September 2024 Senior Financial Officer Survey Results
Background
In September 2024, the Federal Reserve conducted a Senior Financial Officer Survey (SFOS) to systematically gather views from a representative sample of banks on their reserve balance management strategies and practices, their expectations for potential changes in both the size and composition of their balance sheets, their deposit pricing strategies, and their views regarding Federal Reserve facilities.
The September SFOS was distributed to senior financial officers at 100 banks, representing a wide range of asset sizes and business models, on September 20, 2024, with replies due by October 4, 2024. This summary includes responses from 97 banks, comprising 61 domestic banks and 36 foreign banking organizations. In aggregate, respondents held over 80 percent of total reserve balances in the banking system at the time of the survey.
Part 1: Questions about Reserves and Balance Sheet Management
(Questions 1–4)
The questions in Part 1 asked respondents about their bank's balance sheet management strategy and its expectations for changes to the levels of various liability and asset categories over the next six months.
- More than two-thirds of respondents reported that their bank expects the size of its balance sheet to remain roughly unchanged (plus or minus 2 percent) over the next six months. More than one-fifth of respondents reported that their bank expects the size of its balance sheet to increase over the same period.1
- When asked about their bank's strategy regarding balance sheet management, around one-third of respondents indicated that their bank expects to take actions intended to increase, or limit the decline in, the size of its balance sheet and around one-third of respondents indicated that their bank expects to take actions intended to maintain the current size of its balance sheet.
- For each of the 10 liability categories, excluding respondents who reported "Not applicable (N/A)," a plurality of respondents indicated that their bank is not expecting a level change (plus or minus 2 percent) over the next six months. More than one-fifth of respondents reported slight increases (more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent) in retail deposits over the next six months, while more than 10 percent of respondents reported anticipated decreases of greater than 5 percent in brokered retail deposits/brokered retail certificates of deposit (CDs).
- For all of the asset categories except "other securities," more than half of respondents, excluding respondents who reported "Not applicable (N/A)," indicated that their bank is not expecting a change in the level of that asset over the next six months. For the "other securities" category, approximately half of respondents indicated that they do not have this asset type.
Part 2: Questions about Preferred Reserve Levels
(Questions 5–9)
The questions in Part 2 asked respondents about their bank's lowest comfortable level of reserves (LCLOR), which is defined in the survey as the lowest dollar level of reserves that their bank would feel comfortable holding before taking actions to maintain or increase its reserve balances.2
- A majority of respondents that participated in this survey and the previous survey in March 2024 reported no change to their LCLOR estimate.
- Of the respondents who reported that their bank prefers to hold additional reserves above its LCLOR (hereafter, additional reserves), over half reported that their bank's preferred additional reserves level is equal to or less than 50 percent of their LCLOR. One-fifth of respondents reported that their bank does not have an additional reserves amount. As with LCLOR estimates, a majority of respondents reported no change in their bank's additional reserves since the previous survey in March 2024.
- Respondents who reported an increase or decrease in their bank's LCLOR since the March 2024 survey cited changes in retail deposit outflow assumptions or changes to broader market conditions as somewhat important factors in affecting that change. For respondents reporting a change in their bank's additional reserves level since the March 2024 survey, changes to broader market conditions were again rated as a somewhat important factor in affecting the change.
- When asked about their bank's recent reserve management strategy over the past few months, just more than one-third of respondents reported that their bank has taken actions intended to maintain the current amount of reserves, while just less than one-third of respondents reported that their bank has taken limited or no actions intended to affect the amount of its reserves.
- Respondents whose bank's average daily reserve balances over the past few months were above preferred reserve levels (the sum of its reported LCLOR and additional reserves) rated the relative or risk-adjusted rate of return between reserves and other assets as a very important or somewhat important factor resulting in their bank holding reserves above that level. Holding reserves to earn the spread between interest on reserves and overnight borrowings was rated as very or somewhat important.
- When asked about how their bank's reserve strategy would change given hypothetical changes in the level of overnight interest rates relative to the interest rate on reserve balances (IORB), a majority of respondents reported that, under each rate scenario, their bank's reserve management strategy would likely be the same as it has been over the past few months. Respondents were then asked to provide an approximate forecast of their bank's reserve balances under those same interest rate scenarios. For the interest rate scenarios where the constellation of overnight interest rates relative to IORB was 2 basis points and 4 basis points higher than it was over the past month, a majority of respondents forecast a reserve level that was unchanged from their bank's recent reserve level for both scenarios. When the constellation of overnight interest rates was, relative to IORB, 6 basis points and 8 basis points higher than it was over the past month, about 40 percent of respondents reported a reserve level that was unchanged from their bank's recent reserve level, and around one-third of respondents, concentrated among respondents from foreign banks, reported a reserve level that was 1 to 25 percent lower than their bank's recent reserve level.
- Respondents who indicated that their bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) decrease, or limit the growth in, its reserves in at least one of the interest rate scenarios were asked about their bank's most likely action. Respondents were roughly split between those who reported that their bank would change the composition of assets by decreasing reserves and those who reported that their bank would reduce the size of its balance sheet by decreasing liabilities. Responses diverged by bank type, with domestic banks being more likely to take actions to change the composition of assets and foreign banks being more likely to reduce liabilities.
Part 3: Questions about Deposit Rates
(Questions 10–11)
The questions in Part 3 asked respondents about their bank's outlook for cumulative deposit betas through March 2025.3
- When asked about the rationale that most closely aligns with their bank's deposit rate-setting strategy, a majority of respondents across all three deposit types (retail deposits, wholesale operational deposits, and wholesale non-operational deposits) reported that betas will be set to maintain deposit balances.
Part 4: Questions about Federal Reserve Facilities and Intraday Credit
(Questions 12–16)
The questions in Part 4 asked respondents about their bank's views regarding the discount window and intraday credit. Respondents for banks with Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) advances outstanding at the time of the survey were also asked about their bank's expected actions upon the maturity of these advances.
- When asked to rate their bank's willingness to borrow from the discount window in several scenarios, respondents, on average, reported that their banks would be somewhat unwilling to borrow from the discount window in each of the scenarios. Among the scenarios provided, the average rating for banks' willingness to borrow was highest (i.e., more willing to borrow) in the two scenarios where other funding sources became more expensive than the primary credit rate due to firm-specific stress or due to marketwide stress.
- Respondents were asked to rate the burden associated with several operational requirements or features of the discount window or the Federal Reserve's provision of intraday credit. Respondents rated the operational burden between minimal and moderate, on average. Respondents who rated any of the provided features as somewhat burdensome, burdensome, or very burdensome were asked to elaborate on their ratings. Of respondents who provided an answer, just less than half mentioned various aspects of the process for pledging or withdrawing loans as collateral. Some respondents also characterized submitting legal documents to their Federal Reserve Bank as a burdensome process.
- When asked about the cumulative effect of the burden associated with discount window operational requirements and features, three-fourths of respondents reported that the burden does not negatively affect their bank's willingness to maintain or increase preparedness to borrow from the discount window.
- Respondents whose bank had outstanding BTFP advances at the time of the survey were asked about their bank's expected actions when those advances mature. The most commonly reported actions were borrowing from a Federal Home Loan Bank and paying off a BTFP advance before its scheduled maturity without replacing funding.
This document was prepared by Samantha Carmean-Adams, Courtney Demartini, Elizabeth Ellis, Lyle Kumasaka, Matthew Malloy, and Nicole Trachman, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; and Sean Fulmer, Brian Gowen, Jonathan Hill, Natalie Leonard, Dina Marchioni, Jason Miu, and Zack Youngblood, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Results
The following results include the instructions provided to the survey respondents. Please note that percentages are based on the number of financial institutions that gave responses other than "Not applicable (N/A)." Components may not sum to totals because of rounding.
Part 1: Balance Sheet Management
Questions in Part 1 ask about your bank's expectations for balance sheet management over the next six months. For context, the results of the July 2024 Survey of Primary Dealers showed cumulative median dealer expectations for the size of the Federal Reserve's holdings of U.S. Treasury securities and agency mortgage-backed securities to decrease by approximately $200 billion from the end of September 2024 through the end of March 2025. These projections would be consistent with a similar decline in the amount of Federal Reserve liabilities, including, but not limited to, reserve balances in the banking system and overnight reverse repurchase agreement (repo) balances.
Question 1: Looking ahead over the next six months, which statement best characterizes your bank's expectations for the size of its balance sheet? My bank expects the size of its balance sheet to: (select one)
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Increase | 22 | 22.7 | 14 | 23.0 | 8 | 22.2 |
Remain roughly unchanged (plus or minus 2 percent) | 69 | 71.1 | 43 | 70.5 | 26 | 72.2 |
Decrease | 6 | 6.2 | 4 | 6.6 | 2 | 5.6 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Question 2: Looking ahead over the next six months, which statement best characterizes your bank's most likely strategy regarding its balance sheet? My bank expects to: (select one)
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Take actions intended to increase, or limit the decline in, the size of its balance sheet | 34 | 35.1 | 24 | 39.3 | 10 | 27.8 |
Take actions intended to maintain the current size of its balance sheet | 32 | 33.0 | 15 | 24.6 | 17 | 47.2 |
Take actions intended to decrease, or limit the growth in, the size of its balance sheet | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.8 |
Take no specific actions to affect the size of its balance sheet | 27 | 27.8 | 19 | 31.1 | 8 | 22.2 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Question 3: This question asks about changes to the projected level of different liabilities on your bank's balance sheet.
For each of the liability categories listed, please indicate your bank's expectation about the potential change in the average level in September 2024 compared with the average level in March 2025 in the context of your previous responses. My bank expects the level will: (select one; if your bank does not have the liability type, and does not intend to over the next six months, please select "Remain roughly unchanged.")
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Retail deposits
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 4 4.1 4 6.6 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 21 21.6 21 34.4 0 0.0 Remain roughly unchanged 34 35.1 30 49.2 4 11.1 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 4 4.1 4 6.6 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 N/A 33 34.0 1 1.6 32 88.9 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Wholesale operational deposits
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 16 16.5 11 18.0 5 13.9 Remain roughly unchanged 43 44.3 33 54.1 10 27.8 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 4 4.1 3 4.9 1 2.8 Decrease more than 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 N/A 33 34.0 13 21.3 20 55.6 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Wholesale non-operational deposits
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 1 1.0 0 0.0 1 2.8 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 14 14.4 11 18.0 3 8.3 Remain roughly unchanged 55 56.7 30 49.2 25 69.4 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 3 3.1 2 3.3 1 2.8 Decrease more than 5 percent 3 3.1 3 4.9 0 0.0 N/A 21 21.6 15 24.6 6 16.7 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Deposits in reciprocal deposit placement networks
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 2 2.1 2 3.3 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 6 6.2 6 9.8 0 0.0 Remain roughly unchanged 87 89.7 51 83.6 36 100.0 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 2 2.1 2 3.3 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 N/A 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) advances
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 10 10.3 10 16.4 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 5 5.2 5 8.2 0 0.0 Remain roughly unchanged 29 29.9 29 47.5 0 0.0 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 6 6.2 6 9.8 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 7 7.2 7 11.5 0 0.0 N/A 40 41.2 4 6.6 36 100.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Overnight unsecured borrowings (for example, federal funds, Eurodollars, etc.)
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 4 4.1 2 3.3 2 5.6 Remain roughly unchanged 89 91.8 57 93.4 32 88.9 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 3 3.1 2 3.3 1 2.8 Decrease more than 5 percent 1 1.0 0 0.0 1 2.8 N/A 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Commercial paper (CP) or institutional/negotiable certificates of deposit (CDs)
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 4 4.1 2 3.3 2 5.6 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 6 6.2 0 0.0 6 16.7 Remain roughly unchanged 78 80.4 53 86.9 25 69.4 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 4 4.1 2 3.3 2 5.6 Decrease more than 5 percent 5 5.2 4 6.6 1 2.8 N/A 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Brokered retail deposits/brokered retail CDs
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 5 5.2 5 8.2 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 11 11.3 9 14.8 2 5.6 Remain roughly unchanged 27 27.8 25 41.0 2 5.6 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 8 8.2 8 13.1 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 13 13.4 13 21.3 0 0.0 N/A 33 34.0 1 1.6 32 88.9 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Short-term repos
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 3 3.1 2 3.3 1 2.8 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 3 3.1 1 1.6 2 5.6 Remain roughly unchanged 87 89.7 54 88.5 33 91.7 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 4 4.1 4 6.6 0 0.0 N/A 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Fed facilities (discount window, standing repo facility)
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Remain roughly unchanged 92 94.8 56 91.8 36 100.0 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 5 5.2 5 8.2 0 0.0 N/A 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0
Question 4: This question asks about changes to the projected level of different assets on your bank's balance sheet. For each of the asset categories listed, please indicate your bank's expectation about the potential change in the average level in September 2024 compared with the average level in March 2025 in the context of your previous responses. My bank expects the level will: (select one; please select "N/A" only if your bank does not or cannot have the asset type)
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Reserve balances
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 3 3.1 2 3.3 1 2.8 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 7 7.2 6 9.8 1 2.8 Remain roughly unchanged 63 64.9 32 52.5 31 86.1 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 9 9.3 8 13.1 1 2.8 Decrease more than 5 percent 15 15.5 13 21.3 2 5.6 N/A 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Federal funds sold
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Remain roughly unchanged 56 57.7 43 70.5 13 36.1 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 N/A 40 41.2 17 27.9 23 63.9 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Reverse repo
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 2 2.1 0 0.0 2 5.6 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 2 2.1 1 1.6 1 2.8 Remain roughly unchanged 69 71.1 44 72.1 25 69.4 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 0 0.0 0 0.0 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 N/A 23 23.7 15 24.6 8 22.2 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Loans
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 9 9.3 5 8.2 4 11.1 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 35 36.1 24 39.3 11 30.6 Remain roughly unchanged 50 51.5 30 49.2 20 55.6 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 N/A 1 1.0 0 0.0 1 2.8 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Level 1 high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) securities
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 10 10.3 6 9.8 4 11.1 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 20 20.6 15 24.6 5 13.9 Remain roughly unchanged 56 57.7 30 49.2 26 72.2 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 7 7.2 6 9.8 1 2.8 Decrease more than 5 percent 3 3.1 3 4.9 0 0.0 N/A 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Level 2 HQLA securities
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 3 3.1 1 1.6 2 5.6 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 10 10.3 9 14.8 1 2.8 Remain roughly unchanged 62 63.9 38 62.3 24 66.7 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 8 8.2 8 13.1 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 2 2.1 2 3.3 0 0.0 N/A 12 12.4 3 4.9 9 25.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0 -
Other securities
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Increase more than 5 percent 2 2.1 1 1.6 1 2.8 Increase more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 1 1.0 1 1.6 0 0.0 Remain roughly unchanged 37 38.1 29 47.5 8 22.2 Decrease more than 2 percent and less than or equal to 5 percent 4 4.1 4 6.6 0 0.0 Decrease more than 5 percent 4 4.1 4 6.6 0 0.0 N/A 49 50.5 22 36.1 27 75.0 Total 97 100.0 61 100.0 36 100.0
Part 2: Preferred Reserve Levels
Questions in Part 2 ask about your bank's lowest comfortable level of reserves (LCLOR)—the lowest dollar level of reserve balances your bank would feel comfortable holding before it began taking active steps to maintain or increase its reserve balances. "Active steps" could include, but are not limited to, borrowing in the federal funds or other wholesale funding markets or bidding more aggressively in those markets, reducing holdings of other liquid assets, or raising deposit rates.
Question 5: What is the estimated LCLOR your bank would feel comfortable holding before it "takes active steps" to maintain or increase its reserve balance position?
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
LCLOR $20 billion or more | 18 | 18.6 | 12 | 19.7 | 6 | 16.7 |
LCLOR $10 billion to less than $20 billion | 15 | 15.5 | 6 | 9.8 | 9 | 25.0 |
LCLOR $5 billion to less than $10 billion | 19 | 19.6 | 11 | 18.0 | 8 | 22.2 |
LCLOR $1 billion to less than $5 billion | 24 | 24.7 | 15 | 24.6 | 9 | 25.0 |
LCLOR less than $1 billion | 21 | 21.6 | 17 | 27.9 | 4 | 11.1 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Question 6: If your bank prefers to hold additional reserves above its LCLOR, please provide an estimate of the amount of preferred additional reserves.
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Additional reserves greater than 100 percent of LCLOR | 12 | 12.4 | 3 | 4.9 | 9 | 25.0 |
Additional reserves 76 to 100 percent of LCLOR | 11 | 11.3 | 7 | 11.5 | 4 | 11.1 |
Additional reserves 51 to 75 percent of LCLOR | 6 | 6.2 | 4 | 6.6 | 2 | 5.6 |
Additional reserves 26 to 50 percent of LCLOR | 17 | 17.5 | 11 | 18.0 | 6 | 16.7 |
Additional reserves 11 to 25 percent of LCLOR | 26 | 26.8 | 17 | 27.9 | 9 | 25.0 |
Additional reserves 0 to 10 percent of LCLOR | 5 | 5.2 | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | 5.6 |
No additional reserves | 20 | 20.6 | 16 | 26.2 | 4 | 11.1 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Question 7: Please rate on a scale of 1 (not important) to 5 (very important) the factors that affected the change in your bank's LCLOR and/or additional reserves level since March 2024. (Please select "N/A" only if the factor does not apply to your bank.)
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LCLOR
Factors driving change Average rating (all) Average rating (dom) Average rating (fore) A. Changes in retail deposit outflow assumptions 3.0 (n = 21) 3.2 (n = 19) 1.5 (n = 2) B. Changes in wholesale liability outflow assumptions 2.3 (n = 22) 2.1 (n = 15) 2.6 (n = 7) C. Changes in assumptions regarding off-balance-sheet exposures (for example, outflows related to credit and liquidity facilities, unconsolidated net outflows related to derivative exposures and other collateral requirements) 2.3 (n = 23) 2.3 (n = 16) 2.1 (n = 7) D. Changes in assumptions for routine intraday payment or settlement needs 2.1 (n = 28) 2.1 (n = 19) 2.1 (n = 9) E. Changes in capacity to access liquidity in the market using non-reserve HQLA or other securities 1.7 (n = 28) 1.6 (n = 19) 2.0 (n = 9) F. Changes in capacity to access liquidity through Federal Reserve facilities like the standing repo facility (SRF), Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), or discount window 1.7 (n = 28) 1.7 (n = 19) 1.7 (n = 9) G. Changes in capacity to access liquidity via FHLB advances 1.8 (n = 19) 1.8 (n = 18) 1.0 (n = 1) H. Changes in composition or level of liabilities 2.6 (n = 28) 2.3 (n = 19) 3.3 (n = 9) I. Changes in composition or level of assets 2.6 (n = 28) 2.3 (n = 19) 3.4 (n = 9) J. Changes in composition or level of off-balance-sheet exposures 1.5 (n = 24) 1.3 (n = 17) 1.9 (n = 7) K. Changes to balance sheet interest rate risk/ duration of equity 1.6 (n = 28) 1.7 (n = 19) 1.2 (n = 9) L. Changes to broader market conditions (for example, level of volatility or stress) 2.8 (n = 28) 2.7 (n = 19) 2.9 (n = 9) M. Changes in the relative rate of return between reserves and other assets 1.9 (n = 28) 1.8 (n = 19) 2.1 (n = 9) N. Changes to aggregate, banking system reserve levels 1.7 (n = 28) 1.7 (n = 19) 1.7 (n = 9) Note: n is used to represent the total number of respondents
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Additional reserves
Factors driving change Average rating (all) Average rating (dom) Average rating (fore) A. Changes in retail deposit outflow assumptions 2.5 (n = 15) 2.7 (n = 13) 1.5 (n = 2) B. Changes in wholesale liability outflow assumptions 2.6 (n = 19) 2.7 (n = 12) 2.6 (n = 7) C. Changes in assumptions regarding off-balance-sheet exposures (for example, outflows related to credit and liquidity facilities, unconsolidated net outflows related to derivative exposures and other collateral requirements) 2.1 (n = 19) 2.1 (n = 12) 2.0 (n = 7) D. Changes in assumptions for routine intraday payment or settlement needs 2.2 (n = 21) 2.4 (n = 14) 2.0 (n = 7) E. Changes in capacity to access liquidity in the market using non-reserve HQLA or other securities 2.0 (n = 21) 2.1 (n = 14) 1.7 (n = 7) F. Changes in capacity to access liquidity through Federal Reserve facilities like the standing repo facility (SRF), BTFP, or discount window 2.0 (n = 21) 2.2 (n = 14) 1.6 (n = 7) G. Changes in capacity to access liquidity via FHLB advances 2.1 (n = 14) 2.2 (n = 13) 1.0 (n = 1) H. Changes in composition or level of liabilities 2.5 (n = 21) 2.4 (n = 14) 2.9 (n = 7) I. Changes in composition or level of assets 2.5 (n = 21) 2.4 (n = 14) 2.9 (n = 7) J. Changes in composition or level of off-balance-sheet exposures 1.7 (n = 19) 1.6 (n = 12) 1.9 (n = 7) K. Changes to balance sheet interest rate risk/ duration of equity 1.5 (n = 21) 1.6 (n = 14) 1.3 (n = 7) L. Changes to broader market conditions (for example, level of volatility or stress) 2.8 (n = 21) 2.8 (n = 14) 2.9 (n = 7) M. Changes in the relative rate of return between reserves and other assets 1.9 (n = 28) 1.8 (n = 19) 2.1 (n = 9) N. Changes to aggregate, banking system reserve levels 1.8 (n = 21) 1.8 (n = 14) 1.9 (n = 7) Note: n is used to represent the total number of respondents
Question 8: Which of the following statements best characterizes your bank's recent reserve management strategy over the past few months? (select one)
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
My bank has taken actions intended to increase, or limit the decline in, the amount of its reserves | 15 | 15.5 | 10 | 16.4 | 5 | 13.9 |
My bank has taken actions intended to maintain the current amount of its reserves | 35 | 36.1 | 22 | 36.1 | 13 | 36.1 |
My bank has taken actions intended to decrease, or limit the growth in, the amount of its reserves | 19 | 19.6 | 16 | 26.2 | 3 | 8.3 |
My bank has taken limited or no actions intended to affect the amount of its reserves | 28 | 28.9 | 13 | 21.3 | 15 | 41.7 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Note: Question 8a was only shown to banks whose average daily reserve balances over the past few months had been higher than the sum of the LCLOR plus preferred additional reserves as reported in Questions 5 and 6.
Question 8a: Please rate on a scale of 1 (not important or not applicable) to 5 (very important) the factors that have resulted in your bank holding reserves above its LCLOR plus preferred additional reserves.
Average Rating (all) | Average Rating (dom) | Average Rating (fore) | |
---|---|---|---|
i. Relative or risk-adjusted rate of return between reserves and other assets | 3.1 (n = 73) | 3.1 (n = 45) | 3.0 (n = 28) |
ii. Spread between interest on reserves and overnight borrowings | 2.3 (n = 73) | 1.8 (n = 45) | 3.1 (n = 28) |
iii. Differential in foreign exchange/cross-currency basis resulting in a preference for holding dollar reserves | 1.6 (n = 73) | 1.2 (n = 45) | 2.3 (n = 28) |
iv. Higher-than-expected uncertainty in your bank's depositor behavior/ deposit outflows | 2.1 (n = 73) | 2.4 (n = 45) | 1.6 (n = 28) |
v. Perceptions of banking-sector health | 1.7 (n = 73) | 1.8 (n = 45) | 1.6 (n = 28) |
vi. Low duration of reserves | 2.0 (n = 73) | 2.0 (n = 45) | 1.9 (n = 28) |
vi. Other | 1.7 (n = 73) | 1.8 (n = 45) | 1.4 (n = 28) |
Note: n is used to represent the total number of respondents
Sixteen respondents elaborated on the factors that have resulted in their bank holding reserves above LCLOR plus preferred additional reserves. Most respondents provided more context for their bank's reserves strategy but these responses did not have a common theme.
Question 9a: For each hypothetical change in the level of overnight interest rates relative to the interest rate on reserve balances (IORB) shown in basis points (bps):
Please enter the letter corresponding to how your bank's reserve strategy would change relative to your bank's reserve strategy in the past few months as reported in Question 8.
Scenario 1: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 2 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
My bank's reserve management strategy would likely be the same | 93 | 95.9 | 59 | 96.7 | 34 | 94.4 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) increase, or limit the decline in, its reserves | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) decrease, or limit the growth in, its reserves | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | 3.3 | 2 | 5.6 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Scenario 2: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 4 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
My bank's reserve management strategy would likely be the same | 84 | 86.6 | 59 | 96.7 | 25 | 69.4 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) increase, or limit the decline in, its reserves | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 3 | 8.3 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) decrease, or limit the growth in, its reserves | 10 | 10.3 | 2 | 3.3 | 8 | 22.2 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Scenario 3: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 6 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
My bank's reserve management strategy would likely be the same | 69 | 71.1 | 51 | 83.6 | 18 | 50.0 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) increase, or limit the decline in, its reserves | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8.3 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) decrease, or limit the growth in, its reserves | 24 | 24.7 | 9 | 14.8 | 15 | 41.7 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Scenario 4: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 8 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
My bank's reserve management strategy would likely be the same | 58 | 59.8 | 48 | 78.7 | 10 | 27.8 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) increase, or limit the decline in, its reserves | 6 | 6.2 | 2 | 3.3 | 4 | 11.1 |
My bank would be likely to adjust its reserve management strategy to (further) decrease, or limit the growth in, its reserves | 33 | 34.0 | 11 | 18.0 | 22 | 61.1 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Question 9b: For each hypothetical change in the level of overnight interest rates relative to the interest rate on reserve balances (IORB) shown in bps:
Please provide an approximate forecast of your bank's reserve balance in millions of dollars.
Scenario 1: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 2 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Increase current reserve level | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8.3 |
Decrease current reserve level by 1 percent to 25 percent | 28 | 28.9 | 11 | 18.0 | 17 | 47.2 |
Decrease current reserve level by 26 percent to 50 percent | 5 | 5.2 | 4 | 6.6 | 1 | 2.8 |
Decrease current reserve level by greater than 50 percent | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 |
No change from current reserve level | 59 | 60.8 | 44 | 72.1 | 15 | 41.7 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Scenario 2: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 4 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Increase current reserve level | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8.3 |
Decrease current reserve level by 1 percent to 25 percent | 28 | 28.9 | 11 | 18.0 | 17 | 47.2 |
Decrease current reserve level by 26 percent to 50 percent | 7 | 7.2 | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | 8.3 |
Decrease current reserve level by greater than 50 percent | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1 | 2.8 |
No change from current reserve level | 56 | 57.7 | 44 | 72.1 | 12 | 33.3 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Scenario 3: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 6 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Increase current reserve level | 5 | 5.2 | 2 | 3.3 | 3 | 8.3 |
Decrease current reserve level by 1 percent to 25 percent | 32 | 33.0 | 14 | 23.0 | 18 | 50.0 |
Decrease current reserve level by 26 percent to 50 percent | 10 | 10.3 | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | 16.7 |
Decrease current reserve level by greater than 50 percent | 6 | 6.2 | 4 | 6.6 | 2 | 5.6 |
No change from current reserve level | 44 | 45.4 | 37 | 60.7 | 7 | 19.4 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Scenario 4: Relative to IORB, the constellation of overnight interest rates is 8 bps higher than it was over the past month
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Increase current reserve level | 6 | 6.2 | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | 8.3 |
Decrease current reserve level by 1 percent to 25 percent | 27 | 27.8 | 16 | 26.2 | 11 | 30.6 |
Decrease current reserve level by 26 percent to 50 percent | 15 | 15.5 | 4 | 6.6 | 11 | 30.6 |
Decrease current reserve level by greater than 50 percent | 10 | 10.3 | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | 16.7 |
No change from current reserve level | 39 | 40.2 | 34 | 55.7 | 5 | 13.9 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Note: Question 9c was only shown to banks that indicated that they would be likely to adjust their reserve management strategy to (further) decrease, or limit the growth in, its reserves in at least one of the above interest rate scenarios in Question 9a.
Question 9c: Please select your bank's most likely action:
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
Change the composition of assets by decreasing reserves | 13 | 40.6 | 8 | 72.7 | 5 | 23.8 |
Reduce the size of balance sheet by decreasing liabilities | 12 | 37.5 | 2 | 18.2 | 10 | 47.6 |
Other (please describe in comment box) | 7 | 21.9 | 1 | 9.1 | 6 | 28.6 |
Total | 32 | 100.0 | 11 | 100.0 | 21 | 100.0 |
Six respondents provided comments, excluding responses of N/A, but these responses did not have common themes.
Part 3: Deposit Rates
Questions in Part 3 ask about deposit pricing strategies.
Question 10: Looking ahead over the next six months, please select the rationale that most closely aligns with your bank's deposit rate-setting strategy for each of the deposit types listed. (select one)
-
Retail deposits
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Rate will be set to increase deposit balances 22 34.4 21 35.0 1 25.0 Rate will be set to maintain deposit balances 41 64.1 38 63.3 3 75.0 Rate will be set to decrease deposit balances 1 1.6 1 1.7 0 0.0 Total 64 100.0 60 100.0 4 100.0 -
Wholesale operational deposits
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Rate will be set to increase deposit balances 11 17.2 9 18.8 2 12.5 Rate will be set to maintain deposit balances 51 79.7 37 77.1 14 87.5 Rate will be set to decrease deposit balances 2 3.1 2 4.2 0 0.0 Total 64 100.0 48 100.0 16 100.0 -
Wholesale non-operational deposits
All respondents Domestic Foreign Banks Percent Banks Percent Banks Percent Rate will be set to increase deposit balances 6 7.9 6 13.0 0 0.0 Rate will be set to maintain deposit balances 63 82.9 33 71.7 30 100.0 Rate will be set to decrease deposit balances 7 9.2 7 15.2 0 0.0 Total 76 100.0 46 100.0 30 100.0
Question 11: Please provide any additional information relevant to your bank's deposit strategy in the context of your bank's expectations for overnight interest rates over the next six months.
Fifty-seven respondents provided comments, excluding responses of N/A or that specified that there were no additional comments. Some respondents reported that they expect that their bank will decrease deposit betas alongside their expectation for overnight rates to decline. Other respondents reported that overnight rates will have little or no impact on their deposit strategy and cited other factors such as loans.
Part 4: Federal Reserve Facilities and Intraday Credit
Question 12: Please characterize your bank's willingness to borrow discount window primary credit under its existing terms in each of the following situations, on a scale of 1 (very unwilling to borrow) to 5 (very willing to borrow).
Average rating (all) | Average rating (dom) | Average rating (fore) | |
---|---|---|---|
A. To lend at higher rates in money markets than the primary credit rate | 1.1 (n = 97) | 1.1 (n = 61) | 1.0 (n = 36) |
B. If other funding sources became more expensive than the primary credit rate due to firm-specific stress | 2.2 (n = 97) | 2.3 (n = 61) | 2.0 (n = 36) |
C. If other funding sources became more expensive than the primary credit rate due to market-wide stress | 2.2 (n = 97) | 2.4 (n = 61) | 2.0 (n = 36) |
D. If other funding sources became more expensive than the primary credit rate in the absence of firm-specific or market-wide stress | 1.5 (n = 97) | 1.6 (n = 61) | 1.5 (n = 36) |
Note: n is used to represent the total number of respondents
Question 13: How would you characterize the operational burden associated with the following operational requirements or features of the discount window or the Federal Reserve's provision of intraday credit, on a scale of 1 (minimal burden) to 5 (significant burden)?
Average rating (all) | Average rating (dom) | Average rating (fore) | |
---|---|---|---|
A. Submitting legal documents to a Reserve Bank | 2.1 (n = 96) | 2.2 (n = 61) | 1.8 (n = 35) |
B. Pledging or withdrawing securities as collateral (includes transfers to and from restricted securities accounts held at approved securities depositories) | 2.0 (n = 95) | 2.3 (n = 61) | 1.4 (n = 34) |
C. Pledging or withdrawing loans as collateral (includes establishing pledging arrangement, providing individual loan data elements to the Reserve Bank and withdrawing loans as collateral, and taking steps to ensure that the lending Reserve Bank has a perfected first-priority security interest in the pledged loans) | 2.6 (n = 89) | 2.9 (n = 60) | 2.1 (n = 29) |
D. Requesting discount window advances and receiving proceeds | 1.4 (n = 94) | 1.4 (n = 60) | 1.3 (n = 34) |
E. Repaying discount window advances before their full maturity | 1.4 (n = 69) | 1.4 (n = 42) | 1.3 (n = 27) |
F. Using the Discount Window Direct online portal | 1.8 (n = 50) | 2.0 (n = 36) | 1.4 (n = 14) |
G. Processes for establishing an uncollateralized intraday credit limit or "net debit cap" | 2.0 (n = 79) | 2.1 (n = 53) | 1.8 (n = 26) |
H. Processes for requesting additional collateralized intraday credit capacity or a "max cap" | 2.0 (n = 40) | 2.1 (n = 28) | 1.8 (n = 12) |
I. Other discount window or intraday credit requirement or feature | 1.6 (n = 9) | 1.5 (n = 6) | 1.7 (n = 3) |
Note: n is used to represent the total number of respondents
Question 14: If you rated any of the discount window or intraday credit requirements or features in Question 13 as 3, 4, or 5, please describe the nature and/or extent of the operational burden.
Fifty-nine respondents provided substantive comments. Numerous respondents noted specific operational burdens connected with pledging or withdrawing loans as collateral. Many respondents expanded on the burden associated with submitting legal documents to their Federal Reserve Bank.
Question 15: Which of the following statements best characterizes the cumulative effect of the burden associated with discount window operational requirements or features on your bank's willingness to maintain or increase preparedness to borrow from the discount window? ("Preparedness to borrow" may include having pledged collateral or borrowing for test purposes.)
All respondents | Domestic | Foreign | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | Banks | Percent | |
The burden associated with discount window operational requirements or features does not negatively affect my bank's willingness to maintain or increase preparedness to borrow from the discount window. | 74 | 76.3 | 44 | 72.1 | 30 | 83.3 |
The burden associated with discount window operational requirements or features has a small negative effect on my bank's willingness to maintain or increase preparedness to borrow from the discount window. | 21 | 21.6 | 15 | 24.6 | 6 | 16.7 |
The burden associated with discount window operational requirements or features has a moderate negative effect on my bank's willingness to maintain or increase preparedness to borrow from the discount window. | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 |
The burden associated with discount window operational requirements or features has a significant negative effect on my bank's willingness to maintain or increase preparedness to borrow from the discount window. | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 |
Total | 97 | 100.0 | 61 | 100.0 | 36 | 100.0 |
Note: Question 16 was only shown to banks with BTFP advances outstanding.
Question 16: Which of the following options characterize your bank's expected actions when its BTFP advances mature? I expect my bank will: (select up to three likely actions)
All respondents | ||
---|---|---|
Number of Responses | Percent | |
i. Allow BTFP advance(s) to mature without replacing funding | 3 | 13.6 |
ii. Pay off BTFP advance(s) before its scheduled maturity without replacing funding | 5 | 22.7 |
iii. Borrow from the discount window | 0 | 0.0 |
iv. Borrow from a FHLB | 7 | 31.8 |
v. Borrow in short-term unsecured markets | 0 | 0.0 |
vi. Borrow in short-term secured markets (repo) | 2 | 9.1 |
vii. Issue CP/CDs | 2 | 9.1 |
viii. Issue brokered retail CDs | 3 | 13.6 |
ix. Raise deposit rates | 0 | 0.0 |
Total | 22 | 99.9 |
Footnotes
1. The survey asked respondents to consider the differences between average values in September 2024 and their expectations for average values in March 2025. Return to text
2. "Taking actions" is defined in the survey as taking active steps to intervene and raise funds to replenish reserves. Return to text
3. For the purpose of this survey, "deposit beta" was defined as the basis point change in a bank's average deposit rate on deposits with maturities of seven days or fewer relative to the basis point change in the target range for the federal funds rate. Return to text