November 1989

Tariffs and the Macroeconomy: Evidence From the USA

Andrew K. Rose and Jonathan D. Ostry

Abstract:

This paper examines the macroeconomic impact of tariffs. The effects of unilateral tariff changes are reviewed in a variety of theoretical models. Three different sets of data are consistent with the hypothesis that tariff rates have no significant effect on a system consisting of the real exchange rate, the real trade balance, and real output (both foreign and domestic).

PDF: Full Paper

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Last Update: March 30, 2021