Figure 1. Average percent change in BHC forecasts of their MSA valuations in interest-rate stress scenarios
Sensitivity Shock |
Percent Average |
+100 basis point parallel move in yield curve |
18.67313249 |
+50 basis point parallel move in yield curve |
9.916880371 |
+25 basis point parallel move in yield curve |
4.838840401 |
-25 basis point parallel move in yield curve |
-6.83079116 |
-50 basis point parallel move in yield curve |
-13.2630192 |
-100 basis point parallel move in yield curve |
-26.77953708 |
Sources: FR Y14 data
Return to text.
Figure 2. Average percent change in BHC forecasts of their MSA valuations in CPR stress scenarios
Sensitivity Shock |
Percent Average |
+100 basis point change in CPR |
-4.028836928 |
+500 basis point change in CPR |
-16.84216605 |
+1000 basis point change in CPR |
-28.82348895 |
Sources: FR Y14 data
Return to text.
Figure 3. Average percent change in BHC forecasts of their MSA valuations in CDR stress scenarios
Sensitivity Shock |
Percent Average |
+100 basis point change in CDR |
-6.760310212 |
+500 basis point change in CDR |
-30.43096748 |
+1000 basis point change in CDR |
-56.38401227 |
Sources: FR Y14 data
Return to text.
Figure 4. MSA valuation changes from different shocks
Median |
First Quartile |
Third Quartile |
Interquartile Range |
-26.8 |
-29.0 |
-23.3 |
5.7 |
-27.8 |
-42.7 |
-13.8 |
28.9 |
-30.0 |
-31.0 |
-27.9 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
-3.3 |
11.0 |
14.3 |
Sources: FR Y14 data
Return to text.
Figure 5. Bank fair value MSA balances, 1998-2015
Time |
Industry MSA ($bln) |
1998:Q2 |
12.309346 |
1998:Q3 |
12.073544 |
1998:Q4 |
14.641382 |
1999:Q1 |
16.826273 |
1995:Q2 |
19.74194 |
1999:Q3 |
20.932219 |
1999:Q4 |
28.073472 |
2000:Q1 |
29.594468 |
2000:Q2 |
30.489562 |
2000:Q3 |
30.404625 |
2000:Q4 |
26.792179 |
2001:Q1 |
21.446143 |
2001:Q2 |
21.34895 |
2001:Q3 |
18.405619 |
2001:Q4 |
23.036673 |
2002:Q1 |
25.453277 |
2002:Q2 |
21.995634 |
2002:Q3 |
16.108997 |
2002:Q4 |
15.645124 |
2003:Q1 |
16.755483 |
2003:Q2 |
15.189676 |
2003:Q3 |
21.485862 |
2003:Q4 |
25.041996 |
2004:Q1 |
22.426213 |
2004:Q2 |
32.613194 |
2004:Q3 |
31.153485 |
2004:Q4 |
31.405688 |
2005:Q1 |
34.700803 |
2005:Q2 |
31.295849 |
2005:Q3 |
37.516302 |
2005:Q4 |
41.665358 |
2006:Q1 |
45.569276 |
2006:Q2 |
49.989246 |
2006:Q3 |
50.250684 |
2006:Q4 |
47.228447 |
2007:Q1 |
51.572476 |
2007:Q2 |
57.503421 |
2007:Q3 |
56.515592 |
2007:Q4 |
52.558632 |
2008:Q1 |
48.870965 |
2008:Q2 |
60.287117 |
2008:Q3 |
77.623271 |
2008:Q4 |
51.667709 |
2009:Q1 |
51.585842 |
2009:Q2 |
69.201041 |
2009:Q3 |
65.633815 |
2009:Q4 |
73.036487 |
2010:Q1 |
71.938982 |
2010:Q2 |
57.979641 |
2010:Q3 |
51.517819 |
2010:Q4 |
63.597402 |
2011:Q1 |
65.60946 |
2011:Q2 |
59.930191 |
2011:Q3 |
44.086807 |
2011:Q4 |
42.594872 |
2012:Q1 |
45.256778 |
2012:Q2 |
39.462485 |
2012:Q3 |
36.833462 |
2012:Q4 |
38.721659 |
2013:Q1 |
41.007048 |
2013:Q2 |
45.734861 |
2013:Q3 |
46.126041 |
2013:Q4 |
48.158064 |
2014:Q1 |
45.691126 |
2013:Q2 |
43.184446 |
2014:Q3 |
43.13358 |
2014:Q4 |
39.490548 |
2015:Q1 |
36.8396 |
2015:Q2 |
40.544199 |
2015:Q3 |
37.466781 |
2015:Q4 |
38.600678 |
Note: Shaded bars indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): March 2001-November 2001, and December 2007-June 2009.
Return to text.
Figure 6. Multiples and mortgage interest rates, 2007-15
Date |
Multiple for Outstanding Mortgages |
30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate (%) |
Multiple for Newly Originated Mortgages |
2007-01-01 |
4.87 |
6.21 |
6.00 |
2007-04-01 |
5.38 |
6.37 |
5.80 |
2007-07-01 |
5.31 |
6.54 |
5.68 |
2007-10-01 |
4.55 |
6.21 |
5.72 |
2008-01-01 |
4.35 |
5.86 |
5.40 |
2008-04-01 |
4.71 |
6.11 |
5.36 |
2008-07-01 |
5.19 |
6.31 |
5.80 |
2008-10-01 |
3.48 |
5.84 |
4.80 |
2009-01-01 |
3.22 |
5.04 |
4.32 |
2009-04-01 |
3.49 |
5.04 |
4.00 |
2009-07-01 |
3.77 |
5.14 |
3.52 |
2009-10-01 |
4.01 |
4.92 |
3.52 |
2010-01-01 |
4.02 |
5.00 |
4.00 |
2010-04-01 |
3.18 |
4.89 |
4.00 |
2010-07-01 |
2.79 |
4.44 |
3.60 |
2010-10-01 |
3.76 |
4.44 |
3.65 |
2011-01-01 |
3.94 |
4.85 |
3.64 |
2011-04-01 |
3.66 |
4.65 |
3.92 |
2011-07-01 |
2.58 |
4.29 |
3.60 |
2011-10-01 |
2.54 |
4.00 |
3.49 |
2012-01-01 |
2.87 |
3.92 |
3.42 |
2012-04-01 |
2.53 |
3.79 |
3.37 |
2012-07-01 |
2.54 |
3.55 |
3.25 |
2012-10-01 |
2.75 |
3.36 |
3.00 |
2013-01-01 |
3.04 |
3.51 |
3.05 |
2013-04-01 |
3.76 |
3.70 |
3.30 |
2013-07-01 |
4.08 |
4.44 |
4.05 |
2013-10-01 |
4.36 |
4.31 |
4.20 |
2014-01-01 |
4.22 |
4.36 |
4.32 |
2014-04-01 |
4.09 |
4.21 |
4.44 |
2014-07-01 |
4.09 |
4.14 |
4.50 |
2014-10-01 |
3.74 |
3.95 |
4.50 |
2015-01-01 |
3.5 |
3.72 |
4.40 |
2015-04-01 |
4.06 |
3.84 |
4.25 |
2015-07-01 |
3.79 |
3.94 |
4.16 |
2015-10-01 |
3.93 |
3.90 |
4.16 |
Note: The shaded bar indicates a period of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): December 2007-June 2009.
Return to text.
Figure 7. Share of mortgages originated through lender retail channels, 2003-15
Percent
Year |
Retail |
2003 |
37.60 |
2004 |
33.80 |
2005 |
31.20 |
2006 |
27.10 |
2007 |
33.50 |
2008 |
44.10 |
2009 |
45.50 |
2010 |
53.30 |
2011 |
56.50 |
2012 |
60.30 |
2013 |
60.90 |
2014 |
58.40 |
2015 |
56.70 |
Return to text.
Figure 8. Changes in house prices and mortgage debt, 1998-2015
Date |
CoreLogic HPI |
Mortgage debt outstanding |
3/31/1998 |
100 |
100 |
6/30/1998 |
101.7193 |
102.2644 |
9/30/1998 |
103.4062 |
104.6264 |
12/31/1998 |
105.56 |
107.5852 |
3/31/1999 |
107.216 |
109.9971 |
6/30/1999 |
109.0452 |
112.6636 |
9/30/1999 |
111.2553 |
116.5268 |
12/31/1999 |
113.5854 |
119.2327 |
3/31/2000 |
116.4536 |
121.2359 |
6/30/2000 |
119.7184 |
124.3531 |
9/30/2000 |
122.5848 |
127.2488 |
12/31/2000 |
125.5061 |
129.9474 |
3/31/2001 |
128.7428 |
131.5565 |
6/30/2001 |
131.33 |
135.5218 |
9/30/2001 |
133.7355 |
139.5014 |
12/31/2001 |
136.4443 |
143.0636 |
3/31/2002 |
138.9789 |
146.3305 |
6/30/2002 |
142.3244 |
150.7067 |
9/30/2002 |
146.2431 |
155.4166 |
12/31/2002 |
149.4657 |
160.5193 |
3/31/2003 |
152.6499 |
164.4234 |
6/30/2003 |
155.8436 |
169.9988 |
9/30/2003 |
159.9794 |
175.2737 |
12/31/2003 |
165.2571 |
179.805 |
3/31/2004 |
171.4697 |
184.8767 |
6/30/2004 |
178.5069 |
191.6635 |
9/30/2004 |
184.9988 |
197.9262 |
12/31/2004 |
191.3465 |
204.6299 |
3/31/2005 |
199.8099 |
210.0513 |
6/30/2005 |
208.6534 |
217.4147 |
9/30/2005 |
215.7882 |
224.9649 |
12/31/2005 |
221.4242 |
232.2055 |
3/31/2006 |
225.8692 |
239.9917 |
6/30/2006 |
226.4571 |
247.4756 |
9/30/2006 |
224.5172 |
253.9132 |
12/31/2006 |
224.3682 |
259.2987 |
3/31/2007 |
222.624 |
264.8862 |
6/30/2007 |
217.9113 |
270.7737 |
9/30/2007 |
211.9824 |
276.5336 |
12/31/2007 |
205.8119 |
280.3663 |
3/31/2008 |
198.8007 |
283.1641 |
6/30/2008 |
190.4055 |
284.0785 |
9/30/2008 |
182.9567 |
283.6982 |
12/31/2008 |
174.493 |
282.4437 |
3/31/2009 |
166.3148 |
282.2417 |
6/30/2009 |
163.8878 |
281.0321 |
9/30/2009 |
164.9639 |
279.0471 |
12/31/2009 |
165.9993 |
277.1542 |
3/31/2010 |
166.6696 |
274.0224 |
6/30/2010 |
166.1383 |
271.7785 |
9/30/2010 |
163.2985 |
269.5981 |
12/31/2010 |
161.1418 |
265.5174 |
3/31/2011 |
159.4922 |
263.806 |
6/30/2011 |
157.9137 |
261.967 |
9/30/2011 |
157.7393 |
260.3936 |
12/31/2011 |
157.5973 |
259.1619 |
3/31/2012 |
159.0461 |
257.6606 |
6/30/2012 |
162.3701 |
256.2401 |
9/30/2012 |
165.8458 |
255.2634 |
12/31/2012 |
169.6312 |
254.7556 |
3/31/2013 |
174.3567 |
253.8317 |
6/30/2013 |
179.9913 |
253.7602 |
9/30/2013 |
185.0121 |
254.3795 |
12/31/2013 |
189.3202 |
254.6009 |
3/31/2014 |
193.0118 |
254.5554 |
6/30/2014 |
194.8602 |
255.2757 |
9/30/2014 |
196.716 |
256.4292 |
12/31/2014 |
199.4871 |
258.0736 |
3/31/2015 |
202.2389 |
258.442 |
6/30/2015 |
204.7963 |
260.7048 |
9/30/2015 |
206.8452 |
262.9348 |
12/31/2015 |
209.9009 |
264.8502 |
Return to text.
Figure 9. Total securitization rate for home mortgages, 2001-15
Year |
Securitization rate |
2001 |
0.607091 |
2002 |
0.629936 |
2003 |
0.674867 |
2004 |
0.6256 |
2005 |
0.741472 |
2006 |
0.758178 |
2007 |
0.85115 |
2008 |
0.851662 |
2009 |
0.88774 |
2010 |
0.840354 |
2011 |
0.780995 |
2012 |
0.775255 |
2013 |
0.831799 |
2014 |
0.677976 |
2015 |
0.69721 |
Return to text.
Figure 10a. Dollar volume serviced by banking institutions in top 30 servicers, 2002-15
Year |
Bank Volume |
2002 |
3497.246 |
2003 |
3948.164 |
2004 |
4765.028 |
2005 |
5440.458 |
2006 |
6295.976 |
2007 |
7545.467 |
2008 |
8192.065 |
2009 |
8008.149 |
2010 |
7640.339 |
2011 |
7269.921 |
2012 |
6428.233 |
2013 |
5346.531 |
2014 |
4938.708 |
2015 |
4518.222 |
Return to text.
Figure 10b. Market share of banking institutions and nonbanks in the top 30 servicers, 2002-15
Year |
Nonbank Flag |
Market Share |
2002 |
Bank |
84.5582113 |
2002 |
Nonbank |
15.4417887 |
2003 |
Bank |
84.22191217 |
2003 |
Nonbank |
15.77808783 |
2004 |
Bank |
86.67561598 |
2004 |
Nonbank |
13.32438402 |
2005 |
Bank |
85.14863603 |
2005 |
Nonbank |
14.85136397 |
2006 |
Bank |
84.36527086 |
2006 |
Nonbank |
15.63472914 |
2007 |
Bank |
91.66197351 |
2007 |
Nonbank |
8.338026492 |
2008 |
Bank |
95.64276625 |
2008 |
Nonbank |
4.35723375 |
2009 |
Bank |
94.87962828 |
2009 |
Nonbank |
5.120371716 |
2010 |
Bank |
94.33570737 |
2010 |
Nonbank |
5.664292626 |
2011 |
Bank |
93.42690629 |
2011 |
Nonbank |
6.573093705 |
2012 |
Bank |
88.79279297 |
2012 |
Nonbank |
11.20720703 |
2013 |
Bank |
76.1984627 |
2013 |
Nonbank |
23.8015373 |
2014 |
Bank |
72.19777025 |
2014 |
Nonbank |
27.80222975 |
2015 |
Bank |
67.53239761 |
2015 |
Nonbank |
32.46760239 |
Return to text.
Figure 11. Total bank MSAs/total bank capital*100%, 1998-2015
Time |
MSA Share in Total Assets: Industry Totals (%) |
MSA Share in Capital: Industry Totals (%) |
1998:Q2 |
0.237427594 |
3.223901696 |
1998:Q3 |
0.229059722 |
3.097366317 |
1998:Q4 |
0.269014282 |
3.699907613 |
1999:Q1 |
0.310899905 |
4.150712537 |
1995:Q2 |
0.360992837 |
4.81568951 |
1999:Q3 |
0.379677572 |
5.04545277 |
1999:Q4 |
0.489499793 |
6.606487915 |
2000:Q1 |
0.506161711 |
6.773774769 |
2000:Q2 |
0.509461808 |
6.836710714 |
2000:Q3 |
0.501026877 |
6.658635953 |
2000:Q4 |
0.42897963 |
5.859575631 |
2001:Q1 |
0.339481905 |
4.594251181 |
2001:Q2 |
0.335614742 |
4.479793857 |
2001:Q3 |
0.280723651 |
3.794833496 |
2001:Q4 |
0.351581805 |
4.633338145 |
2002:Q1 |
0.39233327 |
5.045387787 |
2002:Q2 |
0.326694186 |
4.296301769 |
2002:Q3 |
0.232334814 |
3.077728045 |
2002:Q4 |
0.221074869 |
2.95453545 |
2003:Q1 |
0.232838773 |
3.099267801 |
2003:Q2 |
0.202950152 |
2.743854405 |
2003:Q3 |
0.287573181 |
3.799030511 |
2003:Q4 |
0.32945658 |
4.414305555 |
2004:Q1 |
0.286868135 |
3.842167519 |
2004:Q2 |
0.405150073 |
5.487959072 |
2004:Q3 |
0.377646709 |
5.0945942 |
2004:Q4 |
0.37298478 |
5.021327568 |
2005:Q1 |
0.4035798 |
5.402862946 |
2005:Q2 |
0.35847675 |
4.751236557 |
2005:Q3 |
0.421084641 |
5.569178849 |
2005:Q4 |
0.460546116 |
6.075737508 |
2006:Q1 |
0.487969718 |
6.473272497 |
2006:Q2 |
0.52013802 |
6.880892579 |
2006:Q3 |
0.514464027 |
6.727941235 |
2006:Q4 |
0.467712954 |
6.253879514 |
2007:Q1 |
0.508568188 |
6.800391279 |
2007:Q2 |
0.552000866 |
7.436023157 |
2007:Q3 |
0.523398495 |
7.110580777 |
2007:Q4 |
0.470033074 |
6.502541296 |
2008:Q1 |
0.424970901 |
5.965636265 |
2008:Q2 |
0.527409149 |
7.262269785 |
2008:Q3 |
0.643958694 |
9.12380242 |
2008:Q4 |
0.419614363 |
5.924524157 |
2009:Q1 |
0.43001122 |
5.565987153 |
2009:Q2 |
0.582619142 |
7.284949648 |
2009:Q3 |
0.553910793 |
6.805929649 |
2009:Q4 |
0.617551654 |
7.426014644 |
2010:Q1 |
0.596040103 |
7.266874993 |
2010:Q2 |
0.485092804 |
5.778162079 |
2010:Q3 |
0.424923624 |
5.036754732 |
2010:Q4 |
0.526929073 |
6.193230009 |
2011:Q1 |
0.539471614 |
6.224691177 |
2011:Q2 |
0.484429569 |
5.608000303 |
2011:Q3 |
0.350831428 |
4.079718034 |
2011:Q4 |
0.336706028 |
3.930022275 |
2012:Q1 |
0.354064228 |
4.077271643 |
2012:Q2 |
0.306189547 |
3.517199284 |
2012:Q3 |
0.281850732 |
3.233839039 |
2012:Q4 |
0.289237369 |
3.379723763 |
2013:Q1 |
0.306997354 |
3.520906443 |
2013:Q2 |
0.342672512 |
3.874196742 |
2013:Q3 |
0.340659715 |
3.85326713 |
2013:Q4 |
0.352211097 |
3.947050005 |
2014:Q1 |
0.329739711 |
3.645406616 |
2013:Q2 |
0.306137771 |
3.398477469 |
2014:Q3 |
0.302060858 |
3.354401676 |
2014:Q4 |
0.272824938 |
3.03880586 |
2015:Q1 |
0.250314748 |
2.785625716 |
2015:Q2 |
0.276186916 |
3.036908199 |
2015:Q3 |
0.254417351 |
2.770994428 |
2015:Q4 |
0.259179031 |
2.824222674 |
Note: Shaded bars indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): March 2001-November 2001, and December 2007-June 2009.
Return to text.
Figure 12. Evolution of the total number of banks and banks with MSAs, 1998-2015
Time |
Total Number of Banks |
Number of Banks with MSAs |
Share of Banks with MSAs (%, FV) |
1998:Q2 |
8983 |
513 |
5.710787042 |
1998:Q3 |
8910 |
524 |
5.881032548 |
1998:Q4 |
8774 |
506 |
5.767038979 |
1999:Q1 |
8722 |
524 |
6.007796377 |
1995:Q2 |
8674 |
540 |
6.225501499 |
1999:Q3 |
8622 |
535 |
6.205056831 |
1999:Q4 |
8580 |
549 |
6.398601399 |
2000:Q1 |
8517 |
556 |
6.52812023 |
2000:Q2 |
8476 |
556 |
6.559697971 |
2000:Q3 |
8376 |
559 |
6.67382999 |
2000:Q4 |
8315 |
561 |
6.746843055 |
2001:Q1 |
8238 |
584 |
7.089099296 |
2001:Q2 |
8177 |
587 |
7.178671885 |
2001:Q3 |
8148 |
585 |
7.179675994 |
2001:Q4 |
8080 |
587 |
7.264851485 |
2002:Q1 |
8005 |
606 |
7.570268582 |
2002:Q2 |
7967 |
605 |
7.593824526 |
2002:Q3 |
7932 |
607 |
7.652546646 |
2002:Q4 |
7887 |
624 |
7.911753518 |
2003:Q1 |
7862 |
638 |
8.114983465 |
2003:Q2 |
7831 |
650 |
8.300344784 |
2003:Q3 |
7810 |
666 |
8.527528809 |
2003:Q4 |
7767 |
673 |
8.664864169 |
2004:Q1 |
7711 |
677 |
8.779665413 |
2004:Q2 |
7691 |
680 |
8.841503056 |
2004:Q3 |
7657 |
683 |
8.919942536 |
2004:Q4 |
7628 |
693 |
9.084950184 |
2005:Q1 |
7596 |
692 |
9.110057925 |
2005:Q2 |
7546 |
702 |
9.302941956 |
2005:Q3 |
7538 |
702 |
9.31281507 |
2005:Q4 |
7523 |
710 |
9.437724312 |
2006:Q1 |
7487 |
707 |
9.443034593 |
2006:Q2 |
7474 |
704 |
9.41932031 |
2006:Q3 |
7445 |
706 |
9.482874412 |
2006:Q4 |
7397 |
710 |
9.598485873 |
2007:Q1 |
7375 |
708 |
9.6 |
2007:Q2 |
7346 |
701 |
9.542608222 |
2007:Q3 |
7299 |
697 |
9.549253322 |
2007:Q4 |
7279 |
712 |
9.781563402 |
2008:Q1 |
7235 |
704 |
9.730476849 |
2008:Q2 |
7196 |
704 |
9.783212896 |
2008:Q3 |
7138 |
687 |
9.62454469 |
2008:Q4 |
7076 |
687 |
9.708875071 |
2009:Q1 |
7028 |
698 |
9.931701764 |
2009:Q2 |
6985 |
702 |
10.05010737 |
2009:Q3 |
6901 |
702 |
10.17243878 |
2009:Q4 |
6829 |
707 |
10.35290672 |
2010:Q1 |
6762 |
709 |
10.48506359 |
2010:Q2 |
6666 |
711 |
10.66606661 |
2010:Q3 |
6612 |
712 |
10.76830006 |
2010:Q4 |
6519 |
718 |
11.0139592 |
2011:Q1 |
6442 |
731 |
11.34740764 |
2011:Q2 |
6399 |
739 |
11.54867948 |
2011:Q3 |
6336 |
752 |
11.86868687 |
2011:Q4 |
6275 |
764 |
12.1752988 |
2012:Q1 |
6245 |
781 |
12.5060048 |
2012:Q2 |
6201 |
789 |
12.72375423 |
2012:Q3 |
6147 |
808 |
13.14462339 |
2012:Q4 |
6072 |
819 |
13.48814229 |
2013:Q1 |
6020 |
833 |
13.8372093 |
2013:Q2 |
5952 |
836 |
14.04569892 |
2013:Q3 |
5909 |
847 |
14.33406668 |
2013:Q4 |
5847 |
853 |
14.58867795 |
2014:Q1 |
5776 |
855 |
14.80263158 |
2013:Q2 |
5724 |
859 |
15.00698812 |
2014:Q3 |
5670 |
866 |
15.27336861 |
2014:Q4 |
5607 |
883 |
15.74817193 |
2015:Q1 |
5535 |
902 |
16.2962963 |
2015:Q2 |
5474 |
910 |
16.62404092 |
2015:Q3 |
5410 |
914 |
16.89463956 |
2015:Q4 |
5338 |
913 |
17.10378419 |
Note: Shaded bars indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): March 2001-November 2001, and December 2007-June 2009.
Return to text.
Figure 13. Total MSAs/total capital*100, by asset size, 1998-20155
Time |
MSA/Capital (%): Less than 10b in Assets |
MSA/Capital (%): 10 to 50b in Assets |
MSA/Capital (%): 50b to 250b in Assets |
MSA/Capital (%): Greater than 250b in Assets |
1998:Q2 |
0.997570843 |
6.935377677 |
4.373214832 |
3.154820427 |
1998:Q3 |
0.897865807 |
6.773739489 |
3.233452811 |
4.696460352 |
1998:Q4 |
0.625943249 |
8.057170006 |
4.326370358 |
4.942844459 |
1999:Q1 |
0.744346717 |
8.43771169 |
5.3691911 |
5.540705718 |
1995:Q2 |
0.856613139 |
8.907991533 |
5.780666485 |
7.971719863 |
1999:Q3 |
0.862248726 |
7.892738886 |
7.493750204 |
8.174471472 |
1999:Q4 |
0.928434069 |
7.952695696 |
12.81116429 |
10.3885233 |
2000:Q1 |
0.996912725 |
7.326563251 |
13.0154687 |
10.80556937 |
2000:Q2 |
1.004735882 |
7.162598674 |
12.87459603 |
11.05735667 |
2000:Q3 |
0.853998048 |
7.364443783 |
12.14639125 |
10.5940175 |
2000:Q4 |
0.769361637 |
6.322300054 |
9.772983987 |
10.5269982 |
2001:Q1 |
0.665519987 |
5.439751721 |
9.201906824 |
5.320863108 |
2001:Q2 |
0.701978178 |
6.007995773 |
7.281683521 |
6.339051717 |
2001:Q3 |
0.678935898 |
4.64575383 |
6.588877563 |
5.152537056 |
2001:Q4 |
0.76878295 |
4.854914562 |
9.38502037 |
5.631168791 |
2002:Q1 |
0.823968267 |
5.180958565 |
8.725766272 |
8.05673869 |
2002:Q2 |
0.766353332 |
4.376989402 |
8.500153915 |
6.1239211 |
2002:Q3 |
0.617704954 |
3.063361982 |
6.340977263 |
4.009921796 |
2002:Q4 |
0.626578945 |
3.249416797 |
5.776449654 |
3.507968193 |
2003:Q1 |
0.62140066 |
3.404939425 |
5.454893511 |
4.184110662 |
2003:Q2 |
0.602822799 |
2.441778657 |
5.037225343 |
3.809180774 |
2003:Q3 |
0.761864628 |
2.932414282 |
7.698364653 |
4.950696047 |
2003:Q4 |
0.796544785 |
5.417368546 |
2.756856514 |
8.966425494 |
2004:Q1 |
0.745753079 |
4.739750631 |
2.455867201 |
7.46998025 |
2004:Q2 |
0.864539584 |
6.245168253 |
2.652008725 |
12.68932464 |
2004:Q3 |
0.803182448 |
5.287901493 |
2.632448579 |
11.43313113 |
2004:Q4 |
0.808094986 |
5.587917948 |
2.531747335 |
10.83198495 |
2005:Q1 |
0.847886196 |
6.332675315 |
2.865128691 |
11.27137625 |
2005:Q2 |
0.717061792 |
5.17354595 |
3.018810124 |
9.424514577 |
2005:Q3 |
0.791858652 |
5.951176789 |
3.266529099 |
11.30554572 |
2005:Q4 |
0.763321253 |
6.718572064 |
3.678808508 |
12.1402825 |
2006:Q1 |
0.640002668 |
6.915164455 |
3.884432803 |
13.07370295 |
2006:Q2 |
0.607652013 |
7.293529015 |
3.90967561 |
14.07230948 |
2006:Q3 |
0.58488017 |
4.71684473 |
4.963145791 |
14.0466058 |
2006:Q4 |
0.563686944 |
2.492632656 |
4.733746097 |
13.26166104 |
2007:Q1 |
0.534169749 |
2.444908809 |
5.084680471 |
14.65932351 |
2007:Q2 |
0.556332572 |
2.4859969 |
5.602134738 |
15.92619545 |
2007:Q3 |
0.65767746 |
2.21497307 |
5.229441897 |
14.89277532 |
2007:Q4 |
0.629577332 |
2.311228226 |
4.990580524 |
12.93058226 |
2008:Q1 |
0.58591276 |
2.280034752 |
4.427901668 |
11.89360735 |
2008:Q2 |
0.619341834 |
2.926690167 |
4.875937309 |
14.91703819 |
2008:Q3 |
0.789553582 |
2.502288551 |
4.759500696 |
19.048424 |
2008:Q4 |
0.388202645 |
2.454293691 |
2.266528705 |
12.79055703 |
2009:Q1 |
0.395305641 |
2.420406271 |
2.207937047 |
11.60616797 |
2009:Q2 |
0.469195892 |
2.996993 |
2.842238533 |
15.07405574 |
2009:Q3 |
0.48958306 |
2.394090772 |
2.985866649 |
13.89664646 |
2009:Q4 |
0.529793843 |
2.598860303 |
2.471841574 |
14.85432933 |
2010:Q1 |
0.518727809 |
2.808484254 |
2.58370965 |
14.12204037 |
2010:Q2 |
0.512965891 |
2.12392624 |
2.127669175 |
11.19694307 |
2010:Q3 |
0.500216609 |
2.117069278 |
1.884653373 |
9.684828516 |
2010:Q4 |
0.572105186 |
2.536986882 |
2.503703346 |
11.91989007 |
2011:Q1 |
0.59526628 |
2.478616158 |
2.520905785 |
12.00508855 |
2011:Q2 |
0.57391417 |
2.334162532 |
2.325655671 |
10.91001386 |
2011:Q3 |
0.534566891 |
1.929051581 |
1.939713078 |
7.282760216 |
2011:Q4 |
0.543059392 |
1.986931738 |
1.79673835 |
6.995062649 |
2012:Q1 |
0.568850055 |
1.871210849 |
1.905010164 |
7.416353139 |
2012:Q2 |
0.818562103 |
1.122796027 |
1.723301838 |
6.187131282 |
2012:Q3 |
0.805510143 |
1.137940587 |
1.514889907 |
5.657437717 |
2012:Q4 |
0.650479387 |
1.218143754 |
1.653655716 |
5.812473563 |
2013:Q1 |
0.749648915 |
1.214886019 |
1.690475142 |
6.179834321 |
2013:Q2 |
0.772158033 |
1.391208067 |
1.65463275 |
6.874469609 |
2013:Q3 |
0.825999458 |
1.431493566 |
1.711274875 |
6.764970523 |
2013:Q4 |
0.864948364 |
1.489178986 |
1.795735956 |
6.835634336 |
2014:Q1 |
0.898928006 |
1.402667351 |
1.782333871 |
6.075529426 |
2013:Q2 |
0.900095833 |
1.331732041 |
1.719179034 |
5.589993 |
2014:Q3 |
0.804529968 |
1.650299273 |
1.697275985 |
5.50327654 |
2014:Q4 |
0.813520487 |
1.513973778 |
1.746718172 |
4.667854661 |
2015:Q1 |
0.792530845 |
1.369402122 |
1.614852472 |
4.289012193 |
2015:Q2 |
0.841872003 |
1.443315535 |
1.7934649 |
4.693810071 |
2015:Q3 |
0.833578818 |
1.391883105 |
1.561264139 |
4.335667517 |
2015:Q4 |
0.878799047 |
1.469585217 |
1.539541664 |
4.434308618 |
Note: Shaded bars indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): March 2001-November 2001, and December 2007-June 2009.
Return to text.
Figure 14. Number of banks with different MSAs to capital ratios, 1998-2015
Time |
MSA/capital equal to 0 |
MSA/capital in the range 0 to 3% |
MSA/capital in the range 3 to 5% |
MSA/capital in the range 5 to 8% |
MSA/capital in the range 8 to 10% |
MSA/capital greater than 10% |
1998:Q2 |
8470 |
362 |
58 |
33 |
13 |
47 |
1998:Q3 |
8386 |
373 |
54 |
39 |
10 |
48 |
1998:Q4 |
8268 |
337 |
64 |
42 |
11 |
52 |
1999:Q1 |
8198 |
345 |
70 |
40 |
11 |
58 |
1995:Q2 |
8134 |
349 |
78 |
35 |
14 |
64 |
1999:Q3 |
8087 |
343 |
75 |
40 |
16 |
61 |
1999:Q4 |
8031 |
351 |
76 |
40 |
13 |
69 |
2000:Q1 |
7961 |
368 |
71 |
39 |
14 |
64 |
2000:Q2 |
7920 |
382 |
65 |
35 |
18 |
56 |
2000:Q3 |
7817 |
395 |
63 |
32 |
16 |
53 |
2000:Q4 |
7754 |
406 |
61 |
34 |
18 |
42 |
2001:Q1 |
7654 |
431 |
63 |
35 |
11 |
44 |
2001:Q2 |
7590 |
428 |
62 |
34 |
17 |
46 |
2001:Q3 |
7563 |
419 |
71 |
37 |
9 |
49 |
2001:Q4 |
7493 |
407 |
70 |
43 |
19 |
48 |
2002:Q1 |
7399 |
416 |
72 |
48 |
23 |
47 |
2002:Q2 |
7362 |
423 |
65 |
47 |
25 |
45 |
2002:Q3 |
7325 |
431 |
62 |
60 |
11 |
42 |
2002:Q4 |
7263 |
436 |
67 |
64 |
13 |
43 |
2003:Q1 |
7224 |
441 |
80 |
60 |
14 |
43 |
2003:Q2 |
7181 |
450 |
81 |
63 |
14 |
42 |
2003:Q3 |
7144 |
448 |
85 |
66 |
12 |
55 |
2003:Q4 |
7094 |
444 |
87 |
75 |
17 |
50 |
2004:Q1 |
7034 |
450 |
100 |
63 |
15 |
49 |
2004:Q2 |
7011 |
451 |
94 |
66 |
19 |
50 |
2004:Q3 |
6974 |
462 |
96 |
59 |
16 |
50 |
2004:Q4 |
6935 |
474 |
95 |
63 |
11 |
50 |
2005:Q1 |
6904 |
468 |
96 |
65 |
12 |
51 |
2005:Q2 |
6844 |
484 |
98 |
65 |
14 |
41 |
2005:Q3 |
6836 |
494 |
89 |
61 |
18 |
40 |
2005:Q4 |
6813 |
493 |
92 |
60 |
23 |
42 |
2006:Q1 |
6780 |
492 |
90 |
62 |
23 |
40 |
2006:Q2 |
6770 |
491 |
86 |
67 |
19 |
41 |
2006:Q3 |
6739 |
503 |
82 |
63 |
20 |
38 |
2006:Q4 |
6687 |
511 |
88 |
56 |
22 |
33 |
2007:Q1 |
6667 |
516 |
87 |
54 |
15 |
36 |
2007:Q2 |
6645 |
513 |
77 |
54 |
18 |
39 |
2007:Q3 |
6602 |
515 |
82 |
47 |
15 |
38 |
2007:Q4 |
6567 |
532 |
80 |
49 |
15 |
36 |
2008:Q1 |
6531 |
532 |
76 |
52 |
13 |
31 |
2008:Q2 |
6492 |
534 |
67 |
55 |
14 |
34 |
2008:Q3 |
6451 |
518 |
66 |
49 |
17 |
36 |
2008:Q4 |
6388 |
536 |
65 |
43 |
15 |
28 |
2009:Q1 |
6330 |
539 |
69 |
49 |
12 |
29 |
2009:Q2 |
6281 |
525 |
74 |
46 |
19 |
37 |
2009:Q3 |
6199 |
510 |
89 |
47 |
16 |
39 |
2009:Q4 |
6121 |
503 |
84 |
60 |
16 |
43 |
2010:Q1 |
6053 |
503 |
95 |
47 |
21 |
41 |
2010:Q2 |
5955 |
515 |
85 |
58 |
18 |
33 |
2010:Q3 |
5900 |
523 |
87 |
51 |
17 |
33 |
2010:Q4 |
5801 |
505 |
93 |
56 |
16 |
47 |
2011:Q1 |
5711 |
509 |
103 |
60 |
15 |
43 |
2011:Q2 |
5660 |
524 |
94 |
65 |
15 |
40 |
2011:Q3 |
5584 |
548 |
95 |
61 |
11 |
36 |
2011:Q4 |
5511 |
558 |
99 |
56 |
15 |
35 |
2012:Q1 |
5464 |
572 |
95 |
60 |
15 |
38 |
2012:Q2 |
5412 |
577 |
103 |
55 |
18 |
35 |
2012:Q3 |
5339 |
594 |
102 |
54 |
17 |
40 |
2012:Q4 |
5253 |
592 |
109 |
59 |
16 |
42 |
2013:Q1 |
5187 |
599 |
113 |
56 |
17 |
47 |
2013:Q2 |
5116 |
584 |
121 |
65 |
16 |
49 |
2013:Q3 |
5062 |
579 |
135 |
65 |
16 |
51 |
2013:Q4 |
4994 |
575 |
121 |
81 |
18 |
57 |
2014:Q1 |
4921 |
581 |
119 |
81 |
16 |
58 |
2013:Q2 |
4865 |
588 |
124 |
76 |
15 |
56 |
2014:Q3 |
4804 |
598 |
117 |
80 |
15 |
56 |
2014:Q4 |
4724 |
614 |
122 |
75 |
12 |
60 |
2015:Q1 |
4633 |
638 |
119 |
70 |
15 |
60 |
2015:Q2 |
4564 |
641 |
121 |
72 |
18 |
58 |
2015:Q3 |
4496 |
653 |
113 |
67 |
23 |
58 |
2015:Q4 |
4425 |
646 |
120 |
67 |
19 |
61 |
Note: Shaded bars indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): March 2001-November 2001, and December 2007-June 2009.
Return to text.
Figure 15. Number of banks with MSAs to CET1 capital ratios higher than 10% by asset size, 1998-2015
Time |
Less than 10b in assets |
10b to 50b in assets |
50b to 250b in assets |
Greater than 250b in assets |
1998:Q2 |
39 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
1998:Q3 |
40 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
1998:Q4 |
41 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
1999:Q1 |
46 |
10 |
2 |
0 |
1995:Q2 |
51 |
10 |
2 |
1 |
1999:Q3 |
50 |
8 |
2 |
1 |
1999:Q4 |
56 |
8 |
3 |
2 |
2000:Q1 |
51 |
8 |
3 |
2 |
2000:Q2 |
43 |
8 |
3 |
2 |
2000:Q3 |
41 |
7 |
3 |
2 |
2000:Q4 |
33 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
2001:Q1 |
36 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
2001:Q2 |
38 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
2001:Q3 |
42 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
2001:Q4 |
40 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
2002:Q1 |
41 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2002:Q2 |
39 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2002:Q3 |
36 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2002:Q4 |
37 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
2003:Q1 |
37 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
2003:Q2 |
37 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
2003:Q3 |
48 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
2003:Q4 |
43 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
2004:Q1 |
42 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
2004:Q2 |
43 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
2004:Q3 |
42 |
5 |
0 |
3 |
2004:Q4 |
43 |
5 |
0 |
2 |
2005:Q1 |
44 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
2005:Q2 |
37 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
2005:Q3 |
34 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
2005:Q4 |
37 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
2006:Q1 |
33 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2006:Q2 |
33 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2006:Q3 |
31 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2006:Q4 |
28 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2007:Q1 |
27 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
2007:Q2 |
29 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
2007:Q3 |
29 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
2007:Q4 |
26 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
2008:Q1 |
23 |
1 |
5 |
2 |
2008:Q2 |
24 |
2 |
5 |
3 |
2008:Q3 |
26 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
2008:Q4 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
2009:Q1 |
21 |
5 |
0 |
3 |
2009:Q2 |
27 |
5 |
2 |
3 |
2009:Q3 |
30 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
2009:Q4 |
32 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
2010:Q1 |
31 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
2010:Q2 |
26 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2010:Q3 |
27 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
2010:Q4 |
39 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2011:Q1 |
36 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2011:Q2 |
33 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2011:Q3 |
32 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2011:Q4 |
32 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2012:Q1 |
34 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2012:Q2 |
33 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2012:Q3 |
38 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2012:Q4 |
40 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2013:Q1 |
45 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2013:Q2 |
47 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2013:Q3 |
49 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2013:Q4 |
55 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2014:Q1 |
56 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2013:Q2 |
54 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2014:Q3 |
53 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2014:Q4 |
57 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2015:Q1 |
57 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2015:Q2 |
55 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2015:Q3 |
55 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2015:Q4 |
58 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
Note: Shaded bars indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): March 2001-November 2001, and December 2007-June 2009.
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Figure 16. Number and percent of banks with less than $10 billion in assets with any loans sold to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, 2004-14
Year |
Number of Banks |
2004 |
915 |
2005 |
854 |
2006 |
810 |
2007 |
790 |
2008 |
753 |
2009 |
827 |
2010 |
767 |
2011 |
765 |
2012 |
927 |
2013 |
907 |
2014 |
901 |
Sources: HMDA, Call Report
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Figure 16. Number and percent of banks with less than $10 billion in assets with any loans sold to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, 2004-14
Year |
Percent of Banks |
2004 |
0.216619 |
2005 |
0.205535 |
2006 |
0.195605 |
2007 |
0.189858 |
2008 |
0.179714 |
2009 |
0.198512 |
2010 |
0.189476 |
2011 |
0.196507 |
2012 |
0.218684 |
2013 |
0.221058 |
2014 |
0.225815 |
Sources: HMDA, Call Report
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