A Note on the Expected Expiration of Federal Student Loan Forbearance, Accessible Data

Figure 1. Delinquency Rate

Panel A. Borrowers Who Made No Payments
Percent

Date Credit card Auto loan Mortgage
2019 Dec 4.4% 5.1% 4.3%
2020 Jan 4.2% 5.0% 4.8%
2020 Feb 4.5% 5.1% 4.0%
2020 Mar 4.2% 4.2% 3.5%
2020 Apr 3.5% 4.0% 3.1%
2020 May 3.3% 3.3% 2.2%
2020 Jun 2.7% 2.6% 1.7%
2020 Jul 2.5% 2.8% 1.7%
2020 Aug 2.2% 2.5% 1.5%
2020 Sep 2.3% 2.9% 1.5%
2020 Oct 2.6% 2.9% 1.2%
2020 Nov 2.5% 3.2% 1.5%
2020 Dec 2.9% 3.3% 1.4%
2021 Jan 3.0% 3.6% 1.1%
2021 Feb 2.6% 3.4% 1.2%
2021 Mar 2.5% 2.9% 1.3%
2021 Apr 1.9% 2.6% 1.0%
2021 May 1.5% 2.2% 1.1%
2021 Jun 1.2% 2.5% 1.1%
2021 Jul 1.2% 2.6% 1.2%
2021 Aug 1.4% 3.0% 1.0%
2021 Sep 1.6% 3.3% 1.4%
2021 Oct 2.0% 3.0% 1.2%
2021 Nov 2.3% 3.2% 1.2%
2021 Dec 2.5% 3.6% 1.5%

Panel B. Borrowers Who Made Payments
Percent

Date Credit card Auto loan Mortgage
2019 Dec 2.2% 1.8% 2.1%
2020 Jan 2.2% 1.6% 1.9%
2020 Feb 2.3% 1.7% 1.8%
2020 Mar 2.4% 1.6% 1.6%
2020 Apr 2.3% 1.4% 1.4%
2020 May 2.3% 1.3% 0.8%
2020 Jun 2.2% 1.1% 0.8%
2020 Jul 2.1% 0.7% 0.9%
2020 Aug 2.0% 0.8% 0.8%
2020 Sep 2.0% 1.0% 1.0%
2020 Oct 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
2020 Nov 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%
2020 Dec 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
2021 Jan 1.8% 0.9% 0.7%
2021 Feb 2.0% 0.8% 0.7%
2021 Mar 1.6% 0.7% 0.4%
2021 Apr 1.2% 0.6% 0.5%
2021 May 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
2021 Jun 1.0% 0.5% 0.5%
2021 Jul 0.7% 0.4% 0.6%
2021 Aug 0.9% 0.7% 0.6%
2021 Sep 0.7% 0.9% 0.6%
2021 Oct 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
2021 Nov 0.9% 0.9% 0.4%
2021 Dec 1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Note: Delinquency measures the fraction of balances that are at least 30 days past due and excludes severe derogatory loans for auto loans and credit cards.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.

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Figure 2. Equifax Risk Score

Score

Date Made Payments Made No Payments
2019 Dec 699 635
2020 Jan 699 635
2020 Feb 700 635
2020 Mar 701 636
2020 Apr 704 645
2020 May 707 649
2020 Jun 709 654
2020 Jul 711 656
2020 Aug 712 658
2020 Sep 713 661
2020 Oct 714 662
2020 Nov 714 662
2020 Dec 714 662
2021 Jan 715 663
2021 Feb 716 664
2021 Mar 718 667
2021 Apr 720 669
2021 May 721 670
2021 Jun 721 670
2021 Jul 721 670
2021 Aug 722 670
2021 Sep 723 670
2021 Oct 723 671
2021 Nov 723 670
2021 Dec 723 670

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.

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Figure 3. Credit Card Balances

Billions of dollars (Real)

Date Made Payments Made No Payments
2019 Dec 57 56
2020 Jan 57 56
2020 Feb 57 56
2020 Mar 56 55
2020 Apr 54 53
2020 May 52 52
2020 Jun 51 51
2020 Jul 50 50
2020 Aug 50 50
2020 Sep 50 51
2020 Oct 50 51
2020 Nov 50 51
2020 Dec 51 52
2021 Jan 50 52
2021 Feb 49 51
2021 Mar 48 50
2021 Apr 47 49
2021 May 47 49
2021 Jun 48 51
2021 Jul 49 52
2021 Aug 49 53
2021 Sep 49 53
2021 Oct 49 54
2021 Nov 50 55
2021 Dec 52 57

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.

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Last Update: May 27, 2022