"Low-For-Long" Interest Rates and Portfolio Shifts in Advanced Foreign Economies, Accessible Data
Accessible version of figures
Exhibit 1. Investment Portfolio Allocation
1. Household Financial Assets
Household Financial Assets - 2006
Country | Currency & Deposits | Debt Securities | Equity | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area | 0.31 | 0.08 | 0.3 | 0.31 |
U.K. | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.6 |
Japan | 0.49 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Canada | 0.11 | 0.02 | 0.18 | 0.69 |
U.S. | 0.14 | 0.07 | 0.28 | 0.51 |
Household Financial Assets - 2015
Country | Currency & Deposits | Debt Securities | Equity | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area | 0.34 | 0.04 | 0.26 | 0.36 |
U.K. | 0.23 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 0.63 |
Japan | 0.51 | 0.03 | 0.1 | 0.36 |
Canada | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.2 | 0.68 |
U.S. | 0.14 | 0.06 | 0.3 | 0.49 |
2. Banks
Bank Financial Assets - 2006
Country | Currency & Deposits | Debt Securities | Loans | Equity | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area | 0.3 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
U.K. | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.35 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Japan | 0.02 | 0.23 | 0.6 | 0.05 | 0.1 |
Canada | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.53 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
U.S. | 0.06 | 0.21 | 0.64 | 0.01 | 0.08 |
Bank Financial Assets - 2015
Country | Currency & Deposits | Debt Securities | Loans | Equity | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area | 0.3 | 0.17 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.08 |
U.K. | 0.27 | 0.12 | 0.3 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
Japan | 0.15 | 0.2 | 0.52 | 0.03 | 0.11 |
Canada | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.62 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
U.S. | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.55 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
3. Insurance Companies & Pension Funds
Insurance Company & Pension Fund Financial Assets - 2006
Country | Currency & Deposits | Debt Securities | Loans | Equity | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area | 0.12 | 0.33 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.08 |
U.K. | 0.04 | 0.24 | 0.04 | 0.45 | 0.23 |
Japan | 0.02 | 0.57 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 |
Canada | 0.01 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.47 | 0.12 |
U.S. | 0.01 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 0.44 | 0.21 |
Insurance Company & Pension Fund Financial Assets - 2015
Country | Currency & Deposits | Debt Securities | Loans | Equity | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Euro Area | 0.09 | 0.38 | 0.08 | 0.38 | 0.06 |
U.K. | 0.03 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.35 | 0.32 |
Japan | 0.03 | 0.66 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.15 |
Canada | 0.02 | 0.36 | 0.05 | 0.47 | 0.1 |
U.S. | 0.01 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0.42 | 0.26 |
4. Household Debt
Dates | Canada | U.K. | Euro Area | Japan | U.S. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 March 2003 | 60.72 | 73.49 | 36.34 | 68.83 | 78.15 |
30 June 2003 | 62.62 | 74.97 | 37.09 | 67.61 | 80.49 |
30 September 2003 | 63.31 | 76.53 | 37.2 | 67.67 | 80.91 |
31 December 31 2003 | 64.04 | 77.68 | 37.51 | 67.26 | 81.71 |
31 March 2004 | 63.78 | 79.73 | 37.39 | 66.57 | 82.18 |
30 June 2004 | 64.63 | 80.94 | 37.8 | 66.3 | 83.48 |
30 September 2004 | 65.29 | 83.17 | 38.21 | 65.95 | 84.32 |
31 December 31 2004 | 66.2 | 84.34 | 38.73 | 65.83 | 86.07 |
31 March 2005 | 67.07 | 84.44 | 38.9 | 65.28 | 85.88 |
30 June 2005 | 68.1 | 84.58 | 39.32 | 64.44 | 87.3 |
30 September 2005 | 68.25 | 84.08 | 39.67 | 64.37 | 88.38 |
31 December 31 2005 | 68.26 | 84.04 | 40.08 | 64.9 | 89.36 |
31 March 2006 | 69.3 | 84.5 | 40.35 | 64.77 | 90.2 |
30 June 2006 | 70.48 | 85.66 | 40.77 | 64.28 | 91.66 |
30 September 2006 | 71.88 | 87.57 | 40.84 | 64.52 | 93.29 |
31 December 31 2006 | 73.43 | 88.71 | 41 | 63.66 | 94.11 |
31 March 2007 | 73.45 | 88.87 | 40.99 | 63.14 | 94.27 |
30 June 2007 | 74.64 | 90.25 | 41.37 | 63.14 | 95.07 |
30 September 2007 | 76.7 | 91.26 | 41.57 | 63.18 | 95.77 |
31 December 31 2007 | 77.38 | 91.36 | 41.85 | 63.15 | 96.4 |
31 March 2008 | 77.33 | 91.69 | 42.41 | 62.51 | 97.37 |
30 June 2008 | 77.73 | 93.14 | 43.3 | 62.59 | 95.87 |
30 September 2008 | 78.82 | 94.39 | 43.73 | 63.64 | 96.51 |
31 December 31 2008 | 83.64 | 95.95 | 45.28 | 64.08 | 96.33 |
31 March 2009 | 87.52 | 97.38 | 47.64 | 67.01 | 96.17 |
30 June 2009 | 90.09 | 97.49 | 47.86 | 65.85 | 96.23 |
30 September 2009 | 90.86 | 96.71 | 47.6 | 66.02 | 95.89 |
31 December 31 2009 | 90.16 | 96.28 | 47.76 | 65.11 | 94.55 |
31 March 2010 | 89.1 | 95.71 | 47.31 | 63.88 | 92.93 |
30 June 2010 | 90.47 | 94.02 | 46.71 | 63 | 91.31 |
30 September 2010 | 91.18 | 93.86 | 46.36 | 62.07 | 90.04 |
31 December 31 2010 | 90.48 | 92.95 | 46.6 | 62.55 | 88.79 |
31 March 2011 | 89.01 | 90.84 | 46.02 | 63.82 | 88.39 |
30 June 2011 | 89.74 | 91.66 | 46.56 | 64.38 | 86.56 |
30 September 2011 | 89.85 | 91.26 | 46.55 | 63.13 | 85.36 |
31 December 31 2011 | 89.65 | 90.58 | 46.53 | 63.12 | 84.34 |
31 March 2012 | 89.9 | 90.04 | 46.05 | 62.25 | 83.2 |
30 June 2012 | 91.13 | 90.56 | 45.88 | 62.79 | 82.54 |
30 September 2012 | 91.96 | 88.83 | 45.29 | 63.1 | 81.82 |
31 December 31 2012 | 92.13 | 88.79 | 45.46 | 63.24 | 82.02 |
31 March 2013 | 90.81 | 88.01 | 45.48 | 62.74 | 80.81 |
30 June 2013 | 91.72 | 87.67 | 45.16 | 62.29 | 80.57 |
30 September 2013 | 91.81 | 86.75 | 44.9 | 62.02 | 80.27 |
31 December 31 2013 | 91.54 | 86.61 | 44.49 | 62.46 | 79.47 |
31 March 2014 | 90.52 | 85.9 | 43.98 | 61.99 | 79.3 |
30 June 2014 | 90.93 | 84.95 | 43.74 | 61.8 | 79.07 |
30 September 2014 | 91.36 | 84.66 | 43.25 | 62.08 | 78.5 |
31 December 31 2014 | 92.31 | 84.86 | 43.11 | 61.92 | 78.45 |
31 March 2015 | 93.52 | 85.2 | 42.23 | 60.96 | 77.96 |
30 June 2015 | 95.22 | 84.76 | 41.84 | 60.98 | 77.8 |
30 September 2015 | 96.22 | 85.65 | 41.81 | 61.07 | 77.63 |
31 December 31 2015 | 97.34 | 86.31 | 41.64 | 61.63 | 78.03 |
Exhibit 2. Bond Markets: Yields, Spreads, and Issuance
Panel 1 of Exhibit 2 shows the time series for the period 2003-2015 of non-financial corporate debt as percent of GDP for Canada, the euro area, the U.K, Japan, and the United States. Before the global financial crisis the chart shows a slight decline for Japan and Canada and a slight increase for the Unites States, the U.K., and the euro area. After the global financial crisis it is declining for Japan and the U.K., it is mostly flat for the United States and the euro area, and it is increasing only for Canada.
Panel 2 of Exhibit 2 shows the time series for the period 2003-2015 of the high yield share of corporate bond issuance for Canada, the euro area, the U.K, Japan, and the United States. The data show some increase in the supply of high yield bonds from the euro area and the U.K. from 2009 onwards.
Panel 3 of Exhibit 2 shows the time series for the period end-2008 through early-2015 of euro area investment in U.K. portfolio debt (in billions of euros) and the 10-year sovereign yield differential between the U.K. and Germany. Until the beginning of 2013 both series generally decline. From 2013 onward investment starts to increase as the yield differential also increases.
Panel 4 of Exhibit 2 shows the time series for the period end-2008 through early-2015 of euro area investment in U.S. portfolio debt (in billions of euros) and the 10-year sovereign yield differential between the United States and Germany. The two series follow each other closely: as the yield differential increases sharply starting in early-2013 so does investment in the United States.
Exhibit 3. Holdings of U.S. Corporate Bonds, by Country
Panels 1 and 2 of Exhibit 3 show the time series for the period 2003-2014 of the average yield of holdings of U.S. corporate bonds by Canada, the euro area, the U.K, and Japan. The panel also plots as benchmark the BofA Merrill Lynch U.S. corporate bond investment grade index. Until 2009, the yield of euro area holdings followed closely the BofA Merrill Lynch Investment Grade U.S. Corporate Bond Index, but it has since started to diverge and as of 2014 is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Index. Average yields observed for holdings by Canadian investors show a less pronounced divergence and U.K. investors show only some divergence.
Panels 3 and 4 of Exhibit 3 show the time series for the period 2003-2014 of the average maturity of holdings of U.S. corporate bonds by Canada, the euro area, the U.K, and Japan. The panel also plots as benchmark the Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. corporate bond investment grade index. The average maturity of the euro area's portfolio of U.S. corporate bonds has edged up since 2009 and exceeds its peak in 2005. The maturity of Japanese holdings has also increased. The maturity of Canadian holdings has declined, while the BofA Merrill Lynch benchmark has been pretty stable over the entire period.
Panels 5 and 6 of Exhibit 3 show the time series for the period 2003-2014 of the average credit rating of holdings of U.S. corporate bonds by Canada, the euro area, the U.K, and Japan. The panel also plots as benchmark the Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. corporate bond investment grade index. After following closely the Index, the average credit rating of euro area and Canadian holdings declined substantially since 2009, with the gap with the index widening over time. For U.K. and Japanese investors there is not much of a decline in the average credit ratings of the foreign assets they hold.