International Finance Discussion Papers (IFDP)
October 2002
Identifying the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rates Using Figh Frequency Data
Jon Faust, John H. Rogers, Eric Swanson, and Jonathan H. Wright
Abstract:
This paper proposes a new approach to identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks in an international vector autoregression. Using high-frequency data on the prices of Fed Funds futures contracts, we measure the impact of the surprise component of the FOMC-day Federal Reserve policy decision on financial variables, such as the exchange rate and the foreign interest rate. We show how this information can be used to achieve identification without having to make the usual strong assumption of a recursive ordering.
Keywords: Vector autoregression, identification
PDF: Full Paper
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