0.0368440601501174 0.0341252883454473 0.0127513979245081
1987:4 0.0397588243846491 0.0922722960431216 0.0362640841323879 0.0339922871767007 0.012691267913617
1987:5 0.0394935256299835 0.0914667697013082 0.0357228267978602 0.0340347496696978 0.0127080600512457
1987:6 0.03909409948406 0.0905159873600672 0.0355149069621391 0.0341264959194299 0.0124646890211077
1987:7 0.0388557647170033 0.0898153432511361 0.0353675200712248 0.0338996332768388 0.0125299644622708
1987:8 0.0388089532130618 0.0891320261416569 0.03531168142818 0.0340781342857725 0.0125492939700779
1987:9 0.0386187428245978 0.0888294117770038 0.0350972496960781 0.033814758956256 0.0125948397113463
1987:10 0.0385213509216524 0.0886626890686022 0.0349583124097159 0.0340932188686576 0.0126257129946665
1987:11 0.03846903567762 0.088103786761262 0.0349646833056537 0.0344059817334607 0.0125702217624887
1987:12 0.0382267016170823 0.0877319732542342 0.0347655746121075 0.0338905625879173 0.0123823424357999
1988:1 0.0377818962539141 0.0876122462964095 0.0345307458103718 0.0336042052292698 0.0121910553366014
1988:2 0.0374854510530365 0.0873175004940697 0.0343106354069439 0.0329658382468312 0.0121550541432841
1988:3 0.0375569207085402 0.0881543787136119 0.0345975113971512 0.0325004125785404 0.0119121629172479
1988:4 0.0373038564402605 0.0870745291593509 0.0347747378846145 0.0321436446735474 0.0117031451012213
1988:5 0.0371999041389832 0.0867381408625653 0.0350460008089979 0.0319392336929126 0.0114969103768355
1988:6 0.0369602038885725 0.0867991351135311 0.0346392602293516 0.0314070288334955 0.0115230888922326
1988:7 0.0369436843838765 0.0882367057074942 0.0344616864835133 0.0307577032220365 0.0115097542614758
1988:8 0.0367250068635831 0.0888953876583293 0.0342870734102477 0.0303506753649731 0.0114798470465038
1988:9 0.0366286003119631 0.0885162098763301 0.0342728920826456 0.0303333584112781 0.0112470048956909
1988:10 0.0365310028893375 0.0880081974098136 0.0340829053786961 0.0306224499151866 0.011048261033641
1988:11 0.0361241923462021 0.087021464980211 0.0338483051146654 0.0306940337885773 0.0107908858322455
1988:12 0.0362716910811753 0.087148706216762 0.0338026875263122 0.0309589824904482 0.0108685723923619
1989:1 0.0367457819653289 0.0878552840536837 0.0339781776377867 0.0311566844557274 0.0111096574384621
1989:2 0.0366374878531254 0.0880610462884444 0.0337708592552783 0.0312330732911024 0.0111290303847107
1989:3 0.0364443744443272 0.0877551670701087 0.0332248623445649 0.0315408372072067 0.0112686051839773
1989:4 0.0363954058487345 0.087988488897147 0.0331203232543871 0.0315907960572039 0.0113457304554122
1989:5 0.0365011927281308 0.0885600637487764 0.0334145545554743 0.0316334505101078 0.0115624567214769
1989:6 0.0368516767931299 0.0890479329624065 0.0339126884792516 0.032039106598793 0.0116742429190302
1989:7 0.0367506360281833 0.0880343256358228 0.0339826087904233 0.0324246279669477 0.0115280226402848
1989:8 0.0367384903279044 0.0876702957984993 0.0340582468891771 0.0324868356352368 0.0115911353820872
1989:9 0.0368262376322533 0.0879668475612623 0.0338491838316335 0.0326693724063785 0.0118118938463452
1989:10 0.0368320104939911 0.0881745061876849 0.0341809889115961 0.0320638294059195 0.0120700300239102
1989:11 0.037186638090793 0.0888714291947107 0.0349421160028258 0.0316292518549389 0.0121661247632508
1989:12 0.0371482816632654 0.0879990887029418 0.0352555905571179 0.0317507370588553 0.0121565068374838
1990:1 0.0370617877856792 0.0881128428608858 0.0352543000963633 0.0316544559279596 0.0121105585436931
1990:2 0.0372506712011854 0.0879780463545075 0.0356235260889858 0.0321001286429543 0.0122557283595269
1990:3 0.0374384241385384 0.0884904257054931 0.0358747797153575 0.0321434637143249 0.0123841949476246
1990:4 0.0373739055237691 0.0887256756809696 0.0356472851570151 0.0320349061735997 0.0122853017780676
1990:5 0.0370991304626091 0.0885833868070559 0.0350445229691315 0.0319945280195784 0.0120252075439825
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1994:7 0.0332454023222332 0.089063057766406 0.0330230462263013 0.0273364197599761 0.0120896809866311
1994:8 0.033341752260235 0.0887686610928911 0.0330367470476748 0.0275920630546293 0.0123832064381927
1994:9 0.0330456446632962 0.0874857923715175 0.0328102926959841 0.0274255003101011 0.0125045487320187
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1994:11 0.0332027981128205 0.0875927475364878 0.0329661806122217 0.0274132914289485 0.0126941200395273
1994:12 0.0334687566332028 0.0885518230987151 0.033153088749405 0.02760717791078 0.0125294418599928
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1995:7 0.0333598619965542 0.0865478888057803 0.0334575096229835 0.0273155818610306 0.0131837040401333
1995:8 0.0336247234848635 0.0883566499299592 0.0335916360338958 0.0273526131813034 0.0132743017810047
1995:9 0.0340782823350741 0.0902088511856041 0.0339865639694836 0.0273779992149294 0.0135259924843766
1995:10 0.0341309873199689 0.0914328221556705 0.0340024348472015 0.0272330602465864 0.0134272020133732
1995:11 0.0342345881698204 0.0920232159456486 0.0341656648685113 0.0271029007292323 0.0133988921996182
1995:12 0.0341662078704925 0.0910272674571143 0.0342181910926275 0.0272394454653832 0.0134746985092477
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1996:7 0.0336049101955349 0.0906012210620239 0.0333080121045013 0.0277347282341557 0.0129765547594455
1996:8 0.0332598631009575 0.0885663860059469 0.0331038883833515 0.0275462850945696 0.0129204105579728
1996:9 0.0329505658521036 0.0874082252775726 0.0328786457220602 0.0273778544161127 0.0128010597995779
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1996:11 0.0330878575015182 0.0865191823146927 0.0330842230749455 0.0276434533565942 0.0132843259247558
1996:12 0.0330071171843043 0.0872166123185605 0.0330068810241909 0.0274727560638582 0.0132099361661686
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1997:4 0.0327541490322844 0.0870345442742061 0.0322313596023384 0.0272897765965028 0.0126536594915825
1997:5 0.032676313942575 0.0869996071567268 0.0324607420155798 0.0272619630561946 0.0123739842685861
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1997:8 0.0322734947308093 0.086681953029748 0.0321064481082012 0.026402014441376 0.012214051114592
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1997:10 0.0318694037987318 0.0864848213082581 0.031666219725988 0.026512923656219 0.0113041972665615
1997:11 0.0317360984078594 0.0864159880406088 0.0315551252322456 0.0263778029691687 0.0112702318614936
1997:12 0.0315485844651616 0.0850819253780002 0.031365138176967 0.0262750664143797 0.0112984427345837
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1998:7 0.031888365928167 0.0848765656360484 0.032711219645135 0.0262301274306171 0.0111711392091566
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1998:9 0.032144910086159 0.0853248791415518 0.0325047285313999 0.0264967170372134 0.0117341390140706
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1998:11 0.0319670761692339 0.0846127134271433 0.0324772042966599 0.0263651096655177 0.0117887160696835
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1999:3 0.0313541801954389 0.0835523190370873 0.0316131015323658 0.0261815855415966 0.0119303464116829
1999:4 0.0312435637405301 0.0828424545073973 0.0314903261872523 0.0263114704709253 0.0120291419022978
1999:5 0.0312840188780892 0.0830751384645562 0.03163741327834 0.0261643734208644 0.0120524768803475
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1999:7 0.0313804063613535 0.0839275046990702 0.0314716709746721 0.026286703583846 0.0121853245395041
1999:8 0.0313359157750049 0.0834416154500809 0.0315225725937716 0.0264085656666085 0.0123068088675511
1999:9 0.0310844263581851 0.0816406783009763 0.0318410499247765 0.0261817105057486 0.0120886173083135
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2000:8 0.0312298882338627 0.0837927086837185 0.0323528796306705 0.0260768795255329 0.0122626867961473
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2000:12 0.0309426651357422 0.0834010379768242 0.032398379181784 0.0255849861773971 0.011555823867358
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2001:11 0.0332793048839154 0.0864898670259685 0.0350170996348753 0.0275577996911232 0.0137799410256998
2001:12 0.0335017581614331 0.0866906394168549 0.0353384266866146 0.0279112725494008 0.0140483269887655
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2002:11 0.0316844314931757 0.0795787440342562 0.0338554428305281 0.0279647870059891 0.0129409141589853
2002:12 0.0313199752624289 0.0790272998967438 0.0334552472206251 0.0277129768193342 0.012918051747584
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2003:4 0.0305396624738242 0.0793728712656929 0.0320734616880519 0.0267429286410397 0.0126968513213375
2003:5 0.030558996103369 0.0795741861676248 0.0321790515655096 0.026819544781669 0.012748709164051
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2003:7 0.030095369553466 0.0774051371176407 0.0317641305222948 0.0264163878506644 0.0126556799662137
2003:8 0.0299467984805835 0.0776383071011901 0.0317837898947941 0.0260020131483082 0.01246324155035
2003:9 0.0298109009534484 0.0778736394070689 0.0319023615769583 0.0255954481447467 0.0124273221183763
2003:10 0.0295817299166382 0.0773480588512382 0.0316612094766397 0.0254754769871672 0.0121496235163252
2003:11 0.0293378698380292 0.0769975933364914 0.031009204456574 0.0255078820614131 0.012251169298632
2003:12 0.0291389797369417 0.0765881396240535 0.0308322903942485 0.0253856980407897 0.0119984828775386
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2004:3 0.0284049468593152 0.0740940564709976 0.0305753304068605 0.0254883676691758 0.0115299859499005
2004:4 0.0282116493384674 0.0740609616938936 0.0302835752580688 0.0251688421264194 0.0114671743654416
2004:5 0.0280905603761896 0.073828265545331 0.0300111324100354 0.0248937543011464 0.0114682973164243
2004:6 0.0281575843144484 0.0742953857090644 0.0300153945886206 0.0251239074944023 0.0115200118687759
2004:7 0.0280979541117835 0.0741904401712816 0.0301473061871348 0.0248564381459604 0.0114229938388144
2004:8 0.0281833388402794 0.0738339172331039 0.0303470790522324 0.0250737116636576 0.0115025874301023
2004:9 0.028225871917935 0.0735545080010852 0.0303005278412982 0.0253515776891284 0.0114308886941144
2004:10 0.0282076152550331 0.0735287812876666 0.0303721606292082 0.0251263623840333 0.0115884358973655
2004:11 0.0283405387637139 0.0737882973940521 0.030567298850654 0.0252543196122317 0.0117251871199722
2004:12 0.0283828776061672 0.0736498818050823 0.0305754079500355 0.0252943572748975 0.0116768057921818
2005:1 0.0287289644003782 0.0739884835153953 0.0310860382070622 0.0253311943226161 0.0118989195073927
2005:2 0.0286535504872508 0.0738165881943108 0.0312270900576131 0.0250895480823077 0.0116744649007594
2005:3 0.0285607539214928 0.0741210860929606 0.0310039429992207 0.025096149967026 0.0115457676246662
2005:4 0.0286376316631502 0.074697945330956 0.0311651058341141 0.0250131023417052 0.0114350698329037
2005:5 0.0286423371023501 0.0741495503151281 0.0313429204838408 0.0251119408023527 0.0114031787240242
2005:6 0.0284110837184612 0.073461890752225 0.0312927432108718 0.0246512553223338 0.0112422794438624
2005:7 0.0282998028984025 0.0732940173164247 0.0311142505486715 0.024657125477055 0.0111092904103115
2005:8 0.0281949221923319 0.0734510645094363 0.0310886210139769 0.0244719224764626 0.011088004023172
2005:9 0.0282287572344609 0.073824065243637 0.0311081327590804 0.0244783948556401 0.011121471252956
2005:10 0.0284229329133607 0.0735273214422695 0.0314038156681818 0.0247838664502117 0.0112271554315584
2005:11 0.0283218566968954 0.0735487299515676 0.0315217855626425 0.0245655995219606 0.0109856668974292
2005:12 0.0283267703635241 0.0729597462865734 0.0316529642159534 0.0244674083256636 0.0110013067735064
2006:1 0.0282040635893941 0.0727346893498985 0.0313612151020286 0.0243866416186708 0.011040026229247
2006:2 0.0283609502236695 0.0734188770074929 0.0314851676176555 0.024643804106894 0.0113389100823895
2006:3 0.0283958792934933 0.0733851908378892 0.0315276273515323 0.02428448593209 0.0115883078626754
2006:4 0.0281917161634764 0.0724792359641341 0.0312436869584409 0.0243316862053558 0.0115090372416784
2006:5 0.028166925428358 0.0732717717570671 0.03112649063983 0.0243242912920711 0.0114566619512173
2006:6 0.0283037440690785 0.0736205654206144 0.0309758255820794 0.024636200580694 0.0115907489656297
2006:7 0.0283629182741851 0.0739565335571268 0.0309568451994942 0.0246212897941481 0.0116653742730569
2006:8 0.0283281043378049 0.0741540885580743 0.0308072066380216 0.0246822135847972 0.0116706676312717
2006:9 0.0283164855689791 0.0742419517436221 0.0308691306022149 0.0246703969847508 0.0115833746497327
2006:10 0.0279378719439653 0.0742714444926314 0.0305164755697261 0.0243219022641278 0.0112047443521208
2006:11 0.0279813950434687 0.0740997783801091 0.0306516542500637 0.0243309259235129 0.0112749498286921
2006:12 0.027888689667489 0.0748278517966777 0.0303893953820995 0.0241369830923276 0.0112655162533539
2007:1 0.02792469262829 0.0752184250219408 0.0306217709755561 0.0239919516098638 0.0110590110477096
2007:2 0.0275122375821319 0.0739287421747725 0.0302486698525223 0.0235467603410271 0.0108584830795334
2007:3 0.0272034847405353 0.0730548845115131 0.0299371147833331 0.0235074354949925 0.010695939654262
2007:4 0.0270812429854607 0.0726981966222725 0.0297230715044996 0.0233371464343251 0.0107691642875847
2007:5 0.0268723341076976 0.0717948547869769 0.0295786895523903 0.0231603473053011 0.0106997225252257
2007:6 0.0266238655296276 0.0717133608940056 0.0292854482421888 0.0228220515049439 0.0106099502621641
2007:7 0.0265275824377866 0.0708845156563032 0.0294457870537279 0.0228085652017144 0.010762692294361
2007:8 0.0264352298798546 0.0713791363636602 0.0294139247091147 0.0225759389764599 0.0105956960153979
2007:9 0.0261949121299507 0.070431862885883 0.0291710191312296 0.0223752717011475 0.0107915861446405
2007:10 0.0262525048465803 0.0702266525101684 0.0292360682856682 0.022384044707457 0.0112297229959494
2007:11 0.0262083418310502 0.0705053323649815 0.0292820654804538 0.0222829507189645 0.0111361938795069
2007:12 0.0261886686509797 0.0709646046164578 0.0293765398748948 0.0221056612588034 0.011146607824462
2008:1 0.0260678742255215 0.070995481526533 0.029368280838828 0.0222719302824935 0.0111782371982562
2008:2 0.026530417258716 0.0725455427988952 0.0298703990038635 0.0229128808820214 0.0111056034874238
2008:3 0.0265866388321734 0.0733258275917115 0.0300973083495173 0.0229580108816025 0.0109072434244081
2008:4 0.0271389080941851 0.0746259196634955 0.031252409936289 0.023467446058311 0.0109874488732052
2008:5 0.0272397948807033 0.0754924966332545 0.0315450243716744 0.023453625164089 0.0109787497399368
2008:6 0.0274434848256049 0.0772861281048725 0.0319908021321414 0.0234488288355077 0.0108678308211484
2008:7 0.0279532954822542 0.0794279862064997 0.0322237511429659 0.024012678356399 0.0109558236808569
2008:8 0.0281280231427825 0.0790755916889603 0.0325157737177675 0.024492683819994 0.0109699321726793
2008:9 0.0284794506078124 0.0800926773599342 0.0329711326056206 0.0248811421986819 0.0110339274367633
2008:10 0.0289765332220237 0.0818080915047797 0.0334912996430021 0.0253584032230786 0.0110225864983402
2008:11 0.0292950167604005 0.08202037979486 0.0338154101483076 0.0257707230256834 0.0114659132260535
2008:12 0.0298442457700819 0.0814279143813581 0.034684826795695 0.0268190513844287 0.0120810077549126
2009:1 0.0304027288526175 0.0817934720096275 0.0349485105232049 0.0273406246770553 0.0126491869435266
2009:2 0.0307499263964117 0.0818540417937883 0.0352317136286348 0.0277170791663635 0.0131514218301752
2009:3 0.0313205048588403 0.0821109545072549 0.0358337058223826 0.028458028128843 0.0136860079901553
2009:4 0.0311468729063585 0.080858117079278 0.0354248999165418 0.0285057864117144 0.0138483857773104
2009:5 0.031378410364482 0.0815190926520415 0.0356296846693107 0.0289472956615564 0.0140300049977521
2009:6 0.0315058314394198 0.0802406102299477 0.0359285071144634 0.0294121500105914 0.0143377104333315
2009:7 0.0311398372809395 0.0787533161236293 0.0357719007369188 0.0289381980332108 0.0143216579114663
2009:8 0.0310322921921921 0.0784114793076779 0.0355001385106984 0.0285511702329641 0.0146332641575921
2009:9 0.0309990489242971 0.0779100174463215 0.0356523513009592 0.0286076182878894 0.0145607230057584
2009:10 0.03044893983759 0.0755311270477608 0.0350078133078488 0.0286388532189823 0.0144369160055253
2009:11 0.0301549390305469 0.0750383193417087 0.0346247889247405 0.0285137226243228 0.0141781131182326
2009:12 0.0296696971471234 0.0750624191755913 0.0341068783394268 0.0281228684299406 0.0135938085322556
2010:1 0.0290904682885341 0.0740100598392607 0.0335411988843622 0.0276218389912152 0.013173643769044
2010:2 0.0284409572990725 0.073136127832106 0.032867020086379 0.0269461837187173 0.0127577430453425
2010:3 0.0278267099096157 0.072359429774898 0.0320748969562815 0.0264170565077686 0.0124066161315235
2010:4 0.0274966800670174 0.0725435549050872 0.0318203265023221 0.0258831968860082 0.0121392306297044
2010:5 0.0272098218852165 0.0708720215209828 0.0314015075569039 0.0256212530121381 0.0121385027505042
2010:6 0.0269328882836636 0.0694663474434448 0.0311375610223536 0.0254359111395101 0.012084059824584
2010:7 0.0267558827307382 0.0687638339756147 0.0309004016651094 0.0256283321920823 0.0118553510792163
2010:8 0.0267470681698352 0.0680997567775625 0.0311211006728254 0.0258807891311692 0.0117122027003779
2010:9 0.0263120262732821 0.0677906350806731 0.0305833131628793 0.0252033934145979 0.0115827996146766
2010:10 0.026315948059411 0.068648109756656 0.0307910229856059 0.0247234635551924 0.0115417981228037
2010:11 0.0261224872587976 0.068282310978894 0.0305494492690637 0.0246716799833254 0.0115134747918918
Return to Figure 14b

Figure 15a: counterfactual unemployment rates (16 + years of age) :The role of outflow rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.0730756060399197 0.0851197120875247 0.0693590652536402 0.0972670500458906
1977:1 0.0745782815172636 0.0851922629767188 0.0701814102858836 0.0955465447142238
1977:2 0.0752006736825853 0.0841075612826575 0.071118615683689 0.0936215894495148
1977:3 0.0742709028176917 0.0831417629870488 0.0699591789792512 0.0920988085828829
1977:4 0.0743077597997125 0.0826683899228934 0.0698618072565312 0.091350006117325
1977:5 0.0734780300284181 0.081861992483286 0.0696865959971834 0.0912332122143493
1977:6 0.0717370712073516 0.080777764954096 0.0701775031808543 0.087518496570308
1977:7 0.070920152739191 0.0804262762865793 0.0700807195417255 0.0886860542843111
1977:8 0.07028663591305 0.078979640611162 0.0693846404336656 0.0887231126857919
1977:9 0.0695447952321909 0.0778413249182736 0.0688200091059655 0.0864028314211224
1977:10 0.0685414849922164 0.0767340932845655 0.0682662184825828 0.0850865929889075
1977:11 0.0664300708826764 0.0750886784128777 0.0661584599333694 0.0829956574480138
1977:12 0.0662832053057921 0.0749484193623125 0.0652347924596011 0.0817873103209343
1978:1 0.0640231068411354 0.0739641726526434 0.0630937618157253 0.081545491961238
1978:2 0.0630332426205592 0.0734059849393612 0.0614436314161081 0.0811723184173499
1978:3 0.0622672153767695 0.0728989061995202 0.0607632828702907 0.0805024978590494
1978:4 0.0617845013339966 0.0718972175864109 0.0604805144864893 0.0786088870100683
1978:5 0.060956122633996 0.070370788634339 0.0592724200463262 0.0770716245034867
1978:6 0.0608835799956557 0.0701219792453734 0.0589282881784195 0.0798042382634549
1978:7 0.0598038154065552 0.0690472615147691 0.0574334258498133 0.0783801453306117
1978:8 0.0587676458152368 0.0684973930118493 0.057087026914644 0.0783121928034245
1978:9 0.0578287912667492 0.0672030883645857 0.0561340159152789 0.0762839923694842
1978:10 0.0571600463910559 0.0666674778867155 0.0546277876693716 0.0749081210951049
1978:11 0.0573185533352196 0.0671986769386802 0.0551214255344767 0.0769048202699236
1978:12 0.0566945026812948 0.0657554935966892 0.0555605649446714 0.0752416479203214
1979:1 0.0567502258807442 0.0655472438457989 0.0558303750025164 0.0732185573142552
1979:2 0.0563393133585438 0.064958485237305 0.0551086771602647 0.073265414299846
1979:3 0.0564019770459062 0.064204659417368 0.0544045156666285 0.072194473312876
1979:4 0.0556770642561088 0.0633598227663462 0.0552794254258478 0.071489884073741
1979:5 0.0557270495431034 0.0636771979681894 0.0543272164121609 0.0732315697071516
1979:6 0.0554747282291717 0.0635201877889125 0.0533325868800851 0.0701012697331855
1979:7 0.0561947107234316 0.0634091676829787 0.0532392711514681 0.0690748494732613
1979:8 0.0563593876978429 0.0635059942981794 0.0529586922082279 0.0683218117026789
1979:9 0.0567272063763444 0.0639365166760723 0.0534464257200106 0.069170940924427
1979:10 0.0569885373478757 0.0634275659737881 0.0534504975839401 0.0672303778298194
1979:11 0.0572346810298049 0.0632523988557678 0.053426634821898 0.0646788683853717
1979:12 0.0583897609462247 0.0647162802488329 0.0538404081803211 0.0657770999849305
1980:1 0.058112546985367 0.0645896957095745 0.0538251794068719 0.067715629157631
1980:2 0.0585012471858114 0.0654630795400641 0.055207081263544 0.0657745444838457
1980:3 0.0599492421202283 0.0689214248210276 0.0566123936332876 0.0662881217760955
1980:4 0.0621918027191094 0.0718161395282501 0.0578050849958242 0.0673075578597447
1980:5 0.0632669851489038 0.0734473549350887 0.0593696902848831 0.0684895336498688
1980:6 0.0655751747838243 0.0751645721243499 0.0620863237271959 0.0701484752257904
1980:7 0.0666024367549615 0.0768588092403594 0.0639069528476467 0.0712089788389398
1980:8 0.0675547058568596 0.078736645720789 0.0652670287752898 0.0705152157356417
1980:9 0.069062101412559 0.0800727090712427 0.0661075052524881 0.0735447414182451
1980:10 0.0699002528895035 0.0822081063250888 0.0679789537375551 0.0761714716070039
1980:11 0.0706173983146448 0.0835228487248468 0.0685670428106572 0.0763134413735624
1980:12 0.0709474432446373 0.0840901472530858 0.0686333522336131 0.0805083795605793
1981:1 0.0726052116731605 0.085928257074014 0.0693706242081765 0.0793622953032707
1981:2 0.0732947522685671 0.0869382535380846 0.0697525113744612 0.0815411739400281
1981:3 0.072708407741065 0.0843681924619872 0.0703804688324435 0.0831620037314559
1981:4 0.0724236298516994 0.0849526340798545 0.0693879637675061 0.0845784734592226
1981:5 0.0722276016202314 0.0838709459331562 0.0698221583721545 0.0834512262826261
1981:6 0.0704986288091443 0.0836828376620128 0.0679994888675588 0.0841748501799192
1981:7 0.0707878789091171 0.0834642900901886 0.0676796768219648 0.0838087514573256
1981:8 0.0712525950277887 0.0835743689513933 0.0677584366788506 0.0871314905043581
1981:9 0.0716382038645194 0.0848433192664847 0.0687817616943089 0.086543340640699
1981:10 0.0726415579373604 0.0854274133152203 0.070036943052674 0.0880495472469812
1981:11 0.0740927669502929 0.0875788401082243 0.0712721711314792 0.0921469256033463
1981:12 0.0745621573852433 0.0883446577292682 0.072426145972129 0.0897422709398069
1982:1 0.0753059870159474 0.0896250072172217 0.0748518048603329 0.0945711536603027
1982:2 0.0764354908377795 0.0916405552795325 0.0767533011383356 0.0982557812255505
1982:3 0.0786710356612951 0.0952211089875657 0.0774237966529513 0.0989701660933449
1982:4 0.0802491396698363 0.0957867415874941 0.0788553460646559 0.100660042202274
1982:5 0.0811961720591112 0.0986407951660027 0.0803630160086041 0.101777144740473
1982:6 0.0843154674153826 0.10005808421842 0.083997702840373 0.102533813504279
1982:7 0.0860845676731171 0.103357963984036 0.0856157173193676 0.103392774054789
1982:8 0.0888408466919453 0.104880847180042 0.0886347464860646 0.109028680079624
1982:9 0.089974635306094 0.107480329598151 0.0911475084827622 0.111649925796321
1982:10 0.0920650453215784 0.110852767762638 0.0920621703330436 0.117265138749577
1982:11 0.0938054821427639 0.111948754392054 0.0943649523242197 0.118698110276814
1982:12 0.0940667496716854 0.113170099747474 0.095814714435892 0.120252494007956
1983:1 0.095172793099109 0.114399749747443 0.0959009182091208 0.119646425589955
1983:2 0.0962696303060374 0.113749070799004 0.0970955230099991 0.120769650770355
1983:3 0.0961160573192109 0.114092669987078 0.0982551537592372 0.121585372811457
1983:4 0.0960386424691672 0.115559145232553 0.0981909216480751 0.121555143075172
1983:5 0.0961699114661671 0.115278532620072 0.0983157767419327 0.121989002853195
1983:6 0.0944937395852675 0.114002983645496 0.0968906422045893 0.122087804911046
1983:7 0.0943654950609679 0.112626342577064 0.0971503528850265 0.12234817027602
1983:8 0.0921356986089923 0.111715754394874 0.0943754652664171 0.117534637822749
1983:9 0.0908268133870687 0.107748177375203 0.0919428907151379 0.115043966819483
1983:10 0.0882470578347628 0.10431109139769 0.0900378072454428 0.109214073508513
1983:11 0.0858818837172573 0.101595351154916 0.0874691808472917 0.107109357435852
1983:12 0.0844159309844332 0.0998146386069792 0.0854506142738078 0.106046101848763
1984:1 0.0818634997674764 0.096700117446092 0.0830230069595781 0.10364106771111
1984:2 0.0801331633434669 0.0951448680354137 0.0803693128166976 0.0974555943555113
1984:3 0.0785742337584656 0.09246830983749 0.078301396310844 0.0947310463589753
1984:4 0.0764540531697578 0.0893193777504976 0.0770689538372192 0.093081002797222
1984:5 0.0751356473489383 0.0866514379050659 0.0745568764128396 0.0920677348195016
1984:6 0.0751431111550574 0.0861673937077563 0.0734262937747118 0.0930910319902012
1984:7 0.0726943914319367 0.0841987036503423 0.0724668769096841 0.0915460812320751
1984:8 0.0718159025282607 0.0828559891406169 0.071876858728613 0.0880262752497106
1984:9 0.0711643569134956 0.0832973737839848 0.0706527590742661 0.0874151665601386
1984:10 0.070332874040907 0.0815566768827008 0.0698108968082539 0.0858771660297651
1984:11 0.0701053290641465 0.0802990406436716 0.0690008804095143 0.0851982130065264
1984:12 0.0701921256435633 0.0799292624666439 0.0692424489092827 0.0831334491387792
1985:1 0.0703704165882218 0.0794745097631791 0.0691709080354522 0.0814103164452171
1985:2 0.0696583051508865 0.0795900761423351 0.0683075187966013 0.082743194478798
1985:3 0.0691047315246482 0.0795605033041673 0.0681908373155383 0.0835861043668096
1985:4 0.0689604252030308 0.0793403953663783 0.0682740436212776 0.0825847746699527
1985:5 0.0693162722869632 0.0799094669637668 0.0686598362640272 0.0821514396186442
1985:6 0.0683165767836468 0.0805790321658743 0.0682026766384511 0.0785352699066577
1985:7 0.0681839321480221 0.079465161328582 0.0670611496648007 0.0792502581251774
1985:8 0.0680181315159637 0.0794272284364512 0.0674415892426578 0.0794551757449166
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2002:5 0.0501613941777813 0.0592333095078793 0.0571969663310018 0.0695585113288053
2002:6 0.0507945165992934 0.0599419214054812 0.057911325368255 0.0710116404612261
2002:7 0.0511202933480885 0.060190458121505 0.0582558333996218 0.0716560439221874
2002:8 0.0512740710290827 0.0610523977603911 0.0586190512884791 0.0713928791331555
2002:9 0.0509878567479999 0.0609693099918578 0.0577114895125037 0.0728197694833225
2002:10 0.0513745989852471 0.0613962843512924 0.0579778051825814 0.0714872602589343
2002:11 0.0511708815818256 0.0611867331861379 0.0584417090686171 0.0723697399600162
2002:12 0.0515247070977019 0.0609326846833817 0.058543804064656 0.0737083863956171
2003:1 0.0504664860065056 0.0617159277773417 0.0597175194781646 0.0738068235953911
2003:2 0.0503066295913921 0.0613386939813549 0.0604896104388618 0.0741470495399571
2003:3 0.0500127618176178 0.0623946947976509 0.0608676729759774 0.0734586656027609
2003:4 0.0505732909697317 0.0630776444454807 0.0606816747369544 0.0738333429890268
2003:5 0.0516036959253895 0.0634217363202393 0.0604727150130389 0.0740315965803508
2003:6 0.0514734197430521 0.0631692386743423 0.0620342116430746 0.0741224299874353
2003:7 0.0522878031495553 0.0633856135468854 0.0615458110743295 0.0753649892928312
2003:8 0.0520441559412076 0.0636199493175735 0.0626844364556606 0.0755574873175261
2003:9 0.0517583247478594 0.0640177485748033 0.0627888001850271 0.0756773938930874
2003:10 0.0510925307697134 0.0636588110729796 0.0622772906022297 0.0773424046963631
2003:11 0.0505155923450531 0.0645141432337387 0.0609232849791352 0.0758302384117979
2003:12 0.0505586480785818 0.0637086718537689 0.0614745248662053 0.0748778498777178
2004:1 0.0505175404075894 0.0625165136599245 0.0593565355011375 0.0757685897456384
2004:2 0.0501921128940653 0.0635308711295979 0.0592087401434717 0.0751539353851011
2004:3 0.0497347052722391 0.0616280624297082 0.0578937966591717 0.074608874760822
2004:4 0.0498106943025139 0.0609647898244338 0.0575609903046543 0.0739107334618398
2004:5 0.0487362109787047 0.0604378440615174 0.0579304349356903 0.0732888202194998
2004:6 0.049211023210467 0.0605932010339525 0.0562384203101471 0.0714775554153655
2004:7 0.0486214803367867 0.0596623340671099 0.0562394487927373 0.0707323655809425
2004:8 0.0492291623632953 0.0585151340346569 0.0549856031203142 0.0689981470090184
2004:9 0.0495555326579098 0.058415251383207 0.0548593074738788 0.0682738120836352
2004:10 0.0493362717357143 0.0578215378047814 0.0549598145696817 0.0670007373609844
2004:11 0.0498691246435343 0.0568579253997751 0.0550471334209473 0.0657833847846322
2004:12 0.0488891108919108 0.0574308281139213 0.0538387144383768 0.0657034035798121
2005:1 0.0494909493963976 0.0574858388396168 0.0548066805058558 0.0637702575562407
2005:2 0.0495495346615104 0.055426464710756 0.0534712578062723 0.0635108824625311
2005:3 0.049375053882165 0.0550669446505906 0.0536031048390418 0.0643079429757574
2005:4 0.04834716578952 0.0547679488074039 0.0540084070850221 0.0643407160317439
2005:5 0.0478266096949399 0.0548243436665308 0.0530920611177042 0.0629562323272267
2005:6 0.0476708857324566 0.0538632472015501 0.0525983451523781 0.0644032330850124
2005:7 0.0472649621623202 0.0541434653729549 0.051950159285906 0.0627412287073345
2005:8 0.0466938975967005 0.0544248482906408 0.051370243041044 0.0633446991146927
2005:9 0.0456624343000696 0.053634561990213 0.0513471471849909 0.0624074780745652
2005:10 0.0462472617688161 0.0537061494156383 0.0508918240942799 0.0612208179502183
2005:11 0.0455144415069155 0.0528613262756702 0.0508172147439228 0.0611644096542281
2005:12 0.0453670167364333 0.052349830815849 0.0502790787431966 0.0602582318954047
2006:1 0.0450175596665414 0.0519876629945601 0.0496418607635199 0.0600344422928035
2006:2 0.0445029654418198 0.0514297106164849 0.0495009889463453 0.0588137740046554
2006:3 0.0438027303926706 0.0523073330027913 0.049933042965812 0.056732703581601
2006:4 0.0434027282420191 0.0520853696730255 0.0488686073142735 0.0558070072829084
2006:5 0.0435723858936533 0.0510404177745457 0.0482660961052439 0.0561752110716328
2006:6 0.0430155306632834 0.0520062884682615 0.048531310214586 0.0544111323831918
2006:7 0.0426679655831272 0.0524110800272192 0.0484615096709465 0.0540890236137221
2006:8 0.0416693826124837 0.0515918770324039 0.0483917590630754 0.0536237514730297
2006:9 0.0413247196289009 0.0514252367147512 0.0473041914981194 0.0534661274595047
2006:10 0.0402784983881857 0.0511040961755581 0.0469387611269023 0.0535466511472921
2006:11 0.0401385204518717 0.0511935278348192 0.0463467748051919 0.0531815892924256
2006:12 0.0400962109336322 0.0511261335081864 0.0474495362009064 0.0538757947310665
2007:1 0.0399433611746059 0.0504566388251619 0.047218487502654 0.0531724778673695
2007:2 0.0396780023814058 0.0500258424601514 0.0475228198859312 0.0523910253654651
2007:3 0.0400363626666456 0.0494232170428121 0.0467130601935236 0.0520759823875115
2007:4 0.0398456434530722 0.0497791184226447 0.0465887890052907 0.0522628722598393
2007:5 0.0398356656044666 0.0500229304983518 0.0468664001097161 0.052445359344151
2007:6 0.03927285023359 0.0502501074233204 0.0468357896508843 0.0529007134910938
2007:7 0.0394702573438989 0.0492064179843014 0.04693432750872 0.0530859824230247
2007:8 0.0400877426323714 0.0499191908471969 0.0470640192527322 0.0529552910799555
2007:9 0.0403287926353223 0.0505060811832294 0.0476094959457218 0.0524070988866644
2007:10 0.0414381037983735 0.0502968477566867 0.0471384238765896 0.0517335208501878
2007:11 0.0416519143376684 0.0509742600579488 0.0493590742991158 0.0520636877775198
2007:12 0.0420719059427773 0.0508689716531621 0.0490483346483904 0.0515242100409083
2008:1 0.0415635804437327 0.051377218682795 0.0490816515100527 0.0522100586883066
2008:2 0.0423928473883907 0.0531287041795219 0.0488856628042073 0.0541589905909416
2008:3 0.0420925450536131 0.0531176713629393 0.0492599334142217 0.0556079000359576
2008:4 0.0438810264650873 0.0533060097028358 0.052377700712399 0.0566523993253567
2008:5 0.0445214003891858 0.0540864889502322 0.0530801543870676 0.0577763660693342
2008:6 0.0452413118018044 0.0545414728829822 0.0549296322680233 0.0604189045076781
2008:7 0.0462631964824699 0.0570526592634129 0.056526031157755 0.0636052580556341
2008:8 0.0471521438418686 0.0589605890791693 0.0577410022063537 0.0642290344190462
2008:9 0.0497304311808877 0.0602563726218342 0.0590692971112725 0.0694799908252073
2008:10 0.049964107579261 0.0630899065785225 0.0619360251942289 0.0718713989278383
2008:11 0.0525513087538328 0.066872625837764 0.0631297594174975 0.0764600519253976
2008:12 0.0561815887138385 0.0702532939091641 0.0654728708053973 0.0785912735816772
2009:1 0.0598800497396473 0.0750947509166201 0.0700304253797607 0.08205283117917
2009:2 0.0630966665215065 0.0788178412097682 0.0736267722692913 0.0852403159299104
2009:3 0.0670132171708156 0.0839487082597833 0.0774291148950093 0.0879440033187024
2009:4 0.0714880955930752 0.0886912566798184 0.0786094416147295 0.0935673567673897
2009:5 0.073359552274361 0.092088426148231 0.0826046530879243 0.0970688130721812
2009:6 0.0767939689929061 0.0936981690424758 0.0841868020669208 0.0976352910530257
2009:7 0.0791674737326292 0.0965232089979566 0.0877894640505258 0.0997610956690966
2009:8 0.0809806504563694 0.101980867538792 0.0920772648731344 0.103181523839965
2009:9 0.0824895695698646 0.107030035903572 0.0964708855017108 0.102581773576358
2009:10 0.0856136009775189 0.108069388748361 0.0971285355024705 0.104772747103893
2009:11 0.0866089820044645 0.108364708259083 0.0993811724345259 0.105829572623672
2009:12 0.0857002864249646 0.108649278153086 0.0993991928901301 0.107698487980391
2010:1 0.0854439210920601 0.110990222404409 0.0975059817194431 0.109035002916858
2010:2 0.0844075321099337 0.112531207387978 0.0996414256315073 0.109412937734166
2010:3 0.0838978893079951 0.113311220913027 0.0994844290169865 0.110794882700977
2010:4 0.0810581451215233 0.111985022679072 0.0989205582267383 0.107302921694818
2010:5 0.0805817572398723 0.111784279757867 0.0978903501172 0.104927519345852
2010:6 0.0820049740111231 0.111547725145607 0.0995879502312619 0.105549978787891
2010:7 0.0828006068359616 0.111684498809716 0.0986548528587276 0.105362531525334
2010:8 0.0852775328156595 0.107319565852608 0.097649555520685 0.105005101366167
2010:9 0.0839598135085863 0.105770863926957 0.096284793173575 0.105694373089432
2010:10 0.0824661299175989 0.106289878251757 0.09848513429924 0.111299559963567
2010:11 0.0817870120900198 0.105436697472223 0.0960319471706098 0.108503473291152
Return to Figure 15a

Figure 15b: Counterfactual unemployment rates (16+ years of age) :The role of inflow rate

Year:Quarter Less than high school High school Some college College
1976:12 0.123405292420265 0.0662288743208007 0.0749061680243194 0.0295654796723265
1977:1 0.12339532547326 0.0672323330411358 0.0742962230301247 0.0305145705525356
1977:2 0.123349688641451 0.0671116863424004 0.0736537430556636 0.0312038514874646
1977:3 0.121699523457554 0.0663088660927683 0.0733563419028946 0.0310036042530074
1977:4 0.121706378272239 0.0664786679976531 0.072113195868988 0.0311742910369174
1977:5 0.121887657594896 0.0664524997388163 0.0706572190649728 0.0316126455819977
1977:6 0.121068313834789 0.0649275636060086 0.0688147151427016 0.0312023342135035
1977:7 0.121393415421807 0.0648268097441275 0.0685068291163814 0.0302893059010289
1977:8 0.120646223348328 0.0647473981926475 0.0674810978880179 0.0298350583895337
1977:9 0.119353724938676 0.0641182790770886 0.0665957737677032 0.0302275655374959
1977:10 0.118361486139247 0.0630666894418803 0.0651370510987965 0.0298691319242025
1977:11 0.115669785687006 0.0613303657699129 0.0638854581980737 0.0288710809357653
1977:12 0.114558418841793 0.0600947634032171 0.0635024118321 0.0281340975349528
1978:1 0.112811265874022 0.0576329184882739 0.0621322544883798 0.0267874839830969
1978:2 0.112031682312229 0.0567510835884476 0.0619491036386556 0.0260364805183724
1978:3 0.111826618982655 0.0561066501372959 0.0612344438691666 0.025871734465306
1978:4 0.111618468373896 0.05535115220536 0.0605964034145886 0.025158719441257
1978:5 0.109447456443944 0.0542054373904313 0.0591453641477677 0.023880834405186
1978:6 0.10983656801552 0.0539426766228605 0.0594771780355015 0.0237622594559428
1978:7 0.10763508497092 0.0527134801638582 0.0585454259083407 0.0237025905524412
1978:8 0.107359515351802 0.0518937916888685 0.058023788305035 0.0235930089504334
1978:9 0.106069629163103 0.0510420890332118 0.0566145646534537 0.0229650463086249
1978:10 0.105774790991124 0.0501127969906142 0.056129932358451 0.0225289066704951
1978:11 0.107104101564858 0.0501042174963607 0.0557482536732604 0.0227849935153003
1978:12 0.105484848016898 0.0497540944097162 0.054400759891844 0.0224256509396117
1979:1 0.104833823237823 0.049985859374491 0.054332378350275 0.0224871814632471
1979:2 0.104200597996169 0.0496059266049398 0.0539118673827025 0.0224815527167247
1979:3 0.1043875650198 0.0494780731454947 0.0534371845579367 0.0219451482312449
1979:4 0.103904172085165 0.0491501443947156 0.0524724051129891 0.0217675852939503
1979:5 0.103933731986885 0.0489686783146113 0.052526082049008 0.022062059490838
1979:6 0.102371996085011 0.0488645144768031 0.0514767717569297 0.021854819060897
1979:7 0.102905170044585 0.0495821396469175 0.0525925700719136 0.0220957754769623
1979:8 0.102888263237857 0.0497435025481343 0.0521383752996254 0.0219292375952381
1979:9 0.103474157723083 0.0503900104273904 0.0526090720654862 0.0221351714957048
1979:10 0.103095958027348 0.050655594989835 0.0526281481859474 0.0223947593924812
1979:11 0.103150185810965 0.0506194104327913 0.0527884083754291 0.0224054321520825
1979:12 0.10535601280289 0.0516287748032724 0.053528281561018 0.0223524648937475
1980:1 0.107493422822679 0.0518926127450346 0.0537847518794133 0.0223676661822282
1980:2 0.108526738375281 0.0526526148097795 0.0539238870594532 0.0227613117319431
1980:3 0.110947993941908 0.0540799755508839 0.0558393157197168 0.0237999665080545
1980:4 0.113986242643654 0.0563629879494916 0.0584789920533695 0.0244737417059714
1980:5 0.11672063092587 0.0587644721562532 0.0607165316087154 0.0245926165278463
1980:6 0.120490612213888 0.0609258044846729 0.0622472812702551 0.0253272121218534
1980:7 0.123190435349895 0.0620588071706275 0.0619038348543375 0.0254316445515714
1980:8 0.125070135930536 0.0630349997217779 0.0634879008395709 0.0257034886479781
1980:9 0.127978298171492 0.0642628996724074 0.0649987366407693 0.0258041529694198
1980:10 0.130718913084075 0.0655408670988719 0.0656232569017367 0.0260864547789422
1980:11 0.132227586854543 0.0664207004833662 0.0663571157850303 0.0261039269713208
1980:12 0.134176836972303 0.0672934223872378 0.0676786672065949 0.0266534479320756
1981:1 0.135207709463325 0.0681559714578177 0.0687280905917019 0.0267958385486773
1981:2 0.13691863392496 0.0690105134795401 0.0689639544571693 0.026620799999529
1981:3 0.136799257279263 0.0685648693119957 0.0676916866058564 0.0259572209954269
1981:4 0.136767380079604 0.0681627401921992 0.0679047000346503 0.0259765973004533
1981:5 0.136815209787808 0.0673106166220619 0.0670687350790181 0.0258485890264919
1981:6 0.136523113738679 0.0660955793978904 0.0667815829352015 0.0251568327296021
1981:7 0.136318509275679 0.0662712146613998 0.067398148932668 0.0253273243823273
1981:8 0.137382371495499 0.0667869807352172 0.0672976931255124 0.0253369541086628
1981:9 0.13912491346345 0.0677228760660769 0.0672927498464248 0.0254315687634223
1981:10 0.140807238978768 0.0692749001809858 0.0679149156476346 0.0256261562375385
1981:11 0.14311344521475 0.0710884281279312 0.0694916895101704 0.0257292449534596
1981:12 0.145353908866974 0.0721592467607245 0.0697216176700191 0.0256304363095458
1982:1 0.148724089087553 0.0738880213563396 0.0703315772672913 0.0260255196775184
1982:2 0.152142090819923 0.0757411341821474 0.0721921997361289 0.0264178426749972
1982:3 0.15556435091804 0.0782448125390766 0.0745204523585166 0.0277365165947292
1982:4 0.158627160379269 0.079622334505672 0.0748479089846179 0.0279802885537564
1982:5 0.1622352988202 0.0816876811603232 0.0761058608990646 0.0286554359738694
1982:6 0.165825521790494 0.0848121648366725 0.078370555597998 0.0297406121591728
1982:7 0.169519624103975 0.0865199409321449 0.0794200990662881 0.0300853530605844
1982:8 0.173377228743977 0.0895520200804155 0.0807201811625341 0.0309215582167174
1982:9 0.176319415005638 0.0913106597537641 0.0824594807831277 0.0319510425693525
1982:10 0.180694385384758 0.093379392662108 0.08539009036982 0.0323298996457967
1982:11 0.184931313614336 0.0954688299347772 0.0860240395144143 0.032992940028024
1982:12 0.187013326642941 0.097006437890824 0.0874733799374401 0.0338435832380255
1983:1 0.1879448439081 0.0988193446691601 0.0886398026034107 0.0342726580504288
1983:2 0.188879582954309 0.0994954912446558 0.0887347426579246 0.0343723464629277
1983:3 0.189846622405085 0.100015265290045 0.0887844747956245 0.0340735110945927
1983:4 0.190345852482841 0.100513478336295 0.0892983295820988 0.0340138209176647
1983:5 0.192699410096559 0.100764114419338 0.0897097538841685 0.0338804035093411
1983:6 0.190350469007331 0.0990098973278834 0.0886365424766515 0.033455569089112
1983:7 0.190451389026706 0.0987016456462875 0.0886428745602345 0.0337487008579824
1983:8 0.188191260562859 0.0968114987762676 0.0879109615960968 0.0329638499944402
1983:9 0.184665242122754 0.0948916905291495 0.0856513786511706 0.0318852200364134
1983:10 0.180406209197495 0.0920336504023774 0.0830951220290764 0.0308350439898179
1983:11 0.176444674796631 0.0894295499268107 0.081584464530462 0.0302432310901703
1983:12 0.172998075115047 0.0869654874723239 0.0789460367421097 0.0294502139833949
1984:1 0.170832400178189 0.0841567042346702 0.076324626901697 0.0288174690802546
1984:2 0.167980094498373 0.0822042480156685 0.0750440764701591 0.0290971361545606
1984:3 0.165010886096422 0.0799629644450968 0.0739180627817327 0.0283007751600261
1984:4 0.162059435655007 0.0777326640692258 0.0718617279393762 0.0277176362625649
1984:5 0.155728666267467 0.0754893598384023 0.070066088022225 0.0270004842342578
1984:6 0.155878320415718 0.0752233303206332 0.0685586477218705 0.0267629407575558
1984:7 0.153673979353166 0.0740730387684306 0.0667543925008442 0.0260941360789199
1984:8 0.151974106420738 0.0724320045185956 0.0657079716862165 0.0259291464071064
1984:9 0.151624711134893 0.0716990394062238 0.0658459488069181 0.0258318827545049
1984:10 0.14996544470727 0.0712291020370302 0.0645145233379067 0.0261452714830588
1984:11 0.148292738135259 0.070798149493029 0.0634805715285814 0.0261576226159683
1984:12 0.148598357813894 0.0702366691026099 0.0631515673322572 0.0261747371742959
1985:1 0.146527015581604 0.0694549255729893 0.0630681262050974 0.0261418898271777
1985:2 0.146472082264947 0.0688218776299489 0.0626173631296545 0.0255057925068083
1985:3 0.146306182127119 0.0687277529974756 0.0614880090543826 0.0255258727720339
1985:4 0.146221339146344 0.0685412068417877 0.0617513841425908 0.0257175986452217
1985:5 0.147833516352348 0.068861990135257 0.0614841842935039 0.0259034566811342
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2002:5 0.130677797667104 0.0614467090012221 0.0486619713755943 0.0250561864876811
2002:6 0.132619183865095 0.0621618611180248 0.0499131898271948 0.0254112174132287
2002:7 0.133030850054938 0.0627625149876759 0.0504931980166698 0.025193369591783
2002:8 0.134321104360495 0.0625896019043307 0.0515153012643237 0.0256278261101797
2002:9 0.134547104515812 0.0620313346213692 0.051958969348096 0.0252284168640018
2002:10 0.135466195115389 0.0620390445897645 0.0522452995475793 0.0251429673903573
2002:11 0.135193815724754 0.0623839472366604 0.0520968537638296 0.0247798750747274
2002:12 0.136334872717241 0.0626562862687562 0.0524564904561092 0.0251818357940918
2003:1 0.139798588822082 0.0623280853694904 0.052383536164349 0.0251799147149361
2003:2 0.140365388658124 0.0627305607281399 0.0521232053080829 0.0255324027757459
2003:3 0.141192558278503 0.0621044343793029 0.0522477847588344 0.0256737734789077
2003:4 0.141652667508023 0.0625491495093661 0.0526159231117801 0.0257660690741126
2003:5 0.143321644665015 0.0634362718764451 0.053346282513061 0.0261486309454026
2003:6 0.142338955180558 0.0638937620193277 0.0533649839245856 0.0262788723208048
2003:7 0.142587928957541 0.0639076885444069 0.0536578279387287 0.0264726565084776
2003:8 0.144160890008488 0.0645123722741948 0.0533927066259841 0.0263332224801836
2003:9 0.145392664601076 0.0651508263585138 0.0529471382602111 0.0264383950750138
2003:10 0.14489607396405 0.0648522399165252 0.0528552355622293 0.0259429758829015
2003:11 0.144592377472694 0.0637485817989871 0.0530215726921799 0.026200227559826
2003:12 0.143957004451502 0.0634200391275852 0.0527921187775332 0.025675527336716
2004:1 0.141830648418494 0.0632929093090193 0.0533573371480258 0.0251062147716951
2004:2 0.14200152303022 0.063418259048205 0.0537005534462372 0.0253403965949595
2004:3 0.14034732608081 0.0630474556394933 0.0531211426287709 0.0247869256177198
2004:4 0.140102360560091 0.0624121308823931 0.0524363147202849 0.0246199790874307
2004:5 0.138538256422274 0.0612916933381917 0.0513935561732776 0.0243745543183117
2004:6 0.138383538537667 0.0608548648238056 0.0514431688516489 0.0242958587909672
2004:7 0.137136439105342 0.0605648487842142 0.0504935617985542 0.0238820455505675
2004:8 0.13506377756499 0.0601811474500979 0.0502749676769793 0.0237472351428901
2004:9 0.134148414888862 0.0598626435244692 0.0506423350821292 0.0235064940066163
2004:10 0.133520391391807 0.0597194771628802 0.0499831052079957 0.0237093812044329
2004:11 0.132972388185313 0.0596460378475321 0.0498230958077086 0.0237728523821522
2004:12 0.131145626623373 0.0588838074315728 0.0492307734229024 0.0233705741601813
2005:1 0.130607417240338 0.0593180779568431 0.048842709132111 0.0236369285085222
2005:2 0.12825855101493 0.0585760040897858 0.0475563750366693 0.0227438828708964
2005:3 0.128966853707999 0.0583373467672606 0.0476820067481187 0.0225627900654681
2005:4 0.128681405974781 0.0580837938918779 0.0471065088077461 0.0221389316300311
2005:5 0.126539095632713 0.0577346327912742 0.0467447488437524 0.0218030018149184
2005:6 0.125487354590372 0.0576312831606302 0.0459254431231004 0.0215004402067431
2005:7 0.124821377574145 0.0571206778263653 0.0457724390105122 0.0211790172776486
2005:8 0.125425382322788 0.0572647310113947 0.0456002247186595 0.0212126457403678
2005:9 0.124418906661194 0.0565496016017096 0.0449872206398826 0.020980864600179
2005:10 0.123093414997616 0.0566071978108585 0.0451540429720879 0.0209851051330504
2005:11 0.122349188797535 0.0564436834253901 0.0444702412857108 0.0203955896369564
2005:12 0.120215215801684 0.0559784394617585 0.0437625210104094 0.0201706887890927
2006:1 0.119312199108535 0.0551709010068207 0.0433870349266587 0.0201306726018649
2006:2 0.11883421359636 0.0546573990256223 0.0433032700047796 0.0203904071749196
2006:3 0.118260478167894 0.0544863392792108 0.0424998199717169 0.0207310989030795
2006:4 0.11658395470939 0.0538333371948548 0.0424237391718004 0.0205217727649591
2006:5 0.117146789371042 0.0533813067447597 0.0421931763160991 0.0203279242114918
2006:6 0.117089895432732 0.0528483479893462 0.0424979499094481 0.0204565878697614
2006:7 0.117100717106887 0.0526000041180827 0.042294071329976 0.0205077388969006
2006:8 0.116159922768368 0.0517691155381351 0.0419209750688864 0.0202861808221184
2006:9 0.115378870240009 0.0514470862797646 0.0415606202067218 0.0199864646211132
2006:10 0.11596810318162 0.0511311512261248 0.0411887569658926 0.0194049849574272
2006:11 0.115155797609 0.0510611700204631 0.0409845262435527 0.0194187247655725
2006:12 0.116866255674281 0.0510246056963582 0.0409681374290404 0.019541610646056
2007:1 0.116048904895355 0.0507199996300238 0.0402079012020313 0.0189283422920815
2007:2 0.115050946918162 0.0505210389945543 0.0397568458451862 0.0187538078568606
2007:3 0.114657999843039 0.0504006740146963 0.0400124059814395 0.0186433502602049
2007:4 0.11447654542743 0.0502000239693035 0.039858356351512 0.0188314414743529
2007:5 0.114125620034844 0.0504075500849354 0.039930479268677 0.0188824230502382
2007:6 0.114647611960406 0.0502075076393672 0.0396036591569424 0.018848017662572
2007:7 0.113713578140427 0.050587615467083 0.0396768839703574 0.0191614671754582
2007:8 0.115934644381209 0.0512131897342517 0.0398275301701051 0.019115496468325
2007:9 0.116361467897401 0.0516605274238368 0.0401735831878412 0.0197987114994255
2007:10 0.115978893501985 0.0517364209437028 0.0401599004820119 0.0205953062816385
2007:11 0.118284870845327 0.0527744914180252 0.0406947726719169 0.0207688006784282
2007:12 0.11918571663551 0.0530443013575995 0.0404901312527908 0.0208336446690447
2008:1 0.12043687799371 0.0536386583527947 0.0412114982283985 0.0210844403406491
2008:2 0.123215420203063 0.0547350973018099 0.0425316250227037 0.0210269454149464
2008:3 0.124403396233942 0.0551397670545116 0.04261602962784 0.0206523273954633
2008:4 0.127563856573847 0.05776814744024 0.0440197380562919 0.0210389349406324
2008:5 0.130649282876408 0.0591669134527486 0.0446559246317521 0.0213354399502437
2008:6 0.135413867759938 0.060883202899225 0.0453203935895754 0.02144150837804
2008:7 0.140343993923974 0.0621478031634488 0.0470567563472888 0.0219752696447583
2008:8 0.14167044450538 0.0636102018940421 0.0487470714974548 0.0223050216640042
2008:9 0.145929685889876 0.0658198475690437 0.0506051316560417 0.0230341449989295
2008:10 0.150682879532272 0.0678281099117928 0.052359936351705 0.023479471091723
2008:11 0.155870517097542 0.0711594619788933 0.055289864492336 0.0256388833430934
2008:12 0.160314265227105 0.0759077114896739 0.0598271722745994 0.02838595178918
2009:1 0.167308512577798 0.0799138412285818 0.0638353130911045 0.0312444152367672
2009:2 0.172907381534038 0.0834579974713399 0.0671165595257287 0.033653968494416
2009:3 0.178087808174565 0.0871791329975318 0.0707845240753936 0.0358768961710752
2009:4 0.183571126102651 0.0910403741189361 0.0747938508502363 0.0382459233512676
2009:5 0.192443346631451 0.0956195498373877 0.0792048234270438 0.0403452825105072
2009:6 0.194981236455002 0.0988135909837765 0.0822631269187235 0.0421209444019826
2009:7 0.199093689856317 0.102009312684791 0.0841260590046332 0.0436936458317635
2009:8 0.205322191305554 0.104966293861323 0.0861624694772888 0.0461414204046495
2009:9 0.20989812911237 0.108595482197775 0.0889758520603573 0.0473019660540485
2009:10 0.211513505508832 0.110452479939645 0.0922740476732379 0.0485230334287659
2009:11 0.214507972033358 0.111744204186755 0.093859267849841 0.0487759581579396
2009:12 0.218699860507811 0.112912071584784 0.0949440106928591 0.0480987893250643
2010:1 0.219651015851982 0.113161805813089 0.0950913079349434 0.0476307504855453
2010:2 0.222723068257903 0.11399855397328 0.0953795610214709 0.0475227851634618
2010:3 0.224605956282289 0.113742512451432 0.095645785010314 0.0473123602305818
2010:4 0.224187173144973 0.112435532194433 0.0934995616528419 0.0461380197698808
2010:5 0.219483529883471 0.110694412507798 0.0922748279956736 0.0459394444325229
2010:6 0.218910431214544 0.111604937898274 0.0930767031952693 0.0465011997047718
2010:7 0.218485617684096 0.111598114144902 0.0943357630422914 0.0460090159743022
2010:8 0.215550360394632 0.111505944619147 0.0945073428113753 0.0451458410139447
2010:9 0.215599234827384 0.110289504990906 0.0926031029203096 0.0448712026775098
2010:10 0.219175656204545 0.111777292039468 0.0917207625434943 0.0450894566724961
2010:11 0.216912173064627 0.110227824231499 0.0908699654965929 0.0446293505217578
Return to Figure 15b

Figure 16: The effects of workers' bargaining power on reservation productivities

Bargaining Power of Workers trainees skilled
0.1 0.7235 0.5582
0.15 0.7737 0.6084
0.2 0.8032 0.6379
0.25 0.8239 0.6586
0.3 0.8386 0.6704
0.35 0.8475 0.6792
0.4 0.8534 0.6881
0.45 0.8593 0.691
0.5 0.8593 0.691
0.55 0.8593 0.691
0.6 0.8534 0.6881
0.65 0.8475 0.6792
0.7 0.8386 0.6704
0.75 0.8239 0.6586
0.8 0.8032 0.6379
0.85 0.7737 0.6084
0.9 0.7235 0.5582
Return to Figure 16
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Last update: July 9, 2014