Accessible Version
Effects of Supply Chain Bottlenecks on Prices using Textual Analysis, Accessible Data
Figure 1: Nominal Global Trade
(Dec 2019=100)
Date | Nominal World Trade |
---|---|
1/31/2005 | 54.30846924 |
2/28/2005 | 54.14658243 |
3/31/2005 | 55.3249068 |
4/30/2005 | 56.42090581 |
5/31/2005 | 55.9739032 |
6/30/2005 | 55.51135013 |
7/31/2005 | 55.27281807 |
8/31/2005 | 57.17001405 |
9/30/2005 | 58.05747653 |
10/31/2005 | 57.93350952 |
11/30/2005 | 58.03093812 |
12/31/2005 | 60.12095075 |
1/31/2006 | 61.14947677 |
2/28/2006 | 61.44227168 |
3/31/2006 | 62.41493825 |
4/30/2006 | 63.53099808 |
5/31/2006 | 65.66023223 |
6/30/2006 | 65.5538831 |
7/31/2006 | 65.28076616 |
8/31/2006 | 66.9553642 |
9/30/2006 | 67.29835311 |
10/31/2006 | 66.32225957 |
11/30/2006 | 68.19852883 |
12/31/2006 | 70.39225215 |
1/31/2007 | 69.60845475 |
2/28/2007 | 70.36675153 |
3/31/2007 | 71.22146111 |
4/30/2007 | 72.4845497 |
5/31/2007 | 73.1238566 |
6/30/2007 | 73.86745335 |
7/31/2007 | 75.39771566 |
8/31/2007 | 75.70779202 |
9/30/2007 | 77.04446301 |
10/31/2007 | 79.77298017 |
11/30/2007 | 82.57510417 |
12/31/2007 | 82.67199432 |
1/31/2008 | 86.67978835 |
2/29/2008 | 87.40362975 |
3/31/2008 | 89.27355257 |
4/30/2008 | 91.75679861 |
5/31/2008 | 92.23105565 |
6/30/2008 | 93.00360117 |
7/31/2008 | 95.9410581 |
8/31/2008 | 92.17535017 |
9/30/2008 | 88.15399572 |
10/31/2008 | 81.67861119 |
11/30/2008 | 72.3063899 |
12/31/2008 | 67.53347204 |
1/31/2009 | 62.69313088 |
2/28/2009 | 61.20488656 |
3/31/2009 | 60.80188301 |
4/30/2009 | 61.12016144 |
5/31/2009 | 61.90765543 |
6/30/2009 | 65.095148 |
7/31/2009 | 66.85851967 |
8/31/2009 | 67.97028418 |
9/30/2009 | 71.31877974 |
10/31/2009 | 73.36813474 |
11/30/2009 | 74.6355382 |
12/31/2009 | 76.29217054 |
1/31/2010 | 76.84150882 |
2/28/2010 | 76.3945282 |
3/31/2010 | 78.29445875 |
4/30/2010 | 78.98856694 |
5/31/2010 | 79.02398026 |
6/30/2010 | 79.45272963 |
7/31/2010 | 80.80879429 |
8/31/2010 | 82.09029253 |
9/30/2010 | 82.78301266 |
10/31/2010 | 87.06353671 |
11/30/2010 | 88.11279231 |
12/31/2010 | 88.09467591 |
1/31/2011 | 92.22629847 |
2/28/2011 | 93.32116276 |
3/31/2011 | 96.05308001 |
4/30/2011 | 97.69664476 |
5/31/2011 | 98.48930242 |
6/30/2011 | 98.03234882 |
7/31/2011 | 99.41083904 |
8/31/2011 | 100.8334692 |
9/30/2011 | 97.66870364 |
10/31/2011 | 97.61982439 |
11/30/2011 | 97.09571629 |
12/31/2011 | 96.26490748 |
1/31/2012 | 96.27017134 |
2/29/2012 | 98.27122137 |
3/31/2012 | 98.9815439 |
4/30/2012 | 97.79962965 |
5/31/2012 | 98.49769592 |
6/30/2012 | 96.09566414 |
7/31/2012 | 95.18400194 |
8/31/2012 | 96.07892928 |
9/30/2012 | 98.626816 |
10/31/2012 | 97.38173954 |
11/30/2012 | 96.67962234 |
12/31/2012 | 98.1859073 |
1/31/2013 | 100.3512513 |
2/28/2013 | 99.94960725 |
3/31/2013 | 99.38651631 |
4/30/2013 | 99.12198836 |
5/31/2013 | 98.16104287 |
6/30/2013 | 97.90140651 |
7/31/2013 | 97.97212971 |
8/31/2013 | 99.06072658 |
9/30/2013 | 98.91726327 |
10/31/2013 | 100.3755341 |
11/30/2013 | 99.97730481 |
12/31/2013 | 100.5268174 |
1/31/2014 | 101.4459445 |
2/28/2014 | 101.3415357 |
3/31/2014 | 101.7560119 |
4/30/2014 | 102.1549873 |
5/31/2014 | 101.6978072 |
6/30/2014 | 101.1498733 |
7/31/2014 | 101.9616884 |
8/31/2014 | 100.8808545 |
9/30/2014 | 100.5240551 |
10/31/2014 | 98.65396046 |
11/30/2014 | 96.49131767 |
12/31/2014 | 94.68559811 |
1/31/2015 | 92.00496396 |
2/28/2015 | 90.91411394 |
3/31/2015 | 88.03580658 |
4/30/2015 | 88.12774323 |
5/31/2015 | 88.68610305 |
6/30/2015 | 89.63457153 |
7/31/2015 | 88.30361731 |
8/31/2015 | 86.97451546 |
9/30/2015 | 86.66635501 |
10/31/2015 | 86.86596042 |
11/30/2015 | 84.03086116 |
12/31/2015 | 84.12690088 |
1/31/2016 | 81.43392249 |
2/29/2016 | 83.00599101 |
3/31/2016 | 82.49610721 |
4/30/2016 | 84.45947693 |
5/31/2016 | 84.25651786 |
6/30/2016 | 85.71377043 |
7/31/2016 | 84.48486514 |
8/31/2016 | 86.63859961 |
9/30/2016 | 86.55897298 |
10/31/2016 | 86.3406109 |
11/30/2016 | 87.46000727 |
12/31/2016 | 88.61152768 |
1/31/2017 | 89.5325226 |
2/28/2017 | 90.48250212 |
3/31/2017 | 92.25964519 |
4/30/2017 | 91.57773624 |
5/31/2017 | 93.05698427 |
6/30/2017 | 93.22389382 |
7/31/2017 | 94.13576538 |
8/31/2017 | 96.17521419 |
9/30/2017 | 97.94805869 |
10/31/2017 | 96.20495393 |
11/30/2017 | 99.56490256 |
12/31/2017 | 101.586806 |
1/31/2018 | 104.5186977 |
2/28/2018 | 104.5911388 |
3/31/2018 | 103.7532081 |
4/30/2018 | 104.5979406 |
5/31/2018 | 104.1864084 |
6/30/2018 | 104.1445517 |
7/31/2018 | 104.5629778 |
8/31/2018 | 103.9954416 |
9/30/2018 | 104.3612178 |
10/31/2018 | 105.0745975 |
11/30/2018 | 102.1093941 |
12/31/2018 | 99.64351585 |
1/31/2019 | 102.2227568 |
2/28/2019 | 101.3968608 |
3/31/2019 | 102.9974805 |
4/30/2019 | 102.3939747 |
5/31/2019 | 102.7596392 |
6/30/2019 | 100.9163428 |
7/31/2019 | 101.8802005 |
8/31/2019 | 100.8137864 |
9/30/2019 | 99.91266983 |
10/31/2019 | 100.3318999 |
11/30/2019 | 99.33987635 |
12/31/2019 | 100 |
1/31/2020 | 98.37831666 |
2/29/2020 | 97.049091 |
3/31/2020 | 92.5068143 |
4/30/2020 | 78.27445984 |
5/31/2020 | 79.44859072 |
6/30/2020 | 87.50685739 |
7/31/2020 | 92.63735502 |
8/31/2020 | 96.15169627 |
9/30/2020 | 98.93435899 |
10/31/2020 | 99.92114641 |
11/30/2020 | 102.8677406 |
12/31/2020 | 105.9166581 |
1/31/2021 | 109.7434478 |
2/28/2021 | 110.530493 |
3/31/2021 | 114.680188 |
4/30/2021 | 116.4782862 |
5/31/2021 | 117.4938587 |
6/30/2021 | 119.4021982 |
7/31/2021 | 118.2103721 |
8/31/2021 | 119.5258541 |
Note: Series are seasonally adjusted, comprise of 97% of world trade, and end in August 2021.
Source: Haver Analytics.
Figure 2 Aggregate Negative Sentiment
Z-value
Date | Supply-Chain | Ship+Container | Chip | Capacity |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/5/2018 | 0.701577458 | 0.486425207 | 0.491695 | 0.660868 |
1/12/2018 | 0.701172707 | 0.489270269 | 0.492657 | 0.65884 |
1/19/2018 | 0.730497392 | 0.511340137 | 0.490599 | 0.668131 |
1/26/2018 | 0.780401677 | 0.49376687 | 0.504987 | 1.142263 |
2/3/2018 | 0.806657268 | 0.489850727 | 0.476751 | 0.902464 |
2/10/2018 | 0.74854246 | 0.692718459 | 0.475338 | 0.587143 |
2/16/2018 | 0.748515617 | 0.732300458 | 0.449253 | 0.338869 |
2/23/2018 | 0.753238905 | 0.618432076 | 0.459918 | 0.208833 |
3/2/2018 | 0.762895774 | 0.684877277 | 0.477478 | 0.5459 |
3/9/2018 | 0.760904766 | 0.734645609 | 0.482465 | 0.474775 |
3/16/2018 | 0.752251084 | 0.753311706 | 0.487827 | 0.479615 |
3/23/2018 | 0.747757054 | 0.749429851 | 0.490612 | 0.540076 |
3/30/2018 | 0.73514774 | 0.749236046 | 0.488882 | 0.553525 |
4/6/2018 | 0.731807584 | 0.748612768 | 0.489693 | 0.568783 |
4/13/2018 | 0.736100702 | 0.729587893 | 0.489013 | 0.574229 |
4/21/2018 | 0.737861847 | 0.733252452 | 0.491647 | 0.558659 |
4/27/2018 | 0.699774264 | 0.727843842 | 0.470541 | 0.236277 |
5/4/2018 | 0.680780881 | 0.698609482 | 0.469138 | 0.246974 |
5/11/2018 | 0.68736216 | 0.735993177 | 0.466716 | 0.437448 |
5/18/2018 | 0.677906371 | 0.762286344 | 0.480002 | 0.485876 |
5/26/2018 | 0.669024559 | 0.838185448 | 0.477294 | 0.482994 |
6/1/2018 | 0.659033029 | 0.810781964 | 0.468177 | 0.263091 |
6/8/2018 | 0.658151036 | 0.775398852 | 0.460151 | 0.28474 |
6/15/2018 | 0.66134797 | 0.744839691 | 0.453931 | 0.168717 |
6/22/2018 | 0.66001586 | 0.749798748 | 0.450237 | 0.116501 |
6/29/2018 | 0.672959426 | 0.753929489 | 0.45201 | 0.115485 |
7/6/2018 | 0.673358887 | 0.748071157 | 0.45078 | 0.129472 |
7/13/2018 | 0.667591339 | 0.773865098 | 0.451005 | 0.12934 |
7/21/2018 | 0.642869914 | 0.78074759 | 0.451446 | 0.059874 |
7/28/2018 | 0.65702367 | 0.732077494 | 0.449957 | 0.164691 |
8/4/2018 | 0.655958599 | 0.666355157 | 0.438382 | -0.10951 |
8/11/2018 | 0.644886112 | 0.593114886 | 0.429065 | -0.55736 |
8/17/2018 | 0.618652119 | 0.521897925 | 0.428641 | -0.54964 |
8/24/2018 | 0.622720863 | 0.533494693 | 0.429126 | -0.3729 |
8/31/2018 | 0.626826496 | 0.487820023 | 0.425001 | -0.33814 |
9/7/2018 | 0.623444379 | 0.446541055 | 0.42214 | -0.34646 |
9/14/2018 | 0.624516484 | 0.464004574 | 0.422919 | -0.28293 |
9/21/2018 | 0.626801765 | 0.451049986 | 0.423074 | -0.32761 |
9/28/2018 | 0.618769685 | 0.454221904 | 0.423126 | -0.3216 |
10/5/2018 | 0.619508076 | 0.456647733 | 0.422322 | -0.32011 |
10/12/2018 | 0.6185457 | 0.450962594 | 0.421711 | -0.32178 |
10/20/2018 | 0.623905396 | 0.404945754 | 0.40938 | -0.35614 |
10/27/2018 | 0.583955199 | 0.395969676 | 0.412047 | -0.6552 |
11/3/2018 | 0.553176737 | 0.347563377 | 0.416348 | -0.6953 |
11/9/2018 | 0.479820116 | 0.387010026 | 0.442917 | -0.29353 |
11/17/2018 | 0.500269324 | 0.432438379 | 0.433995 | -0.42661 |
11/23/2018 | 0.495621942 | 0.426419929 | 0.432369 | -0.61039 |
11/30/2018 | 0.473125785 | 0.478391266 | 0.433507 | -0.55631 |
12/7/2018 | 0.468380065 | 0.53078115 | 0.44153 | -0.55968 |
12/14/2018 | 0.46969384 | 0.52370397 | 0.440991 | -0.53041 |
12/21/2018 | 0.450414473 | 0.531903594 | 0.441015 | -0.51284 |
12/31/2018 | 0.45385708 | 0.522274817 | 0.434863 | -0.55306 |
1/4/2019 | 0.452931963 | 0.524575614 | 0.435534 | -0.59299 |
1/11/2019 | 0.451271689 | 0.522342962 | 0.43625 | -0.60967 |
1/19/2019 | 0.455717342 | 0.549678366 | 0.445067 | -0.52344 |
1/27/2019 | 0.502516245 | 0.607958118 | 0.455394 | -0.11934 |
2/3/2019 | 0.533811376 | 0.764063447 | 0.441055 | 0.489658 |
2/10/2019 | 0.576647198 | 0.696073218 | 0.377941 | 0.566142 |
2/17/2019 | 0.623017009 | 0.61555114 | 0.335022 | 0.617826 |
2/24/2019 | 0.650077734 | 0.601334378 | 0.325364 | 0.802547 |
3/1/2019 | 0.665677351 | 0.593129963 | 0.365938 | 1.084568 |
3/8/2019 | 0.674412404 | 0.593104693 | 0.379014 | 1.046737 |
3/15/2019 | 0.669052869 | 0.596353316 | 0.385554 | 0.95568 |
3/22/2019 | 0.685517585 | 0.609162646 | 0.390086 | 0.917767 |
3/29/2019 | 0.687162438 | 0.627422736 | 0.398533 | 0.985683 |
4/5/2019 | 0.68258709 | 0.603455467 | 0.401201 | 1.006094 |
4/12/2019 | 0.68623603 | 0.600150957 | 0.397052 | 1.014954 |
4/20/2019 | 0.679749447 | 0.592723146 | 0.382902 | 0.981163 |
4/28/2019 | 0.679198265 | 0.627479156 | 0.391868 | 1.022594 |
5/4/2019 | 0.679981037 | 0.627741958 | 0.389938 | 0.957308 |
5/12/2019 | 0.708667783 | 0.574131599 | 0.411223 | 1.207734 |
5/17/2019 | 0.705360586 | 0.608125545 | 0.430093 | 1.327742 |
5/26/2019 | 0.696737972 | 0.614386972 | 0.436697 | 1.336174 |
6/1/2019 | 0.703843391 | 0.586399498 | 0.416682 | 1.185404 |
6/7/2019 | 0.700700013 | 0.591365645 | 0.406997 | 1.22295 |
6/14/2019 | 0.702546681 | 0.581141295 | 0.403099 | 1.327553 |
6/21/2019 | 0.706188203 | 0.52301682 | 0.399139 | 1.362908 |
6/28/2019 | 0.706018734 | 0.500522188 | 0.397052 | 1.328655 |
7/5/2019 | 0.710581401 | 0.525433583 | 0.394329 | 1.349951 |
7/12/2019 | 0.711806693 | 0.533610393 | 0.400163 | 1.314687 |
7/20/2019 | 0.718629871 | 0.554273902 | 0.402555 | 1.190348 |
7/27/2019 | 0.729820739 | 0.512794272 | 0.353924 | 1.146012 |
8/3/2019 | 0.74140126 | 0.456892736 | 0.35918 | 1.155987 |
8/11/2019 | 0.750094052 | 0.45968151 | 0.322026 | 0.895602 |
8/18/2019 | 0.734000704 | 0.533982016 | 0.334191 | 0.866698 |
8/25/2019 | 0.727308625 | 0.542177684 | 0.337064 | 0.858027 |
9/1/2019 | 0.714097625 | 0.597121376 | 0.350349 | 0.864021 |
9/6/2019 | 0.703532955 | 0.579451279 | 0.352954 | 0.853031 |
9/13/2019 | 0.705982468 | 0.571725106 | 0.350562 | 0.830465 |
9/20/2019 | 0.704915121 | 0.623683122 | 0.351032 | 0.867501 |
9/27/2019 | 0.705185679 | 0.629872918 | 0.351176 | 0.880459 |
10/4/2019 | 0.703908593 | 0.624803291 | 0.351894 | 0.870522 |
10/11/2019 | 0.701112986 | 0.6118044 | 0.349327 | 0.849423 |
10/20/2019 | 0.698609584 | 0.584341053 | 0.350979 | 1.015082 |
10/26/2019 | 0.666808966 | 0.520622559 | 0.363064 | 0.949986 |
11/3/2019 | 0.637284215 | 0.468458883 | 0.349996 | 1.090933 |
11/10/2019 | 0.623848726 | 0.510441424 | 0.391805 | 1.233025 |
11/15/2019 | 0.661792229 | 0.421200182 | 0.383277 | 1.308942 |
11/24/2019 | 0.67406674 | 0.431386572 | 0.391486 | 1.249294 |
11/29/2019 | 0.690424678 | 0.421775559 | 0.388312 | 1.209819 |
12/6/2019 | 0.70671595 | 0.450167927 | 0.386182 | 1.210853 |
12/13/2019 | 0.698655304 | 0.473299507 | 0.379587 | 1.213405 |
12/20/2019 | 0.696425074 | 0.448544664 | 0.37931 | 1.168065 |
12/30/2019 | 0.696091302 | 0.439383133 | 0.376714 | 1.127007 |
1/6/2020 | 0.696648537 | 0.443703654 | 0.375858 | 1.140017 |
1/13/2020 | 0.698766611 | 0.448241439 | 0.377209 | 1.169433 |
1/20/2020 | 0.697605373 | 0.459325826 | 0.383031 | 1.140664 |
1/27/2020 | 0.718662339 | 0.522624029 | 0.418508 | 1.308908 |
2/3/2020 | 0.725680224 | 0.546663322 | 0.431618 | 1.155402 |
2/10/2020 | 0.6192675 | 0.584352357 | 0.402205 | 0.805411 |
2/17/2020 | 0.47548251 | 0.440495079 | 0.401483 | 0.741043 |
2/24/2020 | 0.393377451 | 0.409184765 | 0.410152 | 0.847498 |
3/2/2020 | 0.260410164 | 0.409658084 | 0.420774 | 1.076118 |
3/9/2020 | 0.094929536 | 0.294079282 | 0.420389 | 0.949746 |
3/16/2020 | -0.015380518 | 0.264232245 | 0.430483 | 0.907682 |
3/23/2020 | -0.070178028 | 0.260096791 | 0.428051 | 0.814208 |
3/30/2020 | -0.101187356 | 0.20818708 | 0.433379 | 0.88087 |
4/6/2020 | -0.100565161 | 0.210809339 | 0.430644 | 0.936391 |
4/13/2020 | -0.120582854 | 0.206749911 | 0.428049 | 0.948476 |
4/20/2020 | -0.13444193 | 0.189554901 | 0.432518 | 0.905989 |
4/27/2020 | -0.285788323 | 0.053886183 | 0.410433 | 0.784051 |
5/4/2020 | -0.606654363 | -0.043442642 | 0.420241 | 0.441721 |
5/11/2020 | -0.820921784 | -0.127531282 | 0.437438 | 0.222388 |
5/18/2020 | -0.920620964 | -0.110851522 | 0.434 | 0.163327 |
5/25/2020 | -1.027991833 | -0.196420933 | 0.428508 | 0.026687 |
6/1/2020 | -1.152569394 | -0.332903556 | 0.423834 | -0.27264 |
6/8/2020 | -1.117944202 | -0.296884303 | 0.425536 | -0.26035 |
6/15/2020 | -1.088036471 | -0.327394644 | 0.421272 | -0.27759 |
6/22/2020 | -1.072538429 | -0.320846284 | 0.423165 | -0.1897 |
6/29/2020 | -1.084415758 | -0.280889577 | 0.421741 | -0.34513 |
7/6/2020 | -1.098792259 | -0.309882182 | 0.427275 | -0.49881 |
7/13/2020 | -1.087589274 | -0.295672017 | 0.431206 | -0.53997 |
7/20/2020 | -1.0780257 | -0.242852346 | 0.415212 | -0.56994 |
7/27/2020 | -0.964084439 | -0.091395584 | 0.434016 | -0.73084 |
8/3/2020 | -0.68406327 | 0.127258131 | 0.427569 | -0.55237 |
8/10/2020 | -0.402322645 | 0.369523309 | 0.4177 | -0.16629 |
8/17/2020 | -0.333628769 | 0.395195961 | 0.413774 | -0.21706 |
8/24/2020 | -0.295391897 | 0.377691788 | 0.415896 | -0.12096 |
8/31/2020 | -0.251054444 | 0.424528887 | 0.421667 | -0.01339 |
9/7/2020 | -0.245923795 | 0.430154685 | 0.420043 | 0.003999 |
9/14/2020 | -0.264501867 | 0.439290175 | 0.42335 | -0.04579 |
9/21/2020 | -0.249148425 | 0.449554516 | 0.424731 | -0.03409 |
9/28/2020 | -0.228593982 | 0.46186706 | 0.423029 | -0.01207 |
10/5/2020 | -0.219109365 | 0.493176096 | 0.419584 | 0.08175 |
10/12/2020 | -0.221456452 | 0.489437304 | 0.418477 | 0.133722 |
10/19/2020 | -0.204267514 | 0.465345424 | 0.434224 | 0.0886 |
10/26/2020 | -0.166317752 | 0.408342487 | 0.432146 | 0.181552 |
11/2/2020 | -0.097201192 | 0.335469819 | 0.440841 | -0.22542 |
11/9/2020 | -0.033119747 | 0.208707846 | 0.450505 | -0.62448 |
11/16/2020 | -0.022133649 | 0.080932773 | 0.446732 | -0.6246 |
11/23/2020 | -0.04370723 | 0.088234432 | 0.437758 | -0.81862 |
11/30/2020 | -0.06039919 | 0.099718643 | 0.427947 | -0.93636 |
12/7/2020 | -0.056900452 | 0.112099417 | 0.424463 | -0.94972 |
12/14/2020 | -0.062938322 | 0.079742007 | 0.423605 | -1.03358 |
12/21/2020 | -0.074247546 | 0.066266801 | 0.421409 | -1.11692 |
12/30/2020 | -0.074080813 | 0.045660623 | 0.418218 | -1.13501 |
1/6/2021 | -0.069604869 | 0.04235171 | 0.419932 | -1.16178 |
1/13/2021 | -0.072036921 | 0.025556223 | 0.418782 | -1.20772 |
1/20/2021 | -0.087878236 | -0.004979792 | 0.403058 | -1.14152 |
1/27/2021 | -0.138648884 | -0.172786088 | 0.333256 | -1.1089 |
2/3/2021 | -0.250776156 | -0.783339442 | 0.11284 | -0.82194 |
2/10/2021 | -0.518421251 | -1.810555436 | -0.41136 | -1.88865 |
2/17/2021 | -0.53881173 | -2.412245364 | -0.73619 | -1.94667 |
2/24/2021 | -0.388537656 | -2.102501361 | -0.86639 | -1.38898 |
3/3/2021 | -0.439211787 | -1.987391948 | -0.86584 | -1.30992 |
3/10/2021 | -0.46012261 | -2.015466795 | -0.92854 | -1.1777 |
3/17/2021 | -0.445124523 | -1.876096392 | -0.89767 | -0.86508 |
3/24/2021 | -0.461156036 | -1.916745964 | -0.89414 | -0.73642 |
3/31/2021 | -0.445931044 | -1.825232619 | -0.87388 | -0.55858 |
4/7/2021 | -0.451347709 | -1.834344645 | -0.86637 | -0.55417 |
4/14/2021 | -0.46701677 | -1.915636685 | -0.91215 | -0.53568 |
4/21/2021 | -0.503903619 | -1.896638319 | -0.99463 | -0.65176 |
4/28/2021 | -0.705448547 | -1.879797614 | -1.4442 | -1.16028 |
5/5/2021 | -1.074195089 | -1.715595217 | -1.79238 | -1.159 |
5/12/2021 | -1.306496372 | -1.671521899 | -2.08936 | -1.02346 |
5/19/2021 | -1.413862539 | -1.446067012 | -2.14503 | -0.95778 |
5/26/2021 | -1.602772742 | -1.60166328 | -2.24936 | -1.16768 |
6/2/2021 | -1.750142885 | -1.669788236 | -2.41872 | -1.30863 |
6/9/2021 | -1.90732015 | -1.748187402 | -2.50286 | -1.49765 |
6/16/2021 | -1.992019927 | -1.820024787 | -2.66367 | -1.71121 |
6/23/2021 | -2.051462672 | -1.843802315 | -2.72909 | -1.89611 |
6/30/2021 | -2.211318741 | -2.019400925 | -2.88449 | -2.19515 |
7/7/2021 | -2.226400981 | -2.059963772 | -2.90366 | -2.21046 |
7/14/2021 | -2.212580875 | -2.051169462 | -2.92006 | -2.17788 |
7/21/2021 | -2.293887906 | -2.133710925 | -3.00274 | -2.18546 |
7/28/2021 | -2.43234068 | -2.32662526 | -2.85448 | -1.78924 |
8/4/2021 | -2.750640659 | -2.300246468 | -2.92871 | -1.95188 |
8/11/2021 | -3.029383094 | -2.522634661 | -2.89411 | -2.06901 |
8/18/2021 | -3.065081808 | -2.758898052 | -2.97401 | -2.4098 |
8/25/2021 | -3.101772523 | -2.849984354 | -2.94676 | -2.37173 |
9/1/2021 | -3.151373215 | -2.811213951 | -2.90018 | -2.26464 |
9/8/2021 | -3.212515992 | -2.769473736 | -2.94161 | -2.24176 |
9/15/2021 | -3.266694075 | -2.798996786 | -2.88306 | -2.21802 |
9/21/2021 | -3.279881224 | -2.733575111 | -2.88487 | -2.18018 |
Note: The Aggregate Negative Sentiment Index is constructed by counting the total number of negative sentiment words found within 10 words of the main search term from quarterly firm earnings call transcripts. This sum is then divided by the total number of words within the transcript and then the 90-day moving average of this ratio is calculated. Data are then aggregated to the weekly level by taking the last moving average value for each week and finally the z-value (z-score) is computed. The z-value is a measurement of the number of standard deviations that sentiment series are away from their mean value. Since the sentiment series have different means, the z-values better reflect relative changes in negative sentiment. The gray shading begins in January 2021. The series end on September 21, 2021.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 3 Industry Negative Sentiment: Suppy-Chain
Z-Value
Date | Semiconductors | Automobiles | Electronics | Other Industries |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/5/2018 | NA | 0.689628 | NA | 0.676465 |
1/11/2018 | NA | 0.688134 | 0.879181 | NA |
1/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.676213 |
1/18/2018 | 0.898514 | NA | 0.876313 | NA |
1/19/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.709328 |
1/25/2018 | 0.916852 | NA | 0.881212 | NA |
1/26/2018 | NA | 0.633836 | NA | 0.768577 |
2/1/2018 | 1.001288 | NA | 0.950219 | NA |
2/2/2018 | NA | 0.714895 | NA | NA |
2/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.785184 |
2/9/2018 | 0.941589 | 0.732346 | 0.883027 | NA |
2/10/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.720956 |
2/15/2018 | 0.990347 | NA | NA | NA |
2/16/2018 | NA | 0.722595 | 0.838512 | 0.725393 |
2/22/2018 | NA | 0.737999 | 0.858326 | NA |
2/23/2018 | 0.970707 | NA | NA | 0.73113 |
3/1/2018 | 0.967136 | NA | NA | NA |
3/2/2018 | NA | 0.751062 | 0.806807 | 0.740936 |
3/8/2018 | 0.967833 | 0.73847 | NA | NA |
3/9/2018 | NA | NA | 0.757244 | 0.74093 |
3/15/2018 | 0.970496 | NA | 0.768062 | NA |
3/16/2018 | NA | 0.733919 | NA | 0.730118 |
3/22/2018 | 0.971757 | 0.651166 | 0.758323 | NA |
3/23/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.730681 |
3/28/2018 | 0.972975 | 0.654751 | NA | NA |
3/29/2018 | NA | NA | 0.769817 | NA |
3/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.714855 |
4/2/2018 | NA | 0.656486 | NA | NA |
4/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.747239 | NA |
4/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.715234 |
4/12/2018 | NA | 0.658186 | 0.745922 | NA |
4/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.720226 |
4/20/2018 | 0.953625 | 0.658285 | 0.751117 | NA |
4/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.723516 |
4/27/2018 | 0.880247 | 0.663811 | 0.74267 | 0.683426 |
5/3/2018 | 0.840567 | NA | NA | NA |
5/4/2018 | NA | 0.681582 | 0.661066 | 0.665923 |
5/11/2018 | 0.860178 | 0.667998 | 0.633362 | 0.671048 |
5/17/2018 | 0.838517 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2018 | NA | 0.611713 | 0.624446 | 0.661272 |
5/22/2018 | 0.838517 | NA | NA | NA |
5/24/2018 | NA | 0.580138 | 0.605405 | NA |
5/26/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.653677 |
5/30/2018 | 0.84763 | NA | NA | NA |
5/31/2018 | NA | NA | 0.631677 | NA |
6/1/2018 | NA | 0.554477 | NA | 0.645312 |
6/6/2018 | NA | 0.56279 | NA | NA |
6/7/2018 | 0.840081 | NA | 0.672854 | NA |
6/8/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.644381 |
6/14/2018 | NA | 0.540126 | 0.668547 | NA |
6/15/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.650099 |
6/20/2018 | NA | 0.622272 | NA | NA |
6/21/2018 | 0.828473 | NA | 0.676666 | NA |
6/22/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.643703 |
6/26/2018 | 0.830213 | NA | NA | NA |
6/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.66503 | NA |
6/29/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.660141 |
7/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.656313 |
7/10/2018 | NA | NA | 0.686751 | NA |
7/12/2018 | 0.828473 | NA | NA | NA |
7/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.649471 |
7/20/2018 | 0.848924 | 0.604533 | 0.642126 | NA |
7/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.61744 |
7/27/2018 | 0.907855 | 0.546607 | 0.56707 | NA |
7/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.641213 |
8/2/2018 | 0.900903 | NA | NA | NA |
8/3/2018 | NA | 0.553023 | 0.628725 | NA |
8/4/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.63779 |
8/10/2018 | 0.887727 | 0.580572 | 0.559992 | NA |
8/11/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.624743 |
8/16/2018 | 0.892926 | 0.593811 | NA | NA |
8/17/2018 | NA | NA | 0.484018 | 0.591408 |
8/22/2018 | 0.894172 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2018 | NA | NA | 0.465113 | 0.59403 |
8/29/2018 | NA | 0.612798 | NA | NA |
8/30/2018 | 0.894172 | NA | 0.475321 | NA |
8/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.598457 |
9/6/2018 | 0.892926 | NA | 0.472804 | NA |
9/7/2018 | NA | 0.61075 | NA | 0.594334 |
9/13/2018 | 0.894172 | NA | 0.473374 | NA |
9/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.595543 |
9/20/2018 | 0.892926 | NA | NA | NA |
9/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.598519 |
9/27/2018 | NA | 0.608661 | 0.435555 | NA |
9/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.590487 |
10/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.438253 | NA |
10/4/2018 | 0.892926 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.591258 |
10/11/2018 | NA | NA | 0.440926 | NA |
10/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.590289 |
10/18/2018 | 0.878433 | NA | NA | NA |
10/19/2018 | NA | 0.609358 | 0.472101 | NA |
10/20/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.598473 |
10/25/2018 | 0.75035 | NA | NA | NA |
10/26/2018 | NA | 0.641502 | 0.414193 | NA |
10/27/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.551647 |
11/2/2018 | 0.77963 | 0.601598 | 0.277849 | NA |
11/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.512266 |
11/8/2018 | 0.73098 | NA | NA | NA |
11/9/2018 | NA | 0.527356 | 0.255961 | 0.438326 |
11/15/2018 | 0.684358 | 0.561674 | NA | NA |
11/16/2018 | NA | NA | 0.302468 | NA |
11/17/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.471583 |
11/20/2018 | 0.683337 | NA | NA | NA |
11/23/2018 | NA | NA | 0.315455 | 0.46772 |
11/27/2018 | NA | 0.561674 | NA | NA |
11/29/2018 | 0.683337 | NA | 0.265866 | NA |
11/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.441418 |
12/6/2018 | 0.683337 | NA | NA | NA |
12/7/2018 | NA | NA | 0.272868 | 0.43577 |
12/12/2018 | 0.686405 | NA | NA | NA |
12/13/2018 | NA | NA | 0.265866 | NA |
12/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.437613 |
12/18/2018 | 0.686405 | NA | NA | NA |
12/20/2018 | NA | 0.561674 | 0.19688 | NA |
12/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.428563 |
12/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.223666 | NA |
12/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.431783 |
1/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.430976 |
1/8/2019 | 0.683337 | NA | NA | NA |
1/10/2019 | NA | NA | 0.223666 | NA |
1/11/2019 | NA | 0.552708 | NA | 0.429518 |
1/17/2019 | 0.65146 | NA | 0.212101 | NA |
1/19/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.438873 |
1/24/2019 | 0.759256 | NA | NA | NA |
1/25/2019 | NA | 0.519667 | 0.320786 | NA |
1/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.48947 |
2/1/2019 | 0.730987 | 0.515326 | 0.438755 | NA |
2/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.537788 |
2/7/2019 | 0.72235 | NA | 0.647796 | NA |
2/8/2019 | NA | 0.613248 | NA | NA |
2/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.588403 |
2/15/2019 | 0.827362 | 0.699754 | 0.696561 | NA |
2/17/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.612593 |
2/22/2019 | 0.864984 | 0.71278 | 0.731877 | NA |
2/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.634916 |
2/28/2019 | 0.863294 | NA | NA | NA |
3/1/2019 | NA | 0.700634 | 0.717423 | 0.649666 |
3/7/2019 | 0.871435 | 0.707473 | 0.732342 | NA |
3/8/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.657444 |
3/14/2019 | 0.862485 | NA | NA | NA |
3/15/2019 | NA | 0.717989 | 0.750243 | 0.649236 |
3/22/2019 | 0.855622 | 0.689073 | 0.837496 | 0.657305 |
3/28/2019 | 0.854016 | NA | 0.84111 | NA |
3/29/2019 | NA | 0.697458 | NA | 0.658783 |
4/2/2019 | NA | NA | 0.820501 | NA |
4/3/2019 | NA | 0.69966 | NA | NA |
4/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.657003 |
4/11/2019 | NA | 0.709899 | 0.81954 | NA |
4/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.660739 |
4/15/2019 | NA | 0.710879 | NA | NA |
4/18/2019 | 0.748308 | NA | 0.821168 | NA |
4/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.66056 |
4/26/2019 | 0.669906 | 0.715937 | 0.819984 | NA |
4/28/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.665867 |
5/3/2019 | 0.683044 | 0.717944 | 0.73893 | NA |
5/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.679417 |
5/10/2019 | 0.728898 | 0.73781 | 0.716603 | NA |
5/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.706075 |
5/16/2019 | 0.692889 | NA | NA | NA |
5/17/2019 | NA | 0.651858 | 0.721796 | 0.711075 |
5/22/2019 | 0.675538 | NA | NA | NA |
5/23/2019 | NA | 0.636826 | 0.694296 | NA |
5/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.70535 |
5/30/2019 | 0.653472 | 0.644145 | 0.739376 | NA |
6/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.718313 |
6/3/2019 | NA | 0.644145 | NA | NA |
6/4/2019 | 0.615741 | NA | NA | NA |
6/6/2019 | NA | NA | 0.723861 | NA |
6/7/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.721887 |
6/10/2019 | NA | 0.637011 | NA | NA |
6/11/2019 | NA | NA | 0.725097 | NA |
6/13/2019 | 0.574686 | NA | NA | NA |
6/14/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.729757 |
6/19/2019 | NA | 0.610039 | NA | NA |
6/20/2019 | NA | NA | 0.70329 | NA |
6/21/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.734208 |
6/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.68939 | NA |
6/28/2019 | 0.578331 | 0.62571 | NA | 0.737077 |
7/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.73931 |
7/10/2019 | NA | 0.62379 | NA | NA |
7/11/2019 | 0.586066 | NA | NA | NA |
7/12/2019 | NA | NA | 0.705748 | 0.740462 |
7/18/2019 | 0.596913 | NA | NA | NA |
7/19/2019 | NA | 0.627593 | 0.717422 | NA |
7/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.746283 |
7/26/2019 | 0.639288 | 0.645507 | 0.709773 | NA |
7/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.758237 |
8/2/2019 | 0.641216 | 0.651955 | 0.751195 | NA |
8/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.751629 |
8/9/2019 | 0.626632 | NA | 0.72785 | NA |
8/10/2019 | NA | 0.643526 | NA | NA |
8/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.762183 |
8/15/2019 | 0.580308 | 0.686811 | NA | NA |
8/16/2019 | NA | NA | 0.747832 | NA |
8/18/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.743669 |
8/23/2019 | 0.528701 | 0.703648 | 0.668207 | NA |
8/25/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.738694 |
8/28/2019 | NA | 0.702613 | NA | NA |
8/29/2019 | NA | NA | 0.673196 | NA |
8/30/2019 | 0.486954 | NA | NA | NA |
9/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.725612 |
9/3/2019 | 0.406069 | NA | NA | NA |
9/5/2019 | NA | 0.702613 | 0.675511 | NA |
9/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.718054 |
9/12/2019 | 0.404107 | NA | NA | NA |
9/13/2019 | NA | NA | 0.673859 | 0.721049 |
9/16/2019 | NA | NA | 0.677148 | NA |
9/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.719111 |
9/26/2019 | 0.39338 | 0.704205 | 0.679688 | NA |
9/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.720215 |
10/3/2019 | 0.398788 | NA | NA | NA |
10/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.718409 |
10/8/2019 | 0.404107 | NA | NA | NA |
10/10/2019 | NA | NA | 0.682893 | NA |
10/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.715551 |
10/17/2019 | 0.419834 | NA | 0.671408 | NA |
10/18/2019 | NA | 0.701028 | NA | NA |
10/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.711783 |
10/25/2019 | 0.391835 | 0.7129 | 0.673908 | NA |
10/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.672781 |
11/1/2019 | 0.428712 | 0.704935 | 0.661159 | NA |
11/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.633596 |
11/8/2019 | 0.466135 | 0.712034 | 0.69965 | NA |
11/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.614224 |
11/14/2019 | 0.525954 | NA | NA | NA |
11/15/2019 | NA | 0.724371 | 0.720192 | 0.651223 |
11/21/2019 | 0.582856 | 0.724371 | NA | NA |
11/22/2019 | NA | NA | 0.797748 | NA |
11/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.661927 |
11/26/2019 | 0.552618 | NA | NA | NA |
11/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.797692 | NA |
11/28/2019 | NA | 0.723428 | NA | NA |
11/29/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.68153 |
12/4/2019 | 0.714674 | NA | NA | NA |
12/5/2019 | NA | NA | 0.796631 | NA |
12/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.69115 |
12/12/2019 | 0.743989 | NA | 0.797692 | NA |
12/13/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.679184 |
12/19/2019 | 0.742622 | NA | 0.784534 | NA |
12/20/2019 | NA | 0.723428 | NA | 0.679337 |
12/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.676018 |
12/30/2019 | NA | 0.72945 | NA | NA |
1/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.677983 |
1/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.788229 | NA |
1/10/2020 | 0.737409 | NA | NA | NA |
1/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.680425 |
1/14/2020 | NA | 0.72945 | NA | NA |
1/15/2020 | NA | NA | 0.78935 | NA |
1/16/2020 | 0.810973 | NA | NA | NA |
1/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.673261 |
1/23/2020 | NA | 0.720863 | NA | NA |
1/27/2020 | 0.893593 | NA | 0.761797 | 0.691956 |
2/3/2020 | 0.811688 | 0.73158 | 0.822481 | 0.705861 |
2/10/2020 | 0.493901 | 0.635889 | 0.669756 | 0.626931 |
2/14/2020 | 0.400514 | NA | NA | NA |
2/17/2020 | NA | 0.606848 | 0.522041 | 0.4704 |
2/20/2020 | 0.325497 | NA | NA | NA |
2/24/2020 | NA | 0.571457 | 0.389568 | 0.380315 |
2/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.322051 | NA |
3/2/2020 | 0.346796 | 0.410541 | NA | 0.232627 |
3/5/2020 | NA | 0.364183 | NA | NA |
3/9/2020 | 0.337391 | NA | 0.156633 | 0.052157 |
3/13/2020 | 0.331535 | NA | NA | NA |
3/16/2020 | NA | 0.285595 | 0.045493 | -0.07466 |
3/19/2020 | 0.321407 | 0.189545 | NA | NA |
3/23/2020 | NA | NA | 0.038617 | -0.13571 |
3/26/2020 | 0.290362 | NA | NA | NA |
3/30/2020 | NA | 0.13689 | 0.022879 | -0.1635 |
4/2/2020 | 0.297629 | 0.121726 | 0.045845 | NA |
4/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.16319 |
4/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.040198 | NA |
4/10/2020 | 0.245333 | NA | NA | NA |
4/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.18199 |
4/16/2020 | 0.147842 | NA | 0.040198 | NA |
4/20/2020 | NA | 0.119553 | NA | -0.19023 |
4/24/2020 | NA | 0.055922 | NA | NA |
4/27/2020 | -0.21806 | NA | -0.17759 | -0.31871 |
5/4/2020 | -0.84448 | -0.03313 | -0.57737 | -0.62625 |
5/11/2020 | -1.32731 | -0.1119 | -0.90637 | -0.8279 |
5/15/2020 | -1.53924 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2020 | NA | -0.29685 | -1.01809 | -0.9192 |
5/21/2020 | -1.64518 | NA | -1.0467 | NA |
5/22/2020 | NA | -0.39758 | NA | NA |
5/25/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -1.02829 |
5/28/2020 | -1.66958 | NA | NA | NA |
5/29/2020 | NA | NA | -1.17151 | NA |
6/1/2020 | NA | -0.45728 | NA | -1.14581 |
6/4/2020 | -1.80129 | NA | -1.14033 | NA |
6/5/2020 | NA | -0.40574 | NA | NA |
6/8/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -1.09886 |
6/12/2020 | NA | NA | -1.0999 | NA |
6/15/2020 | -2.01889 | -0.32341 | NA | -1.04921 |
6/19/2020 | NA | NA | -1.12906 | NA |
6/22/2020 | NA | -0.24559 | NA | -1.0266 |
6/28/2020 | NA | NA | -1.16442 | NA |
6/29/2020 | -2.17551 | -0.25682 | NA | -1.03394 |
7/2/2020 | NA | NA | -1.21567 | NA |
7/3/2020 | NA | -0.22179 | NA | NA |
7/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -1.04946 |
7/10/2020 | NA | -0.21241 | -1.21915 | NA |
7/13/2020 | -2.1798 | NA | NA | -1.04053 |
7/17/2020 | -2.01337 | -0.189 | -1.19512 | NA |
7/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -1.04522 |
7/27/2020 | -1.73192 | -0.09134 | -1.10233 | -0.95179 |
8/3/2020 | -1.3195 | -0.14772 | -0.71624 | -0.65163 |
8/10/2020 | -0.86847 | -0.11908 | -0.36295 | -0.3749 |
8/13/2020 | -0.73673 | NA | NA | NA |
8/17/2020 | NA | -0.07061 | -0.28522 | -0.31617 |
8/21/2020 | -0.70547 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2020 | NA | -0.04378 | -0.24055 | -0.27575 |
8/27/2020 | -0.6984 | NA | NA | NA |
8/31/2020 | NA | 0.010787 | -0.11142 | -0.23811 |
9/3/2020 | -0.66047 | -0.00606 | NA | NA |
9/4/2020 | NA | NA | -0.11378 | NA |
9/7/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.23406 |
9/8/2020 | -0.63386 | NA | NA | NA |
9/10/2020 | NA | NA | -0.10772 | NA |
9/14/2020 | NA | -0.0744 | NA | -0.25262 |
9/16/2020 | NA | NA | -0.10428 | NA |
9/21/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.23771 |
9/24/2020 | -0.64267 | -0.07163 | NA | NA |
9/28/2020 | NA | NA | -0.04898 | -0.21991 |
9/29/2020 | NA | NA | -0.0397 | NA |
10/1/2020 | -0.59363 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.20663 |
10/12/2020 | -0.58228 | NA | -0.05561 | -0.21088 |
10/15/2020 | -0.61036 | -0.07842 | NA | NA |
10/16/2020 | NA | NA | -0.04038 | NA |
10/19/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.18625 |
10/23/2020 | NA | -0.20017 | NA | NA |
10/26/2020 | -0.69031 | NA | 0.057716 | -0.13095 |
11/2/2020 | -0.20591 | -0.17654 | 0.042342 | -0.08679 |
11/9/2020 | -0.05818 | -0.17301 | 0.080822 | -0.02602 |
11/13/2020 | -0.0259 | NA | NA | NA |
11/16/2020 | NA | -0.17405 | 0.144557 | -0.00384 |
11/23/2020 | -0.09988 | -0.10132 | 0.109 | -0.02761 |
11/24/2020 | -0.10145 | NA | NA | NA |
11/30/2020 | NA | -0.10513 | 0.068301 | -0.04139 |
12/3/2020 | NA | -0.09632 | NA | NA |
12/7/2020 | -0.07715 | NA | 0.045637 | -0.03121 |
12/10/2020 | -0.14384 | NA | 0.045278 | NA |
12/14/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.03744 |
12/18/2020 | NA | -0.09669 | NA | NA |
12/21/2020 | NA | NA | 0.052039 | -0.04473 |
12/30/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.04695 |
1/5/2021 | -0.11662 | NA | NA | NA |
1/6/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -0.04053 |
1/8/2021 | -0.18513 | NA | NA | NA |
1/12/2021 | NA | NA | 0.030436 | NA |
1/13/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -0.03493 |
1/20/2021 | -0.13471 | -0.28378 | 0.043448 | -0.04834 |
1/27/2021 | -0.13668 | -0.31875 | -0.03033 | -0.11181 |
2/3/2021 | -0.35322 | -0.63918 | -0.19464 | -0.20161 |
2/10/2021 | -0.77457 | -1.235 | -0.20327 | -0.40921 |
2/17/2021 | -0.79062 | -1.10293 | -0.24853 | -0.42296 |
2/24/2021 | -0.66059 | -0.98563 | -0.32804 | -0.26724 |
3/2/2021 | -0.73124 | NA | NA | NA |
3/3/2021 | NA | -1.16939 | -0.28854 | -0.33558 |
3/9/2021 | -0.66193 | NA | NA | NA |
3/10/2021 | NA | -1.18391 | -0.32987 | -0.37291 |
3/17/2021 | -0.64825 | -1.02466 | -0.42081 | -0.36793 |
3/18/2021 | -0.62076 | NA | NA | NA |
3/24/2021 | NA | -0.98845 | -0.47845 | -0.39214 |
3/31/2021 | -0.61091 | -0.91052 | -0.43013 | -0.3858 |
4/6/2021 | -0.66509 | NA | NA | NA |
4/7/2021 | NA | NA | -0.42625 | -0.38768 |
4/9/2021 | -0.60813 | NA | NA | NA |
4/12/2021 | NA | NA | -0.42392 | NA |
4/14/2021 | NA | -0.90481 | NA | -0.4135 |
4/20/2021 | NA | -0.9558 | NA | NA |
4/21/2021 | -0.72492 | NA | -0.52238 | -0.44572 |
4/28/2021 | -1.17839 | -1.24573 | -0.73079 | -0.6002 |
5/5/2021 | -1.44434 | -1.81482 | -1.32661 | -0.96352 |
5/12/2021 | -1.50976 | -1.94452 | -1.6123 | -1.23634 |
5/19/2021 | -1.56226 | -2.16899 | -1.66205 | -1.33663 |
5/26/2021 | -1.64995 | -2.23266 | -1.7642 | -1.54251 |
6/2/2021 | -1.71024 | -2.26053 | -1.85179 | -1.69502 |
6/3/2021 | -1.73032 | NA | NA | NA |
6/4/2021 | NA | -2.31612 | NA | NA |
6/9/2021 | NA | NA | -1.92891 | -1.85814 |
6/16/2021 | NA | -2.59022 | -1.96076 | -1.92759 |
6/21/2021 | NA | NA | -1.98929 | NA |
6/23/2021 | NA | -2.67461 | NA | -1.98551 |
6/30/2021 | -2.00723 | NA | -2.34546 | -2.13723 |
7/1/2021 | NA | NA | -2.36629 | NA |
7/2/2021 | NA | -2.86713 | NA | NA |
7/6/2021 | -1.97806 | NA | NA | NA |
7/7/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -2.15822 |
7/13/2021 | -1.99649 | -2.83535 | NA | NA |
7/14/2021 | NA | NA | -2.37885 | -2.14405 |
7/21/2021 | -1.95528 | -2.65476 | -2.3538 | -2.26035 |
7/28/2021 | -1.89719 | -2.30329 | -2.50841 | -2.45422 |
8/4/2021 | -2.1481 | -1.98803 | -2.57531 | -2.84229 |
8/11/2021 | -2.03953 | -2.7566 | -2.89888 | -3.11272 |
8/18/2021 | -2.02965 | -2.57148 | -2.9322 | -3.17387 |
8/25/2021 | -2.11742 | -2.77498 | -2.90466 | -3.20454 |
8/31/2021 | NA | -2.70884 | -3.04521 | NA |
9/1/2021 | -2.09277 | NA | NA | -3.26741 |
9/2/2021 | -2.05943 | NA | NA | NA |
9/8/2021 | NA | NA | -3.23943 | -3.33747 |
9/15/2021 | -2.07438 | NA | -3.34509 | -3.40944 |
9/21/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -3.42288 |
Note: The Industry Negative Sentiment Index is constructed by first filtering firms by S&P Industrial Classifications. The “Automobiles” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as automobiles or automobiles components firms. The “Electronics” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as electronic equipment, instruments and components firms, technology hardware, storage and peripherals firms, or communications equipment firms. The “Semiconductors” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as semiconductors and semiconductor equipment firms. The “Other Industries” aggregate consists of all other S&P Industrial Classifications. The industry series are then constructed by counting the total number of negative sentiment words found within 10 words of the main search term from quarterly firm earnings call transcripts. This sum is then divided by the total number of words within the transcript and then the 90-day moving average of this ratio is calculated. Data are then aggregated to the weekly level by taking the last moving average value for each week and finally the z-value is computed. The z-value is a measurement of the number of standard deviations that sentiment series are away from their mean value. Since the sentiment series have different means, the z-values better reflect relative changes in negative sentiment. The gray shading begins in January 2021. The series end on September 21, 2021.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 3 Industry Negative Sentiment: Ship+Container
Z-Value
Date | Semiconductors | Automobiles | Electronics | Other Industries |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/5/2018 | NA | 0.458473 | NA | 0.467439 |
1/11/2018 | NA | 0.456657 | 0.338951 | NA |
1/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.471269 |
1/18/2018 | 1.51554 | NA | 0.323939 | NA |
1/19/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.49652 |
1/25/2018 | 1.51554 | NA | 0.334428 | NA |
1/26/2018 | NA | 0.346475 | NA | 0.492822 |
2/1/2018 | 1.43686 | NA | 0.211396 | NA |
2/2/2018 | NA | 0.302296 | NA | NA |
2/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.506676 |
2/9/2018 | 0.963912 | 0.25648 | 0.132021 | NA |
2/10/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.775998 |
2/15/2018 | 1.038612 | NA | NA | NA |
2/16/2018 | NA | 0.290441 | 0.849536 | 0.734189 |
2/22/2018 | NA | 0.34219 | 0.846743 | NA |
2/23/2018 | 0.988893 | NA | NA | 0.60291 |
3/1/2018 | 1.018425 | NA | NA | NA |
3/2/2018 | NA | 0.537126 | 0.791822 | 0.669756 |
3/8/2018 | 1.023028 | 0.540178 | NA | NA |
3/9/2018 | NA | NA | 0.853245 | 0.725613 |
3/15/2018 | 1.040618 | NA | 0.86534 | NA |
3/16/2018 | NA | 0.548069 | NA | 0.744818 |
3/22/2018 | 1.04895 | 0.551786 | 0.867883 | NA |
3/23/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.739747 |
3/28/2018 | 1.056994 | 0.553162 | NA | NA |
3/29/2018 | NA | NA | 0.878729 | NA |
3/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.739048 |
4/2/2018 | NA | 0.553828 | NA | NA |
4/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.83169 | NA |
4/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.742223 |
4/12/2018 | NA | 0.554481 | 0.830327 | NA |
4/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.720468 |
4/20/2018 | 1.075942 | 0.55696 | 0.729549 | NA |
4/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.731847 |
4/27/2018 | 0.909879 | 0.61646 | 0.455275 | 0.729877 |
5/3/2018 | 0.745133 | NA | NA | NA |
5/4/2018 | NA | 0.591875 | 0.515781 | 0.703482 |
5/11/2018 | 0.907555 | 0.592835 | 0.595208 | 0.739867 |
5/17/2018 | 0.835277 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2018 | NA | 0.592649 | 0.545976 | 0.77146 |
5/22/2018 | 0.835277 | NA | NA | NA |
5/24/2018 | NA | 0.592073 | 0.499246 | NA |
5/26/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.857283 |
5/30/2018 | 0.844857 | NA | NA | NA |
5/31/2018 | NA | NA | 0.426565 | NA |
6/1/2018 | NA | 0.58946 | NA | 0.825694 |
6/6/2018 | NA | 0.589217 | NA | NA |
6/7/2018 | 0.818862 | NA | 0.407559 | NA |
6/8/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.792083 |
6/14/2018 | NA | 0.586813 | 0.375169 | NA |
6/15/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.760315 |
6/20/2018 | NA | 0.585603 | NA | NA |
6/21/2018 | 0.778888 | NA | 0.368337 | NA |
6/22/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.767588 |
6/26/2018 | 0.784877 | NA | NA | NA |
6/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.343406 | NA |
6/29/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.773206 |
7/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.762928 |
7/10/2018 | NA | NA | 0.384111 | NA |
7/12/2018 | 0.778888 | NA | NA | NA |
7/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.792364 |
7/20/2018 | 0.7728 | 0.58359 | 0.509523 | NA |
7/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.790113 |
7/27/2018 | 1.056412 | 0.562206 | 0.736871 | NA |
7/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.719517 |
8/2/2018 | 0.790818 | NA | NA | NA |
8/3/2018 | NA | 0.555954 | 0.296415 | NA |
8/4/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.665964 |
8/10/2018 | 0.706968 | 0.422267 | 0.210818 | NA |
8/11/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.591488 |
8/16/2018 | 0.734147 | 0.416872 | NA | NA |
8/17/2018 | NA | NA | -0.27664 | 0.510853 |
8/22/2018 | 0.740658 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2018 | NA | NA | -0.2132 | 0.524763 |
8/29/2018 | NA | 0.405132 | NA | NA |
8/30/2018 | 0.740658 | NA | -0.14929 | NA |
8/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.472387 |
9/6/2018 | 0.734147 | NA | -0.10049 | NA |
9/7/2018 | NA | 0.40304 | NA | 0.421311 |
9/13/2018 | 0.740658 | NA | -0.10608 | NA |
9/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.441018 |
9/20/2018 | 0.734147 | NA | NA | NA |
9/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.426925 |
9/27/2018 | NA | 0.400905 | -0.10608 | NA |
9/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.430148 |
10/3/2018 | NA | NA | -0.10049 | NA |
10/4/2018 | 0.734147 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.432704 |
10/11/2018 | NA | NA | -0.09495 | NA |
10/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.426478 |
10/18/2018 | 0.319648 | NA | NA | NA |
10/19/2018 | NA | 0.40304 | -0.12315 | NA |
10/20/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.390937 |
10/25/2018 | 0.014295 | NA | NA | NA |
10/26/2018 | NA | 0.405446 | -0.13661 | NA |
10/27/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.390339 |
11/2/2018 | 0.495862 | 0.313788 | 0.112687 | NA |
11/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.317531 |
11/8/2018 | 0.344108 | NA | NA | NA |
11/9/2018 | NA | 0.476754 | 0.114931 | 0.355582 |
11/15/2018 | 0.323375 | 0.476754 | NA | NA |
11/16/2018 | NA | NA | 0.311482 | NA |
11/17/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.417426 |
11/20/2018 | 0.354207 | NA | NA | NA |
11/23/2018 | NA | NA | 0.296585 | 0.410969 |
11/27/2018 | NA | 0.476754 | NA | NA |
11/29/2018 | 0.354207 | NA | 0.28893 | NA |
11/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.470337 |
12/6/2018 | 0.354207 | NA | NA | NA |
12/7/2018 | NA | NA | 0.296585 | 0.529614 |
12/12/2018 | 0.364133 | NA | NA | NA |
12/13/2018 | NA | NA | 0.28893 | NA |
12/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.521864 |
12/18/2018 | 0.364133 | NA | NA | NA |
12/20/2018 | NA | 0.476754 | 0.300361 | NA |
12/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.530441 |
12/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.28893 | NA |
12/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.520466 |
1/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.523325 |
1/8/2019 | 0.354207 | NA | NA | NA |
1/10/2019 | NA | NA | 0.28893 | NA |
1/11/2019 | NA | 0.445796 | NA | 0.522794 |
1/17/2019 | 0.73178 | NA | 0.269156 | NA |
1/19/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.539856 |
1/24/2019 | 0.80957 | NA | NA | NA |
1/25/2019 | NA | 0.38735 | 0.311771 | NA |
1/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.606106 |
2/1/2019 | 0.785128 | 0.564435 | 0.330817 | NA |
2/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.772665 |
2/7/2019 | 1.032509 | NA | 0.528937 | NA |
2/8/2019 | NA | 0.550345 | NA | NA |
2/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.690838 |
2/15/2019 | 1.115611 | 0.565274 | 0.861555 | NA |
2/17/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.572308 |
2/22/2019 | 0.993348 | 0.573574 | 0.892539 | NA |
2/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.56193 |
2/28/2019 | 0.988375 | NA | NA | NA |
3/1/2019 | NA | 0.577758 | 0.869063 | 0.555746 |
3/7/2019 | 1.012337 | 0.539103 | 0.695478 | NA |
3/8/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.567397 |
3/14/2019 | 1.038364 | NA | NA | NA |
3/15/2019 | NA | 0.546355 | 0.727096 | 0.568353 |
3/22/2019 | 1.05427 | 0.524863 | 0.736621 | 0.583833 |
3/28/2019 | 1.065521 | NA | 0.743919 | NA |
3/29/2019 | NA | 0.530745 | NA | 0.603361 |
4/2/2019 | NA | NA | 0.754362 | NA |
4/3/2019 | NA | 0.532289 | NA | NA |
4/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.575428 |
4/11/2019 | NA | 0.56088 | 0.670821 | NA |
4/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.56995 |
4/15/2019 | NA | 0.561376 | NA | NA |
4/18/2019 | 1.065521 | NA | 0.686912 | NA |
4/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.560635 |
4/26/2019 | 1.111508 | 0.567497 | 0.709011 | NA |
4/28/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.597343 |
5/3/2019 | 1.131978 | 0.541966 | 0.659253 | NA |
5/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.601054 |
5/10/2019 | 1.217375 | 0.548599 | 0.373355 | NA |
5/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.539783 |
5/16/2019 | 1.183126 | NA | NA | NA |
5/17/2019 | NA | 0.544666 | 0.441837 | 0.580757 |
5/22/2019 | 1.234478 | NA | NA | NA |
5/23/2019 | NA | 0.541966 | 0.382252 | NA |
5/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.585561 |
5/30/2019 | 1.076551 | 0.539057 | 0.310988 | NA |
6/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.566135 |
6/3/2019 | NA | 0.539057 | NA | NA |
6/4/2019 | 0.973316 | NA | NA | NA |
6/6/2019 | NA | NA | 0.423229 | NA |
6/7/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.567567 |
6/10/2019 | NA | 0.509467 | NA | NA |
6/11/2019 | NA | NA | 0.426063 | NA |
6/13/2019 | 0.928872 | NA | NA | NA |
6/14/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.56336 |
6/19/2019 | NA | 0.474568 | NA | NA |
6/20/2019 | NA | NA | 0.371253 | NA |
6/21/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.499369 |
6/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.357882 | NA |
6/28/2019 | 0.811893 | 0.444594 | NA | 0.481909 |
7/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.51142 |
7/10/2019 | NA | 0.442893 | NA | NA |
7/11/2019 | 0.82362 | NA | NA | NA |
7/12/2019 | NA | NA | 0.418003 | 0.520134 |
7/18/2019 | 0.82362 | NA | NA | NA |
7/19/2019 | NA | 0.446263 | 0.430655 | NA |
7/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.542687 |
7/26/2019 | 0.232298 | 0.437659 | 0.36232 | NA |
7/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.525496 |
8/2/2019 | -0.91628 | 0.470854 | 0.460771 | NA |
8/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.502767 |
8/9/2019 | -1.89294 | NA | 0.635418 | NA |
8/10/2019 | NA | 0.467056 | NA | NA |
8/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.542186 |
8/15/2019 | -1.74851 | 0.46961 | NA | NA |
8/16/2019 | NA | NA | 0.606068 | NA |
8/18/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.62407 |
8/23/2019 | -1.69411 | 0.464412 | 0.623181 | NA |
8/25/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.632033 |
8/28/2019 | NA | 0.463054 | NA | NA |
8/29/2019 | NA | NA | 0.709689 | NA |
8/30/2019 | -1.44157 | NA | NA | NA |
9/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.677239 |
9/3/2019 | -1.33258 | NA | NA | NA |
9/5/2019 | NA | 0.463054 | 0.70584 | NA |
9/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.652687 |
9/12/2019 | -1.33258 | NA | NA | NA |
9/13/2019 | NA | NA | 0.703889 | 0.639062 |
9/16/2019 | NA | NA | 0.707773 | NA |
9/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.695887 |
9/26/2019 | -1.37603 | 0.545707 | 0.707773 | NA |
9/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.699493 |
10/3/2019 | -1.35193 | NA | NA | NA |
10/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.693254 |
10/8/2019 | -1.32824 | NA | NA | NA |
10/10/2019 | NA | NA | 0.645835 | NA |
10/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.679518 |
10/17/2019 | -1.70723 | NA | 0.629993 | NA |
10/18/2019 | NA | 0.585365 | NA | NA |
10/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.66344 |
10/25/2019 | -1.57129 | 0.61646 | 0.694752 | NA |
10/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.5823 |
11/1/2019 | -0.66937 | 0.61646 | 0.446959 | NA |
11/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.484663 |
11/8/2019 | 0.002354 | 0.61646 | 0.255171 | NA |
11/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.51818 |
11/14/2019 | -0.13859 | NA | NA | NA |
11/15/2019 | NA | 0.61646 | 0.322475 | 0.421249 |
11/21/2019 | -0.15284 | 0.61646 | NA | NA |
11/22/2019 | NA | NA | 0.293965 | NA |
11/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.433745 |
11/26/2019 | -0.13859 | NA | NA | NA |
11/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.30154 | NA |
11/28/2019 | NA | 0.61646 | NA | NA |
11/29/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.424403 |
12/4/2019 | -0.18211 | NA | NA | NA |
12/5/2019 | NA | NA | 0.29777 | NA |
12/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.456653 |
12/12/2019 | -0.16735 | NA | 0.30154 | NA |
12/13/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.482428 |
12/19/2019 | -0.13859 | NA | 0.305275 | NA |
12/20/2019 | NA | 0.61646 | NA | 0.45378 |
12/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.442141 |
12/30/2019 | NA | 0.61646 | NA | NA |
1/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.446406 |
1/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.286912 | NA |
1/10/2020 | -0.0723 | NA | NA | NA |
1/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.451277 |
1/14/2020 | NA | 0.61646 | NA | NA |
1/15/2020 | NA | NA | 0.290802 | NA |
1/16/2020 | 0.237065 | NA | NA | NA |
1/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.45196 |
1/23/2020 | NA | 0.61646 | NA | NA |
1/27/2020 | 0.419399 | NA | 0.195898 | 0.518562 |
2/3/2020 | -0.33087 | 0.61646 | 0.415918 | 0.570678 |
2/10/2020 | 0.1242 | 0.61646 | 0.756087 | 0.587368 |
2/14/2020 | -0.42589 | NA | NA | NA |
2/17/2020 | NA | 0.61646 | 0.6481 | 0.454754 |
2/20/2020 | -0.40016 | NA | NA | NA |
2/24/2020 | NA | 0.550417 | 0.73095 | 0.421665 |
2/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.67161 | NA |
3/2/2020 | -0.31147 | 0.339967 | NA | 0.432442 |
3/5/2020 | NA | 0.27645 | NA | NA |
3/9/2020 | -0.23063 | NA | 0.677521 | 0.301454 |
3/13/2020 | -0.21778 | NA | NA | NA |
3/16/2020 | NA | 0.20757 | 0.606057 | 0.27215 |
3/19/2020 | -0.421 | 0.114154 | NA | NA |
3/23/2020 | NA | NA | 0.561409 | 0.281486 |
3/26/2020 | -0.33093 | NA | NA | NA |
3/30/2020 | NA | 0.131475 | 0.52819 | 0.21777 |
4/2/2020 | -0.30274 | 0.143702 | 0.54307 | NA |
4/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.218204 |
4/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.511505 | NA |
4/10/2020 | -0.41198 | NA | NA | NA |
4/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.220399 |
4/16/2020 | -0.58061 | NA | 0.511505 | NA |
4/20/2020 | NA | 0.151516 | NA | 0.207527 |
4/24/2020 | NA | 0.173482 | NA | NA |
4/27/2020 | -0.44134 | NA | 0.229961 | 0.05316 |
5/4/2020 | -0.76339 | 0.159076 | -0.01693 | -0.02561 |
5/11/2020 | -1.5042 | 0.134582 | -0.07641 | -0.09346 |
5/15/2020 | -1.62064 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2020 | NA | 0.111076 | -0.1269 | -0.07762 |
5/21/2020 | -1.71423 | NA | -0.22753 | NA |
5/22/2020 | NA | 0.14247 | NA | NA |
5/25/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.17014 |
5/28/2020 | -1.91848 | NA | NA | NA |
5/29/2020 | NA | NA | -0.26631 | NA |
6/1/2020 | NA | 0.288559 | NA | -0.31956 |
6/4/2020 | -2.05933 | NA | -0.3131 | NA |
6/5/2020 | NA | 0.356629 | NA | NA |
6/8/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.27472 |
6/12/2020 | NA | NA | -0.28518 | NA |
6/15/2020 | -2.26556 | 0.439544 | NA | -0.31024 |
6/19/2020 | NA | NA | -0.48847 | NA |
6/22/2020 | NA | 0.560232 | NA | -0.29944 |
6/28/2020 | NA | NA | -0.48794 | NA |
6/29/2020 | -2.32028 | 0.526702 | NA | -0.24768 |
7/2/2020 | NA | NA | -0.60349 | NA |
7/3/2020 | NA | 0.526702 | NA | NA |
7/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.27925 |
7/10/2020 | NA | 0.52751 | -0.51844 | NA |
7/13/2020 | -2.23512 | NA | NA | -0.27177 |
7/17/2020 | -2.02167 | 0.529085 | -0.46394 | NA |
7/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.2219 |
7/27/2020 | -2.1122 | 0.532787 | -0.20933 | -0.05606 |
8/3/2020 | -1.00167 | 0.542224 | 0.168177 | 0.130146 |
8/10/2020 | 0.090024 | 0.587273 | 0.282017 | 0.353174 |
8/13/2020 | 0.610633 | NA | NA | NA |
8/17/2020 | NA | 0.589272 | 0.362694 | 0.365903 |
8/21/2020 | 0.617758 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2020 | NA | 0.590172 | 0.383406 | 0.34499 |
8/27/2020 | 0.779055 | NA | NA | NA |
8/31/2020 | NA | 0.589457 | 0.399243 | 0.392909 |
9/3/2020 | 0.829884 | 0.588894 | NA | NA |
9/4/2020 | NA | NA | 0.396324 | NA |
9/7/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.39828 |
9/8/2020 | 0.840597 | NA | NA | NA |
9/10/2020 | NA | NA | 0.396324 | NA |
9/14/2020 | NA | 0.587696 | NA | 0.40918 |
9/16/2020 | NA | NA | 0.384405 | NA |
9/21/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.407206 |
9/24/2020 | 0.840597 | 0.586159 | NA | NA |
9/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.655068 | 0.418076 |
9/29/2020 | NA | NA | 0.734157 | NA |
10/1/2020 | 0.887021 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.453455 |
10/12/2020 | 0.877123 | NA | 0.732529 | 0.449577 |
10/15/2020 | 0.851281 | 0.61646 | NA | NA |
10/16/2020 | NA | NA | 0.718993 | NA |
10/19/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.424148 |
10/23/2020 | NA | 0.591042 | NA | NA |
10/26/2020 | 0.728993 | NA | 0.635711 | 0.372613 |
11/2/2020 | 0.824832 | 0.433655 | 0.479488 | 0.309623 |
11/9/2020 | 0.495628 | 0.413154 | 0.500331 | 0.181089 |
11/13/2020 | 0.398859 | NA | NA | NA |
11/16/2020 | NA | 0.187394 | 0.444968 | 0.059003 |
11/23/2020 | 0.424628 | -0.00209 | 0.474385 | 0.079783 |
11/24/2020 | 0.432956 | NA | NA | NA |
11/30/2020 | NA | -0.01399 | 0.431061 | 0.094711 |
12/3/2020 | NA | -0.00798 | NA | NA |
12/7/2020 | 0.451132 | NA | 0.442795 | 0.108495 |
12/10/2020 | 0.451132 | NA | 0.431061 | NA |
12/14/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.072826 |
12/18/2020 | NA | -0.00798 | NA | NA |
12/21/2020 | NA | NA | 0.439899 | 0.057173 |
12/30/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.036789 |
1/5/2021 | 0.425587 | NA | NA | NA |
1/6/2021 | NA | NA | NA | 0.033531 |
1/8/2021 | 0.451132 | NA | NA | NA |
1/12/2021 | NA | NA | 0.415812 | NA |
1/13/2021 | NA | NA | NA | 0.011146 |
1/20/2021 | 0.576945 | -0.03271 | 0.417013 | -0.02561 |
1/27/2021 | 0.67266 | -0.16297 | 0.291033 | -0.21759 |
2/3/2021 | 0.188416 | -0.44624 | -0.08143 | -0.87654 |
2/10/2021 | -0.00784 | -1.59794 | -0.06743 | -1.93395 |
2/17/2021 | -0.46689 | -2.65987 | -0.72107 | -2.45932 |
2/24/2021 | -0.44745 | -2.49923 | -0.63007 | -2.1124 |
3/2/2021 | -0.3703 | NA | NA | NA |
3/3/2021 | NA | -2.20731 | -0.98057 | -2.02315 |
3/9/2021 | -0.30582 | NA | NA | NA |
3/10/2021 | NA | -2.08688 | -0.88396 | -2.06603 |
3/17/2021 | -0.24561 | -1.86815 | -0.74651 | -1.93012 |
3/18/2021 | -0.32293 | NA | NA | NA |
3/24/2021 | NA | -1.81983 | -0.68807 | -1.97858 |
3/31/2021 | -0.25111 | -1.66757 | -0.6996 | -1.89171 |
4/6/2021 | -0.51811 | NA | NA | NA |
4/7/2021 | NA | NA | -0.65459 | -1.89459 |
4/9/2021 | -0.51811 | NA | NA | NA |
4/12/2021 | NA | NA | -0.66194 | NA |
4/14/2021 | NA | -1.64986 | NA | -1.98616 |
4/20/2021 | NA | -1.65671 | NA | NA |
4/21/2021 | -0.53628 | NA | -0.6566 | -1.96426 |
4/28/2021 | -0.59015 | -1.71417 | -0.93294 | -1.91054 |
5/5/2021 | -1.05035 | -1.77901 | -0.7363 | -1.70233 |
5/12/2021 | -0.89234 | -1.63513 | -1.65541 | -1.64637 |
5/19/2021 | -0.53139 | -1.74406 | -1.31309 | -1.41397 |
5/26/2021 | -0.59917 | -1.51087 | -1.48394 | -1.60101 |
6/2/2021 | -0.64253 | -1.84604 | -1.3652 | -1.6381 |
6/3/2021 | -0.64253 | NA | NA | NA |
6/4/2021 | NA | -1.89996 | NA | NA |
6/9/2021 | NA | NA | -1.91021 | -1.71508 |
6/16/2021 | NA | -1.98189 | -2.06232 | -1.77672 |
6/21/2021 | NA | NA | -2.193 | NA |
6/23/2021 | NA | -2.04487 | NA | -1.78758 |
6/30/2021 | -1.20579 | NA | -2.35134 | -1.94625 |
7/1/2021 | NA | NA | -2.38041 | NA |
7/2/2021 | NA | -2.20686 | NA | NA |
7/6/2021 | -0.93789 | NA | NA | NA |
7/7/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -2.00144 |
7/13/2021 | -0.95768 | -2.18253 | NA | NA |
7/14/2021 | NA | NA | -2.53423 | -1.99219 |
7/21/2021 | -0.90868 | -2.23742 | -2.57678 | -2.08373 |
7/28/2021 | -1.88159 | -2.30667 | -2.86436 | -2.24675 |
8/4/2021 | -1.15092 | -2.03424 | -4.1155 | -2.25959 |
8/11/2021 | -1.40548 | -2.69579 | -3.69382 | -2.49461 |
8/18/2021 | -1.5918 | -2.73535 | -3.63501 | -2.75034 |
8/25/2021 | -1.83958 | -2.92981 | -3.42232 | -2.83428 |
8/31/2021 | NA | -2.90086 | -3.36543 | NA |
9/1/2021 | -1.81416 | NA | NA | -2.8099 |
9/2/2021 | -1.81416 | NA | NA | NA |
9/8/2021 | NA | NA | -2.86123 | -2.76129 |
9/15/2021 | -2.11977 | NA | -2.81183 | -2.78244 |
9/21/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -2.71407 |
Note: The Industry Negative Sentiment Index is constructed by first filtering firms by S&P Industrial Classifications. The “Automobiles” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as automobiles or automobiles components firms. The “Electronics” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as electronic equipment, instruments and components firms, technology hardware, storage and peripherals firms, or communications equipment firms. The “Semiconductors” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as semiconductors and semiconductor equipment firms. The “Other Industries” aggregate consists of all other S&P Industrial Classifications. The industry series are then constructed by counting the total number of negative sentiment words found within 10 words of the main search term from quarterly firm earnings call transcripts. This sum is then divided by the total number of words within the transcript and then the 90-day moving average of this ratio is calculated. Data are then aggregated to the weekly level by taking the last moving average value for each week and finally the z-value is computed. The z-value is a measurement of the number of standard deviations that sentiment series are away from their mean value. Since the sentiment series have different means, the z-values better reflect relative changes in negative sentiment. The gray shading begins in January 2021. The series end on September 21, 2021.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 3 Industry Negative Sentiment: Chip
Z-Value
Date | Semiconductors | Automobiles | Electronics | Other Industries |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/5/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.468782 |
1/11/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.556579 | NA |
1/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.470433 |
1/18/2018 | 0.897906 | NA | 0.567141 | NA |
1/19/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.469116 |
1/25/2018 | 0.968066 | NA | 0.585785 | NA |
1/26/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.484404 |
2/1/2018 | 0.93856 | NA | 0.511368 | NA |
2/2/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
2/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.442497 |
2/9/2018 | 0.983316 | 0.443366 | 0.489102 | NA |
2/10/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.438494 |
2/15/2018 | 0.848346 | NA | NA | NA |
2/16/2018 | NA | 0.433245 | 0.493174 | 0.43135 |
2/22/2018 | NA | 0.434852 | 0.506724 | NA |
2/23/2018 | 0.866284 | NA | NA | 0.434069 |
3/1/2018 | 0.885597 | NA | NA | NA |
3/2/2018 | NA | 0.436214 | 0.518756 | 0.450924 |
3/8/2018 | 0.888607 | 0.436489 | NA | NA |
3/9/2018 | NA | NA | 0.517005 | 0.452254 |
3/15/2018 | 0.90011 | NA | 0.522773 | NA |
3/16/2018 | NA | 0.4372 | NA | 0.45723 |
3/22/2018 | 0.905559 | 0.437536 | 0.523986 | NA |
3/23/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.460296 |
3/28/2018 | 0.910819 | 0.43766 | NA | NA |
3/29/2018 | NA | NA | 0.529159 | NA |
3/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.455825 |
4/2/2018 | NA | 0.43772 | NA | NA |
4/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.530787 | NA |
4/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.456718 |
4/12/2018 | NA | 0.437778 | 0.53025 | NA |
4/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.455391 |
4/20/2018 | 0.913755 | 0.438002 | 0.519281 | NA |
4/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.459534 |
4/27/2018 | 0.889809 | 0.438781 | 0.491688 | 0.430277 |
5/3/2018 | 0.82999 | NA | NA | NA |
5/4/2018 | NA | 0.439005 | 0.494066 | 0.452119 |
5/11/2018 | 0.679839 | 0.439175 | 0.504601 | 0.461562 |
5/17/2018 | 0.758534 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.50513 | 0.465872 |
5/22/2018 | 0.758534 | NA | NA | NA |
5/24/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.49328 | NA |
5/26/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.466925 |
5/30/2018 | 0.728166 | NA | NA | NA |
5/31/2018 | NA | NA | 0.484418 | NA |
6/1/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.460119 |
6/6/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
6/7/2018 | 0.660371 | NA | 0.487751 | NA |
6/8/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.459698 |
6/14/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.480597 | NA |
6/15/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.455687 |
6/20/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
6/21/2018 | 0.628795 | NA | 0.479088 | NA |
6/22/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.452699 |
6/26/2018 | 0.633526 | NA | NA | NA |
6/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.473582 | NA |
6/29/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.458143 |
7/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.457214 |
7/10/2018 | NA | NA | 0.471109 | NA |
7/12/2018 | 0.628795 | NA | NA | NA |
7/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.457427 |
7/20/2018 | 0.587967 | 0.443366 | 0.488527 | NA |
7/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.462079 |
7/27/2018 | 0.534494 | 0.443366 | 0.450349 | NA |
7/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.464941 |
8/2/2018 | 0.641395 | NA | NA | NA |
8/3/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.410467 | NA |
8/4/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.437301 |
8/10/2018 | 0.559142 | 0.443366 | 0.393717 | NA |
8/11/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.425572 |
8/16/2018 | 0.562229 | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
8/17/2018 | NA | NA | 0.393717 | 0.427193 |
8/22/2018 | 0.567633 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2018 | NA | NA | 0.403346 | 0.426156 |
8/29/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
8/30/2018 | 0.550967 | NA | 0.407735 | NA |
8/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.420353 |
9/6/2018 | 0.59864 | NA | 0.406653 | NA |
9/7/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.407936 |
9/13/2018 | 0.603741 | NA | 0.405561 | NA |
9/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.408711 |
9/20/2018 | 0.59864 | NA | NA | NA |
9/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.408942 |
9/27/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.405561 | NA |
9/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.408942 |
10/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.406653 | NA |
10/4/2018 | 0.585207 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.409223 |
10/11/2018 | NA | NA | 0.404149 | NA |
10/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.408861 |
10/18/2018 | 0.611478 | NA | NA | NA |
10/19/2018 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.346284 | NA |
10/20/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.385108 |
10/25/2018 | 0.604708 | NA | NA | NA |
10/26/2018 | NA | 0.434334 | 0.335372 | NA |
10/27/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.390555 |
11/2/2018 | 0.556193 | 0.434809 | 0.400605 | NA |
11/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.383136 |
11/8/2018 | 0.723839 | NA | NA | NA |
11/9/2018 | NA | 0.434985 | 0.437028 | 0.401508 |
11/15/2018 | 0.702552 | 0.434985 | NA | NA |
11/16/2018 | NA | NA | 0.405044 | NA |
11/17/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.39026 |
11/20/2018 | 0.715694 | NA | NA | NA |
11/23/2018 | NA | NA | 0.400625 | 0.389223 |
11/27/2018 | NA | 0.434985 | NA | NA |
11/29/2018 | 0.702003 | NA | 0.398355 | NA |
11/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.394186 |
12/6/2018 | 0.702003 | NA | NA | NA |
12/7/2018 | NA | NA | 0.400625 | 0.407597 |
12/12/2018 | 0.706351 | NA | NA | NA |
12/13/2018 | NA | NA | 0.398355 | NA |
12/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.407012 |
12/18/2018 | 0.706351 | NA | NA | NA |
12/20/2018 | NA | 0.434985 | 0.401745 | NA |
12/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.406928 |
12/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.398355 | NA |
12/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.39764 |
1/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.397036 |
1/8/2019 | 0.715784 | NA | NA | NA |
1/10/2019 | NA | NA | 0.402024 | NA |
1/11/2019 | NA | 0.435071 | NA | 0.398131 |
1/17/2019 | 0.708624 | NA | 0.445064 | NA |
1/19/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.413934 |
1/24/2019 | 0.616161 | NA | NA | NA |
1/25/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.516682 | NA |
1/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.43882 |
2/1/2019 | 0.441656 | 0.443366 | 0.539637 | NA |
2/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.4341 |
2/7/2019 | 0.31165 | NA | 0.417824 | NA |
2/8/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
2/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.389596 |
2/15/2019 | 0.019749 | 0.443366 | 0.43994 | NA |
2/17/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.39168 |
2/22/2019 | 0.037023 | 0.443366 | 0.346128 | NA |
2/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.361922 |
2/28/2019 | 0.060017 | NA | NA | NA |
3/1/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.347548 | 0.388224 |
3/7/2019 | 0.11232 | 0.443366 | 0.361828 | NA |
3/8/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.395994 |
3/14/2019 | 0.111057 | NA | NA | NA |
3/15/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.367007 | 0.402076 |
3/22/2019 | 0.147712 | 0.443366 | 0.358247 | 0.403386 |
3/28/2019 | 0.151847 | NA | 0.363674 | NA |
3/29/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.414376 |
4/2/2019 | NA | NA | 0.37144 | NA |
4/3/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
4/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.416416 |
4/11/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.362589 | NA |
4/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.408948 |
4/15/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
4/18/2019 | -0.0114 | NA | 0.344403 | NA |
4/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.40518 |
4/26/2019 | 0.141706 | 0.443366 | 0.342167 | NA |
4/28/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.401406 |
5/3/2019 | 0.265028 | 0.443366 | 0.306975 | NA |
5/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.383217 |
5/10/2019 | 0.307333 | 0.443366 | 0.374586 | NA |
5/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.403587 |
5/16/2019 | 0.462919 | NA | NA | NA |
5/17/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.380757 | 0.405583 |
5/22/2019 | 0.430555 | NA | NA | NA |
5/23/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.44212 | NA |
5/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.414359 |
5/30/2019 | 0.450153 | 0.443366 | 0.411854 | NA |
6/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.388326 |
6/3/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
6/4/2019 | 0.429727 | NA | NA | NA |
6/6/2019 | NA | NA | 0.403293 | NA |
6/7/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.380322 |
6/10/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
6/11/2019 | NA | NA | 0.404275 | NA |
6/13/2019 | 0.420932 | NA | NA | NA |
6/14/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.373762 |
6/19/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
6/20/2019 | NA | NA | 0.413345 | NA |
6/21/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.371354 |
6/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.409211 | NA |
6/28/2019 | 0.416875 | 0.443366 | NA | 0.367806 |
7/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.365082 |
7/10/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
7/11/2019 | 0.430105 | NA | NA | NA |
7/12/2019 | NA | NA | 0.410245 | 0.374398 |
7/18/2019 | 0.578788 | NA | NA | NA |
7/19/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.447421 | NA |
7/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.354677 |
7/26/2019 | 0.141683 | 0.443366 | 0.460121 | NA |
7/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.333241 |
8/2/2019 | 0.26214 | 0.443366 | 0.411509 | NA |
8/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.322163 |
8/9/2019 | 0.023968 | NA | 0.397895 | NA |
8/10/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
8/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.290549 |
8/15/2019 | 0.119341 | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
8/16/2019 | NA | NA | 0.406952 | NA |
8/18/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.303058 |
8/23/2019 | 0.085114 | 0.443366 | 0.391219 | NA |
8/25/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.312887 |
8/28/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
8/29/2019 | NA | NA | 0.433558 | NA |
8/30/2019 | 0.066773 | NA | NA | NA |
9/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.335899 |
9/3/2019 | 0.08277 | NA | NA | NA |
9/5/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.431583 | NA |
9/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.337458 |
9/12/2019 | 0.061562 | NA | NA | NA |
9/13/2019 | NA | NA | 0.430582 | 0.335929 |
9/16/2019 | NA | NA | 0.432575 | NA |
9/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.336441 |
9/26/2019 | 0.042249 | 0.443366 | 0.432575 | NA |
9/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.336587 |
10/3/2019 | 0.051986 | NA | NA | NA |
10/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.337241 |
10/8/2019 | 0.061562 | NA | NA | NA |
10/10/2019 | NA | NA | 0.429919 | NA |
10/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.334206 |
10/17/2019 | 0.044177 | NA | 0.390857 | NA |
10/18/2019 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
10/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.339632 |
10/25/2019 | 0.390047 | 0.438951 | 0.257781 | NA |
10/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.323005 |
11/1/2019 | 0.174705 | 0.438859 | 0.373367 | NA |
11/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.332192 |
11/8/2019 | 0.420666 | 0.438951 | 0.384425 | NA |
11/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.362188 |
11/14/2019 | 0.360998 | NA | NA | NA |
11/15/2019 | NA | 0.439124 | 0.369603 | 0.354348 |
11/21/2019 | 0.443523 | 0.439124 | NA | NA |
11/22/2019 | NA | NA | 0.378341 | NA |
11/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.358089 |
11/26/2019 | 0.45008 | NA | NA | NA |
11/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.380784 | NA |
11/28/2019 | NA | 0.439082 | NA | NA |
11/29/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.351956 |
12/4/2019 | 0.459404 | NA | NA | NA |
12/5/2019 | NA | NA | 0.369968 | NA |
12/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.351472 |
12/12/2019 | 0.369872 | NA | 0.371227 | NA |
12/13/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.353869 |
12/19/2019 | 0.384245 | NA | 0.372476 | NA |
12/20/2019 | NA | 0.439082 | NA | 0.353425 |
12/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.351067 |
12/30/2019 | NA | 0.439039 | NA | NA |
1/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.350001 |
1/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.369509 | NA |
1/10/2020 | 0.369872 | NA | NA | NA |
1/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.351924 |
1/14/2020 | NA | 0.439039 | NA | NA |
1/15/2020 | NA | NA | 0.370794 | NA |
1/16/2020 | 0.329997 | NA | NA | NA |
1/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.367159 |
1/23/2020 | NA | 0.438153 | NA | NA |
1/27/2020 | 0.359964 | NA | 0.516687 | 0.409604 |
2/3/2020 | 0.102407 | 0.443366 | 0.524683 | 0.452002 |
2/10/2020 | 0.216046 | 0.443366 | 0.531291 | 0.431815 |
2/14/2020 | 0.309913 | NA | NA | NA |
2/17/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.556876 | 0.427599 |
2/20/2020 | 0.361682 | NA | NA | NA |
2/24/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.538263 | 0.426732 |
2/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.533328 | NA |
3/2/2020 | 0.282592 | 0.443366 | NA | 0.437058 |
3/5/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
3/9/2020 | 0.259233 | NA | 0.544741 | 0.43434 |
3/13/2020 | 0.373227 | NA | NA | NA |
3/16/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.553553 | 0.43524 |
3/19/2020 | 0.373227 | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
3/23/2020 | NA | NA | 0.511816 | 0.427135 |
3/26/2020 | 0.412179 | NA | NA | NA |
3/30/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.512029 | 0.43071 |
4/2/2020 | 0.42437 | 0.443366 | 0.48699 | NA |
4/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.423782 |
4/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.487649 | NA |
4/10/2020 | 0.410004 | NA | NA | NA |
4/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.421147 |
4/16/2020 | 0.437951 | NA | 0.487649 | NA |
4/20/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.425653 |
4/24/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
4/27/2020 | 0.197044 | NA | 0.493951 | 0.425424 |
5/4/2020 | 0.289139 | 0.443366 | 0.464833 | 0.435471 |
5/11/2020 | 0.401758 | 0.443366 | 0.441183 | 0.44511 |
5/15/2020 | 0.295042 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.412785 | 0.444727 |
5/21/2020 | 0.213839 | NA | 0.408728 | NA |
5/22/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
5/25/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.446007 |
5/28/2020 | 0.239034 | NA | NA | NA |
5/29/2020 | NA | NA | 0.401182 | NA |
6/1/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.438147 |
6/4/2020 | 0.295248 | NA | 0.39473 | NA |
6/5/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
6/8/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.44185 |
6/12/2020 | NA | NA | 0.37565 | NA |
6/15/2020 | 0.239376 | 0.443366 | NA | 0.439042 |
6/19/2020 | NA | NA | 0.413636 | NA |
6/22/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.445107 |
6/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.416831 | NA |
6/29/2020 | 0.184544 | 0.443366 | NA | 0.44526 |
7/2/2020 | NA | NA | 0.44105 | NA |
7/3/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
7/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.455138 |
7/10/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.440171 | NA |
7/13/2020 | 0.191502 | NA | NA | 0.458834 |
7/17/2020 | 0.213631 | 0.443366 | 0.446998 | NA |
7/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.428694 |
7/27/2020 | 0.470658 | 0.443366 | 0.414661 | 0.424422 |
8/3/2020 | 0.515039 | 0.443366 | 0.380066 | 0.407614 |
8/10/2020 | 0.39599 | 0.443366 | 0.372969 | 0.400896 |
8/13/2020 | 0.357072 | NA | NA | NA |
8/17/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.36202 | 0.404293 |
8/21/2020 | 0.368238 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.360407 | 0.404899 |
8/27/2020 | 0.361551 | NA | NA | NA |
8/31/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.378582 | 0.412655 |
9/3/2020 | 0.33701 | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
9/4/2020 | NA | NA | 0.377505 | NA |
9/7/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.41343 |
9/8/2020 | 0.320204 | NA | NA | NA |
9/10/2020 | NA | NA | 0.384127 | NA |
9/14/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | 0.417333 |
9/16/2020 | NA | NA | 0.379836 | NA |
9/21/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.420147 |
9/24/2020 | 0.36271 | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
9/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.375403 | 0.418712 |
9/29/2020 | NA | NA | 0.375403 | NA |
10/1/2020 | 0.341194 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.417555 |
10/12/2020 | 0.327501 | NA | 0.374271 | 0.416607 |
10/15/2020 | 0.336227 | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
10/16/2020 | NA | NA | 0.364866 | NA |
10/19/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.443789 |
10/23/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
10/26/2020 | 0.384992 | NA | 0.328849 | 0.435345 |
11/2/2020 | 0.328332 | 0.443366 | 0.417799 | 0.468301 |
11/9/2020 | 0.304501 | 0.443366 | 0.464545 | 0.474286 |
11/13/2020 | 0.37426 | NA | NA | NA |
11/16/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.502169 | 0.45824 |
11/23/2020 | 0.414961 | 0.443366 | 0.484671 | 0.442679 |
11/24/2020 | 0.40368 | NA | NA | NA |
11/30/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | 0.462669 | 0.434167 |
12/3/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
12/7/2020 | 0.435807 | NA | 0.465773 | 0.421998 |
12/10/2020 | 0.457922 | NA | 0.462669 | NA |
12/14/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.418855 |
12/18/2020 | NA | 0.443366 | NA | NA |
12/21/2020 | NA | NA | 0.457117 | 0.418104 |
12/30/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.41535 |
1/5/2021 | 0.468845 | NA | NA | NA |
1/6/2021 | NA | NA | NA | 0.414681 |
1/8/2021 | 0.476297 | NA | NA | NA |
1/12/2021 | NA | NA | 0.450465 | NA |
1/13/2021 | NA | NA | NA | 0.414392 |
1/20/2021 | 0.332296 | 0.408134 | 0.479921 | 0.424693 |
1/27/2021 | 0.195273 | 0.367623 | 0.333219 | 0.338181 |
2/3/2021 | -0.29649 | 0.183475 | 0.025952 | 0.132041 |
2/10/2021 | -0.72336 | -0.69341 | -0.3315 | -0.20306 |
2/17/2021 | -0.94147 | -1.21724 | -0.38386 | -0.42862 |
2/24/2021 | -1.43246 | -1.2594 | -0.80609 | -0.55584 |
3/2/2021 | -1.36789 | NA | NA | NA |
3/3/2021 | NA | -1.2009 | -0.95846 | -0.67258 |
3/9/2021 | -1.36307 | NA | NA | NA |
3/10/2021 | NA | -1.34216 | -1.20375 | -0.70718 |
3/17/2021 | -1.37224 | -1.27114 | -1.09645 | -0.68422 |
3/18/2021 | -1.33024 | NA | NA | NA |
3/24/2021 | NA | -1.23862 | -1.18851 | -0.70154 |
3/31/2021 | -1.2823 | -1.14323 | -1.18305 | -0.72015 |
4/6/2021 | -1.27982 | NA | NA | NA |
4/7/2021 | NA | NA | -1.14799 | -0.71241 |
4/9/2021 | -1.26996 | NA | NA | NA |
4/12/2021 | NA | NA | -1.31729 | NA |
4/14/2021 | NA | -1.19555 | NA | -0.76364 |
4/20/2021 | NA | -1.20456 | NA | NA |
4/21/2021 | -1.45113 | NA | -1.39698 | -0.86419 |
4/28/2021 | -2.22693 | -1.41703 | -1.8211 | -1.3637 |
5/5/2021 | -2.53687 | -1.64291 | -2.06163 | -1.80086 |
5/12/2021 | -2.79807 | -1.98771 | -2.54284 | -2.11792 |
5/19/2021 | -2.71233 | -2.07991 | -2.70088 | -2.17168 |
5/26/2021 | -2.45916 | -2.08822 | -2.71318 | -2.3301 |
6/2/2021 | -2.53839 | -2.20407 | -2.75639 | -2.46616 |
6/3/2021 | -2.59065 | NA | NA | NA |
6/4/2021 | NA | -2.19378 | NA | NA |
6/9/2021 | NA | NA | -2.73043 | -2.5899 |
6/16/2021 | NA | -2.32493 | -2.8926 | -2.7512 |
6/21/2021 | NA | NA | -2.88346 | NA |
6/23/2021 | NA | -2.36878 | NA | -2.81467 |
6/30/2021 | -2.97059 | NA | -3.05645 | -2.97032 |
7/1/2021 | NA | NA | -3.08743 | NA |
7/2/2021 | NA | -2.55385 | NA | NA |
7/6/2021 | -2.98666 | NA | NA | NA |
7/7/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -2.98744 |
7/13/2021 | -3.02051 | -2.64381 | NA | NA |
7/14/2021 | NA | NA | -2.97073 | -2.99962 |
7/21/2021 | -3.08428 | -2.81269 | -2.84426 | -3.03358 |
7/28/2021 | -2.2108 | -2.8784 | -2.76145 | -2.82639 |
8/4/2021 | -2.09375 | -3.14471 | -2.71545 | -2.8946 |
8/11/2021 | -2.03502 | -2.99124 | -2.4441 | -2.92286 |
8/18/2021 | -1.95137 | -3.12504 | -2.2232 | -2.99446 |
8/25/2021 | -2.03304 | -3.18065 | -2.1562 | -2.95659 |
8/31/2021 | NA | -3.23566 | -2.17235 | NA |
9/1/2021 | -2.00846 | NA | NA | -2.89368 |
9/2/2021 | -1.98821 | NA | NA | NA |
9/8/2021 | NA | NA | -2.20218 | -2.9794 |
9/15/2021 | -1.97558 | NA | -2.16687 | -2.93174 |
9/21/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -2.92909 |
Note: The Industry Negative Sentiment Index is constructed by first filtering firms by S&P Industrial Classifications. The “Automobiles” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as automobiles or automobiles components firms. The “Electronics” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as electronic equipment, instruments and components firms, technology hardware, storage and peripherals firms, or communications equipment firms. The “Semiconductors” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as semiconductors and semiconductor equipment firms. The “Other Industries” aggregate consists of all other S&P Industrial Classifications. The industry series are then constructed by counting the total number of negative sentiment words found within 10 words of the main search term from quarterly firm earnings call transcripts. This sum is then divided by the total number of words within the transcript and then the 90-day moving average of this ratio is calculated. Data are then aggregated to the weekly level by taking the last moving average value for each week and finally the z-value is computed. The z-value is a measurement of the number of standard deviations that sentiment series are away from their mean value. Since the sentiment series have different means, the z-values better reflect relative changes in negative sentiment. The gray shading begins in January 2021. The series end on September 21, 2021.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 3 Industry Negative Sentiment: Capacity
Z-Value
Date | Semiconductors | Automobiles | Electronics | Other Industries |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/5/2018 | NA | -1.15075 | NA | 0.829829 |
1/11/2018 | NA | -1.06748 | 0.539161 | NA |
1/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.820781 |
1/18/2018 | 0.438213 | NA | 0.557501 | NA |
1/19/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.808007 |
1/25/2018 | 0.514161 | NA | 1.011059 | NA |
1/26/2018 | NA | -1.97041 | NA | 1.465885 |
2/1/2018 | 0.625453 | NA | 1.323202 | NA |
2/2/2018 | NA | -0.25647 | NA | NA |
2/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.96874 |
2/9/2018 | 0.420434 | -1.54813 | 0.849171 | NA |
2/10/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.803741 |
2/15/2018 | 0.600049 | NA | NA | NA |
2/16/2018 | NA | -1.4982 | 0.217392 | 0.485479 |
2/22/2018 | NA | -1.09215 | 0.408603 | NA |
2/23/2018 | 0.607496 | NA | NA | 0.21637 |
3/1/2018 | 0.630096 | NA | NA | NA |
3/2/2018 | NA | -0.77744 | 0.337008 | 0.590167 |
3/8/2018 | 0.638453 | -0.88367 | NA | NA |
3/9/2018 | NA | NA | 0.355501 | 0.478374 |
3/15/2018 | 0.670389 | NA | 0.458233 | NA |
3/16/2018 | NA | -0.7824 | NA | 0.457787 |
3/22/2018 | 0.685517 | -1.04197 | 0.479825 | NA |
3/23/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.555282 |
3/28/2018 | 0.700123 | -0.96792 | NA | NA |
3/29/2018 | NA | NA | 0.571949 | NA |
3/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.55516 |
4/2/2018 | NA | -0.93206 | NA | NA |
4/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.600943 | NA |
4/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.569319 |
4/12/2018 | NA | -0.89694 | 0.657193 | NA |
4/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.573185 |
4/20/2018 | 0.71549 | -1.04998 | 0.693755 | NA |
4/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.558104 |
4/27/2018 | 0.681015 | -0.67725 | 0.469429 | 0.127988 |
5/3/2018 | 0.639376 | NA | NA | NA |
5/4/2018 | NA | -0.10804 | 0.321776 | 0.138614 |
5/11/2018 | 0.768199 | 0.440783 | 0.689603 | 0.266854 |
5/17/2018 | 0.741116 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2018 | NA | 0.512017 | 0.719478 | 0.291034 |
5/22/2018 | 0.729491 | NA | NA | NA |
5/24/2018 | NA | 0.534582 | 0.538758 | NA |
5/26/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.313564 |
5/30/2018 | 0.710135 | NA | NA | NA |
5/31/2018 | NA | NA | 0.619877 | NA |
6/1/2018 | NA | 0.441787 | NA | 0.051965 |
6/6/2018 | NA | 0.446438 | NA | NA |
6/7/2018 | 0.678254 | NA | 0.586715 | NA |
6/8/2018 | NA | NA | NA | 0.086222 |
6/14/2018 | NA | 0.545139 | 0.458558 | NA |
6/15/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.04557 |
6/20/2018 | NA | 0.875875 | NA | NA |
6/21/2018 | 0.62168 | NA | 0.438546 | NA |
6/22/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.12865 |
6/26/2018 | 0.618796 | NA | NA | NA |
6/28/2018 | NA | NA | 0.365531 | NA |
6/29/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.11635 |
7/6/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.08997 |
7/10/2018 | NA | NA | 0.332742 | NA |
7/12/2018 | 0.611305 | NA | NA | NA |
7/13/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.08819 |
7/20/2018 | 0.647169 | 0.560122 | 0.273603 | NA |
7/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.17453 |
7/27/2018 | 0.66473 | 0.403194 | 0.334286 | NA |
7/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.03124 |
8/2/2018 | 0.666245 | NA | NA | NA |
8/3/2018 | NA | 0.497931 | 0.689353 | NA |
8/4/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.45798 |
8/10/2018 | 0.195936 | -0.55393 | 0.188293 | NA |
8/11/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.76204 |
8/16/2018 | 0.200246 | -0.60063 | NA | NA |
8/17/2018 | NA | NA | 0.62248 | -0.73689 |
8/22/2018 | 0.19619 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2018 | NA | NA | 0.775353 | -0.51622 |
8/29/2018 | NA | -0.72833 | NA | NA |
8/30/2018 | 0.216263 | NA | 0.785652 | NA |
8/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.48821 |
9/6/2018 | 0.205201 | NA | 0.681372 | NA |
9/7/2018 | NA | -0.69721 | NA | -0.48928 |
9/13/2018 | 0.216263 | NA | 0.264091 | NA |
9/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.41748 |
9/20/2018 | 0.212942 | NA | NA | NA |
9/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.47765 |
9/27/2018 | NA | -0.64342 | 0.264091 | NA |
9/28/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.47592 |
10/3/2018 | NA | NA | 0.274935 | NA |
10/4/2018 | 0.223579 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.476 |
10/11/2018 | NA | NA | 0.285681 | NA |
10/12/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.4743 |
10/18/2018 | 0.150238 | NA | NA | NA |
10/19/2018 | NA | -0.29563 | 0.218986 | NA |
10/20/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.51203 |
10/25/2018 | 0.077077 | NA | NA | NA |
10/26/2018 | NA | -0.62788 | -0.03193 | NA |
10/27/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.89516 |
11/2/2018 | 0.272946 | -1.26354 | -0.95822 | NA |
11/3/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.92998 |
11/8/2018 | 0.588207 | NA | NA | NA |
11/9/2018 | NA | 0.084174 | -0.58314 | -0.63453 |
11/15/2018 | 0.690757 | -0.06562 | NA | NA |
11/16/2018 | NA | NA | -0.55808 | NA |
11/17/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.82987 |
11/20/2018 | 0.629702 | NA | NA | NA |
11/23/2018 | NA | NA | -0.61694 | -1.05251 |
11/27/2018 | NA | -0.06562 | NA | NA |
11/29/2018 | 0.649976 | NA | -0.69722 | NA |
11/30/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.97259 |
12/6/2018 | 0.649976 | NA | NA | NA |
12/7/2018 | NA | NA | -0.56982 | -0.98912 |
12/12/2018 | 0.65752 | NA | NA | NA |
12/13/2018 | NA | NA | -0.15006 | NA |
12/14/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.94714 |
12/18/2018 | 0.65752 | NA | NA | NA |
12/20/2018 | NA | -0.06562 | -0.20094 | NA |
12/21/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.91462 |
12/28/2018 | NA | NA | -0.24054 | NA |
12/31/2018 | NA | NA | NA | -0.9607 |
1/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | -1.01236 |
1/8/2019 | 0.649976 | NA | NA | NA |
1/10/2019 | NA | NA | -0.24054 | NA |
1/11/2019 | NA | -0.07687 | NA | -1.03613 |
1/17/2019 | 0.679271 | NA | -0.18189 | NA |
1/19/2019 | NA | NA | NA | -0.94835 |
1/24/2019 | 0.642462 | NA | NA | NA |
1/25/2019 | NA | -0.68602 | 0.078066 | NA |
1/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | -0.33603 |
2/1/2019 | 0.355036 | -0.03101 | 0.921131 | NA |
2/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.542798 |
2/7/2019 | 0.677725 | NA | 1.096011 | NA |
2/8/2019 | NA | -0.95875 | NA | NA |
2/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.561218 |
2/15/2019 | 0.724618 | -1.22516 | 1.014746 | NA |
2/17/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.711151 |
2/22/2019 | 0.717009 | -1.18359 | 0.654537 | NA |
2/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.98003 |
2/28/2019 | 0.693368 | NA | NA | NA |
3/1/2019 | NA | -0.98696 | 0.7358 | 1.290657 |
3/7/2019 | 0.707234 | -0.8732 | 0.785365 | NA |
3/8/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.217843 |
3/14/2019 | 0.749928 | NA | NA | NA |
3/15/2019 | NA | -0.61311 | 0.923135 | 1.04785 |
3/22/2019 | 0.742682 | -0.78878 | 1.018098 | 1.002735 |
3/28/2019 | 0.742855 | NA | 1.027334 | NA |
3/29/2019 | NA | -0.68625 | NA | 1.08791 |
4/2/2019 | NA | NA | 0.993647 | NA |
4/3/2019 | NA | -0.62995 | NA | NA |
4/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.115469 |
4/11/2019 | NA | -0.59745 | 0.986015 | NA |
4/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.125779 |
4/15/2019 | NA | -0.57034 | NA | NA |
4/18/2019 | 0.719793 | NA | 0.999846 | NA |
4/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.082359 |
4/26/2019 | 0.693329 | 0.047182 | 1.010471 | NA |
4/28/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.088897 |
5/3/2019 | 0.735068 | -0.09314 | 0.916677 | NA |
5/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.983653 |
5/10/2019 | 0.776501 | 0.300377 | 0.447935 | NA |
5/12/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.283637 |
5/16/2019 | 0.650461 | NA | NA | NA |
5/17/2019 | NA | 0.740537 | 0.27668 | 1.433059 |
5/22/2019 | 0.686309 | NA | NA | NA |
5/23/2019 | NA | 0.757341 | 0.504427 | NA |
5/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.429078 |
5/30/2019 | 0.667952 | 0.792087 | 0.464383 | NA |
6/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.235099 |
6/3/2019 | NA | 0.792087 | NA | NA |
6/4/2019 | 0.669209 | NA | NA | NA |
6/6/2019 | NA | NA | 0.458006 | NA |
6/7/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.296253 |
6/10/2019 | NA | 0.783943 | NA | NA |
6/11/2019 | NA | NA | 0.46688 | NA |
6/13/2019 | 0.598434 | NA | NA | NA |
6/14/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.468461 |
6/19/2019 | NA | 0.78678 | NA | NA |
6/20/2019 | NA | NA | 0.218182 | NA |
6/21/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.496747 |
6/27/2019 | NA | NA | 0.232696 | NA |
6/28/2019 | 0.585922 | 0.957815 | NA | 1.458203 |
7/5/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.485138 |
7/10/2019 | NA | 0.943152 | NA | NA |
7/11/2019 | 0.601701 | NA | NA | NA |
7/12/2019 | NA | NA | 0.244458 | 1.434071 |
7/18/2019 | 0.433567 | NA | NA | NA |
7/19/2019 | NA | 0.818995 | 0.24069 | NA |
7/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.327071 |
7/26/2019 | 0.604899 | 0.535664 | 0.497343 | NA |
7/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.224036 |
8/2/2019 | 0.714546 | 0.75524 | 0.714945 | NA |
8/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.185062 |
8/9/2019 | 0.610874 | NA | 1.194446 | NA |
8/10/2019 | NA | 0.730833 | NA | NA |
8/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.874204 |
8/15/2019 | 0.7158 | 0.583515 | NA | NA |
8/16/2019 | NA | NA | 1.272299 | NA |
8/18/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.834073 |
8/23/2019 | 0.777948 | 0.732449 | 1.240113 | NA |
8/25/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.786436 |
8/28/2019 | NA | 0.717215 | NA | NA |
8/29/2019 | NA | NA | 1.259602 | NA |
8/30/2019 | 0.784186 | NA | NA | NA |
9/1/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.790806 |
9/3/2019 | 0.797744 | NA | NA | NA |
9/5/2019 | NA | 0.717215 | 1.24667 | NA |
9/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.769422 |
9/12/2019 | 0.797744 | NA | NA | NA |
9/13/2019 | NA | NA | 1.14649 | 0.739271 |
9/16/2019 | NA | NA | 1.16041 | NA |
9/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.789785 |
9/26/2019 | 0.773965 | 0.717215 | 1.242163 | NA |
9/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.79911 |
10/3/2019 | 0.814359 | NA | NA | NA |
10/4/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.783294 |
10/8/2019 | 0.820295 | NA | NA | NA |
10/10/2019 | NA | NA | 1.188447 | NA |
10/11/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.758072 |
10/17/2019 | 1.016187 | NA | 1.237882 | NA |
10/18/2019 | NA | 0.653259 | NA | NA |
10/20/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.917516 |
10/25/2019 | 0.948382 | 0.818364 | 1.121637 | NA |
10/26/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 0.84312 |
11/1/2019 | 0.846453 | 0.695132 | 1.259761 | NA |
11/3/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.078353 |
11/8/2019 | 0.670781 | 0.490229 | 1.407777 | NA |
11/10/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.307452 |
11/14/2019 | 0.562853 | NA | NA | NA |
11/15/2019 | NA | 0.883262 | 1.512374 | 1.416282 |
11/21/2019 | 0.524001 | 0.94125 | NA | NA |
11/22/2019 | NA | NA | 1.444349 | NA |
11/24/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.349315 |
11/26/2019 | 0.532622 | NA | NA | NA |
11/27/2019 | NA | NA | 1.415301 | NA |
11/28/2019 | NA | 0.926423 | NA | NA |
11/29/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.306583 |
12/4/2019 | 0.506305 | NA | NA | NA |
12/5/2019 | NA | NA | 1.409638 | NA |
12/6/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.308888 |
12/12/2019 | 0.51523 | NA | 1.381372 | NA |
12/13/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.315813 |
12/19/2019 | 0.474616 | NA | 1.478208 | NA |
12/20/2019 | NA | 0.926423 | NA | 1.27319 |
12/27/2019 | NA | NA | NA | 1.227269 |
12/30/2019 | NA | 0.9113 | NA | NA |
1/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 1.242387 |
1/9/2020 | NA | NA | 1.513234 | NA |
1/10/2020 | 0.46804 | NA | NA | NA |
1/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 1.280563 |
1/14/2020 | NA | 0.9113 | NA | NA |
1/15/2020 | NA | NA | 1.51852 | NA |
1/16/2020 | 0.439523 | NA | NA | NA |
1/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 1.241059 |
1/23/2020 | NA | 1.103875 | NA | NA |
1/27/2020 | 0.222451 | NA | 1.380224 | 1.526445 |
2/3/2020 | 0.18105 | 1.380372 | 1.521102 | 1.274055 |
2/10/2020 | 0.546171 | 1.556464 | 0.709037 | 0.792038 |
2/14/2020 | 0.533363 | NA | NA | NA |
2/17/2020 | NA | 1.649545 | 0.537976 | 0.731846 |
2/20/2020 | 0.629765 | NA | NA | NA |
2/24/2020 | NA | 1.728465 | 0.709852 | 0.808023 |
2/28/2020 | NA | NA | 0.659812 | NA |
3/2/2020 | 0.656507 | 1.793119 | NA | 1.083959 |
3/5/2020 | NA | 1.790827 | NA | NA |
3/9/2020 | 0.484507 | NA | 0.75931 | 0.964505 |
3/13/2020 | 0.493258 | NA | NA | NA |
3/16/2020 | NA | 1.729307 | 0.59133 | 0.902031 |
3/19/2020 | 0.520283 | 1.710293 | NA | NA |
3/23/2020 | NA | NA | 0.536946 | 0.757063 |
3/26/2020 | 0.49367 | NA | NA | NA |
3/30/2020 | NA | 1.666314 | 0.65433 | 0.857577 |
4/2/2020 | 0.503508 | 1.614563 | 0.704218 | NA |
4/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.929286 |
4/9/2020 | NA | NA | 0.637582 | NA |
4/10/2020 | 0.503508 | NA | NA | NA |
4/13/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.954863 |
4/16/2020 | 0.489143 | NA | 0.488199 | NA |
4/20/2020 | NA | 1.628186 | NA | 0.904214 |
4/24/2020 | NA | 1.620871 | NA | NA |
4/27/2020 | 0.479482 | NA | 0.120329 | 0.757348 |
5/4/2020 | 0.295522 | 1.64735 | -0.71209 | 0.422085 |
5/11/2020 | 0.091357 | 1.775051 | -0.96153 | 0.218333 |
5/15/2020 | -0.02277 | NA | NA | NA |
5/18/2020 | NA | 1.88427 | -0.79279 | 0.148865 |
5/21/2020 | -0.13196 | NA | -1.10866 | NA |
5/22/2020 | NA | 1.870408 | NA | NA |
5/25/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.011766 |
5/28/2020 | -0.14582 | NA | NA | NA |
5/29/2020 | NA | NA | -1.25517 | NA |
6/1/2020 | NA | 1.560695 | NA | -0.32761 |
6/4/2020 | -0.20297 | NA | -1.4145 | NA |
6/5/2020 | NA | 1.359663 | NA | NA |
6/8/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.32107 |
6/12/2020 | NA | NA | -1.33407 | NA |
6/15/2020 | -0.1405 | 1.452326 | NA | -0.32104 |
6/19/2020 | NA | NA | -1.27559 | NA |
6/22/2020 | NA | 1.348666 | NA | -0.1886 |
6/28/2020 | NA | NA | -1.34128 | NA |
6/29/2020 | -0.13035 | 1.30755 | NA | -0.40787 |
7/2/2020 | NA | NA | -1.42656 | NA |
7/3/2020 | NA | 1.345835 | NA | NA |
7/6/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.61586 |
7/10/2020 | NA | 1.000971 | -1.36679 | NA |
7/13/2020 | -0.15228 | NA | NA | -0.65304 |
7/17/2020 | -0.12704 | 0.850694 | -1.11671 | NA |
7/20/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.69225 |
7/27/2020 | -0.0407 | 0.62957 | -0.94602 | -0.94191 |
8/3/2020 | -0.22687 | 0.596799 | -0.19599 | -0.65095 |
8/10/2020 | -0.01265 | 0.103203 | 0.131542 | -0.22098 |
8/13/2020 | 0.196831 | NA | NA | NA |
8/17/2020 | NA | -0.12819 | -0.42074 | -0.32211 |
8/21/2020 | 0.238962 | NA | NA | NA |
8/24/2020 | NA | -0.31453 | -0.34045 | -0.19273 |
8/27/2020 | 0.224477 | NA | NA | NA |
8/31/2020 | NA | -0.20204 | -0.20192 | -0.06724 |
9/3/2020 | 0.192104 | -0.11974 | NA | NA |
9/4/2020 | NA | NA | -0.21342 | NA |
9/7/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.03948 |
9/8/2020 | 0.213051 | NA | NA | NA |
9/10/2020 | NA | NA | -0.39254 | NA |
9/14/2020 | NA | -0.30278 | NA | -0.10815 |
9/16/2020 | NA | NA | -0.44242 | NA |
9/21/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -0.09476 |
9/24/2020 | 0.245944 | -0.35179 | NA | NA |
9/28/2020 | NA | NA | -0.53649 | -0.05899 |
9/29/2020 | NA | NA | -0.53649 | NA |
10/1/2020 | 0.245716 | NA | NA | NA |
10/5/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.073986 |
10/12/2020 | 0.23981 | NA | -0.54982 | 0.11994 |
10/15/2020 | 0.213574 | -0.07311 | NA | NA |
10/16/2020 | NA | NA | -0.62658 | NA |
10/19/2020 | NA | NA | NA | 0.064043 |
10/23/2020 | NA | -0.38285 | NA | NA |
10/26/2020 | 0.293817 | NA | -0.82382 | 0.203321 |
11/2/2020 | 0.329343 | -0.68625 | -0.65201 | -0.34223 |
11/9/2020 | -0.03813 | -1.02852 | -0.64626 | -0.76382 |
11/13/2020 | -0.17154 | NA | NA | NA |
11/16/2020 | NA | -1.51461 | -0.17797 | -0.68972 |
11/23/2020 | -0.22433 | -1.5055 | -0.09389 | -0.92025 |
11/24/2020 | -0.21092 | NA | NA | NA |
11/30/2020 | NA | -1.53167 | -0.11811 | -1.05166 |
12/3/2020 | NA | -1.43899 | NA | NA |
12/7/2020 | -0.19863 | NA | -0.1596 | -1.07159 |
12/10/2020 | -0.21984 | NA | 0.012151 | NA |
12/14/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -1.17153 |
12/18/2020 | NA | -1.34462 | NA | NA |
12/21/2020 | NA | NA | 0.034476 | -1.28448 |
12/30/2020 | NA | NA | NA | -1.29531 |
1/5/2021 | -0.25137 | NA | NA | NA |
1/6/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -1.32687 |
1/8/2021 | -0.22033 | NA | NA | NA |
1/12/2021 | NA | NA | -0.20669 | NA |
1/13/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -1.38869 |
1/20/2021 | -0.3027 | -1.53713 | -0.11394 | -1.29307 |
1/27/2021 | -0.67575 | -0.75032 | -0.05837 | -1.21067 |
2/3/2021 | -0.32387 | -0.53192 | -0.32614 | -0.97173 |
2/10/2021 | -1.79172 | -0.80063 | -0.79557 | -1.61326 |
2/17/2021 | -1.5262 | -0.42271 | -1.31513 | -1.68857 |
2/24/2021 | -1.57105 | -0.43481 | -1.29114 | -1.05831 |
3/2/2021 | -1.40813 | NA | NA | NA |
3/3/2021 | NA | -0.46626 | -0.89575 | -1.14867 |
3/9/2021 | -1.38853 | NA | NA | NA |
3/10/2021 | NA | -0.24221 | -0.88489 | -1.03972 |
3/17/2021 | -1.42581 | -0.09521 | -0.74722 | -0.65384 |
3/18/2021 | -1.3777 | NA | NA | NA |
3/24/2021 | NA | -0.01075 | -0.77645 | -0.52684 |
3/31/2021 | -1.31032 | 0.142345 | -0.86214 | -0.34025 |
4/6/2021 | -1.33826 | NA | NA | NA |
4/7/2021 | NA | NA | -0.88745 | -0.31256 |
4/9/2021 | -1.3448 | NA | NA | NA |
4/12/2021 | NA | NA | -0.81338 | NA |
4/14/2021 | NA | 0.160146 | NA | -0.28765 |
4/20/2021 | NA | 0.045976 | NA | NA |
4/21/2021 | -1.58487 | NA | -1.06617 | -0.34364 |
4/28/2021 | -2.08041 | -0.62891 | -1.16518 | -0.72643 |
5/5/2021 | -2.14023 | -0.68206 | -1.06253 | -0.72921 |
5/12/2021 | -2.18983 | -0.35402 | -1.12952 | -0.6112 |
5/19/2021 | -2.33077 | -0.2971 | -0.98212 | -0.5496 |
5/26/2021 | -2.38857 | -0.17377 | -1.01076 | -0.79307 |
6/2/2021 | -2.55207 | -0.24995 | -1.29732 | -0.86644 |
6/3/2021 | -2.55207 | NA | NA | NA |
6/4/2021 | NA | -0.49755 | NA | NA |
6/9/2021 | NA | NA | -1.75025 | -1.02638 |
6/16/2021 | NA | -0.71194 | -1.86826 | -1.27133 |
6/21/2021 | NA | NA | -1.79202 | NA |
6/23/2021 | NA | -0.92079 | NA | -1.44956 |
6/30/2021 | -2.83996 | NA | -1.78097 | -1.76973 |
7/1/2021 | NA | NA | -1.70415 | NA |
7/2/2021 | NA | -1.12529 | NA | NA |
7/6/2021 | -2.82336 | NA | NA | NA |
7/7/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -1.81863 |
7/13/2021 | -2.89505 | -1.38677 | NA | NA |
7/14/2021 | NA | NA | -1.75626 | -1.74054 |
7/21/2021 | -2.70625 | -1.37829 | -1.61054 | -1.85953 |
7/28/2021 | -1.97932 | -0.97196 | -1.63405 | -1.61635 |
8/4/2021 | -2.05476 | -1.10438 | -2.60079 | -1.77339 |
8/11/2021 | -2.10303 | -1.73736 | -2.4374 | -1.93361 |
8/18/2021 | -2.00601 | -1.9312 | -2.47186 | -2.37458 |
8/25/2021 | -2.04546 | -2.12234 | -2.56612 | -2.31059 |
8/31/2021 | NA | -1.96226 | -2.65676 | NA |
9/1/2021 | -2.06259 | NA | NA | -2.16864 |
9/2/2021 | -2.06259 | NA | NA | NA |
9/8/2021 | NA | NA | -2.2803 | -2.14788 |
9/15/2021 | -2.03782 | NA | -2.21919 | -2.11349 |
9/21/2021 | NA | NA | NA | -2.05722 |
Note: The Industry Negative Sentiment Index is constructed by first filtering firms by S&P Industrial Classifications. The “Automobiles” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as automobiles or automobiles components firms. The “Electronics” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as electronic equipment, instruments and components firms, technology hardware, storage and peripherals firms, or communications equipment firms. The “Semiconductors” aggregate consists of firms that are classified as semiconductors and semiconductor equipment firms. The “Other Industries” aggregate consists of all other S&P Industrial Classifications. The industry series are then constructed by counting the total number of negative sentiment words found within 10 words of the main search term from quarterly firm earnings call transcripts. This sum is then divided by the total number of words within the transcript and then the 90-day moving average of this ratio is calculated. Data are then aggregated to the weekly level by taking the last moving average value for each week and finally the z-value is computed. The z-value is a measurement of the number of standard deviations that sentiment series are away from their mean value. Since the sentiment series have different means, the z-values better reflect relative changes in negative sentiment. The gray shading begins in January 2021. The series end on September 21, 2021.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 4: Aggregate Positive Sentiment
Z-Value
Date | Demand | Prices |
---|---|---|
1/5/2018 | -0.524178534 | 0.417100549 |
1/12/2018 | -0.507581494 | 0.431630346 |
1/19/2018 | -0.533142117 | 0.399919925 |
1/26/2018 | -0.659490693 | 0.094952729 |
2/3/2018 | -0.608249151 | 0.136542041 |
2/10/2018 | -0.387858435 | 0.339800044 |
2/16/2018 | -0.147803149 | 0.409608617 |
2/23/2018 | -0.189624739 | 0.559955181 |
3/2/2018 | -0.310448914 | 0.573630532 |
3/9/2018 | -0.374323788 | 0.619521365 |
3/16/2018 | -0.471488636 | 0.561497424 |
3/23/2018 | -0.494176193 | 0.573710083 |
3/30/2018 | -0.535799761 | 0.546340085 |
4/6/2018 | -0.555905004 | 0.534692211 |
4/13/2018 | -0.569404013 | 0.519986332 |
4/21/2018 | -0.552882985 | 0.543912713 |
4/27/2018 | -0.270943195 | 0.853758788 |
5/4/2018 | -0.241389149 | 0.950878373 |
5/11/2018 | -0.275240007 | 0.965700872 |
5/18/2018 | -0.370661969 | 1.02832011 |
5/26/2018 | -0.414032476 | 1.027991646 |
6/1/2018 | -0.3355453 | 1.088216714 |
6/8/2018 | -0.296634513 | 1.101171659 |
6/15/2018 | -0.202153625 | 1.187272762 |
6/22/2018 | -0.18878724 | 1.207222889 |
6/29/2018 | -0.132037818 | 1.278215095 |
7/6/2018 | -0.103751506 | 1.311662089 |
7/13/2018 | -0.100234067 | 1.343953196 |
7/21/2018 | -0.080638558 | 1.430217025 |
7/28/2018 | -0.194174947 | 1.354966004 |
8/4/2018 | -0.210719357 | 1.418279586 |
8/11/2018 | -0.186083282 | 1.313135643 |
8/17/2018 | -0.165830001 | 1.310207756 |
8/24/2018 | -0.166567715 | 1.286291107 |
8/31/2018 | -0.199568332 | 1.258104506 |
9/7/2018 | -0.201153864 | 1.231906856 |
9/14/2018 | -0.221629531 | 1.251342157 |
9/21/2018 | -0.236668362 | 1.23165426 |
9/28/2018 | -0.249261055 | 1.201919636 |
10/5/2018 | -0.269545201 | 1.20181085 |
10/12/2018 | -0.27008378 | 1.194794328 |
10/20/2018 | -0.300813015 | 1.110766869 |
10/27/2018 | -0.351766141 | 1.128198689 |
11/3/2018 | -0.315743198 | 1.08032525 |
11/9/2018 | -0.429939163 | 1.051546292 |
11/17/2018 | -0.420014508 | 1.035173697 |
11/23/2018 | -0.381619858 | 1.032762757 |
11/30/2018 | -0.370634307 | 1.034506101 |
12/7/2018 | -0.368033645 | 1.042844089 |
12/14/2018 | -0.34828407 | 1.021433205 |
12/21/2018 | -0.335308712 | 1.034745319 |
12/31/2018 | -0.324424032 | 1.037548557 |
1/4/2019 | -0.311384498 | 1.033691597 |
1/11/2019 | -0.299587211 | 1.040677146 |
1/19/2019 | -0.31293693 | 1.01571731 |
1/27/2019 | -0.482589251 | 0.750075322 |
2/3/2019 | -0.636539202 | 0.567903577 |
2/10/2019 | -0.528936539 | 0.650319055 |
2/17/2019 | -0.58772151 | 0.518579172 |
2/24/2019 | -0.595972835 | 0.507922391 |
3/1/2019 | -0.73662683 | 0.423047375 |
3/8/2019 | -0.789983452 | 0.371256866 |
3/15/2019 | -0.853681196 | 0.318545575 |
3/22/2019 | -0.874985155 | 0.31418311 |
3/29/2019 | -0.920995274 | 0.286738265 |
4/5/2019 | -0.937455219 | 0.263042856 |
4/12/2019 | -0.96082283 | 0.246015132 |
4/20/2019 | -0.963627421 | 0.210783389 |
4/28/2019 | -0.825059823 | 0.281590192 |
5/4/2019 | -0.81048457 | 0.177912256 |
5/12/2019 | -0.839875871 | 0.040882815 |
5/17/2019 | -0.853474917 | 0.02528946 |
5/26/2019 | -0.886798267 | -0.014319273 |
6/1/2019 | -0.858628794 | -0.024781496 |
6/7/2019 | -0.82157779 | -0.011438204 |
6/14/2019 | -0.763104089 | 0.020008166 |
6/21/2019 | -0.749868104 | 0.004151911 |
6/28/2019 | -0.697356799 | 0.037148908 |
7/5/2019 | -0.678586223 | 0.055521094 |
7/12/2019 | -0.660328212 | 0.081882656 |
7/20/2019 | -0.636411375 | 0.121621625 |
7/27/2019 | -0.698697241 | 0.008887795 |
8/3/2019 | -0.72919207 | -0.030189003 |
8/11/2019 | -0.832562073 | -0.182681113 |
8/18/2019 | -0.859431841 | -0.228254357 |
8/25/2019 | -0.847647916 | -0.262237168 |
9/1/2019 | -0.852350897 | -0.280119284 |
9/6/2019 | -0.857472849 | -0.287151338 |
9/13/2019 | -0.869663514 | -0.300169066 |
9/20/2019 | -0.868890216 | -0.312599909 |
9/27/2019 | -0.877093436 | -0.342682309 |
10/4/2019 | -0.883092823 | -0.341324587 |
10/11/2019 | -0.886677676 | -0.35987838 |
10/20/2019 | -0.914814709 | -0.392311729 |
10/26/2019 | -0.921594972 | -0.429919345 |
11/3/2019 | -0.888528325 | -0.518358497 |
11/10/2019 | -0.967008827 | -0.59390712 |
11/15/2019 | -0.989767341 | -0.670671505 |
11/24/2019 | -0.995936591 | -0.698755713 |
11/29/2019 | -0.986887983 | -0.716118706 |
12/6/2019 | -0.983402436 | -0.728011342 |
12/13/2019 | -0.973265959 | -0.731318753 |
12/20/2019 | -0.951773179 | -0.717107019 |
12/30/2019 | -0.942550567 | -0.70757332 |
1/6/2020 | -0.936671925 | -0.712036423 |
1/13/2020 | -0.929368697 | -0.72465096 |
1/20/2020 | -0.922456392 | -0.714309307 |
1/27/2020 | -1.065891812 | -0.81223213 |
2/3/2020 | -1.205487448 | -0.885770847 |
2/10/2020 | -1.013877447 | -0.822029851 |
2/17/2020 | -1.0118672 | -0.749010568 |
2/24/2020 | -1.048511774 | -0.724771203 |
3/2/2020 | -1.114659791 | -0.728841741 |
3/9/2020 | -1.127359758 | -0.725454816 |
3/16/2020 | -1.197152076 | -0.782959859 |
3/23/2020 | -1.209128318 | -0.833045212 |
3/30/2020 | -1.197597474 | -0.881757732 |
4/6/2020 | -1.193359264 | -0.903728403 |
4/13/2020 | -1.192855852 | -0.917100092 |
4/20/2020 | -1.158213998 | -0.941502219 |
4/27/2020 | -1.012432505 | -1.002428389 |
5/4/2020 | -0.757956422 | -1.126805706 |
5/11/2020 | -0.548528184 | -1.348536599 |
5/18/2020 | -0.454837246 | -1.449212178 |
5/25/2020 | -0.363044197 | -1.548893196 |
6/1/2020 | -0.200942313 | -1.671664049 |
6/8/2020 | -0.077127568 | -1.750288613 |
6/15/2020 | 0.07554436 | -1.782109013 |
6/22/2020 | 0.094728492 | -1.779130018 |
6/29/2020 | 0.130644512 | -1.758291378 |
7/6/2020 | 0.16159787 | -1.745161595 |
7/13/2020 | 0.182062692 | -1.730034905 |
7/20/2020 | 0.188420108 | -1.743639685 |
7/27/2020 | 0.213384787 | -1.709219081 |
8/3/2020 | 0.239581911 | -1.677571188 |
8/10/2020 | 0.293037311 | -1.613660925 |
8/17/2020 | 0.402271433 | -1.615332773 |
8/24/2020 | 0.425155282 | -1.600474571 |
8/31/2020 | 0.446401933 | -1.600611452 |
9/7/2020 | 0.447294545 | -1.568997222 |
9/14/2020 | 0.425203445 | -1.571848379 |
9/21/2020 | 0.428557701 | -1.551124122 |
9/28/2020 | 0.451249693 | -1.570075592 |
10/5/2020 | 0.447489192 | -1.580615346 |
10/12/2020 | 0.446681392 | -1.564534354 |
10/19/2020 | 0.441606902 | -1.55291821 |
10/26/2020 | 0.545428799 | -1.512791355 |
11/2/2020 | 0.768662697 | -1.336301908 |
11/9/2020 | 0.863441815 | -1.201538959 |
11/16/2020 | 0.850125707 | -1.119350204 |
11/23/2020 | 0.930379942 | -1.064279928 |
11/30/2020 | 0.983978452 | -1.007395074 |
12/7/2020 | 0.986715254 | -1.028911025 |
12/14/2020 | 1.042373045 | -1.003990338 |
12/21/2020 | 1.070572061 | -1.014795319 |
12/30/2020 | 1.076871123 | -0.982937677 |
1/6/2021 | 1.070138409 | -0.984514677 |
1/13/2021 | 1.096936747 | -0.972844924 |
1/20/2021 | 1.093138382 | -0.940435294 |
1/27/2021 | 0.92787237 | -0.914356649 |
2/3/2021 | 1.031918639 | -0.799961017 |
2/10/2021 | 1.482877608 | -0.408505603 |
2/17/2021 | 1.752228704 | -0.188177867 |
2/24/2021 | 1.591952826 | -0.127210821 |
3/3/2021 | 1.373762211 | -0.229765467 |
3/10/2021 | 1.248834006 | -0.193995625 |
3/17/2021 | 1.19081732 | -0.208861017 |
3/24/2021 | 1.150092336 | -0.204333695 |
3/31/2021 | 1.037190888 | -0.274873552 |
4/7/2021 | 1.026544938 | -0.269277483 |
4/14/2021 | 1.012881757 | -0.279408107 |
4/21/2021 | 1.033777763 | -0.281633616 |
4/28/2021 | 1.320080436 | -0.068850682 |
5/5/2021 | 1.495088435 | 0.180922658 |
5/12/2021 | 1.524687863 | 0.317893096 |
5/19/2021 | 1.466206666 | 0.368847452 |
5/26/2021 | 1.55864973 | 0.465213446 |
6/2/2021 | 1.709743996 | 0.618353831 |
6/9/2021 | 1.860991132 | 0.700372614 |
6/16/2021 | 1.942950718 | 0.807422223 |
6/23/2021 | 2.011903391 | 0.87786001 |
6/30/2021 | 2.189333438 | 1.058996809 |
7/7/2021 | 2.211272366 | 1.069727434 |
7/14/2021 | 2.221508099 | 1.113028136 |
7/21/2021 | 2.368869009 | 1.234532038 |
7/28/2021 | 2.286965461 | 1.383860595 |
8/4/2021 | 2.47755368 | 1.621622474 |
8/11/2021 | 2.4966021 | 1.802824359 |
8/18/2021 | 2.430827806 | 1.799980602 |
8/25/2021 | 2.351104193 | 1.77202066 |
9/1/2021 | 2.325758856 | 1.762329407 |
9/8/2021 | 2.318844139 | 1.795515909 |
9/15/2021 | 2.296767495 | 1.787438246 |
9/21/2021 | 2.299168027 | NA |
9/22/2021 | NA | 1.759754397 |
Note: The Aggregate Positive Sentiment Index is constructed by counting the total number of positive sentiment words found within 10 words of the main search term from quarterly firm earnings call transcripts. This sum is then divided by the total number of words within the transcript and then the 90-day moving average of this ratio is calculated. Data are then aggregated to the weekly level by taking the last moving average value for each week and finally the z-value is computed. The z-value is a measurement of the number of standard deviations that sentiment series are away from their mean value. Since the sentiment series have different means, the z-values better reflect relative changes in negative sentiment. The gray shading begins in January 2021. The series end on September 22, 2021.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 5: Supply and Demand Estimated Effects: Average Change in Mentions
Mentions per Transcript
Year | Variable | Value |
---|---|---|
2020 | Demand | 2.328953892 |
2020 | Price | 0.190625805 |
2020 | Capacity | 0.222235994 |
2020 | Ship+ Container | 0.002602876 |
2020 | Supply- Chain | -0.034705007 |
2020 | Chip | -0.000743679 |
2021 | Demand | 1.414105107 |
2021 | Price | 4.339489341 |
2021 | Capacity | 0.04858701 |
2021 | Ship+ Container | 0.203767972 |
2021 | Supply- Chain | 1.77726822 |
2021 | Chip | 0.766856718 |
Left Panel:
Note: For each main search term, the average number of sentiment terms mentioned is calculated by summing the total number of positive or negative sentiment terms that are located within 10 words of the main search term for earnings calls that occurred in 2020 Q1, 2020 Q4, and 2021 Q3, respectively. The final values for each main search term for 2020 are constructed by subtracting the 2020 Q4 value by the 2020 Q1 value and then dividing by the total number of firms within the panel. The final values for 2021 are constructed similarly, but instead use data from 2021 Q3 and 2020 Q4. “Price” and “Demand” use positive sentiment terms while the other main search terms use negative sentiment terms.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Figure 5 Supply and Demand Estimated Contribution: Estimated Treatment Contribution 2020:Q1–2021:Q3
Percent %
Variable | Value |
---|---|
Capacity | 2.909224862 |
Chip | 21.2379831 |
Demand | 40.7441829 |
Ship+Container | 2.800310082 |
Supply-Chain | 32.30829905 |
Note: For each main search term, the 2021:Q3-2020:Q1 estimated treatment contribution is calculated by first using the values calculated in the left-hand panel of Figure 5 and multiplying the 2020 value by the respective main search term’s standalone coefficient found in Table 2. The 2021 value found within the left-hand panel of Figure 5 is multiplied by the respective main search term’s 2021 interaction coefficient found in Table 2. The estimated treatment effect for each main search term is found by summing the respective products together. The estimated treatment effect values for Demand, Supply-Chain, Chip, Capacity, and Ship+Container are 0.32, 0.25, 0.16, 0.02, and 0.02. Finally, the contribution is found by dividing each main search term’s treatment effect value by the sum of all treatment effects and then multiplying by 100. “Demand” uses positive sentiment terms while the other main search terms use negative sentiment terms.
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence.