Economic Research & Data
Economists at the Federal Reserve Board conduct innovative research on a broad range of topics in economics and finance. In addition to presenting their research to policymakers, Board economists share their research at academic conferences and publish it in peer-reviewed journals and other scholarly outlets.
Uncertainty, Risk, and Incentives: Theory and Evidence
Zhiguo He, Si Li, Bin Wei, and Jianfeng Yu
Uncertainty has qualitatively different implications than risk in studying executive incentives. We study the interplay between profitability uncertainty and moral hazard, where profitability is multiplicative with managerial effort.
Variance Risk Premiums and the Forward Premium Puzzle
Juan M. Londono and Hao Zhou
This paper presents evidence that the foreign exchange appreciation is predictable by the currency variance risk premium at a medium 6-month horizon and by the stock variance risk premium at a short 1-month horizon.
Foreign Exchange Rates - G.5/H.10
Broad, major currency, and other important trading partners indexes for the U.S. dollar
Working Papers
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FEDS Finance and Economics Discussion Series
May 2013/2013-29
The History of Cyclical Macroprudential Policy in the United States
Douglas J. Elliott, Greg Feldberg, and Andreas Lehnert
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FEDS Finance and Economics Discussion Series
May 2013/2013-28
Robert B. Avery, Daniel Grodzicki, and Kevin B. Moore
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FEDS Finance and Economics Discussion Series
May 2013/2013-27
Declining Migration Within the US: The Role of the Labor Market
Raven Molloy, Christopher L. Smith, and Abigail Wozniak
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FEDS Finance and Economics Discussion Series
May 2013/2013-26
The Long and the Short of Household Formation
Andrew D. Paciorek
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FEDS Finance and Economics Discussion Series
May 2013/2013-25
The Nature of Countercyclical Income Risk
Fatih Guvenen, Serdar Ozkan, and Jae Song
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Careers
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Working at the Board - Without doubt, the Federal Reserve's staff is the great strength of this great institution. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke
Data Releases
Principal Economic Indicators
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Household Finance
Consumer Credit - G.19 -
Industrial Activity
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17, Annual Revision -
Money Stock and Reserve Balances
Factors Affecting Reserve Balances - H.4.1 -
Money Stock and Reserve Balances
Money Stock Measures - H.6
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Business Finance
Commercial Paper -
Flow of Funds Accounts
Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States - Z.1 -
Interest Rates
Selected Interest Rates - H.15 - View All >
