Recoveries and Trade: Does the Exchange Rate Regime Matter?, Accessible Data

Figure 1. AE GDP

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=41) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=66) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 98.63 100.28 96.97 97.90 99.21 96.59
-11 99.29 100.88 97.70 98.40 99.60 97.19
-10 99.62 101.16 98.07 99.03 100.21 97.86
-9 100.28 101.66 98.90 99.51 100.57 98.46
-8 100.99 102.32 99.66 100.41 101.26 99.56
-7 101.14 102.35 99.92 100.80 101.67 99.93
-6 101.46 102.68 100.24 101.43 102.28 100.58
-5 101.83 102.94 100.71 101.49 102.12 100.85
-4 102.05 102.98 101.11 101.85 102.42 101.29
-3 102.01 102.88 101.14 101.65 102.14 101.16
-2 101.69 102.41 100.98 101.65 102.04 101.26
-1 100.80 101.24 100.37 100.87 101.15 100.59
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.86 101.39 100.33 101.02 101.35 100.70
+2 101.51 102.09 100.93 101.86 102.33 101.39
+3 101.76 102.31 101.21 102.65 103.13 102.16
+4 102.54 103.22 101.85 103.27 103.82 102.73
+5 102.98 103.64 102.32 104.05 104.58 103.53
+6 103.54 104.37 102.72 104.80 105.38 104.22
+7 104.01 104.86 103.17 105.75 106.42 105.07
+8 104.45 105.31 103.59 106.24 106.95 105.53
+9 105.06 106.03 104.10 106.77 107.51 106.02
+10 105.33 106.34 104.32 107.61 108.42 106.79
+11 106.13 107.89 104.38 108.27 109.13 107.41
+12 106.62 108.48 104.75 108.99 109.92 108.06
+13 107.02 109.02 105.03 109.61 110.66 108.57
+14 107.52 109.67 105.36 110.66 111.87 109.44
+15 107.87 110.15 105.58 111.39 112.69 110.09

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 2. AE GDP

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=12) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Euro area (n=29) Euro area + 2 s.e. Euro area - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=66) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 96.79 98.74 94.83 99.39 101.56 97.21 97.90 99.21 96.59
-11 97.18 98.98 95.38 100.16 102.23 98.10 98.40 99.60 97.19
-10 96.94 99.04 94.83 100.72 102.61 98.83 99.03 100.21 97.86
-9 98.04 99.58 96.49 101.21 102.97 99.45 99.51 100.57 98.46
-8 98.41 99.82 97.00 102.06 103.71 100.41 100.41 101.26 99.56
-7 98.81 100.11 97.52 102.10 103.61 100.59 100.80 101.67 99.93
-6 99.56 101.47 97.65 102.25 103.71 100.78 101.43 102.28 100.58
-5 100.11 101.60 98.61 102.54 103.93 101.15 101.49 102.12 100.85
-4 100.73 102.11 99.36 102.59 103.75 101.44 101.85 102.42 101.29
-3 101.16 102.81 99.52 102.36 103.39 101.33 101.65 102.14 101.16
-2 101.73 103.49 99.98 101.68 102.43 100.93 101.65 102.04 101.26
-1 101.14 102.40 99.89 100.66 101.03 100.29 100.87 101.15 100.59
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 101.64 103.33 99.95 100.54 100.82 100.25 101.02 101.35 100.70
+2 102.45 104.23 100.66 101.12 101.47 100.77 101.86 102.33 101.39
+3 102.35 103.79 100.92 101.51 102.03 100.99 102.65 103.13 102.16
+4 103.39 105.02 101.77 102.19 102.88 101.49 103.27 103.82 102.73
+5 103.74 105.22 102.26 102.67 103.38 101.96 104.05 104.58 103.53
+6 104.76 106.78 102.75 103.04 103.84 102.24 104.80 105.38 104.22
+7 104.80 106.29 103.31 103.69 104.71 102.66 105.75 106.42 105.07
+8 105.46 107.15 103.77 104.03 105.02 103.05 106.24 106.95 105.53
+9 106.20 107.85 104.54 104.59 105.76 103.42 106.77 107.51 106.02
+10 106.56 108.23 104.88 104.82 106.05 103.59 107.61 108.42 106.79
+11 107.04 108.77 105.31 105.76 108.16 103.36 108.27 109.13 107.41
+12 107.68 109.52 105.83 106.18 108.72 103.63 108.99 109.92 108.06
+13 108.14 109.99 106.29 106.54 109.30 103.79 109.61 110.66 108.57
+14 108.95 110.81 107.10 106.90 109.89 103.92 110.66 111.87 109.44
+15 109.59 111.46 107.72 107.07 110.30 103.85 111.39 112.69 110.09

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 3. EME GDP

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=19) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=78) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 98.70 104.78 92.63 97.47 100.21 94.72
-11 99.72 105.95 93.50 98.90 101.69 96.11
-10 101.12 107.38 94.86 99.72 102.23 97.20
-9 102.73 109.02 96.44 100.58 102.96 98.20
-8 104.59 110.76 98.43 101.72 104.02 99.42
-7 105.34 111.15 99.53 102.24 104.24 100.23
-6 105.80 111.02 100.59 103.15 104.88 101.41
-5 107.03 112.10 101.96 104.48 106.09 102.87
-4 106.61 111.26 101.96 105.44 106.84 104.03
-3 105.19 108.62 101.75 104.56 105.75 103.37
-2 103.89 107.07 100.71 103.87 104.87 102.88
-1 102.04 103.94 100.14 102.24 103.00 101.49
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 102.76 105.19 100.33 101.79 102.21 101.38
+2 103.66 105.90 101.41 103.34 103.91 102.76
+3 105.65 108.53 102.76 104.86 105.54 104.18
+4 107.81 111.47 104.15 106.43 107.32 105.55
+5 108.94 112.69 105.20 107.89 108.90 106.88
+6 110.20 114.24 106.16 108.81 109.95 107.66
+7 111.83 116.00 107.66 110.16 111.55 108.77
+8 113.75 118.36 109.14 111.36 112.93 109.79
+9 114.52 119.60 109.45 112.45 114.16 110.74
+10 115.64 120.89 110.40 113.51 115.30 111.72
+11 116.69 122.32 111.06 114.41 116.27 112.54
+12 117.19 123.48 110.90 115.77 117.76 113.77
+13 117.92 124.66 111.18 116.63 118.80 114.45
+14 119.44 126.51 112.37 117.91 120.31 115.51
+15 120.89 129.14 112.64 119.19 121.83 116.54

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 4. AE Exports

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=10) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Euro area (n=29) Euro area + 2 s.e. Euro area - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=60) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 90.14 94.02 86.26 94.10 98.43 89.78 93.70 96.82 90.58
-11 90.70 94.49 86.91 96.36 100.53 92.20 94.60 97.57 91.64
-10 91.74 94.92 88.57 98.02 102.16 93.89 95.63 98.52 92.74
-9 92.21 95.05 89.38 99.67 104.10 95.24 95.65 98.62 92.69
-8 93.36 96.07 90.66 101.10 105.61 96.58 96.47 99.39 93.54
-7 94.68 97.52 91.84 102.13 106.91 97.35 97.94 100.85 95.02
-6 96.16 99.24 93.08 102.76 107.33 98.18 99.23 102.03 96.42
-5 97.33 100.37 94.30 104.23 109.03 99.43 100.30 103.01 97.60
-4 98.36 101.24 95.48 105.94 110.71 101.17 101.68 104.45 98.90
-3 98.87 101.56 96.19 105.87 110.00 101.73 101.85 104.38 99.33
-2 98.87 101.12 96.61 104.68 107.65 101.72 101.57 103.80 99.34
-1 99.52 100.75 98.28 101.10 102.50 99.71 100.19 101.63 98.76
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.53 101.58 99.47 101.07 101.87 100.27 101.90 102.64 101.17
+2 101.58 103.65 99.51 103.97 105.60 102.35 103.85 104.89 102.82
+3 104.67 106.73 102.62 104.94 106.51 103.37 105.44 106.85 104.04
+4 105.60 108.30 102.90 107.19 109.23 105.16 107.52 109.14 105.91
+5 107.74 110.53 104.95 109.17 111.56 106.78 109.51 111.45 107.56
+6 108.66 111.72 105.60 110.71 113.39 108.02 110.94 113.19 108.69
+7 110.38 113.94 106.83 111.16 114.05 108.26 113.27 115.66 110.88
+8 112.89 117.37 108.41 112.84 115.55 110.13 114.20 116.63 111.78
+9 114.46 119.91 109.01 114.49 117.39 111.58 114.71 117.19 112.23
+10 116.24 122.50 109.97 116.08 119.04 113.12 115.82 118.52 113.12
+11 116.25 120.93 111.57 118.51 122.35 114.66 117.26 119.81 114.72
+12 116.85 120.64 113.06 120.00 124.00 115.99 118.78 121.52 116.04
+13 117.52 120.89 114.15 121.53 126.06 116.99 120.33 123.24 117.42
+14 121.58 128.72 114.44 122.33 127.11 117.55 121.55 124.75 118.35
+15 123.16 129.56 116.75 122.93 127.82 118.04 123.24 126.51 119.96

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 5. EME Exports

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=16) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=69) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 100.08 115.99 84.18 90.96 94.57 87.34
-11 102.33 118.70 85.97 92.14 95.61 88.67
-10 101.79 115.75 87.83 94.25 97.78 90.72
-9 104.65 119.50 89.80 95.80 99.43 92.17
-8 105.84 120.07 91.62 97.05 100.64 93.45
-7 107.76 120.55 94.98 98.19 101.67 94.71
-6 110.06 122.40 97.73 101.03 104.58 97.48
-5 110.72 122.58 98.85 103.94 107.81 100.07
-4 110.37 121.69 99.06 105.70 109.41 102.00
-3 109.11 119.49 98.74 105.95 110.06 101.85
-2 107.89 118.71 97.06 104.40 107.29 101.51
-1 105.03 111.35 98.71 101.90 104.55 99.25
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 105.76 115.00 96.53 102.21 103.58 100.84
+2 108.93 116.53 101.33 103.84 105.57 102.11
+3 111.77 120.60 102.93 106.96 108.91 105.01
+4 116.02 125.61 106.44 109.39 111.47 107.32
+5 118.68 127.94 109.41 112.54 114.77 110.32
+6 121.28 130.89 111.66 114.03 116.56 111.49
+7 123.92 134.11 113.72 116.98 120.03 113.94
+8 127.69 138.23 117.16 119.21 122.85 115.57
+9 129.20 140.44 117.96 121.41 125.06 117.75
+10 130.95 141.77 120.12 123.07 126.78 119.36
+11 134.10 146.08 122.12 123.62 127.55 119.69
+12 135.76 148.24 123.28 125.58 130.18 120.99
+13 136.88 149.80 123.96 127.99 132.46 123.53
+14 138.47 152.01 124.93 130.29 135.02 125.56
+15 139.70 151.92 127.48 131.38 136.41 126.36

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 6. AE Private Domestic Demand

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=10) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Euro area (n=29) Euro area + 2 s.e. Euro area - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=60) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 95.52 98.33 92.70 100.37 103.18 97.55 100.02 102.65 97.38
-11 95.83 98.64 93.01 100.59 103.43 97.75 100.35 103.04 97.65
-10 96.36 99.33 93.38 101.31 103.94 98.67 100.50 102.89 98.10
-9 96.63 99.42 93.85 101.61 104.04 99.19 101.26 103.52 99.00
-8 97.21 99.76 94.65 101.61 104.00 99.22 101.70 103.51 99.89
-7 97.71 100.09 95.33 102.00 104.10 99.91 101.91 103.63 100.19
-6 98.62 100.65 96.58 101.87 103.45 100.30 102.10 103.41 100.79
-5 99.38 101.22 97.55 102.22 103.76 100.69 102.28 103.33 101.23
-4 99.93 101.40 98.47 101.71 103.04 100.39 102.32 103.30 101.34
-3 100.06 101.37 98.74 101.64 103.41 99.87 102.26 103.00 101.52
-2 100.13 101.10 99.15 101.23 102.30 100.15 101.54 102.11 100.96
-1 100.12 100.70 99.54 99.89 100.77 99.00 100.66 100.99 100.33
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.54 101.06 100.01 99.74 100.46 99.01 100.36 100.71 100.00
+2 101.12 102.22 100.01 100.00 100.81 99.19 100.81 101.28 100.33
+3 101.38 102.25 100.51 100.06 101.10 99.01 101.56 102.22 100.90
+4 102.07 103.31 100.83 100.84 102.03 99.65 102.18 102.99 101.36
+5 102.50 104.07 100.94 101.18 102.08 100.28 103.17 104.07 102.27
+6 103.33 105.34 101.31 101.48 102.48 100.48 103.98 104.98 102.98
+7 103.62 105.63 101.61 101.92 103.22 100.61 104.61 105.70 103.52
+8 103.99 106.09 101.89 102.60 103.79 101.40 105.23 106.41 104.05
+9 104.79 106.98 102.59 103.25 104.78 101.72 106.10 107.43 104.78
+10 105.31 107.75 102.87 103.83 105.60 102.06 106.93 108.33 105.53
+11 106.18 109.27 103.10 104.14 105.91 102.36 107.86 109.33 106.39
+12 107.18 110.86 103.49 104.23 106.20 102.27 109.22 111.02 107.42
+13 107.85 111.81 103.89 104.64 106.99 102.29 110.11 111.95 108.28
+14 108.34 112.47 104.21 103.95 106.04 101.85 111.04 113.11 108.97
+15 108.71 113.10 104.32 104.45 106.93 101.98 112.06 114.42 109.69

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 7. EME Private Domestic Demand

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged (n=16) Pegged + 2 s.e. Pegged - 2 s.e. Flexible (n=69) Flexible + 2 s.e. Flexible - 2 s.e.
-12 101.49 111.19 91.79 99.55 103.62 95.48
-11 102.44 112.92 91.95 101.02 105.17 96.87
-10 104.16 114.46 93.87 102.54 106.57 98.52
-9 105.77 116.08 95.45 103.70 107.57 99.83
-8 107.21 117.52 96.89 103.93 107.63 100.24
-7 108.59 118.39 98.80 105.03 108.63 101.43
-6 109.26 117.91 100.61 105.84 109.04 102.65
-5 110.72 118.36 103.09 107.10 110.15 104.06
-4 110.24 116.65 103.84 108.05 110.78 105.33
-3 107.37 111.78 102.96 106.92 109.05 104.80
-2 104.95 108.49 101.40 105.13 106.67 103.60
-1 102.39 104.38 100.41 102.30 103.17 101.42
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.47 102.09 98.86 101.12 101.70 100.53
+2 102.11 103.85 100.37 102.51 103.41 101.60
+3 103.24 105.68 100.81 104.17 105.23 103.11
+4 104.81 108.27 101.35 106.37 107.77 104.98
+5 106.44 110.39 102.50 108.03 109.55 106.52
+6 108.50 113.38 103.61 109.59 111.54 107.65
+7 109.93 115.23 104.63 110.97 113.14 108.79
+8 112.56 119.27 105.84 112.50 114.92 110.07
+9 114.86 122.25 107.47 113.68 116.33 111.04
+10 115.27 122.96 107.59 114.97 117.65 112.30
+11 117.39 126.20 108.58 116.29 119.25 113.32
+12 118.11 128.01 108.20 118.01 120.91 115.10
+13 119.12 130.35 107.88 118.75 122.03 115.47
+14 119.83 131.95 107.71 119.96 123.37 116.54
+15 122.65 136.22 109.07 121.39 125.06 117.72

Thick lines are means. Thin lines denote two standard error bands.

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Figure 8. AE GDP

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged pre-GFC (n=12) Euro area post-GFC (n=29) Flexible pre-GFC (n=52) Flexible post-GFC (n=14)
-12 96.79 99.39 96.94 101.46
-11 97.18 100.16 97.46 101.90
-10 96.94 100.72 98.15 102.34
-9 98.04 101.21 98.72 102.46
-8 98.41 102.06 99.73 102.91
-7 98.81 102.10 100.14 103.26
-6 99.56 102.25 100.78 103.82
-5 100.11 102.54 100.99 103.33
-4 100.73 102.59 101.41 103.52
-3 101.16 102.36 101.25 103.14
-2 101.73 101.68 101.50 102.21
-1 101.14 100.66 100.83 101.02
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 101.64 100.54 101.04 100.95
+2 102.45 101.12 101.94 101.54
+3 102.35 101.51 102.72 102.39
+4 103.39 102.19 103.28 103.22
+5 103.74 102.67 104.07 103.99
+6 104.76 103.04 104.87 104.54
+7 104.80 103.69 106.03 104.70
+8 105.46 104.03 106.54 105.11
+9 106.20 104.59 107.11 105.49
+10 106.56 104.82 108.06 105.95
+11 107.04 105.76 108.70 106.67
+12 107.68 106.18 109.54 106.96
+13 108.14 106.54 110.24 107.28
+14 108.95 106.90 111.43 107.80
+15 109.59 107.07 112.17 108.30

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Figure 9. EME GDP

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged pre-GFC (n=13) Pegged post-GFC (n=6) Flexible pre-GFC (n=57) Flexible post-GFC (n=21)
-12 96.32 103.46 98.38 95.42
-11 97.01 105.16 99.79 96.87
-10 97.79 107.78 100.49 97.91
-9 99.57 109.07 101.02 99.51
-8 101.77 110.23 101.91 101.25
-7 102.56 111.37 102.33 101.99
-6 103.50 110.80 103.11 103.24
-5 104.90 111.65 104.42 104.63
-4 104.39 111.41 105.36 105.63
-3 104.60 106.47 104.34 105.15
-2 103.99 103.67 103.81 104.05
-1 102.12 101.87 102.39 101.83
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 103.39 101.40 101.85 101.64
+2 104.55 101.72 103.40 103.16
+3 107.08 102.55 104.97 104.56
+4 109.41 104.32 106.48 106.29
+5 110.49 105.59 107.85 108.00
+6 111.64 107.07 108.74 108.99
+7 113.60 107.98 110.08 110.39
+8 115.59 109.76 111.27 111.60
+9 116.68 109.85 112.48 112.37
+10 118.06 110.42 113.60 113.26
+11 119.13 111.41 114.63 113.81
+12 119.94 111.23 115.76 115.79
+13 120.78 111.71 116.62 116.65
+14 122.84 112.08 118.03 117.56
+15 124.11 112.52 119.43 118.50

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Figure 10. AE Exports

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged pre-GFC (n=10) Euro area post-GFC (n=29) Flexible pre-GFC (n=46) Flexible post-GFC (n=14)
-12 90.14 94.10 90.59 103.90
-11 90.70 96.36 91.88 103.54
-10 91.74 98.02 92.50 105.93
-9 92.21 99.67 93.24 103.58
-8 93.36 101.10 93.56 106.01
-7 94.68 102.13 95.14 107.13
-6 96.16 102.76 96.38 108.60
-5 97.33 104.23 97.27 110.26
-4 98.36 105.94 98.80 111.13
-3 98.87 105.87 99.03 111.13
-2 98.87 104.68 99.62 107.97
-1 99.52 101.10 99.25 103.31
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.53 101.07 101.76 102.37
+2 101.58 103.97 103.55 104.85
+3 104.67 104.94 105.01 106.86
+4 105.60 107.19 107.20 108.56
+5 107.74 109.17 109.41 109.80
+6 108.66 110.71 110.64 111.93
+7 110.38 111.16 113.12 113.75
+8 112.89 112.84 114.48 113.31
+9 114.46 114.49 115.28 112.85
+10 116.24 116.08 116.37 114.00
+11 116.25 118.51 117.81 115.46
+12 116.85 120.00 119.70 115.77
+13 117.52 121.53 121.39 116.86
+14 121.58 122.33 122.88 117.19
+15 123.16 122.93 124.75 117.91

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Figure 11. EME Exports

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged pre-GFC (n=10) Pegged post-GFC (n=6) Flexible pre-GFC (n=48) Flexible post-GFC (n=21)
-12 96.06 105.44 87.16 98.19
-11 99.24 106.45 88.56 99.14
-10 96.24 110.11 89.75 103.25
-9 98.96 113.20 91.42 104.78
-8 101.85 111.84 91.92 107.79
-7 102.40 116.71 93.48 108.08
-6 104.48 119.37 96.55 110.64
-5 106.68 117.44 100.14 112.26
-4 107.51 115.15 102.02 113.76
-3 106.83 112.93 102.33 114.05
-2 108.49 106.88 101.53 110.83
-1 106.03 103.35 100.93 104.06
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 108.00 102.03 102.26 102.09
+2 111.20 105.14 103.35 104.96
+3 112.52 110.51 106.42 108.18
+4 116.23 115.68 108.46 111.52
+5 117.46 120.70 112.15 113.44
+6 120.13 123.19 113.76 114.64
+7 124.34 123.22 117.24 116.39
+8 127.35 128.27 118.96 119.78
+9 130.62 126.84 121.44 121.33
+10 131.98 129.22 123.10 123.00
+11 136.36 130.32 123.91 122.96
+12 137.96 132.09 125.78 125.12
+13 138.42 134.31 128.62 126.49
+14 141.08 134.12 131.80 126.67
+15 142.21 135.52 133.35 126.67

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Figure 12. AE Private Domestic Demand

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged pre-GFC (n=10) Euro area post-GFC (n=29) Flexible pre-GFC (n=46) Flexible post-GFC (n=14)
-12 95.52 100.37 98.47 105.12
-11 95.83 100.59 98.66 105.87
-10 96.36 101.31 98.96 105.54
-9 96.63 101.61 99.84 105.91
-8 97.21 101.61 100.56 105.44
-7 97.71 102.00 100.89 105.25
-6 98.62 101.87 101.34 104.59
-5 99.38 102.22 101.97 103.30
-4 99.93 101.71 102.01 103.34
-3 100.06 101.64 101.93 103.34
-2 100.13 101.23 101.42 101.91
-1 100.12 99.89 100.67 100.63
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.54 99.74 100.12 101.15
+2 101.12 100.00 100.61 101.46
+3 101.38 100.06 101.43 101.97
+4 102.07 100.84 101.92 103.01
+5 102.50 101.18 102.96 103.89
+6 103.33 101.48 103.74 104.76
+7 103.62 101.92 104.53 104.89
+8 103.99 102.60 105.10 105.65
+9 104.79 103.25 106.11 106.07
+10 105.31 103.83 106.93 106.92
+11 106.18 104.14 107.84 107.91
+12 107.18 104.23 109.49 108.31
+13 107.85 104.64 110.57 108.62
+14 108.34 103.95 111.63 109.12
+15 108.71 104.45 112.64 110.00

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Figure 13. EME Private Domestic Demand

Index: Trough = 100

Make Full Screen
Quarter Relative to Trough Pegged pre-GFC (n=10) Pegged post-GFC (n=6) Flexible pre-GFC (n=48) Flexible post-GFC (n=21)
-12 94.76 110.47 102.45 94.03
-11 95.00 112.35 103.84 95.52
-10 96.48 115.68 105.36 96.91
-9 98.82 116.19 106.13 98.73
-8 100.93 116.63 105.58 100.49
-7 102.23 119.20 106.59 101.75
-6 103.70 118.52 107.03 103.30
-5 106.07 118.47 107.84 105.49
-4 106.47 116.53 108.84 106.33
-3 105.36 110.71 107.27 106.15
-2 104.16 106.26 105.23 104.92
-1 102.66 101.94 102.35 102.16
0 (Trough) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
+1 100.44 100.52 101.17 100.99
+2 102.57 101.35 102.73 102.01
+3 104.07 101.88 104.46 103.50
+4 106.13 102.61 106.69 105.65
+5 107.77 104.24 108.21 107.63
+6 109.87 106.21 109.52 109.75
+7 111.54 107.25 110.95 111.00
+8 114.37 109.53 112.59 112.28
+9 116.89 111.48 113.67 113.71
+10 117.76 111.14 115.07 114.75
+11 120.00 113.04 116.85 114.99
+12 120.94 113.38 117.98 118.08
+13 122.93 112.76 118.79 118.65
+14 124.43 112.17 119.89 120.11
+15 127.58 114.42 121.34 121.50

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Last Update: June 27, 2017