November 1989

An Empirical Assessment of Non-Linearities in Models of Exchange Rate Determination

Richard A. Meese and Andrew K. Rose

Abstract:

This paper examines the empirical relation between nominal exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals for five major OECD countries. Five theoretical models of exchange rate determination are considered. Potential non-linearities are examined using a variety of parametric and non-parametric techniques. We find that the poor explanatory power of the models considered cannot be attributed to non-linearities arising from time deformation or improper functional form.

PDF: Full Paper

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Last Update: March 30, 2021