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Meet the Researchers

Photo of Molin Zhong

Molin Zhong

Principal Economist Financial and Macroeconomic Stability Studies Section Financial Stability
202-973-6126
[email protected]

Education

  • Ph.D., Economics, University of Pennsylvania, 2015
  • B.S., Economics, Statistics, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, 2010
Current Research Topics
  • Empirical Macroeconomics
  • Forecasting
  • Principal Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2020 - present
  • Senior Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2018 - 2020
  • Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2015 - 2018
  • Visiting Associate Research Professor

    University of Maryland

    2022
  • Financial and Macroeconomic Data Through the Lens of a Nonlinear Dynamic Factor Model
    Pablo A. Guerrón Quintana, Alexey Khazanov, and Molin Zhong
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2023)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2023.027
  • Macroeconomic forecasting in times of crises
    Pablo Guerrón-Quintana and Molin Zhong
    Journal of Applied Econometrics (2023)
    https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2951
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2017)
  • Understanding Bank and Nonbank Credit Cycles: A Structural Exploration
    C. Bora Durdu and Molin Zhong
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2023)
    https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12918
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2019)
  • Macroeconomic and Financial Risks: A Tale of Mean and Volatility
    Dario Caldara, Chiara Scotti, and Molin Zhong
    International Finance Discussion Papers (2021)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/IFDP.2021.1326
  • A New Approach to Identifying the Real Effects of Uncertainty Shocks
    Minchul Shin and Molin Zhong
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2020)
    https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2018.1506342
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2016)
  • Likelihood Evaluation of Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
    Pablo Cuba-Borda, Luca Guerrieri, Matteo Iacoviello, and Molin Zhong
    Journal of Applied Econometrics (2019)
    https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2729
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2019)
  • Measuring International Uncertainty: The Case of Korea
    Minchul Shin, Boyuan Zhang, Molin Zhong, and Dong Jin Lee
    Economics Letters (2018)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2017.10.014
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2017)
  • Does Realized Volatility Help Bond Yield Density Prediction?
    Minchul Shin and Molin Zhong
    International Journal of Forecasting (2017)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.11.003
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2015)
  • Essays in Bayesian Macroeconometrics
    Molin Zhong
    University of Pennsylvania (2015)

  • conference

    2023

    Midwest Macro Meetings, North American Summer Meetings of the Econometric Society, NBER-NSF Time Series (Poster)

  • discussion

    2023

    Chinese Economists Society North American Conference

  • seminar

    2022

    University of Maryland

  • conference

    2021

    CEF, IAAE, NBER-NSF SBIES, 2nd DC-VA-MD Econometrics Workshop, System Econometrics, NBER-NSF Time Series (Poster), CFE

  • conference

    2020

    AEA Annual Meeting (Poster), IWH-CIREQ-GW Macroeconometric Workshop: "Forecasting and Uncertainty", CFE-CMStatistics

  • conference

    2019

    North American Winter Meetings Econometric Society, WEAI Annual Conference, System Econometrics Meetings, Midwest Econometrics Group

  • conference

    2018

    Federal Reserve Research Scrum, North American Summer Meetings of the Econometric Society, IAAE, NBER EFSF Mid-Year Meetings

  • conference

    2018

    Federal Reserve Board Mini-Conference on Bank Capital Regulation

  • discussion

    2018

    Federal Reserve Board Conference Risk, Uncertainty, and Volatility, Southern Economic Association Annual Meetings

  • conference

    2017

    Georgetown GCER, Computing in Economics and Finance

  • discussion

    2016

    Southern Economic Association Annual Meetings

  • conference

    2016

    North American Summer Meetings Econometric Society, IAAE, System Macro Meetings, NBER EFSF Mid-Year Meetings, Midwest Econometrics, Midwest Macro Meetings

  • seminar

    2016

    University of Kansas, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

  • conference

    2015

    Midwest Econometrics Group Meetings, Midwest Macro Meetings

  • seminar

    2015

    Federal Reserve Board, SUNY-Binghamton, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

  • seminar

    2014

    Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • conference

    2013

    OMI-SoFiE Financial Econometrics Summer School (Oxford)

Awards
  • 2014

    Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

    Dissertation Intern

  • 2013

    University of Pennsylvania

    GAPSA Research Travel Grant

  • 2010

    National Science Foundation

    Graduate Research Fellowship, Honorable Mention

Referee
  • American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
  • Econometric Reviews
  • Economics Letters
  • Emerging Markets Finance and Trade
  • European Economic Review
  • International Economic Review
  • International Journal of Central Banking
  • International Journal of Forecasting
  • International Review of Economics and Finance
  • Journal of Applied Econometrics
  • Journal of Banking and Finance
  • Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
  • Journal of Econometrics
  • Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
  • Journal of Empirical Finance
  • Journal of Forecasting
  • Journal of Macroeconomics
  • Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
  • Macroeconomic Dynamics
  • Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
  • Review of Economic Dynamics
  • Review of Economics and Statistics
  • Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics
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Last Update: August 2, 2024