Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17
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Release Date: January 17, 2018
Table 15 Industrial Production: Reliability Estimates
Seasonally adjusted
The reliability measures show the likely range of values for the IP indexes after their fifth and final monthly revision. The 15th (85th) percentile estimate is equal to the current estimate plus an amount such that the equivalent measure revised by a lower (higher) amount for only 15 percent of the months since 2008. More information is available at https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/g17_technical_qa.htm#reliability.
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| Sector | Annualized Change |
2012=100 | Percent change | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2017 | 2017 | ||||||||||||
| Q3 | Q4 | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | |
| Total index | ||||||||||||||
| 85th percentile | -1.05 | 9.20 | 105.01 | 104.64 | 104.88 | 106.84 | 106.83 | 107.87 | -.23 | -.35 | .28 | 1.97 | .16 | 1.20 |
| Current estimate | -1.27 | 8.20 | 105.01 | 104.58 | 104.77 | 106.64 | 106.51 | 107.46 | -.23 | -.41 | .18 | 1.79 | -.12 | .89 |
| 15th percentile | -1.45 | 7.47 | 105.01 | 104.52 | 104.66 | 106.47 | 106.27 | 107.07 | -.23 | -.47 | .08 | 1.67 | -.35 | .58 |
| Manufacturing (SIC) | ||||||||||||||
| 85th percentile | -1.75 | 7.97 | 103.18 | 103.08 | 103.24 | 104.83 | 105.21 | 105.43 | -.33 | -.10 | .20 | 1.59 | .44 | .37 |
| Current estimate | -2.02 | 7.00 | 103.18 | 103.01 | 103.12 | 104.65 | 104.92 | 105.01 | -.33 | -.16 | .11 | 1.48 | .26 | .09 |
| 15th percentile | -2.19 | 6.22 | 103.18 | 102.95 | 103.00 | 104.46 | 104.66 | 104.60 | -.33 | -.22 | -.01 | 1.36 | .10 | -.21 |
| Mining | ||||||||||||||
| 85th percentile | 3.35 | 15.83 | 109.21 | 108.24 | 110.07 | 112.19 | 112.86 | 114.92 | -.25 | -.89 | 1.82 | 2.22 | .94 | 2.53 |
| Current estimate | 2.78 | 12.69 | 109.21 | 108.08 | 109.74 | 111.61 | 111.76 | 113.57 | -.25 | -1.03 | 1.54 | 1.71 | .13 | 1.63 |
| 15th percentile | 2.18 | 9.52 | 109.21 | 107.94 | 109.40 | 110.98 | 110.59 | 112.01 | -.25 | -1.16 | 1.22 | 1.26 | -.59 | .72 |
| Electric and gas utilities | ||||||||||||||
| 85th percentile | -1.41 | 14.94 | 104.06 | 102.81 | 101.54 | 106.26 | 104.14 | 109.80 | .53 | -1.21 | -1.22 | 4.94 | -1.38 | 7.39 |
| Current estimate | -1.53 | 10.34 | 104.06 | 102.79 | 101.48 | 105.63 | 102.32 | 108.07 | .53 | -1.22 | -1.27 | 4.08 | -3.13 | 5.62 |
| 15th percentile | -1.68 | 8.41 | 104.06 | 102.78 | 101.40 | 105.26 | 101.14 | 107.06 | .53 | -1.23 | -1.35 | 3.85 | -4.43 | 4.13 |
The reliability measures show the likely range of values for the IP indexes after their fifth and final monthly revision. The 15th (85th) percentile estimate is equal to the current estimate plus an amount such that the equivalent measure revised by a lower (higher) amount for only 15 percent of the months since 2008. More information is available at https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/g17_technical_qa.htm#reliability.
Last Update: January 17, 2018