Accessible Version

Figure 1. Unemployment is very low

Monthly
Percent

Period Unemployment rate
January 1965 4.9
February 1965 5.1
March 1965 4.7
April 1965 4.8
May 1965 4.6
June 1965 4.6
July 1965 4.4
August 1965 4.4
September 1965 4.3
October 1965 4.2
November 1965 4.1
December 1965 4.0
January 1966 4.0
February 1966 3.8
March 1966 3.8
April 1966 3.8
May 1966 3.9
June 1966 3.8
July 1966 3.8
August 1966 3.8
September 1966 3.7
October 1966 3.7
November 1966 3.6
December 1966 3.8
January 1967 3.9
February 1967 3.8
March 1967 3.8
April 1967 3.8
May 1967 3.8
June 1967 3.9
July 1967 3.8
August 1967 3.8
September 1967 3.8
October 1967 4.0
November 1967 3.9
December 1967 3.8
January 1968 3.7
February 1968 3.8
March 1968 3.7
April 1968 3.5
May 1968 3.5
June 1968 3.7
July 1968 3.7
August 1968 3.5
September 1968 3.4
October 1968 3.4
November 1968 3.4
December 1968 3.4
January 1969 3.4
February 1969 3.4
March 1969 3.4
April 1969 3.4
May 1969 3.4
June 1969 3.5
July 1969 3.5
August 1969 3.5
September 1969 3.7
October 1969 3.7
November 1969 3.5
December 1969 3.5
January 1970 3.9
February 1970 4.2
March 1970 4.4
April 1970 4.6
May 1970 4.8
June 1970 4.9
July 1970 5.0
August 1970 5.1
September 1970 5.4
October 1970 5.5
November 1970 5.9
December 1970 6.1
January 1971 5.9
February 1971 5.9
March 1971 6.0
April 1971 5.9
May 1971 5.9
June 1971 5.9
July 1971 6.0
August 1971 6.1
September 1971 6.0
October 1971 5.8
November 1971 6.0
December 1971 6.0
January 1972 5.8
February 1972 5.7
March 1972 5.8
April 1972 5.7
May 1972 5.7
June 1972 5.7
July 1972 5.6
August 1972 5.6
September 1972 5.5
October 1972 5.6
November 1972 5.3
December 1972 5.2
January 1973 4.9
February 1973 5.0
March 1973 4.9
April 1973 5.0
May 1973 4.9
June 1973 4.9
July 1973 4.8
August 1973 4.8
September 1973 4.8
October 1973 4.6
November 1973 4.8
December 1973 4.9
January 1974 5.1
February 1974 5.2
March 1974 5.1
April 1974 5.1
May 1974 5.1
June 1974 5.4
July 1974 5.5
August 1974 5.5
September 1974 5.9
October 1974 6.0
November 1974 6.6
December 1974 7.2
January 1975 8.1
February 1975 8.1
March 1975 8.6
April 1975 8.8
May 1975 9.0
June 1975 8.8
July 1975 8.6
August 1975 8.4
September 1975 8.4
October 1975 8.4
November 1975 8.3
December 1975 8.2
January 1976 7.9
February 1976 7.7
March 1976 7.6
April 1976 7.7
May 1976 7.4
June 1976 7.6
July 1976 7.8
August 1976 7.8
September 1976 7.6
October 1976 7.7
November 1976 7.8
December 1976 7.8
January 1977 7.5
February 1977 7.6
March 1977 7.4
April 1977 7.2
May 1977 7.0
June 1977 7.2
July 1977 6.9
August 1977 7.0
September 1977 6.8
October 1977 6.8
November 1977 6.8
December 1977 6.4
January 1978 6.4
February 1978 6.3
March 1978 6.3
April 1978 6.1
May 1978 6.0
June 1978 5.9
July 1978 6.2
August 1978 5.9
September 1978 6.0
October 1978 5.8
November 1978 5.9
December 1978 6.0
January 1979 5.9
February 1979 5.9
March 1979 5.8
April 1979 5.8
May 1979 5.6
June 1979 5.7
July 1979 5.7
August 1979 6.0
September 1979 5.9
October 1979 6.0
November 1979 5.9
December 1979 6.0
January 1980 6.3
February 1980 6.3
March 1980 6.3
April 1980 6.9
May 1980 7.5
June 1980 7.6
July 1980 7.8
August 1980 7.7
September 1980 7.5
October 1980 7.5
November 1980 7.5
December 1980 7.2
January 1981 7.5
February 1981 7.4
March 1981 7.4
April 1981 7.2
May 1981 7.5
June 1981 7.5
July 1981 7.2
August 1981 7.4
September 1981 7.6
October 1981 7.9
November 1981 8.3
December 1981 8.5
January 1982 8.6
February 1982 8.9
March 1982 9.0
April 1982 9.3
May 1982 9.4
June 1982 9.6
July 1982 9.8
August 1982 9.8
September 1982 10.1
October 1982 10.4
November 1982 10.8
December 1982 10.8
January 1983 10.4
February 1983 10.4
March 1983 10.3
April 1983 10.2
May 1983 10.1
June 1983 10.1
July 1983 9.4
August 1983 9.5
September 1983 9.2
October 1983 8.8
November 1983 8.5
December 1983 8.3
January 1984 8.0
February 1984 7.8
March 1984 7.8
April 1984 7.7
May 1984 7.4
June 1984 7.2
July 1984 7.5
August 1984 7.5
September 1984 7.3
October 1984 7.4
November 1984 7.2
December 1984 7.3
January 1985 7.3
February 1985 7.2
March 1985 7.2
April 1985 7.3
May 1985 7.2
June 1985 7.4
July 1985 7.4
August 1985 7.1
September 1985 7.1
October 1985 7.1
November 1985 7.0
December 1985 7.0
January 1986 6.7
February 1986 7.2
March 1986 7.2
April 1986 7.1
May 1986 7.2
June 1986 7.2
July 1986 7.0
August 1986 6.9
September 1986 7.0
October 1986 7.0
November 1986 6.9
December 1986 6.6
January 1987 6.6
February 1987 6.6
March 1987 6.6
April 1987 6.3
May 1987 6.3
June 1987 6.2
July 1987 6.1
August 1987 6.0
September 1987 5.9
October 1987 6.0
November 1987 5.8
December 1987 5.7
January 1988 5.7
February 1988 5.7
March 1988 5.7
April 1988 5.4
May 1988 5.6
June 1988 5.4
July 1988 5.4
August 1988 5.6
September 1988 5.4
October 1988 5.4
November 1988 5.3
December 1988 5.3
January 1989 5.4
February 1989 5.2
March 1989 5.0
April 1989 5.2
May 1989 5.2
June 1989 5.3
July 1989 5.2
August 1989 5.2
September 1989 5.3
October 1989 5.3
November 1989 5.4
December 1989 5.4
January 1990 5.4
February 1990 5.3
March 1990 5.2
April 1990 5.4
May 1990 5.4
June 1990 5.2
July 1990 5.5
August 1990 5.7
September 1990 5.9
October 1990 5.9
November 1990 6.2
December 1990 6.3
January 1991 6.4
February 1991 6.6
March 1991 6.8
April 1991 6.7
May 1991 6.9
June 1991 6.9
July 1991 6.8
August 1991 6.9
September 1991 6.9
October 1991 7.0
November 1991 7.0
December 1991 7.3
January 1992 7.3
February 1992 7.4
March 1992 7.4
April 1992 7.4
May 1992 7.6
June 1992 7.8
July 1992 7.7
August 1992 7.6
September 1992 7.6
October 1992 7.3
November 1992 7.4
December 1992 7.4
January 1993 7.3
February 1993 7.1
March 1993 7.0
April 1993 7.1
May 1993 7.1
June 1993 7.0
July 1993 6.9
August 1993 6.8
September 1993 6.7
October 1993 6.8
November 1993 6.6
December 1993 6.5
January 1994 6.6
February 1994 6.6
March 1994 6.5
April 1994 6.4
May 1994 6.1
June 1994 6.1
July 1994 6.1
August 1994 6.0
September 1994 5.9
October 1994 5.8
November 1994 5.6
December 1994 5.5
January 1995 5.6
February 1995 5.4
March 1995 5.4
April 1995 5.8
May 1995 5.6
June 1995 5.6
July 1995 5.7
August 1995 5.7
September 1995 5.6
October 1995 5.5
November 1995 5.6
December 1995 5.6
January 1996 5.6
February 1996 5.5
March 1996 5.5
April 1996 5.6
May 1996 5.6
June 1996 5.3
July 1996 5.5
August 1996 5.1
September 1996 5.2
October 1996 5.2
November 1996 5.4
December 1996 5.4
January 1997 5.3
February 1997 5.2
March 1997 5.2
April 1997 5.1
May 1997 4.9
June 1997 5.0
July 1997 4.9
August 1997 4.8
September 1997 4.9
October 1997 4.7
November 1997 4.6
December 1997 4.7
January 1998 4.6
February 1998 4.6
March 1998 4.7
April 1998 4.3
May 1998 4.4
June 1998 4.5
July 1998 4.5
August 1998 4.5
September 1998 4.6
October 1998 4.5
November 1998 4.4
December 1998 4.4
January 1999 4.3
February 1999 4.4
March 1999 4.2
April 1999 4.3
May 1999 4.2
June 1999 4.3
July 1999 4.3
August 1999 4.2
September 1999 4.2
October 1999 4.1
November 1999 4.1
December 1999 4.0
January 2000 4.0
February 2000 4.1
March 2000 4.0
April 2000 3.8
May 2000 4.0
June 2000 4.0
July 2000 4.0
August 2000 4.1
September 2000 3.9
October 2000 3.9
November 2000 3.9
December 2000 3.9
January 2001 4.2
February 2001 4.2
March 2001 4.3
April 2001 4.4
May 2001 4.3
June 2001 4.5
July 2001 4.6
August 2001 4.9
September 2001 5.0
October 2001 5.3
November 2001 5.5
December 2001 5.7
January 2002 5.7
February 2002 5.7
March 2002 5.7
April 2002 5.9
May 2002 5.8
June 2002 5.8
July 2002 5.8
August 2002 5.7
September 2002 5.7
October 2002 5.7
November 2002 5.9
December 2002 6.0
January 2003 5.8
February 2003 5.9
March 2003 5.9
April 2003 6.0
May 2003 6.1
June 2003 6.3
July 2003 6.2
August 2003 6.1
September 2003 6.1
October 2003 6.0
November 2003 5.8
December 2003 5.7
January 2004 5.7
February 2004 5.6
March 2004 5.8
April 2004 5.6
May 2004 5.6
June 2004 5.6
July 2004 5.5
August 2004 5.4
September 2004 5.4
October 2004 5.5
November 2004 5.4
December 2004 5.4
January 2005 5.3
February 2005 5.4
March 2005 5.2
April 2005 5.2
May 2005 5.1
June 2005 5.0
July 2005 5.0
August 2005 4.9
September 2005 5.0
October 2005 5.0
November 2005 5.0
December 2005 4.9
January 2006 4.7
February 2006 4.8
March 2006 4.7
April 2006 4.7
May 2006 4.6
June 2006 4.6
July 2006 4.7
August 2006 4.7
September 2006 4.5
October 2006 4.4
November 2006 4.5
December 2006 4.4
January 2007 4.6
February 2007 4.5
March 2007 4.4
April 2007 4.5
May 2007 4.4
June 2007 4.6
July 2007 4.7
August 2007 4.6
September 2007 4.7
October 2007 4.7
November 2007 4.7
December 2007 5.0
January 2008 5.0
February 2008 4.9
March 2008 5.1
April 2008 5.0
May 2008 5.4
June 2008 5.6
July 2008 5.8
August 2008 6.1
September 2008 6.1
October 2008 6.5
November 2008 6.8
December 2008 7.3
January 2009 7.8
February 2009 8.3
March 2009 8.7
April 2009 9.0
May 2009 9.4
June 2009 9.5
July 2009 9.5
August 2009 9.6
September 2009 9.8
October 2009 10.0
November 2009 9.9
December 2009 9.9
January 2010 9.8
February 2010 9.8
March 2010 9.9
April 2010 9.9
May 2010 9.6
June 2010 9.4
July 2010 9.4
August 2010 9.5
September 2010 9.5
October 2010 9.4
November 2010 9.8
December 2010 9.3
January 2011 9.1
February 2011 9.0
March 2011 9.0
April 2011 9.1
May 2011 9.0
June 2011 9.1
July 2011 9.0
August 2011 9.0
September 2011 9.0
October 2011 8.8
November 2011 8.6
December 2011 8.5
January 2012 8.3
February 2012 8.3
March 2012 8.2
April 2012 8.2
May 2012 8.2
June 2012 8.2
July 2012 8.2
August 2012 8.1
September 2012 7.8
October 2012 7.8
November 2012 7.7
December 2012 7.9
January 2013 8.0
February 2013 7.7
March 2013 7.5
April 2013 7.6
May 2013 7.5
June 2013 7.5
July 2013 7.3
August 2013 7.2
September 2013 7.2
October 2013 7.2
November 2013 6.9
December 2013 6.7
January 2014 6.6
February 2014 6.7
March 2014 6.7
April 2014 6.3
May 2014 6.3
June 2014 6.1
July 2014 6.2
August 2014 6.2
September 2014 5.9
October 2014 5.7
November 2014 5.8
December 2014 5.6
January 2015 5.7
February 2015 5.5
March 2015 5.5
April 2015 5.4
May 2015 5.5
June 2015 5.3
July 2015 5.2
August 2015 5.1
September 2015 5.0
October 2015 5.0
November 2015 5.0
December 2015 5.0
January 2016 4.9
February 2016 4.9
March 2016 5.0
April 2016 5.0
May 2016 4.7
June 2016 4.9
July 2016 4.9
August 2016 4.9
September 2016 5.0
October 2016 4.9
November 2016 4.6
December 2016 4.7
January 2017 4.8
February 2017 4.7
March 2017 4.5
April 2017 4.4
May 2017 4.3
June 2017 4.3
July 2017 4.3
August 2017 4.4
September 2017 4.2
October 2017 4.1
November 2017 4.1
December 2017 4.1
January 2018 4.1
February 2018 4.1

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 2. Payroll employment growth remains solid

Millions

Period Private Government
January 2000 110.44 20.57
February 2000 110.54 20.60
March 2000 110.87 20.73
April 2000 111.10 20.80
May 2000 110.97 21.15
June 2000 111.19 20.89
July 2000 111.39 20.87
August 2000 111.40 20.84
September 2000 111.65 20.74
October 2000 111.63 20.74
November 2000 111.83 20.76
December 2000 111.92 20.80
January 2001 111.87 20.84
February 2001 111.87 20.91
March 2001 111.80 20.95
April 2001 111.48 20.99
May 2001 111.40 21.03
June 2001 111.17 21.14
July 2001 111.01 21.19
August 2001 110.84 21.22
September 2001 110.56 21.24
October 2001 110.20 21.28
November 2001 109.85 21.33
December 2001 109.65 21.36
January 2002 109.48 21.38
February 2002 109.33 21.39
March 2002 109.28 21.43
April 2002 109.18 21.44
May 2002 109.13 21.51
June 2002 109.14 21.55
July 2002 109.07 21.54
August 2002 109.02 21.59
September 2002 109.00 21.55
October 2002 109.10 21.56
November 2002 109.08 21.58
December 2002 108.90 21.59
January 2003 108.97 21.63
February 2003 108.83 21.62
March 2003 108.63 21.61
April 2003 108.60 21.60
May 2003 108.64 21.57
June 2003 108.59 21.61
July 2003 108.58 21.63
August 2003 108.62 21.56
September 2003 108.78 21.50
October 2003 108.93 21.56
November 2003 108.95 21.54
December 2003 109.06 21.55
January 2004 109.24 21.54
February 2004 109.29 21.55
March 2004 109.58 21.59
April 2004 109.80 21.61
May 2004 110.10 21.61
June 2004 110.20 21.60
July 2004 110.24 21.61
August 2004 110.33 21.63
September 2004 110.48 21.64
October 2004 110.81 21.66
November 2004 110.83 21.69
December 2004 110.96 21.69
January 2005 111.06 21.74
February 2005 111.30 21.74
March 2005 111.44 21.74
April 2005 111.78 21.75
May 2005 111.93 21.78
June 2005 112.19 21.76
July 2005 112.47 21.86
August 2005 112.66 21.86
September 2005 112.75 21.85
October 2005 112.85 21.83
November 2005 113.15 21.86
December 2005 113.29 21.88
January 2006 113.60 21.85
February 2006 113.88 21.88
March 2006 114.16 21.90
April 2006 114.31 21.92
May 2006 114.33 21.93
June 2006 114.42 21.92
July 2006 114.57 21.97
August 2006 114.71 22.01
September 2006 114.79 22.08
October 2006 114.81 22.07
November 2006 115.01 22.08
December 2006 115.18 22.09
January 2007 115.40 22.10
February 2007 115.45 22.13
March 2007 115.65 22.15
April 2007 115.68 22.18
May 2007 115.82 22.19
June 2007 115.88 22.21
July 2007 115.88 22.17
August 2007 115.80 22.23
September 2007 115.84 22.28
October 2007 115.90 22.30
November 2007 115.97 22.33
December 2007 116.04 22.38
January 2008 116.03 22.39
February 2008 115.92 22.42
March 2008 115.84 22.44
April 2008 115.60 22.45
May 2008 115.39 22.48
June 2008 115.20 22.52
July 2008 114.94 22.57
August 2008 114.66 22.57
September 2008 114.25 22.54
October 2008 113.76 22.55
November 2008 112.99 22.56
December 2008 112.29 22.56
January 2009 111.48 22.58
February 2009 110.78 22.58
March 2009 109.99 22.56
April 2009 109.17 22.68
May 2009 108.87 22.62
June 2009 108.45 22.58
July 2009 108.16 22.52
August 2009 107.95 22.54
September 2009 107.80 22.45
October 2009 107.52 22.52
November 2009 107.53 22.53
December 2009 107.30 22.48
January 2010 107.31 22.49
February 2010 107.25 22.48
March 2010 107.40 22.52
April 2010 107.57 22.57
May 2010 107.67 23.00
June 2010 107.78 22.74
July 2010 107.88 22.57
August 2010 108.01 22.42
September 2010 108.12 22.25
October 2010 108.34 22.30
November 2010 108.47 22.29
December 2010 108.57 22.27
January 2011 108.62 22.26
February 2011 108.85 22.22
March 2011 109.12 22.19
April 2011 109.45 22.18
May 2011 109.59 22.13
June 2011 109.79 22.16
July 2011 109.98 22.05
August 2011 110.12 22.02
September 2011 110.39 21.98
October 2011 110.58 22.00
November 2011 110.75 21.97
December 2011 110.97 21.95
January 2012 111.33 21.95
February 2012 111.56 21.95
March 2012 111.83 21.94
April 2012 111.91 21.93
May 2012 112.05 21.91
June 2012 112.10 21.93
July 2012 112.27 21.91
August 2012 112.44 21.92
September 2012 112.62 21.93
October 2012 112.80 21.90
November 2012 112.95 21.88
December 2012 113.19 21.89
January 2013 113.41 21.87
February 2013 113.67 21.88
March 2013 113.83 21.87
April 2013 114.01 21.87
May 2013 114.26 21.86
June 2013 114.44 21.84
July 2013 114.58 21.82
August 2013 114.82 21.83
September 2013 115.02 21.84
October 2013 115.23 21.83
November 2013 115.44 21.84
December 2013 115.56 21.82
January 2014 115.74 21.81
February 2014 115.91 21.82
March 2014 116.16 21.83
April 2014 116.45 21.86
May 2014 116.69 21.86
June 2014 116.97 21.90
July 2014 117.18 21.88
August 2014 117.42 21.86
September 2014 117.67 21.90
October 2014 117.91 21.92
November 2014 118.20 21.93
December 2014 118.43 21.95
January 2015 118.64 21.96
February 2015 118.88 21.98
March 2015 118.97 21.96
April 2015 119.22 22.00
May 2015 119.54 22.01
June 2015 119.72 22.01
July 2015 119.96 22.03
August 2015 120.08 22.07
September 2015 120.20 22.04
October 2015 120.54 22.06
November 2015 120.78 22.08
December 2015 120.99 22.10
January 2016 121.08 22.11
February 2016 121.32 22.14
March 2016 121.52 22.17
April 2016 121.69 22.18
May 2016 121.71 22.19
June 2016 121.99 22.19
July 2016 122.23 22.28
August 2016 122.40 22.28
September 2016 122.64 22.31
October 2016 122.79 22.30
November 2016 122.96 22.30
December 2016 123.13 22.31
January 2017 123.38 22.31
February 2017 123.59 22.31
March 2017 123.66 22.31
April 2017 123.83 22.32
May 2017 123.99 22.31
June 2017 124.21 22.32
July 2017 124.40 22.33
August 2017 124.61 22.34
September 2017 124.63 22.34
October 2017 124.90 22.33
November 2017 125.12 22.33
December 2017 125.29 22.33
January 2018 125.53 22.33
February 2018 125.82 22.36

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Average 3-month change*
Thousands

Period Total
January 2007 205.00
February 2007 164.00
March 2007 177.67
April 2007 119.33
May 2007 142.00
June 2007 96.33
July 2007 66.67
August 2007 6.33
September 2007 12.67
October 2007 48.67
November 2007 93.33
December 2007 96.00
January 2008 72.67
February 2008 10.33
March 2008 -42.67
April 2008 -121.67
May 2008 -156.00
June 2008 -189.00
July 2008 -183.67
August 2008 -214.67
September 2008 -311.00
October 2008 -398.33
November 2008 -559.00
December 2008 -647.00
January 2009 -751.00
February 2009 -732.67
March 2009 -764.33
April 2009 -736.67
May 2009 -620.00
June 2009 -509.00
July 2009 -388.33
August 2009 -335.67
September 2009 -255.67
October 2009 -211.33
November 2009 -142.00
December 2009 -158.00
January 2010 -82.33
February 2010 -110.67
March 2010 46.00
April 2010 113.67
May 2010 312.00
June 2010 201.00
July 2010 101.33
August 2010 -78.00
September 2010 -52.33
October 2010 62.67
November 2010 111.00
December 2010 156.33
January 2011 82.00
February 2011 99.67
March 2011 160.00
April 2011 253.00
May 2011 219.33
June 2011 212.67
July 2011 129.00
August 2011 139.33
September 2011 139.00
October 2011 184.67
November 2011 195.67
December 2011 185.00
January 2012 231.33
February 2012 260.67
March 2012 281.67
April 2012 189.67
May 2012 151.00
June 2012 85.67
July 2012 113.67
August 2012 132.33
September 2012 174.33
October 2012 173.33
November 2012 159.00
December 2012 175.33
January 2013 193.33
February 2013 238.33
March 2013 209.33
April 2013 200.00
May 2013 191.67
June 2013 192.33
July 2013 169.67
August 2013 176.33
September 2013 190.67
October 2013 223.67
November 2013 210.67
December 2013 174.67
January 2014 162.67
February 2014 149.67
March 2014 205.67
April 2014 251.33
May 2014 274.67
June 2014 289.67
July 2014 251.33
August 2014 242.67
September 2014 235.33
October 2014 255.00
November 2014 282.00
December 2014 271.00
January 2015 256.33
February 2015 243.00
March 2015 185.33
April 2015 209.00
May 2015 228.67
June 2015 266.33
July 2015 257.67
August 2015 203.67
September 2015 169.33
October 2015 201.00
November 2015 234.33
December 2015 283.00
January 2016 200.33
February 2016 198.00
March 2016 198.33
April 2016 222.00
May 2016 147.67
June 2016 164.33
July 2016 214.67
August 2016 261.67
September 2016 254.67
October 2016 193.00
November 2016 192.00
December 2016 164.00
January 2017 203.67
February 2017 213.00
March 2017 177.33
April 2017 149.33
May 2017 134.33
June 2017 189.67
July 2017 194.67
August 2017 216.67
September 2017 141.67
October 2017 168.67
November 2017 167.00
December 2017 220.67
January 2018 210.00
February 2018 242.33

* Excluding temporary Census Bureau workers. Return to text

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Table 1. Summary of Economic Projections

Median (Percent)

Variable 2018 2019 2020 Longer run
Change in real GDP 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.8
December projection 2.5 2.1 2.0 1.8
Unemployment rate 3.8 3.6 3.6 4.5
December projection 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.6
PCE inflation 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0
December projection 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0
Core PCE inflation 1.9 2.1 2.1  
December projection 1.9 2.0 2.0  
Federal funds rate 2.1 2.9 3.4 2.9
December projection 2.1 2.7 3.1 2.8

Note: Central tendency of the economic projections of Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents, March 2018. Projections of change in real gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated. Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated. PCE is personal consumption expenditures.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, March 2018 projection materials, available at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

Figure 3. Broader measures of unemployment are also low

Monthly
Percent

Period Unemployment rate U-5 U-6
January 1994 6.6 8.1 11.8
February 1994 6.6 7.9 11.4
March 1994 6.5 7.7 11.4
April 1994 6.4 7.6 11.2
May 1994 6.1 7.2 10.8
June 1994 6.1 7.3 10.9
July 1994 6.1 7.3 10.7
August 1994 6.0 7.2 10.5
September 1994 5.9 7.1 10.4
October 1994 5.8 6.9 10.3
November 1994 5.6 6.7 10.1
December 1994 5.5 6.7 10.0
January 1995 5.6 6.8 10.2
February 1995 5.4 6.6 9.9
March 1995 5.4 6.6 9.9
April 1995 5.8 6.7 10.0
May 1995 5.6 6.6 10.0
June 1995 5.6 6.7 10.1
July 1995 5.7 6.7 10.1
August 1995 5.7 6.7 10.0
September 1995 5.6 6.7 10.1
October 1995 5.5 6.6 9.9
November 1995 5.6 6.6 10.0
December 1995 5.6 6.7 10.0
January 1996 5.6 6.8 9.8
February 1996 5.5 6.7 10.0
March 1996 5.5 6.6 9.8
April 1996 5.6 6.6 9.9
May 1996 5.6 6.5 9.7
June 1996 5.3 6.4 9.6
July 1996 5.5 6.5 9.7
August 1996 5.1 6.1 9.3
September 1996 5.2 6.2 9.4
October 1996 5.2 6.2 9.4
November 1996 5.4 6.4 9.3
December 1996 5.4 6.3 9.5
January 1997 5.3 6.4 9.4
February 1997 5.2 6.3 9.4
March 1997 5.2 6.1 9.1
April 1997 5.1 6.0 9.2
May 1997 4.9 5.8 8.8
June 1997 5.0 5.9 8.8
July 1997 4.9 5.7 8.6
August 1997 4.8 5.7 8.6
September 1997 4.9 5.8 8.7
October 1997 4.7 5.6 8.4
November 1997 4.6 5.5 8.3
December 1997 4.7 5.7 8.4
January 1998 4.6 5.6 8.4
February 1998 4.6 5.6 8.4
March 1998 4.7 5.6 8.4
April 1998 4.3 5.2 7.9
May 1998 4.4 5.2 7.9
June 1998 4.5 5.3 8.0
July 1998 4.5 5.4 8.1
August 1998 4.5 5.3 7.9
September 1998 4.6 5.4 7.9
October 1998 4.5 5.3 7.8
November 1998 4.4 5.2 7.6
December 1998 4.4 5.1 7.6
January 1999 4.3 5.2 7.7
February 1999 4.4 5.3 7.7
March 1999 4.2 5.0 7.6
April 1999 4.3 5.2 7.6
May 1999 4.2 5.0 7.4
June 1999 4.3 5.1 7.5
July 1999 4.3 5.1 7.5
August 1999 4.2 5.0 7.3
September 1999 4.2 5.0 7.4
October 1999 4.1 4.9 7.2
November 1999 4.1 4.8 7.1
December 1999 4.0 4.8 7.1
January 2000 4.0 4.8 7.1
February 2000 4.1 5.0 7.2
March 2000 4.0 4.8 7.1
April 2000 3.8 4.7 6.9
May 2000 4.0 4.8 7.1
June 2000 4.0 4.7 7.0
July 2000 4.0 4.8 7.0
August 2000 4.1 4.8 7.1
September 2000 3.9 4.7 7.0
October 2000 3.9 4.6 6.8
November 2000 3.9 4.7 7.1
December 2000 3.9 4.7 6.9
January 2001 4.2 5.0 7.3
February 2001 4.2 5.1 7.4
March 2001 4.3 5.0 7.3
April 2001 4.4 5.1 7.4
May 2001 4.3 5.1 7.5
June 2001 4.5 5.3 7.9
July 2001 4.6 5.4 7.8
August 2001 4.9 5.8 8.1
September 2001 5.0 5.8 8.7
October 2001 5.3 6.2 9.3
November 2001 5.5 6.4 9.4
December 2001 5.7 6.6 9.6
January 2002 5.7 6.7 9.5
February 2002 5.7 6.6 9.5
March 2002 5.7 6.6 9.4
April 2002 5.9 6.8 9.7
May 2002 5.8 6.7 9.5
June 2002 5.8 6.7 9.5
July 2002 5.8 6.8 9.6
August 2002 5.7 6.7 9.6
September 2002 5.7 6.6 9.6
October 2002 5.7 6.6 9.6
November 2002 5.9 6.8 9.7
December 2002 6.0 6.9 9.8
January 2003 5.8 6.9 10.0
February 2003 5.9 6.9 10.2
March 2003 5.9 6.9 10.0
April 2003 6.0 6.9 10.2
May 2003 6.1 7.0 10.1
June 2003 6.3 7.2 10.3
July 2003 6.2 7.1 10.3
August 2003 6.1 7.1 10.1
September 2003 6.1 7.1 10.4
October 2003 6.0 7.0 10.2
November 2003 5.8 6.8 10.0
December 2003 5.7 6.6 9.8
January 2004 5.7 6.8 9.9
February 2004 5.6 6.6 9.7
March 2004 5.8 6.8 10.0
April 2004 5.6 6.5 9.6
May 2004 5.6 6.6 9.6
June 2004 5.6 6.6 9.5
July 2004 5.5 6.5 9.5
August 2004 5.4 6.4 9.4
September 2004 5.4 6.4 9.4
October 2004 5.5 6.5 9.7
November 2004 5.4 6.3 9.4
December 2004 5.4 6.3 9.2
January 2005 5.3 6.4 9.3
February 2005 5.4 6.4 9.3
March 2005 5.2 6.2 9.1
April 2005 5.2 6.1 8.9
May 2005 5.1 6.0 8.9
June 2005 5.0 6.0 9.0
July 2005 5.0 5.9 8.8
August 2005 4.9 5.9 8.9
September 2005 5.0 5.9 9.0
October 2005 5.0 5.9 8.7
November 2005 5.0 5.9 8.7
December 2005 4.9 5.8 8.6
January 2006 4.7 5.7 8.4
February 2006 4.8 5.7 8.4
March 2006 4.7 5.6 8.2
April 2006 4.7 5.5 8.1
May 2006 4.6 5.5 8.2
June 2006 4.6 5.6 8.4
July 2006 4.7 5.7 8.5
August 2006 4.7 5.7 8.4
September 2006 4.5 5.3 8.0
October 2006 4.4 5.3 8.2
November 2006 4.5 5.4 8.1
December 2006 4.4 5.2 7.9
January 2007 4.6 5.6 8.4
February 2007 4.5 5.4 8.2
March 2007 4.4 5.3 8.0
April 2007 4.5 5.4 8.2
May 2007 4.4 5.3 8.2
June 2007 4.6 5.5 8.3
July 2007 4.7 5.5 8.4
August 2007 4.6 5.5 8.4
September 2007 4.7 5.5 8.4
October 2007 4.7 5.6 8.4
November 2007 4.7 5.5 8.4
December 2007 5.0 5.8 8.8
January 2008 5.0 6.0 9.2
February 2008 4.9 5.9 9.0
March 2008 5.1 5.9 9.1
April 2008 5.0 5.8 9.2
May 2008 5.4 6.3 9.7
June 2008 5.6 6.5 10.1
July 2008 5.8 6.7 10.5
August 2008 6.1 7.1 10.8
September 2008 6.1 7.1 11.0
October 2008 6.5 7.5 11.8
November 2008 6.8 8.0 12.6
December 2008 7.3 8.4 13.6
January 2009 7.8 9.1 14.2
February 2009 8.3 9.5 15.2
March 2009 8.7 9.9 15.8
April 2009 9.0 10.2 15.9
May 2009 9.4 10.6 16.5
June 2009 9.5 10.8 16.5
July 2009 9.5 10.8 16.4
August 2009 9.6 10.9 16.7
September 2009 9.8 11.0 16.7
October 2009 10.0 11.4 17.1
November 2009 9.9 11.2 17.1
December 2009 9.9 11.3 17.1
January 2010 9.8 11.3 16.7
February 2010 9.8 11.3 17.0
March 2010 9.9 11.2 17.1
April 2010 9.9 11.3 17.1
May 2010 9.6 10.9 16.6
June 2010 9.4 10.9 16.4
July 2010 9.4 11.0 16.4
August 2010 9.5 10.9 16.5
September 2010 9.5 10.9 16.8
October 2010 9.4 11.0 16.6
November 2010 9.8 11.2 16.9
December 2010 9.3 10.9 16.6
January 2011 9.1 10.8 16.2
February 2011 9.0 10.6 16.0
March 2011 9.0 10.4 15.9
April 2011 9.1 10.5 16.1
May 2011 9.0 10.3 15.8
June 2011 9.1 10.7 16.1
July 2011 9.0 10.6 15.9
August 2011 9.0 10.5 16.1
September 2011 9.0 10.5 16.4
October 2011 8.8 10.3 15.8
November 2011 8.6 10.1 15.5
December 2011 8.5 10.0 15.2
January 2012 8.3 9.9 15.2
February 2012 8.3 9.8 15.0
March 2012 8.2 9.6 14.5
April 2012 8.2 9.6 14.6
May 2012 8.2 9.6 14.7
June 2012 8.2 9.6 14.8
July 2012 8.2 9.6 14.8
August 2012 8.1 9.6 14.6
September 2012 7.8 9.3 14.8
October 2012 7.8 9.2 14.4
November 2012 7.7 9.2 14.4
December 2012 7.9 9.4 14.4
January 2013 8.0 9.4 14.6
February 2013 7.7 9.2 14.4
March 2013 7.5 8.9 13.8
April 2013 7.6 8.9 14.0
May 2013 7.5 8.8 13.8
June 2013 7.5 9.1 14.2
July 2013 7.3 8.7 13.8
August 2013 7.2 8.6 13.6
September 2013 7.2 8.6 13.5
October 2013 7.2 8.5 13.6
November 2013 6.9 8.2 13.1
December 2013 6.7 8.1 13.1
January 2014 6.6 8.1 12.7
February 2014 6.7 8.0 12.7
March 2014 6.7 8.0 12.7
April 2014 6.3 7.5 12.3
May 2014 6.3 7.5 12.1
June 2014 6.1 7.3 12.0
July 2014 6.2 7.5 12.1
August 2014 6.2 7.4 11.9
September 2014 5.9 7.3 11.7
October 2014 5.7 7.0 11.5
November 2014 5.8 7.0 11.4
December 2014 5.6 6.9 11.2
January 2015 5.7 7.0 11.3
February 2015 5.5 6.8 11.0
March 2015 5.5 6.7 10.9
April 2015 5.4 6.7 10.9
May 2015 5.5 6.6 10.8
June 2015 5.3 6.4 10.4
July 2015 5.2 6.4 10.3
August 2015 5.1 6.2 10.2
September 2015 5.0 6.2 10.0
October 2015 5.0 6.2 9.8
November 2015 5.0 6.1 9.9
December 2015 5.0 6.1 9.9
January 2016 4.9 6.2 9.9
February 2016 4.9 6.0 9.7
March 2016 5.0 6.1 9.8
April 2016 5.0 6.0 9.8
May 2016 4.7 5.7 9.8
June 2016 4.9 6.0 9.5
July 2016 4.9 6.0 9.7
August 2016 4.9 5.9 9.6
September 2016 5.0 6.0 9.7
October 2016 4.9 5.9 9.6
November 2016 4.6 5.8 9.3
December 2016 4.7 5.7 9.1
January 2017 4.8 5.8 9.4
February 2017 4.7 5.7 9.2
March 2017 4.5 5.4 8.8
April 2017 4.4 5.3 8.6
May 2017 4.3 5.2 8.4
June 2017 4.3 5.3 8.5
July 2017 4.3 5.3 8.5
August 2017 4.4 5.4 8.6
September 2017 4.2 5.1 8.3
October 2017 4.1 5.0 8.0
November 2017 4.1 5.0 8.0
December 2017 4.1 5.1 8.1
January 2018 4.1 5.1 8.2
February 2018 4.1 5.1 8.2

Note: Chart key shows curves in order from top to bottom.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 4. Businesses are having difficulty filling open positions

Monthly
Percent

Period Jobs hard to fill
January 1993 15.45
February 1993 15.08
March 1993 16.13
April 1993 14.91
May 1993 15.60
June 1993 15.83
July 1993 15.42
August 1993 16.49
September 1993 16.32
October 1993 16.81
November 1993 18.15
December 1993 18.79
January 1994 19.60
February 1994 20.06
March 1994 24.16
April 1994 20.74
May 1994 20.72
June 1994 18.62
July 1994 21.29
August 1994 22.69
September 1994 22.45
October 1994 22.80
November 1994 22.15
December 1994 21.65
January 1995 23.77
February 1995 25.05
March 1995 23.17
April 1995 22.55
May 1995 24.77
June 1995 22.45
July 1995 24.36
August 1995 23.80
September 1995 23.66
October 1995 24.80
November 1995 23.10
December 1995 24.49
January 1996 24.85
February 1996 24.91
March 1996 23.18
April 1996 24.49
May 1996 25.91
June 1996 26.34
July 1996 24.50
August 1996 28.79
September 1996 24.73
October 1996 25.80
November 1996 26.09
December 1996 24.39
January 1997 26.87
February 1997 25.77
March 1997 24.27
April 1997 26.47
May 1997 25.03
June 1997 25.26
July 1997 28.63
August 1997 27.70
September 1997 28.76
October 1997 27.84
November 1997 29.05
December 1997 28.35
January 1998 26.90
February 1998 25.59
March 1998 28.31
April 1998 28.50
May 1998 27.22
June 1998 30.19
July 1998 28.78
August 1998 27.56
September 1998 27.67
October 1998 31.88
November 1998 29.09
December 1998 30.26
January 1999 29.02
February 1999 30.54
March 1999 32.23
April 1999 32.45
May 1999 27.34
June 1999 30.17
July 1999 28.87
August 1999 27.48
September 1999 29.72
October 1999 31.93
November 1999 31.03
December 1999 32.15
January 2000 31.17
February 2000 31.47
March 2000 33.02
April 2000 33.42
May 2000 34.40
June 2000 33.35
July 2000 33.01
August 2000 34.36
September 2000 32.67
October 2000 32.11
November 2000 35.97
December 2000 32.06
January 2001 31.31
February 2001 31.43
March 2001 25.74
April 2001 25.39
May 2001 26.39
June 2001 26.49
July 2001 25.15
August 2001 29.33
September 2001 25.64
October 2001 21.25
November 2001 18.99
December 2001 20.07
January 2002 19.29
February 2002 19.30
March 2002 19.51
April 2002 20.39
May 2002 19.35
June 2002 21.66
July 2002 22.38
August 2002 19.24
September 2002 16.45
October 2002 19.42
November 2002 22.09
December 2002 16.15
January 2003 19.06
February 2003 19.24
March 2003 17.46
April 2003 16.42
May 2003 16.35
June 2003 16.72
July 2003 15.54
August 2003 20.20
September 2003 19.20
October 2003 18.59
November 2003 19.20
December 2003 20.18
January 2004 18.82
February 2004 19.19
March 2004 21.51
April 2004 20.48
May 2004 22.41
June 2004 19.75
July 2004 23.58
August 2004 21.23
September 2004 19.95
October 2004 23.71
November 2004 22.27
December 2004 23.17
January 2005 20.63
February 2005 23.22
March 2005 23.55
April 2005 22.44
May 2005 23.49
June 2005 19.80
July 2005 21.54
August 2005 23.35
September 2005 22.86
October 2005 21.81
November 2005 25.23
December 2005 22.10
January 2006 25.55
February 2006 25.18
March 2006 22.53
April 2006 30.41
May 2006 25.56
June 2006 24.86
July 2006 24.61
August 2006 24.45
September 2006 24.85
October 2006 27.84
November 2006 23.18
December 2006 19.03
January 2007 25.43
February 2007 24.18
March 2007 25.56
April 2007 25.29
May 2007 24.56
June 2007 25.95
July 2007 23.68
August 2007 24.56
September 2007 24.89
October 2007 22.89
November 2007 20.05
December 2007 21.06
January 2008 23.29
February 2008 19.03
March 2008 18.68
April 2008 20.31
May 2008 15.57
June 2008 20.90
July 2008 17.84
August 2008 14.60
September 2008 17.83
October 2008 14.98
November 2008 14.87
December 2008 14.12
January 2009 10.17
February 2009 9.99
March 2009 9.90
April 2009 8.31
May 2009 9.60
June 2009 10.69
July 2009 9.88
August 2009 7.64
September 2009 7.94
October 2009 8.96
November 2009 8.78
December 2009 10.11
January 2010 9.14
February 2010 9.84
March 2010 9.20
April 2010 10.37
May 2010 9.56
June 2010 8.48
July 2010 10.99
August 2010 10.57
September 2010 11.08
October 2010 10.94
November 2010 9.68
December 2010 13.01
January 2011 12.15
February 2011 13.80
March 2011 15.54
April 2011 13.36
May 2011 12.47
June 2011 14.31
July 2011 13.01
August 2011 14.44
September 2011 14.47
October 2011 14.87
November 2011 16.54
December 2011 14.92
January 2012 17.27
February 2012 15.67
March 2012 15.81
April 2012 16.38
May 2012 20.21
June 2012 14.25
July 2012 16.10
August 2012 17.25
September 2012 17.88
October 2012 16.83
November 2012 17.38
December 2012 15.98
January 2013 17.28
February 2013 19.56
March 2013 19.03
April 2013 17.34
May 2013 18.98
June 2013 18.25
July 2013 21.20
August 2013 15.02
September 2013 21.31
October 2013 21.80
November 2013 23.23
December 2013 23.13
January 2014 21.27
February 2014 20.46
March 2014 23.16
April 2014 23.33
May 2014 23.73
June 2014 25.19
July 2014 25.33
August 2014 24.85
September 2014 22.60
October 2014 24.75
November 2014 24.16
December 2014 25.30
January 2015 25.18
February 2015 27.44
March 2015 25.32
April 2015 26.28
May 2015 28.52
June 2015 23.15
July 2015 26.42
August 2015 27.71
September 2015 28.81
October 2015 27.71
November 2015 27.11
December 2015 28.40
January 2016 28.18
February 2016 26.46
March 2016 26.46
April 2016 28.26
May 2016 26.29
June 2016 28.08
July 2016 27.41
August 2016 29.63
September 2016 26.06
October 2016 28.66
November 2016 30.10
December 2016 29.41
January 2017 30.20
February 2017 30.51
March 2017 31.60
April 2017 32.18
May 2017 33.13
June 2017 29.02
July 2017 36.38
August 2017 30.57
September 2017 32.27
October 2017 35.64
November 2017 29.17
December 2017 31.41
January 2018 33.12
February 2018 32.53

Source: National Federation of Independent Business.

Monthly
Percent*

Period Job openings
December 2000 3.67
January 2001 4.19
February 2001 3.65
March 2001 3.52
April 2001 3.84
May 2001 3.50
June 2001 3.27
July 2001 3.49
August 2001 3.20
September 2001 3.15
October 2001 2.79
November 2001 2.62
December 2001 2.66
January 2002 3.00
February 2002 2.61
March 2002 2.77
April 2002 2.73
May 2002 2.78
June 2002 2.64
July 2002 2.68
August 2002 2.71
September 2002 2.61
October 2002 2.81
November 2002 2.69
December 2002 2.33
January 2003 3.05
February 2003 2.68
March 2003 2.41
April 2003 2.66
May 2003 2.60
June 2003 2.62
July 2003 2.62
August 2003 2.66
September 2003 2.48
October 2003 2.55
November 2003 2.55
December 2003 2.59
January 2004 2.81
February 2004 2.74
March 2004 2.68
April 2004 2.88
May 2004 2.90
June 2004 2.72
July 2004 3.17
August 2004 2.90
September 2004 2.98
October 2004 2.99
November 2004 2.54
December 2004 2.87
January 2005 2.93
February 2005 3.04
March 2005 3.02
April 2005 3.34
May 2005 3.04
June 2005 3.15
July 2005 3.36
August 2005 3.17
September 2005 3.29
October 2005 3.34
November 2005 3.30
December 2005 3.13
January 2006 3.34
February 2006 3.26
March 2006 3.44
April 2006 3.58
May 2006 3.36
June 2006 3.32
July 2006 3.09
August 2006 3.43
September 2006 3.41
October 2006 3.42
November 2006 3.29
December 2006 3.26
January 2007 3.51
February 2007 3.38
March 2007 3.51
April 2007 3.65
May 2007 3.43
June 2007 3.47
July 2007 3.37
August 2007 3.40
September 2007 3.40
October 2007 3.24
November 2007 3.12
December 2007 3.10
January 2008 3.22
February 2008 3.03
March 2008 2.99
April 2008 3.10
May 2008 2.93
June 2008 2.81
July 2008 2.88
August 2008 2.75
September 2008 2.44
October 2008 2.49
November 2008 2.24
December 2008 2.22
January 2009 2.10
February 2009 2.16
March 2009 1.90
April 2009 1.78
May 2009 1.92
June 2009 1.90
July 2009 1.74
August 2009 1.81
September 2009 2.01
October 2009 1.82
November 2009 1.84
December 2009 1.91
January 2010 2.05
February 2010 2.04
March 2010 2.05
April 2010 2.33
May 2010 2.28
June 2010 2.14
July 2010 2.39
August 2010 2.34
September 2010 2.22
October 2010 2.42
November 2010 2.36
December 2010 2.22
January 2011 2.35
February 2011 2.47
March 2011 2.50
April 2011 2.62
May 2011 2.51
June 2011 2.55
July 2011 2.79
August 2011 2.51
September 2011 2.74
October 2011 2.69
November 2011 2.48
December 2011 2.65
January 2012 2.95
February 2012 2.71
March 2012 2.97
April 2012 2.84
May 2012 2.88
June 2012 2.96
July 2012 2.88
August 2012 2.83
September 2012 2.73
October 2012 2.87
November 2012 2.74
December 2012 2.75
January 2013 2.91
February 2013 3.04
March 2013 2.99
April 2013 2.97
May 2013 2.94
June 2013 2.99
July 2013 2.97
August 2013 2.99
September 2013 3.01
October 2013 3.12
November 2013 2.92
December 2013 2.90
January 2014 3.03
February 2014 3.13
March 2014 3.13
April 2014 3.39
May 2014 3.43
June 2014 3.44
July 2014 3.43
August 2014 3.69
September 2014 3.39
October 2014 3.69
November 2014 3.47
December 2014 3.55
January 2015 3.73
February 2015 3.74
March 2015 3.77
April 2015 4.10
May 2015 3.93
June 2015 3.78
July 2015 4.26
August 2015 3.90
September 2015 3.93
October 2015 4.02
November 2015 3.78
December 2015 3.89
January 2016 4.14
February 2016 4.05
March 2016 4.28
April 2016 4.21
May 2016 4.08
June 2016 4.04
July 2016 4.21
August 2016 3.94
September 2016 4.01
October 2016 3.93
November 2016 3.96
December 2016 3.90
January 2017 3.87
February 2017 3.98
March 2017 3.95
April 2017 4.30
May 2017 4.01
June 2017 4.29
July 2017 4.36
August 2017 4.24
September 2017 4.39
October 2017 4.23
November 2017 4.16
December 2017 3.94
January 2018 4.38

* Percent of private employment and job openings. Return to text

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 5. Households see a strong job market

Monthly
Index

Period Jobs plentiful
January 1980 -7.5
February 1980 -9.1
March 1980 -10.9
April 1980 -17.3
May 1980 -28.5
June 1980 -33.4
July 1980 -31.4
August 1980 -32.2
September 1980 -28.0
October 1980 -26.9
November 1980 -24.9
December 1980 -27.2
January 1981 -26.5
February 1981 -29.9
March 1981 -26.1
April 1981 -24.0
May 1981 -23.8
June 1981 -25.1
July 1981 -25.3
August 1981 -25.6
September 1981 -26.1
October 1981 -27.7
November 1981 -32.5
December 1981 -37.5
January 1982 -40.2
February 1982 -41.8
March 1982 -44.0
April 1982 -50.4
May 1982 -47.5
June 1982 -52.3
July 1982 -52.6
August 1982 -54.1
September 1982 -56.9
October 1982 -55.8
November 1982 -58.3
December 1982 -58.7
January 1983 -57.6
February 1983 -55.5
March 1983 -50.9
April 1983 -48.6
May 1983 -47.3
June 1983 -43.2
July 1983 -40.9
August 1983 -36.8
September 1983 -36.0
October 1983 -35.3
November 1983 -30.4
December 1983 -27.3
January 1984 -26.2
February 1984 -23.1
March 1984 -22.3
April 1984 -21.2
May 1984 -18.6
June 1984 -13.0
July 1984 -15.8
August 1984 -14.6
September 1984 -15.5
October 1984 -16.2
November 1984 -13.0
December 1984 -15.7
January 1985 -11.2
February 1985 -11.4
March 1985 -15.5
April 1985 -11.0
May 1985 -13.1
June 1985 -11.2
July 1985 -9.6
August 1985 -11.1
September 1985 -13.8
October 1985 -11.9
November 1985 -11.9
December 1985 -12.6
January 1986 -10.9
February 1986 -10.7
March 1986 -13.9
April 1986 -10.6
May 1986 -10.8
June 1986 -10.8
July 1986 -10.4
August 1986 -13.7
September 1986 -14.0
October 1986 -17.4
November 1986 -16.5
December 1986 -11.4
January 1987 -14.6
February 1987 -13.3
March 1987 -10.6
April 1987 -12.3
May 1987 -8.3
June 1987 -5.5
July 1987 -4.7
August 1987 -0.7
September 1987 1.7
October 1987 4.4
November 1987 0.6
December 1987 3.4
January 1988 3.8
February 1988 8.7
March 1988 4.8
April 1988 3.7
May 1988 7.0
June 1988 8.3
July 1988 8.8
August 1988 10.6
September 1988 7.5
October 1988 6.8
November 1988 6.9
December 1988 12.9
January 1989 11.8
February 1989 14.4
March 1989 12.3
April 1989 14.7
May 1989 13.0
June 1989 12.8
July 1989 13.8
August 1989 11.3
September 1989 9.7
October 1989 10.2
November 1989 8.9
December 1989 6.4
January 1990 5.6
February 1990 7.6
March 1990 7.4
April 1990 4.3
May 1990 4.0
June 1990 -0.3
July 1990 3.5
August 1990 -4.4
September 1990 -4.5
October 1990 -14.5
November 1990 -15.7
December 1990 -19.3
January 1991 -21.7
February 1991 -23.2
March 1991 -25.3
April 1991 -26.1
May 1991 -28.0
June 1991 -28.8
July 1991 -29.8
August 1991 -30.0
September 1991 -32.8
October 1991 -38.0
November 1991 -42.0
December 1991 -43.5
January 1992 -42.1
February 1992 -44.5
March 1992 -42.1
April 1992 -40.2
May 1992 -34.4
June 1992 -34.3
July 1992 -37.2
August 1992 -41.2
September 1992 -39.7
October 1992 -40.3
November 1992 -38.7
December 1992 -35.8
January 1993 -30.6
February 1993 -33.2
March 1993 -33.4
April 1993 -33.8
May 1993 -32.4
June 1993 -33.5
July 1993 -31.8
August 1993 -32.0
September 1993 -30.0
October 1993 -29.7
November 1993 -26.6
December 1993 -26.8
January 1994 -23.1
February 1994 -19.5
March 1994 -19.4
April 1994 -14.4
May 1994 -17.8
June 1994 -13.6
July 1994 -13.4
August 1994 -12.6
September 1994 -12.7
October 1994 -13.6
November 1994 -7.7
December 1994 -3.1
January 1995 -2.9
February 1995 -2.7
March 1995 -1.3
April 1995 -0.7
May 1995 -1.3
June 1995 -3.6
July 1995 0.9
August 1995 -1.0
September 1995 -2.4
October 1995 -6.4
November 1995 -2.9
December 1995 -3.2
January 1996 -5.0
February 1996 -1.6
March 1996 -3.7
April 1996 1.6
May 1996 2.0
June 1996 1.0
July 1996 4.1
August 1996 5.1
September 1996 6.0
October 1996 3.0
November 1996 5.1
December 1996 8.1
January 1997 12.3
February 1997 14.0
March 1997 14.6
April 1997 11.6
May 1997 17.5
June 1997 19.5
July 1997 19.3
August 1997 20.2
September 1997 20.3
October 1997 14.7
November 1997 19.0
December 1997 24.1
January 1998 23.7
February 1998 29.6
March 1998 31.2
April 1998 30.0
May 1998 30.2
June 1998 31.2
July 1998 32.1
August 1998 31.0
September 1998 30.9
October 1998 26.6
November 1998 26.3
December 1998 27.9
January 1999 33.6
February 1999 35.9
March 1999 35.1
April 1999 35.1
May 1999 35.1
June 1999 35.0
July 1999 37.9
August 1999 36.7
September 1999 34.8
October 1999 34.3
November 1999 36.3
December 1999 40.0
January 2000 44.0
February 2000 39.8
March 2000 42.7
April 2000 40.3
May 2000 42.0
June 2000 42.5
July 2000 46.2
August 2000 42.0
September 2000 41.9
October 2000 38.0
November 2000 39.5
December 2000 38.4
January 2001 36.2
February 2001 30.9
March 2001 31.2
April 2001 25.9
May 2001 25.0
June 2001 24.4
July 2001 21.5
August 2001 17.6
September 2001 8.3
October 2001 0.3
November 2001 -5.2
December 2001 -4.0
January 2002 -4.1
February 2002 -4.4
March 2002 -0.5
April 2002 -1.8
May 2002 -0.6
June 2002 -3.1
July 2002 -5.1
August 2002 -6.4
September 2002 -9.5
October 2002 -12.6
November 2002 -13.1
December 2002 -17.4
January 2003 -14.4
February 2003 -18.6
March 2003 -20.9
April 2003 -16.4
May 2003 -20.6
June 2003 -20.7
July 2003 -22.0
August 2003 -22.8
September 2003 -25.2
October 2003 -21.9
November 2003 -16.1
December 2003 -18.4
January 2004 -14.8
February 2004 -14.4
March 2004 -15.2
April 2004 -12.4
May 2004 -13.7
June 2004 -7.9
July 2004 -6.0
August 2004 -7.6
September 2004 -11.4
October 2004 -10.5
November 2004 -10.9
December 2004 -7.0
January 2005 -3.3
February 2005 -1.3
March 2005 -2.0
April 2005 -2.5
May 2005 -1.2
June 2005 0.0
July 2005 -0.9
August 2005 0.5
September 2005 -4.3
October 2005 -4.6
November 2005 -2.5
December 2005 0.8
January 2006 6.7
February 2006 7.2
March 2006 7.9
April 2006 9.7
May 2006 8.9
June 2006 8.0
July 2006 9.0
August 2006 3.4
September 2006 5.3
October 2006 3.8
November 2006 3.6
December 2006 6.3
January 2007 9.9
February 2007 9.9
March 2007 11.4
April 2007 8.7
May 2007 9.4
June 2007 7.1
July 2007 11.3
August 2007 7.8
September 2007 3.2
October 2007 1.3
November 2007 1.9
December 2007 0.9
January 2008 3.2
February 2008 -1.9
March 2008 -5.3
April 2008 -10.8
May 2008 -12.2
June 2008 -15.6
July 2008 -16.6
August 2008 -18.2
September 2008 -19.6
October 2008 -27.6
November 2008 -28.4
December 2008 -35.0
January 2009 -34.0
February 2009 -42.3
March 2009 -44.1
April 2009 -41.7
May 2009 -38.1
June 2009 -40.3
July 2009 -44.8
August 2009 -40.0
September 2009 -43.4
October 2009 -45.9
November 2009 -46.1
December 2009 -45.0
January 2010 -42.1
February 2010 -43.3
March 2010 -42.3
April 2010 -40.1
May 2010 -39.3
June 2010 -39.2
July 2010 -40.7
August 2010 -41.5
September 2010 -42.0
October 2010 -42.8
November 2010 -44.8
December 2010 -42.8
January 2011 -42.4
February 2011 -39.5
March 2011 -39.8
April 2011 -37.3
May 2011 -37.8
June 2011 -38.1
July 2011 -39.7
August 2011 -43.7
September 2011 -43.8
October 2011 -43.3
November 2011 -37.4
December 2011 -35.0
January 2012 -37.1
February 2012 -31.6
March 2012 -31.7
April 2012 -29.7
May 2012 -33.4
June 2012 -32.9
July 2012 -33.2
August 2012 -33.4
September 2012 -32.6
October 2012 -28.4
November 2012 -26.4
December 2012 -25.3
January 2013 -28.1
February 2013 -26.8
March 2013 -25.9
April 2013 -27.2
May 2013 -26.5
June 2013 -25.8
July 2013 -22.9
August 2013 -22.0
September 2013 -22.2
October 2013 -23.3
November 2013 -22.1
December 2013 -21.0
January 2014 -20.2
February 2014 -19.0
March 2014 -17.6
April 2014 -19.8
May 2014 -18.0
June 2014 -16.1
July 2014 -15.3
August 2014 -12.4
September 2014 -13.1
October 2014 -12.5
November 2014 -12.5
December 2014 -10.1
January 2015 -3.9
February 2015 -4.8
March 2015 -4.5
April 2015 -6.9
May 2015 -6.6
June 2015 -4.8
July 2015 -7.5
August 2015 0.4
September 2015 -0.1
October 2015 -1.9
November 2015 -4.8
December 2015 -0.3
January 2016 -0.6
February 2016 -0.8
March 2016 0.2
April 2016 1.4
May 2016 0.0
June 2016 -0.5
July 2016 0.9
August 2016 4.0
September 2016 5.3
October 2016 3.6
November 2016 6.6
December 2016 3.3
January 2017 6.0
February 2017 7.0
March 2017 12.8
April 2017 10.9
May 2017 11.7
June 2017 13.6
July 2017 14.5
August 2017 16.0
September 2017 14.7
October 2017 19.6
November 2017 20.7
December 2017 20.3
January 2018 20.9
February 2018 24.7

Note: The jobs plentiful series is the proportion of households believing jobs are plentiful minus the proportion believing jobs are hard to get.

Source: Conference Board.

Monthly
Percent

Period Quits
December 2000 2.56
January 2001 2.91
February 2001 2.74
March 2001 2.66
April 2001 2.75
May 2001 2.62
June 2001 2.59
July 2001 2.53
August 2001 2.44
September 2001 2.35
October 2001 2.47
November 2001 2.23
December 2001 2.17
January 2002 2.50
February 2002 2.26
March 2002 2.15
April 2002 2.34
May 2002 2.35
June 2002 2.26
July 2002 2.36
August 2002 2.30
September 2002 2.27
October 2002 2.23
November 2002 2.11
December 2002 2.22
January 2003 2.18
February 2003 2.15
March 2003 2.09
April 2003 2.09
May 2003 2.06
June 2003 2.08
July 2003 2.08
August 2003 2.08
September 2003 2.15
October 2003 2.20
November 2003 2.14
December 2003 2.14
January 2004 2.11
February 2004 2.10
March 2004 2.25
April 2004 2.30
May 2004 2.12
June 2004 2.30
July 2004 2.34
August 2004 2.32
September 2004 2.22
October 2004 2.28
November 2004 2.42
December 2004 2.31
January 2005 2.44
February 2005 2.26
March 2005 2.41
April 2005 2.38
May 2005 2.45
June 2005 2.38
July 2005 2.38
August 2005 2.50
September 2005 2.57
October 2005 2.48
November 2005 2.44
December 2005 2.35
January 2006 2.46
February 2006 2.47
March 2006 2.49
April 2006 2.30
May 2006 2.51
June 2006 2.51
July 2006 2.46
August 2006 2.47
September 2006 2.42
October 2006 2.42
November 2006 2.52
December 2006 2.50
January 2007 2.44
February 2007 2.46
March 2007 2.43
April 2007 2.36
May 2007 2.44
June 2007 2.31
July 2007 2.39
August 2007 2.41
September 2007 2.14
October 2007 2.35
November 2007 2.26
December 2007 2.28
January 2008 2.32
February 2008 2.28
March 2008 2.11
April 2008 2.36
May 2008 2.14
June 2008 2.20
July 2008 2.12
August 2008 1.98
September 2008 2.02
October 2008 2.00
November 2008 1.73
December 2008 1.76
January 2009 1.74
February 2009 1.63
March 2009 1.54
April 2009 1.50
May 2009 1.51
June 2009 1.55
July 2009 1.50
August 2009 1.46
September 2009 1.43
October 2009 1.46
November 2009 1.56
December 2009 1.48
January 2010 1.46
February 2010 1.49
March 2010 1.57
April 2010 1.68
May 2010 1.58
June 2010 1.68
July 2010 1.61
August 2010 1.66
September 2010 1.66
October 2010 1.61
November 2010 1.54
December 2010 1.69
January 2011 1.57
February 2011 1.62
March 2011 1.71
April 2011 1.66
May 2011 1.75
June 2011 1.68
July 2011 1.68
August 2011 1.78
September 2011 1.75
October 2011 1.67
November 2011 1.65
December 2011 1.64
January 2012 1.66
February 2012 1.75
March 2012 1.82
April 2012 1.76
May 2012 1.83
June 2012 1.84
July 2012 1.76
August 2012 1.82
September 2012 1.65
October 2012 1.70
November 2012 1.71
December 2012 1.73
January 2013 1.91
February 2013 1.88
March 2013 1.73
April 2013 1.90
May 2013 1.86
June 2013 1.86
July 2013 1.96
August 2013 1.98
September 2013 1.98
October 2013 1.98
November 2013 1.94
December 2013 1.83
January 2014 1.92
February 2014 1.95
March 2014 1.98
April 2014 2.00
May 2014 2.04
June 2014 2.02
July 2014 2.09
August 2014 2.05
September 2014 2.24
October 2014 2.22
November 2014 2.09
December 2014 2.06
January 2015 2.21
February 2015 2.12
March 2015 2.16
April 2015 2.16
May 2015 2.16
June 2015 2.20
July 2015 2.20
August 2015 2.30
September 2015 2.20
October 2015 2.22
November 2015 2.27
December 2015 2.37
January 2016 2.26
February 2016 2.31
March 2016 2.26
April 2016 2.32
May 2016 2.35
June 2016 2.36
July 2016 2.40
August 2016 2.44
September 2016 2.39
October 2016 2.38
November 2016 2.33
December 2016 2.27
January 2017 2.42
February 2017 2.30
March 2017 2.40
April 2017 2.35
May 2017 2.46
June 2017 2.42
July 2017 2.47
August 2017 2.42
September 2017 2.47
October 2017 2.45
November 2017 2.41
December 2017 2.53
January 2018 2.47

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 6. Labor force participation is on a downward trend due to population aging

Monthly
Percent

Period Total LFPR
January 1960 59.08
February 1960 58.96
March 1960 58.50
April 1960 59.62
May 1960 59.43
June 1960 59.53
July 1960 59.46
August 1960 59.36
September 1960 59.61
October 1960 59.53
November 1960 59.77
December 1960 59.74
January 1961 59.70
February 1961 59.67
March 1961 59.73
April 1961 59.40
May 1961 59.22
June 1961 59.53
July 1961 59.35
August 1961 59.26
September 1961 58.72
October 1961 59.23
November 1961 59.08
December 1961 59.03
January 1962 58.89
February 1962 58.94
March 1962 58.95
April 1962 58.76
May 1962 58.83
June 1962 58.66
July 1962 58.53
August 1962 58.95
September 1962 58.87
October 1962 58.73
November 1962 58.59
December 1962 58.59
January 1963 58.70
February 1963 58.72
March 1963 58.70
April 1963 58.83
May 1963 58.74
June 1963 58.57
July 1963 58.68
August 1963 58.53
September 1963 58.74
October 1963 58.74
November 1963 58.80
December 1963 58.54
January 1964 58.69
February 1964 58.70
March 1964 58.77
April 1964 59.12
May 1964 59.08
June 1964 58.77
July 1964 58.51
August 1964 58.59
September 1964 58.62
October 1964 58.56
November 1964 58.50
December 1964 58.56
January 1965 58.56
February 1965 58.68
March 1965 58.75
April 1965 58.82
May 1965 58.95
June 1965 58.86
July 1965 59.12
August 1965 58.85
September 1965 58.70
October 1965 58.90
November 1965 58.78
December 1965 58.98
January 1966 58.93
February 1966 58.65
March 1966 58.79
April 1966 59.05
May 1966 59.07
June 1966 59.26
July 1966 59.26
August 1966 59.41
September 1966 59.26
October 1966 59.32
November 1966 59.58
December 1966 59.51
January 1967 59.50
February 1967 59.42
March 1967 59.28
April 1967 59.27
May 1967 59.00
June 1967 59.49
July 1967 59.70
August 1967 59.79
September 1967 59.79
October 1967 59.83
November 1967 59.77
December 1967 59.87
January 1968 59.24
February 1968 59.68
March 1968 59.64
April 1968 59.48
May 1968 59.73
June 1968 59.94
July 1968 59.79
August 1968 59.59
September 1968 59.59
October 1968 59.52
November 1968 59.65
December 1968 59.64
January 1969 59.70
February 1969 59.96
March 1969 59.98
April 1969 59.99
May 1969 59.83
June 1969 60.11
July 1969 60.10
August 1969 60.30
September 1969 60.37
October 1969 60.41
November 1969 60.23
December 1969 60.33
January 1970 60.46
February 1970 60.45
March 1970 60.60
April 1970 60.59
May 1970 60.31
June 1970 60.18
July 1970 60.44
August 1970 60.21
September 1970 60.25
October 1970 60.39
November 1970 60.42
December 1970 60.32
January 1971 60.60
February 1971 60.25
March 1971 60.04
April 1971 60.10
May 1971 60.16
June 1971 59.64
July 1971 60.08
August 1971 60.24
September 1971 60.22
October 1971 60.16
November 1971 60.41
December 1971 60.41
January 1972 60.34
February 1972 60.27
March 1972 60.43
April 1972 60.33
May 1972 60.37
June 1972 60.38
July 1972 60.39
August 1972 60.54
September 1972 60.48
October 1972 60.43
November 1972 60.32
December 1972 60.42
January 1973 59.97
February 1973 60.49
March 1973 60.73
April 1973 60.76
May 1973 60.67
June 1973 60.92
July 1973 60.88
August 1973 60.65
September 1973 60.95
October 1973 61.11
November 1973 61.23
December 1973 61.25
January 1974 61.23
February 1974 61.30
March 1974 61.14
April 1974 61.08
May 1974 61.26
June 1974 61.24
July 1974 61.28
August 1974 61.15
September 1974 61.44
October 1974 61.40
November 1974 61.25
December 1974 61.27
January 1975 61.49
February 1975 61.19
March 1975 61.25
April 1975 61.28
May 1975 61.34
June 1975 61.16
July 1975 61.30
August 1975 61.27
September 1975 61.24
October 1975 61.19
November 1975 60.95
December 1975 61.06
January 1976 61.37
February 1976 61.38
March 1976 61.35
April 1976 61.47
May 1976 61.41
June 1976 61.48
July 1976 61.73
August 1976 61.79
September 1976 61.64
October 1976 61.68
November 1976 61.84
December 1976 61.84
January 1977 61.64
February 1977 61.97
March 1977 62.06
April 1977 62.08
May 1977 62.07
June 1977 62.40
July 1977 62.07
August 1977 62.32
September 1977 62.34
October 1977 62.48
November 1977 62.84
December 1977 62.73
January 1978 62.75
February 1978 62.67
March 1978 62.75
April 1978 62.98
May 1978 63.02
June 1978 63.32
July 1978 63.20
August 1978 63.25
September 1978 63.34
October 1978 63.46
November 1978 63.53
December 1978 63.62
January 1979 63.56
February 1979 63.67
March 1979 63.75
April 1979 63.49
May 1979 63.24
June 1979 63.56
July 1979 63.62
August 1979 63.68
September 1979 63.93
October 1979 63.85
November 1979 63.82
December 1979 64.03
January 1980 63.97
February 1980 63.88
March 1980 63.74
April 1980 63.81
May 1980 63.76
June 1980 63.71
July 1980 63.84
August 1980 63.68
September 1980 63.70
October 1980 63.75
November 1980 63.71
December 1980 63.66
January 1981 63.89
February 1981 63.89
March 1981 64.05
April 1981 64.22
May 1981 64.09
June 1981 63.73
July 1981 63.73
August 1981 63.78
September 1981 63.58
October 1981 63.86
November 1981 63.82
December 1981 63.69
January 1982 63.71
February 1982 63.90
March 1982 63.94
April 1982 63.91
May 1982 64.04
June 1982 63.94
July 1982 64.02
August 1982 64.07
September 1982 64.05
October 1982 63.97
November 1982 64.13
December 1982 64.12
January 1983 64.04
February 1983 63.91
March 1983 63.83
April 1983 63.80
May 1983 63.52
June 1983 64.22
July 1983 64.12
August 1983 64.29
September 1983 64.33
October 1983 63.98
November 1983 64.13
December 1983 64.13
January 1984 64.05
February 1984 64.12
March 1984 64.12
April 1984 64.29
May 1984 64.43
June 1984 64.60
July 1984 64.62
August 1984 64.40
September 1984 64.41
October 1984 64.48
November 1984 64.44
December 1984 64.64
January 1985 64.76
February 1985 64.70
March 1985 64.92
April 1985 64.87
May 1985 64.74
June 1985 64.58
July 1985 64.64
August 1985 64.62
September 1985 64.93
October 1985 64.98
November 1985 64.94
December 1985 64.94
January 1986 64.94
February 1986 65.08
March 1986 65.11
April 1986 65.15
May 1986 65.16
June 1986 65.37
July 1986 65.36
August 1986 65.33
September 1986 65.37
October 1986 65.38
November 1986 65.43
December 1986 65.34
January 1987 65.43
February 1987 65.46
March 1987 65.51
April 1987 65.42
May 1987 65.77
June 1987 65.38
July 1987 65.58
August 1987 65.75
September 1987 65.61
October 1987 65.79
November 1987 65.71
December 1987 65.83
January 1988 65.80
February 1988 65.84
March 1988 65.70
April 1988 65.81
May 1988 65.67
June 1988 65.77
July 1988 65.89
August 1988 66.07
September 1988 66.03
October 1988 66.02
November 1988 66.21
December 1988 66.22
January 1989 66.48
February 1989 66.23
March 1989 66.20
April 1989 66.40
May 1989 66.36
June 1989 66.45
July 1989 66.48
August 1989 66.49
September 1989 66.45
October 1989 66.55
November 1989 66.74
December 1989 66.62
January 1990 66.66
February 1990 66.61
March 1990 66.68
April 1990 66.60
May 1990 66.64
June 1990 66.44
July 1990 66.48
August 1990 66.44
September 1990 66.56
October 1990 66.47
November 1990 66.38
December 1990 66.41
January 1991 66.14
February 1991 66.27
March 1991 66.35
April 1991 66.50
May 1991 66.11
June 1991 66.24
July 1991 66.11
August 1991 65.97
September 1991 66.27
October 1991 66.08
November 1991 66.11
December 1991 66.11
January 1992 66.32
February 1992 66.33
March 1992 66.42
April 1992 66.51
May 1992 66.48
June 1992 66.66
July 1992 66.72
August 1992 66.59
September 1992 66.47
October 1992 66.18
November 1992 66.33
December 1992 66.41
January 1993 66.21
February 1993 66.29
March 1993 66.18
April 1993 66.10
May 1993 66.36
June 1993 66.43
July 1993 66.36
August 1993 66.42
September 1993 66.27
October 1993 66.36
November 1993 66.41
December 1993 66.49
January 1994 66.62
February 1994 66.66
March 1994 66.45
April 1994 66.49
May 1994 66.54
June 1994 66.40
July 1994 66.40
August 1994 66.66
September 1994 66.67
October 1994 66.75
November 1994 66.79
December 1994 66.79
January 1995 66.72
February 1995 66.64
March 1995 66.69
April 1995 66.88
May 1995 66.43
June 1995 66.47
July 1995 66.65
August 1995 66.62
September 1995 66.65
October 1995 66.66
November 1995 66.56
December 1995 66.46
January 1996 66.40
February 1996 66.53
March 1996 66.63
April 1996 66.64
May 1996 66.73
June 1996 66.71
July 1996 66.90
August 1996 66.78
September 1996 66.95
October 1996 67.08
November 1996 67.05
December 1996 66.94
January 1997 66.97
February 1997 66.90
March 1997 67.08
April 1997 67.10
May 1997 67.05
June 1997 67.14
July 1997 67.15
August 1997 67.26
September 1997 67.16
October 1997 67.11
November 1997 67.15
December 1997 67.20
January 1998 67.11
February 1998 67.06
March 1998 67.13
April 1998 66.95
May 1998 67.07
June 1998 67.06
July 1998 67.02
August 1998 67.03
September 1998 67.18
October 1998 67.14
November 1998 67.17
December 1998 67.16
January 1999 67.15
February 1999 67.09
March 1999 66.99
April 1999 67.00
May 1999 67.09
June 1999 67.10
July 1999 67.10
August 1999 67.08
September 1999 66.99
October 1999 67.05
November 1999 67.08
December 1999 67.13
January 2000 67.19
February 2000 67.24
March 2000 67.18
April 2000 67.26
May 2000 67.12
June 2000 67.13
July 2000 66.87
August 2000 67.01
September 2000 66.89
October 2000 66.94
November 2000 66.98
December 2000 67.12
January 2001 67.16
February 2001 67.01
March 2001 67.08
April 2001 66.92
May 2001 66.73
June 2001 66.66
July 2001 66.72
August 2001 66.63
September 2001 66.79
October 2001 66.71
November 2001 66.66
December 2001 66.73
January 2002 66.54
February 2002 66.81
March 2002 66.71
April 2002 66.61
May 2002 66.64
June 2002 66.59
July 2002 66.55
August 2002 66.61
September 2002 66.77
October 2002 66.57
November 2002 66.32
December 2002 66.34
January 2003 66.46
February 2003 66.43
March 2003 66.35
April 2003 66.41
May 2003 66.34
June 2003 66.49
July 2003 66.16
August 2003 66.08
September 2003 66.04
October 2003 66.04
November 2003 66.08
December 2003 65.94
January 2004 66.09
February 2004 65.97
March 2004 66.00
April 2004 65.94
May 2004 65.93
June 2004 65.99
July 2004 66.14
August 2004 65.95
September 2004 65.82
October 2004 65.92
November 2004 66.05
December 2004 65.94
January 2005 65.81
February 2005 65.92
March 2005 65.84
April 2005 66.07
May 2005 66.13
June 2005 65.97
July 2005 66.11
August 2005 66.21
September 2005 66.21
October 2005 66.12
November 2005 66.04
December 2005 66.03
January 2006 65.91
February 2006 66.05
March 2006 66.08
April 2006 66.09
May 2006 66.12
June 2006 66.15
July 2006 66.18
August 2006 66.19
September 2006 66.20
October 2006 66.34
November 2006 66.35
December 2006 66.43
January 2007 66.32
February 2007 66.17
March 2007 66.19
April 2007 66.01
May 2007 65.91
June 2007 66.03
July 2007 66.06
August 2007 65.77
September 2007 66.09
October 2007 65.97
November 2007 66.09
December 2007 66.05
January 2008 66.11
February 2008 65.86
March 2008 65.97
April 2008 66.01
May 2008 66.09
June 2008 66.01
July 2008 66.06
August 2008 66.06
September 2008 65.97
October 2008 66.10
November 2008 65.82
December 2008 65.87
January 2009 65.80
February 2009 65.85
March 2009 65.64
April 2009 65.70
May 2009 65.56
June 2009 65.61
July 2009 65.49
August 2009 65.28
September 2009 65.05
October 2009 64.92
November 2009 64.95
December 2009 64.59
January 2010 65.00
February 2010 64.93
March 2010 65.02
April 2010 65.20
May 2010 64.82
June 2010 64.51
July 2010 64.62
August 2010 64.71
September 2010 64.63
October 2010 64.43
November 2010 64.48
December 2010 64.32
January 2011 64.30
February 2011 64.20
March 2011 64.17
April 2011 64.19
May 2011 64.08
June 2011 63.92
July 2011 63.95
August 2011 64.05
September 2011 64.22
October 2011 64.12
November 2011 63.99
December 2011 64.04
January 2012 63.79
February 2012 63.89
March 2012 63.73
April 2012 63.68
May 2012 63.76
June 2012 63.73
July 2012 63.66
August 2012 63.50
September 2012 63.61
October 2012 63.82
November 2012 63.60
December 2012 63.66
January 2013 63.69
February 2013 63.46
March 2013 63.19
April 2013 63.36
May 2013 63.46
June 2013 63.45
July 2013 63.37
August 2013 63.24
September 2013 63.22
October 2013 62.91
November 2013 63.02
December 2013 62.89
January 2014 62.87
February 2014 62.93
March 2014 62.95
April 2014 62.82
May 2014 62.87
June 2014 62.88
July 2014 62.87
August 2014 62.87
September 2014 62.82
October 2014 63.02
November 2014 62.93
December 2014 62.82
January 2015 62.87
February 2015 62.69
March 2015 62.52
April 2015 62.78
May 2015 63.00
June 2015 62.60
July 2015 62.58
August 2015 62.58
September 2015 62.33
October 2015 62.54
November 2015 62.64
December 2015 62.74
January 2016 62.67
February 2016 62.86
March 2016 62.79
April 2016 62.83
May 2016 62.71
June 2016 62.73
July 2016 62.78
August 2016 62.78
September 2016 62.82
October 2016 62.85
November 2016 62.74
December 2016 62.75
January 2017 62.88
February 2017 62.83
March 2017 62.88
April 2017 62.90
May 2017 62.82
June 2017 62.84
July 2017 62.88
August 2017 62.89
September 2017 63.02
October 2017 62.76
November 2017 62.84
December 2017 62.75
January 2018 62.68
February 2018 63.02

Note: LFPR is labor force participation rate.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Annual
Percent

Period Ratio*
1960 13.08
1961 13.21
1962 13.78
1963 13.84
1964 13.78
1965 13.78
1966 13.83
1967 13.88
1968 13.89
1969 13.89
1970 13.87
1971 13.84
1972 13.89
1973 13.86
1974 13.95
1975 14.06
1976 14.14
1977 14.21
1978 14.31
1979 14.42
1980 14.52
1981 14.61
1982 14.74
1983 14.86
1984 14.99
1985 15.15
1986 15.23
1987 15.38
1988 15.50
1989 15.65
1990 15.46
1991 15.56
1992 15.65
1993 15.72
1994 15.76
1995 15.84
1996 15.83
1997 15.75
1998 15.71
1999 15.64
2000 15.74
2001 15.65
2002 15.54
2003 15.49
2004 15.49
2005 15.51
2006 15.56
2007 15.62
2008 15.90
2009 16.11
2010 16.27
2011 16.58
2012 17.21
2013 17.67
2014 18.13
2015 18.55
2016 18.95
2017 19.42
2018 19.89
2019 20.39
2020 20.90
2021 21.43
2022 21.95
2023 22.48
2024 22.99
2025 23.50
2026 24.02
2027 24.49
2028 24.92
2029 25.33
2030 25.69
2031 25.99
2032 26.20
2033 26.36
2034 26.50
2035 26.66
2036 26.85
2037 26.99
2038 27.04
2039 27.03
2040 27.01
2041 26.99
2042 26.95
2043 26.93
2044 26.92
2045 26.94
2046 27.01
2047 27.07
2048 27.14
2049 27.20
2050 27.27
2051 27.36
2052 27.46
2053 27.56
2054 27.70
2055 27.88
2056 28.11
2057 28.35
2058 28.56
2059 28.76
2060 28.94

* Persons aged 65 and over as a share of the working-age population. Return to table

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau.

Figure 7. Prime-age labor force participation rates are still low

Monthly
Percent

Month Male prime-age LFPR Female prime-age LFPR
January 2000 92.1 77.0
February 2000 92.2 76.9
March 2000 91.9 77.1
April 2000 91.7 77.3
May 2000 91.5 77.0
June 2000 91.7 76.8
July 2000 91.5 76.6
August 2000 91.5 76.3
September 2000 91.3 76.4
October 2000 91.2 76.3
November 2000 91.4 76.5
December 2000 91.6 76.5
January 2001 91.7 76.9
February 2001 91.6 76.8
March 2001 91.5 76.9
April 2001 91.4 76.3
May 2001 91.4 76.4
June 2001 91.3 76.2
July 2001 91.2 76.2
August 2001 91.1 76.2
September 2001 91.1 76.2
October 2001 91.3 76.1
November 2001 91.0 76.2
December 2001 91.2 76.3
January 2002 91.1 76.1
February 2002 91.3 76.4
March 2002 91.3 76.1
April 2002 91.2 76.2
May 2002 91.3 76.1
June 2002 91.0 75.7
July 2002 90.9 75.5
August 2002 91.1 75.7
September 2002 91.1 75.8
October 2002 91.0 75.7
November 2002 90.6 75.4
December 2002 90.6 75.8
January 2003 90.2 75.8
February 2003 90.5 75.8
March 2003 90.4 76.1
April 2003 90.7 76.0
May 2003 90.6 75.9
June 2003 90.7 76.1
July 2003 90.6 75.6
August 2003 90.7 75.6
September 2003 90.7 75.3
October 2003 90.7 75.3
November 2003 90.7 75.2
December 2003 90.7 75.1
January 2004 90.7 75.2
February 2004 90.4 75.2
March 2004 90.2 75.5
April 2004 90.3 75.4
May 2004 90.5 75.3
June 2004 90.5 75.5
July 2004 90.7 75.4
August 2004 90.5 75.1
September 2004 90.4 75.2
October 2004 90.2 75.1
November 2004 90.4 75.2
December 2004 90.3 75.1
January 2005 90.3 75.3
February 2005 90.5 75.3
March 2005 90.5 75.0
April 2005 90.5 75.2
May 2005 90.7 75.3
June 2005 90.4 75.0
July 2005 90.5 75.3
August 2005 90.9 75.2
September 2005 90.6 75.4
October 2005 90.4 75.2
November 2005 90.3 75.3
December 2005 90.2 75.4
January 2006 90.4 75.3
February 2006 90.6 75.5
March 2006 90.9 75.4
April 2006 90.6 75.3
May 2006 90.6 75.3
June 2006 90.5 75.4
July 2006 90.4 75.7
August 2006 90.5 75.6
September 2006 90.4 75.5
October 2006 90.4 75.6
November 2006 90.7 75.5
December 2006 90.9 75.5
January 2007 91.5 75.6
February 2007 91.4 75.3
March 2007 91.2 75.3
April 2007 91.1 75.0
May 2007 90.9 75.3
June 2007 90.7 75.3
July 2007 90.6 75.4
August 2007 90.5 75.5
September 2007 90.4 75.4
October 2007 90.3 75.3
November 2007 90.6 75.5
December 2007 90.9 75.5
January 2008 91.1 75.7
February 2008 91.0 75.5
March 2008 90.9 75.8
April 2008 90.6 75.8
May 2008 90.5 75.9
June 2008 90.5 76.0
July 2008 90.7 75.7
August 2008 90.5 76.0
September 2008 90.5 75.8
October 2008 90.4 75.8
November 2008 90.3 75.9
December 2008 89.9 75.9
January 2009 90.0 75.8
February 2009 89.8 76.0
March 2009 89.7 75.7
April 2009 89.9 75.9
May 2009 90.1 75.8
June 2009 90.0 75.9
July 2009 89.8 75.8
August 2009 90.1 75.6
September 2009 89.8 75.3
October 2009 89.8 75.3
November 2009 89.6 75.4
December 2009 88.9 75.2
January 2010 89.2 75.6
February 2010 89.2 75.5
March 2010 89.5 75.5
April 2010 89.7 75.6
May 2010 89.5 75.2
June 2010 89.5 75.1
July 2010 89.2 74.8
August 2010 89.3 74.9
September 2010 89.3 74.9
October 2010 88.9 74.9
November 2010 88.9 75.3
December 2010 88.6 75.2
January 2011 88.6 74.9
February 2011 88.7 74.7
March 2011 88.8 74.9
April 2011 88.7 74.9
May 2011 89.0 74.6
June 2011 88.9 74.6
July 2011 88.6 74.5
August 2011 88.7 74.7
September 2011 88.6 74.6
October 2011 88.4 74.4
November 2011 88.7 74.4
December 2011 88.7 74.6
January 2012 88.8 74.5
February 2012 88.7 74.5
March 2012 88.9 74.5
April 2012 88.7 74.4
May 2012 88.6 74.5
June 2012 88.9 74.4
July 2012 88.6 74.5
August 2012 88.6 74.5
September 2012 88.6 74.6
October 2012 88.8 74.7
November 2012 88.4 74.3
December 2012 88.6 74.6
January 2013 88.4 74.0
February 2013 88.5 73.9
March 2013 88.3 73.9
April 2013 88.6 73.7
May 2013 88.6 74.0
June 2013 88.6 74.0
July 2013 88.5 74.1
August 2013 88.3 74.0
September 2013 88.4 73.9
October 2013 88.0 73.5
November 2013 88.6 73.8
December 2013 88.1 73.8
January 2014 88.2 73.9
February 2014 88.1 74.3
March 2014 88.3 74.2
April 2014 88.0 74.0
May 2014 88.0 73.7
June 2014 88.3 74.0
July 2014 88.3 73.7
August 2014 88.5 74.0
September 2014 88.1 73.7
October 2014 88.1 73.9
November 2014 88.1 73.9
December 2014 88.2 73.8
January 2015 88.5 73.9
February 2015 88.4 73.7
March 2015 88.6 73.4
April 2015 88.5 73.8
May 2015 88.3 74.0
June 2015 88.2 73.8
July 2015 88.1 73.5
August 2015 88.2 73.5
September 2015 88.1 73.3
October 2015 88.2 73.6
November 2015 88.0 73.9
December 2015 88.2 73.9
January 2016 88.5 74.1
February 2016 88.6 74.1
March 2016 88.8 74.3
April 2016 88.6 74.2
May 2016 88.4 74.0
June 2016 88.6 74.1
July 2016 88.4 74.3
August 2016 88.4 74.4
September 2016 88.6 74.6
October 2016 88.6 74.8
November 2016 88.5 74.4
December 2016 88.5 74.5
January 2017 88.9 74.5
February 2017 88.7 74.8
March 2017 88.6 75.0
April 2017 88.6 75.1
May 2017 88.5 74.9
June 2017 88.5 75.0
July 2017 88.5 75.2
August 2017 88.4 75.0
September 2017 88.6 75.2
October 2017 88.6 74.9
November 2017 88.5 75.2
December 2017 89.0 75.0
January 2018 89.0 74.8
February 2018 89.3 75.2

Note: LFPR is labor force participation rate.

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 8. Wage growth remains moderate

Monthly
Percent change from 12 months earlier

Month Average hourly earnings
January 2008 2.91
February 2008 2.85
March 2008 3.04
April 2008 2.89
May 2008 3.07
June 2008 2.67
July 2008 3.05
August 2008 3.33
September 2008 3.28
October 2008 3.32
November 2008 3.50
December 2008 3.59
January 2009 3.58
February 2009 3.43
March 2009 3.28
April 2009 3.37
May 2009 2.93
June 2009 2.88
July 2009 2.69
August 2009 2.44
September 2009 2.44
October 2009 2.53
November 2009 2.15
December 2009 1.96
January 2010 2.09
February 2010 2.09
March 2010 1.81
April 2010 1.81
May 2010 1.90
June 2010 1.76
July 2010 1.85
August 2010 1.75
September 2010 1.84
October 2010 1.93
November 2010 1.79
December 2010 1.79
January 2011 1.96
February 2011 1.83
March 2011 1.83
April 2011 1.87
May 2011 2.04
June 2011 2.13
July 2011 2.30
August 2011 1.95
September 2011 1.94
October 2011 2.07
November 2011 1.98
December 2011 2.02
January 2012 1.75
February 2012 1.79
March 2012 2.14
April 2012 2.09
May 2012 1.74
June 2012 1.96
July 2012 1.69
August 2012 1.86
September 2012 1.99
October 2012 1.51
November 2012 1.94
December 2012 2.11
January 2013 2.11
February 2013 2.19
March 2013 1.93
April 2013 2.01
May 2013 2.14
June 2013 2.13
July 2013 2.09
August 2013 2.26
September 2013 2.04
October 2013 2.25
November 2013 2.20
December 2013 1.90
January 2014 1.98
February 2014 2.23
March 2014 2.06
April 2014 1.97
May 2014 2.13
June 2014 2.05
July 2014 2.08
August 2014 2.21
September 2014 2.16
October 2014 2.03
November 2014 2.03
December 2014 1.99
January 2015 2.19
February 2015 1.93
March 2015 2.22
April 2015 2.22
May 2015 2.34
June 2015 2.17
July 2015 2.12
August 2015 2.24
September 2015 2.24
October 2015 2.52
November 2015 2.43
December 2015 2.56
January 2016 2.55
February 2016 2.38
March 2016 2.50
April 2016 2.61
May 2016 2.44
June 2016 2.56
July 2016 2.76
August 2016 2.47
September 2016 2.63
October 2016 2.70
November 2016 2.57
December 2016 2.65
January 2017 2.40
February 2017 2.72
March 2017 2.55
April 2017 2.51
May 2017 2.46
June 2017 2.50
July 2017 2.49
August 2017 2.60
September 2017 2.83
October 2017 2.28
November 2017 2.47
December 2017 2.66
January 2018 2.77
February 2018 2.61

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Quarterly
Percent

Quarter Employment cost index
2008:Q1 3.17
2008:Q2 2.96
2008:Q3 2.84
2008:Q4 2.45
2009:Q1 1.86
2009:Q2 1.48
2009:Q3 1.20
2009:Q4 1.19
2010:Q1 1.65
2010:Q2 1.92
2010:Q3 2.00
2010:Q4 2.09
2011:Q1 1.98
2011:Q2 2.33
2011:Q3 2.14
2011:Q4 2.22
2012:Q1 2.12
2012:Q2 1.84
2012:Q3 1.92
2012:Q4 1.83
2013:Q1 1.90
2013:Q2 1.89
2013:Q3 1.88
2013:Q4 1.96
2014:Q1 1.70
2014:Q2 2.02
2014:Q3 2.27
2014:Q4 2.35
2015:Q1 2.75
2015:Q2 1.90
2015:Q3 1.89
2015:Q4 1.88
2016:Q1 1.79
2016:Q2 2.35
2016:Q3 2.26
2016:Q4 2.17
2017:Q1 2.31
2017:Q2 2.38
2017:Q3 2.52
2017:Q4 2.59

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 9. Inflation is below target

Monthly
Percent change from 12 months earlier

Month Core Total
January 1980 8.21 10.46
February 1980 8.93 11.07
March 1980 9.31 11.56
April 1980 8.87 10.99
May 1980 8.80 10.70
June 1980 8.92 10.49
July 1980 9.13 10.51
August 1980 9.20 10.58
September 1980 9.48 10.63
October 1980 9.58 10.62
November 1980 9.74 10.75
December 1980 9.62 10.54
January 1981 9.74 10.45
February 1981 9.46 10.38
March 1981 9.06 9.80
April 1981 9.18 9.70
May 1981 9.05 9.34
June 1981 8.87 9.09
July 1981 8.77 8.90
August 1981 8.71 8.67
September 1981 8.40 8.33
October 1981 8.15 7.95
November 1981 7.93 7.65
December 1981 7.67 7.29
January 1982 7.39 6.89
February 1982 7.02 6.14
March 1982 6.89 5.67
April 1982 6.64 5.27
May 1982 6.49 5.42
June 1982 6.49 5.76
July 1982 6.54 5.75
August 1982 6.32 5.42
September 1982 6.03 5.08
October 1982 6.07 5.20
November 1982 5.86 4.96
December 1982 5.82 4.81
January 1983 5.93 4.71
February 1983 5.93 4.58
March 1983 5.62 4.46
April 1983 5.52 4.88
May 1983 5.11 4.57
June 1983 5.08 4.20
July 1983 5.11 4.18
August 1983 5.17 4.30
September 1983 5.20 4.37
October 1983 4.73 3.97
November 1983 4.58 3.80
December 1983 4.31 3.69
January 1984 3.91 3.63
February 1984 4.17 4.14
March 1984 4.42 4.34
April 1984 4.60 4.26
May 1984 4.69 4.10
June 1984 4.45 3.90
July 1984 4.20 3.68
August 1984 4.00 3.56
September 1984 3.74 3.34
October 1984 3.79 3.41
November 1984 3.77 3.41
December 1984 4.11 3.65
January 1985 4.35 3.72
February 1985 4.26 3.52
March 1985 4.24 3.59
April 1985 3.88 3.36
May 1985 4.01 3.49
June 1985 4.12 3.59
July 1985 3.98 3.48
August 1985 4.15 3.50
September 1985 4.20 3.53
October 1985 4.12 3.45
November 1985 4.14 3.60
December 1985 4.02 3.65
January 1986 4.00 3.62
February 1986 3.72 3.13
March 1986 3.65 2.49
April 1986 3.69 2.11
May 1986 3.49 2.04
June 1986 3.44 2.12
July 1986 3.31 1.89
August 1986 3.01 1.67
September 1986 3.13 1.83
October 1986 3.32 1.85
November 1986 3.29 1.74
December 1986 3.14 1.53
January 1987 2.81 1.52
February 1987 2.76 1.88
March 1987 2.76 2.39
April 1987 3.01 2.97
May 1987 3.12 3.05
June 1987 3.09 3.05
July 1987 3.18 3.27
August 1987 3.32 3.55
September 1987 3.40 3.57
October 1987 3.51 3.73
November 1987 3.51 3.74
December 1987 3.59 3.80
January 1988 3.84 3.71
February 1988 3.83 3.49
March 1988 3.96 3.57
April 1988 4.04 3.70
May 1988 4.11 3.75
June 1988 4.27 3.80
July 1988 4.43 4.07
August 1988 4.34 3.97
September 1988 4.48 4.12
October 1988 4.42 4.11
November 1988 4.47 4.15
December 1988 4.59 4.27
January 1989 4.62 4.40
February 1989 4.66 4.59
March 1989 4.52 4.61
April 1989 4.36 4.79
May 1989 4.31 4.86
June 1989 4.14 4.64
July 1989 3.97 4.37
August 1989 3.86 4.07
September 1989 3.65 3.79
October 1989 3.64 3.87
November 1989 3.63 3.85
December 1989 3.59 3.84
January 1990 3.47 4.09
February 1990 3.71 4.21
March 1990 3.90 4.21
April 1990 3.87 3.75
May 1990 3.87 3.59
June 1990 4.00 3.83
July 1990 3.99 3.84
August 1990 4.29 4.52
September 1990 4.30 4.94
October 1990 4.27 5.12
November 1990 4.12 5.02
December 1990 3.96 4.81
January 1991 4.08 4.42
February 1991 3.85 4.00
March 1991 3.57 3.64
April 1991 3.46 3.60
May 1991 3.57 3.80
June 1991 3.39 3.52
July 1991 3.46 3.44
August 1991 3.31 2.99
September 1991 3.35 2.71
October 1991 3.23 2.33
November 1991 3.30 2.42
December 1991 3.42 2.59
January 1992 3.19 2.34
February 1992 3.20 2.56
March 1992 3.25 2.80
April 1992 3.39 2.89
May 1992 3.12 2.60
June 1992 2.98 2.61
July 1992 3.06 2.79
August 1992 2.87 2.69
September 1992 2.63 2.51
October 1992 2.81 2.68
November 1992 2.85 2.67
December 1992 2.80 2.60
January 1993 2.82 2.71
February 1993 2.74 2.60
March 1993 2.70 2.56
April 1993 2.67 2.56
May 1993 2.87 2.74
June 1993 2.89 2.60
July 1993 2.72 2.42
August 1993 2.82 2.46
September 1993 2.80 2.40
October 1993 2.57 2.36
November 1993 2.61 2.35
December 1993 2.46 2.19
January 1994 2.24 1.98
February 1994 2.27 2.06
March 1994 2.40 2.13
April 1994 2.25 1.98
May 1994 2.13 1.81
June 1994 2.25 2.02
July 1994 2.26 2.18
August 1994 2.18 2.23
September 1994 2.18 2.24
October 1994 2.25 2.09
November 1994 2.18 2.10
December 1994 2.17 2.14
January 1995 2.34 2.31
February 1995 2.28 2.25
March 1995 2.17 2.15
April 1995 2.25 2.30
May 1995 2.19 2.30
June 1995 2.05 2.14
July 1995 2.00 1.95
August 1995 2.13 1.94
September 1995 2.11 1.90
October 1995 2.12 1.99
November 1995 1.99 1.79
December 1995 2.10 1.92
January 1996 1.98 1.95
February 1996 1.95 1.94
March 1996 1.94 2.06
April 1996 1.84 2.09
May 1996 1.85 2.12
June 1996 1.85 2.02
July 1996 1.88 2.12
August 1996 1.73 2.00
September 1996 1.90 2.20
October 1996 1.89 2.25
November 1996 1.96 2.43
December 1996 1.85 2.35
January 1997 1.84 2.25
February 1997 1.92 2.31
March 1997 1.92 2.11
April 1997 1.98 1.90
May 1997 1.89 1.69
June 1997 1.96 1.82
July 1997 1.83 1.66
August 1997 1.70 1.64
September 1997 1.60 1.59
October 1997 1.51 1.42
November 1997 1.41 1.25
December 1997 1.44 1.11
January 1998 1.47 1.02
February 1998 1.34 0.75
March 1998 1.20 0.66
April 1998 1.20 0.69
May 1998 1.22 0.87
June 1998 0.95 0.66
July 1998 1.16 0.85
August 1998 1.40 0.90
September 1998 1.18 0.61
October 1998 1.22 0.70
November 1998 1.19 0.69
December 1998 1.31 0.81
January 1999 1.36 0.95
February 1999 1.29 0.99
March 1999 1.21 1.05
April 1999 1.26 1.39
May 1999 1.23 1.29
June 1999 1.39 1.39
July 1999 1.29 1.42
August 1999 1.14 1.46
September 1999 1.43 1.88
October 1999 1.39 1.82
November 1999 1.48 1.91
December 1999 1.44 2.05
January 2000 1.51 2.16
February 2000 1.66 2.51
March 2000 1.84 2.87
April 2000 1.66 2.31
May 2000 1.69 2.34
June 2000 1.71 2.66
July 2000 1.76 2.63
August 2000 1.83 2.44
September 2000 1.82 2.52
October 2000 1.81 2.50
November 2000 1.88 2.55
December 2000 1.81 2.42
January 2001 1.88 2.59
February 2001 1.88 2.40
March 2001 1.77 1.97
April 2001 1.89 2.25
May 2001 1.83 2.45
June 2001 2.00 2.31
July 2001 2.04 2.03
August 2001 1.99 2.05
September 2001 1.17 1.28
October 2001 1.75 1.51
November 2001 1.79 1.30
December 2001 1.74 1.07
January 2002 1.44 0.69
February 2002 1.48 0.72
March 2002 1.51 1.00
April 2002 1.64 1.25
May 2002 1.73 1.06
June 2002 1.66 0.99
July 2002 1.58 1.23
August 2002 1.72 1.43
September 2002 2.43 1.93
October 2002 1.80 1.75
November 2002 1.69 1.92
December 2002 1.75 2.11
January 2003 1.74 2.31
February 2003 1.67 2.56
March 2003 1.70 2.52
April 2003 1.50 1.90
May 2003 1.52 1.70
June 2003 1.41 1.69
July 2003 1.45 1.75
August 2003 1.35 1.88
September 2003 1.30 1.99
October 2003 1.34 1.77
November 2003 1.36 1.77
December 2003 1.41 1.92
January 2004 1.61 2.02
February 2004 1.68 1.84
March 2004 1.72 1.77
April 2004 1.86 2.12
May 2004 1.87 2.59
June 2004 2.02 2.81
July 2004 1.96 2.67
August 2004 1.94 2.43
September 2004 2.02 2.34
October 2004 2.06 2.76
November 2004 2.11 3.00
December 2004 2.12 2.84
January 2005 2.18 2.54
February 2005 2.17 2.60
March 2005 2.23 2.72
April 2005 2.10 2.84
May 2005 2.19 2.59
June 2005 2.05 2.32
July 2005 2.04 2.61
August 2005 2.06 2.95
September 2005 2.11 3.75
October 2005 2.21 3.50
November 2005 2.29 2.92
December 2005 2.28 2.87
January 2006 2.16 3.25
February 2006 2.12 3.00
March 2006 2.11 2.86
April 2006 2.24 2.99
May 2006 2.20 3.13
June 2006 2.38 3.31
July 2006 2.34 3.24
August 2006 2.45 3.14
September 2006 2.39 1.90
October 2006 2.27 1.48
November 2006 2.07 1.74
December 2006 2.13 2.13
January 2007 2.35 2.00
February 2007 2.45 2.29
March 2007 2.29 2.48
April 2007 2.13 2.26
May 2007 2.03 2.31
June 2007 1.95 2.28
July 2007 1.98 2.07
August 2007 1.94 1.84
September 2007 2.05 2.49
October 2007 2.15 3.06
November 2007 2.27 3.55
December 2007 2.33 3.40
January 2008 2.15 3.35
February 2008 2.02 3.23
March 2008 2.17 3.19
April 2008 2.20 3.24
May 2008 2.28 3.40
June 2008 2.32 3.91
July 2008 2.31 4.20
August 2008 2.26 4.02
September 2008 2.11 3.72
October 2008 1.85 2.86
November 2008 1.68 1.19
December 2008 1.40 0.37
January 2009 1.22 0.18
February 2009 1.21 0.18
March 2009 1.10 -0.22
April 2009 1.24 -0.32
May 2009 1.15 -0.62
June 2009 1.09 -0.71
July 2009 0.97 -1.18
August 2009 0.97 -0.84
September 2009 1.03 -0.77
October 2009 1.33 0.08
November 2009 1.42 1.46
December 2009 1.50 2.07
January 2010 1.56 2.19
February 2010 1.54 1.98
March 2010 1.56 2.19
April 2010 1.33 2.02
May 2010 1.34 1.93
June 2010 1.31 1.38
July 2010 1.35 1.55
August 2010 1.33 1.42
September 2010 1.19 1.35
October 2010 0.97 1.27
November 2010 0.99 1.20
December 2010 0.95 1.39
January 2011 0.99 1.43
February 2011 1.08 1.70
March 2011 1.09 1.97
April 2011 1.31 2.43
May 2011 1.43 2.71
June 2011 1.46 2.69
July 2011 1.58 2.77
August 2011 1.69 2.86
September 2011 1.72 2.93
October 2011 1.78 2.75
November 2011 1.84 2.73
December 2011 1.96 2.50
January 2012 2.09 2.57
February 2012 2.06 2.52
March 2012 2.11 2.37
April 2012 2.03 2.06
May 2012 1.91 1.66
June 2012 1.90 1.60
July 2012 1.84 1.44
August 2012 1.68 1.55
September 2012 1.73 1.71
October 2012 1.84 1.94
November 2012 1.78 1.68
December 2012 1.72 1.66
January 2013 1.67 1.55
February 2013 1.66 1.71
March 2013 1.56 1.35
April 2013 1.44 1.13
May 2013 1.43 1.24
June 2013 1.45 1.44
July 2013 1.44 1.51
August 2013 1.50 1.31
September 2013 1.50 1.11
October 2013 1.43 0.96
November 2013 1.49 1.23
December 2013 1.55 1.42
January 2014 1.47 1.48
February 2014 1.41 1.17
March 2014 1.51 1.46
April 2014 1.63 1.74
May 2014 1.69 1.84
June 2014 1.67 1.76
July 2014 1.74 1.82
August 2014 1.68 1.65
September 2014 1.70 1.63
October 2014 1.62 1.48
November 2014 1.54 1.26
December 2014 1.48 0.86
January 2015 1.36 0.21
February 2015 1.39 0.30
March 2015 1.37 0.31
April 2015 1.33 0.16
May 2015 1.28 0.25
June 2015 1.30 0.34
July 2015 1.25 0.31
August 2015 1.30 0.33
September 2015 1.34 0.19
October 2015 1.28 0.23
November 2015 1.33 0.40
December 2015 1.37 0.53
January 2016 1.61 1.12
February 2016 1.70 0.91
March 2016 1.63 0.83
April 2016 1.71 1.11
May 2016 1.75 1.04
June 2016 1.72 1.00
July 2016 1.78 0.96
August 2016 1.91 1.14
September 2016 1.84 1.37
October 2016 1.91 1.56
November 2016 1.82 1.52
December 2016 1.87 1.77
January 2017 1.89 2.03
February 2017 1.86 2.18
March 2017 1.61 1.83
April 2017 1.58 1.73
May 2017 1.48 1.51
June 2017 1.50 1.42
July 2017 1.41 1.40
August 2017 1.30 1.44
September 2017 1.35 1.66
October 2017 1.47 1.60
November 2017 1.51 1.74
December 2017 1.52 1.70
January 2018 1.53 1.67
February 2018 1.60 1.75

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 10. Labor productivity growth is low

Quarterly
Percent change, 5-year moving average

Quarter Labor productivity growth
1970:Q1 2.55
1970:Q2 2.77
1970:Q3 2.63
1970:Q4 2.20
1971:Q1 2.42
1971:Q2 2.54
1971:Q3 2.74
1971:Q4 2.42
1972:Q1 2.43
1972:Q2 2.76
1972:Q3 2.78
1972:Q4 2.94
1973:Q1 2.87
1973:Q2 2.72
1973:Q3 2.42
1973:Q4 2.52
1974:Q1 2.19
1974:Q2 2.28
1974:Q3 2.06
1974:Q4 2.26
1975:Q1 2.46
1975:Q2 2.56
1975:Q3 2.42
1975:Q4 2.58
1976:Q1 2.28
1976:Q2 2.41
1976:Q3 2.19
1976:Q4 2.47
1977:Q1 2.39
1977:Q2 1.91
1977:Q3 2.12
1977:Q4 1.69
1978:Q1 1.23
1978:Q2 1.58
1978:Q3 1.90
1978:Q4 1.90
1979:Q1 2.06
1979:Q2 1.95
1979:Q3 2.12
1979:Q4 1.93
1980:Q1 1.78
1980:Q2 1.21
1980:Q3 1.02
1980:Q4 1.20
1981:Q1 1.32
1981:Q2 1.01
1981:Q3 1.26
1981:Q4 0.86
1982:Q1 0.61
1982:Q2 0.64
1982:Q3 0.39
1982:Q4 0.81
1983:Q1 1.08
1983:Q2 1.05
1983:Q3 1.09
1983:Q4 1.19
1984:Q1 1.40
1984:Q2 1.62
1984:Q3 1.72
1984:Q4 1.80
1985:Q1 1.74
1985:Q2 2.05
1985:Q3 2.37
1985:Q4 2.22
1986:Q1 1.99
1986:Q2 2.29
1986:Q3 2.15
1986:Q4 2.36
1987:Q1 2.40
1987:Q2 2.46
1987:Q3 2.48
1987:Q4 2.45
1988:Q1 2.32
1988:Q2 1.97
1988:Q3 1.95
1988:Q4 1.82
1989:Q1 1.76
1989:Q2 1.68
1989:Q3 1.66
1989:Q4 1.63
1990:Q1 1.77
1990:Q2 1.84
1990:Q3 1.60
1990:Q4 1.33
1991:Q1 1.19
1991:Q2 1.38
1991:Q3 1.40
1991:Q4 1.60
1992:Q1 2.13
1992:Q2 2.15
1992:Q3 2.31
1992:Q4 2.26
1993:Q1 2.04
1993:Q2 1.92
1993:Q3 1.84
1993:Q4 1.96
1994:Q1 1.97
1994:Q2 1.84
1994:Q3 1.67
1994:Q4 1.85
1995:Q1 1.60
1995:Q2 1.51
1995:Q3 1.43
1995:Q4 1.78
1996:Q1 1.86
1996:Q2 1.78
1996:Q3 1.72
1996:Q4 1.62
1997:Q1 1.17
1997:Q2 1.29
1997:Q3 1.30
1997:Q4 1.28
1998:Q1 1.54
1998:Q2 1.73
1998:Q3 2.05
1998:Q4 2.07
1999:Q1 2.27
1999:Q2 2.36
1999:Q3 2.63
1999:Q4 2.74
2000:Q1 2.70
2000:Q2 3.06
2000:Q3 3.04
2000:Q4 3.12
2001:Q1 2.90
2001:Q2 2.99
2001:Q3 3.02
2001:Q4 3.26
2002:Q1 3.66
2002:Q2 3.44
2002:Q3 3.43
2002:Q4 3.30
2003:Q1 3.41
2003:Q2 3.64
2003:Q3 3.72
2003:Q4 3.71
2004:Q1 3.52
2004:Q2 3.59
2004:Q3 3.51
2004:Q4 3.33
2005:Q1 3.60
2005:Q2 3.12
2005:Q3 3.29
2005:Q4 3.09
2006:Q1 3.30
2006:Q2 2.96
2006:Q3 2.75
2006:Q4 2.59
2007:Q1 2.20
2007:Q2 2.30
2007:Q3 2.36
2007:Q4 2.45
2008:Q1 2.07
2008:Q2 1.94
2008:Q3 1.60
2008:Q4 1.32
2009:Q1 1.40
2009:Q2 1.67
2009:Q3 1.90
2009:Q4 2.01
2010:Q1 1.90
2010:Q2 2.03
2010:Q3 1.98
2010:Q4 2.01
2011:Q1 1.72
2011:Q2 1.78
2011:Q3 1.84
2011:Q4 1.87
2012:Q1 1.87
2012:Q2 1.82
2012:Q3 1.53
2012:Q4 1.40
2013:Q1 1.69
2013:Q2 1.48
2013:Q3 1.51
2013:Q4 1.81
2014:Q1 1.51
2014:Q2 1.22
2014:Q3 1.07
2014:Q4 0.71
2015:Q1 0.77
2015:Q2 0.77
2015:Q3 0.74
2015:Q4 0.53
2016:Q1 0.64
2016:Q2 0.62
2016:Q3 0.80
2016:Q4 0.74
2017:Q1 0.70
2017:Q2 0.67
2017:Q3 0.89
2017:Q4 0.92

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 11. Productivity slowdown is global

GDP per hour worked in OECD countries (average growth rates, percent)

Countries 1997-2006 2007-2016 Difference
Latvia 7.04 2.16 -4.88
Greece 2.60 -0.79 -3.38
Slovenia 4.08 0.70 -3.38
Czech Republic 3.72 1.27 -2.45
Sweden 2.97 0.54 -2.43
Slovak Republic 4.82 2.48 -2.34
Finland 2.66 0.36 -2.31
Hungary 3.69 1.42 -2.27
Great Britain 2.26 0.27 -1.99
Norway 1.85 -0.08 -1.93
Poland 4.53 2.67 -1.86
Chile 3.28 1.55 -1.73
Iceland 3.00 1.28 -1.73
South Korea 5.01 3.34 -1.67
Turkey 3.66 2.21 -1.45
Netherlands 1.87 0.43 -1.43
Luxemburg 1.37 -0.02 -1.40
United States 2.28 0.96 -1.32
France 1.75 0.46 -1.29
Austria 1.98 0.81 -1.17
Mexico 1.13 -0.03 -1.17
Switzerland 1.51 0.43 -1.08
Japan 1.77 0.79 -0.98
Germany 1.69 0.79 -0.90
Canada 1.69 0.79 -0.90
Belgium 1.31 0.48 -0.82
Israel 1.73 0.94 -0.79
Italy 0.57 0.02 -0.56
Portugal 1.37 0.82 -0.55
Denmark 1.19 0.71 -0.48
New Zealand 1.23 0.93 -0.30
Australia 1.61 1.47 -0.14
Spain 0.12 1.26 1.14
Ireland 3.43 4.97 1.54

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), https://data.oecd.org/lprdty/gdp-per-hour-worked.htm#indicator-chart.

Figure 12. Sources of the slowing in productivity growth

Percentage points

Years Labor productivity growth Contribution from innovation Contribution from investment Contribution from labor quality
1948-1973 3.21 2.07 0.95 0.19
1974-1995 1.66 0.69 0.69 0.28
1996-2003 3.26 1.63 1.35 0.28
2004-2017 1.40 0.65 0.54 0.22

Note: Chart key shows bars in order from top to bottom.

Source: John Fernald (2014), "A Quarterly, Utilization-Adjusted Series on Total Factor Productivity," Working Paper Series 2012-19 (San Francisco: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, April; data updated February 1, 2018), https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/wp12-19bk.pdf

Figure 13. Labor force growth has slowed

Annual
Percent change

Years Decade average 5-year moving average
1970 2.66 2.16
1971 2.66 2.18
1972 2.66 2.38
1973 2.66 2.58
1974 2.66 2.65
1975 2.66 2.52
1976 2.66 2.65
1977 2.66 2.61
1978 2.66 2.72
1979 2.66 2.68
1980 1.67 2.67
1981 1.67 2.48
1982 1.67 2.18
1983 1.67 1.76
1984 1.67 1.58
1985 1.67 1.54
1986 1.67 1.63
1987 1.67 1.69
1988 1.67 1.76
1989 1.67 1.76
1990 1.19 1.74
1991 1.19 1.41
1992 1.19 1.34
1993 1.19 1.21
1994 1.19 1.14
1995 1.19 1.01
1996 1.19 1.18
1997 1.19 1.25
1998 1.19 1.28
1999 1.19 1.24
2000 1.02 1.51
2001 1.02 1.43
2002 1.02 1.23
2003 1.02 1.25
2004 1.02 1.12
2005 1.02 0.92
2006 1.02 1.04
2007 1.02 1.12
2008 1.02 1.05
2009 1.02 0.91
2010 0.49 0.61
2011 0.49 0.29
2012 0.49 0.24
2013 0.49 0.14
2014 0.49 0.22
2015 0.49 0.42
2016 0.49 0.72
2017 0.49 0.68

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 14. U.S. LFPRs are falling behind those in other countries

LFPR for prime-age men, percent

Countries Men 1990 Men 2016
Switzerland 97.8 95.5
Japan 97.5 95.5
Sweden 94.7 93.3
Greece 94.3 93.2
Luxembourg 95.0 93.1
New Zealand 93.3 92.9
France 95.4 92.7
Spain 94.4 92.5
United Kingdom 94.8 92.3
Germany 90.2 92.0
Portugal 94.0 91.9
Austria 93.1 91.8
Netherlands 93.4 91.7
Canada 93.1 90.9
Denmark 94.5 90.8
Belgium 92.2 90.4
Australia 93.3 90.2
Finland 92.9 89.7
Ireland 91.8 89.2
Norway 92.3 88.9
United States 93.4 88.5
Italy 94.1 88.2

Note: For Austria, the 1990 data refer to 1994; for Switzerland, the 1990 data refer to 1991.

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

LFPR for prime-age women, percent

Countries Women 1990 Women 2016
Sweden 90.7 88.4
Portugal 68.0 86.6
Switzerland 73.7 85.5
Austria 71.6 84.9
Norway 79.2 83.9
Denmark 87.8 83.8
France 72.9 83.1
Finland 86.4 82.8
Germany 63.4 82.7
Spain 46.9 82.3
Canada 75.5 82.2
Netherlands 58.5 82.2
Luxembourg 49.7 81.1
New Zealand 69.0 80.5
United Kingdom 73.0 80.1
Belgium 60.8 79.8
Greece 51.5 77.7
Australia 66.8 76.8
Japan 64.2 76.3
United States 74.0 74.3
Ireland 45.4 73.7
Italy 53.9 66.8

Note: For Austria, the 1990 data refer to 1994; for Switzerland, the 1990 data refer to 1991.

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Last Update: April 06, 2018