Accessible Version
Accessible Version
How Healthy are U.S. Households' Balance Sheets?
Philip N. Jefferson
Vice Chair, Federal Reserve Board
Vassar College, February 19, 2025
Disclaimer: The views I will express today are my own and not necessarily those of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) or the Federal Reserve System.
Roadmap of Talk
- Overall household wealth and its implications for spending
- Assets
- Liabilities
- Credit Availability and Costs
- Monetary Policy Transmission
Figure 1: Household Balance Sheet
Assets | Liabilities |
---|---|
Real estate | Mortgages |
Stock holdings | Auto loans |
Bank deposits | Credit card loans |
Other assets | Other liabilities |
Net worth = Assets - Liabilities
Figure 2: Real Net Worth
Index 2019Q4 = 100
Quarterly
Date | Low- and middle-income | Total |
---|---|---|
2014 Q1 | 72.66080148 | 80.54346782 |
2014 Q2 | 71.65842126 | 80.26125101 |
2014 Q3 | 71.22691178 | 81.1976377 |
2014 Q4 | 71.0386947 | 82.3367528 |
2015 Q1 | 71.62351597 | 85.12054998 |
2015 Q2 | 70.74792359 | 85.09422521 |
2015 Q3 | 70.2611032 | 85.80589359 |
2015 Q4 | 70.53143921 | 88.08851655 |
2016 Q1 | 70.57293645 | 89.87459167 |
2016 Q2 | 69.28051285 | 88.79578949 |
2016 Q3 | 69.06381138 | 90.11901872 |
2016 Q4 | 71.58223718 | 90.66336195 |
2017 Q1 | 74.2824506 | 91.79066547 |
2017 Q2 | 76.20267457 | 90.6970302 |
2017 Q3 | 78.70244933 | 91.18799667 |
2017 Q4 | 81.38121445 | 92.37775407 |
2018 Q1 | 84.15730126 | 93.91988589 |
2018 Q2 | 86.0142656 | 93.11903271 |
2018 Q3 | 87.66894426 | 91.6666028 |
2018 Q4 | 90.8961213 | 94.01586285 |
2019 Q1 | 94.32531203 | 96.62219033 |
2019 Q2 | 95.62047563 | 94.64222711 |
2019 Q3 | 98.53824499 | 96.16338299 |
2019 Q4 | 100 | 100 |
2020 Q1 | 102.5754533 | 106.5978353 |
2020 Q2 | 106.7139786 | 115.9004984 |
2020 Q3 | 106.3971672 | 115.9993854 |
2020 Q4 | 107.9660806 | 120.290403 |
2021 Q1 | 109.8202711 | 126.3532608 |
2021 Q2 | 108.4830662 | 125.0695383 |
2021 Q3 | 107.4722996 | 124.2985605 |
2021 Q4 | 107.6292272 | 126.8521209 |
2022 Q1 | 106.5530216 | 126.5661156 |
2022 Q2 | 104.5116314 | 123.7487268 |
2022 Q3 | 103.0349947 | 121.3945803 |
2022 Q4 | 101.5946231 | 118.8504821 |
2023 Q1 | 100.5470219 | 117.2343386 |
2023 Q2 | 99.76228832 | 116.2124148 |
2023 Q3 | 98.96153179 | 115.2812428 |
2023 Q4 | 99.29502442 | 116.7003385 |
2024 Q1 | 99.41702615 | 117.6981172 |
2024 Q2 | 98.62288414 | 116.3053028 |
2024 Q3 | 99.24028099 | 118.2595918 |
Note: Quarterly.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1 "Financial Accounts of the United States" and the Distributional Financial Accounts.
Figure 3: Personal Saving Rate
Percent
Monthly
Date | Personal Saving Rate |
---|---|
Jan 2014 | 5.2 |
Feb 2014 | 5.3 |
Mar 2014 | 5.2 |
Apr 2014 | 5.4 |
May 2014 | 5.6 |
Jun 2014 | 5.6 |
Jul 2014 | 5.5 |
Aug 2014 | 5.3 |
Sep 2014 | 5.5 |
Oct 2014 | 5.4 |
Nov 2014 | 5.6 |
Dec 2014 | 6 |
Jan 2015 | 6.3 |
Feb 2015 | 6.4 |
Mar 2015 | 5.9 |
Apr 2015 | 5.9 |
May 2015 | 5.8 |
Jun 2015 | 5.7 |
Jul 2015 | 5.6 |
Aug 2015 | 5.6 |
Sep 2015 | 5.8 |
Oct 2015 | 5.8 |
Nov 2015 | 5.6 |
Dec 2015 | 5.8 |
Jan 2016 | 6.1 |
Feb 2016 | 5.6 |
Mar 2016 | 5.9 |
Apr 2016 | 5.5 |
May 2016 | 5.3 |
Jun 2016 | 4.9 |
Jul 2016 | 5.1 |
Aug 2016 | 5.1 |
Sep 2016 | 5.1 |
Oct 2016 | 5.3 |
Nov 2016 | 5.4 |
Dec 2016 | 5 |
Jan 2017 | 5.3 |
Feb 2017 | 5.6 |
Mar 2017 | 5.6 |
Apr 2017 | 5.7 |
May 2017 | 6.3 |
Jun 2017 | 6 |
Jul 2017 | 6 |
Aug 2017 | 6.1 |
Sep 2017 | 5.9 |
Oct 2017 | 6 |
Nov 2017 | 5.6 |
Dec 2017 | 5 |
Jan 2018 | 5.7 |
Feb 2018 | 5.8 |
Mar 2018 | 5.9 |
Apr 2018 | 6 |
May 2018 | 6 |
Jun 2018 | 6.3 |
Jul 2018 | 6.5 |
Aug 2018 | 6.6 |
Sep 2018 | 6.8 |
Oct 2018 | 6.7 |
Nov 2018 | 6.5 |
Dec 2018 | 8.4 |
Jan 2019 | 8.4 |
Feb 2019 | 8.5 |
Mar 2019 | 7.9 |
Apr 2019 | 7.6 |
May 2019 | 7.3 |
Jun 2019 | 7.1 |
Jul 2019 | 6.8 |
Aug 2019 | 6.9 |
Sep 2019 | 7 |
Oct 2019 | 7.1 |
Nov 2019 | 6.9 |
Dec 2019 | 6.2 |
Jan 2020 | 7 |
Feb 2020 | 7.5 |
Mar 2020 | 12.4 |
Apr 2020 | 32 |
May 2020 | 22.8 |
Jun 2020 | 18.4 |
Jul 2020 | 17.8 |
Aug 2020 | 13.9 |
Sep 2020 | 13.1 |
Oct 2020 | 12.6 |
Nov 2020 | 11.8 |
Dec 2020 | 11.8 |
Jan 2021 | 19.2 |
Feb 2021 | 12.6 |
Mar 2021 | 25.9 |
Apr 2021 | 12 |
May 2021 | 9.6 |
Jun 2021 | 8.4 |
Jul 2021 | 9.2 |
Aug 2021 | 8.4 |
Sep 2021 | 7.2 |
Oct 2021 | 6.6 |
Nov 2021 | 6.1 |
Dec 2021 | 6 |
Jan 2022 | 3.6 |
Feb 2022 | 3.6 |
Mar 2022 | 2.7 |
Apr 2022 | 2.2 |
May 2022 | 2.3 |
Jun 2022 | 2 |
Jul 2022 | 3.1 |
Aug 2022 | 3.1 |
Sep 2022 | 3.1 |
Oct 2022 | 3.2 |
Nov 2022 | 3.4 |
Dec 2022 | 3.7 |
Jan 2023 | 4.2 |
Feb 2023 | 4.6 |
Mar 2023 | 5.3 |
Apr 2023 | 5 |
May 2023 | 5.2 |
Jun 2023 | 5 |
Jul 2023 | 4.6 |
Aug 2023 | 4.7 |
Sep 2023 | 4.4 |
Oct 2023 | 4.5 |
Nov 2023 | 4.6 |
Dec 2023 | 4.4 |
Jan 2024 | 5.5 |
Feb 2024 | 5.4 |
Mar 2024 | 5.2 |
Apr 2024 | 5.1 |
May 2024 | 4.9 |
Jun 2024 | 4.8 |
Jul 2024 | 4.4 |
Aug 2024 | 4.4 |
Sep 2024 | 4.1 |
Oct 2024 | 4.3 |
Nov 2024 | 4.1 |
Dec 2024 | 3.8 |
Note: Monthly. Ratio of saving to disposable personal income.
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Figure 4: Average Household Spending by Group
Percent change, Jan. 2018 = 0
Monthly
Date | All Groups | Low Income $0-60K | Middle Income $60K-100K | High Income $100K+ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Feb 2018 | 2.265771039 | 1.922144782 | 1.151373604 | 1.258407124 |
Mar 2018 | 1.624522388 | 1.249345681 | -0.1996041 | 1.508029075 |
Apr 2018 | 0.946341105 | 0.896094795 | -0.116665853 | 0.790481148 |
May 2018 | 1.681211649 | 1.18013788 | 1.380390764 | 2.014392508 |
Jun 2018 | 2.119584976 | 2.540061631 | 1.568154837 | 1.961134795 |
Jul 2018 | 0.191109381 | 0.904152473 | -0.536906934 | 1.538176107 |
Aug 2018 | 3.116738038 | 3.135641783 | 1.773734832 | 2.518971321 |
Sep 2018 | 2.504432254 | 3.179979254 | 1.909230463 | 2.661084542 |
Oct 2018 | -0.329377961 | 0.904470141 | -1.281188544 | 0.458261595 |
Nov 2018 | 3.282550138 | 3.238110473 | 2.94090213 | 2.822839087 |
Dec 2018 | 1.736754378 | 2.810064051 | 1.005568118 | 2.073592774 |
Jan 2019 | 2.851900131 | 2.451283884 | 2.167772878 | 3.290045111 |
Feb 2019 | 2.758992431 | 1.88673966 | 2.548297758 | 2.871687328 |
Mar 2019 | 3.153309087 | 3.91114615 | 2.697088217 | 3.911967714 |
Apr 2019 | 2.422290306 | 3.394970074 | 0.041594426 | 2.266135362 |
May 2019 | 2.779912354 | 1.845567763 | 2.446328476 | 4.488977313 |
Jun 2019 | 0.915068009 | 0.655428921 | 0.495360059 | 2.105823591 |
Jul 2019 | 1.800306955 | 1.463530721 | 1.523187979 | 2.946157382 |
Aug 2019 | 3.053008391 | 2.098989594 | 3.075473943 | 3.959840345 |
Sep 2019 | 0.964120487 | 0.688128664 | 1.127323158 | 1.80409862 |
Oct 2019 | 2.178658306 | 3.074641633 | 1.528897124 | 2.436991841 |
Nov 2019 | 1.795408263 | 1.969250347 | 0.912168945 | 2.38570473 |
Dec 2019 | 2.631444543 | 2.378930798 | 2.0337313 | 4.134860604 |
Jan 2020 | 4.08724902 | 2.397949021 | 2.588302926 | 5.286117143 |
Feb 2020 | 2.379373624 | 2.150749339 | 2.151728415 | 4.144201863 |
Mar 2020 | -1.351288094 | 0.256004946 | -1.305665359 | 1.351654545 |
Apr 2020 | -2.484046821 | 2.177764027 | -6.84429453 | -5.05859991 |
May 2020 | 2.544329504 | 7.362413439 | 0.988496087 | 1.690248591 |
Jun 2020 | 6.677058784 | 8.471101939 | 5.334768949 | 6.545375171 |
Jul 2020 | 6.823742927 | 9.291314298 | 5.169265137 | 5.95294684 |
Aug 2020 | 5.28437673 | 6.769175877 | 4.719006585 | 6.548285672 |
Sep 2020 | 7.728568635 | 8.920185415 | 5.747361358 | 8.959599282 |
Oct 2020 | 8.591934335 | 8.391028366 | 7.655111869 | 10.55422853 |
Nov 2020 | 8.147102668 | 8.577464537 | 6.871277741 | 9.821816538 |
Dec 2020 | 7.533348687 | 7.992214311 | 6.81207287 | 8.167402261 |
Jan 2021 | 11.22982809 | 10.60057969 | 10.7864192 | 10.82215145 |
Feb 2021 | 10.74039826 | 9.063019381 | 9.499179125 | 12.14056787 |
Mar 2021 | 15.57216016 | 19.69666919 | 15.19910302 | 13.26950283 |
Apr 2021 | 15.34904624 | 17.37687484 | 13.34380525 | 13.7985141 |
May 2021 | 11.10076746 | 13.54449836 | 10.95903228 | 12.05451147 |
Jun 2021 | 10.96695933 | 12.10702869 | 10.58847934 | 11.76051688 |
Jul 2021 | 10.13549481 | 11.1208179 | 10.13288135 | 10.27841617 |
Aug 2021 | 9.514357514 | 11.61565579 | 8.758751443 | 10.92228081 |
Sep 2021 | 11.13544546 | 11.35662375 | 11.12722045 | 12.52110998 |
Oct 2021 | 9.761224101 | 9.685711358 | 9.838511287 | 11.5609788 |
Nov 2021 | 10.25311553 | 9.689943837 | 10.08936504 | 12.73144282 |
Dec 2021 | 9.990644555 | 8.938616122 | 9.986342241 | 12.01713103 |
Jan 2022 | 8.710958314 | 6.9357612 | 8.680548521 | 11.33624611 |
Feb 2022 | 8.940342175 | 6.854989229 | 8.776520713 | 11.41702445 |
Mar 2022 | 9.087656198 | 6.748086342 | 9.067241807 | 11.97787741 |
Apr 2022 | 10.30096643 | 8.626678455 | 9.745156445 | 12.11590091 |
May 2022 | 8.689082103 | 7.170709603 | 9.365188359 | 11.68127745 |
Jun 2022 | 8.561287019 | 7.095506763 | 8.33299456 | 11.42657581 |
Jul 2022 | 11.1046092 | 7.946566389 | 11.64065692 | 14.66439615 |
Aug 2022 | 8.553642211 | 7.07890027 | 8.761085271 | 11.93219059 |
Sep 2022 | 8.5518969 | 6.815359265 | 8.629957179 | 11.53836005 |
Oct 2022 | 9.897712814 | 8.029062548 | 10.61194712 | 12.60086735 |
Nov 2022 | 8.072286846 | 6.300770984 | 8.421407221 | 11.32389153 |
Dec 2022 | 10.46181332 | 8.413124697 | 10.36355206 | 13.49056532 |
Jan 2023 | 9.88937161 | 8.222553411 | 10.09388177 | 13.2616039 |
Feb 2023 | 9.825393542 | 8.011163983 | 9.991175254 | 12.59797205 |
Mar 2023 | 7.939247219 | 7.047043723 | 8.590774263 | 11.87373131 |
Apr 2023 | 9.813966454 | 5.778166281 | 8.622124948 | 13.24393693 |
May 2023 | 9.757064966 | 7.003641454 | 9.440575521 | 13.60439187 |
Jun 2023 | 9.763935861 | 6.71669707 | 9.830752916 | 14.18295515 |
Jul 2023 | 11.21923266 | 7.661521174 | 11.29634671 | 15.54975816 |
Aug 2023 | 10.27398894 | 6.741153513 | 10.04035588 | 14.44771816 |
Sep 2023 | 11.5951821 | 7.725992668 | 11.26776458 | 15.87591789 |
Oct 2023 | 11.21812964 | 6.13732661 | 10.45766908 | 16.12666872 |
Nov 2023 | 13.21005723 | 8.388950711 | 12.80835132 | 18.10159034 |
Dec 2023 | 13.06644172 | 7.89598301 | 12.94349955 | 17.84015454 |
Jan 2024 | 10.89687034 | 7.504168431 | 10.3786915 | 16.0231697 |
Feb 2024 | 10.96437208 | 7.752200436 | 10.68604494 | 16.06414433 |
Mar 2024 | 12.91917765 | 8.553097544 | 11.76383659 | 17.76963875 |
Apr 2024 | 13.44495659 | 9.34668744 | 12.90329113 | 17.1472688 |
May 2024 | 14.91737804 | 9.670191808 | 13.62029928 | 19.08860822 |
Jun 2024 | 13.11953879 | 9.277293711 | 12.56137821 | 17.4066023 |
Jul 2024 | 12.98251286 | 8.830564462 | 11.52942027 | 16.85026549 |
Aug 2024 | 16.25740745 | 10.9375632 | 15.36703137 | 19.53846686 |
Sep 2024 | 15.51817298 | 10.10532396 | 14.52936825 | 18.71632488 |
Oct 2024 | 17.49069536 | 12.00665505 | 16.2341819 | 19.45562451 |
Nov 2024 | 16.5220283 | 11.06566658 | 15.35793357 | 18.55110319 |
Dec 2024 | 17.57636279 | 11.03365542 | 15.94085306 | 19.97264062 |
Note: Monthly.
Source: Numerator.
Figure 5: Real Liquid Assets
Index 2019Q4 = 100
Quarterly
Date | Low- and middle-income | Total |
---|---|---|
2014 Q1 | 72.66080148 | 80.54346782 |
2014 Q2 | 71.65842126 | 80.26125101 |
2014 Q3 | 71.22691178 | 81.1976377 |
2014 Q4 | 71.0386947 | 82.3367528 |
2015 Q1 | 71.62351597 | 85.12054998 |
2015 Q2 | 70.74792359 | 85.09422521 |
2015 Q3 | 70.2611032 | 85.80589359 |
2015 Q4 | 70.53143921 | 88.08851655 |
2016 Q1 | 70.57293645 | 89.87459167 |
2016 Q2 | 69.28051285 | 88.79578949 |
2016 Q3 | 69.06381138 | 90.11901872 |
2016 Q4 | 71.58223718 | 90.66336195 |
2017 Q1 | 74.2824506 | 91.79066547 |
2017 Q2 | 76.20267457 | 90.6970302 |
2017 Q3 | 78.70244933 | 91.18799667 |
2017 Q4 | 81.38121445 | 92.37775407 |
2018 Q1 | 84.15730126 | 93.91988589 |
2018 Q2 | 86.0142656 | 93.11903271 |
2018 Q3 | 87.66894426 | 91.6666028 |
2018 Q4 | 90.8961213 | 94.01586285 |
2019 Q1 | 94.32531203 | 96.62219033 |
2019 Q2 | 95.62047563 | 94.64222711 |
2019 Q3 | 98.53824499 | 96.16338299 |
2019 Q4 | 100 | 100 |
2020 Q1 | 102.5754533 | 106.5978353 |
2020 Q2 | 106.7139786 | 115.9004984 |
2020 Q3 | 106.3971672 | 115.9993854 |
2020 Q4 | 107.9660806 | 120.290403 |
2021 Q1 | 109.8202711 | 126.3532608 |
2021 Q2 | 108.4830662 | 125.0695383 |
2021 Q3 | 107.4722996 | 124.2985605 |
2021 Q4 | 107.6292272 | 126.8521209 |
2022 Q1 | 106.5530216 | 126.5661156 |
2022 Q2 | 104.5116314 | 123.7487268 |
2022 Q3 | 103.0349947 | 121.3945803 |
2022 Q4 | 101.5946231 | 118.8504821 |
2023 Q1 | 100.5470219 | 117.2343386 |
2023 Q2 | 99.76228832 | 116.2124148 |
2023 Q3 | 98.96153179 | 115.2812428 |
2023 Q4 | 99.29502442 | 116.7003385 |
2024 Q1 | 99.41702615 | 117.6981172 |
2024 Q2 | 98.62288414 | 116.3053028 |
2024 Q3 | 99.24028099 | 118.2595918 |
Note: Quarterly. Liquid assets include liquid deposits and money market fund shares.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1 "Financial Accounts of the United States" and the Distributional Financial Accounts.
Figure 6. Household Liabilities
Percent of disposable income
Quarterly
Date | Home Mortgage | Consumer Credit | Other |
---|---|---|---|
2000 Q1 | 62.31 | 83.89 | 96.52 |
2000 Q2 | 62.82 | 84.7 | 96.93 |
2000 Q3 | 63.11 | 85.44 | 97.53 |
2000 Q4 | 63.59 | 86.63 | 98.16 |
2001 Q1 | 63.72 | 86.52 | 97.38 |
2001 Q2 | 65.56 | 88.72 | 99.63 |
2001 Q3 | 65.93 | 88.94 | 100.57 |
2001 Q4 | 68.49 | 92.88 | 103.9 |
2002 Q1 | 68.48 | 92.15 | 102.96 |
2002 Q2 | 69.61 | 93.34 | 103.73 |
2002 Q3 | 71.56 | 95.56 | 105.81 |
2002 Q4 | 73.19 | 97.48 | 107.69 |
2003 Q1 | 74.71 | 98.72 | 109.14 |
2003 Q2 | 76.91 | 101.02 | 112.46 |
2003 Q3 | 77.96 | 101.95 | 112.84 |
2003 Q4 | 79.77 | 104.07 | 114.98 |
2004 Q1 | 80.81 | 104.75 | 115.82 |
2004 Q2 | 82.47 | 106.21 | 117.41 |
2004 Q3 | 84.26 | 108.29 | 119.2 |
2004 Q4 | 85.34 | 109.49 | 120.7 |
2005 Q1 | 88.52 | 112.7 | 123.94 |
2005 Q2 | 90.3 | 114.4 | 125.67 |
2005 Q3 | 92.18 | 116.43 | 127.71 |
2005 Q4 | 93.38 | 117.66 | 128.72 |
2006 Q1 | 94.26 | 118.15 | 129.4 |
2006 Q2 | 96.18 | 119.9 | 131.41 |
2006 Q3 | 97.76 | 121.89 | 133.57 |
2006 Q4 | 98.26 | 122.59 | 134.81 |
2007 Q1 | 98.6 | 122.37 | 134.4 |
2007 Q2 | 99.14 | 122.94 | 135.44 |
2007 Q3 | 100.16 | 124.54 | 136.75 |
2007 Q4 | 100.03 | 124.64 | 137.07 |
2008 Q1 | 99.46 | 123.7 | 136.5 |
2008 Q2 | 96.36 | 120.05 | 132.04 |
2008 Q3 | 96.94 | 121.05 | 134.25 |
2008 Q4 | 96.71 | 120.94 | 132.56 |
2009 Q1 | 97.42 | 121.22 | 132.66 |
2009 Q2 | 96.12 | 119.41 | 131.07 |
2009 Q3 | 96.12 | 119.62 | 131.75 |
2009 Q4 | 94.79 | 118.04 | 130.47 |
2010 Q1 | 92.69 | 115.16 | 128.24 |
2010 Q2 | 90.43 | 112.37 | 125.35 |
2010 Q3 | 89.1 | 111.1 | 123.82 |
2010 Q4 | 86.68 | 109.7 | 122.45 |
2011 Q1 | 84.76 | 107.2 | 119.98 |
2011 Q2 | 83.57 | 106.05 | 118.63 |
2011 Q3 | 82.29 | 104.96 | 117.37 |
2011 Q4 | 81.41 | 104.4 | 116.67 |
2012 Q1 | 79.09 | 101.49 | 113.65 |
2012 Q2 | 77.82 | 100.39 | 112.38 |
2012 Q3 | 77.79 | 100.96 | 113.06 |
2012 Q4 | 74.78 | 97.69 | 109.14 |
2013 Q1 | 77.19 | 100.97 | 113 |
2013 Q2 | 76.23 | 100.19 | 112.25 |
2013 Q3 | 75.69 | 100.04 | 111.85 |
2013 Q4 | 75.14 | 99.84 | 112.66 |
2014 Q1 | 73.59 | 97.95 | 110.82 |
2014 Q2 | 72.21 | 96.68 | 109.5 |
2014 Q3 | 71.36 | 96.14 | 108.11 |
2014 Q4 | 70.49 | 95.45 | 107.26 |
2015 Q1 | 69.57 | 94.29 | 106.13 |
2015 Q2 | 69.26 | 94.3 | 106.22 |
2015 Q3 | 68.99 | 94.46 | 106.23 |
2105 Q4 | 69.09 | 93.97 | 105.78 |
2016 Q1 | 68.42 | 93.18 | 104.96 |
2016 Q2 | 68.49 | 93.61 | 105.48 |
2016 Q3 | 68.38 | 93.88 | 105.76 |
2016 Q4 | 67.94 | 93.69 | 105.29 |
2017 Q1 | 67.17 | 92.46 | 104.01 |
2017 Q2 | 66.76 | 92.09 | 103.74 |
2017 Q3 | 66.62 | 92.14 | 103.67 |
2017 Q4 | 66.29 | 92.05 | 103.73 |
2018 Q1 | 65.37 | 90.61 | 102.26 |
2018 Q2 | 64.96 | 90.1 | 101.64 |
2018 Q3 | 64.67 | 89.95 | 101.33 |
2018 Q4 | 64.19 | 89.6 | 100.81 |
2019 Q1 | 63.45 | 88.42 | 99.58 |
2019 Q2 | 63.68 | 88.89 | 100.38 |
2019 Q3 | 63.64 | 89.06 | 100.7 |
2019 Q4 | 63.48 | 89.1 | 100.98 |
2020 Q1 | 63.11 | 88.22 | 100.38 |
2020 Q2 | 57.96 | 80.61 | 91.67 |
2020 Q3 | 60.45 | 84.01 | 95.73 |
2020 Q4 | 62.17 | 86.35 | 98.83 |
2021 Q1 | 55.43 | 76.68 | 88.07 |
2021 Q2 | 61.71 | 85.6 | 97.96 |
2021 Q3 | 62.81 | 87.05 | 99.66 |
2021 Q4 | 63.82 | 88.42 | 101.27 |
2022 Q1 | 65.76 | 90.77 | 103.95 |
2022 Q2 | 66.26 | 91.56 | 104.48 |
2022 Q3 | 65.52 | 90.63 | 103.32 |
2022 Q4 | 65.03 | 90.2 | 102.44 |
2023 Q1 | 63.06 | 87.32 | 99.06 |
2023 Q2 | 62.56 | 86.71 | 98.4 |
2023 Q3 | 62.53 | 86.54 | 98.32 |
2023 Q4 | 62.25 | 86.27 | 98 |
2024 Q1 | 61.05 | 84.4 | 96.19 |
2024 Q2 | 60.98 | 84.24 | 96.1 |
2024 Q3 | 61.12 | 84.47 | 96.35 |
Note: Quarterly. Home mortgages also include loans made under home equity lines of credit and home equity loans secured by junior liens. Consumer credit includes credit cards, auto loans, student loans, and other consumer loans. Other liabilities include other bank loans and the liabilities of nonprofit organizations.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1. "Financial Account of the United States."
Figure 7: Revolving Credit Balances
Percent of disposable income
Monthly
Date | Revolving Credit Balances |
---|---|
Jan 2014 | 6.812926284 |
Feb 2014 | 6.819844193 |
Mar 2014 | 6.787921676 |
Apr 2014 | 6.799437522 |
May 2014 | 6.793336126 |
Jun 2014 | 6.760677944 |
Jul 2014 | 6.781917071 |
Aug 2014 | 6.767907108 |
Sep 2014 | 6.75321684 |
Oct 2014 | 6.742998256 |
Nov 2014 | 6.655385022 |
Dec 2014 | 6.660197768 |
Jan 2015 | 6.599573361 |
Feb 2015 | 6.58816226 |
Mar 2015 | 6.645724596 |
Apr 2015 | 6.67259279 |
May 2015 | 6.663837941 |
Jun 2015 | 6.690683538 |
Jul 2015 | 6.70516271 |
Aug 2015 | 6.717813102 |
Sep 2015 | 6.757727387 |
Oct 2015 | 6.760521215 |
Nov 2015 | 6.74048778 |
Dec 2015 | 6.554272336 |
Jan 2016 | 6.558992159 |
Feb 2016 | 6.581557158 |
Mar 2016 | 6.655882949 |
Apr 2016 | 6.677047634 |
May 2016 | 6.694908511 |
Jun 2016 | 6.740008955 |
Jul 2016 | 6.747774557 |
Aug 2016 | 6.768285915 |
Sep 2016 | 6.770093672 |
Oct 2016 | 6.752522899 |
Nov 2016 | 6.771138503 |
Dec 2016 | 6.770724874 |
Jan 2017 | 6.738206302 |
Feb 2017 | 6.747737709 |
Mar 2017 | 6.756989976 |
Apr 2017 | 6.743960459 |
May 2017 | 6.732176649 |
Jun 2017 | 6.754446122 |
Jul 2017 | 6.750554932 |
Aug 2017 | 6.75776279 |
Sep 2017 | 6.759642641 |
Oct 2017 | 6.788882663 |
Nov 2017 | 6.812330817 |
Dec 2017 | 6.8156063 |
Jan 2018 | 6.788691955 |
Feb 2018 | 6.771765909 |
Mar 2018 | 6.763601977 |
Apr 2018 | 6.705935031 |
May 2018 | 6.693498045 |
Jun 2018 | 6.649170975 |
Jul 2018 | 6.680101877 |
Aug 2018 | 6.691633182 |
Sep 2018 | 6.691703784 |
Oct 2018 | 6.706641443 |
Nov 2018 | 6.698919561 |
Dec 2018 | 6.617571177 |
Jan 2019 | 6.65028362 |
Feb 2019 | 6.643696048 |
Mar 2019 | 6.627388914 |
Apr 2019 | 6.665489725 |
May 2019 | 6.679021286 |
Jun 2019 | 6.658502827 |
Jul 2019 | 6.710777978 |
Aug 2019 | 6.678605909 |
Sep 2019 | 6.661999383 |
Oct 2019 | 6.660573718 |
Nov 2019 | 6.568032604 |
Dec 2019 | 6.675539547 |
Jan 2020 | 6.616636113 |
Feb 2020 | 6.613603315 |
Mar 2020 | 6.606356593 |
Apr 2020 | 5.472760191 |
May 2020 | 5.617352981 |
Jun 2020 | 5.595949309 |
Jul 2020 | 5.518062285 |
Aug 2020 | 5.66494759 |
Sep 2020 | 5.640323657 |
Oct 2020 | 5.63637474 |
Nov 2020 | 5.652692537 |
Dec 2020 | 5.627273641 |
Jan 2021 | 5.049448992 |
Feb 2021 | 5.505864004 |
Mar 2021 | 4.441999038 |
Apr 2021 | 5.206206612 |
May 2021 | 5.379204955 |
Jun 2021 | 5.523529059 |
Jul 2021 | 5.489948993 |
Aug 2021 | 5.491053122 |
Sep 2021 | 5.597380394 |
Oct 2021 | 5.608087703 |
Nov 2021 | 5.641335824 |
Dec 2021 | 5.682229961 |
Jan 2022 | 5.838375074 |
Feb 2022 | 5.866936672 |
Mar 2022 | 5.965330542 |
Apr 2022 | 6.01557183 |
May 2022 | 6.034281465 |
Jun 2022 | 6.104198133 |
Jul 2022 | 6.08458653 |
Aug 2022 | 6.095342266 |
Sep 2022 | 6.106830597 |
Oct 2022 | 6.127624581 |
Nov 2022 | 6.169134251 |
Dec 2022 | 6.20784067 |
Jan 2023 | 6.104808896 |
Feb 2023 | 6.085980703 |
Mar 2023 | 6.115947 |
Apr 2023 | 6.145527735 |
May 2023 | 6.154324112 |
Jun 2023 | 6.167080559 |
Jul 2023 | 6.202924255 |
Aug 2023 | 6.231213861 |
Sep 2023 | 6.236529242 |
Oct 2023 | 6.237488576 |
Nov 2023 | 6.274504362 |
Dec 2023 | 6.281154273 |
Jan 2024 | 6.242325237 |
Feb 2024 | 6.269753937 |
Mar 2024 | 6.236227945 |
Apr 2024 | 6.230527708 |
May 2024 | 6.25357028 |
Jun 2024 | 6.237984679 |
Jul 2024 | 6.269213768 |
Aug 2024 | 6.250689837 |
Sep 2024 | 6.236268853 |
Oct 2024 | 6.264055903 |
Nov 2024 | 6.185370813 |
Dec 2024 | 6.26664446 |
Note: Monthly. Revolving credit includes credit cards and certain other revolving credit plans including overdrafts.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release G.19 "Consumer Credit."
Figure 8: Debt Service Ratio
Percent of disposable income
Quarterly
Date | Debt Service Ratio |
---|---|
2005 Q1 | 14.799802 |
2005 Q2 | 14.828576 |
2005 Q3 | 15.139959 |
2005 Q4 | 15.02855 |
2006 Q1 | 14.989443 |
2006 Q2 | 15.044255 |
2006 Q3 | 15.367228 |
2006 Q4 | 15.509711 |
2007 Q1 | 15.526607 |
2007 Q2 | 15.63251 |
2007 Q3 | 15.712123 |
2007 Q4 | 15.846367 |
2008 Q1 | 15.775857 |
2008 Q2 | 15.326612 |
2008 Q3 | 15.546547 |
2008 Q4 | 15.72136 |
2009 Q1 | 15.5975 |
2009 Q2 | 15.251967 |
2009 Q3 | 15.08588 |
2009 Q4 | 14.896385 |
2010 Q1 | 14.51494 |
2010 Q2 | 14.069775 |
2010 Q3 | 13.917807 |
2010 Q4 | 13.580863 |
2011 Q1 | 13.30846 |
2011 Q2 | 13.057706 |
2011 Q3 | 12.944597 |
2011 Q4 | 12.749684 |
2012 Q1 | 12.237057 |
2012 Q2 | 12.034062 |
2012 Q3 | 12.083103 |
2012 Q4 | 11.754027 |
2013 Q1 | 12.006592 |
2013 Q2 | 11.794383 |
2013 Q3 | 11.83767 |
2013 Q4 | 11.985207 |
2014 Q1 | 11.883677 |
2014 Q2 | 11.621055 |
2014 Q3 | 11.646861 |
2014 Q4 | 11.631907 |
2015 Q1 | 11.556536 |
2015 Q2 | 11.485036 |
2015 Q3 | 11.60638 |
2015 Q4 | 11.738873 |
2016 Q1 | 11.763178 |
2016 Q2 | 11.766073 |
2016 Q3 | 11.769815 |
2016 Q4 | 11.865778 |
2017 Q1 | 11.723722 |
2017 Q2 | 11.756945 |
2017 Q3 | 11.818401 |
2017 Q4 | 11.816667 |
2018 Q1 | 11.64453 |
2018 Q2 | 11.598338 |
2018 Q3 | 11.619535 |
2018 Q4 | 11.666344 |
2019 Q1 | 11.49987 |
2019 Q2 | 11.626952 |
2019 Q3 | 11.646524 |
2019 Q4 | 11.727526 |
2020 Q1 | 11.587379 |
2020 Q2 | 9.739372 |
2020 Q3 | 10.067065 |
2020 Q4 | 10.404484 |
2021 Q1 | 9.084982 |
2021 Q2 | 9.889169 |
2021 Q3 | 10.057423 |
2021 Q4 | 10.281331 |
2022 Q1 | 10.512948 |
2022 Q2 | 10.71918 |
2022 Q3 | 10.598597 |
2022 Q4 | 10.78019 |
2023 Q1 | 10.635344 |
2023 Q2 | 10.675248 |
2023 Q3 | 10.866162 |
2023 Q4 | 11.230787 |
2024 Q1 | 11.160256 |
2024 Q2 | 11.159134 |
2024 Q3 | 11.298014 |
Note: Quarterly. Ratio of required debt payments (debt service) to disposable personal income.
Source: Federal Reserve Board.
Figure 9: Credit Risk Score Distribution
This is a line chart. The x-axis ranges from the year 2014 to the year 2024 in one-year increments. The y-axis ranges from 10 to 70, and represents percent. The variables in the chart are quarterly in frequency, and there are three of them: share of individuals in the equifax consumer credit panel who are prime, nonprime, and subprime, represented by a thin dark orange line, a thick dark blue line, and a dotted black line, respectively. The chart shows that prior to 2020, the share of prime borrowers was gradually increasing from about 49 percent in 2014, and the shares of nonprime and subprime borrowers were gradually decreasing from about 27 and 24 percent, respectively. In 2020, the share of subprime borrowers started to fall at a more rapid pace, with near prime shares starting to increase, and prime shares increasing at a faster pace. At the end of 2024, the share of prime borrowers is about 58 percent, and the near prime and subprime shares stand at around 24 and 19 percent, respectively.
Note: Quarterly. Share of individuals in Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Consumer Credit Panel (CCP)/Equifax panel with indicated risk scores. Near prime is between 620 and 719, prime is greater than 719.
Source: FRBNY CCP/Equifax.
Figure 10: Credit Card Utilization Rates
This is a line chart. The x-axis ranges from the year 2014 to the year 2024 in one-year increments. The y-axis ranges from 0 to 100, and represents percent. The variables in the chart are quarterly in frequency, and there are three of them: utilization rates of borrowers who are prime, nonprime, and subprime, represented by a thin dark orange line, a thick dark blue line, and a dotted black line, respectively. The chart shows that utilization rates have been historically stable by score bin from 2014 to 2024, with prime utilization between 10 and 20 percent, near prime between 50 and 60 percent, and subprime between 80 and 90 percent. After 2020, the utilization rates fell for all 3 groups but have rebounded. For subprime and near prime borrowers, utilization rates continued to rise and have surpassed their per-pandemic levels. Utilization rates for subprime and near prime borrowers are about 4-5 percentage points higher than they were pre-pandemic.
Note: Quarterly. Utilization rate is the ratio of credit card balance to credit limit. Near prime is between 620 and 719, prime is greater than 719.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.
Figure 11: Changes in Standards on Consumer Loans
This is a line chart. The x-axis ranges from the year 2014 to the year 2024 in one-year increments. The y-axis ranges from -100 to 100, and is divided by a zero line in the center. Any value above 0 represents the net percent of banks tightening standards, and a value below 0 indicates the net percent of banks loosening standards. There is one variable in the chart and it is quarterly in fequency. The variable is represented by a solid black line. The series shows a steep increase in tightening in 2020, reaching a local maximum at almost 100 percent. This is then followed by a steep decline in 2021, reaching a local minimum in 2021 at nearly -75 percent. Late 2022 into 2023 shows the series return positive, peaking at about 60 percent in 2023 before starting to decline toward zero in 2024. The series ends slightly below zero.
Note: Quarterly. Responses weighted by bank loan portfolio size. Net percent of banks reporting tightening standards on consumer loans, which include credit cards, auto loans, and other consumer loans.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices.
Figure 12: Auto Loan and Credit Card Interest Rates
Percent
Monthly
Date | Credit Cards | New 60-month Auto Loans |
---|---|---|
Feb 2014 | 11.82607 | 4.37 |
May 2014 | 11.83113 | 4.46 |
Aug 2014 | 11.81993 | 4.11 |
Nov 2014 | 11.99434 | 4.07 |
Feb 2015 | 11.97915 | 4.27 |
May 2015 | 12.04486 | 4.21 |
Aug 2015 | 12.09726 | 4.25 |
Nov 2015 | 12.22121 | 4.05 |
Feb 2016 | 12.30681 | 4.11 |
May 2016 | 12.16263 | 4.15 |
Aug 2016 | 12.51101 | 4.25 |
Nov 2016 | 12.40682 | 4.05 |
Feb 2017 | 12.54485 | 4.21 |
May 2017 | 12.76583 | 4.24 |
Aug 2017 | 13.08337 | 4.36 |
Nov 2017 | 13.16257 | 4.51 |
Feb 2018 | 13.62639 | 4.75 |
May 2018 | 14.14461 | 4.99 |
Aug 2018 | 14.37866 | 4.96 |
Nov 2018 | 14.73242 | 5.36 |
Feb 2019 | 15.09084 | 5.24 |
May 2019 | 15.12614 | 5.36 |
Aug 2019 | 15.09624 | 5.27 |
Nov 2019 | 14.86807 | 5.37 |
Feb 2020 | 15.08625 | 5.15 |
May 2020 | 14.52351 | 5.14 |
Aug 2020 | 14.57989 | 4.98 |
Nov 2020 | 14.65075 | 4.8 |
Feb 2021 | 14.75281 | 4.96 |
May 2021 | 14.60712 | 5.05 |
Aug 2021 | 14.54218 | 4.6 |
Nov 2021 | 14.51172 | 4.67 |
Feb 2022 | 14.56009 | 4.52 |
May 2022 | 15.12865 | 4.85 |
Aug 2022 | 16.26579 | 5.5 |
Nov 2022 | 19.07022 | 6.55 |
Feb 2023 | 20.09303 | 7.48 |
May 2023 | 20.84254 | 7.81 |
Aug 2023 | 21.19461 | 7.88 |
Nov 2023 | 21.47257 | 8.15 |
Feb 2024 | 21.5886 | 8.22 |
May 2024 | 21.51238 | 8.2 |
Aug 2024 | 21.75997 | 8.4 |
Nov 2024 | 21.47223 | 7.82 |
Note: Quarterly.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release G.19 "Consumer Credit."
Figure 13: Distribution of Interest Rates on Outstanding Mortgages
This is a line chart. The x-axis ranges from the year 2014 to the year 2024 in one-year increments. The y-axis ranges from 0 to 100, and represents percent. The variables in the chart are monthly in frequency, and there are three of them: percent of outstanding mortgages with interest rates below 4 percent, below 5 percent, and below 6 percent, represented by a blue line, a dotted red line, and a thick black line, respectively. Prior to 2020, the graph shows more than 80 percent of mortgages were below 6 percent and less than 40 percent were below 4 percent. After 2020, the distribution notably shifts, especially for below 5 percent and below 4 percent. The below 6% line rises from about 93 percent to about 95 percent, from mid-2020 to mid-2022, while below 5 percent rises from about 85 percent to about 90 percent, and below 4 percent rises from about 50 percent to about 70 percent over the same period. All three series start to decline slightly since their peaks in 2022, with the 2024 year-end values showing around 60 percent of outstanding mortgages below 4 percent, 75 percent of outstanding mortgages below 5 percent, and 85 percent of mortgages below 6 percent.
Note: Monthly. Sample only includes outstanding mortgages current on their payments.
Source: Intercontinental Exchange Mortgage Technology, McDash.