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Release Date: October 17, 2019
Table 15 Industrial Production: Reliability Estimates
Seasonally adjusted
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Note. The reliability measures show the likely range of values for the IP indexes after their fifth and final monthly
revision. The 15th (85th) percentile estimate is equal to the current estimate plus an amount such that the
equivalent measure revised by a lower (higher) amount for only 15 percent of the months since 2008. More
information is available at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/g17_technical_qa.htm#reliability.
Sector | Annualized Change |
2012=100 | Percent change | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 2019 | 2019 | ||||||||||||
Q2 | Q3 | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sept. | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sept. | |
Total index | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | -1.98 | 2.25 | 108.99 | 109.31 | 109.42 | 109.31 | 110.27 | 109.93 | -.63 | .29 | .15 | -.02 | 1.07 | -.07 |
Current estimate | -2.19 | 1.25 | 108.99 | 109.25 | 109.31 | 109.10 | 109.94 | 109.52 | -.63 | .24 | .05 | -.19 | .77 | -.39 |
15th percentile | -2.39 | .46 | 108.99 | 109.20 | 109.20 | 108.92 | 109.67 | 109.09 | -.63 | .20 | -.03 | -.30 | .53 | -.73 |
Manufacturing (SIC) | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | -2.92 | 1.92 | 104.33 | 104.51 | 105.15 | 104.84 | 105.48 | 105.15 | -.87 | .18 | .65 | -.25 | .72 | -.18 |
Current estimate | -3.18 | 1.07 | 104.33 | 104.45 | 105.03 | 104.65 | 105.24 | 104.76 | -.87 | .12 | .55 | -.36 | .56 | -.46 |
15th percentile | -3.36 | .06 | 104.33 | 104.39 | 104.91 | 104.45 | 104.95 | 104.27 | -.87 | .06 | .45 | -.47 | .40 | -.76 |
Mining | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | 8.66 | -.99 | 133.42 | 133.28 | 134.04 | 131.07 | 134.97 | 133.44 | 2.56 | -.11 | .67 | -1.92 | 3.24 | -.38 |
Current estimate | 8.09 | -4.42 | 133.42 | 133.12 | 133.64 | 130.42 | 133.50 | 131.75 | 2.56 | -.23 | .39 | -2.41 | 2.36 | -1.31 |
15th percentile | 7.49 | -7.59 | 133.42 | 132.94 | 133.22 | 129.64 | 132.08 | 129.89 | 2.56 | -.36 | .10 | -2.80 | 1.64 | -2.20 |
Electric and gas utilities | ||||||||||||||
85th percentile | -8.39 | 15.70 | 103.27 | 105.17 | 100.94 | 105.76 | 107.29 | 108.66 | -3.34 | 1.84 | -4.00 | 4.89 | 2.02 | 3.16 |
Current estimate | -8.52 | 10.78 | 103.27 | 105.16 | 100.89 | 105.13 | 105.39 | 106.82 | -3.34 | 1.82 | -4.06 | 4.21 | .24 | 1.36 |
15th percentile | -8.67 | 8.82 | 103.27 | 105.14 | 100.81 | 104.83 | 104.20 | 105.74 | -3.34 | 1.81 | -4.13 | 3.94 | -1.14 | -.41 |
Last Update: October 17, 2019