Abstract: The value of a vast array of financial assets are functions of
rates or prices determined in OTC, interbank, or other off-exchange
markets. In order to price such derivative assets, underlying
rate and price indexes are routinely sampled and estimated. To
guard against misreporting, whether unintentional or for market
manipulation, many standard contracts utilize a technique known
as trimmed-means. This paper points out that this polling
problem falls within the statistical framework of robust estimation.
Intuitive criteria for choosing among robust valuation procedures
are discussed. In particular, the approach taken is to minimize
the worst-case scenario arising from a false report. The finite
sample performance of the procedures that qualify, the
trimmed-mean and the Huber-estimator, are examined in a set of
simulation experiments.
Keywords: Dealer, polling, robust
Full paper (321 KB PDF)
| Full paper (450 KB Postscript)
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Last update: August 27, 1998
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