Meet the Researchers
Manuel P. Gonzalez-Astudillo
[email protected]
Education
- Ph.D., Economics, Indiana University, 2012
- M.Sc., Economics, Universidad de Chile, 2005
- Estimation of the natural rate of interest
- Estimation of sovereign default probabilities
Principal Economist
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2012 - present
- Hawkish or Dovish Fed? Estimating a Time-Varying Reaction Function of the Federal Open Market Committee's Median Participant
Manuel González-Astudillo and Rakeen Tanvir
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2023)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2023.070 - When are trend–cycle decompositions of GDP reliable?
Manuel González-Astudillo and John M. Roberts
Empirical Economics (2022)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-021-02105-4 - Measuring uncertainty: A streamlined application for the Ecuadorian economy
Guillermo Avellán, Manuel González-Astudillo, and Juan José Salcedo Cruz
Empirical Economics (2022)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-021-02069-5 - Good Policy or Good Luck? Analyzing the Effects of Fiscal Policy and Oil Revenue Shocks in Ecuador
Freddy García-Albán, Manuel González-Astudillo, and Cristhian Vera-Avellán
Energy Economics (2021)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105321 - Estimates of r* Consistent with a Supply-Side Structure and a Monetary Policy Rule for the U.S. Economy
Manuel González-Astudillo and Jean-Philippe Laforte
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2020)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2020.085 - An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-Level and Cross-Sectional Data Heterogeneity
Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo
European Economic Review (2019)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.103301
See also » FRB Working Paper (2018) - Estimating the U.S. Output Gap with State-Level Data
Manuel González-Astudillo
Journal of Applied Econometrics (2019)
https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2705 - A New Procedure for Generating the Stochastic Simulations in FRB/US
Manuel González-Astudillo and Diego Vilán
FEDS Notes (2019)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2314 - A Nowcasting Model for Ecuador: Implementing a Time-Varying Mean Output Growth
Manuel González-Astudillo and Daniel Baquero
Economic Modelling (2019)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2019.01.010 - A Nowcasting Model for the Growth Rate of Real GDP of Ecuador: Implementing a Time-Varying Intercept
Manuel González-Astudillo and Daniel Baquero
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2018)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.044 - GDP Trend-cycle Decompositions Using State-level Data
Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2017)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2017.051 - When Can Trend-Cycle Decompositions Be Trusted?
Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo and John M. Roberts
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2016)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2016.099 - Identifying the Stance of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: A Markov-Switching Estimation Exploiting Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interdependence
Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2014)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2014.97 - Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interaction: Interdependent Policy Rule Coefficients
Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2013)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2013.58
seminar
November 2020Universidad de Cuenca
Good Luck or Good Policy? An Analysis of the Effects of Oil Revenue and Fiscal Policy Shocks: The Case of Ecuador
seminar
November 2020Banco de Mexico
Estimates of r* Consistent with a Supply-Side Structure and a Monetary Policy Rule for the U.S. Economy
seminar
November 2020European Central Bank
Estimates of r* Consistent with a Supply-Side Structure and a Monetary Policy Rule for the U.S. Economy
conference
July 2020IAAE 2020 Annual Conference
When Are Trend-Cycle Decompositions of GDP Reliable?
seminar
December 2019ESPOL
A Nowcasting model for Ecuador: Implementing a time-varying mean output growth
seminar
April 2019West Virginia University
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
June 2019XXII Applied Economics Meeting
An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-level and Cross-sectional Data Heterogeneity
conference
June 2019IAAE 2019 Annual Conference
An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-level and Cross-sectional Data Heterogeneity
conference
June 20182018 Computational and Financial Econometrics
An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-level and Cross-sectional Data Heterogeneity
conference
June 2018International Economics Congress
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
seminar
April 2018Lehigh University
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
August 2018EEA-ESEM Congress
An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-level and Cross-sectional Data Heterogeneity
conference
September 20182018 NBER-NSF Times Series Conference
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
October 20182018 LACEA LAMES
An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-level and Cross-sectional Data Heterogeneity
conference
December 2017Simposio de la Asociacion Espanola de Economia
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
June 20172017 Computational and Financial Econometrics
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
May 2017NBER-NSF SBIES Conference
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
April 2017St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank Spring Econometrics Workshop
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
December 2016CFE-CMStatistics Conference 2016
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
November 20162016 LACEA
Identifying the Stance of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: A Markov-switching Estimation Exploiting Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interdependence
conference
September 2016System Committee on Regional Analysis
GDP trend-cycle decompositions using state-level data
conference
December 20152015 European Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society
GDP trend-cycle decompositions: what can we learn from the Great Recession using state-level data
conference
December 20152015 Computational and Financial Econometrics
Identifying the Stance of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: A Markov-switching Estimation Exploiting Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interdependence
conference
October 20152015 LACEA
When can trend-cycle decompositions be trusted
conference
June 2015IAAE 2015 Annual Conference
When can trend-cycle decompositions be trusted
conference
June 2014IAAE 2014 Annual Conference
Identifying the Stance of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: A Markov-switching Estimation Exploiting Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interdependence
conference
June 201420th International Conference Computing in Economics and Finance
Identifying the Stance of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: A Markov-switching Estimation Exploiting Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interdependence
conference
May 20142014 Midwest Macroeconomics Meetings
Identifying the Stance of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: A Markov-switching Estimation Exploiting Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interdependence
conference
October 20132013 LACEA LAMES
Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions: Interdependent Policy Rule Coefficients
conference
June 20132013 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society
Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions: Interdependent Policy Rule Coefficients
conference
June 2013XVI Applied Economics Meetings
Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions: Interdependent Policy Rule Coefficients
conference
May 20132013 Midwest Macroeconomics Meetings
Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions: Interdependent Policy Rule Coefficients
Referee
- European Economic Review
- Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
- Journal of Applied Econometrics
- Review of Economics and Statistics
- Macroeconomic Dynamics
- Economic Letters
- Empirical Economics
- Journal of Business Cycle Research
- Journal of Applied Economics
- Economic Modelling