Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17
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Release Date: May 14, 2021
Table 15 Industrial Production: Reliability Estimates
Seasonally adjusted
Note. The reliability measures show the likely range of values for the IP indexes after their fifth and final monthly
revision. The 15th (85th) percentile estimate is equal to the current estimate plus an amount such that the
equivalent measure revised by a lower (higher) amount for only 15 percent of the months since 2008. More
information is available at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/g17_technical_qa.htm#reliability.
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Sector | Annualized Change |
2012=100 | Percent change | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 Q4 |
2021 Q1 |
2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | |||||||||
Nov. | Dec. | Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | |||
Total index | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | 9.56 | 1.97 | 104.82 | 105.98 | 106.95 | 103.31 | 106.01 | 106.74 | .89 | 1.11 | .96 | -3.34 | 2.74 | 1.07 |
Current estimate | 9.48 | 1.17 | 104.82 | 105.93 | 106.84 | 103.11 | 105.61 | 106.31 | .89 | 1.05 | .86 | -3.49 | 2.42 | .67 |
15th percentile | 9.43 | .59 | 104.82 | 105.88 | 106.75 | 102.95 | 105.34 | 105.91 | .89 | 1.01 | .79 | -3.60 | 2.18 | .32 |
Manufacturing (SIC) | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | 12.50 | 1.90 | 101.85 | 102.64 | 103.94 | 99.86 | 103.09 | 103.62 | .94 | .77 | 1.30 | -3.89 | 3.31 | .68 |
Current estimate | 12.41 | 1.23 | 101.85 | 102.57 | 103.81 | 99.66 | 102.79 | 103.19 | .94 | .71 | 1.21 | -3.99 | 3.13 | .39 |
15th percentile | 12.35 | .58 | 101.85 | 102.51 | 103.71 | 99.47 | 102.51 | 102.78 | .94 | .66 | 1.11 | -4.10 | 2.98 | .10 |
Mining | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | 4.78 | 2.55 | 116.37 | 117.40 | 120.19 | 109.00 | 119.36 | 120.37 | 3.57 | .88 | 2.47 | -9.11 | 9.77 | 1.64 |
Current estimate | 4.63 | .48 | 116.37 | 117.27 | 119.88 | 108.45 | 118.09 | 118.91 | 3.57 | .77 | 2.23 | -9.54 | 8.89 | .69 |
15th percentile | 4.46 | -1.67 | 116.37 | 117.13 | 119.52 | 107.90 | 116.91 | 117.38 | 3.57 | .66 | 1.95 | -9.89 | 8.16 | -.19 |
Electric and gas utilities | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | -3.72 | 4.92 | 101.56 | 105.47 | 102.19 | 110.67 | 102.10 | 104.62 | -2.54 | 3.85 | -3.09 | 8.40 | -7.15 | 4.45 |
Current estimate | -3.74 | 1.56 | 101.56 | 105.46 | 102.15 | 110.11 | 100.17 | 102.81 | -2.54 | 3.84 | -3.14 | 7.80 | -9.03 | 2.63 |
15th percentile | -3.76 | -.20 | 101.56 | 105.44 | 102.06 | 109.85 | 99.02 | 101.75 | -2.54 | 3.82 | -3.24 | 7.59 | -10.33 | .86 |
Last Update: May 14, 2021