Meet the Researchers
Ryan A. Decker
[email protected]
Education
- Ph.D., Economics, University of Maryland, 2015
- M.A., Economics, University of Maryland, College Park, 2013
- B.S., Economics/Political Science, Brigham Young University, 2010
- Firm dynamics/Entrepreneurship
- Economic measurement
Chief, Industrial Output Section
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2024 - presentSpecial Adviser to the Board
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2023 - 2024Principal Economist
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2020 - presentSenior Economist
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2018 - 2020Adjunct Professor
University of Maryland College Park
2016 - 2018Economist
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
2015 - 2018Economist
Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau
2011 - 2015
- High tech business entry in the pandemic era
Ryan Decker and John Haltiwanger
FEDS Notes (2024)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.3499 - Rising Markups and Declining Business Dynamism: Evidence From the Industry Cross Section
Brian C. Albrecht and Ryan A. Decker
FEDS Notes (2024)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.3471 - Boom Town Business Dynamics
Ryan A. Decker, Meagan McCollum, and Gregory B. Upton Jr.
Journal of Human Resources (2024)
https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.0221-11501R1
See also » FRB Working Paper (2020) - Payroll Employment at the Weekly Frequency
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings (2023)
https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20231052 - A note on industry concentration measurement
Ryan A. Decker and Jacob Williams
FEDS Notes (2023)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.3256 - Business exit during the COVID-19 pandemic: Non-traditional measures in historical context
Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Aaron Flaaen, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
Journal of Macroeconomics (2022)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2022.103419
See also » FRB Working Paper (2021) - Business entry and exit in the COVID-19 pandemic: A preliminary look at official data
Ryan A. Decker and John Haltiwanger
FEDS Notes (2022)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.3129 - Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
National Bureau of Economic Research Studies in Income and Wealth (2022)
See also » FRB Working Paper (2019) - Across the Universe: Policy Support for Employment and Revenue in the Pandemic Recession
Ryan A. Decker, Robert J. Kurtzman, Byron F. Lutz, and Christopher J. Nekarda
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2021)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2020.099r1 - Across the Universe: Policy Support for Employment and Revenue in the Pandemic Recession
Ryan A. Decker, Robert J. Kurtzman, Byron F. Lutz, and Christopher J. Nekarda
American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings (2021)
https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20211058
See also » FRB Working Paper (2021) - Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks versus Responsiveness
Ryan A. Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda
American Economic Review (2020)
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20190680
See also » FRB Working Paper (2018) - Tracking Labor Market Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Preliminary Assessment
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2020)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2020.030 - The US Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, and Ahu Yildirmaz
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2020)
https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2020.0005 - Tracking the Labor Market with "Big Data"
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
FEDS Notes (2019)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2441 - Business Dynamics in the National Establishment Time Series (NETS)
Leland D. Crane and Ryan A. Decker
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2019)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2019.034 - Using Payroll Processor Microdata to Measure Aggregate Labor Market Activity
Tomaz Cajner, Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Christopher Kurz, and Tyler Radler
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2018)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.005 - Entrepreneurship and State Taxation
E. Mark Curtis and Ryan A. Decker
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2018)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.003 - An Assessment of the National Establishment Time Series (NETS) Database
Keith Barnatchez, Leland D. Crane, and Ryan A. Decker
Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2017)
https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2017.110 - Natural Disasters and the Measurement of Industrial Production: Hurricane Harvey, A Case Study
Kimberly Bayard, Ryan Decker, and Charles Gilbert
FEDS Notes (2017)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2086 - Declining Dynamism, Allocative Efficiency, and the Productivity Slowdown
Ryan A. Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda
American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings (2017)
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.p20171020
See also » FRB Working Paper (2017) - Declining Business Dynamism: What We Know and the Way Forward
Ryan A. Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda
American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings (2016)
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.p20161050 - Unraveling the Oil Conundrum: Productivity Improvements and Cost Declines in the U.S. Shale Oil Industry
Ryan A. Decker, Aaron Flaaen, and Maria D. Tito
FEDS Notes (2016)
https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1736 - Where Has All the Skewness Gone? The Decline in High-Growth (Young) Firms in the U.S.
Ryan A. Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda
European Economic Review (2016)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.12.013 - Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility Over the Business Cycle
Ryan Decker, Pablo D'Erasmo, and Herman J. Moscoso Boedo
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (2016)
https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20130011 - The Role of Entrepreneurship in US Job Creation and Economic Dynamism
Ryan Decker, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin, and Javier Miranda
Journal of Economic Perspectives (2014)
https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.3.3
discussion
July 2024NBER Summer Institute CRIW
New U.S. Business Establishments: Surging or Stalling?
discussion
June 2024Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC) meeting
Expanding the Frontier of Economic Statistics Using Big Data by Dunn, English, Hood, Mason, Quistorff
conference
May 2024The Austin Symposium
Recent Patterns of New Business Creation
seminar
November 2023Economic Innovation Group
Surging Business Formation in the Pandemic: Causes and Consequences?
conference
September 2023Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall 2023
Surging Business Formation in the Pandemic: Causes and Consequences?
discussion
July 2023NBER Summer Institute CRIW
Consumption Zones
conference
March 2023Kent Macro Workshop
Markups and Business Dynamism Across Industries
conference
September 2022US-UK Working Group on Dynamism and Opportunity
Business Formation Patterns Before and During the Pandemic
discussion
July 2022NBER Summer Institute CRIW
Structural Change Within Versus Across Firms: Evidence from the United States by Ding, Fort, Redding, and Schott
conference
December 2021Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC) meeting
Measuring Business Exit
seminar
October 2021UNSW CAER Workshop
Business Exit During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context
discussion
September 20214th IMF Macro-Financial Research Conference
Small and Vulnerable: SME Productivity in the Great Productivity Slowdown by Chen and Lee
conference
July 2021NBER Summer Institute (CRIW)
Business Exit During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context
discussion
June 2021OECD Productivity Policy for Places workshop
Productivity and Resilience in COVID-19: A U.S. Perspective
conference
June 2021The Brookings Center for Regulation and Markets Graduate Workshop 3: Research and Data at the Federal Reserve Board
Business Exit During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context
conference
January 2021ASSA 2021
Across the Universe: Policy Support for Employment and Revenue in the Pandemic Recession
conference
November 2020Banca d'Italia & FRB joint conference on nontraditional data
Business Exit During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context
discussion
November 2020Federal Reserve System Macro conference
COVID-19 and SME Failures
seminar
October 2020CAED Seminar Series
Business Exit During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context
seminar
August 2020ITAM Business School
Tracking the Labor Market with Big Data in the COVID-19 Pandemic
conference
July 2020NBER Summer Institute (Entrepreneurship group)
Research with Private Sector Business Microdata: The Case of NETS/D&B
discussion
June 2020Workshop on Entrepreneurial Finance and Innovation
Value without Employment
seminar
June 2020New York Fed
Tracking Labor Market Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic
seminar
March 2020Southern Methodist University O'Neil Center
Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness
conference
January 2020Kenan Institute Frontiers of Entrepreneurship
High-Growth Firms: A Macro Perspective
conference
January 2020ASSA
Boom Town Business Dynamics
discussion
January 2020ASSA
Diverging Trends in National and Local Concentration
discussion
October 2019Federal Reserve System Energy Conference
Non-Renewable Resources, Extraction Technology and Endogenous Growth
discussion
August 2019JPMCC New Directions in Commodities Research Symposium
The Propogation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada
conference
May 2019Comparative Analysis of Enterprise Data (CAED) Conference
Business Dynamics in the National Establishment Time Series (NETS) Database
discussion
April 2019Duke/UNC Innovation and Entrepreneurship Research Conference
Entrepreneurship over the Lifecycle: Where Are the Young Entrepreneurs?
seminar
March 2019Resources for the Future
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
March 2019York University
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
conference
January 2019Kenan Institute Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Conference
The Critical Role of New Firms
seminar
December 2018Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
November 2018Oberlin College
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
November 2018Oberlin College
Entrepreneurship and the U.S. Economy
seminar
October 2018University of Hong Kong
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
October 2018Singapore Management University
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
discussion
September 2018Economic History Association annual meeting
The Impact of Business Cycle Conditions on Firm Dynamics and Composition: Enterprise Entry and Exit in Egypt, 1911-48.
conference
August 2018JPMCC New Directions in Commodities Research Symposium
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
conference
July 2018NBER Summer Institute (Entrepreneurship group)
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
conference
June 2018OECD/Bank of Canada Global Forum on Productivity
Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness
conference
June 2018IFN Stockholm Entrepreneurship and Innovation Workshop
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
May 2018Union College
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
May 2018Union College
Entrepreneurship and the U.S. Economy
seminar
March 2018National Association of Realtors
Entrepreneurship and State Taxation
seminar
February 2018George Mason University applied micro group
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
conference
January 2018Kenan Institute Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Conference
Young Firms in the U.S.
discussion
January 2018ASSA
High Growth Entrepreneurship
conference
January 2018ASSA
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
October 2017Brigham Young University
Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness
conference
September 2017Federal Reserve System Energy Meeting
Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom
conference
May 2017UNC IDEA workshop
Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness
conference
May 2017Midwest Macroeconomics Group Spring Conference
Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness
conference
May 2017NBER State Business Taxation workshop
Entrepreneurship and State Policy
conference
November 2016Southern Economic Association meetings
Entrepreneurship and State Policy
conference
October 2016NBER Entrepreneurship & Economic Growth conference
Entrepreneurship and State Policy
discussion
June 2016AREUEA National Conference
Discussion: Local Labor Market Shocks and Residential Mortgage Payments: Evidence from Shale Oil and Gas Boom
seminar
April 2016Drexel University
Changing Business Dynamism: Volatility of Shocks vs. Responsiveness to Shocks?
conference
February 2016NBER Entrepreneurship & Economic Growth pre-conference
Entrepreneurship and State Policy
seminar
March 2015George Mason University
Where Has All the Skewness Gone? The Decline in High-Growth (Young) Firms in the U.S.
seminar
October 2014University of Mississippi
Collateral Damage: Housing, Entrepreneurship, and Job Creation
seminar
June 2014The Heritage Foundation Center for Data Analysis
The Secular Decline in Business Dynamism in the U.S.
conference
November 2013Midwest Macroeconomics Group Fall Conference
Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility over the Business Cycle
conference
November 2012APPAM Fall Research Conference
The Secular Decline in Business Dynamism in the U.S.
Awards
- 2024
Division of Research & Statistics
Division Director's Award
Conference Organization
2019-2020 | Raleigh-Durham, NC
Kenan Institute Entrepreneurship Trends Report - Ecosystems
Advisory Committee
January 2019 | Atlanta, GA
Society of Government Economists (SGE) ASSA meeting
Program Committee
May 2017 | Baton Rouge, LA
Mid-West Macroeconomics Meeting
Program Committee
Referee
- AEJ: Economic Policy
- AEJ: Macroeconomics
- American Economic Review
- AER: Insights
- BE Journal of Macroeconomics
- Canadian Journal of Economics
- Congressional Budget Office draft review
- Econometrica
- Economic Inquiry
- Economic Journal
- Economica
- Economics Letters
- Energy Economics
- Energy Journal
- European Economic Review
- Health Economics
- International Economic Review
- Journal of Applied Econometrics
- Journal of Econometrics
- Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
- Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
- Journal of Economic Growth
- Journal of the European Economic Association
- Journal of Labor Economics
- Journal of Macroeconomics
- Journal of Monetary Economics
- Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
- Journal of Political Economy
- Journal of Productivity Analysis
- Journal of Public Economics
- Labour Economics
- Management Science
- National Science Foundation
- National Tax Journal
- NBER grant proposals
- Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
- Oxford Economic Papers
- Quarterly Journal of Economics
- Rand Journal of Economics
- Regional Science and Urban Economics
- Research Policy
- Review of Economic Dynamics
- Review of Economics and Statistics
- Review of Economic Studies
- Review of Financial Economics
- Review of Financial Studies
- Small Business Administration draft study review
- Small Business Economics
- Sustainability
- U.S. Census Bureau/FSRDC proposals
Professional Affiliation
- Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (CRIW)
- Special Sworn Status Researcher, U.S. Census Bureau