Meet the Researchers
Robert J. Tetlow
[email protected]
Education
- Ph.D., Economics, Carleton University (Ottawa)
- M.A., Economics, Simon Fraser University
- B.A., Economics/Commerce, Simon Fraser University
- Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Dynamics
- Learning, Expectations, and Bubbles
Senior Adviser
Division of Monetary Affairs
2016 - presentAdviser
Division of Monetary Affairs
2013 - 2016Senior Economist
Division of Research and Statistics
2000 - 2013Visiting Adviser
Research Department, International Monetary Fund
2010 - 2011Economist
Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
1995 - 2000Research Officer
Research Department, Bank of Canada
1993 - 1995Senior Analyst
Research Department, Bank of Canada
1991 - 1993Economist
Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis, Bank of Canada
1988 - 1991
- How Large is the Output Cost of Disinflation?
Robert J. Tetlow
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2022)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2022.079 - The Macroeconomic Implications of CBDC: A Review of the Literature
Sebastian Infante, Kyungmin Kim, Anna Orlik, André F. Silva, and Robert J. Tetlow
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2022)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2022.076 - The Monetary Policy Response to Uncertain Inflation Persistence
Robert Tetlow
Economics Letters (2019)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.10.034 - The Monetary Policy Response to Uncertain Inflation Persistence
Robert Tetlow
FEDS Notes (2018)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2247 - Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy
Christopher Erceg, James Hebden, Michael Kiley, David López-Salido, and Robert Tetlow
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2018)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.059 - The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy: Recent Changes and New Questions
William B. English, J. David López-Salido, and Robert J. Tetlow
IMF Economic Review (2015)
https://doi.org/10.1057/imfer.2014.27
See also » FRB Working Paper (2013) - Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert Tetlow
Journal of Monetary Economics (2015)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2014.09.005
See also » FRB Working Paper (2013) - Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' Policies Put to the Test
Robert J. Tetlow
International Journal of Central Banking (2015)
See also » FRB Working Paper (2010) - Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises
Kirstin Hubrich and Robert J. Tetlow
Working paper series (European Central Bank) (2014)
See also » FRB Working Paper (2013) - The Challenges of Estimating Potential Output in Real Time: Commentary
Robert J. Tetlow
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review (2009) - Robustifying Learnability
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (2009)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2008.06.005
See also » FRB Working Paper (2005) - Inflation Targeting and Target Instability
Robert J. Tetlow
International Journal of Central Banking (2008)
See also » FRB Working Paper (2000) - Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States - the Fed from 1996-2003
Robert J. Tetlow and Brian Ironside
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2007)
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2007.00078.x
See also » FRB Working Paper (2006) - On the Robustness of Simple and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules: Discussion
Robert J. Tetlow
Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2007.06.014 - Monetary Policy, Asset Prices and Misspecification
Robert Tetlow
Issues in Inflation Targeting, proceedings of a conference of the Bank of Canada (2005) - Optimal Policy Projections
Lars E. O. Svensson and Robert J. Tetlow
International Journal of Central Banking (2005)
See also » FRB Working Paper (2005) - Optimal Policy Projections
Lars O. Svensson and Robert J. Tetlow
NBER Working Paper Series (2005)
https://doi.org/10.3386/w11392
See also » FRB Working Paper (2005) - Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty
Robert Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Review of Economic Dynamics (2004)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2004.06.001
See also » FRB Working Paper (2003) - Robust Monetary Policy with Misspecified Models: Does Model Uncertainty Always Call for Attenuated Policy?
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (2001)
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1889(00)00061-0
See also » FRB Working Paper (2000) - Simplicity versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules When Agents Must Learn
Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (2001)
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1889(99)00075-5
See also » FRB Working Paper (1999) - Errors in the Measurement of the Output Gap and the Design of Monetary Policy
Athanasios Orphanides, Richard D. Porter, David Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and Frederico Finan
Journal of Economics & Business (2000)
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0148-6195(99)00031-4
See also » FRB Working Paper (1999) - Optimal Control of Large, Forward-Looking Models: Efficient Solutions and Two Examples
Frederico S. Finan and Robert Tetlow
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1999)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.1999.51 - Aggregate Disturbances, Monetary Policy, and the Macroeconomy: The FRB/US Perspective
David Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and John Williams
Federal Reserve Bulletin (1999)
https://doi.org/10.17016/bulletin.1999.85-1-1 - A Guide to FRB/US: A Macroeconomic Model of the United States
Flint Brayton, Peter A. Tinsley, Antulio N. Bomfim, David Reifschneider, Peter Von zur Muehlen, Robert J. Tetlow, and John C. Williams
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1997)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.1996.42 - Expectations, Learning, and the Costs of Disinflation: Experiments using the FRB/US Model
Antulio N. Bomfim, Robert Tetlow, Peter von zur Muehlen, and John Williams
Monetary Policy and the Inflation Process, BIS Conference Papers (1997)
See also » FRB Working Paper (1997) - The Dynamic Model: QPM
Robert Tetlow, Donald Coletti, Ben Hunt, and David Rose
Part 3 of The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (1996) - Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis
Tiff Macklem, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow
Staff Working Paper (Bank of Canada) (1995) - The Steady-State Model: SSQPM
Robert Tetlow, Richard Black, Douglas Laxton, and David Rose
Part 1 of The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (1994) - Zero-Inflation or Price-Level Targeting? Some Answers from Stochastic Simulations on a Small Open-Economy Macro Model
Jean-Francois Fillion and Robert Tetlow
Economic behaviour and policy choice under price stability (1994) - Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis
Tiff Macklem, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow
Deficit reduction: What pain, what gain? (1994) - Monetary Policy, Uncertainty and the Presumption of Linearity
Douglas Laxton, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow
Technical Reports (Bank of Canada) (1993) - Government Debt in an Open Economy
Douglas Laxton and Robert Tetlow
Technical Reports (Bank of Canada) (1992) - A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output
Douglas Laxton and Robert Tetlow
Technical Reports (Bank of Canada) (1992)
conference
April 2016CEPR conference, Frankfurt
Model Uncertainty and Policy Advice
seminar
March 2020Reserve Bank of New Zealand
The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Framework Review
conference
July 2022Canadian Economics Association annual conference
The Dynamics of Consumption, Income and Wealth: an endogenous regime-switching approach
conference
September 2014Advances in Applied Macro-Finance and Forecasting
Melting Down: Systemic Financial Instability and the Macroeconomy
seminar
September 2014Istanbul School of Central Banking, Istanbul, Turkey
An Introduction to the FRB/US Model of the U.S. Economy
conference
January 2013American Economics Association meetings, San Diego
Real-time Model Uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' policies put to the test
conference
July 2011NBER Summer Institute
Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Dynamics: the transmission of crises
conference
October 2009FRB-Cleveland conference on "Models and Policies for Economies with Credit and Financial Instability
Discussion of "Banks, Market Organization and Macroeconomic Performance: an agent-based computational analysis" by Ashraf, Gershman and Howitt
conference
October 2009FRB Conference on Key Developments in Monetary Economics
Discussion of "Wanting Robustness to Misspecification" by Lars P. Hansen and Thomas Sargent
conference
October 200833rd Annual Policy Conference of the FRB-St.Louis
Discussion of "The Pitfalls of Measuring Potential Output in Real Time" by Robert Arnold
conference
May 20082008 World Congress on National Accounts and Economic Performance Measures
Some Implications of Mismeasurement for Model Uncertainty and Monetary Policy
conference
July 2015NBER Summer Institute
Melting Down: Systemic Financial Instability and the Macroeconomy
Conference Organization
June 2005 | Washington, D.C.
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
Co-organizer
April 2003 | Washington, D.C.
Central Bankers' Workshop on Macromodeling
Co-organizer
Referee
- American Economic Review
- American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
- European Economic Review
- Journal of the European Economic Association
- Journal of Monetary Economics
- Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
- International Journal of Central Banking
- Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
- Review of Economic Dynamics
- Theoretical Economics
- Handbook of Monetary Economics
- Oxford Economic Papers
- Journal of Economic Surveys
- International Finance
- Journal of Macroeconomics
- Manchester School
- Computational Economics
- Economic Inquiry
Professional Affiliation
- President, Society for Computational Economics, 2010-2011
- Member, Advisory Committee, Society for Computational Economics, 2005-
- Member, American Economic Association
- Member, Society for Economic Dynamics
- Member, Canadian Economics Association
- Member, International Association for Applied Econometrics
- Advisory Committee, Dynare software group, Paris